Granting Illegal Immigrants a Path to Citizenship Would Boost US and State Economies

 
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Granting Illegal Immigrants a Path to
Citizenship Would Boost US and State
Economies
Immigration, 2014

Robert Lynch is a professor of economics at Washington College in Maryland. Patrick Oakford is a
research assistant at the Center for American Progress, a progressive think tank in Washington, DC.

On April 16, 2013, the Senate's "Gang of 8"—a bipartisan group of eight U.S. senators—filed the
Border Security, Economic Opportunity, and Immigration Modernization Act of 2013. At the core of
the bill is a provision that will provide a pathway to earned legalization and citizenship for the 11
million undocumented immigrants in America.

The pathway to citizenship for these aspiring Americans will be neither short nor easy. Under the
provisions of the bill, most undocumented immigrants will have to wait 10 years before they can apply
for legal permanent residency—a green card. In addition, most will not be eligible for citizenship until
at least 13 years after the bill is enacted.

Despite this long process, there are significant economic benefits to the U.S. economy and to all
Americans when unauthorized immigrants acquire provisional legal status. Our prior research in a
Center for American Progress report, "Economic Effects of Granting Legal Status and Citizenship to
Undocumented Immigrants," showed that legalization and citizenship bring large economic benefits to
the nation as a whole. But as this brief will show, the economies of each state also stand to gain large
benefits if immigrants are put on a path to legal status and citizenship. In this follow-up issue brief, we
break down the economic gains for 24 individual states.

Both the acquisition of legal status and citizenship enable undocumented immigrants to produce and
earn significantly more. These resulting productivity and wage gains ripple through the economy
because immigrants are not just workers—they are also taxpayers and consumers. They pay taxes
on their higher wages and they spend their increased earnings on the purchase of goods and
services including food, clothing, and homes. This increased consumption boosts business sales,
expands the economy, generates new jobs, and increases the earnings of all Americans.

Each state will experience significant economic growth as well. In this follow-up to the "Economic
Effects of Granting Legal Status and Citizenship to Undocumented Immigrants," we begin by
recapping the national gains. We then provide estimates of the economic benefits for 24 states if their
undocumented populations were legalized. Specifically, we estimate the increases over 10 years in
gross state product, or GSP [a measure of a state's total economic output], as well as earnings,
taxes, and jobs for these states if the Senate Gang of 8's bill is enacted in 2013. We also explain why
immigration reform is responsible for these specific economic benefits. The methodology for this brief
relies upon estimates of the undocumented population in each state and replicates the methodology
used in our previous report.
National Economic Benefits of Legalization and a
Pathway to Citizenship
If the 11.1 million undocumented immigrants currently living in the United States were provided legal
status, then the 10-year cumulative increase in the gross domestic product, or GDP [a measure of
total economic output], of the United States would be $832 billion. Similarly, the cumulative increase
in the personal income of all Americans over 10 years would be $470 billion. On average over 10
years, immigration reform would create 121,000 new jobs each year. Undocumented immigrants
would also benefit and contribute more to the U.S. economy. Over the 10-year period they would earn
$392 billion more and pay an additional $109 billion in taxes—$69 billion to the federal government
and $40 billion to state and local governments. After 10 years, when the undocumented immigrants
start earning citizenship, they will experience additional increases in their income on the order of 10
percent, which will in turn further boost our economy.

State-by-State Economic Benefits of Legalization
and a Pathway to Citizenship
The economic benefits of legalization have been calculated for 24 states where 88 percent of the 11
million undocumented immigrants reside. Across all of these states, the economic gains are
significant. In Arizona, for example, the 10-year cumulative increase in GSP will be $23.1 billion, the
increase in the earnings of state residents will be $15.3 billion, and immigration reform will create an
average of an additional 3,400 jobs annually. In addition to these significant gains, undocumented
immigrants themselves will experience significant increases in their income and pay more taxes to
their states. In Arizona, for example, over the 10-year period they will earn $12.7 billion more and pay
an additional $1.5 billion in state and local taxes on these increased earnings.

    Legalization and citizenship facilitate the labor-market mobility of the undocumented, which
    boosts wages and improves economic efficiency.

