AHDB Papers United Oilseeds and AHDB Joint Seminar (8 February 2018) - AHDB Cereals & Oilseeds
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United Oilseeds and AHDB Joint Seminar (8 February 2018) AHDB Papers > Making the most of the AHDB Recommended List for Oilseed Rape (OSR) – Jenna Watts, AHDB > Sustainable fungicide programmes for OSR – Faye Ritchie, ADAS > AHDB activity overview, including Monitor Farms and Strategic Farms – Emily Smith, AHDB > BREXIT and the oilseeds sector – Amandeep Kaur Purewal, AHDB cereals.ahdb.org.uk/oilseeds
United Oilseeds and AHDB Joint Seminar Making the most of the AHDB Recommended List for Oilseed Rape (OSR) Jenna Watts, AHDB
Outline • How are varieties recommended? • Recommended List for 2018/19 • Verticillium wilt • RL have your say (discussion)
How are varieties recommended?
Trials
Winter OSR trial locations for harvest 2018
Criteria for selecting a new variety
Criteria for Recommendation
Recommend
UK GO in
Comparator varieties If variety meets minimum standards
ranked order
+2% Automatic selection
Does the variety have a
balance of features that Expect to Recommend
Unless variety has weaknesses compared to
is sufficiently better comparator varieties
than existing varieties
and such that it could GO target
potentially provide a Expect not to Recommend
Variety needs additional strengths and no
more economic return weaknesses
in the market? -2% Recommendation unlikely below here
Expect not to Recommend
Variety needs something special (innovative traits)
OSR Recommended List 2018/19
New single UK list for winter OSR
Winter oilseed rape:
New TuYV resistant variety
New
Architect
UK (TuYV)
UK gross output 102
E/W gross 102
output
N gross output 99
Lodging 8
Stem stiffness 8
Shortness of 6
stem
Earliness of 6
Stevens et. al.(2008), AHDB RR No. 69
maturity
Stevens et. al.(2008), HGCA RR No. 69
Stem canker 5
Light leaf spot 6
Gross output controls: 5.4 t/ha (UK), 5.4 t/ha (E/W), 5.6 t/ha (N)Turnip Yellows Virus (TuYV) • The most important viral disease of oilseed rape in the UK • Can decrease yields by up to 30% • The virus is present throughout the UK but its prevalence is variable from year to year
Spring oilseed rape: new described varieties
New
Lumen Axana Builder Dodger
UK gross [105] [98] 102 102
output
Shortness 7 6 6 6
of stem
Earliness of 7 5 5 5
maturity
Gross output of controls: 3.2 t/haOSR Recommended List 2018/19 Summary • New single UK list for winter OSR • Architect marks a step forward for TuYV resistant varieties • Two new spring OSR varieties on the described list
Verticillium wilt
Verticillium wilt
Verticillium incidence
Defra Survey results
30%
25%
% Crops affected
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Managing verticillium • Monitor crops for disease pre-harvest • If verticillium wilt is established: • Consider variety choice • Be prepared to extend rotations • Do not use seed from crops with verticillium wilt
Importance and management of verticillium wilt in
winter oilseed rape (PR 512)
• Research project led by ADAS,
Warwick Crop Centre and Fera
• Differences between varieties in
tolerance to verticillium wilt identified
• Field results were from a single trial
in a single year
A robust data set is required to
calculate verticillium disease ratings
Research project funded by AHDB and
Farmacy/HutchinsonsEvaluation of resistance levels to verticillium wilt in
UK oilseed rape varieties and relevance to
productivity
• This project aims to evaluate resistance levels to verticillium wilt in UK oilseed
rape varieties and provide a better understanding of its effects on productivity.
