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4 COVID-19 and food systems in Indonesia Assoc. Prof. John F. McCarthy Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University Prof. Yunita Triwardani Winarto Department of Anthropology, University of Indonesia Dr Henri Sitorus Department of Sociology, University of North Sumatra Dr Pande Made Kutanegara Centre for Policy and Population Studies, University of Gajah Mada Vania Budianto Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University suggesting that the pandemic will have 4.1 Abstract detrimental effects on nutrition. This assessment examines the The crisis has revealed vulnerabilities emerging impact of the COVID-19 in Indonesia’s complex food systems. pandemic on food security and rural This provides an opportunity for livelihoods in Indonesia. Focusing on designing research and policy five key production contexts across strategies to address key problems. this highly diverse archipelago, the Short-term interventions can assessment finds that COVID-19 is understand and respond to the having profound, variable and highly nutritional and livelihood impacts dynamic impacts on rural livelihoods. of this shock. Research can analyse The impacts differ across geographical how the pandemic has led to the areas and production systems, disruption of value chains and the depending upon how the effects of emergence of e-commerce and the pandemic articulate with local support measures to address these food systems, social relations and issues. Over the medium term, the livelihood strategies of individual research can map and analyse existing households. While the Government household coping strategies, learn of Indonesia has rolled out social from the history of livelihood projects, protection and other programs to and support measures to enhance soften the impact, the fragmentation diverse livelihoods, heterogeneity of value chains, falling producer in agroforestry systems and crop prices, the contraction of the informal diversification. Over the longer sector and the loss of jobs have dealt term, interventions can support the a blow to diversified livelihoods, integration of nutrition and health severely affecting the welfare of issues into agrifood policy, provide rural households in many places. In for regional responses that build on response, smallholders are taking local institutions and knowledges, up localised survival strategies and design social protection strategies that turning back to agriculture. There is directly address vulnerabilities found evidence of a fall in access to high- in regional contexts, and enhance quality food as households move farmer learning and their capacity to to higher energy carbohydrates, adapt to climate change. 42 | TECHNICAL REPORT 96
4.2 COVID-19 in Indonesia 4.2.1 Country overview (July 2020) Land use Population COVID-19 and health Land area: 1.9 million km 2 273 million people First recorded case: 2 March 2020 31.5% agricultural land 45% rural At 31 July 2020: 9.7% GDP from agriculture Adjusted income per capita 106,336 acknowledged cases; and fish (2018) US$2,990 5,058 recorded deaths* Present in 34 provinces: hotspots in Jakarta, East Java, South Sulawesi, North Sumatra Local response Agriculture and Key risk multipliers to COVID-19 fisheries Agricultural pests and diseases Semi-lockdown; ban on Top staples: rice, fish, livestock, Climate risks, including large gatherings poultry, bananas changing rainfall patterns National government stabilising Highly diverse food and Issues of nutrition insecurity prices, providing social social systems and food access in many assistance and training communities Agriculture is the lead sector Provincial governments in 20 of 34 provinces implemented movement One of the largest exporters restrictions; later eased for of tree crops globally food products Fish critical for employment and Programs for ongoing access to food; many fisheries overexploited agri-inputs and credit * The assessment reports 34,316 acknowledged cases and 1,959 recorded deaths at 11 June 2020, reflecting the situation at the time of core aspects of the research. CHAPTER 4. COVID-19 and food systems in Indonesia | 43
Indonesia 4.2.2 Development context Indonesia’s poverty rate has fallen by over half during the last two decades. In An overview of Indonesia’s agricultural, 2019, just under 10% of the population fisheries and nutrition context is shown in was considered to be living below the Table 4.1. The diversity of food systems and national poverty line. This is measured the impacts to be studied here are highly by the Indonesian statistics agency at variable and this presents particular around 425,250 Indonesian rupiah (Rp) per challenges for this rapid assessment. As this month or US$0.76 per day. Income poverty study is finalised in early July 2020, remains high among smallholder farmers Indonesia emerges as the epicentre of with almost one-fifth of household families COVID-19 in South-East Asia, and the practising farming living below the national COVID-19 crisis is having profound impacts poverty line (FAO 2018). Stunting rates have on livelihoods, but these effects are evolving also fallen gradually, and the Government and highly dynamic. of Indonesia has prioritised nutrition Indonesia is the largest archipelago in the programs in 100 districts where stunting is world, stretching over 34 provinces with most severe. Nevertheless, stunting rates 270 million people. The total land area is remain high, with around 31% of children around 190 Mha, and about 29% (some under five considered stunted (TNP2K 55 Mha) is classified as agricultural land. 2017). This means that large numbers of Agriculture remains the leading sector in children were already undernourished prior 20 provinces (Pradana et al 2019). The major to COVID-19, and research suggests that food crops in terms of area harvested are undernourishment is a risk factor when rice, corn, cassava, soybeans and peanuts. facing a pandemic of this kind. Indonesia also is one of the largest global producers and exporters of tree crops, 4.2.3 Status of COVID-19 in Indonesia including rubber, copra, palm kernels, palm While Indonesia is well connected to China, oil, coffee, cocoa and spices. Indonesia’s with large numbers of tourists visiting Bali gross domestic product has almost and other parts of Indonesia, the first case quadrupled over the past decade, even of COVID-19 was not officially reported while the contribution of the agriculture until 2 March 2020. By 11 June 2020, the sector to gross domestic product has country had reported 34,316 cases, and shrunk to 12.81% by 2018 (Global Economy 1,959 deaths. In early June 2020, the 2018, Statista 2020). Yet, in 2020, 30.26% of number of cases was still increasing, with the workforce are active in the agriculture Indonesia recording up to 1,241 new cases sector (falling from 55.1% in 1990), and a day, the highest number recorded to agriculture is still the second-largest date (JHU 2020). A month later, Indonesia employer. A Bank of Indonesia official was reporting 2,657 cases a day, with an recently argued that the structural problem infection rate of more than 20% among is that the productivity of Indonesia’s those tested. This made Indonesia the agriculture has slowed amid fast-surging hardest-hit country in Asia after India demand, pushing up food prices (Ribka (Massola & Rosa 2020). By late July 2020, 2017). An alternative argument is that Indonesian authorities reported that import restrictions under Indonesia’s food positive COVID-19 cases had passed 100,000 self-sufficiency policies have pushed up (Jakarta Post 2020a). domestic rice prices, along with other food prices (Amanta & Wibisono 2020). 44 | TECHNICAL REPORT 96
