Digital conglomerates and killer acquisitions - A discussion of the competitive effects of start-up acquisitions by digital platforms

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Concurrences
REVUE DES DROITS DE LA CONCURRENCE | COMPETITION LAW REVIEW

Digital conglomerates
and killer acquisitions –
A discussion of the
competitive effects
of start‑up acquisitions
by digital platforms
Law & Economics               l Concurrences N° 1-2020 l pp. 42-50

Tristan Lécuyer
tristan.lecuyer@rbbecon.com
Senior Associate
RBB Economics, Paris
Law & Economics

Tristan Lécuyer
                                                                     Digital

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tristan.lecuyer@rbbecon.com

                                                                                                                                                                                       Ce document est protégé au titre du droit d'auteur par les conventions internationales en vigueur et le Code de la propriété intellectuelle du 1er juillet 1992. Toute utilisation non autorisée constitue une contrefaçon, délit pénalement sanctionné jusqu'à 3 ans d'emprisonnement et 300 000 € d'amende (art.
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Senior Associate

                                                                     conglomerates and
RBB Economics, Paris

                                                                     killer acquisitions –
                                                                     A discussion of
                                                                     the competitive
                                                                     effects of start‑up
                                                                     acquisitions by
ABSTRACT
Digital platforms are growingly suspected to
acquire promising start-up companies to “kill”
future competition (the “killer acquisition”
                                                                     digital platforms
concern) and/or extend their domination
by acquiring complementary services
in neighbouring markets resulting
in marginalisation of rivals and higher barriers
to entry (the “digital conglomerate” concern).
This article assesses horizontal and
conglomerate effects raised by such mergers
and discusses the extent to which a change
in competition law in Europe is needed to deal
                                                                     I. Introduction
with these cases. It concludes that, given
the high uncertainty regarding future
                                                                     1. Digital platforms are under growing scrutiny. Commentators have been par-
competition, changes proposed by observers                           ticularly vocal about acquisitions of start-ups by digital platforms, whose
to the current EU merger control risk leading                        growing number is interpreted by some as a sign of underenforcement. A recent
to misconceived theories of harm and
reversing the burden of proof for digital
                                                                     report prepared for the UK government by a digital competition expert panel,
mergers is likely to deprive customers                               headed by Professor Jason Furman (“the Furman report”), notes for instance
from procompetitive benefits and jeopardise                          that companies such as Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google and Microsoft have
innovation in the digital sector.
                                                                     engaged in close to 250 acquisitions globally in the last five years, none of which
Les plateformes numériques sont de plus                              have been prohibited.1 Concerns expressed with respect to these acquisitions are
en plus suspectées d’acquérir des start-ups                          mainly twofold.
prometteuses afin de “tuer” la concurrence
future (inquiétude liée aux “acquisitions
meurtrières”) et/ou d’étendre leur dominance                         2. First, these acquisitions would be a way for digital platforms to “kill” future
via l’acquisition de services complémentaires                        competition by acquiring a promising start-up which might challenge their
dans des marchés voisins conduisant
à l’affaiblissement des concurrents et à                             incumbent position at some point in the future. European Commissioner
des barrières à l’entrée plus élevées                                Margrethe Vestager in particular expressed this concern on several occasions,
(inquiétude liée aux “conglomérats                                   pointing to the need for “revisited theories of harm, so we can intervene in mergers
numériques”). Cet article étudie les effets
horizontaux et congloméraux soulevés
                                                                     when the owners of ecosystems buy start-ups before they have a chance to grow.”2
par ces fusions et discute la mesure selon                           We refer to this concern as the “killer acquisition concern” in the remainder of
laquelle elles nécessitent un changement                             the paper.
du droit de la concurrence européen.
Il montre qu’étant donné l’inhérente
incertitude liée à la concurrence future,                            3. Second, start-up acquisitions by digital platforms would serve the purpose of
les changements du contrôle des                                      expanding the domination of the platform in neighbouring markets by margi-
concentrations européen préconisés
                                                                     nalising rivals and raising barriers to entry through conglomerate effects. In a
par certains commentateurs risquent
de conduire à des théories du préjudice
inappropriées tandis que renverser le standard
de la preuve pour ces fusions risque                                 1 Furman et al. (2019), p. 91.
de priver les consommateurs de bénéfices
proconcurrentiels et de mettre en danger                             2 Commissioner M. Vestager’s contribution to the conference “Shaping competition policy in the era of digitisa-
l’innovation dans le secteur numérique.                                tion” held in Brussels on January 17, 2019.

42            Concurrences N° 1-2020 I Law & Economics I Tristan Lécuyer I Digital conglomerates and killer acquisitions...
recent public appearance, Andreas Mundt, president of                                       concerns in the digital sector, even in situations where si-

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the German Bundeskartellamt, shared this concern by                                         gnificant network effects exist, where data have a critical

