Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene

 
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Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene
Using available evidence to inform a
  prioritized and patient-centred
      National Strategic Plan

           Maureen Kamene
Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene
NSP 2015-2018
Evidence-based plan                          Strategic Priorities
                       Evidence was
                      epidemiological
                       and related to
                                      1. Identify and treat    all cases    Everything was
                                         1. Core DOTS                      equally “prioritized”
                       programmatic
                       performance       2. MDR-TB
                                        3.    Pediatric TB
                                        4.    Leprosy
                                   2. Engage all care providers
                                   3. Promote and strengthen community engagement
                                   4. Enhance the multi-sectoral response to TB/HIV
                                   5. Accelerate appropriate diagnosis
                                   6. Ensure stable & quality supply of all commodities
                                   7. Enhance evidence-based programme monitoring
                                      & evaluation
                                   8. Create an enabling, multi-sectoral environment
                                   9. Support devolution
Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene
NSP Development Process
            NSP 2015 – 2018
                                                 Global Fund
       We thought we knew the epi.
           We planned using it.                  application
1.    Identify and treat all cases
     1.     Core DOTS
     2.     MDR-TB                             What’s New?
     3.     Pediatric TB
     4.     Leprosy                            Prevalence survey
                                               •   more TB than previously
2.    Engage all care providers
                                                   estimated
3.    Promote and strengthen community         •   non-specific symptoms &
      engagement                                   asymptomatic TB
4.    Enhance the multi-sectoral response to
      TB/HIV
5.    Accelerate appropriate diagnosis          Patient pathway analysis
6.    Ensure stable & quality supply of all     • people with TB in the health
      commodities                                 system, undiagnosed
7.    Enhance evidence-based programme
      monitoring & evaluation                   Etc.
8.    Create an enabling, multi-sectoral
      environment
9.    Support devolution
Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene
NSP Development Process
            NSP 2015 – 2018                                                                 NSP 2018 - 2023
       We thought we knew the epi.                                                    We know more about the epi.
           We planned using it.                                                  Now we know about patient behavior. We
                                                                                     can plan to local patient needs.
1.    Identify and treat all cases
     1.     Core DOTS
     2.     MDR-TB                                                              3 ways this NSP can be ground-breaking:
                                               What’s New?
     3.     Pediatric TB
     4.     Leprosy                            Prevalence survey                1.   Use consolidated national data to incorporate
                                               •    more TB than previously          a robust evidence base to establish priorities
2.    Engage all care providers
                                                    estimated                        for action
3.    Promote and strengthen community
                                               Patient pathway analysis
      engagement                               • people with TB in the health
4.    Enhance the multi-sectoral response to                                    2.   Use sub-national data to build a plan that
                                                 system, undiagnosed
      TB/HIV                                                                         responds to county-specific needs and
5.    Accelerate appropriate diagnosis         Adherence study                       successes
6.    Ensure stable & quality supply of all
      commodities                              Inventory study                  3.   Use impact evaluations and modeling to
                                               • Many patients on care, not          optimize the effectiveness of packages of
7.    Enhance evidence-based programme         notified
      monitoring & evaluation                                                        interventions
8.    Create an enabling, multi-sectoral       Epi review
      environment                                                                       enabling a prioritized / tiered plan
9.    Support devolution

                                                                                                                               4
Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene
Framework for prioritization and planning

Reviewing the evidence about the biggest epidemiological challenges and the biggest challenges on a patient’s
pathway to care can help to identify which sets of problems should be priorities for the national TB program

Pre-work                             Day 1               Day 2                Day 3

                                       1. Problem          2. Root Cause       3. Intervention
                     People are in    Prioritization          Analysis          Identification
                       the health
                      system, but
                     not notified/
  People don’t        diagnosed
 make it to the
                                                                 What             What are
 health system                                                                                                  What was
                                           Which             contributes to        priority      Implement
                                                                                                              the impact of
                                       are the biggest       the problem?        solutions to      the best
                  People with                                                                                     these
                                         problems?            What does it        optimize        solutions
                    TB are                                     look like?                                       solutions?
                                                                                   impact?
                  notified, but
                   not cured