Table 4.1 Agricultural, fisheries and nutrition context of Indonesia Indicators Unit Value Surface areaa ’000 km2 1,913 Agricultural landb percentage of land area 31.5 Age of 0–19 years percentage of total population 35.3 populationa 20–39 years percentage of total population 31.4 40–59 years percentage of total population 24.0 over 59 years percentage of total population 9.1 Stunting rate c under 5 years percentage of age group 36.4 Wasting rate c under 5 years percentage of age group 13.5 Overweight c under 5 years percentage of age group 11.5 male percentage of total population 25 female percentage of total population 31 Obesity c male percentage of total population 5 female percentage of total population 9 Prevalence of undernourishmentc percentage of total population 8.3 Population rural percentage of total population 45 distributiona urban percentage of total population 55 Gross domestic product per capita a US$ 3,893.6 Adjusted net national income per capita (2018)a US$ 2,990 Agriculture and fisheries, value added a percentage of gross domestic 9.7 product (2018) Government expenditure on agriculturec percentage of total outlays 1.1 Top staples (ranked most to least)c rice, fish, livestock, poultry, banana, coconut/ copra, corn, sugarcane, mango, pineapple, cassava UNDP Human Index rankingd out of 189 111 2017 World Risk Index (mean value calculation out of 171 33 2012–2016)e a World Bank (2020) b FAO (2020) c Global Nutrition Report (2020) d UNDP (2020) e Bündnis Entwicklung Hilft (2017) Data collated on 10 July 2020 by Alex van der Meer Simo. The actual number of infected people is While the Government of Indonesia likely to be higher, due to limited testing. is increasing testing, Indonesia has a The death toll is also underestimated, due comparatively low testing rate. In early to problems with attribution of the cause June 2020, it was reported that around of death. COVID-19 has now spread across 10,000 people were being tested a day 34 provinces. (Ritchie et al 2020). By 11 June 2020, CHAPTER 4. COVID-19 and food systems in Indonesia | 45
Indonesia laboratories had tested 287,478 people from on movement had a highly detrimental a total population of 270 million, amounting impact on supply and value chains, or to 1.08 tests per thousand people, one markets and livelihoods, affecting both the of the lowest rates in South-East Asia. movement of staples around the country Testing occurs in major hospitals, initially in and food stocks. This policy was loosened, Jakarta, and gradually extending to cities in with a focus on restricting movement of outlying provinces. Rural areas lack testing people but not essential items, including capacities and many districts are unable to food. Different provinces and cities test and/or can only test small numbers. intermittently continue to restrict the They need to send swabs to hospitals in movement of people, with village authorities the major cities where labs are equipped requiring returning migrants to quarantine to do polymerase chain reaction testing. and provinces requiring letters to move Reporting of laboratory-confirmed results between islands or between provinces. In can take up to a week from the time of June 2020, Jakarta started moving to a ‘new testing (WHO 2020a). normal’, loosening restrictions, much to the concern of epidemiologists who argued The impact of COVID-19 across Indonesia that the pandemic had not yet peaked and is highly varied, with epicentres in Jakarta, that restrictions should not be relaxed East Java, South Sulawesi and North (Fachriansyah & Sapiie 2020). Sumatra. Informants in the cities are highly concerned, while respondents in The government response has been outlying provinces and rural areas note focused on social protection. Government that the virus is less prevalent. Some of Indonesia policies have also sought village informants noted that migrants had to stabilise prices, ensure free flow of brought the virus back to their villages, agricultural products as much as possible, even while village administrations were and provide rural credit and support to quarantining returnees. small and medium sized-enterprises whose operations have been badly affected by the Indonesia has a complex and shifting PSBB policies (Antara News 2020). tapestry of COVID-19 related policies. Central and provincial authorities have implemented different policies over time, 4.3 Assessment approach with different areas moving into and out of large-scale social restrictions known This assessment is based on interviews as PSBB (a semi-lockdown/ban on large using open-ended questions with more gatherings). During the early stage, large than 20 informants, seeking to achieve numbers of migrants from the cities and a gender balance among informants, from overseas sought to return, even as the including researchers, government officials state gradually tightened policies to restrict and non-government organisation workers movement back to villages, particularly with national and regional expertise during the run-up to the annual Ramadan relevant to the study, including informants migration (Mudik). During this period, most with specific information about the five areas went through a tighter PSBB period. case studies. In addition, a review was This greatly disrupted trade networks and conducted of news articles and journal employment and had deleterious impacts articles and a short survey of rural leaders on logistics and the movement of food and officials as circulated via email supplies. Interviews and news articles from and WhatsApp. The assessment is also this initial period suggest that restrictions based on online data collection involving 46 | TECHNICAL REPORT 96
more than 100 informants distributed The World Health Organization (WHO) across Indonesia. When reading this defines stunting as occurring when assessment, it is important to remember height-for-age is more than two standard that Indonesia is very diverse, the trends are deviations below the WHO Child Growth irregular and context dependent, and the Standards median. Stunting is, of course, situation is changing rapidly. a complex problem with multiple causes (WHO 2020b). The term ‘stunting’ is used The focus of this assessment is shaped by here as it gives a direct physical indicator of an analysis of Indonesia’s food security degrees of undernutrition across Indonesia mapping exercises and recent stunting that incorporates various factors that maps, which provide indicators for patterns lead to relative deprivation (for example, of vulnerability and undernutrition across access to nutrition due to socioeconomic the nation. The World Food Programme factors, food preparation and consumption of the United Nations notes that 58 of practices, education of women, age of Indonesia’s 398 rural districts are highly motherhood, breastfeeding practices, susceptible to food insecurity and sanitation, hygiene and access to health malnutrition is widespread (WFP 2019). care). Patterns