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                                                                                                                                                                                      L. 335-2 CPI). L’utilisation personnelle est strictement autorisée dans les limites de l’article L. 122 5 CPI et des mesures techniques de protection pouvant accompagner ce document. This document is protected by copyright laws and international copyright treaties. Non-authorised use of this document
stating that sometimes, even when platforms have only                                       role and where the dynamics of platform envelopment
just entered a market, they “have already all the financial                                 are at play.
strength to exert conglomerate market power, bringing
billions of clients and their data to that new market, rolling                              8. We conclude from the above discussion that, given
it up, in quite a little time.”3 We refer to this concern as the                            the high uncertainty regarding future competition, the
“digital conglomerate concern” in the rest of the paper.                                    proposed changes to the current EU merger control risk
                                                                                            leading to misconceived theories of harm and, impor-
4. These concerns must be taken seriously as they may                                       tantly, reversing the burden of proof is likely to deprive
entail a profound change of merger control regimes in                                       customers from procompetitive benefits and jeopardise
Europe. Some enforcers have recently taken positions in                                     innovation in the digital sector.
favour of a change of competition law to better assess
the potential anticompetitive effects of such acquisitions.
Former EU’s competition chief economist, Professor
Tommaso Valletti, notably advocates a complete shift of                                     II. A growing
                                                                                            suspicion of
the burden of proof and the use of “structural presump-
tions” to assess acquisitions by large digital platforms.
In essence, Valletti considers that acquisitions by large
digital platform should be presumed anticompetitive
unless the parties can prove that the merger would bring                                    anticompetitive effects
significant efficiencies to consumers.4 These proposed                                      9. Acquisitions of start-up companies by digital platforms
changes would be a complete reversal of the current EU                                      are increasingly suspected to have significant anticom-
merger control where the European Commission needs                                          petitive effects. Several academic reports have recently
to prove anticompetitive effects to prohibit a merger.                                      expressed concerns regarding such acquisitions which,
                                                                                            they argue, may significantly impede effective competi-
5. This article assesses the extent to which the current EU                                 tion even when the two merging parties are not active in
merger control is well suited to deal with these mergers                                    the same relevant market. These reports include studies
and whether a change in competition law is needed. It                                       commissioned by competition authorities to formulate
contributes to this discussion by providing an economic                                     recommendations on potential changes of competition
assessment of the concerns that start-up acquisitions by                                    policy in the digital sector (e.g., the Crémer report for
digital platforms may raise. For each of the two most                                       the European Commission and the Furman report for
commonly raised concerns, i.e., the “killer acquisition”                                    the UK government) as well as some academic publi-
and “digital conglomerate” concerns, it explains the                                        cations (e.g., the Stigler report from the Chicago Booth
economic mechanisms at stake and sets out the condi-                                        School of Business and the article of Bourreau et al. on
tions under which these acquisitions may be deemed                                          digital conglomerates). According to these reports, such
anticompetitive by analysing both potential horizontal                                      mergers could harm consumers in two ways which we
and conglomerate effects.                                                                   describe below.

6. With respect to horizontal effects, we show that
because tangible evidence on whether a start-up will
grow into a significant competitive force constraining
                                                                                            1. The “killer acquisition”
the digital platform may not be available, replacing the                                    concern
current “balance of probability” approach by a “balance
of harm” approach as advocated by the Furman report                                         10. The authors of these reports argue that the acquisi-
is likely to raise significant practical difficulties and risk                              tion of a start-up company by a large digital platform
leading to some speculative theories of harm.                                               may result in the “early elimination of a potential rival”
                                                                                            before it had a chance to grow into a significant compet-
7. With respect to conglomerate effects, we explain why                                     itive force. The concern expressed here is that, absent the
conglomerate mergers are generally procompetitive, in                                       transaction, a start-up with “a large and/or fast growing
particular in the digital sector where further benefits                                     user base and a high future market potential” may have
can be passed on to consumers. Under certain circums-                                       grown into a significant competitive constraint on the
tances, however, the expansion of a digital platform in                                     digital platform in one or several markets where it is
a neighbouring market can raise competition issues                                          active.5 As such, the merger would give the digital platform
through conglomerate effects undermining the ability                                        further ability to increase prices compared to the coun-
of rivals to compete. We show that the current EU                                           terfactual in which it would have faced direct competition
framework is nevertheless well suited to deal with these                                    from the start-up. According to these reports, this could
                                                                                            happen even in situations where the start-up is not active
                                                                                            in the same relevant antitrust market as the acquirer at
                                                                                            the time of the merger. The authors consider indeed that
3 MLex, 12 July 2019, quoting A. Mundt’s contribution to the conference “Concurrenc-
  es 15-Year Anniversary: Which Competition Policy for 2019–2024?” held in Brussels on
  July 11, 2019.

4 Valletti (2018).                                                                          5 Crémer et al. (2019), pp. 110–122.

                                                                 Concurrences N° 1-2020 I Law & Economics I Tristan Lécuyer I Digital conglomerates and killer acquisitions...   43
start-up companies often innovate in the fringe of a plat-                                overcome the significant disadvantage of not being able

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     form’s ecosystem by offering a different good that does                                   to supply the two services within a single ecosystem.

