Continuing mortality of vultures in India associated with illegal veterinary use of diclofenac and a potential threat from nimesulide

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Continuing mortality of vultures in India associated
             with illegal veterinary use of diclofenac and a
             potential threat from nimesulide
                               RICHARD J. CUTHBERT, MARK A. TAGGART, MOHINI SAINI, ANIL SHARMA
                                     ASIT DAS, MANDAR D. KULKARNI, PARAG DEORI, SACHIN RANADE
                                     R O H A N N . S H R I N G A R P U R E , T O B Y H . G A L L I G A N and R H Y S E . G R E E N

             Abstract The collapse of South Asia’s Gyps vulture popula-                            Veterinary use of nimesulide is a potential threat to the
             tions is attributable to the veterinary use of the non-steroidal                      recovery of vulture populations.
             anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID) diclofenac. Vultures died
                                                                                                   Keywords Diclofenac, environmental pollution, Gyps, me-
             after feeding on carcasses of recently-medicated animals.
                                                                                                   loxicam, nephrotoxicity, nimesulide, non-steroidal anti-
             The governments of India, Nepal and Pakistan banned the
                                                                                                   inflammatory drug, vulture
             veterinary use of diclofenac in . We analysed results of
              necropsies and  NSAID assays of liver and/or kidney                              To view supplementary material for this article please visit
             for vultures of five species found dead in India between                              http://dx.doi.org/./SX
              and . Visceral gout and diclofenac were detected
             in vultures from nine states and three species: Gyps benga-
             lensis, Gyps indicus and Gyps himalayensis. Visceral gout                             Introduction
             was found in every vulture carcass in which a measurable
             level of diclofenac was detected. Meloxicam, an NSAID of
             low toxicity to vultures, was found in two vultures and ni-
             mesulide in five vultures. Nimesulide at elevated tissue
                                                                                                   P     opulations of three species of Gyps vultures endemic to
                                                                                                         South Asia fell by more than % between the early
                                                                                                   s and  (Prakash et al., , , ), leading
             concentrations was associated with visceral gout in four of                           to their being categorized as Critically Endangered in the
             these cases, always without diclofenac, suggesting that nime-                         IUCN Red List (BirdLife International, ). Research has
             sulide may have similar toxic effects to those of diclofenac.                         established that veterinary use of diclofenac, a non-steroidal
             Residues of meloxicam on its own were never associated                                anti-inflammatory drug (NSAID), was the principal cause
             with visceral gout. The proportion of Gyps vultures found                             of this collapse in vulture numbers (Oaks et al., ; Green
             dead in the wild in India with measurable levels of diclofe-                          et al., , ; Shultz et al., ). Diclofenac is nephro-
             nac in their tissues showed a modest and non-significant                              toxic at low doses to all species of Gyps vultures tested
             decline since the ban on the veterinary use of diclofenac.                            (Oaks et al., ; Swan et al., a). Residues of the drug
             The prevalence of visceral gout declined less, probably be-                           were found in carcasses of domesticated ungulates available
             cause some cases of visceral gout from  onwards were                              to vultures in India (Green et al., ; Taggart et al., ,
             associated with nimesulide rather than diclofenac.                                    ) and vultures were exposed when they consumed car-
                                                                                                   casses of ungulates treated shortly before death (Oaks et al.,
                                                                                                   ; Green et al., ). Post-mortem examination of Gyps
             RICHARD J. CUTHBERT* and TOBY H. GALLIGAN RSPB Centre for Conservation
                                                                                                   vultures killed by diclofenac poisoning in experiments showed
             Science, Royal Society for the Protection of Birds, Sandy, Bedfordshire, UK           extensive visceral gout and necrosis of kidney tissues similar to
             MARK A. TAGGART, Environmental Research Institute, University of the                  that seen in a high proportion of vultures found dead in the
             Highlands and Islands, Castle St, Thurso, UK                                          wild (Oaks et al., ; Shultz et al., ; Meteyer et al.,
             MOHINI SAINI, ANIL SHARMA and ASIT DAS Centre for Wildlife Conservation,              ; Swan et al., a). Bans on the veterinary use of diclo-
             Management & Disease Surveillance, Indian Veterinary Research Institute,              fenac have been in force since  in India, Pakistan and
             Izatnagar, Uttar Pradesh, India
                                                                                                   Nepal, and since  in Bangladesh. The safety to Gyps vul-
             MANDAR D. KULKARNI, PARAG DEORI, SACHIN RANADE and ROHAN N. SHRINGARPURE
             Bombay Natural History Society Mumbai, India
                                                                                                   tures of meloxicam, an alternative veterinary NSAID, has
                                                                                                   been established experimentally (Swan et al., b; Swarup
             RHYS E. GREEN† (Corresponding author) Conservation Science Group,
             Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street,                       et al., ). In India the proportion of ungulate carcasses con-
             Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK. E-mail r.green@zoo.cam.ac.uk                                  taminated with diclofenac fell by about half within  years of
             *Also at: Wildlife Conservation Society, Goroka, Eastern Highlands Province,          the introduction of the ban (Cuthbert et al., ). In asso-
             Papua New Guinea                                                                      ciation with this decrease in diclofenac prevalence, the rate
             †Also at: RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, Royal Society for the Protection
             of Birds, Sandy, Bedfordshire, UK                                                     of decline of Gyps vulture populations in India, Nepal and
             Received  January . Revision requested  February .                          Pakistan has slowed (Jamshed et al., ; Prakash et al.,
             Accepted  March . First published online  May .                            ), as has the decline in two other vulture species,