of inadequate access to Across this diverse archipelago, the food are clearly an underlying cause of following key issues and areas have been stunting (UNICEF 2018). Stunting rates identified for further analysis: tend to be highest in Indonesia’s most • Rice and vegetable producing areas deprived rural areas: 55.48% in Langat and of Java: Java is home to two-thirds of 44.7% in Asahan (North Sumatra), 59.01% Indonesia’s population and over half of in Rokan Hulu (Riau) and 55.84% in Barito the country’s poor and has the highest Timur (Central Kalimantan). Child stunting numbers of nutritionally insecure is clearly related to food insecurity (SMERU people (Badan Ketahanan Pangan 2018, Research Institute 2015). NIHRD 2018). This is a rapid, qualitative study that aims • Coastal, fishing communities and to provide a snapshot of issues faced by trading networks: Fish remain a critical Indonesia during and after the COVID-19 source of protein and micronutrients in pandemic. The study relies on reading archipelagic South-East Asia and there available reports and a limited number is a high degree of vulnerability among of interviews. Indonesia is a very diverse artisanal fishing communities. country and follow-up research will be • Oil palm producing areas: Research on required to identify processes and impacts stunting suggests that large numbers to provide a more precise picture of many of of undernourished people are found in the complex issues discussed here. areas outside Java, where estate crops, spices and dryland agriculture are the predominant practices (TNP2K 2017). • East Nusa Tenggara: There are deep pockets of insecurity in dryland agriculture in eastern Indonesia. • Papua: There are high levels of poverty and stunting in some areas of Papua, which is Indonesia’s least- developed province. CHAPTER 4. COVID-19 and food systems in Indonesia | 47
Indonesia 4.4 Assessment results 4.4.1 Snapshot of key findings Smallholders Horticulture, cash crops, informal workers, returning migrants, fishers and women highly vulnerable Households with diversified livelihoods are less vulnerable than those with specialised livelihoods Farmers unable to sell perishable products at market Limited availability of agri-inputs Coping strategies include village networks, traditional agriculture and selling assets Supply chains Low producer margins and high consumer prices from fragmented chains Reduced demand for estate crops and fish products Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) lack access to finances and reserves Advantages for e-platforms and some traders Governance Rice prices and supply stabilised in most areas National social protection system already established Supplementary programs established for local needs Input subsidies, rural credit program and support for markets Community Households losing on-farm and off-farm incomes Impacts on women’s workload, income and mobility Changes in food consumption; cheaper, less nutritious foods Employment Informal and formal job losses Distribution and agri-processing SMEs are vulnerable Reduced remittances from overseas and urban workers 48 | TECHNICAL REPORT 96
4.4.2 Exposure and vulnerabilities seven-year high in April. India, Vietnam and China have restricted their exports Susceptibility of rice supply in order to ensure supplies for their own Indonesians have a cultural preference for consumers. The difference between rice rice. Indonesian diets are highly reliant on production and consumption fluctuates rice, with low levels of consumption of meat each year. In 2018, this difference was about and fats (Hirschmann 2020). This exposes 2.85 Mt (Booth et al 2019). There is some Indonesia to particular risks, given that concern that Indonesia may face a threat of Indonesia imports significant amounts of shortages late in the year, when, according to rice and other key staples such as soybeans, one estimate, there may be a gap of around sugar and meat. Shocks that disrupt logistics 700,000 t/month (Novika 2020). and distribution, especially to rice imports, Exposure to climate change present significant challenges. Climate change exacerbates the risk of Anticipating this problem, Indonesian floods, droughts, storms, landslides and policies have focused on promoting self- forest fires. Changing precipitation patterns sufficiency in food production in order to are lengthening the dry season and leading achieve food security. The 2012 Food Law to more intense rainy seasons, prolonged emphasises that importing food products drought in the dry season, and more intense should be avoided unless local production is flooding in the wet season. Precipitation insufficient to meet Indonesian consumption patterns are changing, increasing the needs (Limenta & Sianti 2017). The number of dry days and reducing the Indonesian parliament and government are number of wet days, and increasing the currently deliberating over changing articles unpredictability of rain intensity, augmenting in Food Law regarding imports to bring them uncertainty and uncommon risks for in line with World Trade Organization rules farmers. The impacts of El Niño events through Rancangan Undang-undang Cipta include reduced average rainfall, which Kerja (Draft of Employment Creation Law/ affects water storage and exposes extensive Omnibus Law). As rice imports have been areas to drought and fire, and rising restricted and rice production in Indonesia temperatures, which increase the incidence is comparatively expensive, rice prices in and range of pests. Indonesia have been above world prices1. For instance, prices for rice and sugar, as Shifts in rainfall, evaporation, run-off well as fruit and vegetables, are well above water and soil moisture change combine those found in global markets. Studies have with other risks that negatively impact suggested that raising rice prices to subsidise smallholders. Reduced water availability its production has increased poverty. As will lower groundwater tables and empty the poor spend an estimated 26% of their wells, leading to a lack of drinking and expenditure on rice and 65% on all foods, irrigation water for farming. This, together high food prices detrimentally impact the with temperature increases, shorter growing livelihoods of the poor (Booth et al 2019). seasons, unpredictable rainfall and saltwater intrusion, negatively affect production The COVID-19 pandemic has also led to a patterns and outputs and decrease food global rise in food prices for rice. The Thai security. For instance, it is estimated that a rice market is used as a gauge for the global 30-day delay in the onset of the wet season rice economy, and the price of rice hit a decreases rice yields by 6.5–11%, prolonging 1 In 2019, El Niño was blamed for higher food prices, which accelerated to 5.4% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2019 compared to 3.8% growth in the previous quarter (Bappenas 2020). CHAPTER 4. COVID-19 and food systems in Indonesia | 49