The objectives are:
1. To develop a verticillium wilt inoculated trial protocol
2. To work with AHDB to produce a verticillium wilt disease rating
3. To determine yield loss caused by verticillium wilt
Plus in kind support from plant
breedersIndex (1-100)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Variety 1
Variety 2
Variety 3
Variety 4
Variety 5
Variety 6
Variety 7
Variety 8
lsd = 9.74, p=0.05
Variety 9
Variety 10
Variety 11
Variety 12
Variety 13
Variety 14
Variety 15
NIAB results, 8 July
Variety 16
Variety 17
Variety 18
Variety 19
Variety 20
Variety 21
Variety 22
Variety 23
Variety 24
Variety 25
Variety 26
Variety 27
Variety 28
Variety 29
Variety 30
Varietal difference (inoculated site)
Variety 31
Variety 32
Variety 33
Variety 34
Variety 35
Variety 36
Variety 37
Variety 38
Variety 39
Variety 40
Variety 41
Variety 42
Variety 43
Variety 44Index (1-100)
0
10
20
30
50
60
70
90
40
80
Variety 4
Variety 5
Variety 18
Variety 11
Variety 8
Variety 1
Variety 23
lsd 19.89, p=0.05
Variety 30
Variety 20
Variety 17
Variety 14
Variety 7
Variety 28
Variety 15
Variety 10
Variety 6
ADAS results, 12 July
Variety 3
Variety 33
Variety 16
Variety 9
Variety 13
Variety 25
Variety 31
Variety 2
Variety 38
Variety 27
Variety 22
Variety 34
Variety 12
Variety 35
Variety 21
Variety 32
Variety 40
Variety 24
Variety 19
Variety 41
Variety 43
Varietal differences (naturally infected site)
Variety 26
Variety 37
Variety 39
Variety 36
Variety 29
Variety 42
Variety 44Correlation between sites
35
30
NIAB index (1-100)
25
20
15
R2 = 0.56
10
5
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
ADAS index (1-100)Summary of results so far • An inoculated test procedure has been developed which produced verticillium symptoms in a field trial. • The inoculated test resulted in disease levels similar to those recorded in a naturally infected field test. • A field scoring method was developed and used to assess varieties in each test. • There was a significant correlation between disease scores from Recommended List varieties in the inoculated and naturally infected tests, indicating that reproducible differences between varieties exist. • Results show that there is potential to calculate a verticillium disease rating.
RL have your say
RL survey RL survey: cereals.ahdb.org.uk/varieties
Discussion RL have your say
United Oilseeds and AHDB Joint Seminar Sustainable fungicide programmes for oilseed rape Faye Ritchie, ADAS
Sustainable fungicide programmes for winter oilseed rape
•• Content
Review of disease pressure this season
Header
• Developments from the fungicide
• Content
performance trials
• Sclerotinia infection risk tools
• Fungicide programmes:
Managing disease, protecting efficacyReview of disease pressure this season
Phoma leaf spot epidemic:
More severe this season
Arrow = date and percentage of
plants in the OSR crop with
phoma leaf spot
September to November 2017
120
100
80 60%
60
40
20
0
20/09/2017 27/09/2017 04/10/2017 11/10/2017 18/10/2017 25/10/2017 01/11/2017 08/11/2017
ADAS (Norfolk site) Source: DuPont, University of Hertfordshire, HutchinsonsLight leaf spot forecast: Similar risk to last year Source: Light leaf spot forecast cereals.ahdb.org.uk/leafspots (Rothamsted Research and Weather INnovations)
Light leaf spot:
Disease pressure increasing – pressure slightly higher than
same time last year (Yorkshire)
100
2017 unincubated
90
2017 incubated
80 2018 unincubated
Light leaf spot incidence
(% leaf area affected)
70 2018 incubated
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Date
Cumulative scores – completely untreated variety (RL rating 5).
Source: ADASLight leaf spot:
Disease pressure increasing, particularly on susceptible
varieties (Herefordshire)
100
90 RL rating 5 unincubated
80
Light leaf spot incidence
RL rating 5 incubated
(% leaf area affected)
70 RL rating 7 unincubated
60 RL rating 7 incubated
50
40
30
20
10
0
Date
Actual scores – completely untreated varieties.