                                                                                        Oryx, 2016, 50(1), 104–112 © 2015 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S003060531500037X
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. https://doi.org/10.1017/S003060531500037X
Mortality of vultures            105

           red-headed vulture Sarcogyps calvus and Egyptian vulture                              carcasses collected in India for which data were reported by
           Neophron percnopterus, which may also be affected by                                  Shultz et al. ().
           diclofenac (Galligan et al., ).
              Here we report the findings of necropsies of dead vul-
           tures collected in India during –, which includes                             Necropsies of vulture carcasses and assessment
           periods before and after the diclofenac ban in . We                               of visceral gout
           re-evaluate the previously observed perfect association of
                                                                                                 Detailed necropsy examinations were undertaken by trained
           visceral gout with diclofenac and other NSAIDs by compar-
                                                                                                 veterinarians and field biologists who followed a standard
           ing necropsy results with measurements of the concentra-
                                                                                                 protocol (Cunningham et al., ). This included external
           tions of nine NSAIDs in liver and/or kidney. We evaluate
                                                                                                 and internal visual examination for gross abnormalities, and
           changes over time in the prevalence of visceral gout and
                                                                                                 the collection of liver and/or kidney tissues for subsequent
           NSAID contamination in carcasses of vultures found dead
                                                                                                 NSAID residue analysis. Where possible, morbid tissues
           in the wild.
                                                                                                 fixed in % NBF were processed by a conventional technique
                                                                                                 to obtain  μm thick paraffin embedded sections (Luna, ).
                                                                                                 The sections stained with routine hematoxylin and eosin stain
           Methods                                                                               were examined microscopically for pathological changes asso-
                                                                                                 ciated with nephrotoxicity. De Galantha stain was employed
           Collection of vulture carcasses                                                       for demonstration of urate crystals. Images of representative
                                                                                                 changes were documented. Samples of kidney and/or liver
           Carcasses of vultures were collected from July  to
                                                                                                 were removed and frozen for NSAID assays.
           April  in nine states of India (Assam, Gujarat,
                                                                                                     In some cases, when carcasses were found in remote lo-
           Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh,
                                                                                                 cations or where trained personnel were not available, full
           Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Uttarakhand), extending
                                                                                                 necropsies could not be performed and less detailed exam-
           from the western to the eastern extremes of the country.
                                                                                                 inations were conducted in the field. We consider these
           We report here only results for specimens for which the
                                                                                                 examinations, together with the detailed post mortems, suf-
           year of collection was known and results of necropsy,
                                                                                                 ficient for the detection of the presence or absence of vis-
           NSAID assay or both were available. A total of  vultures
                                                                                                 ceral gout based upon observation of white crystals of uric
           were examined at necropsy for visceral gout (one cinereous
                                                                                                 acid deposited on the surfaces of organs such as the liver (see
           vulture Aegypius monachus, one Eurasian griffon vulture
                                                                                                 Oaks et al.,  and Swan et al., a for illustrations). In
           Gyps fulvus, three Himalayan griffon vultures Gyps hima-
                                                                                                 reviewing the post-mortem reports, we found two cases of
           layensis,  long-billed vultures Gyps indicus and  oriental
                                                                                                 white deposits on internal organs, like those seen in gout,
           white-backed vultures Gyps bengalensis). Liver and/or kid-
                                                                                                 in which this was considered at the time to be possibly
           ney samples from  vultures were assayed for NSAIDs
                                                                                                 due to an unidentified fungal infection in one case and can-
           (one A. monachus, one G. fulvus, three G. himalayensis,
                                                                                                 didiasis (a specific fungal infection) in another. In both
            G. indicus and  G. bengalensis). Carcasses of  vultures
                                                                                                 cases, fungal infection was not confirmed by microscopy.
           ( A. monachus,  G. fulvus,  G. himalayensis,  G. indicus and
                                                                                                 In the case of the bird with suggested candidiasis, subse-
            G. bengalensis) were assessed for both gout and NSAIDs.
                                                                                                 quent histopathological examination of the kidney revealed
           No NSAID assays were available for seven G. indicus
                                                                                                 severe gout nephrosis. This suggested that white deposits
           and eight G. bengalensis with necropsy results, and one
                                                                                                 observed on macroscopic examination had been misidenti-
           G. bengalensis with an NSAID assay did not have a necropsy
                                                                                                 fied as fungal infection. We therefore judged that gout had
           result. Vulture carcasses were collected by staff of the Bombay
                                                                                                 been mistakenly identified as fungal disease in both cases
           Natural History Society and volunteers, local conservation
                                                                                                 and reassigned both as having visceral gout.
           NGOs and individuals. Two carcasses of G. bengalensis were
           obtained as a result of special efforts to collect and treat the
           large numbers of birds killed and injured by collisions with                          Measurement of NSAID residues
           kite strings during the annual kite-flying festival in the city
           of Ahmedabad (Gujarat), but the others were found                                     Samples of frozen liver and kidney (c. . g) were thawed
           opportunistically, dead or dying in the field. After their                            and weighed (to ± mg) into new glass test tubes and homo-
           population decline became apparent, vultures in India were                            genized with  ml of HPLC grade acetonitrile. This mixture
           strictly protected under Schedule I of the Wildlife                                   was then centrifuged at  g for  minutes and the super-
           Protection Act (), which requires permits before live or                          natant filtered using disposable PTFE syringe filter units of
           dead specimens can be collected. This restriction influenced                          . micron. The filtered extract was stored in LC vials at
           both the number of carcasses obtained and the distribution                            −°C until analysis. Samples collected up until June
           of collection localities. Our study included all  vulture                            were analysed for diclofenac only by LC–ESI/MS

           Oryx, 2016, 50(1), 104–112 © 2015 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S003060531500037X
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106         R. J. Cuthbert et al.