Indonesia the ‘hunger season’. This can increase production centres (Jakarta Post 2020a). the risks of harvest failures in the second Other sources note that only 30% of areas planting season and delay the consecutive are expected to have a long dry season, rice crop. Some estimates suggest that, affecting the second rice harvest. This will as general crop productivity falls, food lead to a deeper production deficit than deficits of up to 90 Mt of husked rice will be normal, beginning from August (Novika generated by 2050 (GFDRR 2011, Ministry of 2020). Lower rainfall is also expected to Foreign Affairs of the Netherlands 2018). The impact other crops such as corn (Agenparl high dependence on the production of rice 2020). However, in some areas of Java, a renders the country particularly vulnerable. wetter dry season is expected, which will be good for rice production. The Australian Water deficits linked to climate change Bureau of Meteorology has also observed have already been reported for Bali and that some models predict an increased East Nusa Tenggara, while food deficits chance of a La Niña event in the Australian resulting from climate change have been spring (September–November) (Bureau of reported in the provinces of South Sumatra Meteorology 2020). and Lampung, East Kalimantan, East Nusa Tenggara and Papua (Ministry of Foreign Fragmented value chains Affairs of the Netherlands 2018). Poor rural Many commodities in rural Indonesia involve smallholders are among the most vulnerable elongated, fragmented and geographically to these impacts, due to the dependence dispersed value chains (in the supply of of their livelihoods on land and water, their inputs, production and marketing) where limited income (110–140 million people agrifood products pass through multiple live on less than US$2 per day), their poor processing and marketing stages that are adaptive capacity, and their limited ability to managed by different actors (Gereffi & Lee access improved technologies, inputs and 2009). The elongated nature of these chains alternative livelihood options. means that they are not subject to market Reports link harvest variability, particularly standards (for example, food quality and of rice, to exposure to climate change. Rice traceability) and are not well coordinated, so production is trending downwards with they are easily disrupted by market shocks a 13% fall in harvests compared with the such as that represented by COVID-19. previous year, even though harvests were Fragmented value chains and poor logistics still sufficient for a 6.4 Mt surplus (WFP deliver additional costs (time and money) 2020). During the 2019/20 wet season, a and lead to spoilage. This can mean inflate prolonged dryness was linked to the Indian prices for consumers, as well as lower Ocean Dipole (Lerner 2020). East Nusa returns to producers who face higher costs Tenggara, the driest province in Indonesia, for transporting to markets. For instance, has experienced severe drought. In other research has pointed out that the high cost areas, rainfall and rice harvests were of basic staples in remote areas such as much delayed. eastern Indonesia compounds poverty and Indonesia’s Meteorology, Climatology and nutrition issues (Sandee et al 2014). Geophysics Agency has projected that more Exposure to fluctuations in agricultural than 30% of the country’s regions, including commodity prices parts of Bali, Java, Sumatra and Sulawesi, might face an unusually harsh dry season Agricultural producers have become this year. Regions hit by the worse-than- increasingly commercially oriented. normal dry season include staple food Studies suggest that, in many cases, 50 | TECHNICAL REPORT 96
farmers have transformed the land around consumption indicate shifting access to their dwellings, previously used for food protein and bioavailable nutrients in diets. production, by planting commercial crops for sale. This is especially the case in the Exposure to contracting labour market estate crop sector, where monocultures are In rural Indonesia, households are pronounced. Households who purchase increasingly diversified. On-farm activities most of their food are vulnerable when the contribute only 49% of farming income on price of the commodities they grow drop by average, with activities off farm and in other large margins (Abdoellah et al 2020). sectors contributing the remainder (FAO 2018). Income diversification strategies Land ownership in Indonesia is also therefore provide a critical means to secure increasingly concentrated. Smallholders on household livelihoods. However, incomes average have less than half a hectare, or in rural communities remain low, and one about an acre. Functionally landless farmers in five farming household are below the have much less capacity for providing national poverty line (FAO 2018). Diversified their own food (McCarthy & Robinson households who have modest livelihoods 2016). Landless non-food-producing are vulnerable to reductions in farming households may be poorer and more income or income from off-farm work. vulnerable to fluctuations in labour demand (Rosalina et al 2007, McCarthy 2019). While Rural communities have also embraced household food production can be an migration. Large numbers of people move effective strategy for rural households to overseas or into the cities, either as long- meet their food requirements, developing term migrants or as circular, seasonal food crops needs time and requires access labourers. The remittances they send home to suitable land. increase food expenditure, contributing to their family’s food security, and potentially Other studies suggest that communities still offering a buffer against vulnerability to value the consumption of local staples, even food price shocks. However, it also makes as they have increasingly become net food the family’s nutritional intake highly purchasers. In some parts of Indonesia, the vulnerable to shocks that cause migrant provision of rice for the poor has become a family members to lose their jobs and return key factor shaping a change in consumption home (Hasanah et al 2017). away from local staples towards rice (Utami et al 2018). Rural households Rural people in many areas of Indonesia consume more plant-sourced protein than are net food buyers. In fact, two out of animal-sourced protein. three farmers in the country are classified as net consumers, and the population in While fish is the main animal-source food 34 provinces spend, on average, more than in diets in many parts of Indonesia, poor 50% of their incomes on food. According families often have insufficient incomes to to Kompas (2020), the 10 provinces with access fish (Gibson et al 2020). Chicken (meat the highest percentage expenditure of and eggs) is also one of the most-consumed income on food per capita can be ranked forms of animal protein and micronutrients. from East Nusa Tenggara (57.21%) to Aceh, The chicken value chain, which stretches Papua, North Sumatra, West Sulawesi, from corn production, feed mill production, West East Nusa Tenggara, Jambi, West fodder consumption for chicken and Sumatra, Lampung and finally South chicken meat to demand for eggs, is critical Sumatra (52.04%). These are in outer island to food security outcomes (Diansari & Indonesia, and include areas where dryland Nanseki 2015). Patterns of chicken and fish agricultural, rubber and oil palm cultivation CHAPTER 4. COVID-19 and food systems in Indonesia | 51
