Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU

 
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Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU
Draft Global Sustainable Development Report
2019:
messages for the globe, insights for the EU

                    Prof Eeva Furman, Finnish environment institute, Finland
             Prof Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium
                      Prof Peter Messerli, CDE, Bern University, Swizerland

                                      European Parliament
                                         Public Hearing
”The remaining 12 years: EU action towards achieving the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development
                                        7.2.2019, Brussels
Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU
TRANSFORMATIONS –
                        WAYS TO TACKLE ARISING PHENOMENA

AGENDA 2030 –
A VISION FOR HUMANITY
IN THE ANTHROPOCENE
                                                  KNOWLEDGE –
                                                  SCIENCE AND BEYOND
Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU
Gonzalo
               Hernández      Katherine      David        Amanda      Jurgis
                 Licona      Richardson      Smith        Glassman   Staniskis

     The
independent
  group of     Eun Mee       Muhammad
                              Saidam
                                            Endah
                                          Murniningtyas
                                                           Peter     Jean-Paul
                 Kim                                      Messerl     Moatti
  scientists                                                 i

                                            Parfait
               Jean-Pascal   Wolfgang     Ekoundou-        Eeva       Ernest
                   van        Lutz         Enyegue        Furman       Foli
                 Ypersele
Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU
Global Sustainable Development Report

                                    GSDR 2019

•   Strengthen the science-policy interface to support policymakers in
    promoting poverty eradication and sustainable development
•   Incorporate scientific evidence in a multidisciplinary manner—natural
    sciences and social sciences—considering all three dimensions of sustainable
    development
•   Support the implementation of the 2030 Agenda, keeping in mind its
    universal and integrated nature
•   Consider regional dimensions and diversity, as well as countries in special
    situations
Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU
Much good still exists and for many things
  humanity has made great progress…
 Paloniemi, Tiitu & Viinikka

                               Helsinki metropolitan
 SYKE

                                                       Many countries have made their
               Green infrastructure                    way out of extreme poverty
               in European cities                      Rosling et al. Factfulness, 2018   5
Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU
Social turning points:
                poverty and inequality

World Bank. 2016. Poverty and Shared Prosperity 2016: Taking on Inequality. The World Bank.
Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU
Environmental turning points: climate
          change and biodiversity

IPCC report on 1.5 ºC   WWF Living planet report
Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU
Counter-transformations:
nationalism and populism
Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU
A decisive decade ahead
Draft Global Sustainable Development Report 2019: messages for the globe, insights for the EU
A Renewed Understanding of
Transformations to Sustainable
        Development?
11
Systems thinking : Synergies and Trade-offs
                     among SDGs
       Work in progress – do not
        use this or refer to this!

Coding:
• 62 Global Reports and
  scientific assessments
•   110 scientific papers with explicit
    mention of SDG interactions

General pattern:
• 2080 interactions positively
  or negatively assessed at
  target level
• 85 % positive interactions
•   14 % negative interactions
Systems thinking: SDG interactions
      by flows across boundaries

                                                                         Yu et al.
                                                                         2013
• Environmental impacts arise in    • Present action is injust and
  both ends of the flows , and in     distorts national strategies for
  different pace                      striving towards sustainable
                                      development
Means and leavers of transformation
Means and levers of transformation

                                     Governance

                                     Economy and finance

                                     Society,
                                     behaviour,
                                     and culture

                                     Science & technology
Governance and social capital as
means of transformation
• Bi-and multilateral and transboundary flow-based
  governance
   • Shared responsibilities: public, business, people

• National governance for effective implementation
  of SDGs
   • Mainstreaming in policy framework, policy coherence,
     leadership

• Local action towards sustainable development
   • Experimentation & local innovation -> evaluation ->

                                                                    #sustainablediets
     policy uptake for dispersion

• Individual capacities in enhancing sustainable
  development
   • Early age education for sd, links to social practices, group
     behaviour
Economy as means of
 transformation

                                                                         @SYKE
Economy is not an aim but an effective tool

Mainstreaming sustainable development to all economic activities

SD teaching into economy studies
Circular economy, Public investments, Incentives for experimentation

Trickle-down theory is a myth (unprecdented concentration of world’s
wealth in the Top 10%)
    Undisputable evidence (IMF, OECD, WB, World Inequality report)
    that reducing intra-country inequality is not simply a question of
    fairness but a prerequisite :
    -      For long-term eradication of poverty
    -      For sustainable economic growth
Business & financing:
            means for transformation

 FINANCING FOR TRANSFORMATION
 ➢ ODA can at the most have a leverage effect
 ➢ There is a massive need for reallocation of both public and private
   investment (sustainable inclusive finance).