             (liquid chromatography–electrospray ionization mass                                   G. indicus when the species are compared during the same
             spectrometry) using an Agilent  LC and D MS, fol-                             period (see above), ignoring the change over time in species
             lowing methods in Taggart et al. (). The limit of                                 composition in the regression analysis would bias the esti-
             quantification (LOQ) for this technique (back-calculated                              mated trend to be more positive (less negative) than it
             to wet tissue concentration) was . mg kg−. Samples                                should be.
             collected after June  were analysed for nine different                                The proportion of adult vultures in the sample examined
             veterinary NSAIDs (carprofen, diclofenac, flunixin, ibupro-                           was slightly higher after  than before (Table ), and this
             fen, indometacin, ketoprofen, meloxicam, naproxen and                                 would tend to bias the trend in the opposite direction. To
             nimesulide) that were selected based on their potential                               allow for these differences we fitted multiple logistic regression
             risk to avian species, presence within pharmacies in India                            models with the main effects of species (G. himalayensis,
             and likelihood of entering the veterinary sector in the region                        G. indicus and G. bengalensis) and age class (nestling, imma-
             (Taggart et al., ; Cuthbert et al., ). They were                              ture [i.e. juvenile and sub-adult] and adult) each included as
             analysed by LC–ESI/MS in negative ion mode (utilizing a                               three-level factors in addition to time (collection year) as a
             C column) following methods described in Taggart et al.                             continuous variable.
             (). LOQ values for these nine NSAIDs were .–.                                  We excluded from the logistic regression models the re-
             mg kg− (see Supplementary Table S in Taggart et al.,                                sults for the single specimens of A. monachus and G. fulvus
             ). The LOQ for diclofenac was the same (. mg kg−)                             because the small sample size for these species did not allow
             in the analyses conducted before and after June . Of the                          us to fit reliable statistical models of the effects of species dif-
              carcasses for which diclofenac measurements were made,                             ferences. We also excluded results for two Gyps bengalensis
             values were available for both liver and kidney for  carcasses,                     carcasses whose recovery was associated with a kite festival
             liver only for eight carcasses and kidney only for three                              (see above). Carcasses whose age class was not recorded
             carcasses.                                                                            were also excluded (six carcasses from the gout dataset
                                                                                                   and two carcasses from the diclofenac dataset).
             Statistical analysis                                                                      We expected that the prevalence of diclofenac contamin-
                                                                                                   ation and visceral gout would decline with increasing time
             The statistical significance of associations between the pres-                        during this period, based upon independent information on
             ence of gout and the detection of diclofenac residues in liver                        the downward trend in diclofenac contamination of ungu-
             and/or kidney was assessed using the Fisher exact test for a                          lates (Cuthbert et al., ). Hence, we used one-tailed
              ×  contingency table (Siegel & Castellan, ). The two-                          t-tests in these analyses to assess the statistical significance
             tailed exact probability was calculated for the observed out-                         of trends over time. We plotted the expected proportions
             come under a null hypothesis of no association.                                       from the models against time for adult G. bengalensis and
                 We estimated trends over time in the prevalence of diclo-                         adult G. indicus.
             fenac residues in the liver and/or kidney and the prevalence
             of visceral gout in vultures by logistic regression analysis,                         Comparison of the decline in diclofenac prevalence in
             (Crawley, ) with the presence/absence of diclofenac                               vulture carcasses with the decline expected from surveys
             contamination or the presence/absence of gout as binary                               of diclofenac in ungulate carcasses
             dependent variables and calendar year of collection as an
             independent variable. It was necessary to allow for species                           We calculated the expected probability of death caused by
             and age class in these analyses because previous studies                              diclofenac per vulture meal (C) in mid  and the annual
             have indicated that the prevalence of both gout and diclofe-                          survival rate of adults in the absence of diclofenac using the
             nac contamination of Gyps vultures in the Indian subcon-                              simulation model of a vulture population described by
             tinent vary with those variables. Both prevalences tend                               Green et al. (). We obtained values of C and survival
             to be higher in G. bengalensis than in G. indicus (Green                              that gave a value for the annual rate of population decline
             et al., ; Shultz et al., ) and higher in adults than                          for G. bengalensis in India equal to the value observed at
             immatures (Gilbert et al., ; Green et al., ). For ex-                         that time (population multiplication rate λ = .; Green
             ample, in a large sample of G. bengalensis found dead in                              et al., ) and a value for the proportion of dead adult
             Pakistan, the prevalence of visceral gout increased progres-                          G. bengalensis with diclofenac in mid  equal to that
             sively with age, being % in nestlings, % in fledglings, %                       from the multiple logistic regression fitted to post-mortem
             in subadults and % in adults (Gilbert et al., ).                                data (see preceding section), which was .%. We then es-
                 The proportions of carcasses of different Gyps species                            timated C for mid  by reducing the mid  estimate
             changed over time. For example, after  a larger propor-                           by %, which is the change in this parameter estimated for
             tion of the carcasses examined were of G. bengalensis rather                          the  years between mid  and mid  from the sur-
             than G. indicus (Table ). Given that the prevalence of gout                          veys of diclofenac concentrations in liver samples of ungu-
             and diclofenac tended to be higher in G. bengalensis than in                          late carcasses available to vultures in India by Cuthbert et al.