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                                                                                                                                                                                           L. 335-2 CPI). L’utilisation personnelle est strictement autorisée dans les limites de l’article L. 122 5 CPI et des mesures techniques de protection pouvant accompagner ce document. This document is protected by copyright laws and international copyright treaties. Non-authorised use of this document
     not presently compete, or compete very distantly, with
     the platform’s goods but that may well do so in the future                                14. To deal with this concern, the Crémer report
     once the start-up has fully developed its market potential.                               advocates a modification of existing theories of harm
                                                                                               to assess the market position of the merging parties in a
     11. Both the Crémer and Furman reports cite the example                                   much broader space than the “narrowly defined product
     of the acquisition of Instagram by Facebook in 2014.                                      market.” According to the authors, dominance should be
     Although Instagram was only competing with Facebook                                       instead assessed in a “‘users’ space’ that may encompass
     in a small segment of the market for social network ap-                                   a broad variety of user needs.”8 We discuss this proposal
     plications (photo sharing) at the time of their merger,                                   later in this paper and show that it appears unneces-
     the authors suggest (without any sound basis to support                                   sary and carries a substantial risk of both under- and
     this conjecture) that it could potentially have developed                                 overenforcement.
     into a credible competitor of Facebook absent the trans-
     action by progressively entering into adjacent segments                                   15. It follows from the above that, while the “killer ac-
     of social network platforms. According to these reports,                                  quisition” concern relates to the horizontal effects that
     this concern is more likely to materialise in the presence                                may result from the elimination of a potential rival, the
     of strong network effects which make it more difficult                                    “digital conglomerate” concern relates to the non-hori-
     for a new entrant to reach a critical size and therefore                                  zontal effects that the expansion of a platform in a
     result in higher barriers to entry and a greater degree of                                neighbouring market may generate. In the following two
     concentration.6                                                                           sections, we therefore discuss the extent to which these
                                                                                               concerns might give rise to anticompetitive effects by suc-
     12. To deal with this concern, the Furman report                                          cessively assessing horizontal and non-horizontal aspects
     considers that more weight should be given to high                                        entailed by a merger between a digital platform and a
     impact/low probability events under an approach called                                    start-up.
     “balance of harm.” We discuss this proposal later in this
     paper and show that it raises significant practical diffi-
     culties and introduces a substantial risk of speculative
     theories of harm with consequent adverse effects.                                         III. Assessment
     2. The “digital conglomerate”
                                                                                               of horizontal effects
                                                                                               16. Two types of mergers are quite confusingly called
     concern                                                                                   “killer acquisitions” by observers:
     13. These reports also consider that the combination
     of a start-up’s resources (e.g., a specific set of data the                               – A merger with a competitor already active in the same
     start-up generates), services or products with those of                                      relevant market, even though potentially with products
     the digital platform may confer the merged entity a sig-                                     and services in an early development phase; and
     nificant competitive advantage over its rivals. If this                                   – 
                                                                                                 A merger with a potential competitor that is not
     competitive advantage is likely to materially diminish the                                  presently active in the same relevant market.
     ability of rivals to compete with the merged entity, com-
     petition may then be reduced and consumers harmed.                                        This section discusses the assessment of horizontal
     The Crémer report notes for instance that “frequent-                                      effects in each of these cases.
     ly the project of the bought-up start-up is integrated into
     the ‘ecosystem’ of the acquirer or into one of their existing
     products.”7 According to the authors, such integration
     of complementary activities, referred to as “platform en-
                                                                                               1. Merger with
     velopment”, may allow the merged entity to attract and                                    a competitor already active
     retain customers who value the newly integrated service
     at the expense of rival platforms that do not benefit from
                                                                                               in the same market
     the combination of these two services. Network effects,                                   17. Mergers where one of the parties is developing
     it is argued, would then strengthen the dominance of                                      a product which does not currently overlap with the
     the platform by expanding their scope in the sense that                                   other party’s product, but may well do in a foreseea-
     more users would use each of the two services post-merg-                                  ble future, are relatively common and correspond to
     er than in a situation where the two services are provided                                the typical “innovation concerns” raised by the EC in a
     independently. The authors argue that this is likely to                                   number of cases.9 In recent years, however, more promi-
     further reinforce the dominance of the platform and raise                                 nence has been given to the possibility that these mergers
     barriers to entry as any potential entrant would need to                                  allegedly aim at killing future competition. Indeed, in

     6 Ibid.                                                                                   8 Ibid.

     7 Ibid.                                                                                   9 In recent years, this was notably the case in GE/Alstom, Pfizer/Hospira and Dow/DuPont.

44   Concurrences N° 1-2020 I Law & Economics I Tristan Lécuyer I Digital conglomerates and killer acquisitions...
a much-discussed paper called “Killer acquisitions”,                                               former.12 Anticipating the threat of competition coming

                                                                                                                                                                                                   constitutes a violation of the publisher's rights and may be punished by up to 3 years imprisonment and up to a € 300 000 fine (Art. L. 335-2 Code de la Propriété Intellectuelle). Personal use of this document is authorised within the limits of Art. L 122-5 Code de la Propriété Intellectuelle and DRM protection.
Cunningham et al. (2018) assess this issue by analysing                                            from a surrounding market, firms in the first market