Source: ADASDevelopments from the OSR fungicide performance trials
Focus on the three major diseases:
Phoma, light leaf spot and sclerotinia
Target Disease Site (Variety) Organisation
Phoma Norfolk ADAS
(Two-spray*)
Herefordshire ADAS
Light Leaf Spot North Yorkshire ADAS
(Two-spray**)
Dorset NIAB
Midlothian SRUC
Sclerotinia Stem Rot Herefordshire ADAS
(single spray***)
Ceredigion ADAS
*10-20% plants affected, followed by 4-10 weeks (when re-infection evident).
** Autumn (November/December) overspray, followed by pre/early stem extension application (February/March).
***early to mid-flowering application.Products included in trials in 2017
Full Dose Light Leaf
Product Active(s) Phoma Sclerotinia
(l/ha) Spot
Untreated - - + + +
Proline 275 prothioconazole 0.63 + + +
Refinzara penthiopyrad + picoxystrobin 1.0 + + -
Pictora dimoxystrobin + boscalid 0.5 + + -
Filan boscalid 0.5 (kg/ha) + - +
Amistar azoxystrobin 1.0 - - +
+ = included in trials; - = not included in trials.
a = used as autumn or two-spray programme to fit experimental protocol (restrictions on label).
Products near to market are tested but data cannot be released until after registration.Phoma leaf spot/stem canker
Stem canker and yield (Norfolk) in 2016:
Severe leaf spot pressure in the autumn but products
performing well
3.6
70
Proline Filan
60 3.4 Pictor Refinzar
50 3.2
Canker index
Yield (t/ha)
40
3.0
30
2.8
20
2.6
10
0 2.4
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Percentage of full label dose Percentage of full label dosePhoma leaf spot/stem canker: summary
Season so far Fungicide efficacy Outlook: 2017/2018
• Early onset of the • Azole and non- • Fungicide
epidemic azole products have programmes up to
activity date
• Thresholds met in
late September/ • Two applications in • May see more stem
early October, in the autumn canker pre-harvest
some areas providing effective in some crops
• Re-infection control
occurred 4 to 6 • No reports of
weeks after first resistance to
sprays fungicidesLight leaf spot
Light leaf spot control across years
(5 trials in 2015 and 2016*)
9 4.0
Proline 275 Orius20EW
Orius
Light leaf spot severity (% leaf area
8
3.9 Pictor Refinzar
7 Orius P
3.8
6
affected)
Yield (t/ha)
3.7
5
3.6
4
3.5
3
2 3.4
1 3.3
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Percentage of full label dose Percentage of full label dose
*Orius P in harvest year 2015 only, all other products in both yearsLight leaf spot:
Lowest levels in the spring in England since 2008
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017
100
90
80
70
60
50 N N
40 O O
30 D D
20 A A
T T
10
A A
0
Percentage of crops affected Percentage of plants affected within crops
www.cropmonitor.co.uk Source: DEFRA winter oilseed rape disease surveysLight leaf spot trials in 2017: Disease control and fungicide application timing (across 3 sites)* *Overspray applied in November 2016 and stem extension treatments applied in early March 2017, typically at GS30 (rosette stage: beginning of stem extension) – variety RL disease ratings 5 and 6.