                                                                                        Oryx, 2016, 50(1), 104–112 © 2015 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S003060531500037X
Downloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core. IP address: 46.4.80.155, on 15 Aug 2021 at 00:35:19, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms
. https://doi.org/10.1017/S003060531500037X
Mortality of vultures            107

           TABLE 1 Co-occurrence of visceral gout and residues of NSAIDs in carcasses of wild Gyps vultures collected in India during –.
           Results are shown separately for a period when assays were only performed for diclofenac (–) and a later period (–)
           when carprofen, flunixin, ibuprofen, indometacin, ketoprofen, meloxicam, naproxen and nimesulide were also assayed. For these
           additional drugs, only residues of nimesulide and meloxicam were detected. Numbers of nestlings, immatures, adults and birds of un-
           known age, respectively, are shown in brackets.

                                                                                                                                        Nimesulide
           Species                         Gout             Diclofenac               Nimesulide                Meloxicam                & meloxicam                 No NSAID
           2000–2004
           G. fulvus                       Yes              0                                                                                                       0
                                           No               0                                                                                                       1 (0,1,0,0)
           G. himalayensis                 Yes              0                                                                                                       0
                                           No               0                                                                                                       1 (0,1,0,0)
           G. indicus                      Yes              6 (0,5,1,0)                                                                                             0
                                           No               0                                                                                                       3 (0,2,1,0)
           G. bengalensis                  Yes              7 (0,3,4,0)                                                                                             0
                                           No               0                                                                                                       4 (1,1,2,0)
           All species                     Yes              13 (0,8,5,0)                                                                                            0
                                           No               0                                                                                                       9 (1,5,3,0)
           2005–2011
           G. fulvus                       Yes              0                        0                         0                        0                           0
                                           No               0                        0                         0                        0                           0
           G. himalayensis                 Yes              1 (0,1,0,0)              0                         0                        0                           0
                                           No               0                        0                         0                        0                           1 (0,1,0,0)
           G. indicus                      Yes              0                        0                         0                        0                           0
                                           No               0                        0                         0                        0                           1 (0,1,0,0)
           G. bengalensis                  Yes              11 (2,1,8,0)             3 (0,1,1,1)               0                        1 (0,0,1,0)                 0
                                           No               0                        1 (0,0,1,0)               1 (0,0,0,1)              0                           4 (1,3,0,0)
           All species                     Yes              12 (2,2,8,0)             3 (0,1,1,1)               0                        1 (0,0,1,0)                 0
                                           No               0                        1 (0,0,1,0)               1 (0,0,0,1)              0                           6 (1,5,0,0)

           TABLE 2 Concentrations (mg kg−) of nimesulide and meloxicam and the presence of visceral gout in all six carcasses (of G. bengalensis) in
           which either or both of these drugs was detected. Other NSAIDs (diclofenac, carprofen, flunixin, ibuprofen, indometacin, ketoprofen and
           naproxen) were assayed in all these birds but none was detected.

                                                            Collection               Nimesulide*                              Meloxicam*                                Visceral
           Age class               State                    year                     Liver               Kidney               Liver                Kidney               gout?
           Adult                   Gujarat                  2008                     0.309               2.753                ,LOQ                 ,LOQ                 Yes
           Juvenile                Gujarat                  2010                     0.297               0.014                ,LOQ                 ,LOQ                 Yes
           Adult                   Jharkhand                2010                     0.010               0.014                ,LOQ                 ,LOQ                 No
           Unknown                 Gujarat                  2010                     ,LOQ                ,LOQ                 0.187                0.684                No
           Unknown                 Gujarat                  2011                     0.156               0.689                ,LOQ                 ,LOQ                 Yes
           Adult                   Gujarat                  2011                     0.573               1.459                0.019                0.028                Yes
           *,LOQ, below the limit of quantification of the assay

           (). We used the method given by Green et al. () to                            the same quantity derived from the surveys of diclofenac in
           calculate the expected proportion of deaths of adult G. ben-                          ungulate livers. To do this we generated lists of , boot-
           galensis caused by diclofenac in mid  from this reduced                           strap estimates of the proportions of vultures with diclofenac
           mid  value of C. We obtained confidence limits for this                           for each of the two methods. We aligned the two
           expected proportion from the bootstrap confidence limits                              randomly-ordered lists, calculated the absolute difference
           for the change in expected death rate per meal given by                               between values for each pair of bootstrap replicates and took
           Cuthbert et al. (; see their Table ). We performed a sig-                        the proportion of replicates in which the difference had the
           nificance test of the difference between the expected propor-                         opposite sign to that observed in the real data to be the prob-
           tion of deaths of adult G. bengalensis caused by diclofenac in                        ability of observing by chance a difference as large as or larger
           mid  based upon vulture necropsies and the estimate of                            than that obtained from the original calculations.

