Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com

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Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com
Auckland Council Investor Update

                                  Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer
                                         John Bishop, Group Treasurer

                                                   March 2020

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Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com
Important disclaimer
            The information in this presentation has been prepared by Auckland Council for general information purposes only. By listening
            to or reading this presentation, you acknowledge and agree to the contents of this disclaimer.
            Auckland Council makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, adequacy, reliability, completeness or currency of any
            statements, estimates or opinions or other information contained in this presentation. This presentation has been prepared in
            good faith but has not been independently verified. Certain information and data contained in this presentation was derived by
            Auckland Council from other sources.
            This presentation may contain forward-looking information including estimates, forecasts and projections. This forward-looking
            information speaks only as of the date of this presentation and is based on assumptions which may or may not prove to be
            correct. No express or implied representations or warranties are, or will be, made by Auckland Council or any other person as to
            the accuracy or completeness of this forward-looking information or the reasonableness of any assumptions that underpin it.
            The forward-looking information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause actual
            results, performance or achievements to differ materially from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or
            implied by this forward-looking information. Any opinions expressed in this presentation reflect the judgement of Auckland
            Council as the date hereof, and do not bind Auckland Council.
            This presentation does not, and is not intended to, constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation by Auckland Council to any
            person to subscribe for, purchase or otherwise deal in any financial products. Any person considering investing in a financial
            product offered by Auckland Council must refer to the relevant offer document that has been expressly issued by Auckland
            Council for that purpose and the disclosures provided expressly in connection with those financial products and should take their
            own independent financial and legal advice on their proposed investment.
            This presentation is proprietary to Auckland Council and may not be copied, distributed, disclosed or used without Auckland
            Council's express written consent.

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Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com
Contents

             Overview and Current Issues                 4

             Group Financial Highlights                  7

             Funding Approach and Debt Market Activity   14

             Appendix                                    20

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Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com
Overview and Current Issues

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Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com
Auckland – Overview

                                            38%                                                                                        1.64m
                                            of New Zealand’s GDP                                                                      Auckland population

                                                                                                       Auckland

                                          200+                                                                                                 33%
                                                                                                                                            of New Zealand’s
                                          Ethnicities in Auckland                                                                                population
                                          and 44% of the
                                          workforce born overseas

                                                                                                                                                        4
                                          3rd=                                                                                         Out of every 10 New
                                                                                                                                      Zealanders will live in
                                          Most liveable city                                                                             Auckland by 2048
                                          globally*

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Classification:Source: Stats NZ as at 30 June 2019, Auckland Council June 2019. * Mercer 2019 Global Quality of Living City Ranking
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Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com
Current Issues

               • Capital delivery $1.3 billion at half-year (full year budget $2.7b) – up 35% on
                 previous year.
               • Reduced transport capital subsidies from Central Government as we work
                 with them on accessing agreed funding levels.
               • Reduced development contributions revenue – down 31% on previous year
                 due to policy change (likely to be $100m less than budget for full year).
               • Debt to revenue ratio within budget projection – 253%.
               • Central Government infrastructure spend.
               • Central Government election.
               • America’s Cup and APEC.
               • CRL.
               • Management changes.

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Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com
Group Financial Highlights

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Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com
Group Financial Highlights (31 December 2019*)

                    Strong          Large
                                               Asset Base    Increased
                  Operational    Investment
                                                Growth        Net Debt
                   Cashflows     Programme

                  $746m           $1.3b       $54.7b         $9.2b

             Operating             Capital    Total assets   Net debt
          cashflows before       investment
          gains and losses

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            *Unaudited results
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Auckland Council Investor Update - Matthew Walker, Group Chief Financial Officer John Bishop, Group Treasurer - SGX.com
Revenue and Expenditure

            NZ$ millions
                                                                      Forecast
                  8,000

                  7,000

                  6,000

                  5,000

                  4,000

                  3,000

                  2,000

                  1,000

                       -
                            2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020   2021   2022     2023   2024   2025      2026   2027   2028

                                                                Year ending 30 June
                                          Rates revenue         Services and other revenue          Total expenses

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Capital Investment

            NZ$ millions
                                                                           Forecast
                   3,500                                                                                                                    16,000

                   3,000
                                                                                                                                            14,000
                   2,500

                                                                                                                                            12,000
                   2,000

                   1,500
                                                                                                                                            10,000

                   1,000
                                                                                                                                            8,000
                      500

                            -                                                                                                               6,000
                                2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   2019    2020   2021   2022   2023   2024   2025     2026   2027   2028
                                                                          Year ending 30 June
                                  Other Council assets         Water infrastructure         Transport infrastructure           Net Debt

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Capital Funding Source
             NZ$ millions
                                                                               Forecast
                   3,000

                   2,500

                   2,000

                   1,500

                   1,000

                      500

                            -
                                2014    2015    2016    2017    2018    2019    2020      2021   2022   2023   2024    2025   2026     2027   2028

                                                                         Year ending 30 June
                            Operating surplus   Capital grants and subsidies   Change in net debt   Development contribution revenue   Asset sales

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Net Debt to Assets
            NZ$ billions
                                                                          Forecast
                    90                                                                                                                          20%

                    80                                                                                                                          18%

                    70                                                                                                                          16%

                                                                                                                                                14%
                    60
                                                                                                                                                12%
                    50
                                                                                                                                                10%
                    40
                                                                                                                                                8%
                    30
                                                                                                                                                6%
                    20                                                                                                                          4%
                    10                                                                                                                          2%

