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Challenges of Enlargement in the Western Balkans - TEPSA
Challenges of Enlargement in the Western Balkans
                 Danijela Jaćimović*, Joel I. Deichmann**, Kong Tianping***

                                                                             of states in the interest of mutual benefit, best
                                                                             exemplified by the European Union (EU).
    Abstract                                                                 European integration is an ongoing project
    Political and economic reforms in the                                    that began in the wake of the unprecedented
    Western Balkans have stalled recently. The                               human suffering and material destruction of
    reasons include diminishing interest among                               World War II. Initially, formal cooperation
    political elites in the region, expansion                                between states was intended to prevent future
    fatigue in the EU and its Member States,                                 conflicts, but as peace returned to the
    severe economic effects of recent crises, and                            continent, the realisation of economic benefits
    the growing role of geopolitics. Actions are                             rose to the forefront of integration goals1.
    needed to reinvigorate democratisation and
                                                                             Economic integration eases restrictions on
    EU integration in the region. These include
                                                                             trade and foreign direct investment (FDI),
    strategic cooperation with the EU and China,
    alongside improving investment climates                                  which in turn has the potential to promote
    and policies. EU-guided reforms should be                                economic development2.
    harmonized and parallel across the Western                               The Western Balkan countries continue to
    Balkans.                                                                 petition for full EU membership3, although the
                                                                             assumption that the EU will improve the lives
                                                                             of its citizens is sometimes challenged
                                                                             (consider, for example, Norway’s 1995
Introduction
                                                                             referendum and the Brexit vote of 2016).
Through the technology-enabled processes of                                  Concurrently, EU Member States have grown
globalisation, the world has effectively grown                               increasingly cautious of expansion following
smaller, introducing levels of interaction                                   the addition of Romania and Bulgaria just prior
between countries that until recently were                                   to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008,
unimaginable. One aspect of globalisation is                                 which also hit Mediterranean countries
the formal political and economic integration                                disproportionately hard, ultimately fueling

1 Martin, P., Mayer, T. and Thoenig, M. (2012) “The                          3 Western Balkan countries had different levels of success

geography of          conflicts and      regional    trade                   ranging from Croatia’s 2013 full EU accession to arms-
agreements“, American            Economic          Journal:                  length Stabilization and Association Agreement (SAA)
Macroeconomics, 4(4), pp. 1-35.                                              signed by Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2015 and Kosovo in
2 Alfaro, L. (2017) “Gains from foreign direct investment:                   2016, the latter remaining unrecognized by five EU
Macro and micro approaches“, World Bank Economic                             members.
Review, 30, Supplement 1, pp. 2-15.
* Danijela Jaćimović is Professor of International Economics and Globalization and Economic Policy at the Faculty of Economics of the University
of Montenegro.
** Joel I. Deichmann is Professor of Economic Geography in the Global Studies Department at Bentley University in Waltham, Massachusetts,
USA.
*** Kong Tianpin is Senior Research Fellow of the Institute of European Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and Professor of University
of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
Challenges of Enlargement in the Western
        TEPSA Briefs – January 2022
                                                                                Balkans