           Oryx, 2016, 50(1), 104–112 © 2015 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S003060531500037X
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108         R. J. Cuthbert et al.

             Results                                                                               arithmetic means of the concentrations of diclofenac in
                                                                                                   liver and kidney in this subset of individuals were similar
             Prevalence of visceral gout                                                           and not significantly different (liver, mean . mg kg−,
                                                                                                   range .–. mg kg−; kidney, mean . mg kg−,
             Visceral gout was not present in either of the single                                 range .–. mg kg−; Wilcoxon signed ranks test,
             A. monachus or G. fulvus carcasses examined. In the other                             P = .).
             three species the overall proportions with gout were % for                              In the five vulture carcasses in which nimesulide was
             G. himalayensis (/), % for G. indicus (/) and % for                          detected, levels were above the limit of quantification in
             G. bengalensis (/).                                                               both liver and kidney (Table ). There was a weak and non-
                                                                                                   significant positive correlation between the nimesulide
                                                                                                   concentrations in the liver and kidney (r = ., t = .,
             Co-occurrence of visceral gout and NSAID residues in                                  P = ., Supplementary Fig. S). Four of the five carcasses
             the liver and/or kidney                                                               with measurable residues of nimesulide had visceral gout. The
             During the period –, when diclofenac was the only                             carcass with nimesulide and no gout had low concentrations
             NSAID being measured, diclofenac residues were present in                             of nimesulide near to the limit of quantification in both tis-
             liver and/or kidney tissue in all Gyps vulture carcasses in                           sues, whilst the four birds with gout had considerably higher
             which visceral gout was identified, and in none of the car-                           concentrations in one or both tissues (Table ). In the two
             casses with no gout (Table ). This perfect association be-                           vulture carcasses in which meloxicam was detected, it was
             tween diclofenac and visceral gout is highly significant                              above the limit of quantification in both liver and kidney. In
             (Fisher exact test P , .). In the later period, –                            one of these carcasses there was visceral gout, but the concen-
             , in which other NSAIDs were also assayed in addition                             tration of meloxicam was very low in both liver and kidney
             to diclofenac, all Gyps vulture carcasses with diclofenac re-                         whereas the concentration of nimesulide in both tissues was
             sidues also had visceral gout and no carcasses without gout                           very high. The other carcass with meloxicam had high con-
             had diclofenac. However, four of the  carcasses with gout                           centrations of the drug in both liver and kidney but no sign
             did not have measurable levels of diclofenac, but did have                            of visceral gout (Table ). Meloxicam was the only NSAID
             residues of other NSAIDs (Table ). All four of these                                 detected in this bird.
             carcasses had nimesulide in both the liver and kidney and
             one of them had meloxicam, as well as nimesulide, in
             both tissues. Of eight carcasses without gout, one had very                           Changes over time in the prevalence of diclofenac and
             low residues of nimesulide and one had residues of melox-                             visceral gout
             icam (Table ). Hence, during – the perfect associ-
             ation between diclofenac and gout found in the earlier                                Logistic regression analysis of the trend in the prevalence of
             period became weaker, though it remained statistically                                diclofenac in liver and/or kidneys of vultures indicated a de-
             significant (Fisher exact test P = .). A logistic regres-                        cline that was close to statistical significance (Fig. a). In a
             sion analysis of the  vulture carcasses with gout, in                               multiple regression model with effects of species and age ac-
             which the presence/absence of diclofenac was the binary de-                           counted for, the logarithm of the odds of a vulture carcass
             pendent variable and year of collection was the independent                           having a measurable level of diclofenac declined by .
             variable, suggested a tendency for the proportion of vulture                          per year ( SE = ., t = ., one-tailed P = .).
             carcasses with gout that had no diclofenac residues to in-                            The proportion of adult G. bengalensis expected from the re-
             crease over time, but this trend was not statistically signifi-                       gression model to have a measurable level of diclofenac fell
             cant (t = ., P = .).                                                          from % in the middle of , just before the diclofenac
                                                                                                   ban, to % four years later in mid  (Fig. a). For
                                                                                                   G. indicus, the equivalent change was from  to %.
             Concentrations of NSAIDs in liver and kidney of vultures                                  Logistic regression analysis of the trend in the prevalence
                                                                                                   of visceral gout indicated a non-significant decline at a
             In the  vulture carcasses for which diclofenac assays                               slower rate than that for diclofenac (Fig. b). In a multiple
             were performed for both liver and kidney, diclofenac was                              regression model with effects of species and age accounted
             detected above the limit of quantification in both tissues                            for, the logarithm of the odds of a vulture carcass having
             in all  cases in which it was detected in either tissue, and                        gout declined by . per year ( SE = ., t = .,
             was below the limit of quantification in both tissues in the                          one-tailed P = .). The proportion of adult G. bengalensis
             remaining  cases. In the  cases with diclofenac above                             expected from the regression model to have gout fell from
             the LOQ in both tissues, there was a significant positive cor-                        % in the middle of  to % four years later in mid
             relation between the concentrations in liver and kidney (r =                           (Fig. b). For G. indicus the equivalent change was
              ., t = ., P = ., Supplementary Fig. S). The                            from  to %.