                                                                                                                              5
Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene
Framework for prioritization and planning

Reviewing the evidence about the biggest epidemiological challenges and the biggest challenges on a patient’s
pathway to care can help to identify which sets of problems should be priorities for the national TB program

Pre-work

                                      1. Problem        2. Root Cause      3. Intervention
                     People are in   Prioritization        Analysis         Identification
                       the health
                      system, but
                     not notified/
  People don’t        diagnosed
 make it to the
                                                              What            What are
 health system                                                                                              What was
                                          Which           contributes to       priority      Implement
                                                                                                          the impact of
                                      are the biggest     the problem?       solutions to      the best
                  People with                                                                                 these
                                        problems?          What does it       optimize        solutions
                    TB are                                  look like?                                      solutions?
                                                                               impact?
                  notified, but
                   not cured

                                                                                                                          6
Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene
National data and evidence compiled (1/2)
                         Resource Title                          Year     Problem        Root Cause Analysis     Solution
                                                                        Prioritization                         Optimization
Surveillance, Surveys and Studies
TB Surveillance Data (TIBU)                                       All         X                  X
TB Prevalence Survey 2015/2016^                                  2016         X                  X
Adherence survey 2017^                                           2017                            X
TB Patient cost survey 2017^                                     2017                            X
Inventory study 2014/2015^                                       2016         X                  X
Drug resistant survey 2014/2015                                  2015         X
Delay in Diagnosis 2013/2014*                                    2014                            X
Kenya Demographic and Health survey (KDHS) 2013^                 2013         X                  X
KAIS 2012*                                                       2012         X                  X
GXpert Impact survey 2017*                                       2017                            X                  X
Community survey 2017*                                           2017                            X
Keheala study to improve Treatment Adherence*                    2017                            X                  X
SARAM Survey 2013                                                2013         X                  X                  X
Health Expenditure Utilization Survey 2016                       2016         X                  X

Analyses
Patient Pathway analysis 2017^                                   2017         X                  X
Legal environmental assessment by KELIN 2017*                    2017                            X                  X
Data for action for Key, Vulnerable and underserved population                X                  X
                                                                 2018
by Kelin 2017/2018*
Gender barriers to TB by KELIN 2017*                             2018                            X
TB/DM by AMPATH*                                                 2017                            X                            7
Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene
NATIONAL DATA AND EVIDENCE COMPILED (2/2)
                           Resource Title                     Year   Problem Prioritization   Root Cause Analysis   Solution Optimization
 Reviews/Reports
WHO Global TB Report 2017^                                    2017             X
GF concept note                                               2017                                                           X
NTLDP Annual report 2017                                      2018             X
Mid term review 2017                                          2017                                    X                      X
Epi Review 2017^                                              2017             X                      X
ACF Experience sharing report 2017                            2017                                    X                      X
GLC AFRO Mission Kenya Report 2017                            2017                                    X

 Policy Documents
Kenya Health Sector Strategic and Investment Plan 2013-2017   2013                                                           X
END TB Strategy                                               2015                                                           X
Isolation policy                                              2018                                                           X
Social protection policy                                      2018                                                           X
Sustainability framework                                      2017                                                           X
Investment case                                               2017                                                           X
NSP 2015-2018                                                 2015                                                           X

                                                                                                                                            8
Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene
DATA AND EVIDENCE MAPPED TO THE CARE CONTINUUM
Epi
  Priority setting requires : Know your epidemiology, know your patient, know your system