Indonesia predominate (Pancawati 2020). Among poor significantly effects average calorie intake at citizens, food accounts for more than 60% the household level because older mothers of the monthly expenses (Kompas 2020). In better understand food quality and family fact, the World Bank (2019) estimated that requirements (Srinita 2018). Moreover, 68% of Indonesia’s population is vulnerable women suffer from much higher rates of to an economic shock. Sustained drops in anaemia. Policies that increase women’s commodity prices or demand for labour access to and control over resources will lead to problems accessing nutritious and participation in decision-making in food. Smallholders lack access to finance agriculture management are important to and falling incomes impact on their ability to reducing vulnerability (Rosalina et al 2007). afford inputs. These factors suggest that many women working in the informal and agricultural Exposure of women to reduced sectors are particularly exposed to the agricultural prices and shrinking labour COVID-19 shock. The price and health shock markets that COVID-19 represents will adversely Women play a vital role in the agriculture impact women’s access to paid labour or sector. For instance, women are highly agricultural income and is likely to impact involved in the choice of seeds and household nutrition. the marketing of crops, and also take responsibility for family food practices Agricultural pests and diseases (Rosalina et al 2007). Estimates suggest Pest and disease infestations raise risks that women make up 37% of workers in the of crop damage and even failure. Avian agriculture sector. Despite this, women tend influenza continues to circulate and African to have limited control over land assets, and swine fever is increasingly affecting areas limited access to the financial resources, of eastern Indonesia. Crop damage in rice- knowledge and technology required to producing areas continues, due to both increase crop yields and improve their the increase in humidity and incidence of livelihoods. While women often manage drought, and also the persistent, excessive household finances in Indonesia, and have and injudicious use of pesticides. These a degree of control over decision-making, pesticides increase the fecundity of brown they cannot access finances without their planthopper (the most devastating pest husband. In areas where large-scale rural- in rice), kill pest predators, damage rice in to-urban migration occurs, women take up one planting season and lead to outbreaks work typically done by men. Female-headed of viruses in the following planting season. households are more vulnerable to poverty Fungi such as rice blast also significantly due to their lower incomes, and estimates reduce yields with increased humidity (Fox suggest that 20% of rural households & Winarto 2016). The fall armyworm is are headed by women. Due to gender impacting corn yields in some areas, and inequalities and income distribution, access is expected to decrease corn production in to credit, and control over land and natural some areas by 30–50% (Detik News 2020). resources, rural women are more vulnerable to poverty. Further, previous studies have Nutrition issues shown that women are vulnerable to The triple burden of undernutrition gender-based violence during and after (underweight, stunting and wasting) remains disasters (FAO 2019). a significant challenge. When shocks to the food system occur, it is a threat Nutritional security is also gendered. For multiplier. If not well handled with respect instance, the age of lactating mothers to prices (for example, diversification, 52 | TECHNICAL REPORT 96
marketing, regulation), these shocks worsen • how to guarantee access to nutritious the problem. Indonesian diets and food food with increasing demand and expenditure patterns are changing (for increasing water and energy scarcities. example, high use of instant foods and snacks with poor nutritional quality). A Durability of Indonesia’s social protection system senior health ministry official interviewed during this research noted that Indonesian Indonesia has developed a social protection children were caught in a vicious circle of system since the 1998 east Asian economic malnutrition and anaemia that increased crisis. This system places Indonesia in a their vulnerability to the COVID-19. Previous better situation than other neighbouring crises have suggested these trends can have countries, who are yet to develop social detrimental impacts on stunting, obesity and assistance policies. A recent World Bank micronutrient deficiencies. At the same time (2019) report estimated that around malnourished children are more susceptible 115 million Indonesians were vulnerable to to the virus. The ageing of the farming falling back into absolute poverty if there population is also an issue. Most farmers were a shock to the economic system. Faced in Indonesia are around 56 years old, and with the COVID-19 pandemic, the state are therefore vulnerable to the COVID-19 is rolling out a series of social protection pandemic (Ridhoi 2020). programs aimed at helping various cohorts of people. Nonetheless, this system Public investments in agriculture will experience enormous challenges in The Government of Indonesia makes identifying and transferring assistance to its extensive public investments in input and poorest citizens, and a crisis such as this will credit subsidies, trade restrictions, state undoubtedly test Indonesia’s system (Antara enterprises food market interventions, and News 2020). storage. As a World Bank report notes, a large proportion of public funding is spent 4.4.3 Impacts of COVID-19 subsidising fertiliser and other inputs, while The way COVID-19-related dynamics there has been a long-term underinvestment intersect with these underlying in public goods that are vital for agricultural vulnerabilities varies across production productivity and competitiveness (World systems, landscapes, sectors, periods Bank Indonesia 2016). As the Food and of time and locations. In this section, Agriculture Organization (FAO) (2018) we examine the five contexts identified notes, smallholders often farm without the earlier to discuss how this works, before benefit of modern tools and improved seed summing up the major impacts in the varieties. With the COVID-19 shock leading to following section. reductions in research and development and public investment, budgets to modernise Rice and vegetable production in Java production systems and value chains will The value chains connecting producers to be limited. supermarkets, inter-island, inter-city markets Longer-term challenges are: or local consumption are very diverse. • how to produce more with less inputs The short value chains tend to be still functioning, while the most elongated chains • how to develop more sustainable and (for export) have not functioned for some resilient food systems in the face of time. There are transportation problems climate change and wet markets are intermittently closed in some areas, leading to delays or bottlenecks CHAPTER 4. COVID-19 and food systems in Indonesia | 53