Euroscepticism    across     the   continent.                 integration. Finally, the role of geopolitics is
Presently, sentiments against integraton are                  increasing in the region, with international
compounded by the closure of borders as                       tensions rising between the United States and
governments struggle to protect their citizens                China, concurrent to the EU’s ascent as a
from successive variants of COVID-19.                         geopolitical player.
While the EU struggles with these distractions,               The recent reform of EU enlargement policy
China has re-emerged as a global player, both                 brought the introduction of new approaches
politically and economically. Over the past                   and mechanisms in negotiation methodology.
decade, China has made overtures to the                       This has created a certain fear among the
Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC)                 countries of the Western Balkans that they will
through major projects such as the 17+ 1                      remain outside the EU permanently. The goal
framework and the Belt and Road Initiative                    was to create a more dynamic process by
(BRI). The 17+1 framework is intended to                      clustering the chapters of the acquis
complement existing bilateral relations                       communautaire in the negotiation process and
between China and CEEC. The BRI is a grand                    placing its essentials, notably the rule of law
infrastructure project that will better link China            and fundamental rights, in the centre of the
with the rest of Asia as well as Europe and                   process. This also involves providing clear
Africa to promote trade, investment, and                      conditions and decisive measures that would
cultural exchange.                                            sanction non-fulfilment. Concurrently, tangible
                                                              benefits for citizens and opportunities for
For the Western Balkans, it has become clear
                                                              gradual integration into EU policies and
that a return to the pre-COVID integration
                                                              programmes – including possible observer
momentum is unlikely to happen soon 4. The
                                                              statuses in EU institutions – are emphasised as
European Commission’s 2021 reports on EU
                                                              a means of increasing the political appeal of
enlargement for the Western Balkan region
                                                              the process across the Western Balkans.
openly highlight concerns about the lack of
progress in a number of areas, particularly the               While the EU sees political criteria to be
rule of law and fundamental rights. These                     crucially important to the integration
concerns echo reservations about expansion                    aspirations of the Western Balkans, it is also
among some influential members states.                        interesting to investigate from the bottom-up
                                                              the reasons underlying political and
The inhibitors to Western Balkan integration
                                                              democratic setbacks in the region. This brief
with the EU are numerous. They include
                                                              suggests ways to move the political agenda
declining commitment among political elites to
                                                              forward in the region and create a dynamic
make the necessary radical reforms that are
                                                              that will take both political and economic
both painful and difficult to begin with, and
                                                              needs into consideration. The brief argues
ultimately, they do not guarantee EU
                                                              that: i) Political consolidation is needed as a
accession. At the same time, a clear reluctance
                                                              precondition for integration, ii) Mutual
by both the EU and its Member States to
                                                              political and economic convergence with the
become more actively engaged in political and
                                                              EU must be a continuous and parallel process,
economic processes in the Western Balkans
                                                              and iii) Investment is an essential tool for the
also plays a role. Moreover, the powerful
                                                              integration and development of the Western
negative economic impacts experienced
                                                              Balkans, through EU funding as well as China's
during the GFC and COVID-19 pandemic
                                                              BRI initiative.
exacerbate the challenge of further

4 Ruge, M. (2021) “Six Principles to Guide EU Action in the
Western Balkans“, IAI Commentaries, Rome: Istituto
Affari Internazionali.
Challenges of Enlargement in the Western
         TEPSA Briefs – January 2022
                                                                                Balkans

                                                            compounded by the problematic behaviour of
                                                            two new Member States that have
Sustained political reform is essential                     experienced the most rapid autocratic
The need to strengthen the rule of law and                  transition in the last decade (2010-2020).
protect fundamental rights are key pillars of               These countries are shaking the EU's internal
any stable liberal democracy. This is especially            political scene. The problematic policies and
true when we consider the fact that the                     rhetoric of these governments not only pose a
modern world is experiencing a rise in                      threat to the EU's internal democratic
populism, polarisation, and authoritarian                   foundations, but also spread scepticism
tendencies.                                                 towards further EU enlargement to the
                                                            Western Balkans because some candidate
Usually, a significant crisis (whether financial or
                                                            countries are viewed as potential hiers to such
in relation to health) is seen as a major game
                                                            rule of law problems6.
changer, most notably in recent economic
history. In our globalised world, the impacts of            Western Balkan countries were devastated by
crises have become more rapid and extensive,                the GFC of 2008, which challenged the weak
and are especially dangerous for weak and                   fiscal systems of their economies. At the same
less-developed systems. Where economic                      time, EU countries, and especially Eurozone
instability exists, such crises are usually                 countries, received generous financial help
accompanied by political and geopolitical                   that contributed to a significantly faster
tensions. Such is the case in the Western                   recovery. The small and less-developed
Balkans, although the effects of past and                   neighbouring countries received minimal
current crises are visible everywhere.                      financial assistance from the EU, which is
                                                            especially notable given that both Montenegro
                                                            and Kosovo use the Euro as their official
                                                            currency. Additionally, the situation worsened
    Usually,   a   significant     crisis   (whether        over time, with the withdrawal of some EU-
    financial or in relation to health) is seen as a        based FDI projects during the crisis period.
    major game changer, most notably in recent              Downsizing economic activity ultimately
    economic history. In our globalised world,              resulted in higher social and political tensions
    the impacts of crises have become more                  in the region. In sum, the GFC hampered
                                                            Western Balkan development in several ways
    rapid and extensive, and are especially
                                                            over the past twelve years. These include: i)
    dangerous for weak and less-developed                   people lost hope for prosperity and began
    systems. Where economic instability exists,             seeking EU working permits, ii) the appeal of
    such crises are usually accompanied by                  right-wing populist and authoritarian leaders
    political and geopolitical tensions.                    has increased, and iii) the region has
                                                            progressively looked to Turkey, the Arab
                                                            states, and China to fill the void in investment
                                                            from EU origins7.
While the EU continues to face the negative
economic consequences of major global crises,               In addition, the ongoing COVID-19 crisis has
Alizada et al.5 argue that the situation is                 caused immeasurable damage. It will take
                                                            years to rebuild and recover from the

