CANADA CAP RATE REPORT - Research & Forecast Report - Colliers International

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CANADA CAP RATE REPORT - Research & Forecast Report - Colliers International
Research &
Forecast Report

CANADA
CAP RATE REPORT
Third Quarter 2019
CANADA CAP RATE REPORT - Research & Forecast Report - Colliers International
TORONTO
                                                                                                                                       TIM LOCH
Q3 2019 CAP RATES                                                                                                                      Senior Director, Greater Toronto
                                                                                                                                       Area
    DOWNTOWN OFFICE                                                                                                                    +1 416 816 7413
                  A                                   B                                     TREND

       LOW                HIGH            LOW                 HIGH                 A                         B

      3.75%              4.75%           4.50%               5.50%
                                                                                                                      WHAT'S TRENDING
                                                                                                          

    SUBURBAN OFFICE                                                                                                   The overall trends witnessed throughout the GTA
                                                                                                                      investment market in the first half of the year have
                 A                                    B                                     TREND                     persisted into the third quarter of 2019. Generally,
                                                                                                                      well leased and well located assets are highly sought
       LOW                HIGH            LOW                 HIGH                 A                         B
                                                                                                                      after by potential investors, however fewer offerings
      5.75%              6.75%           6.75%               7.75%                                                are coming to market as current owners are holding
                                                                                                                      these types of properties while rents escalate. This
                                                                                                                      has lowered overall sales volumes in three of the
    INDUSTRIAL                                                                                                        four major asset classes on a year over year basis
                                                                                                                      during the quarter, with multi-family apartments
            SINGLE-TENANT A                        MULTI-TENANT B                                   TREND             being the exception. As a result, some investors
        LOW                 HIGH                LOW                  HIGH                       A                B
                                                                                                                      in the GTA have turned to assets that would have
                                                                                                                      previously been outside of their investment criteria
      4.00%               5.00%             4.75%                  5.75%                                          in order to deploy capital and potentially find better
                                                                                                                      returns. Those trophy assets that do come to market
                                                                                                                      are generally highly sought after and are trading at
    RETAIL                                                                                                            or near record highs.
     REGIONAL / POWER               COMMUNITY                    STRIP MALL                          TREND            One of the larger transactions for the quarter
     LOW          HIGH            LOW       HIGH             LOW            HIGH            R          C         S
                                                                                                                      was the portfolio sale of twelve apartment
                                                                                                                      buildings by Akelius. The total transaction
    4.25%        5.00%           5.25%     6.00%           4.75%        5.75%                       p          p    consisted of 628 units and was purchased by
                                                                                                                      Starlight for $176.8 million or just over $280,000
                                                                                                                      per unit. Starlight has been one of the most active
    MULTIFAMILY                                                                                                       investors in the province among all assets
                                                                                                                      classes,     completing     multiple    transactions
              HIGH-RISE                           LOW-RISE                                  TREND
                                                                                                                      throughout the year at an estimated total value
       LOW                HIGH            LOW                HIGH                  H                         L        of roughly $635 million.
      3.50%              4.50%           3.00%               4.00%                                        

    HOTEL
    URBAN FULL SERVICE           SELECT SERVICE            LIMITED SERVICE                          TREND

     LOW         HIGH            LOW       HIGH            LOW         HIGH             U             S          L

    4.50%       5.50%         5.50%       6.75%           7.00%       8.00%                                  

1          Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
CANADA CAP RATE REPORT - Research & Forecast Report - Colliers International
MONTREAL
                                                                                                                                             MICHEL COLGAN
Q3 2019 CAP RATES                                                                                                                            Managing Director, Montreal
                                                                                                                                             +1 514 764 8192
DOWNTOWN OFFICE                                                                                                                              michel.colgan@colliers.com
                  A                                    B                                     TREND

       LOW                HIGH             LOW                HIGH                 A                          B         2285 Saint-Mathieu for $34,750,000 or $250,000/unit; Le
      5.00%               5.75%           5.75%               6.25%                                                    WHAT'S TRENDING
                                                                                                                        2050 Claremont a Multi-Residential Property of 33 units
                                                                                                                        for $7,725,000 ($234,091/unit); and the 5050 Roslyn, 34
                                                                                                                           Optimismbuilding
                                                                                                                        residential   is still the
                                                                                                                                                for trend for the or
                                                                                                                                                     $7,300,000   Montréal Real per unit.
                                                                                                                                                                     $214,706
SUBURBAN OFFICE                                                                                                            Estate Market in 2019, and specifically i n t he
                                                                                                                           Industrial and Multi-Residential Market.
                 A                                     B                                     TREND