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Mortality of vultures            109

                                                                                                 and mid  (see Table  of Cuthbert et al., ). This
                                                                                                 change in expected death rate per meal, when used in
                                                                                                 the vulture population model of Green et al. (; see
                                                                                                 Methods), gave an expected proportion of deaths of adult
                                                                                                 G. bengalensis caused by diclofenac in mid  of .%
                                                                                                 (% confidence limits .–.%). The estimated propor-
                                                                                                 tion of adult G. bengalensis carcasses with diclofenac in mid
                                                                                                  derived from the logistic regression model of vulture
                                                                                                 necropsy results was .% (% confidence limits .–
                                                                                                 .%) whereas the same proportion derived from the surveys
                                                                                                 of diclofenac in ungulate carcasses was .%, if it is assumed
                                                                                                 in both cases that the proportion of vulture carcasses with di-
                                                                                                 clofenac in mid  was .% (Fig. a). The decline in the
                                                                                                 proportion of vulture carcasses with diclofenac derived from
                                                                                                 vulture necropsies was smaller than that derived from diclofe-
                                                                                                 nac surveys of ungulate carcasses (.–.% cf. .–.%,
                                                                                                 respectively). However, the difference between the estimates
                                                                                                 derived from the two methods does not approach statistical
                                                                                                 significance (bootstrap P = .).

                                                                                                 Discussion

                                                                                                 Our results indicate that diclofenac remained a significant
                                                                                                 cause of mortality for India’s vultures and that the drug has
                                                                                                 continued to kill birds long after the  regulations to pre-
                                                                                                 vent its veterinary use. The proportion of Gyps vultures found
                                                                                                 dead in the wild in India that had measurable levels of diclo-
                                                                                                 fenac in their tissues showed only a small and non-significant
                                                                                                 decline in the  years following the ban on the veterinary use of
           FIG. 1 (a) Proportions of carcasses of wild adult Gyps bengalensis                    diclofenac covered by our study. The estimated size of the de-
           and G. indicus contaminated with diclofenac, in relation to the                       cline was broadly consistent with an independent estimate
           year of collection. Curves represent expected values from a                           based upon measurements of the change in the prevalence
           logistic regression model that included the main effects of                           and concentration of diclofenac in carcasses of domesticated
           species, age class and year. Symbols show the expected                                ungulates available to vultures (Cuthbert et al., ).
           proportions of adult G. bengalensis contaminated with diclofenac
                                                                                                 Continued mortality of vultures in India caused by diclofenac
           in mid  (circle) and mid  (triangle) from the data from
           vulture carcasses, and the expected proportion of adult
                                                                                                 after the ban is consistent with the continued availability of the
           G. bengalensis deaths caused by diclofenac in mid  (square)                       drug in pharmacies. Based upon surveys conducted between
           based upon the results of surveys of diclofenac contamination of                      November  and June  in eleven Indian states,
           carcasses of domesticated ungulates. Vertical lines are %                           Cuthbert et al. () reported that diclofenac formulated
           confidence limits. (b) Proportions of carcasses of wild adult                         for non-veterinary use was offered for sale for veterinary use
           G. bengalensis and G. indicus with visceral gout, in relation to                      in % of pharmacies that sold any type of NSAID.
           the year of collection. Curves represent expected values from a                           All vultures with measurable diclofenac in liver and/or kid-
           logistic regression model that included the main effects of
                                                                                                 ney had visceral gout and this association was highly statistic-
           species, age class and year.
                                                                                                 ally significant. Wild Asian Gyps vultures that died with visceral
                                                                                                 gout and with measurable diclofenac in their tissues in our
                                                                                                 study had similar concentrations of diclofenac in the kidney
           Comparison of the decline in diclofenac prevalence in                                 to those that died in similar circumstances in the study of
           vulture carcasses with the decline expected from surveys                              Oaks et al. (). Means and ranges were similar in our study
           of diclofenac in ungulate carcasses                                                   of wild G. bengalensis and G. indicus carcasses from India
                                                                                                 (mean = . mg kg−, range = .–. mg kg−),
           The expected vulture death rate per meal estimated from                               the study of Oaks et al. () of wild G. bengalensis
           surveys of diclofenac residues in liver samples from ungulate                         carcasses from Pakistan (mean = . mg kg−, range =
           carcasses declined by % in the  years between mid                              .–. mg kg−) and the study of Oaks et al. ()

           Oryx, 2016, 50(1), 104–112 © 2015 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S003060531500037X
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110         R. J. Cuthbert et al.