5 Alizada, N., et al. (2021) Autocratization Turns Viral.   7Deichmann, J. (2021) (ed.) Foreign Direct Investment in
Democracy Report 2021, University of Gothenburg: V-         the Successor States of Yugoslavia: A Comparative
Dem Institute.                                              Economic Geography 25 Years Later, Basel, Switzerland:
6 Böttger, K. and Maugeais, D. (2021): “Countering the      Springer Nature.
Rule of Law Backsliding in the Western Balkans“, ÖgfE
Policy Brief, No 11 (Accessed 15 November 2021).
Challenges of Enlargement in the Western
       TEPSA Briefs – January 2022
                                                                              Balkans

economic devastation and to restore jobs and               Ambassador of the European Union to
growth in the region. The GFC and COVID-19                 Montenegro, Oana Kristina Popa, pointed out
have also affected domestic political spaces               that mutual political and economic
across the Western Balkans, meaning that this              rapprochement with the EU is a continuous,
region has experienced substantial democratic              parallel and challenging process, emphasising
backsliding8. This development is to some                  that "one cannot have an advantage over the
degree associated with recent geopolitical                 other, because both processes are closely
changes.                                                   connected. The EU is ready to help both
                                                           politically and with large investments through
The European Commision and several Member
                                                           the Economic Investment Plan, Pre-Accession
States have pointed to the need for EU internal
                                                           Assistance Instrument (IPA) projects, and other
reform towards domestic democratic
                                                           investments"11.
challenges, as well as concerns about
departures from democracy in the Western                   At the same time, further economic
Balkans. This has made the process of                      integration can provide a springboard in the
integration more demanding, creating a                     process of EU accession. However, this process
situation where “the EU accession perspective              is likely to suffer from the same political
of the Western Balkan countries and the EU’s               handicaps that have undermined progress in
internal developments are as strongly tied                 the reforms set out in the integration agenda.
together as they have ever been“ 9. Indeed, it             For the region to truly develop, economic
is becoming more obvious that the coming                   integration must be accompanied by reforms
years will be decisive for the democratic and              regarding the rule of law.
EU-oriented future of the region.
                                                           According to Džihić, Schmidt and Poli (2021),
On the basis of findings by Böttger and                    what is needed is a new development strategy
Maugeais (2021), the EU and its Member                     that focuses on specific sectors in order to
States should step up their efforts to promote             strengthen national and regional comparative
the rule of law in the Western Balkans, and                advantages, and one of the concrete measures
perhaps take some responsibility for the                   should be the acceleration of the EU's
region's democratic setbacks. The Aspen                    promised investment plans12.
Institute suggests that without improved
monitoring and assessment of reform
                                                           The importance of                           economic
mechanisms         supported    by      political          integration and FDI
consequences for governments in the region, it             For the Western Balkans to truly progress
is unrealistic to expect any major changes or a            towards the EU and gradually adopt European
transformative effect purely on the basis of the           values, strong political and economic action is
revised methodology 10.                                    required by Brussels. Unfortunately, all
This already-difficult situation has become                countries of the region have experienced
more serious with the ongoing impact of                    setbacks in this area.
COVID-19. The regional economic shock                      The Economic and Investment Plan (EIP) for
caused by the pandemic cannot be overcome                  the Western Balkans, launched in October
by Western Balkan countries alone. The

8 Alizada et al. op cit.                                   Solidarity in Action and the Future of Europe: Views from
9 Böttger, K. and Maugeais, D. op. cit.                    the Capitals (2021), published by Springer, Faculty of
10 Aspen Institute (2021) Do the Western Balkan            Economics, University of Montenegro, 3 November,
countries need a different model of EU accession? 16       2021). More information can be found at
September 2021 (Accessed 15 November 2021).                http://cepeuch.com
11 Comments made at the Public debate entitled             12 Džihić V., Schmidt, P. and Poli, E. (2021) “The Plight of