      Patient       People don’t make it to the health system
                                                                              People with TB in the health system, but not   People with TB are notified,
                                                                                          notified/diagnosed                       but not cured
                  People with                                                                                                                                 Total
                                Asymptomatic     Symptomatic                 Presenting to Diagnosed by       Diagnosed by
                  TB infection,                                                                                              Notified, not   Durable cure
                                 disease, not    disease, not               health facilities, non-NTP, not     NTP, not
                  high-risk for                                                                                              durable cure    (relapse free)
                                 seeking care    seeking care                not diagnosed       notified        notified
                    disease

                                       5              6         DS-TB             1               2

                                                                DR-TB             3               4

                                                                TB/HIV
          Epi
          Total

      #   Important metrics from available evidence resources (see following slides)

                                                                                                                                                                      9
Using available evidence to inform a prioritized and patient-centred National Strategic Plan - Maureen Kamene
EXAMPLE: EVIDENCE INPUT INTO THE CARE CONTINUUM (1/2)
2016 Prevalence Survey
                                     5
                                         Asymptomatic disease, not seeking
                                         care

                                         Screening for TB using any or all of the
                                         four cardinal symptoms - cough of
                                         more than two weeks, fever, night sweats
                                         and weight loss - would have
                                         missed 40% of the TB cases

                                     6
                                         Symptomatic disease, not seeking
                   5                     care

                                         Majority of people found to have TB had
                                         not sought health care for their symptoms
                         6               prior to the survey
                                         – Majority did not seek health care
                                         because they did not perceive their
                                         symptoms as
                                         being serious

                                                                                     10
EXAMPLE: EVIDENCE INPUT INTO THE CARE CONTINUUM (1/2)
2017 Patient Pathway Analysis
                                        1     3
                                            Presenting to health facilities, not
                                            diagnosed

                                            43% of people with TB are likely to visit a
                                            health facility with capacity for TB
                                            diagnosis on their first visit to the health
                                            care system. Even fewer are likely to
                                2           receive a DR diagnosis on their first visit.

                                4
                                        2     4
                                            Diagnosed by non-NTP, not notified

                                            Over 40% of people initiate their care
                                            seeking journey in private (formal or
                                            informal) facilities. Diagnostic capacity
                                            exists in the private sector, however only
                                            notifications from the private sector only
                                            account for 13% of the estimated burden.
                                    1
                                    3
                                                                                           11
Evidence Review Sessions

Patient                                                                     People with TB in the health system, but not
               People Who aren’t in the health system                                                                                People with TB are notified, but not cured
                                                                                        notified/diagnosed
          High-risk for TB
                             Asymptomatic    Symptomatic     Session 1    Presenting to       Diagnosed by        Diagnosed by     People with TB    On treatment      Complete Tx,
           infection, or
                              disease, not    disease, not   Burden of   health facilities, private sector, not public sector, not notified to the      without       w/out durable,
          breakdown to
                              seeking care   seeking care     Disease     not diagnosed          notified            notified            NTP       treatment success relapse-free cure
              disease

                                                              DS-TB*

                                                                           Session 3 – Evidence related to people
            Session 2 – Evidence related to people                                                                                Session 4 – Evidence related to people
                  not in the health system
                                                              DR-TB            in the health system not being
                                                                                                                                      who are notified, but not cured
                                                                                      diagnosed/notified

                                                              TB/HIV
  Epi

                                                                                                                                                                                         1
                                                                                                                                                                                         2
WORKING GROUPS ACCESSED DATA / EVIDENCE SUMMARY SHEETS

                                                                                        Session 3 – People   Session 4 – people
       Session 1 – Burden                             Session 2 – People
                                                                                          in system, not       notified, but not
           of Disease                                 not in health system
                                                                                            notified/dx              cured

# 2016 Prevalence Survey          # 2017 WHO TB Report           # 2014 DHS    #   2016 Inventory Study

# 2017 Patient Pathway Analysis   # 2017 Epi Review              # 2013 HEUS                                                       13
Session 1: Data