       LOW                HIGH             LOW                HIGH                 A                          B
                                                                                                                           There has been lots of recent activity within the
                                                                                                                           Montreal industrial market on both the leasing
      6.75%               7.75%           7.25%               8.25%                                                    and transaction side with two large portfolios
                                                                                                                           coming to market during the quarter. Two of
                                                                                                                           the larger transactions for the quarter include
INDUSTRIAL                                                                                                                 6000 Autoroute Transcanadienne which traded
                                                                                                                           for   $25,500,000     ($130/SF), and 7300
           SINGLE-TENANT A                          MULTI-TENANT B                                   TREND
                                                                                                                           Transcanada Highway which sold at a price of
        LOW                 HIGH                 LOW                 HIGH                        A                  B      $14,600,000 ($149/SF).
       5.25%               5.75%             5.75%                  6.50%                                              The multi-residential market is still very
                                                                                                                           active as well, with many transactions closing
                                                                                                                           in the quarter. Recent major transactions
RETAIL                                                                                                                     include 1575 Summerhill in Ville-Marie Borough
                                                                                                                           at a price of $22,325,000 ($360,000/unit) and
     REGIONAL / POWER                COMMUNITY                    STRIP MALL                          TREND
                                                                                                                           Bourret Street Portfolio (7 buildings) in Côte-
     LOW          HIGH            LOW        HIGH             LOW           HIGH            R             C        S       des-Neiges/Notre-Dame-de Grace Borough which
                                                                                                                           was purchased for $55,060,000 or $170,000 per
    4.75%        6.50%           6.50%      7.25%           6.00%        7.00%                                       unit.
                                                                                                                           The office market remains stable with some
MULTIFAMILY                                                                                                                recent transactions: 600 and 700 de la
                                                                                                                           Gauchetière West for $187,000,000 ($245/SF)
              HIGH-RISE                            LOW-RISE                                  TREND
                                                                                                                           and $322,500,000 ($345/SF),       and   the
       LOW                HIGH             LOW                HIGH                 H                          L            6650-6666 St-Urbain for $153,000,000 or
                                                                                                                           $417/SF.
      3.00%              4.50%            4.75%               5.75%                                         
                                                                                                                           Lastly, the retail market was relatively quiet
                                                                                                                           during the quarter and still continues
HOTEL                                                                                                                      restructuring as new stores open and others
                                                                                                                           close. No major recent transactions occurred
    URBAN FULL SERVICE            SELECT SERVICE            LIMITED SERVICE                          TREND
                                                                                                                           during the quarter.
     LOW         HIGH             LOW       HIGH            LOW         HIGH            U             S            L

    6.00%       8.00%        7.25%         8.50%           8.50%       9.75%                                   

2          Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
CANADA CAP RATE REPORT - Research & Forecast Report - Colliers International
CALGARY
                                                                                                                                        MARK BERESTIANSKY
Q3 2019 CAP RATES                                                                                                                       Managing Director, Calgary
                                                                                                                                        +1 403 298 0419
DOWNTOWN OFFICE                                                                                                                         mark.berestiansky@colliers.com
                  A                                    B                                    TREND

       LOW                HIGH             LOW                HIGH                 A                         B

      6.00%               6.75%           7.00%               8.50%
                                                                                                                      WHAT'S TRENDING
                                                                                                          

SUBURBAN OFFICE                                                                                                       Investor sentiment toward Calgary remains cautious
                                                                                                                      as the Oil & Gas sector continues to experience
                 A                                     B                                    TREND                     subdued commodity pricing and political pressure.
       LOW                HIGH             LOW                HIGH                 A                         B
                                                                                                                      Capitalization rates have remained stable this quarter
      6.25%              6.75%            7.00%               8.25%                                               across the broader real estate market. Healthy
                                                                                                                      population growth in the City has contributed to a
                                                                                                                      strengthening Multi-Family segment with a decrease
INDUSTRIAL                                                                                                            in overall vacancy throughout 2019. Demand for
                                                                                                                      Industrial assets also remains strong particularly
            SINGLE-TENANT A                         MULTI-TENANT B                                  TREND             for assets in the distribution and logistics space.
        LOW                 HIGH                 LOW                 HIGH                       A                B

       5.25%               6.00%             5.50%                  6.75%                                      

RETAIL
     REGIONAL / POWER                COMMUNITY                    STRIP MALL                         TREND

     LOW          HIGH            LOW        HIGH             LOW           HIGH            R          C         S

    5.25%        6.00%           5.25%      6.00%           5.50%        6.50%                               

MULTIFAMILY
              HIGH-RISE                            LOW-RISE                                 TREND

       LOW                HIGH             LOW                HIGH                 H                         L

      4.00%              4.75%            4.25%               5.25%                                       

HOTEL
    URBAN FULL SERVICE            SELECT SERVICE            LIMITED SERVICE                         TREND

     LOW         HIGH            LOW        HIGH            LOW         HIGH            U             S          L

    7.25%       9.25%         7.75%        9.25%           8.50%      10.50%                                 

3          Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
CANADA CAP RATE REPORT - Research & Forecast Report - Colliers International
VANCOUVER
                                                                                                                                       JAMES GLEN
Q3 2019 CAP RATES                                                                                                                      Vice President, Vancouver
                                                                                                                                       +1 604 681 4111
DOWNTOWN OFFICE                                                                                                                        james.glen@colliers.com
                  A                                   B                                     TREND