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                                                                                                                                                                                                   L. 335-2 CPI). L’utilisation personnelle est strictement autorisée dans les limites de l’article L. 122 5 CPI et des mesures techniques de protection pouvant accompagner ce document. This document is protected by copyright laws and international copyright treaties. Non-authorised use of this document
the incentives that some incumbents in the pharmaceuti-                                            may determine price and output not only based on the
cal industry may have to acquire firms that are developing                                         structure of the market in which they evolve, but also
a potentially competing technology in order to shut                                                taking into account potential entry by firms active in the
down the development of that particular technology. The                                            second market. In that sense, a loss of competition can
authors argue, on the basis of their analysis, that signifi-                                       conceivably occur if a merger between a digital platform
cantly lower development rates are observed for products                                           and a start-up operating in an adjacent space results in
that are acquired by overlapping incumbents compared                                               the elimination of a potential entrant. Such concern is
to (i) similar projects that are not acquired and (ii) similar                                     not new and is recognised in the EC Horizontal Merger
projects that are acquired by an incumbent that does not                                           Guidelines.13
have an overlapping product.
                                                                                                   22. On the second point, however, tangible evidence on
18. However, this definition of killer acquisitions is at                                          whether a start-up will grow into a significant competitive
odds with what observers have in mind when expressing                                              force constraining the digital platform may not always
concerns with respect to the digital sector. First, in the                                         be available, raising the question of how to account for
type of mergers described by Cunningham et al., the com-                                           hypothetical competition in the future. Traditionally,
petitor is already de facto active in the market. It might                                         competition authorities seek to assess whether a harmful
not be public knowledge, but the target is in the process                                          outcome is more likely to materialise post-merger than
of developing and bringing to the market an overlapping                                            not. The EC Horizontal Merger Guidelines for instance
product. Second, unlike in the digital sector where we                                             state that the objective of merger control is to “assess
see digital platforms materially growing the start-up they                                         whether or not a concentration would significantly impede
acquire (Instagram’s monthly active users, for instance,                                           effective competition.”14 With respect to potential compe-
grew from 50 million in May 2012 when Facebook                                                     tition, this means assessing whether the merging parties
acquired it to more than 1 billion today),10 the mergers                                           are more likely to become actual competitors in the
described by Cunningham et al. result in shutting down                                             future than not.
the acquired technology.
                                                                                                   23. The Furman report advocates for a replacement of
19. Set aside the question of the relevant notification                                            this approach, called “balance of probability” in the
thresholds,11 the concern raised by the acquisition of a                                           CMA guidelines,15 by an alternative approach called
firm developing an overlapping technology does not seem                                            “balance of harm.” Under the balance of harm approach,
substantially different from the assessment of a merger                                            the authors urge competition authorities to estimate the
between two existing products and there is no reason to                                            outcome of any potential competitive scenarios as well as
assume that the current EU merger control is not well                                              the probability of each of these scenarios to materialise.
equipped to deal with such cases.                                                                  This way, it is argued, agencies will be able to factor into
                                                                                                   merger assessment “low probability, high impact” events
                                                                                                   like the possibility for a start-up, not presently active in
2. Merger with a potential                                                                         the same relevant market as the acquirer, to grow into a
                                                                                                   significant competitive force constraining the acquirer in
competitor not presently active                                                                    the future.
in the same market
                                                                                                   24. This approach comes with a number of challenges
20. The acquisition of a potential competitor that is not                                          for merger control. Indeed, to factor into the analysis the
presently active in the same relevant market may raise                                             possibility that a start-up might, one day in a hypothet-
unilateral effects if:                                                                             ical future, exert a significant competitive constraint on
                                                                                                   the acquirer, a competition authority will need to:
– The parties are already constraining each other via the
   threat of entry; or                                                                             – identify a range of possible future outcomes;
– The start-up may grow into a competitive force in the                                           – estimate the probability of each outcome to arise; and
   future.
                                                                                                   – 
                                                                                                     assess the impact of each of these outcomes on
                                                                                                     customer welfare.16
21. On the first point, the “contestability of markets”
may entail that firms operating in one market might be
constrained by firms operating in a second market due
to the possibility of the latter entering the market of the

                                                                                                   12 Baumol et al. (1982).

10 See https://techcrunch.com/2018/06/20/instagram-1-billion-users.                                13 EC Horizontal Merger Guidelines, para. 59.

11 Because some digital start-ups may forego short-term profits to attract and grow a signif-      14 Ibid., para. 1.
   icant user base before monetising products, it seems both appropriate and important for         15 CMA guidelines on market definition, para. 2.12.
   competition authorities to make sure they review any potential horizontal overlap that
   may arise in a foreseeable future. This question has been the object of intense discussions     16 For a more detailed discussion of the merits and challenges raised by the “balance of
   amongst practitioners recently.                                                                    harm”approach, see for instance RBB Economics (2019).

                                                                        Concurrences N° 1-2020 I Law & Economics I Tristan Lécuyer I Digital conglomerates and killer acquisitions...         45
25. These are likely to raise significant practical difficul-                                 –
                                                                                                    Economies of scope: Economies of scope arise

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     ties for competition authorities in real-life mergers since                                    when there are efficiencies associated to the produc-

                                                                                                                                                                  Ce document est protégé au titre du droit d'auteur par les conventions internationales en vigueur et le Code de la propriété intellectuelle du 1er juillet 1992. Toute utilisation non autorisée constitue une contrefaçon, délit pénalement sanctionné jusqu'à 3 ans d'emprisonnement et 300 000 € d'amende (art.
                                                                                                                                                                  L. 335-2 CPI). L’utilisation personnelle est strictement autorisée dans les limites de l’article L. 122 5 CPI et des mesures techniques de protection pouvant accompagner ce document. This document is protected by copyright laws and international copyright treaties. Non-authorised use of this document
     supporting evidence will need to be gathered on each of                                        tion of two different goods or services by a single
     these points not to fall into some speculative theories of                                     firm compared to their production by two indepen-
     harm.                                                                                          dent firms.19 Digital firms generally exhibit significant
                                                                                                    economies of scope when it comes to product devel-
                                                                                                    opment. If one thinks about the algorithms developed

