Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University

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Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University
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    Canada’s
    Resettlement of
    Yemeni Refugees
    Policy Options & Recommendations
Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University
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    Policy Team
                Paul Beesley, ADM
                   Department of Finance

             Elizabeth Burton, ADM
        Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada

                Joshua Jones, ADM
    Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada

         Christopher Fernandes, ADM
          Department of Intergovernmental Affairs
Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University
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    Problem
                                       Acute

               How many Yemeni refugees do we accept, over what time
                     frame, given current system constraints?

                                     Chronic

              How do we improve current process inefficiencies to support
                      current and future refugee acceptance?
Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University
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                       Refugee Resettlement Process

         UNHCR & IOM                              Settlement & Integration
         Recommendation       01            06

    Resettlement Country                               Y1 Settlement
               Interview
                              02                 05
                                                            Services

        Canada Settlement                   04        Departure to Canada
             Classification
                               03

                                           The current process is necessary,
                                           but constrains intake of refugees.
Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University
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    Canadian Context: Syrian Lessons Learned

      Attitudes                  Capacity
      Generally positive         Backlog from Syrian

      attitudes but decline in   crisis and asylum

      public opinion about       seekers

      refugees

                                 Impact
      Settlement
                                 Additional cost
      2016: delayed funding
                                 Backlog
      led to service cuts
      Acting on OAG report

      Numbers                    Provinces
      Lack of planning           Expressed concerns about

      Ad hoc acceptance of       funding, service provider

      refugees                   capacity, & asylum
                                 seekers
Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University
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    Atlantic Canada: Punching Above Our Weight
                                                               4820 Syrian
       Demand                      Successes                    Refugees
       Positive attitudes about    • Peace by Chocolate
                                                                accepted
       immigration & refugees,     • Somru BioScience Inc.
       although hardening          • Design from Africa
       Ivany Report: immigration
       key to population and       Key Stats
       economic growth             AC represents 6.5% of the
                                   Canadian population but
       Program Highlights
                                   accepted 7.8% of Syrian
       • Settlement Online Pre-
                                   refugees
         Arrival program
                                   Only 28% of Atlantic
       • Economic Mobility
                                   Canadians thought Canada
         Pathways Project
                                   was accepting too many
                                   Syrians in 2016
Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University
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    Risks
                     Responding

                    Additional backlog
                    Lack of resources
                    Public opposition

                  Not Responding

                     Humanitarian crisis
                Loss of international respect
            Process not sustainable in long-term
                      Public opposition
Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University
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    Problem

                                  Acute

              How many Yemeni refugees do we accept, over what
                time frame, given current system constraints?
Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University
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            Addressing the Acute Problem

        1                2              3
     3,500            12,500         25,000
    Over 1 year      Over 3 years   Over 3 years
Canada's Resettlement of Yemeni Refugees - Dalhousie University
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                                   Option 1 Analysis

                                  Strengths
               1
                                  • Reduced intake does not put significant strain on existing
                                    capacity and fits within existing IRCC targets
                                  • Still meets international obligation to accept refugees
                                  • Maintains public opinion to accept refugees
     3,500 refugees in one year   Weaknesses
                                  • Potentially damaging to international reputation
                                  • Contrary to public and government support (cooling) for
                                    refugees
                                  • Should we decide to renew commitment, we would have
                                    to complete entire policy analysis
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                                    Option 2 Proposal

                2                    2,500                4,500                5,500
     12,500 refugees over 3 years

                                          Phase 1 Evaluation      Phase 2 Evaluation
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                                     Option 2 Analysis

                                    Strengths
                2
                                    • Contributes to the international commitment
                                    • Allows for adaptability and flexibility when done in phases
                                    • Similar to previous cases on refugee resettlement in the
                                      past without pushing an ad hoc acceptance
     12,500 refugees over 3 years   Weaknesses
                                    • Potential strain on existing capacity regarding provincial
                                      collaboration
                                    • Responsive to public opinion
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                                    Option 3 Analysis

                3                    5,000                 9,000               11,000

     25,000 refugees over 3 years

                                             Phase 1 Evaluation    Phase 2 Evaluation
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                                        Option 3 Analysis

                                    Strengths
                                    •    Meets and exceeds international commitment
                3                   •    Allows for adaptability and flexibility when done in phases
                                    Weaknesses
                                    • Potential strain on existing capacity regarding provincial
     25,000 refugees over 3 years
                                      collaboration
                                    • Similar commitment constraints to the Syrian crisis
                                    • Possibility to produce negative public opinion
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     Problem

                                   Chronic

               How do we improve current process inefficiencies to
                 support current and future refugee acceptance?
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                     Why is this Issue Chronic?