Indonesia in getting products to markets. Perishable This combines with outbreaks of pests and products that need to be marketed quickly, diseases due to the overuse of chemical particularly vegetables, are especially pesticides and fertilisers. In some parts of vulnerable to value-chain disruptions. Java, there are significant water availability Vegetables may not be sold into some value problems for farmers dependent on rainfed chains, or only sold intermittently. In many agriculture, or those who have limited cases, as they are being used for livestock streams or irrigated water supply. or local consumption, this has led to a Rice farmers in East Java and Central Java decline in farmer income. Product prices, (Jogjakarta) keep some of their yields for especially for perishable products such as self-consumption and hold off selling some fruits and vegetables, have dropped. Some of their rice in the latter period to meet cash small-scale distributors (lapak) have totally needs. Rice farmers in West Java used to sell closed their businesses, as they cannot sell their yields immediately due to the need their products or buy from farmers. Women for cash (as capital for the second planting), are highly involved in some of these value to pay debts and to cover daily household chains, for instance, as sellers in vegetable expenses. To meet those expenses, farmers markets, and apparently are highly had to sell their unhusked rice at lower impacted. The price of cattle has fallen by prices than usual, because big traders 50% in some areas, and some households from outside the village failed to arrive to who need cash urgently have sold their buy the unhusked rice. There are reports cows at half price, indicating a significant that, due to a fear of shortages later on, level of desperation in some households or following practices of keeping rice for (Woodward 2020). self-consumption, villagers are retaining In Java, e-commerce and social media (for rice stocks. This has possible impacts on example, WhatsApp) have emerged to markets and the attempts of the state keep value chains working to some extent. logistics agency, BULOG (Badan Urusan This is a fast-growing phenomenon. Some Logistik), to purchase rice. reports note that e-commerce platforms Farmers need capital to start planting have experienced a fivefold increase in for the second rice production season. patronage. In many areas, this is a new way Disturbances to rice value chains, lower of governing value chains. While the amount grain prices at the point of sale and delays may be still limited and only done by certain in payments to farmers from mills and actors, this phenomenon can be considered middle-agents have reduced their capital. as a new response. However, as food (retail This has delayed planting or led to reduced consumer) prices have risen while product use of inputs, especially because of the (farm-gate) prices have dropped, marketing unavailability of particular fertilisers in the margins may have increased greatly for market. Despite the central government’s those actors able to successfully work policy to release farmers from their financial across these disrupted value chains. burdens, banks still require monthly The COVID-19 pandemic has not significantly payments from traders and farmers who affected rice production. However, climate have accessed agricultural credit. variability (a prolonged dry season due to While some fertilisers are missing from El Niño in 2018–19 and the Indian Ocean the market or are in short supply, the Dipole during 2019–early 2020) led to a late main chemical fertilisers and seeds start of the planting season and a short remain available. Vegetable growers in wet season, impacting rice production. Pangalengan, West Java, are late applying 54 | TECHNICAL REPORT 96
Perishable products that need to be marketed quickly, particularly vegetables, are especially vulnerable to value- chain disruptions. Photo: Lisa Robins CHAPTER 4. COVID-19 and food systems in Indonesia | 55
Indonesia fertiliser or are applying ‘fake’ fertilisers, The official list of recipients for social leading to late and poor growth of plants assistance has a high rate of inclusion and and affecting yields. Yield reductions could exclusion errors. This may be due to local be up to 20–30%. leaders incorporating their own relatives or failing to exclude influential villagers. There Village leaders in some areas have imposed are also issues with the updating process. localised lockdowns, discouraging outsiders Many local governments have claimed that from entering villages. Restrictions on they have received outdated beneficiary the use of labour due to social/physical lists from the central government. For its distancing restrictions imposed by part, the central government pointed out local leaders have led farmers to rotate that many local governments have failed to labourers, leading to additional costs regularly update their unitary social welfare for labour. Returning migrants who have (Data Terpadu Kesejahteraan Sosial) (DTKS) lost jobs in the cities and towns remain database, which contains a registry of the unemployed and often cannot find work poorest 40% of the population. However, in the farming sectors. Those badly this database is clearly unable to capture affected include those finding casual work poverty dynamics prior to and during the on construction sites, driving pedicabs COVID-19 pandemic. Significant numbers of (becak) or working in the informal sector. people are not receiving benefits to which Households have lost remittance income, they are entitled. New programs, such as which used to be shared with families, and the unconditional cash transfers (Bantuan also face the extra burden of more mouths Langsung Tunai) program, now provide new to feed. cash assistance (Rp600,000 per month). Women who earn secondary income The dispersal of these funds depends upon from the sale of homemade products (for the diligence of the village authorities in example, snacks, bamboo handicrafts) are reaching out to cover newly poor residents experiencing drastic impacts in survey areas who do not receive other assistance. (Indramayu, Sumedang and Pangalengan in When the economy moves towards a ‘new West Java; Trenggalek in East Java; Bantul, normal’, informants expect the return of Sleman and Gunung Kidul in Jogjakarta; and distribution and transportation. This may Klaten, Magelang and Purworejo in Central support the return of income generation Java). A fall in demand from outside villages from horticultural and homemade products, and kiosks, the lack of traffic and the closure as well as off-farm services related to local of some stalls along the main road have led trading, food distribution and tourism. to declining income. Women continue to However, if COVID-19 impacts increase, this produce snacks only for local markets. The return may be delayed, and the detrimental price of eggs, flour and sugar has increased, effects discussed above may become adversely affecting household budgets even deeper. and also reducing the margins earned by women selling food in the informal sector. The most vulnerable include horticultural For the most part, the prices of staples have farmers, returning migrants, women and remained quite stable. The price of tofu, a informal workers. Landless labourers may major source of protein in Java, is increasing have lost work in the informal sector work due to the rising price of imported soy. One (such as sand mining and rock quarrying) tofu trader noted that the price of soy has (Woodward 2020). Income from agriculture risen from Rp600 per piece to Rp700 per has become more important, and many piece in rural areas (Murdaningsih 2020). can still find work in rice and horticultural 56 | TECHNICAL REPORT 96