     IV. Assessment of                                                                              by Google for its search engine for instance, it is easily
                                                                                                    conceivable that such algorithms can also be used to

     conglomerate effects
                                                                                                    provide relevant search results for customers ordering
                                                                                                    food online or willing to listen to a particular type of
                                                                                                    music on a streaming platform. As shown by Bourreau
     26. Having explored what types of horizontal concerns                                          et al. (2019), the strong economies of scope experienced
     a merger between a digital platform and a start-up may                                         by digital firms for product development provide more
     raise, we now examine the conditions under which the                                           incentives to diversify product lines and expand in new
     expansion of a digital platform in a neighbouring market                                       markets.
     might give rise to non-horizontal competition concerns.
                                                                                                   – Consumption synergies: Complementing an offer with
                                                                                                      an additional product or service may increase value
     27. We start by setting out the economic mechanisms
                                                                                                      for customers. When using Google’s search engine to
     explaining why conglomerate mergers are generally
                                                                                                      find a venue for dinner for instance, customers may
     considered to be procompetitive, in particular in the
                                                                                                      find it convenient to directly obtain information from
     digital sector where further benefits can be passed on to
                                                                                                      Google’s search results on as various things as restau-
     consumers. We then show that the current EU framework
                                                                                                      rants’ ratings, menus, pictures as well as access to a
     appears well suited to deal with potential exclusionary
                                                                                                      map locating each restaurant and providing optimised
     concerns in situations where significant network effects
                                                                                                      itineraries. Because customers value access to several
     exist, where access to data may constitute a unique com-
                                                                                                      products and services in one place, and because firms in
     petitive advantage and platform envelopment dynamics
                                                                                                      the digital sector often benefit from strong economies
     are at play.
                                                                                                      of scope, digital platforms tend to create ecosystems in
                                                                                                      which they use complementarity between goods to offer
                                                                                                      a broader scope of products and services. A merger
     1. Conglomerate mergers are                                                                      between a digital platform and a start-up company
     generally procompetitive, in                                                                     providing a complementary service can therefore
                                                                                                      have procompetitive effects for customers who value
     particular in the digital sector                                                                 the decrease in opportunity cost (e.g., less time spent
                                                                                                      searching additional information on localisation and
     28. As recognised in the EC Non-Horizontal Merger
                                                                                                      itineraries in the restaurant example) brought by the in-
     Guidelines, conglomerate mergers are generally consid-
                                                                                                      tegration of the two services into a same ecosystem.
     ered to have procompetitive effects.17 First, conglomerate
     mergers do not entail the elimination of a direct compet-                                     –
                                                                                                    Complementarity in capabilities: In addition to the
     itive constraint unlike horizontal mergers. Second, when                                       complementarity between products and services,
     products sold by the merging parties are complementa-                                          a merger between a large digital platform and a
     ry to each other, the merger can bring significant benefits                                    promising start-up may combine complementary ca-
     to consumers. This is because demand for each product                                          pabilities. Typically, start-up companies tend to focus
     are interrelated: when the price of one product falls, the                                     on the development of one particular technology,
     demand for the other product increases, and vice versa.                                        product or service. This is because resources they can
     As a result, a merger between complementary products                                           access are generally limited and all oriented towards a
     provides the merged entity with incentives to decrease                                         unique objective for which they obtained funding.20 In
     prices post-merger following the same type of economic                                         contrast, large digital firms are more likely to possess
     mechanisms that give the merging parties incentives to                                         the required resources and skills to further develop
     increase prices for substitute products.                                                       and commercialise a product at a larger scale (or in a
                                                                                                    faster way) than a smaller firm could do. By combining
     29. Additional procompetitive effects of conglomer-                                            the innovation brought by the start-up with the capa-
     ate mergers exist and have been extensively analysed                                           bilities of a larger digital firm, a conglomerate merger
     by the economic literature.18 In the digital sector, these                                     may therefore directly benefit customers through faster
     effects are likely to be reinforced by the features of digital                                 access to innovative products or services.
     platforms as described in the following paragraphs.
                                                                                                   – Exit strategy: Being acquired by an established firm
                                                                                                      might give further incentives for start-ups to innovate
                                                                                                      in the first place. These incentives have been studied at

     17 EC Non-Horizontal Merger Guidelines, para. 11 and following.
                                                                                                   19 Panzar et al. (1977).
     18 For a detailed discussion of procompetitive effects of conglomerate mergers, see for in-
        stance Bishop et al. (2005).                                                               20 See for instance Churchill et al. (1983).

46   Concurrences N° 1-2020 I Law & Economics I Tristan Lécuyer I Digital conglomerates and killer acquisitions...
length by the economic literature on the exit strategy                                       33. In Microsoft/LinkedIn for instance, a core theory of

                                                                                                                                                                                                    constitutes a violation of the publisher's rights and may be punished by up to 3 years imprisonment and up to a € 300 000 fine (Art. L. 335-2 Code de la Propriété Intellectuelle). Personal use of this document is authorised within the limits of Art. L 122-5 Code de la Propriété Intellectuelle and DRM protection.
  of investors financing start-ups. Cumming et al. (2008)                                      harm considered by the Commission was that, post-merg-