“Enlargement solidarity: between political and economic    the Western Balkans Is a Wake-up Call for Europe“, IAI
convergence and solidarity in the Third volume: European   Commentaries, Rome: Istituto Affari Internazionali.
Challenges of Enlargement in the Western
          TEPSA Briefs – January 2022
                                                                         Balkans

2020, represents a substantial investment           marginal increase of 6.8 % demonstrates that
package that has ambitions to boost economic        the EU is missing another opportunity to
development. This will be done through              narrow the socio-economic gap between the
support for competitiveness and inclusive           EU and the Western Balkans14.
growth based upon sustainable connectivity
                                                    Bartlett argues that the most important aspect
with an emphasis on green and digital
                                                    of Balkan integration with the EU is economic
technology. The EIP will mobilize up to EUR 9
                                                    security through trade, FDI, and inclusion in
billion from IPA III for the period 2021-27, plus
                                                    international supply networks15. All of these
up to EUR 20 billion in investment over the
                                                    require improved infrastructure. In the
next decade.
                                                    Balkans, connectivity lags far behind other
The      Western        Balkans     Investment      regions of Europe. The EU and China have both
            13
Framework provides financial and technical          introduced projects that will make this region
assistance, mainly focusing on transportation       far more accessible to the global economy.
projects, both by improving existing
                                                    The investment needs of the region are
infrastructure in the region and developing
                                                    significant, and all countries in the region are
new projects. One example is the Balkan
                                                    extremely reliant on FDI inflows. The speed of
portion of Europe’s Trans-European Transport
                                                    their recovery and sustainable convergence
network, which will connect larger Balkan
                                                    with the EU will thus depend on the rate and
cities with those in EU Member States.
                                                    level of inflow of capital. Deichmann's edited
Through grants, loans, and investments, this
                                                    volume16 examines the role of foreign direct
will mainly benefit cities in Serbia,
                                                    investment across the region, with country-
Montenegro, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and
                                                    specific chapters contributed by local scholars
Kosovo. For the EIP to be successfully
                                                    from Yugoslavia's successor states. Without
implemented, these funds must be fully
                                                    exception, the authors arrive at a consensus
disbursed for the specified projects. EU
                                                    that FDI is a necessary tool for Western Balkan
assistance is required to support local
                                                    governments in pursuing their objectives of
governments and enhance their administrative
                                                    integration and development. FDI will enable
and technical capacities to apply for funding,
                                                    greater transfers of know-how and technology
then guide them in implementing the
                                                    to domestic firms, which is essential for post-
approved projects in a timely manner.
                                                    pandemic recovery. However, the attraction of
However, the question arises as to whether the
                                                    sufficient FDI into the Balkans requires further
allocated amount is sufficient, bearing in mind
                                                    integration with the EU as well as
the effects of the prolonged COVID-19 crisis. By
                                                    infrastructure improvements through both EU
comparison, some neighbours of the Western
                                                    funding and projects such as China’s BRI
Balkans are expected to receive ten times
                                                    initiative.
more aid.
                                                    Although not among the leading global
Although the EIP has great ambitions, the
                                                    destinations for FDI, the importance of FDI
announced IPA III has seen only an increase of
                                                    inflows to the Western Balkans cannot be
EUR 800 million in availalbe funding compared
                                                    overstated. Unfortunately, even before the
to the previous programming period (at 2018
                                                    dramatic drop-off due to COVID-19, overall
prices). The Aspen Institute stated that it is
                                                    global FDI flows had already declined for 5
encouraging that the EU has decided to
increase the package for the region, but the

13   For more information, see https://wbif.eu/     15 Bartlett, W. (2009) “Economic development in the
14   Aspen Institute. op. cit.                      European super-periphery: evidence from the Western
                                                    Balkans“, Economic Annals, 54(181), pp. 21-44.
                                                    16 Deichmann, J. op. cit.
Challenges of Enlargement in the Western
         TEPSA Briefs – January 2022
                                                                               Balkans