    TEAMS DEALT WITH DISCORDANT DATA
                                                           1

    EXAMPLE: 2016 PREVALENCE SURVEY [TB/HIV]

           • Among prevalent TB patients in the
             prevalence survey, 13.4% were recorded in
             TIBU as HIV(+), while 23% of these patients
             self-reported as HIV(+)

                                                    1

                                                               1

                                                                   14
Session 1: Data

    2017 WHO GLOBAL TB REPORT [TB/HIV]

                                       • According to the WHO report, 96%
                                      10

                                         of patients have known HIV status,
                                         and 31% of patients with known HIV
                                 10      status are HIV-positive;

                            10

                                                                              15
WORKING GROUP: DISCUSSION PROMPTS

       Review available data and establish a level of
             priority based on the evidence                                Comment on the quality of data

1. How big of a problem is this, within the context of the
overall TB burden?                                                                         Either
(rank between 1-5; 1=not a big problem, low priority; 5= top priority)   Sufficient to establish a level of priority

2. To what extent is there progress against this challenge                                   Or
(1=no progress; 5 = solid progress, commensurate with problem)
                                                                         Additional data are available and need to
                                                                                       be included
3. What level of priority should be given to filling the
remaining gaps related to this challenge?                                                   Or
(1=not a big problem, low priority; 5= top priority)
                                                                                    Data gaps - - Define

                                                                                        © 2017 Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation   |   16
Working group priority scores were consolidated

                                                  17
Inventory of Evidence Gaps was compiled

Priorities based on available data

                                     But….
                                        Insufficient data in some instances

                                     So….
                                        Reconsider based on available evidence from newly
                                        identified sources
                                                                    or
                                        Add to research agenda
FRAMEWORK FOR PRIORITIZATION AND PLANNING
Step-wise approach to strategic planning that focuses on where people with TB may be “missing” from care

                                          1. Problem        2. Root Cause      3. Intervention
                         People are in   Prioritization        Analysis         Optimization
                           the health
                          system, but
                         not notified/
      People don’t        diagnosed
     make it to the                                                               What are
                                                                  What                                          What was
     health system                            Which                                priority      Implement
                                                              contributes to                                  the impact of
                                          are the biggest     the problem?       solutions to      the best
                      People with                                                                                 these
                                            problems?          What does it       optimize        solutions
                        TB are                                  look like?                                      solutions?
                                                                                   impact?
                      notified, but
                       not cured

                                                                                                                              19
Participants were introduced to Root Cause analysis
              Understanding the layers and determinants that contribute to priority challenges

                                                                       Known priority problem

                                                                      Determinants

                                                   Root cause
1. What is known about the factors
   contributing to this problem?
2. What additional evidence is needed to
   better understand the root cause of this
                                                                                 Interventions to address
   problem?
                                                                                 determinants
3. Which can feasibly be addressed?

                                                                                                            2
                                                                                                            0
ROOT CAUSE ANALYSIS
Additional data were made available to assist working groups to think about determinants and root causes

 Patient        People Who aren’t in the health system
                                                                        People with TB in the health system, but
                                                                                                                         People with TB are notified, but not cured
                                                                                not notified/diagnosed
              High-risk for                                        Presenting to                                                  On treatment Complete Tx,
                            Asymptomatic Symptomatic                               Diagnosed by Diagnosed by People with TB
             TB infection,                                            health                                                        without    w/out durable,
                             disease, not disease, not                             private sector, public sector, notified to the
             or breakdown                                          facilities, not                                                 treatment    relapse-free
                             seeking care seeking care                              not notified    not notified       NTP
               to disease                                           diagnosed                                                       success         cure

                   1                              1                     1   2   4                       1                                     1      1      5
                                                         DS-TB
                                                                        2   3   5                       2
                                                  1                                                                                           2      2      6

                                                  2                                                                                           3      3      7
                                                         DR-TB
                                                                                                                                              4      4      8