       LOW                HIGH            LOW                 HIGH                 A                         B

      3.50%              4.50%           3.50%               4.50%
                                                                                                                      WHAT'S TRENDING
                                                                                                          

SUBURBAN OFFICE                                                                                                       Industrial and apartment assets have seen the
                                                                                                                      majority of large transaction size over the last few
                 A                                    B                                     TREND                     months.
       LOW                HIGH            LOW                 HIGH                 A                         B
                                                                                                                      Fama Business Park in Surrey sold for just over $66
      4.75%              5.75%           5.25%               6.50%                                                million and a cap rate in the sub-4 range. 16060
                                                                                                                      Blundell Road, a 247,000+ sf warehouse facility
                                                                                                                      in east Richmond also traded. Below market rents
INDUSTRIAL                                                                                                            continue to compress cap rates on most deals.
            SINGLE-TENANT A                        MULTI-TENANT B                                   TREND             On the multi-family side, Montecito Towers in
                                                                                                                      Burnaby sold at $90 million, with a cap rate in the
        LOW                 HIGH                LOW                  HIGH                       A                B
                                                                                                                      high two/low three percent range. Surrey Gardens
       3.25%               4.75%            3.50%                  5.00%                                          in north-west Surrey, sold for $43.5 million,
                                                                                                                      or approximately $195,000 per door. Fusion, a
                                                                                                                      new, purpose built rental building in Surrey City
RETAIL                                                                                                                Centre, was acquired for $56.0 million, or
                                                                                                                      approximately $383,500 per door to Centurion
     REGIONAL / POWER               COMMUNITY                    STRIP MALL                          TREND            Apartment REIT.
     LOW          HIGH            LOW       HIGH             LOW            HIGH            R          C         S
                                                                                                                      Office and retail sales activity has been quiet for
    3.75%        5.50%           4.00%     5.75%           4.00%        5.50%                                   larger deals, but smaller deals continue to happen –
                                                                                                                      Boucher Centre in New Westminster traded for
                                                                                                                      $15.05 million and a 5% cap rate. ML Plaza in
MULTIFAMILY                                                                                                           Abbotsford sold for $15.0 million and a 4.6% cap
                                                                                                                      rate.
              HIGH-RISE                           LOW-RISE                                  TREND

       LOW                HIGH            LOW                HIGH                  H                         L

      2.50%              3.25%           2.75%               4.00%                                        

HOTEL
    URBAN FULL SERVICE           SELECT SERVICE            LIMITED SERVICE                          TREND

     LOW         HIGH            LOW       HIGH            LOW         HIGH             U             S          L

    4.00%       5.00%         5.50%       6.75%           6.50%       8.00%             q            q           

4          Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
CANADA CAP RATE REPORT - Research & Forecast Report - Colliers International
EDMONTON
                                                                                                                                         JOEL ANDRESEN
Q3 2019 CAP RATES                                                                                                                        Managing Director, Edmonton
                                                                                                                                         +1 780 969 3041
DOWNTOWN OFFICE                                                                                                                          joel.andresen@colliers.com
                  A                                    B                                     TREND