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                                                                                                                                                                                                    L. 335-2 CPI). L’utilisation personnelle est strictement autorisée dans les limites de l’article L. 122 5 CPI et des mesures techniques de protection pouvant accompagner ce document. This document is protected by copyright laws and international copyright treaties. Non-authorised use of this document
  notably carried out an empirical study of the exit                                           er, Microsoft could pre-install LinkedIn on all Windows
  strategies of some venture capital funds that invested                                       PCs and integrate LinkedIn into Microsoft Office while
  in European start-ups. The authors found that the                                            limiting the interoperability of other professional social
  prospects that a start-up will be acquired by a larger                                       networks with Microsoft’s products.22 The Commission
  company in the future constitute an important driver                                         considered that these actions could significantly enhance
  of the expected returns of investors which is often                                          LinkedIn’s visibility compared to competing professional
  deemed superior to the prospects that the start-up will                                      social networks and consequently strengthen LinkedIn’s
  become an independent listed company.                                                        market position to the detriment of rivals due to the
                                                                                               existence of strong direct network effects (the more pro-
                                                                                               fessionals are active on a particular network, the more
2. Conglomerate concerns                                                                       valuable this network becomes to users, which in turn
                                                                                               attracts more users, and so on).
in the digital sector:
Network effects, data and                                                                      34. The Commission also considered that multi-homing
                                                                                               was limited due to the high level of time and dedication
platform envelopment                                                                           required to connect with other members and regularly
                                                                                               update profiles. Unlike in Facebook/WhatsApp, it consid-
30. Conglomerate mergers can raise competition issues
                                                                                               ered that multi-homing was therefore unlikely to mitigate
through anticompetitive foreclosure when sales of one
                                                                                               any detrimental consequence of network effects on com-
product are bundled or tied to the sales of another
                                                                                               petition. As a result, Microsoft had to offer a number of
product, such that post-merger customers would switch
                                                                                               commitments to address these competition concerns and
a substantial amount of their purchases from rivals to
                                                                                               obtain the Commission’s approval.
the merged entity for one or the two products.21 If this
results in such a decrease in rivals’ profits that they are
no longer able to exert a significant competitive con-                                         2.2 Conglomerate concerns
straint on the merged entity in one or the two markets,
the merger must be considered harmful to consumers.
                                                                                               and the importance of data
Importantly, however, if the merger is not likely to bring                                     35. Another significant feature of digital platforms is
together products that can be sold together in a way that                                      the importance of data. Although the use and the sig-
may hurt rivals, a conglomerate merger is considered pro-                                      nificance of data differ depending on the market, many
competitive under the current guidelines.                                                      digital platforms collect data on their users that they sub-
                                                                                               sequently use as an input to improve the services and
31. In the following, we discuss the extent to which the                                       products they sell on each side of the platform. Typically,
current EU framework is well suited to deal with these                                         a firm like Google uses the data it collects on users’
concerns in mergers between a digital platform and                                             searches both to improve its search algorithms on the
a start-up in light of the characteristics of the digital                                      user side of the platform and to sell more targeted ad-
sector—namely, the existence of significant network                                            vertisement products on the other side of the platform.
effects, the importance of data and the dynamics of                                            A relevant question for merger control is therefore
platform envelopment.                                                                          whether a merger can lead to the acquisition of a par-
                                                                                               ticular set of data which could confer the merged entity

2.1 Conglomerate concerns and network
                                                                                               a significant competitive advantage over rivals. If the
                                                                                               ability of rivals to exert a significant competitive con-
effects                                                                                        straint on the merged entity is materially reduced as a
                                                                                               result of this competitive disadvantage, the merger must
32. When a market is characterised by strong network
                                                                                               be considered as causing harm to consumers.
effects, exclusionary concerns raised by a conglomer-
ate merger are more likely to materialise. This is because
                                                                                               36. In Apple/Shazam for instance, the Commission
the integration of complementary activities may allow
                                                                                               developed a new theory of harm aiming to assess whether
the merged entity to attract and retain customers who
                                                                                               Apple, through the acquisition of the music recognition
value the newly integrated service at the expense of rival
                                                                                               app Shazam, could gain access to critical data about the
platforms that do not benefit from the combination of
                                                                                               preferences of music streaming customers that it could
these two services. Network effects in one of the markets
                                                                                               use to undermine the ability of rival music streaming
may then spread to the other market once services are
                                                                                               platforms to compete.23 In particular, the Commission
provided together compared to a situation where the two
services are provided independently.

                                                                                               22 Microsoft/LinkedIn EC decision, Case M.8124 (2016). In this case, the Commission also
                                                                                                  assessed horizontal and vertical effects arising from the acquisition of LinkedIn data by
                                                                                                  Microsoft.

                                                                                               23 Apple/Shazam EC decision, Case M.8788 (2018). In this case, the Commission also devel-
                                                                                                  oped a theory of harm on input foreclosure and assessed whether Apple could use Shazam’s
                                                                                                  strong position in the market for music recognition apps to undermine the ability of Apple
21 For a more detailed discussion of the economics of bundling and tying practices in the         Music’s rivals to compete by discontinuing referrals from the Shazam app towards compet-
   context of conglomerate mergers, see Gore et al. (2013).                                       ing streaming music platforms.