Significant yield increase from the November fungicide
overspray (across 3 sites)
Pre/at stem extension
sprays reduced stem
and pod disease severity
*Overspray applied in November 2016 and stem extension treatments applied in early March 2017,
typically at GS30 (rosette stage: beginning of stem extension) – variety RL disease ratings 5 and 6Light leaf spot: summary
Season so far Fungicide efficacy Outlook: 2017/2018
• Earlier-sown crops • Both azole and non- • Regional and local
more at risk azole products risk
provide control in
• Lesions reported • Monitor crops now
the trials
on incubated and treat promptly,
samples in • Anti-resistance if seen
November management
• Levels visible in the
strategies important
field increasing –
• Use different modes particularly
of action, where susceptible
possible varietiesSclerotinia stem rot
Sclerotinia risk: Herefordshire in 2017 Yellow line = duration of flowering Red points = Sklero Pro infection events Blue bars = rainfall (mm) Arrow = fungicide application date (14 April)
Sclerotinia:
Disease and yield in Herefordshire in 2017
40 5.0
Proline 275 Amistar Filan
30
4.5
Sclerotinia index
Yield (t/ha)
20
4.0
10
0 3.5
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Percentage of full label dose Percentage of full label dosePerformance of sclerotinia fungicides across 5 sites (2015 to
2017): moderate disease pressure
20 4.0
Proline 275
Amistar
Filan
15 3.8
Pictor
Sclerotinia index
Yield (t/ha)
10 3.5
Proline 275
5 Amistar
3.3
Filan
Pictor
0
3.0
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Percentage of full label dose Percentage of full label dose
Cross-site analysis: 5 sites 2015 to 2017No changes in the efficacy of sclerotinia fungicides for over 10 years:
Data from 2006 to 2008 (high disease pressure: severe test of
persistence)
Higher doses provide
consistently good control
35 4.2
Filan
Folicur
30 4.0
Proline
Amistar
25 3.8
Sclerotinia index (0-100)
Compass
Pictor
Yield (t/ha)
20 Priori Xtra 3.6
15 3.4
10 3.2
5 3.0
0 2.8
0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1
Percentage of full label dose Percentage of full label dose
Cross-site analysis: 6 sites 2006 to 2008Sclerotinia stem rot: summary
Season so far Fungicide efficacy Outlook: 2017/2018
• Infection risk • Higher doses • Data available on
dependent on provide 3 weeks efficacy of other
weather during protection products from
flowering previous projects
• Range of active
• Previous history on ingredients • Fungicides
farm can increase available protectant activity
risk only
• No resistance to
sclerotinia • Application timing
fungicides reported important for good
in UK controlSclerotinia infection risk tools
Sclerotinia
monitoring
Petal Petal stick
colonisation
Ascospore Environmental
release and crop
factors
Secondary
Host infection
spread
Depots Sclerotia
germination
Sclerotia
overwinter
Soil Sclerotia
inoculum formationSclerotinia germination and petal testing (March onwards)
Boxworth, Cambridge Deal, Kent
Malton, N. Yorkshire Rosemaund, Hereford.
Terrington, Norfolk Starcross, Devon
Lothian, Scotland
50
Sclerotia germination (%)
40
30
20
10
0
17-Mar24-Mar31-Mar 07-Apr 14-Apr 21-Apr 28-Apr05-May12-May19-May26-May
2016, week beginning
Source: BASF and ADAS basfrealresults.co.uk/assessing-the-threat-of-sclerotinia-3/AHDB Sclerotinia monitoring:
Weather risk forecast reports
• Forecast weather reports at 15 sites
Spore trap during flowering on AHDB website
Fungicide timing trial
BASF sclerotial germination
AHDB monitor farm
• Locations changed from last year
• SkleroPro infection event criteria –
local risk assessment (>7˚C and 80%
RH >23 hours)
cereals.ahdb.org.uk/sclerotiniaSclerotinia weather-based risk report
Fungicide programmes: Managing disease, protecting efficacy
Decreased sensitivity to azoles reported for Pyrenopeziza
brassicae, which causes light leaf spot, in the UK
• Reports of reduced sensitivity to azoles in
laboratory tests for light leaf spot in the UK
• Equivalent mutations to those conferring
resistance to azoles in Z. tritici (+ novel
mutations)
• Not seeing dramatic changes in efficacy of
azoles in AHDB fungicide performance trials
– still effective
• Determine distribution of such strains and
how to manage resistance development
Carter et al., 2014 (Molecular Plant Pathology 15: 513-322)Maximising the effective life of fungicides for the control of
oilseed rape diseases through improved resistance
management
• Determine the risk of fungicide resistance affecting fungicides used to
control oilseed rape diseases (funded by AHDB)
• Test which resistance management strategies are most effective at
slowing fungicide resistance selection in P. brassicae (funded by AHDB)
• Conduct an economic analysis of fungicide anti-resistance management
strategies for the industry (funded through industry contributions)
AHDB Project. January 2017 – June 2021.