             of captive G. bengalensis that died after experimental admin-                         of nimesulide in cattle is unlikely to be much more rapid
             istration of meat from water buffalo or goat given a veterinary                       than for diclofenac. To date, the liver has been the only
             dose of diclofenac shortly before death (mean = . mg kg−,                        organ routinely sampled in surveys of NSAIDs in ungulate
             range = .–. mg kg−). We therefore consider that                              carcasses in India (Taggart et al., , ; Cuthbert et al.,
             diclofenac was likely to have been the cause of death of all                          ). Nimesulide concentrations in ungulate livers may be
             of the vultures reported in the present study in which the                            unusually low relative to other tissues. Alternatively, the ex-
             drug was detected at above the limit of quantification.                               posure pathway for vultures may involve sources of carrion
                 The estimated decline in the prevalence of visceral gout                          that have not been surveyed, such as poultry waste. These
             in Gyps vultures found dead in India was smaller than that                            questions should be addressed through further field sam-
             for diclofenac prevalence, and did not approach statistical                           pling and experiments to study tissue distribution of nime-
             significance. This may be because cases of visceral gout                              sulide in ungulates.
             that were not associated with the presence of diclofenac in                               Another NSAID found in vulture carcasses was meloxi-
             liver and/or kidney tissues began to occur from  on-                              cam, which is the only drug established by experiment to be
             wards. Four G. bengalensis with gout collected during                                 of low toxicity to Gyps vultures and other scavenging birds
             – had no measurable diclofenac, but all had high                              (Swan et al., b; Cuthbert et al., ; Swarup et al.,
             concentrations of nimesulide in the liver and/or kidney.                              ). One vulture carcass with visceral gout had a low
             One of these carcasses also contained meloxicam residues                              concentration of meloxicam and a high concentration of
             but at concentrations so low that involvement of meloxicam                            nimesulide in liver and kidney tissues, as described above.
             in the death of the bird is unlikely. Another G. bengalensis                          Another vulture carcass had a high concentration of melox-
             carcass had a very low concentration (near LOQ) of nime-                              icam in liver and kidney and no trace of any other NSAID,
             sulide in both liver and kidney and no visceral gout. Hence,                          and it had no evidence of gout. The cause of death of this
             wild vultures in India are being exposed to nimesulide.                               bird was recorded to be diphtheroid enteritis. Therefore
             Exposure at a high level is associated with visceral gout                             our findings are consistent with the safety to vultures of vet-
             and death. Reddy et al. () suggested that nimesulide                              erinary use of meloxicam indicated by experimental studies
             is likely to be safe for vultures, based upon a comparison                            on captive birds. However, carcasses of wild vultures should
             of the toxicity of nimesulide and diclofenac to domestic                              continue to be monitored to check that this is the case under
             fowl Gallus domesticus. However, there are large differences                          field conditions.
             in the toxicity of NSAIDs among bird species (Cuthbert                                    The NSAIDs carprofen, flunixin, ibuprofen, indometa-
             et al., ), so the safety of nimesulide in domestic fowl                           cin, ketoprofen and naproxen were not detected in any of
             cannot be taken to indicate its safety to distantly-related                           the  vulture carcasses assayed for them. In experiments
             vultures.                                                                             on the African vultures Gyps coprotheres and Gyps afri-
                 Nimesulide is legally approved for veterinary use in India                        canus, ketoprofen has been shown to be nephrotoxic at
             and was offered for sale for this purpose in % of pharma-                           doses that are likely to be encountered by wild vultures
             cies that sold any type of NSAID in surveys conducted                                 (Naidoo et al., ). A wild G. fulvus was recently found
             during – in eleven Indian states (Cuthbert et al.,                            dead in Spain with visceral gout associated with high levels
             ). The prevalence of nimesulide in pharmacies was par-                            of flunixin residues in liver and kidney tissues (Zorrilla et al.,
             ticularly high in Gujarat, where it was offered for sale for                          ). This augments previous evidence from surveys of the
             veterinary use in % of shops visited ( out of  shops;                           therapeutic use of NSAIDs on captive vultures in zoos, re-
             R.J. Cuthbert, unpubl. data). It is therefore notable that all                        habilitation centres and other collections (Cuthbert et al.,
             four vultures with both nimesulide residues and visceral                              ) that flunixin may be nephrotoxic to Gyps vultures.
             gout were collected from Gujarat. However, there is little evi-                       Cuthbert et al. () also found evidence of nephrotoxicity
             dence of nimesulide in carcasses of domesticated ungulates in                         of carprofen in one Gyps vulture. Experiments on captive
             India. Taggart et al. () did not find any nimesulide resi-                        vultures to measure the toxicity of flunixin and carprofen
             dues in liver samples from , ungulate carcasses collected                         have not yet been conducted.
             between April and December . After including further                                  Taggart et al. () found that some liver samples from
             samples collected up until July  (total n = ,), only                          domesticated ungulates available to vultures in India during
             three ungulate carcasses with low (,. mg kg−) levels of                           April–December  contained residues of ibuprofen and
             nimesulide were found (. mg kg−; M.A. Taggart, unpubl.                             ketoprofen, but flunixin was not detected (Table  in
             data).                                                                                Taggart et al., ). In surveys conducted during –
                 Comparison of the time to maximum plasma concentra-                                in  Indian states by Cuthbert et al. (), flunixin
             tion (tmax) and elimination half-life (T/) of nimesulide in                         was being offered for sale for veterinary use in % of phar-
             cattle following intramuscular injection shows that its                               macies that sold any type of NSAID, ibuprofen in % and
             pharmacokinetics are broadly similar to those of diclofenac                           ketoprofen in %. The fact that we did not find residues of
             (EMEA, ; Mahapatra et al., ). Hence, the elimination                          these drugs in the sample of  vulture carcasses assayed for