        Poor         Inefficient                                    Poor        System
                                            Ad Hoc
     Communication   Processing                                  Coordination   Overload

                          May creates a consistent chronic system failure
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     Complex Problems Require Collaborative Solutions

      Provincial Governments           NGOs

           Federal Government         Communities
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                    Addressing the Chronic Problem
     Improve Process
     Expand Economic Mobility Pathways Project
     Change IRB process (hearings)

     Increase Capacity
     Leverage additional IRCC resources
     Transition to multi-year funding agreements

     Improve Communications
     Implement a pan-Canadian information campaign
     Include Provinces and service providers in consultation

     Emphasize Settlement
     Promote Settlement Online Pre-Arrival (SOPA) Program
     Reduce barriers to Foreign Qualification Recognition (FQR)
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     Issue not addressed
                                Option Analysis
     Issue somewhat addressed

     Issue addressed

                                Program    Regional   International   Evaluation
                                Capacity   Analysis    Reputation       Phase

            Option 1:
           3,500/year

          Option 2:
        12,500/3 years

          Option 3:
        25,000/3 years
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     Recommendation

                                 Acute

              Option 2: Accept 12,500 refugees over 3 years

                                Chronic

               Address chronic problem by implementing
                recommended changes alongside acute
                           implementation
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                Acute Implementation and Feasibility
                         Expand Economic Mobility Pathways Project to all provinces
              Refugees are absorbed under the current IRCC multi-year Immigration Levels Plan
     Minimal additional resources are required as refugees are absorbed into current budget & levels plan

                      2019                     2020                        2021
                 2,500 refugees             4,500 refugees            5,500 refugees

                       Evaluation Phase 1                    Evaluation phase 2

                       CONCURRENT CHRONIC IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGY
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 External
 Communication
 Strategy
 Audience                                              Key Objectives
 • General public                                      •   Explain rationale of number of refugee’s
 • Media                                               •   Explain benefits to the economy
 • Industry                                            •   Explain benefit to population growth
                                                       •   Dispel any myths
 Key Messages
                                                       Communication Channels
 • The Government of Canada is committed to            •   #ImmigrationMatters
   supporting refugees while ensuring the safety and   •   Social Media
   security of Canadians                               •   Departmental communications teams
 • Refugees help support the Canadian economy and      •   Advertisements
   population growth
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 Internal
 Communication
 Strategy
 Audience                               Key Objectives
 •   Provinces                          • Facilitate collaboration
 •   IRCC                               • Keep consistency amongst internal organizations
 •   IRB                                • Rationalize the number of immigrants
 •   NGOs
 •   UNHCR

 Key Message                            Communication Channels
 • Providing evaluative and             • Internal emails
   consultative feedback to determine   • Memorandums
   impact of refugees on communities    • Intergovernmental Affairs
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                                           Risk Mitigation
                                            High
                                            Risk
                                                   #   Risk             Mitigation Strategy

                                                   1   Security         Existing processes
             1                              5      2   Financial        Additional IRCC resources
                      2                                                 Not overloading current system
                                       4
Severity

                                                   3   Public Opinion   Communications Strategy

                                3                  4   Provincial
                                                       Cooperation
                                                                        Communications Strategy
                                                                        Gaining Public Support
                                                   5   Capacity/Feasi   Accounted for in Immigration Levels Plan
                                                       bility           and budget
           Low Risk

                          Likelihood
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     Thank You!
     Merci!
     Questions?
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                       Summary