In each of these states, when the undocumented immigrants eventually gain citizenship, their
earnings will increase an additional 10 percent, further improving the economy and prosperity of all
residents in their state. But since the attainment of citizenship will occur outside of the 10-year
window of analysis of this study, we do not include any of the economic benefits from the acquisition
of citizenship. In addition, we do not include the $69 billion in additional federal taxes that the
undocumented would pay on their increased earnings....

Why Legalization and Citizenship Improve Economic
Outcomes and Boost the Earnings of Undocumented
Immigrants
There are many reasons why receiving legal status and citizenship raises the incomes of immigrants
and improves economic outcomes. Five main reasons are explained below.
Investment in Education and Training

Legalization and citizenship promote investment in the education and training of immigrants that
eventually pays off in the form of higher wages and output. Legal status and citizenship provide a
guarantee of long-term membership in American society and cause noncitizen immigrants to invest
heavily in their English language skills and in other forms of education and training that raise their
productivity and earnings.

Labor Mobility and Efficiency

Legalization and citizenship facilitate the labor-market mobility of the undocumented, which boosts
wages and improves economic efficiency. Prior to legalization, unauthorized immigrants are subject to
deportation if apprehended and, regardless of their skills, tend to pursue employment in low-paying,
low-profile occupations—such as farming, child care, or cleaning services—where their legal status
is less likely to be discovered. Thus, undocumented workers do not receive the same market returns
on their skills that comparable but legal workers receive. In other words, the productivity of the
legalized improves in part because workers move to sectors where their skills and education are both
valued and relevant to the work being conducted. Therefore, legalization and citizenship improve the
efficiency of the labor market by ensuring that people are working in fields where their skillsets and
training are being used to the fullest extent.

Legal Protections

Providing legal status and citizenship to undocumented immigrants gives them legal protections that
raise their wages. Legalization allows the newly authorized to invoke employment rights and
increases their bargaining power relative to their employers. This means that newly legal immigrants
are better equipped to contest an unlawful termination of employment, to negotiate for fair
compensation or a promotion, and to file a complaint if they are being mistreated or abused.

Access to Better Jobs

Legal status and citizenship provide access to a broader range of higher-paying jobs. Many jobs,
including many public-sector and high-paying private-sector jobs, are available only to legal residents
or citizens. In addition, employers often prefer to hire citizens over noncitizens.

Fostering Entrepreneurship

Legal status and citizenship make it easier for immigrants to start businesses and create jobs. These
facilitate entrepreneurship by providing access to licenses, permits, insurance, and credit—all of
which make it easier to start businesses and create jobs. Despite the legal obstacles to
entrepreneurship that noncitizens currently face, immigrants are more likely to own a business and
start a new business than are native-born Americans. Thus, immigration reform that unleashes this
creative potential of immigrant entrepreneurs promotes economic growth, higher incomes, and more
job opportunities....

A Win for Immigrants and Americans
Undocumented immigrants are currently earning far less than their potential and therefore paying
much less in taxes than they otherwise would be. Overall, they are contributing significantly less to
the U.S. economy than they potentially could. With legalization and citizenship, undocumented
immigrants will produce and earn more, pay more in taxes, boost the American economy, increase
the incomes of all Americans, and promote job growth. This analysis of the economic impact on 24
states, many with the largest undocumented populations, demonstrates that it is not just the nation
but also each individual state that will benefit from immigration reform. The sooner we grant legal
status and provide a pathway to citizenship to undocumented immigrants, the sooner all Americans
will be able to reap these benefits.

Further Readings
Books
   Jeb Bush and Clint Bolick Immigration Wars: Forging an American Solution. New York: Threshold
   Editions, 2013.

   Julie Dowling and Jonathan Inda Governing Immigration Through Crime: A Reader. Stanford, CA:
   Stanford Social Sciences, 2013.

   Judith Gans, Elaine M. Replogle, and Daniel J. Tichenor, eds. Debates on U.S. Immigration.
   Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications, 2012.

   David A. Gerber American Immigration: A Very Short Introduction. New York: Oxford University
   Press, 2011.

   Tanya Maria Golash-Boza Immigration Nation: Raids, Detentions, and Deportations in Post-9/11
   America. Boulder, CO: Paradigm Publications, 2012.