production as long as cultivation practices within the oil palm sector, of whom 70% are continue, earning wages as usual. Where casual day labourers (Sinaga 2013). labourers from other areas have left, With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, villagers can find new work opportunities. global demand for estate crops fell. This led In contrast, farmers employing workers to congestion in storage facilities. Mobility experience the extra burdens of the shock. restrictions meant the transportation of oil Rice growers will continue with their second palm slowed, while demand for biodiesel planting season. However, vegetable dropped. This led to the closure of some farmers must weigh up whether to keep independent mills (Info Sawit 2020). As growing vegetables for market. Given company mills prefer to process fresh the uncertainty, farmers need to gamble fruit bunches from their own estates, on what the future might bring. Failure or from farmers who have partnership could mean loss of working capital and a contracts with palm oil companies, the downward livelihood trajectory. demand for fresh fruit bunches produced The impact of the COVID-19 crisis on by independent smallholders has farmers is differentiated. Wealthier farmer fallen dramatically. who engage in the commercial production In May 2020, the price for fresh fruit of chicken and vegetables have difficulty bunches had dropped by around 40% in selling their produce and are badly hit. many villages in North Sumatra, affecting However, small farmers who produce the income of farming households. Rubber very little, tend to be less affected as they farmers were hurt even more, with already- continue to produce to meet household low prices dropping by as much as 40%. needs. In general, secondary income Some responded by converting their rubber generation from off-farm and homemade gardens into oil palm, using income from products has dried up. Villagers must the sale of the timber to pay for replanting. wait for the end of the pandemic and the Sharecropping rubber tappers were the recovery of value chains, markets and most vulnerable, as they provide half their distribution networks. In the meantime, harvested rubber to the landowner. they are planting all available land with vegetables. In general, household While oil palm farmers continue their expenditure has dropped dramatically. In farming activities as before, they have the the short term, impacts on household food same operational expenses, even though consumption will be ameliorated as long as the prices for fresh fruit bunches has fallen. rice, government social support and local Larger farmers, who continue to produce, food resources remain available. However, retain their purchasing power. However, falling food consumption is likely to deepen given the fall in fresh fruit bunches prices, as the crisis continues. those who borrowed from banks experience difficulties meeting repayments. With Estate crops in Sumatra and Kalimantan the relaxation of the loan repayment In 2018, there were approximately 14.3 Mha requirements from banks, households of oil palm plantation land in Indonesia avoid repaying loans and some use their (Kompas 2018). It is estimated that around savings to make up the income lost from 2.67 million smallholders manage around falling oil prices. Given the fall in labour 40% of this land, extending to approximately demand and falling income due to declining 5.8 Mha (Jong 2020). According to one demand for oil palm, marginal farmers with calculation, there are 10.5 million workers low oil palm production and a dependence on casual paid labour are acutely affected. CHAPTER 4. COVID-19 and food systems in Indonesia | 57
Indonesia These include those with three hectares or because subsidised fertilisers have been or less of inadequately maintained oil allocated to rice farming. Poorer households palms, typically trees that are from low- face difficulties buying fertiliser and instead quality planting stock, over age or poorly divert their resources to buying food. maintained. While in the past farmers used to practice Many labourers continue to work as normal dryland rice cultivation (padi ladang), in for the oil palm companies and receive Sumatra this tradition disappeared after the same salary. With the temporary farmers converted their land to oil palm. closure of mill operations, demand for Very few households grow vegetables casual workers (buruh harian lepas) falls and other food crops in their compounds. and workers face wages cut and the Farmers rely on sales of fresh fruit bunches livelihood of casual workers becomes to meet their daily needs, including food, more precarious (Darto 2020). If there and they are vulnerable to food insecurity are confirmed cases (COVID-19 positive), if their income falls. For many households, workers face dismissal. In some locations, there are limited work or farming casual work opportunities for labourers opportunities outside the oil palm industry. on smallholder plots have disappeared, as These areas are especially vulnerable to farming households can no longer afford to food insecurity, and stunting rates tend to pay them and instead turn to family labour. be high, especially among casual labourers Where many palm oil mills have closed, and marginal smallholders. Field surveys outsourced workers, especially casual suggest that daily wage labourers and workers, such as those harvesting, loading marginal oil palm farmers have poor-quality and transporting fresh fruit bunches, face diets and cut back on their protein. This is unemployment. Opportunities to work as especially true during periods of low labour drivers in public transport or on building demand and low production, such as the dry sites have disappeared. Unemployed season, which is known as a scarcity period casual labourers lose their capability to (paceklik) (Sitorus & McCarthy 2019). Villages purchase food. in remote areas closed their gates and forbade entry to non-residents, including Women living close to oil palm estates form traders who sell food. With the onset of a large part of the informal workforce, with panic buying, those with cash stocked up, many working to harvest loose fruit. This which raised food prices. Small businesses group has been identified as vulnerable and that sold food experienced a sudden drop in at risk, given their precarious employment, sales and shops were instructed to close for lack of social security and poor access to periods of time. When stocks were low and healthcare, insurance or fair wages (Zein prices high, shops lacked buyers. 2018). Women who work casually in the oil palm sector are particularly exposed While some migrants retain their work in because they are more likely to lose the city or overseas and avoid returning, their jobs. many others have lost their jobs overseas or in urban centres and no longer send The price of fertilisers has increased and remittances. In one study village, 130 there is difficulty accessing it, due to ‘children of the village’ have returned home. mobility restrictions. In some villages, fuel, As migrants return, there are more mouths fertiliser and other inputs remain available. to feed, and a higher risk of spreading However, they are not easily found in other COVID-19. Returning migrants face the oil palm villages, particularly in the more prospect of being unemployed, with more remote areas due to transport difficulties, 58 | TECHNICAL REPORT 96