                                                                    Concurrences N° 1-2020 I Law & Economics I Tristan Lécuyer I Digital conglomerates and killer acquisitions...              47
was concerned that such data could allow Apple to better                                          the authors call “shared user relationships.” As a result,

                                                                                                                                                                                                      constitutes a violation of the publisher's rights and may be punished by up to 3 years imprisonment and up to a € 300 000 fine (Art. L. 335-2 Code de la Propriété Intellectuelle). Personal use of this document is authorised within the limits of Art. L 122-5 Code de la Propriété Intellectuelle and DRM protection.
     target customers and encourage them to switch from                                                integration of a media player into a broader operating

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                                                                                                                                                                                                      L. 335-2 CPI). L’utilisation personnelle est strictement autorisée dans les limites de l’article L. 122 5 CPI et des mesures techniques de protection pouvant accompagner ce document. This document is protected by copyright laws and international copyright treaties. Non-authorised use of this document
     competitors’ platforms to Apple Music.                                                            system and associated software is likely to generate
                                                                                                       substantial consumption synergies for customers via
     37. For this strategy to significantly undermine rivals’                                          enhanced functionalities (e.g., easier access to videos in
     ability to compete, two cumulative conditions must be met.                                        emails). By tying its own media player with the other
                                                                                                       features of the Windows ecosystem, Microsoft therefore
     – First, similar data must not be available to rival music                                       managed to leverage economies of scope and consump-
        streaming platforms. If competitors can access similar                                         tion synergies to make a substantial number of Windows
        data without incurring significant additional costs                                            users migrate from competing media players to Windows
        compared to the merged entity, there is no reason to                                           Media Player. This allowed Microsoft to rapidly overtake
        suspect that acquisition of the data in question would                                         Real, the largest media player at the time.
        put Apple Music’s rivals at a competitive disadvantage.
                                                                                                       41. Paradoxically, this theory is cited as an important
     – Second, even if the data acquired by Apple had unique
                                                                                                       issue arising from the acquisition of start-ups in both
        characteristics allowing Apple Music to better target
                                                                                                       Crémer and Bourreau (2019) while the characteris-
        customers’ preferences, it must allow the merged entity
                                                                                                       tics of platform envelopment actually highlight the
        to divert a sufficient number of users from competi-
                                                                                                       ability of some firms to grow into a competitive force
        tors’ services to its own platform for the competitive
                                                                                                       in a neighbouring market without resorting to external
        constraint exerted by rivals to be significantly reduced
                                                                                                       acquisitions.
        post-merger.
                                                                                                       42. First, platform envelopment suggests that firms active
     It suffices to prove that one of these two conditions does
                                                                                                       in neighbouring markets can leverage economies of scope
     not hold for competitive concerns to be dismissed.
                                                                                                       and consumption synergies to successfully enter (or
                                                                                                       threaten to do so) the merging parties’ markets. Typically,
     38. Following an in-depth investigation, the Commission
                                                                                                       the above-mentioned expansion of Microsoft into the
     concluded that none of these conditions were met. First,
                                                                                                       market for media players has been achieved through the
     it found that the data collected by Shazam was not
                                                                                                       in-house development of the Windows Media Player
     unique and that many alternative datasets were available
                                                                                                       software and not as the result of a merger. Similarly, when
     to competitors. Second, the investigation revealed that
                                                                                                       it recently entered the market for food delivery services
     Shazam’s data were unlikely to substantially increase
                                                                                                       Uber leveraged its existing software solutions for con-
     Apple’s ability to better target customers and make them
                                                                                                       necting drivers and users, as well as optimising drivers’
     switch to Apple Music.
                                                                                                       schedules, from its transportation business. Furthermore,
                                                                                                       Uber’s integration of the two services within a same app
     2.3 Conglomerate concerns and platform                                                            environment also generated significant consumption
     envelopment                                                                                       synergies for consumers (e.g., easy access to Uber Eats
                                                                                                       services when using the Uber app for transportation,
     39. In recent years, a new economic theory emerged to                                             and vice versa) that may have facilitated its entry in the
     describe the expansion of large platforms with a strong                                           food delivery market. As previously discussed, these two
     user base into neighbouring markets through the acqui-                                            types of efficiencies have clear procompetitive benefits for
     sition of start-ups. This theory is notably referred to as                                        consumers.
     “platform envelopment” in the Crémer report as per the
     title of an article by Eisenmann et al. (2011).24                                                 43. Second, many examples of strong market positions
                                                                                                       in the digital sector do not result from platform envel-
     40. Platform envelopment analyses entry by one platform                                           opment. In this respect, it is particularly interesting to
     into another market through the combination of “its own                                           note that Windows Media Player has now long been
     functionality with the target’s in a multi-platform bundle                                        challenged by competing video or music players for phys-
     that leverages common components and/or shared user rela-                                         ically owned content (e.g., VLC for video) and, more
     tionships.”25 One example Eisenmann et al. provide is the                                         importantly, has been completely marginalised by the de-
     launch by Microsoft of Windows Media Player in 1998.                                              velopment of video and music streaming on the internet
     Media players and PC operating systems share common                                               and dedicated platforms (e.g., Netflix or Spotify).26 None
     components. Typically, they both require developers                                               of these companies have benefited from “platform envel-
     coding software functionalities and interoperability. In                                          opment” to build their strong market position in their
     that sense, the economies of scope described above are                                            respective digital markets.
     likely to generate substantial efficiencies when develop-
     ing a media player. Similarly, users of media players and                                         44. Because all envelopment theories seem to entail the in-
     PC operating systems overlap, corresponding to what                                               tegration of the merging parties’ products or services into
                                                                                                       a broader ecosystem, called “multi-platform bundle” by

     24 See Crémer report (2019): “The expansion of the power of established platforms with a
        strong user base and a conglomerate profile into new markets pioneered by other platforms or
        firms is currently debated under the heading of ‘platform envelopment’.”                       26 Regarding music for instance, statistics from the Recording Industry Association of Amer-
                                                                                                          ica (RIAA) show that in 2018 more than 80% of the US recorded music revenues have been
     25 Eisenmann et al. (2011).                                                                          generated by streaming. See https://www.riaa.com/u-s-sales-database.