                                                                                        Oryx, 2016, 50(1), 104–112 © 2015 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S003060531500037X
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. https://doi.org/10.1017/S003060531500037X
Mortality of vultures              111

           them may reflect the small size of our sample rather than their                                      C U T H B E R T , R., P A R R Y -J O N E S , J., G R E E N , R.E. & P A I N , D.J. ()
           true absence from vulture carcasses. There is a % probability                                           NSAIDs and scavenging birds: potential impacts beyond Asia’s
                                                                                                                    critically endangered vultures. Biology Letters, , –.
           of our survey finding no contamination with any of these
                                                                                                                C U T H B E R T , R.J., T A G G A R T , M.A., P R A K A S H , V., C H A K R A B O R T Y , S.S.,
           drugs, even if the true prevalence of the drugs in vulture                                               D E O R I , P., G A L L I G A N , T. et al. () Avian scavengers and the
           carcasses had been as high as % ((–.) = .).                                                  threat from veterinary pharmaceuticals. Philosophical Transactions
              Our study highlights the continuing threat to Asia’s vul-                                             of the Royal Society B, , http://dx.doi.org/./rstb..
           tures from veterinary use of diclofenac and identifies a new                                         EMEA (T H E E U R O P E A N A G E N C Y F O R T H E E VA L U AT I O N O F
                                                                                                                    M E D I C I N A L P R O D U C T S ) () Committee for Veterinary
           potential threat from nimesulide. Toxicity testing of nime-
                                                                                                                    Medicinal Products, Diclofenac Summary Report EMEA/MRL//
           sulide on Gyps vultures is needed to establish whether or not                                            -FINAL September . EMEA, London, UK.
           the compound is nephrotoxic. Illegal misuse in the veterin-                                          G A L L I G A N , T.H., A M A N O , T., P R A K A S H , V.M., K U L K A R N I , M.,
           ary sector of diclofenac products labelled ‘for human use                                                S H R I N G A R P U R E , R., P R A K A S H , N. et al. () Have population
           only’ is the cause of much of the ongoing threat from that                                               declines in Egyptian vulture and red-headed vulture in India slowed
           drug and further action to eliminate this has been recom-                                                since the  ban on veterinary diclofenac? Bird Conservation
                                                                                                                    International, , –.
           mended (Cuthbert et al., ). Identification of NSAIDs                                             G I L B E R T , M., V I R A N I , M.Z., W AT S O N , R.T., O A K S , J.L., B E N S O N , P.C.,
           that are effective on cattle and also safe for vultures at the                                           K H A N , A.A. et al. () Breeding and mortality of oriental
           maximum likelihood exposure level would be valuable for                                                  white-backed vulture Gyps bengalensis in Punjab Province, Pakistan.
           vulture conservation, but so far the only known example                                                  Bird Conservation International, , –.
           of such a drug is meloxicam.                                                                         G R E E N , R.E., N E W T O N , I., S H U LT Z , S., C U N N I N G H A M , A.A.,
                                                                                                                    G I L B E R T , M., P A I N , D.J. & P R A K A S H , V. () Diclofenac
                                                                                                                    poisoning as a cause of vulture population declines across the
                                                                                                                    Indian subcontinent. Journal of Applied Ecology, , –.
                                                                                                                G R E E N , R.E., T A G G A R T , M.A., D A S , D., P A I N , D.J., S A S H I K U M A R , C.,
           Acknowledgements
                                                                                                                    C U N N I N G H A M , A.A. & C U T H B E R T , R. () Collapse of Asian
                                                                                                                    vulture populations: risk of mortality from residues of the veterinary
           We thank the Ministry of Environment and Forests and the
                                                                                                                    drug diclofenac in carcasses of treated cattle. Journal of Applied
           Chief Wildlife Wardens for the states of Assam, Gujarat,                                                 Ecology, , –.
           Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh,                                                G R E E N , R.E., T A G G A R T , M.A., S E N AC H A , K.R., R A G H AVA N , B.,
           Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Uttarakhand for permissions,                                                  P A I N , D.J., J H A L A , Y. & C U T H B E R T , R. () Rate of decline of
           and Kartik Shastri, Ruchi Dave, S. Saravaran, Satya Prakash,                                             the oriental white-backed vulture population in India estimated
           Sumantha Ghosh, Puja Basu, Bhrigu Neog and Vibhu Pra-                                                    from a survey of diclofenac residues in carcasses of ungulates. PLoS
                                                                                                                    ONE, (), e.
           kash for collecting vulture carcasses. Andrew Cunningham,                                            J A M S H E D , M., C H A U D H R Y , I., O G A D A , D.L., M A L I K , R.N.,
           Romain Pizzi, Yedra Feltrer, Devojit Das, Percy Avari,                                                   V I R A N I , M.Z. & G I OVA N N I , M.D. () First evidence that
           Jeherul Islam and Devendra Podadhe performed the nec-                                                    populations of the Critically Endangered long-billed vulture Gyps
           ropsies. Ian Newton provided useful comments. We grate-                                                  indicus in Pakistan have increased following the ban of the toxic
           fully acknowledge financial support and assistance for the                                               veterinary drug diclofenac in South Asia. Bird Conservation
                                                                                                                    International, , –.
           project from the Director, Indian Veterinary Research                                                L U N A , L.G. () Manual of Histologic Staining Methods of the Armed
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                                                                                                    Oryx, 2016, 50(1), 104–112 © 2015 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S003060531500037X
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. https://doi.org/10.1017/S003060531500037X
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