                      -                                                                                                                         0%
                            2014   2015   2016    2017    2018   2019     2020   2021   2022      2023    2024   2025    2026    2027    2028

                                                                        Year ending 30 June

                             Total assets - net of cash (LHS)       Net debt (LHS)             Net debt/total assets - net of cash % (RHS)

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Gross Debt to Revenue Ratio

                                                                      Forecast
             270%

             260%

             250%

             240%

             230%

             220%

             210%

             200%
                            2014   2015   2016   2017   2018   2019   2020      2021    2022    2023   2024    2025        2026   2027   2028

                                                               Year ending 30 June

                                           Gross debt/total revenue          Internal ceiling      Internal policy limit

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Funding Approach and
            Debt Market Activity

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Funding Diversity (as at 31 Dec 2019)
            • Gross debt of NZ$9.4 billion
                                                   Auckland Council Group funding mix
            • Multiple offshore issues
                                                                               Retail bonds
              (EUR, AUD, CHF and NOK)                     2%

                                                         4%    9%    4%
                                                                               Green retail
            • Weighted average term of 5.4 years                               bonds
                                                                    7%         Wholesale bonds

            • Funding via LGFA* = 25% of their
                                                                               LGFA
              lending (capped at 40%)
                                                   48%
                                                                    26%        Offshore bonds
            • Backed by NZ$1.3 billion
                                                                               Bank facilities
              standby facility
                                                                               Commercial
            • Green bond issuance                                              paper

             * Local Government Funding Agency

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Long-term Debt Maturity Profile (as at 31 Dec 2019)

            NZ$ millions

                 1,600

                 1,400

                 1,200

                 1,000

                    800

                    600

                    400

                    200

                     00
                            2020   2021   2022   2023   2024     2025   2026   2027   2028   2029   2030   2032   2033   2034

                                                               Year ending 30 June

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Credit Ratings
            • Rating target AA/Aa2 is a core treasury policy
            • S&P Global Ratings: Local government rating methodology review

                                S&P Global Ratings                       Moody’s
                                AA (Stable Outlook)               Aa2 (Stable Outlook)
                            reaffirmed September 2019             reaffirmed April 2019
                   “Supporting our ratings on Auckland         “The stable outlook reflects the
                  are New Zealand’s institutional settings        Crown's well-established
                       and the council's experienced          institutional framework for local
                   management team that has delivered            governments, as well as the
                  the city's large infrastructure program     Council's healthy gross operating
                       to support Auckland's strong          balance and robust local economy.”
                            population growth.”

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Annual Debt Requirement Forecast (as at Dec 2019)

            NZ$ millions

                    2,000

                    1,500

                    1,000

                       500

                            -
                                2020   2021   2022     2023        2024         2025   2026   2027   2028

                                                     Year ending 30 June

                                                     Refinancing     New debt

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Projected Debt Forecast

            NZ$ millions

                       14,000

                       13,000

                       12,000

                       11,000

                       10,000

                            9,000

                            8,000
                                    2020   2021   2022     2023         2024   2025   2026   2027   2028

                                                         Year ending 30 June

                                                                  Gross debt

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Appendix

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Comprehensive Revenue and Expenditure
            31 December 2019
                                                                     Six months to   Six months to     Year to       Year to
               For the period (NZ$m)
                                                                     31 Dec 2019*     31 Dec 2018    30 Jun 2019   30 Jun 2018

               Rates revenue                                            1,871**        1,778*          1,790         1,707

               Services and other revenues                               1,623          1,483          3,089         2,836

               Total revenue                                             3,494          3,261          4,879         4,543

               Operating expenses                                        1,928          1,809          3,610         3,412

               Finance costs                                              217            238            478           472

               Total expenses                                            2,145          2,047          4,088         3,884

               Operating surplus before gains and losses                 1,349          1,214           791           659

               Surplus after adjustments                                 1,316          1,039           175           660

              * Unaudited results
              ** Note full year rates revenue recognised in interim results

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Financial Position – 31 December 2019

               As at (NZ$m)               31 Dec 2019*   31 Dec 2018   30 Jun 2019   30 Jun 2018

               Cash                          173            280          294           618

               Total assets                54,692        52,405        52,873        51,462

               Borrowings                   9,378         8,564         8,958         8,832

               Total liabilities           14,321        12,564        13,831        12,660

               Net assets                  40,371        39,841        39,042        38,802

               Net debt to total assets    16.8%          15.8%         16.4%         16.0%

               * Unaudited results

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Cash Flow – 31 December 2019

                                       Six months to   Six months to     Year to       Year to
               For the period (NZ$m)
                                       31 Dec 2019*     31 Dec 2018    30 Jun 2019   30 Jun 2018

               Operating cash flow        746             707           1,248         1,101

               Investing cash flow      (1,370)          (803)         (1,713)       (1,134)

               Funding cash flow          497            (235)           146           312

               * Unaudited results

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Contact Details
            Group Chief Financial Officer
            Matthew Walker
            Tel: + 64 9 977 6761
            email: matthew.walker@aucklandcouncil.govt.nz

            Treasurer
            John Bishop
            Tel: + 64 9 977 6598
            email: john.bishop@aucklandcouncil.govt.nz

            Funding Manager
            Andrew John
            Tel: + 64 9 977 6592
            email: andrew.john@aucklandcouncil.govt.nz

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