                                                         TB/HIV
    Epi

# 2016 Prevalence Survey          # 2017 WHO TB Report    # 2014 DHS                #   2016 Inventory Study   #   2017 Patient Cost Survey

# 2017 Patient Pathway Analysis   # 2017 Epi Review       # 2013 HEUS               #   2017 Adherence Study                                                          21
EXAMPLE: 2017 ADHERENCE STUDY
                       •1 There was a statistically increased risk of non-
                          adherence in the groups 25-34, 35-44 and 55-64
                          years compared to age group 18-14 years (p
ROOT CAUSE ANALYSIS
Small working groups can map what is known / what evidence is still needed to inform evidence-based action

                      -   What is known about the factors contributing to this problem?
                      -   What additional evidence is needed to better understand the root cause of this problem?
                      -   Of the possible root causes, which would be the most impactful to address? Which can feasibly be addressed?

                                                                       People with TB in the health system, but
  Group 6:       People Who aren’t in the health system                                                             People with TB are notified, but not cured
                                                                               not notified/diagnosed
 Patient
   DR-TB
              High-risk for                                          Presenting to                                                  On treatment Complete Tx,
                            Asymptomatic Symptomatic                                 Diagnosed by Diagnosed by People with TB
              TB infection,                                             health                                                        without    w/out durable,
                             disease, not disease, not                               private sector, public sector, notified to the
 Group 7: TB or breakdown seeking care seeking care                  facilities, not
                                                                                      not notified    not notified       NTP
                                                                                                                                     treatment    relapse-free
  in children  to disease                                             diagnosed                                                       success         cure

  Group 8:                                                                                           Group 4 –
    Key                                                                                                  M&E,
 populations
                                                                      Group 2 –      Group 3 –        including
                                                                                                                        Group 5 – Ensuring cure, including
                   Group 1 – Pre-care seeking,                        diagnostic       Private           initial
  Group 9:                                                                                                            treatment support and social protection
                including community engagement                         gap and       sector and         default
   TB/HIV                                                                PAL                          (lab) and
     Epi
                                                                                                     not notified

 Group 10:
  Leprosy

                                                                                                                                                           23
Lack of knowledge of TB among HCWs
   No or Inadequate training
        Lack of pre-service               Lack of OJT           Focus only on TB
        training on TB                                          Rx sites – 40%

                - Outdated Curriculum              - Lack of need assessment for training     -   Supervision based on case notification
                - Lack of engagement by              by counties                              -   Lack of policy on pre-Dx cascade
                  NTP                              - Lack of advocacy to donors & counties    -   Lack of M&E tools
                - Lack of multi-sectoral           - Lack of measurement of training          -   Lack of evidence on importance of pre-
                  approach                           impact                                       Dx prior to prevalence survey

                                                                                                                                            Patients visit
                                                                                                                                             the HF, not
                                                                                                                                           screened for TB

                    - Inadequate quantification to                                  - Inability to plan around long
                      allow accurate forecasting          - Lack of mechanisms
                                                                                      procurement cycles
                    - Forecasting based on                  at county level for
                                                                                    - Multiple donors/partners with
                      notification data not                 distribution of tools
                                                                                      different cycles/roles
                      presumptive

     Stationary            Distribution of tools        Long TAT
     printing not          not prioritized by           for printing
     done in time          counties                     tools

Tools for specimen collection not available
FRAMEWORK FOR PRIORITIZATION AND PLANNING
Step-wise approach to strategic planning that focuses on where people with TB may be “missing” from care

                                          1. Problem        2. Root Cause      3. Intervention
                         People are in   Prioritization        Analysis         Optimization
                           the health
                          system, but
                         not notified/
      People don’t        diagnosed
     make it to the                                                               What are
                                                                  What                                          What was
     health system                            Which                                priority      Implement
                                                              contributes to                                  the impact of
                                          are the biggest     the problem?       solutions to      the best
                      People with                                                                                 these
                                            problems?          What does it       optimize        solutions
                        TB are                                  look like?                                      solutions?
                                                                                   impact?
                      notified, but
                       not cured