people chasing the limited casual work be distributed using centralised data lists. In available, adding burdens to household remote villages, the benefits from national, budgets. Some people also have to send province and district safety nets arrive assistance to unemployed relatives in late. At the time of writing, the social safety affected urban areas. These landless casual nets have not yet effectively addressed workers become the most vulnerable group vulnerabilities in remote areas. In some due to their poverty and the reduction of cases, there are protests from community work opportunities, especially in remote members who fail to receive cash transfers villages. This problem is especially acute in time or who deem themselves to be while they wait for social assistance to treated unfairly. be distributed. Vulnerable households respond by Informal social protection from neighbours, decreasing the consumption of high-quality local social organisations and local foods and the variety of foods consumed, companies help. However, they cannot turning to cheap carbohydrates, and selling cover all villagers and are often unable to productive assets such as jewellery, and reach remote areas. There are several social even their houses and land. In oil palm protection programs, principally: villages, the seasonal scarcity begins • Bansos (food supplies purchased in the dry season when, with falling oil from community production by local palm production and less work available, governments for distribution as food marginal famers and landless labourers assistance) tend to cut back on protein. Village governments are encouraging households • Bantuan Langsung Tunai (unconditional to open home vegetable gardens. While cash transfer) social assistance will help households to • conditional cash transfer program some extent, careful management will be • staples card (kartu sembako) required over the dry season. • Bantuan Kemensos (social affairs In the past, farmers traditionally valued assistance). diversity. With the enclosure of such large Each program involves a different set areas of land for plantations during the of recipients and provides different oil palm boom, many find themselves amounts or forms of assistance. Provincial working small areas of land and are overly governments are rolling out social dependent on a single crop. In the future, assistance (for example, the North Sumatra farmers growing estate crops need to find provincial government provides assistance ways to grow food crops, with strategic of Rp225,000 per family). Villagers believe support for growing multi-crops or the that, since COVID-19 can infect anyone reallocation of village, social forestry, irrespective of their wealth, the distribution housing compounds or plantation land of assistance should be equal. Therefore, for rice, corn and vegetable cultivation. As district government assistance is divided the shock most adversely affects casual equally, with recipients receiving 2.5 kg rice labourers, social assistance needs to target and 15 eggs from each allocation. However, this group. Palm oil price insurance could the central government, through the Social be explored to maintain stable prices of Affairs Ministry, distributes Rp600,000 to fresh fruit bunches. Program support a limited number of casual day labourer could be extended to develop community- beneficiaries. The conditional cash transfer based, self or participatory targeting for program and the staples card continue to food assistance; combine social protection CHAPTER 4. COVID-19 and food systems in Indonesia | 59
Indonesia with supporting productive farming Conditions in some areas of the Papua among most affected households; provide provinces are broadly similar to other parts financial support for multi-cropping; and of the region. While remote areas have rejuvenation of old trees. limited access to food markets and rely on their own production, in some areas, factors Papuan provinces such as climate conditions, land suitability, Indonesian Papua is divided into the two drought and flood lead to seasonal deficits provincial administrations of Papua and in food supplies (Ichi & Tamimi 2020). Areas West Papua (the Papuan provinces). By early of the Papua provinces have significant June 2020, Papua had the third-highest potential to grow local foods such as proportion of individuals in its population sago, banana and sweetpotato. However, infected with COVID-19, and West Papua Indigenous Papuans have also changed was the fifth (Sucahyo 2020). Both provinces their consumption patterns (Elisabeth have low capacity for polymerase chain 2020ab). While Papuans traditionally relied reaction testing, lack health facilities and on local food, the introduction of the Raskin have limited health workers. They also have (Rice for the Poor) program gave them high malnutrition rates among children ready access to cheap rice. They prefer to under five years old and high levels of buy inexpensive rice than grow their own infectious diseases such as tuberculosis, food. Only 25% are fully self-sufficient food HIV/AIDS and malaria. The populations of producers who do not primarily consume the Papuan provinces are considered high rice. These are Indigenous Papuans risk (Ramadhan 2020). (Orang Asli Papua) who still have home Due to their vast size, lack of medical gardens (Sumule 2020). The Indonesian facilities and health workers, and security Food Security Index 2019 notes that issues, handling COVID-19 in the Papua approximately 90% of districts in Papua rely provinces is challenging. Many health on food supplies from outside their area. workers have tested positive (34 as at In 2019, Papua produced 133,684 t of rice, 26 May 2020). The supply and distribution 91% of this in Marauke. However, this of medicine relies on air transportation only met 10.7% of the total needs (Papua and faces shortages. Distributing medicine Province 2020). West Papua can only and developing testing capacity will take produce 10.8% (9,045 t) of its total needs time. Given these constraints, regional (Sumule 2020). With unstable climate governments have made extra efforts to try patterns, last year’s harvest in Marauke to reduce the mobility of people across the failed to meet its target, and average rainfall region. Papua Province was the first to close fell in February 2020. Furthermore, the its border, shutting its airport and ports on provinces lack the capacity to speed up 24 March 2020, especially links to and from post-harvest management of rice (Wiyanto Sulawesi, another COVID-19 hotspot. 2020). Consequently, it is estimated that Over recent decades, the population of 51% of people in Papua and 75% of people both Papua provinces have changed their in West Papua depend upon imported rice food consumption patterns and this has supplies. The government has predicted generated a high dependence on imports. that drought this year will affect rice Large numbers of migrants, especially production (Amanda 2020). During the Javanese, have moved into the Papua COVID-19 pandemic, local governments are provinces and are primarily rice consumers. encouraging communities to produce more These groups are vulnerable to fluctuations local food. in rice prices and availability. 60 | TECHNICAL REPORT 96
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