       LOW                HIGH             LOW                 HIGH                 A                         B

      6.00%              7.00%            6.50%               7.50%                                                WHAT'S TRENDING
                                                                                                                       Q3 2019 saw another quarter pass without
SUBURBAN OFFICE                                                                                                        strong cap rate indicators for office buildings. The
                 A                                     B                                     TREND                     announced sale of 29 floors of office space within
                                                                                                                       the Stantec Tower to German real estate fund Deka
       LOW                HIGH             LOW                HIGH                  A                         B        Immobilien for $502M reflects a positive long-term
      6.25%               7.25%           6.75%               7.75%                                        
                                                                                                                       view of the Edmonton market by global investors. A
                                                                                                                       cap rate had not been reported as of the writing of
                                                                                                                       this report.
INDUSTRIAL                                                                                                             The retail investment market was active during the
            SINGLE-TENANT A                         MULTI-TENANT B                                   TREND             third quarter with retail cap rates remaining stable.
                                                                                                                       Industrial sales activity was limited with small assets
        LOW                 HIGH                 LOW                  HIGH                       A                B    showing cap rate stability. Larger buildings with
       5.75%               6.75%             6.00%                  7.00%                                       
                                                                                                                       functional or vacancy issues are in lower demand
                                                                                                                       and cap rates may approach or exceed 7.00%. All
                                                                                                                       9 multi-family transactions during Q3 are located
                                                                                                                       within established core areas and demonstrated
RETAIL
                                                                                                                       cap rate stability. Suburban product continues to be
     REGIONAL / POWER                COMMUNITY                    STRIP MALL                          TREND            in low demand with no sales occurring.
     LOW          HIGH            LOW        HIGH             LOW            HIGH            R          C         S    The Metropolitan Edmonton Hotel Market remains
    5.25%        6.00%           5.50%      6.25%           5.50%        6.50%
                                                                                                                       weak. Although Downtown Edmonton hotels have
                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                       been relatively stable, South Edmonton and West
                                                                                                                       Edmonton hotels have experienced declines to
                                                                                                                       RevPAR. Capitalization rates remain low due to the
MULTIFAMILY                                                                                                            expectation of income upside potential.
              HIGH-RISE                            LOW-RISE                                  TREND
                                                                                                                       Capitalization rates in Q4 are generally anticipated
       LOW                HIGH             LOW                HIGH                  H                         L        to remain stable, especially within the retail and
                                                                                                                       multi-family sectors. Uncertainty within the office
      3.75%              5.00%            5.25%               6.25%                                        
                                                                                                                       market will likely continue, barring multiple sales in
                                                                                                                       Q4. New additions to the industrial market supply
                                                                                                                       may nudge the vacancy rate up and cause investors
HOTEL                                                                                                                  to be more cautious.
    URBAN FULL SERVICE            SELECT SERVICE            LIMITED SERVICE                          TREND

     LOW         HIGH            LOW        HIGH            LOW         HIGH             U             S          L

    7.50%       9.50%         8.25%        9.50%           8.75%       10.75%                                 

5          Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
CANADA CAP RATE REPORT - Research & Forecast Report - Colliers International
OTTAWA
                                                                                                                                       OLIVER TIGHE
Q3 2019 CAP RATES                                                                                                                      Managing Director, Ottawa
                                                                                                                                       +1 613 683 2225
DOWNTOWN OFFICE                                                                                                                        oliver.tighe@colliers.com
                  A                                   B                                    TREND

       LOW                HIGH            LOW                HIGH                 A                        B

      5.00%              6.00%           6.00%               7.25%                                       p         WHAT'S TRENDING
                                                                                                                     The third Quarter of 2019 reinforced many of the
SUBURBAN OFFICE                                                                                                      trends that began early in the year. The retail market
                 A                                    B                                    TREND
                                                                                                                     continues to be in flux, most buyers are seeking well
                                                                                                                     tenanted smaller bay assets in attractive locations
       LOW                HIGH            LOW                HIGH                 A                        B         or assets with a good opportunity to be repositioned
                                                                                                                     or redeveloped. Big box retail developments with
      6.25%              7.00%           7.00%               7.75%                p                        p
                                                                                                                     an increased number of fashion retailers and / or
                                                                                                                     vacancy are experiencing tempered demand from
                                                                                                                     buyers. The office market in Ottawa remains strong
INDUSTRIAL                                                                                                           with good demand for good quality assets, though
           SINGLE-TENANT A                         MULTI-TENANT B                                  TREND             purchasers are increasingly placing little value on
                                                                                                                     vacant space given the uncertainty in timing for
        LOW                 HIGH                LOW                 HIGH                       A                B
                                                                                                                     leasing up vacant spaces. The multi-family market
      5.00%               6.50%             5.50%                  6.50%                       q                q    continues the same trends seen for the last 1.5
                                                                                                                     years, with ample new development underway, low
                                                                                                                     vacancy, increasing rents and new projects being
RETAIL                                                                                                               announced/commenced every month.

     REGIONAL / POWER               COMMUNITY                    STRIP MALL                        TREND             The Industrial market has the most interesting story
                                                                                                                     of the four key asset classes. Demand for industrial
     LOW          HIGH            LOW       HIGH             LOW           HIGH            R         C          S    space in Ottawa from both tenants and owner users
    5.00%        6.00%           6.00%     6.50%           6.00%        7.00%              p         p          p
                                                                                                                     is at levels not previously seen. A large factor in
                                                                                                                     this high demand is due to the fact that it is difficult
                                                                                                                     to make financial s ense o f c onstructing a n ew
                                                                                                                     industrial building. Developers need to achieve
MULTIFAMILY
                                                                                                                     $15 + per square foot net rents to justify new
              HIGH-RISE                           LOW-RISE                                 TREND                     construction, while market rental rates are trending
                                                                                                                     in the $10 - $13 range. High land pricing in addition to
       LOW                HIGH            LOW                HIGH                 H                        L
                                                                                                                     increasing construction costs along with expensive
      4.25%              4.75%           4.25%               5.25%                                               development charges has made the construction
                                                                                                                     of new industrial cost-prohibitive in most cases.
                                                                                                                     As a result, buyers are willing to pay a premium
HOTEL                                                                                                                for existing buildings over constructing new given
                                                                                                                     they do not undertake the risk and timing associated
    URBAN FULL SERVICE           SELECT SERVICE            LIMITED SERVICE                         TREND             with new construction. As we move through 2019
     LOW         HIGH            LOW       HIGH            LOW         HIGH            U             S          L
                                                                                                                     we expect industrial rental rates to rise which may
                                                                                                                     spur new development though at present little
    6.00%       7.75%        7.50%        8.50%           8.50%      10.00%                                    new development is planned throughout the City