years17. Western Balkan countries, faced with               and its presence in the region does not
decreasing financial flows from European                    undermine the process of EU accession22.
countries in the last decade, have sought to
                                                            Despite the rhetoric of some politicians fueling
replace this FDI with projects from “new”
                                                            geopolitical tensions, currently China’s
origins such as the United Arab Emirates and
                                                            influence in the region remains minor.
Turkey, and more recently from China18.
                                                            Unfortunately, normal economic exchanges
Chinese interest in Europe has received                     are sometimes feared to be politically
considerable scholarly attention in recent                  motivated. In addition, economic cooperation
years19. As FDI flows from China increase, many             is suspected as a play for political influence,
in the EU view China’s economic presence in                 and infrastructure project financing is
the Western Balkans in negative terms20 with                perceived as a potential “debt trap”. China’s
fears about the long-term motives behind                    economic        engagement       serves      the
Chinese infrastructure projects. There have                 development needs of the Western Balkans
even been cases of politicians in the Western               countries and does not constitute a zero-sum
Balkans overplaying Chinese influence to                    game for the EU. The Western Balkans region
attract greater attention from the EU, warning              is at the forefront of geopolitical competition
that if the EU withdraws from the region, the               and as such the Western Balkans countries are
void will be filled by China.                               affected by this geopolitical game to varying
                                                            degrees.
However, China argues that it does not have
geopolitical ambitions in the region21. Over the            On the one hand, China has followed closely
past decade, China set forth the Cooperation                the trends of geopolitical changes and paid
Framework with CEEC. As part of CEEC, the                   attention to geopolitical risks, while on the
Western Balkan countries are an essential                   other, China has not given up attempt to ramp
component of China’s foreign policy.                        up mutually-beneficial cooperation with the
Specifically, the BRI gives new importance to               Western Balkans countries. As far as the
relations between China and the Western                     economic affairs are concerned, there is still
Balkan countries. China assures Europe that it              room for both China and the EU to cooperate
does not wish to transform the Western                      in the Western Balkans.
Balkans or export its governance model.
Currently, China’s trade with the Western
                                                            Conclusion
Balkans remains negligible compared to that of              In conclusion, the political and economic
the EU, its investment in the region is still at            future of the Western Balkans lies in the
relative low level, and its economic                        balance. This brief highlights the geostrategic
engagement focuses on transportation and                    importance of the region in the present
energy infrastructures. China's government                  context of economic stagnation and capital
states that it supports the European                        scarcity induced by the ongoing COVID-19
perspective of the Western Balkans countries,               pandemic. In their efforts to facilitate

17 See OECD (2020) Foreign direct investment flows in the   Foreign Direct Investment in Europe“, Asian Economic
time of COVID-19 (Accessed 15 November 2021); OECD          Papers, 18(2), pp. 102-119 and Deichmann, J. op cit.
(2021a) COVID-19 fallout sinks global FDI flows by 38% in   20 Pavlićević, D. op. cit.

2020 (Accessed 15 November 2021) and OECD (2021b)           21 Lijian Z., Foreign Ministry Spokesperson's Regular Press

Global FDI flows rebound to exceed pre-pandemic levels      Conference on July 13, 2021 accessed 20 July 2021).
(Accessed 15 November 2021).                                22 Jin L., Chinese Ambassador to Montenegro, statement
18 Deichmann, J. op. cit.                                   at the seminar “The EU, China and the Western Balkans:
19 See for instance Pavlićević, D. (2018) “‘China threat’   The Challenges and Prospects of Further Integration“,
and ‘China opportunity’: politics of dreams and fears in    organized with the Jean Monett Centre of Excellency:
China-Central and Eastern European relations“, Journal      Challenges of Enlargement Policy: EU versus Chinese
of Contemporary China, 27(113), pp. 688-702; Richet, X.     diplomacy in Western Balkans, hosted by the Faculty of
(2019), “Geographical and Stratefic Factors in Chinese      Economics of the University of Montenegro, May 2021.
Challenges of Enlargement in the Western
         TEPSA Briefs – January 2022
                                                                             Balkans