Estimated yearly investment need for SDGs implementation (UNDP) = 2500 billions US $

 BUSINESS FOR TRANSFORMATION
 ➢ Business ecosystems taking ownership of sustainable development
 ➢ Business models : sharing economy, circular economy, longevity
 ➢ New concepts of work: social innovations and green jobs
Science & technology: implementation
of SDGs requires sustainability science
SYSTEMS APPROACH, MEANS FOR
ANALYSING:
  • complex causal chains
  • interactions between SDGs
  • path dependencies and alternative
    futures

LEARNING THROUGH RISKS:
   • experimenting and analysing
     experiments

CO-CREATION:                                  Riots in Womey (16/09/2014) – Ebola and
                                              Guinea forest
   • integrating stakeholders in the entire
     lifespan of research
Science & technology:
need for contextualised and balanced
   perspectives on transformation
    to sustainable development

   Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics, June 2018.   7,8 million researchers in 2013
GSDR’s structure
                                              Areas of critical importance needing transformative change
                                                     to achieve social and environmental fairness

                                                               Food     Energy & De-    Land and   Cities   Health and   …
Means and levers of transformation

                                                              system    carbonization    Water              Education
                                                                 s

                                     Governance

                                     Economy and finance

                                     Society,
                                     behaviour,
                                     and culture

                                     Science & technology

                                                            Diverse Pathways to transformation interweaving different means
                                                              and levers according to geographic context and level of scale
Pathways towards sustainable
development: example on food systems
                 Example levers for pathways on food systems:

GOVERNANCE TRANSITION           TECHNOLOGY TRANSITION        BEHAVIOURAL TRANSITION
• Greater transparency within   • Increased use of digital   • Enabling distributors and
  food supply chains through      farming systems and          consumers to reduce
  improved certification          improved access to           food waste
  processes and labels for        information
  sustainable food production
EU from the GSDR2019 view

 The most serious sustainability deficit for European welfare is its
 ecological debt, - caused by consumption and production patterns –
 impacts being externalised to other parts of the world
EU from the GSDR2019 view

EU to showcase ambitious vision and concretism of SDG
implementation for other parts of the world: the UN

•   Institutional coherence and buy in

•   Policy coherence and buy in

•   Countries´coherence and buy in
EU forerunner in emissions trading
systems (ETS)

       Sufficient prce signal and policy coherence essential
European energy policy impacts in global context
                  Renewable energy technology (RET) in focus

•     EU-supported RETs

       •   Complex but balanced effects on SDGs
       •   Benefit on climate-related SDGs
       •   Negative impacts on SDG15 Life on
           Land

•     Complex spillover effects must be
      assessed

    www.EKLIPSE-mechanism.eu
Risk management across the UN SDGs
                                   -
      co-creation between science, policy, finance, insurance and industry

        ”Most risk management choices have costs that will appear as countering other
          goals: dealing with risks is about addressing trade-offs.” said Anders Branth
      Pedersen from PEER partner DCE Aarhus University. This is where the sustainable
      development paradigm comes in handy. It requires that risks are not considered in
                                             isolation.

(www.peer.eu)
WHAT AFTER HORIZON 2020?
DRAFT BUDGET OF 100B€ (+33B€)
N|

                 PATHWAYS &
             TRANSFORMATIONS BY
              INTERLINKING SDGs

CO-CREATED
GLOBAL
GOVERNANCE
OF FLOWS
                            SUSTAINABILITY
                            SCIENCE IN ALL
                            CONTINENTS
Thank you!
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