6          Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
CANADA CAP RATE REPORT - Research & Forecast Report - Colliers International
WINNIPEG
                                                                                                                                       ROB PRETEAU
Q3 2019 CAP RATES                                                                                                                      Senior Associate, Winnipeg
                                                                                                                                       +1 204 926 3827
DOWNTOWN OFFICE                                                                                                                        rob.preteau@colliers.com
                  A                                   B                                     TREND

       LOW                HIGH            LOW                 HIGH                 A                         B

      5.50%              6.25%           6.00%               6.75%
                                                                                                                      WHAT'S TRENDING
                                                                                                          

SUBURBAN OFFICE                                                                                                       With interest rates starting to decrease again,
                                                                                                                      the demand for investment property in Winnipeg
                 A                                    B                                     TREND                     continues to be strong. Fall is expected to be a busy
       LOW                HIGH            LOW                 HIGH                 A                         B
                                                                                                                      month for transactions. The industrial sector has seen
                                                                                                                      an increased demand for multi-tenant investment
       N/A                N/A            6.00%               6.75%                                                property. Industrial property in Winnipeg continues to
                                                                                                                      be the most desirable asset class for investors with
                                                                                                                      vacancy rates hovering around 3.0%. Cap rates for
INDUSTRIAL                                                                                                            most industrial transactions are currently in the 6.25%
                                                                                                                      to 7.0% range with downward pressure on industrial
            SINGLE-TENANT A                        MULTI-TENANT B                                   TREND
                                                                                                                      cap rates becoming the norm.
        LOW                 HIGH                LOW                  HIGH                       A                B
                                                                                                                      The multi-family market saw a significant amount
       6.25%              7.00%             6.25%                  7.00%                                          of new construction in 2019 with a large amount of
                                                                                                                      projects underway that will be completed in 2020.
                                                                                                                      Cap rates for multi-family property are typically in
RETAIL                                                                                                                the 5.0%-6.0% range, with most new construction
                                                                                                                      projects being valued in the 5.25% - 5.50% cap rate
     REGIONAL / POWER               COMMUNITY                    STRIP MALL                          TREND
                                                                                                                      range. The demand for multi-tenant retail property
     LOW          HIGH            LOW       HIGH             LOW            HIGH            R          C         S    continues to be strong with the lack of good quality
                                                                                                                      inventory in the retail sector holding cap rates steady
    6.00%        6.50%           6.00%     6.75%           6.00%        6.75%                                   over the past year. Cap rates for retail properties in
                                                                                                                      Winnipeg are typically in the 6.0% to 6.5% range for
                                                                                                                      most transactions and the demand for good quality
MULTIFAMILY                                                                                                           multi-tenant retail investment property continues to
                                                                                                                      be high. The office sector has seen an increase in
              HIGH-RISE                           LOW-RISE                                  TREND
                                                                                                                      vacancy rates due to tower one of True North Square
       LOW                HIGH            LOW                HIGH                  H                         L        opening. The result of this additional office space is
                                                                                                                      increased vacancy within downtown and downward
      5.00%              6.00%           5.00%               6.00%                                                pressure on rental rates for class A buildings located
                                                                                                                      at Portage and Main.
HOTEL
    URBAN FULL SERVICE           SELECT SERVICE            LIMITED SERVICE                          TREND

     LOW         HIGH            LOW       HIGH            LOW         HIGH             U             S          L

    7.75%       9.25%         8.50%       9.75%           9.50%       11.00%                                 

7          Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
HALIFAX
                                                                                                                                           MITCH WILE
Q3 2019 CAP RATES                                                                                                                          Managing Director, Halifax
                                                                                                                                           +1 902 442 8701
DOWNTOWN OFFICE                                                                                                                            mitch.wile@colliers.com
                  A                                    B                                     TREND