economic recovery and greater participation in               have tourism that depends on visits from the
the global economy, the countries’ leaders find              former Soviet republics… We have to ask
themselves weighing tradeoffs between two                    ourselves, what is more important - values and
                                                             ideas or investments. Cooperation with China is
principal partners for the future: the EU and
                                                             inevitable. We have to cooperate with almost
China. European integration is widely seen as
                                                             everyone, without exception. Cooperation and
the panacea to the challenges facing the                     economic cooperation is one thing, and political
Western Balkans. However, the window of                      orientation and values are something totally
opportunity for the EU is closing. In recent                 different. In our thinking and values we are the
years, it is China that has been increasingly                political West24.
assertive in reaching out to the region with
                                                        Indeed, foreign capital remains an essential
infrastructure assistance, which is bound to be
                                                        tool for development in the Western Balkans.
followed by more Chinese FDI and other
                                                        FDI is linked to integration with Europe as well
involvement that some critics view as a
                                                        as with the global economy. Like the EU, China
potential threat to Europe23.
                                                        and other countries can be partners for
To be proactive, the EU should seek ways to             Western Balkan development. While FDI is
swiftly and significantly increase its investment       essential to promote economic growth as well
in the region by allocating more funds than             as transfer of skills and technology, Deichmann
those already committed through the EIP. One            argues that governments should prudently
option could be to grant Western Balkan                 screen FDI for potential negative impacts on
governments gradual access to the EU’s                  the societies and environment of the Western
structural funds. In this way, the region's             Balkans25. As regional advantages, policy-
governments would be incentivised to honor              makers and investment promotion teams
their commitments for reform. This would also           should leverage lower labour costs and
improve the EU’s image in the Western Balkans           favorable corporate tax regimes in the
through tangible and visible benefits for the           Western Balkans. Other keys to attracting FDI
local populations. By narrowing the                     to the region include further integration with
development gap, the countries of the region            the EU as well as infrastructure improvements
will have less need to look for assistance from         through EU funding and projects such as
external actors such as China, Russia, Turkey,          China’s BRI initiative as well as smaller
and the Arab states.                                    infrastructure projects in major cities. Finally,
However, the window of opportunity will not             in this time of pandemic-induced economic
remain open indefinitely for the EU to                  crisis, the EU and its Member States should
consolidate its role in the Western Balkans. As         capture the present opportunity to consolidate
reported by Brennan, Montenegro's Minister              their role in the Western Balkans by engaging
for Foreign Affairs, Đorđe Radulović, stated:           the region more fully.

     We want to see more investment from the
     West. The Western Balkans is the heart of
     Europe, not the EU, but of Europe, and
     Montenegro is in the heart of the
     region. Americans and Europeans must be
     more determined in the region. We are part of
     the political West, but our economy depends on
     the political East. We have a Chinese loan, we

23Pavlićević, D. op. cit.                               25   Deichmann, J. op. cit.
24 Brennan, D. (2021) ”U.S., EU Risk Losing 'Heart of
Europe' to China, Montenegro Warns”, Newsweek, 12
November 2021 (Accessed 15 November 2021).
Challenges of Enlargement in the Western
       TEPSA Briefs – January 2022
                                                                               Balkans

References
Alfaro, L. (2017) “Gains from foreign direct investment: Macro and micro approaches“, World Bank Economic
Review, 30, Supplement 1, pp. 2-15.
Alizada, N., et al. (2021) Autocratization Turns Viral. Democracy Report 2021, University of Gothenburg: V-Dem
Institute.
Aspen Institute (2021) Do the Western Balkan countries need a different model of EU accession? 16 September
2021 (Accessed 15 November 2021).
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Balkans“, Economic Annals, 54(181), pp. 21-44.
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Brief, No 11 (Accessed 15 November 2021).
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Deichmann, J. (2021) (ed.) Foreign Direct Investment in the Successor States of Yugoslavia: A Comparative
Economic Geography 25 Years Later, Basel, Switzerland: Springer Nature.
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Commentaries, Rome: Istituto Affari Internazionali.
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The Challenges and Prospects of Further Integration“, organized with the Jean Monett Centre of Excellency:
Challenges of Enlargement Policy: EU versus Chinese diplomacy in Western Balkans, hosted by the Faculty of
Economics of the University of Montenegro, May 2021.

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OECD (2021a) COVID-19 fallout sinks global FDI flows by 38% in 2020 (Accessed 15 November 2021).
OECD (2021b) Global FDI flows rebound to exceed pre-pandemic levels (Accessed 15 November 2021).
Pavlićević, D. (2018) “‘China threat’ and ‘China opportunity’: politics of dreams and fears in China -Central and
Eastern European relations“, Journal of Contemporary China, 27(113), pp. 688-702.
Richet, X. (2019), “Geographical and Stratefic Factors in Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in Europe“, Asian
Economic Papers, 18(2), pp. 102-119.
Ruge, M. (2021) “Six Principles to Guide EU Action in the Western Balkans“, IAI Commentaries, Rome: Istituto
Affari Internazionali.
Challenges of Enlargement in the Western
    TEPSA Briefs – January 2022
                                                               Balkans

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                                                                @Univerzitet_CG
                  @tepsa.eu
                                                             @UniverzitetCrneGore

     TEPSA – Trans European Policy Studies
                 Association                               @Univerzitet Crne Gore

                    @tepsaeu

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