Project partners: ADAS, AHDB, Rothamsted Research, Syngenta, BASF, Bayer CropScience, DuPont, ADAMAFRAG guidelines:
Fungicide resistance management strategies
• Bury crop residues
• Use disease resistant varieties
• Target fungicides – timing and dose
• Avoid repeated use of same mode of action
• Light leaf spot: may be present but not the main target –
consider alternative modes of action
cereals.ahdb.org.uk/fragResistance management strategies:
Use different modes of action, tank mix, co-formulations –
take a whole-programme approach
Azoles, SDHI (tank mix), Azoles and azole co- Azoles, SDHI (tank mix), QoI,
non-azole* and azole formulations, non-azole co- non-azole co-formulations
co-formulations formulations (SDHI/QoI), (SDHI/QoI), azole co-
specific growth regulator formulations, MBC*
Phoma leaf spot Sclerotinia
Light leaf spot
Autumn February March April/MaySustainable fungicide programmes for oilseed rape: Summary • Light leaf spot starting to increase – monitoring crops and treating promptly important for good control • Strains with decreased sensitivity to azoles (light leaf spot) have been found • Weather-based risk reports will be available from AHDB to guide sclerotinia decisions • No changes in the performance of fungicides against sclerotinia over 10 years • Consider resistance management strategies across the entire fungicide programme
United Oilseeds and AHDB Joint Seminar AHDB activity overview, including Monitor Farms and Strategic Farms Emily Smith, AHDB
Farm Excellence Platform
Harnessing the proven benefits of “farmer to farmer” learning
• Development of • Accelerated uptake
business leaders of technical tools
who inspire linked to increased
improvements for productivity
the whole industry
Monitor Strategic
Farms Farms
Arable
Technical
Business
Events
Groups
• Increased numbers • Targeted
benchmarking and improvement in key
using it to drive areas of technical
business importance
improvementCereals & Oilseeds
Knowledge Judith Stafford
Exchange Team Knowledge Exchange
Manager – North and
Gavin Dick Northern Ireland
Knowledge Exchange
Manager – Scotland
Tim Isaac Emily Smith
Head of Knowledge Knowledge Transfer Harry Henderson
Exchange Manager Knowledge Exchange
Manager – East Midlands
Richard Meredith
Knowledge Exchange
Manager – West and Wales
Teresa Meadows
Knowledge Exchange
Manager – East Anglia
Louise Petrakas
Fiona Geary
Knowledge Exchange
Knowledge Transfer
Coordinator
Officer
Philip Dolbear
Knowledge Exchange Paul Hill
Manager – South West Knowledge Exchange
Manager – South EastCereals & Oilseeds Monitor Farms (2014 to 2018) Phase 1: April 2014 – March 2017 Phase 2: Oct 2014 – Sep 2017 Phase 3: April 2015 – March 2018 Phase 4: April 2017 – March 2020 Scotland: 2016 – 2020 Phase 5: currently recruiting
Monitor Farm Steering Group
Facilitator,
AHDB KE
Farm Manager
Monitor Farmer
Local farmer 1 agronomist
Local farmer 2Arable Business Group Facilitator,
AHDB KE
Monitor Farmer Manager
Local farmer 1
Local farmer 2Monitor Farm Group “farmer led, farmer driven”
Meeting topics
Experts Expert
Monitor Farm try-outs
Taking advantage of collective knowledge • DK Imperial • Drilled 25 August 2016 • Yield: 5t/ha • 22nd overall in competition • 38% of estimated crop potential • Scope to increase the amount of light and water captured
Cereals & Oilseeds Strategic Farm East Strategic Farms are based on commercial farms to bridge the gap between research trials and practical application • Six-year programme • Farmer-to-farmer learning • Accelerate the uptake of knowledge • Explore best practice • Economic analysis of each demonstration