                                                                                                                              26
Group: Not complete treatment (Treatment, UHC and social support)
Action Domain: Nutrition support
Objectives:
• Improve treatment outcome of patients with malnutrition (% death, % LTFU)
    ✓ All HCWs managing TB patients are competent in assessing and managing malnourished TB patients
    ✓ All TB patients are assessed for nutritional status (100%)
    ✓ All TB patients are provided with nutrition support according to their needs (100% for SAM, …)
                                                                                                              High Feasibility
1. Universal nutritional assessment            3. Boldly address supply chain
and counselling                                management issues of nutritional                                                      1
•   ~18% patient not evaluated                 commodities up to beneficiary                                                     4         3
•   Systematic nutrition assessment at the     •   Align supply of TB drugs to nutritional                                                 2
    start of treatment, follow up and at the       commodities
    end of treatment                           •   (Being the biggest constraint for the
                                                                                              Low
•   System to alert if no improvement              intervention 2)                           Impact
                                                                                                                                          High
                                                                                                                                         Impact

2. Universal nutrition management              4. Impact evaluation of nutrition
for all eligible patients                      interventions
•   ~20% SAM; ~30% MAM                         • Compilation of existing evidence
•   Micronutrient supplementation              • Establish a robust impact                      Others-
•   Therapeutic feeding for SAM                                                                 •   Multi-sector collaboration
                                                   evaluation framework                         •   Case detection in other in-country
•   Supplemental feeds for MAM                                                                      nutritional interventions eg school,
                                                                                                    community, LowMUAC     screening
                                                                                                                   Feasibility
Key Results

1. Results along the care continuum can be used as the
   context for understanding new data / evidence
2. Priorities established based on evidence, rather than
   politics or emotions
3. Interventions identified that target the most important
   determinants / root causes of remaining challenges
4. Priority data/evidence gaps documented; filling these
   gaps will direct impact the ability of the programme to
   make informed decisions

                                                             2
                                                             8
Current thinking: NSP framework 2019-2023

                                                                      3. Inclusion of TB,
    Strategic        1. Close the gaps along     2. Differentiated                          4. Prevent infection,   5. Patient centered
                                                                      Leprosy and Lung
objectives for TB,   the care continuum to     response by county                              active disease,         approach that
                                                                       Disease within
Leprosy and Lung        find and cure the      to address TB in the                            morbidity and        promotes quality of
                                                                        National UHC
    Disease               missing cases            local context                                  mortality                 care
                                                                          framework

                                                                                                                                  29
Next steps

                                 1. Problem      2. Root Cause             3.
                 People are
                    in the      Prioritization      Analysis         Intervention
                   health                                           Identification
  People        system, but
don’t make      not notified/
 it to the       diagnosed                                            What are
   health                           Which              What                                        What was
                                                   contributes to      priority      Implement
                                    are the                                                        the impact
  system
             People with            biggest
                                                   the problem?      solutions to     the best
                                                                                                    of these
                                                                                                                Preliminary national-level priorities
                                                    What does it      optimize        solutions
               TB are             problems?          look like?                                    solutions?
             notified, but                                             impact?
              not cured

                                                                                       1. Refine at national level using additional available
                                                                                            evidence
                                                                                       2. Repeat with counties to identify sub-national priorities
                                                                                       3. Conduct patient and health worker focus groups
                                                                                       4. Triangulate for evidence-based NSP

                                                                                                                                                        3
                                                                                                                                                        0
National Tuberculosis, Leprosy and Lung Disease Program
              Email: mkamene@nltp.co.ke

      nltp.co.ke    @NTLDKenya        NTLDKenya

             Asante (Thank You)!
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