       LOW                HIGH             LOW                 HIGH                 A                         B

      6.25%               7.25%           7.25%               8.25%                                                    Also in October Strathallen acquired a 44-property portfolio
                                                                                                                          WHAT'S TRENDING
                                                                                    p                        
                                                                                                                       frortfolio included the Gander Shopping Centre (a Walmart-
                                                                                                                       anchored 240,000 sq ft sho
SUBURBAN OFFICE                                                                                                           The capital recycling trend continued over the past
                                                                                                                          quarter as Crombie REIT and Choice Properties
                 A                                     B                                     TREND
                                                                                                                          REIT both divested national portfolios - consisting
       LOW                HIGH             LOW                 HIGH                 A                         B           primarily of secondary and tertiary market, free
                                                                                                                          stand grocery properties - to the Oak Tree Capital
      6.50%               7.25%           7.25%               8.25%                                                   Group out of the U.S. Numerous assets were
                                                                                                                          located in Atlantic Canada.

INDUSTRIAL                                                                                                                GWLRA are in the process of divesting of a 3
                                                                                                                          property multifamily portfolio in Halifax. The big
            SINGLE-TENANT A                         MULTI-TENANT B                                   TREND
                                                                                                                          development is the announcement by QuadReal that
        LOW                 HIGH                 LOW                  HIGH                       A                B       they intend to recycle their entire Halifax portfolio,
                                                                                                                          consisting of 13 apartment properties, 7 of which
       6.25%               7.00%             6.75%                  7.75%                                             are prominently located in the downtown core. The
                                                                                                                          divestiture of such assets is reflective of a National
                                                                                                                          trend to move out of mature assets (from an NOI
RETAIL                                                                                                                    perspective), more often located in smaller markets,
                                                                                                                          in favour of re-investment into higher growth or
     REGIONAL / POWER                COMMUNITY                    STRIP MALL                          TREND
                                                                                                                          mixed use opportunities in larger markets.
     LOW          HIGH            LOW        HIGH             LOW            HIGH            R          C         S
                                                                                                                          There are finally signals that some of the Class B and
    5.50%        6.25%           7.00%      8.00%           6.25%        7.50%               p         p                C office properties in the downtown core are being
                                                                                                                          considered for conversion for to multi residential,
                                                                                                                          which we have expected to occur for some time
MULTIFAMILY                                                                                                               now. Such a move will improve the health of the
                                                                                                                          office market by reducing supply and bringing more
              HIGH-RISE                            LOW-RISE                                  TREND
                                                                                                                          residents downtown, further contributing to the
       LOW                HIGH             LOW                HIGH                  H                         L           energizing of the CBD.
      4.65%              5.00%            4.85%               6.00%                                                   Encouraging rent growth across many multi res and
                                                                                                                          industrial markets is evident, which coupled with
                                                                                                                          the ability to refinance at lower interest rates is
HOTEL                                                                                                                     resulting in improved valuations and enhanced cash
                                                                                                                          flows.
    URBAN FULL SERVICE            SELECT SERVICE            LIMITED SERVICE                          TREND

     LOW         HIGH            LOW        HIGH            LOW         HIGH             U             S          L

    7.00%       8.50%         8.25%        9.75%           9.50%       11.00%                                 

8          Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
VICTORIA
                                                                                                                                       ANDREW BUHR
Q3 2019 CAP RATES                                                                                                                      Associate, Victoria
                                                                                                                                       +1 250 414 8371
DOWNTOWN OFFICE                                                                                                                        andrew.buhr@colliers.com
                  A                                   B                                     TREND

       LOW                HIGH            LOW                 HIGH                 A                         B

      5.00%              5.25%           5.25%               5.50%
                                                                                                                      WHAT'S TRENDING
                                                                                                          