Research projects to watch Clubroot • Clubroot resistant varieties need to be used strategically so resistant strains build up as slowly as possible in affected fields • Developing targeted management methods for clubroot through pathotyping and field mapping to establish the impact and spread of the disease in oilseed rape Rhizoctonia • Initial results indicate genetic differences in resistance to Rhizoctonia solani in Brassica species • Establishment loss can be recovered by an effective seed treatment • Integrating control strategies against soil-borne Rhizoctonia solani in UK Oilseed rape (ICAROS)
Research projects to watch Light leaf spot (LLS) • Differences in LLS development on varieties across different locations and seasons, suggesting difference in fungal populations across UK • Large populations of spores are produced from May onwards and continue throughout summer, which is earlier than previously reported • Investigating components of oilseed rape light leaf spot epidemic • Identifying resistance genes in commercial OSR cultivars and exploit those which exhibit good resistance to LLS • Exploitation of resistance genes from oilseed rape for control of light leaf spot (PhD)
Research projects to watch Forecasts • Provision of oilseed rape decision support systems to the UK arable industry • Forecasts produced each autumn for light leaf spot and phoma stem canker
Putting it into practice
1. Use an integrated approach
2. Increase awareness of soil health
3. Increase awareness of soil chemical
properties
4. Increase awareness of field
variationsGet involved cereals.ahdb.org.uk/monitorfarms cereals.ahdb.org.uk/strategic-farms #monitorfarm #strategicfarm
United Oilseeds and AHDB Joint Seminar Brexit & the Oilseeds sector Amandeep Kaur Purewal Senior Analyst, AHDB Market Intelligence
Outline
• Potential impact of Brexit on UK
rapeseed
• Future direction of EU/UK biodiesel
production & implicationsBrexit effect Opportunities & Challenges
Tariff scene setting
Import price after tariff
Import price
Export price
Export price after tariffTariff scene setting
Commodity Tariff*, €/t
Soft wheat (low, medium quality) 95 (12 if in quota)
Barley 93 (8 - 16 if in quota)
Oats 89
Oilseed rape 0
Source: AHDB Horizon: What might Brexit mean for UK trade in Cereals and Oilseeds
*outside Tariff Rate Quota system or once quota limit is exhaustedIf tariffs are in place…
For crops we typically import,
expect gross margin to increase For crops we typically
as domestic price will be higher export, expect gross margin
850 to decrease as domestic
prices will be lower
750
So, could see tariffs impact
Gross Margin (£/Ha)
650 the UK cropping mix
550
450
350
250
First Second Bread Grp 3 Winter Winter Winter Winter Feed spring Spring Spring Spring Spring Spring
winter winter milling soft feed malting milling OSR winter wheat feed malting beans oats OSR
feed feed wheat wheat barley barley oats beans barley barley
wheat wheat
Source: AHDBTariff scene setting
Commodity Tariff
Rapeseed , low erucic acid (excluding seed for sowing) None
Rapeseed, high erucic acid None
Soyabeans (excluding seed for sowing) None
Crude rapeseed oil (excluding for technical/industrial uses) 6.4%
Rapeseed oil, low erucic acid (excluding crude or for technical/industrial 9.6%
uses)
Soyabean oil (excluding crude or for technical/industrial uses) 9.6%
Crude palm oil (excluding for technical/industrial uses) 3.8%
Sunflowerseed oil (excluding crude or for technical/industrial uses) 9.6%
Source: Eurostat TARIC databaseUK rapeseed oil exports compared with rapeseed
exports
Rapeseed exports Rapeseed oil exports
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
Kt
600
400
200
0
Source: HMRCPossible implications of tariffs on UK rapeseed oil
• UK is net exporter of rapeseed oil
• If a tariff was placed on exports:
UK rapeseed oil This in turn
price would Lower oil price would lower the
have to move would incentive to
lower in order negatively crush rapeseed
to stay impact UK crush and so impact
competitive for margin demand and
export price
However, tariffs could also be placed on vegetable oil imports…UK veg oil imports – substitutability?