48   Concurrences N° 1-2020 I Law & Economics I Tristan Lécuyer I Digital conglomerates and killer acquisitions...
V. Conclusion

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Eisenmann et al., it is unclear why the current framework

                                                                                                                                                                 Ce document est protégé au titre du droit d'auteur par les conventions internationales en vigueur et le Code de la propriété intellectuelle du 1er juillet 1992. Toute utilisation non autorisée constitue une contrefaçon, délit pénalement sanctionné jusqu'à 3 ans d'emprisonnement et 300 000 € d'amende (art.
                                                                                                                                                                 L. 335-2 CPI). L’utilisation personnelle est strictement autorisée dans les limites de l’article L. 122 5 CPI et des mesures techniques de protection pouvant accompagner ce document. This document is protected by copyright laws and international copyright treaties. Non-authorised use of this document
used by the Commission to assess mergers involving
potential bundling and tying practices would need ad-                  48. As discussed throughout this article, the source of
justment. Indeed, the above discussion of the Microsoft/               competitive concerns arising from a start-up acquisi-
LinkedIn case indicates that the Commission is well able               tion by a digital platform active in a different market
to address such theories of harm and impose the appro-                 sometimes closely relates to the efficiencies that the
priate remedies.                                                       merger generates. Assuming that these effects are anti-
                                                                       competitive risks prohibiting benign mergers but also,
45. In particular, the Crémer report’s proposal to assess              more importantly, mergers likely to entail substantial pro-
market position of the merging parties in a “users’                    competitive effects to consumers. It is therefore critical
space” appears both arbitrary and unnecessary and, in                  to properly assess the procompetitive effects a merger is
consequence, carries a substantial risk of both under-                 likely to generate and to compare them to the potential
and overenforcement. To see why, it seems helpful to                   anticompetitive effects that have been identified.
conduct the following “thought experiment” to identify
potential outcomes that would result from this approach                49. Departing from this approach to reverse or harden
in practice.                                                           the standard of proof for digital mergers, as some com-
                                                                       mentators suggest, constitutes a risky path to follow for
46. Amazon and Uber have many similarities: they are                   the fairness and the predictability of merger control in
both large digital platforms that connect users on the                 Europe. Given the high uncertainty regarding future
one side and service providers on the other (merchants                 competition, the changes proposed by the Furman and
of physical goods for the former, drivers and restaurants              Crémer reports risk leading to misconceived theories
for the latter). There are probably many customers who                 of harm while reversing the burden of proof for digital
use both platforms such that substantial consumption                   mergers is likely to deprive customers from procompet-
synergies may be generated if both services were to be                 itive benefits and jeopardise innovation in the digital
integrated into a single ecosystem. Similarly, given the               sector.
nature of the resources used by both companies, there
may exist significant economies of scope associated to                 50. Increasing challenges and debates are likely to
the supply of the two services altogether (in terms of                 continue on how to make sure competition authorities
product development and underlying platform algorithm                  properly assess the potential impact of start-up acqui-
for instance). However, this does not mean that Amazon                 sitions by digital platforms. However, it is critical to
is constrained by Uber, and vice versa. If prices of, say,             continue assessing mergers based on a careful assessment
goods sold on Amazon were to increase, no customers                    of the economic mechanisms through which a merger
will switch to services provided by Uber such that                     may harm consumers and not on abstract theories of
the existence of the Uber platform is irrelevant to the                harms or presumptions of anticompetitive effects. n
ability of Amazon to profitably raise prices. Assessing
dominance on a users’ space that would include Amazon
and Uber would therefore materially understate the
market power of these digital platforms on each of the
markets they operate.

47. Conversely, considering now, as part of this “thought
experiment”, a hypothetical merger between Amazon
and Uber, the same logic can lead competition author-
ities to overstate the competitive constraints the two
platforms are imposing on each other. Indeed, assessing
the impact of this hypothetical merger on a “users’ space”
would give unjustified importance to the other platform
in the competitive assessment while, as discussed above,
the two platforms do not exert any significant competi-
tive constrain on each other pre-merger.

                                            Concurrences N° 1-2020 I Law & Economics I Tristan Lécuyer I Digital conglomerates and killer acquisitions...   49
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                                                                                                                                                          Ce document est protégé au titre du droit d'auteur par les conventions internationales en vigueur et le Code de la propriété intellectuelle du 1er juillet 1992. Toute utilisation non autorisée constitue une contrefaçon, délit pénalement sanctionné jusqu'à 3 ans d'emprisonnement et 300 000 € d'amende (art.
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Concurrences est une revue          Interviews                                      Ententes
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                                    Pratiques                                       Actions publiques
                                                                                    Jean-Philippe Kovar, Francesco Martucci,
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                                    Contentieux indemnitaire des pratiques          Droits européens et
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