     Recommend       Implementing       Option 2 uses
     Option 2:       chronic solution   current
     Accepting       alongside acute    available
     12,500          solution           resources within
     refugees in 3                      IRCC, requiring
     phases over 3                      no additional
                                        funding
     years
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     Appendices
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     Refugee Resettlement Process

        Sourced from https://www.unhcr.org/3bd58ce9a.pdf?fbclid=IwAR1l1ROkLrMpSCqe1JPSnl0nCKMTM8WEaPFYcf38uxv13xZOZouo2Dn4bh0
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     Refugee Resettlement Process Continued

       Sourced from: https://www.unhcr.org/3bd58ce9a.pdf?fbclid=IwAR1l1ROkLrMpSCqe1JPSnl0nCKMTM8WEaPFYcf38uxv13xZOZouo2Dn4bh0
30

     Refugee Resettlement Process Continued

        Sourced from: https://www.unhcr.org/3bd58ce9a.pdf?fbclid=IwAR1l1ROkLrMpSCqe1JPSnl0nCKMTM8WEaPFYcf38uxv13xZOZouo2Dn4bh0
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     Refugee Resettlement Process Continued

       Sourced from : https://www.unhcr.org/3bd58ce9a.pdf?fbclid=IwAR1l1ROkLrMpSCqe1JPSnl0nCKMTM8WEaPFYcf38uxv13xZOZouo2Dn4bh0
32

     Refugee Resettlement Process Continued

        Sourced from: https://www.unhcr.org/3bd58ce9a.pdf?fbclid=IwAR1l1ROkLrMpSCqe1JPSnl0nCKMTM8WEaPFYcf38uxv13xZOZouo2Dn4bh0
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     Syrian Refugee Intake: Atlantic Canada
     Canada - Admissions of
     Syrian Refugees by
     Province/Territory and
     Census Metropolitan
     Area (CMA) of
     Intended Destination
     and Immigration
     Category, November
     4th, 2015 – December
     31st, 2018
     Canada total: 61,955
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     Settlement Services Accessed by Syrian
     Refugees: Atlantic Canada
     Canada - Syrian Refugee Settlement Service Clients by Province/Territory and Census
     Metropolitan Area (CMA) of Settlement Provider Organizations, and Immigration Category,
     November 4th, 2015 – December 31st, 2018
     Canada total: 28550
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     Cost of Syrian Response

     Sourced from: http://www.oag-bvg.gc.ca/internet/English/parl_oag_201711_03_e_42668.html
36

     Cost of Syrian Response Continued

                                   Sourced from:
                                   https://www.canada.ca/en/im
                                   migration-refugees-
                                   citizenship/corporate/publicati
                                   ons-manuals/departmental-
                                   performance-
                                   reports/2016/section-4.html

                                                            35
37
     IRCC Multi-
     year Levels
     Plan

 Sourced from:
 https://www.canada.ca/en/i
 mmigration-refugees-
 citizenship/news/notices/sup
 plementary-immigration-
 levels-2019.html

                                36
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     IRCC
     Budget
     Due to changes in
     Immigration,
     Refugees and
     Citizenship Canada’s
     reporting framework
     in fiscal year 2018-
     19, expenditures by
     core responsibility
     for 2015-16 and
     2016-17 are not
     available

     Sourced from:
     https://www.canada.ca/con
     tent/dam/ircc/migration/irc
     c/english/pdf/pub/dp-pm-
     2018-2019-eng.pdf
39

     IRCC Budget Continued

     Sourced from: https://www.canada.ca/content/dam/ircc/migration/ircc/english/pdf/pub/dp-pm-2018-2019-eng.pdf
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     Immigration and Refugee Board Rejections
     •   The Refugee Appeal Division (RAD) decides appeals of decisions of the Refugee Protection Division (RPD) to allow or reject claims for refugee
         protection. A person whose claim was rejected by the RPD can ask the RAD to review this decision in order to assess whether the RPD was wrong.
         An error by the RPD can be about the law, the facts, or both. The RAD decides whether to confirm or to change the RPD’s decision. It may also
         decide to send the case back to the RPD to hear it again, giving the directions to the RPD that it considers appropriate. The Minister can also
         appeal to the RAD a decision by the RPD allowing a claim.
     •   The RAD generally makes its decisions without a hearing, on the basis of the submissions and the evidence provided by the parties. The person
         who is the subject of the appeal may also submit new evidence, for example, evidence that did not exist when the RPD made its decision. If
         the RAD accepts new evidence, it will consider the evidence in its review. It may also order an oral hearing to consider this new evidence.