Palm oil Soybean oil Sunflower oil Other
900
800
700
600
500
Kt
400
300
200
100
0
Source: HMRCPotential tariffs on soyameal imports suggest the UK
needs to improve its self-sufficiency in protein feed
• UK is net importer of rapemeal UK oilmeal prices
Rapemeal (34%) Ex-mill Erith
• No tariff on rapemeal Soyameal, Brazilian (48%) Ex-store Liverpool
• Tariff on soyameal: 4.5% 400
350
• GB animal feed demand (5-year 300
average):
£/t
250
Rapeseed meal and cake – 688Kt 200
Soyabean meal and cake – 1,104Kt 150
100
• Incentive to reduce reliance
Jul-16
Nov-16
Jul-17
Nov-17
Jan-16
Mar-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
May-16
Sep-16
Mar-17
May-17
Sep-17
on soyameal imports
Source: AHDBUK and EU soyabean/soyameal imports
UK imports EU imports
Soyabeans Soyameal Soyabeans Soyameal
3.5 40
3.0 35
2.5 30
Million tonnes
Million tonnes
2.0 25
20
1.5
15
1.0
10
0.5
5
0.0
0
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18*
*Forecast
Source: HMRC Source: EU CommissionBiofuels Implications for rapeseed oil demand
Over 60% of EU rapeseed oil demand is for
biodiesel production
Feedstock used in EU biodiesel production
Soya oil Rapeseed oil Palm oil Tallow Used Cooking Oil Rapeseed oil share
14 70%
12 60%
10 50%
Million tonnes
8 40%
6 30%
4 20%
2 10%
0 0%
Source: Oil World (www.oilworld.biz)
* ForecastThreat to EU rapeseed oil demand as anti-dumping
duties on Argentine biodiesel imports reduced
Argentine biodiesel exports to the EU and USA
EU USA
250
200
150
Kt
100
50
0
Source: Argentine Ministry of EnergyJourney through EU biofuel policy…
2009 – First RED 2015 – Amendment 2016 – Clean
10% of energy used in Proportion of food- Energy Package
transport to come from based biofuels that can • No overall
renewable sources by contribute to 10% renewable energy
2020 target capped at 7% target in transport
proposed.
Jan 2018 – RED II • Proposal for
reducing cap on
(European Parliament)
food-based
• 12% of energy used
biofuels from 7%
in transport to come
to 3.8% by 2030
from renewable Dec 2017 – RED II
sources by 2030. (Member state level)
• Cap for food based • 14% of energy used
biofuels to remain at in transport to come
7%. Member state from renewable
shares must not sources by 2030.
exceed 2017 levels. • Cap for food based
• Ban palm oil in biofuels to remain at * If a member state’s share of food-
biofuels from 2021 based biofuels is less than 7%, it
7%*. qualifies for a lower overall targetUK biofuels policy • Increase the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation target to 9.75% in 2020 • Target from 2020 – 2032 to gradually increase from 9.75% to 12.4% • Development fuels sub-target to gradually increase from 0.15% in 2020 to 2.8% in 2032 • Cap on crop based biofuels to steadily decline from 4% in 2020 to 2% in 2032
Used Cooking Oil is main raw material for UK
biodiesel production
Consumption of biodiesel in UK road transport fuel*
OSR Palm oil Soya oil Used cooking oil Other
1000
900
800
700
Million litres
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17*
Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation Year
*Includes imported biodiesel
RTFO reporting year runs from April – April Source : Department for TransportKey Points • If a tariff system for trade is in place after Brexit, rapeseed will not be affected directly as there is no tariff on oilseeds • However, there could be indirect consequences • The need to reduce soyameal imports is already on the radar, but could be accelerated by Brexit • EU biofuel policy could arguably have a larger effect on UK rapeseed than Brexit
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