SUBURBAN OFFICE                                                                                                       Victoria’s strong local economy continues to be a
                                                                                                                      factor in the stability of the investment market across
                 A                                    B                                     TREND                     all asset classes. Persistently low interest rates and
                                                                                                                      a growing consumer interest in rental product in the
       LOW                HIGH            LOW                HIGH                  A                         B        multifamily sector, combined with limited options
                                                                                                                      for purchase, have resulted in new developments
      5.25%              5.50%           5.50%               5.75%                                        
                                                                                                                      and strong interest in existing investment grade
                                                                                                                      product as they become available. No significant
                                                                                                                      office capitalization rate deals were reported in this
INDUSTRIAL                                                                                                            quarter.
           SINGLE-TENANT A                         MULTI-TENANT B                                   TREND             Within the industrial market, 2612 Bridge St. traded
        LOW                 HIGH                LOW                  HIGH                       A                B
                                                                                                                      at an initial cap rate in the order of 7% prior to
                                                                                                                      planned capital expenditures which also included
      5.00%               5.25%             5.25%                  5.50%                                          another property at 429/432 Hillside Ave. Bordering
                                                                                                                      the Burnside area of Victoria and Saanich, the
                                                                                                                      purchase of 400E Burnside Road for $5.5M also
                                                                                                                      included the sale of the business assets as part of
RETAIL                                                                                                                the transaction.
     REGIONAL / POWER               COMMUNITY                    STRIP MALL                          TREND
                                                                                                                      Within the suburban retail market of the Westshore,
     LOW          HIGH            LOW       HIGH             LOW            HIGH            R          C         S    the portfolio sale of First Capital included Langford
                                                                                                                      Plaza, Goldstream Station Mall and Langford Centre
    5.25%        5.50%           5.25%     5.50%           5.25%        5.50%                                   totaling approximately $37.2M showed going in cap
                                                                                                                      rates of approximately 5.5% and above.
                                                                                                                      The multi-family market included the Aug. 2019
MULTIFAMILY                                                                                                           transaction at 433-437 Boleskine Rd., a 95-unit,
              HIGH-RISE                           LOW-RISE                                  TREND                     newly completed building with 1 commercial unit on
                                                                                                                      the main level, at $32.7M or approximately $344K
       LOW                HIGH            LOW                HIGH                  H                         L        per unit and a reported 4.25% cap rate, more or
                                                                                                                      less. The suburban market recorded the $57M
      4.00%              4.25%           4.25%               4.50%                                                Sept. 2019 sale of Enclave and Meaford Heights to
                                                                                                                      Skyline REIT at a combined capitalization rate in the
                                                                                                                      order of 4.75%.
HOTEL
                                                                                                                      As has been the case in previous quarters this
    URBAN FULL SERVICE           SELECT SERVICE            LIMITED SERVICE                          TREND             year, limited investment activity this quarter relates
                                                                                                                      directly to the lack of good quality income properties
     LOW         HIGH            LOW       HIGH            LOW         HIGH             U             S          L
                                                                                                                      available in the Victoria market, and not demand,
    6.00%       7.00%        7.00%        9.00%           8.00%       10.00%                                    as the overall market sentiment indicates continued
                                                                                                                      confidence in the Greater Victoria investment
                                                                                                                      market for the final quarter of 2019.

9          Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
Canada Cap Rate Report

DOWNTOWN OFFICE
MARKET                            A                                   B                               TREND

CITY                   LOW               HIGH              LOW               HIGH                A            B
Vancouver              3.50%             4.50%             3.50%             4.50%                          

Calgary                6.00%             6.75%             7.00%             8.50%                          

Edmonton               6.00%             7.00%             6.50%             7.50%                          

Toronto                3.75%             4.75%             4.50%             5.50%                          

Ottawa                 5.00%             6.00%             6.00%             7.00%                          p

Montreal               5.00%             5.75%             5.75%             6.25%                          

Winnipeg               5.50%             6.25%             6.00%             6.75%                          

Halifax                6.25%             7.25%             7.25%             8.25%               p            

Victoria               5.00%             5.25%             5.25%             5.50%                          

SUBURBAN OFFICE
MARKET                            A                                   B                               TREND

CITY                   LOW               HIGH              LOW               HIGH                A            B
Vancouver              4.75%             5.75%             5.25%             6.50%                          

Calgary                6.25%             6.75%             7.00%             8.25%                          

Edmonton               6.25%             7.25%             6.75%             7.75%                          

Toronto                5.75%             6.75%             6.75%             7.75%                          

Ottawa                 6.25%             7.00%             7.00%             7.75%               p            p

Montreal               6.75%             7.75%             7.25%             8.25%                          

Winnipeg                N/A               N/A              6.00%             6.75%                          

Halifax                6.50%             7.25%             7.25%             8.25%                          

Victoria               5.25%             5.50%             5.50%             5.75%                          

10     Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
Canada Cap Rate Report

 INDUSTRIAL
 MARKET                   SINGLE-TENANT A                      MULTI-TENANT B                             TREND

 CITY                   LOW                 HIGH             LOW                HIGH                  A           B
Vancouver               3.25%               4.75%           3.50%               5.00%                           

Calgary                 5.25%               6.00%           5.50%               6.75%                           

Edmonton                5.75%               6.75%           6.00%               7.00%                           

Toronto                 4.00%               5.00%            4.75%              5.75%                           

Ottawa                  5.00%               6.50%           5.50%               6.50%             q               q

Montreal                5.25%               5.75%            5.75%              6.50%                           

Winnipeg                6.25%               7.00%           6.25%               7.00%                           

Halifax                 6.25%               7.00%            6.75%              7.75%                           

Victoria                5.00%               5.25%           5.25%               5.50%                           

 MULTIFAMILY
 MARKET                         HIGH-RISE                            LOW-RISE                             TREND