     Sourced from: https://irb-cisr.gc.ca/en/statistics/appeals/Pages/index.aspx
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     Immigration Levels by Country of Origin (2016)

       Sourced from: https://issbc.org/our-resource/refugees-the-big-picture

                                                                               40
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     Public Opinion Stats
              Year                                Question/Statement                                      National       Atlantic Canada
                                                                                                          Average            Average
           2016          Canada is accepting too many Syrian refugees                                   36%              28%
           2016          Overall, there is too much immigration in Canada                               37%              29%
           2016          Overall, immigration has a positive impact on the economy                      80%              88%
                         of Canada
           2018          Overall, there is too much immigration in Canada                               35%              34%
           2018          Overall, immigration has a positive impact on the Canadian                     80%              83%
                         economy

     2016 Stats from: https://www.environicsinstitute.org/docs/default-source/project-documents/focus-canada-2016-survey-on-immigration-and-
     citizenship/focus-canada-fall-2016-survey-on-immigration-and-citizenship---data-tables.pdf?sfvrsn=f78360f5_2
     2018 Stats from: https://www.environicsinstitute.org/docs/default-source/project-documents/focus-canada-winter-2018---immigration-and-minority-
     groups/focus-canada-winter-2018---immigration-and-minority-groups---data-tables.pdf?sfvrsn=8e2f4661_2
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     Ivany Report
     • Also known as “Now or Never: An Urgent Call to Action for Nova
       Scotians” or the “One Nova Scotia” report
     • Report on the economic development opportunities and challenges facing
       Nova Scotia
     • Written by the Commission on Building Our New Economy with mandate
       from the Government of Nova Scotia
     • Published in 2014
     • Resulted in 19 recommendations to grow Nova Scotia’s economy,
       including growing Nova Scotia’s population through increased
       international immigration
          • “With the cooperation of the federal government, Nova Scotia will be receiving
            annually its proportionate share (2.7% of all new international immigrants to
            Canada, i.e. approximately 7,000 new permanent residents per year”

     Sourced from: https://onens.ca/img/now-or-never.pdf
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     Economic Mobility Pathways Project (EMPP)
     • Pilot project in partnership with Talent Beyond Boundaries (TBB),
       RefugePoint, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC),
       provincial/territorial governments, community partners, UNHCR
       Canada, and employers in Canada
           • Provincial/Territorial Partners: Manitoba, Ontario, Newfoundland and
             Labrador, Nova Scotia, & the Yukon
     • Canadian government funded
     • Tests refugee access to Canada's federal and provincial economic
       pathways, and to document any barriers refugee applicants may face
     • Reaches refugee populations in the Middle East and East Africa
     Sourced from: https://talentbeyondboundaries.org/pilot-project.html
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     Settlement Online Pre-Arrival (SOPA)
     • Immigration, Refugees & Citizenship Canada (IRCC) funded program
       delivered by 6 partner organizations in Canada
           • Mosaic, CCIS, Regina Open Door Society, Altered Minds Inc., Ottawa World Skills,
             Catholic Centre for Immigrants, & ISANS
     • Delivers free pre-arrival services for job readiness, success and retention
     • Resources and courses are offered at no charge, these include:
           • One-on-one orientation
           • Job search support and workplace culture training
           • Referral to a wide range of post-arrival services upon entry to Canada

     Sourced from: https://arriveprepared.ca/
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     #ImmigrationMatters
     Information campaign run by IRCC
     to communicate the benefits of
     immigration to Canadians
     Launched in 2018
     Explains the immigration and
     refugee system in Canada
     Explains how immigrants and
     refugees impact the economy,
     health and social services,
     security, and settlement and
     integration

     Sourced from: https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-
     refugees-citizenship/campaigns/immigration-
     matters/track-record.html
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