 CITY                   LOW                 HIGH            LOW                 HIGH              H               L
Vancouver               2.50%               3.25%           2.75%               4.00%                           

Calgary                 4.00%               4.75%           4.25%               5.25%                           

Edmonton                3.75%               5.00%           5.25%               6.25%                           

Toronto                 3.50%               4.50%           3.00%               4.00%                           

Ottawa                  4.25%               4.75%           4.25%               5.25%                           

Montreal                3.00%               4.50%           4.75%               5.75%                           

Winnipeg                5.00%               6.00%           5.00%               6.00%                           

Halifax                 4.65%               5.00%           4.85%               6.00%                           

Victoria                4.00%               4.25%           4.25%               4.50%                           

11      Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
Canada Cap Rate Report

HOTEL
MARKET                  URBAN FULL SERVICE              SELECT SERVICE                LIMITED SERVICE             TREND

CITY                      LOW           HIGH            LOW           HIGH           LOW            HIGH     U      S     L
Vancouver                 4.00%          5.00%         5.50%          6.75%          6.50%          8.00%    q     q      

Calgary                   7.25%          9.25%          7.75%         9.25%          8.50%         10.50%             

Edmonton                  7.50%          9.50%         8.25%          9.50%          8.75%         10.75%             

Toronto                   4.50%          5.50%         5.50%          6.75%          7.00%          8.00%             

Ottawa                    6.00%          7.75%         7.50%          8.50%          8.50%         10.00%             

Montreal                  6.00%          8.00%         7.25%          8.50%          8.50%          9.75%             

Winnipeg                  7.75%          9.25%         8.50%          9.75%          9.50%          11.00%            

Halifax                   7.00%          8.50%         8.25%          9.75%          9.50%          11.00%            

Victoria                  6.00%          7.00%         7.00%          9.00%          8.00%         10.00%             

RETAIL
MARKET                    REGIONAL / POWER                 COMMUNITY                    STRIP MALL                TREND

CITY                      LOW           HIGH           LOW            HIGH           LOW            HIGH     R      C     S
Vancouver                 3.75%         5.50%          4.00%          5.75%          4.00%          5.50%             

Calgary                  5.25%          6.00%          5.25%          6.00%          5.50%          6.50%             

Edmonton                 5.25%          6.00%          5.50%          6.25%          5.50%          6.50%             

Toronto                  4.25%          5.00%          5.25%          6.00%          4.75%          5.75%        p      p

Ottawa                   5.00%          6.00%          6.00%          6.50%          6.00%          7.00%    p     p      p

Montreal                  4.75%         6.50%          6.50%          7.25%          6.00%          7.00%             

Winnipeg                 6.00%          6.50%          6.00%          6.75%          6.00%          6.75%             

Halifax                  5.50%          6.25%          7.00%          8.00%          6.25%          7.50%    p     p      

Victoria                 5.25%          5.50%          5.25%          5.50%          5.25%          5.50%             

12        Cap Rate Report | Q3 2019 | Canada / Valuation & Advisory Services | Colliers International
11 offices                                                                                    REGIONAL AUTHORS:
                                                                                              Michel Colgan | Managing Director, Montreal

90 professionals                                                                              Mark Berestiansky | Managing Director, Calgary
                                                                                              James Glen | Vice President, Vancouver
                                                                                              Tim Loch | Senior Director, Greater Toronto
Across Canada                                                                                 Joel Andresen| Managing Director, Edmonton
                                                                                              Oliver Tighe | Managing Director, Ottawa
                                                                                              Mitch Wile | Managing Director, Halifax
                                                                                              Rob Preteau | Senior Associate, Winnipeg
                                                                                              Andrew Buhr| Associate, Victoria
5,000
Appraisals per year

1,500
Tax Appeals per year

71
NPS Score

Colliers has certified NPS® professionals who ensure the right
business processes and systems are in place to deliver real-time
information to employees, so they can act on customer feedback
and achieve results. Our current NPS score is 71. To put our
score in context, the average score of a professional service
company across North America is 10.

Valuation & Advisory Group
The Colliers International Valuation & Advisory Services group in Canada combines extensive industry
knowledge with advanced technology to provide you with highly efficient service and creative solutions. We
have more than 90 professionals in 11 locations including Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton,
Ottawa, Winnipeg, Halifax, Niagra Falls, Victoria and Kelowna.

Colliers International Valuation & Advisory Services offers a full range of services including valuation,
property tax consulting and advisory services. The team also offers customized valuations for specialty real
estate including hotels, resorts and multi-residential developments. From a single commercial asset to a
national portfolio of properties, we provide you with accurate and timely information that will help you better
understand the value of your assets and make business decisions accordingly.

www.collierscanada.com/valuation

Copyright © 2019 Colliers International.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to
ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult
their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.
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