   Jose H. Gomez Immigration and the Next America: Renewing the Soul of Our Nation. Huntingdon,
   IN: Our Sunday Visitor, 2013.

   Richard N. Haass Foreign Policy Begins at Home: The Case for Putting America's House in Order.
   New York: Basic Books, 2013.

   Jennifer L. Hochschild, Vesla M. Weaver, and Traci R. Burch Creating a New Racial Order: How
   Immigration, Multiracialism, Genomics, and the Young Can Remake Race in America. Princeton,
   NJ: Princeton University Press, 2012.

   Kevin R. Johnson and Bernard Trujillo Immigration Law and the U.S.-Mexico Border: Si se puede?
   Tucson: University of Arizona Press, 2011.

   Marie Friedmann Marquardt et al. Living "Illegal": The Human Face of Unauthorized Immigration.
   New York: New Press, 2011.

   Pilar Marrero Killing the American Dream: How Anti-Immigration Extremists Are Destroying the
   Nation. Basingstoke, UK: Palgrave Macmillan, 2012.

   Lisa Patel Youth Held at the Border: Immigration, Education, and the Politics of Inclusion. New
   York: Teachers College Press, 2012.

   J.D. Payne and Jason Mandryk Strangers Next Door: Immigration, Migration and Mission.
   Downers Grove, IL: IVP Books, 2012.
Peter Schrag Not Fit for Our Society: Immigration and Nativism in America. Berkeley: University of
  California Press, 2011.

  William A. Schwab and G. David Gearhart Right to DREAM: Immigration Reform and America's
  Future. Fayetteville: University of Arkansas Press, 2013.

  Daniel Wilsher Immigration Detention: Law, History, Politics. New York: Cambridge University
  Press, 2011.

  Hirokazu Yoshikawa Immigrants Raising Citizens: Undocumented Parents and Their Young
  Children. New York: Russell Sage Foundation Publications, 2012.

Periodicals and Internet Sources
  Gabriel Arana "Five Reasons Boston Has Nothing to Do with Immigration Reform," American
  Prospect, April 24, 2013. http://prospect.org.

  Harry Binswanger "Amnesty for Illegal Immigrants Is Not Enough, They Deserve an Apology,"
  Forbes, March 4, 2013. www.forbes.com.

  Mathew Boyle "ICE Agent Rep: Immigration Bill 'Written to Handcuff Law Enforcement,'" Breitbart,
  June 12, 2013. www.breitbart.com.

  Lanhee Chen "The Immigration Issue Republicans Must Address," Real Clear Politics, May 28,
  2013. www.realclearpolitics.com.

  Adam Davidson "Do Illegal Immigrants Actually Hurt the U.S. Economy?" New York Times,
  February 12, 2013.

  Kevin Drum "'Illegal Immigrant' Is Now Out, but AP Doesn't Tell Us What's In," Mother Jones, April
  2, 2013. www.motherjones.com.

  Elise Foley "Immigration Bill Would Expand Dream Act to Dreamers of All Ages," Huffington Post,
  April 17, 2013. www.huffingtonpost.com.

  Alana Goodman "Conservatives Concerned About Immigration: More than 60 Leaders Sign Letter
  Pushing Republicans in Senate to Kill Bill," May 21, 2013. Washington Free Beacon, May 21,
  2013. http://freebeacon.com.

  Raúl Hinojosa-Ojeda "The Economic Benefits of Comprehensive Immigration Reform," Cato
  Journal, Vol. 32, No. 1, Winter 2012.

  Simon Johnson "How Immigration Reform Would Help the Economy," New York Times, June 20,
  2013.

  Adriana Kugler, Robert Lynch, and Patrick Oakford "Improving Lives, Strengthening Finances: The
  Benefits of Immigration Reform to Social Security," Center for American Progress, June 14, 2013.
  www.americanprogress.org.

  Michelle Malkin "Obama's Definition of 'Smarter Enforcement': None," Michellemalkin.com, June
  12, 2013. http://michellemalkin.com.

  Javier Ortiz "The Time for Immigration Reform Is Upon Us," Real Clear Policy, May 22, 2013.
  www.realclearpolicy.com.

  Marco Rubio "The Immigration Reform Opportunity," Wall Street Journal, May 2, 2013.
  http://online.wsj.com.

  Chuck Schumer "Illegal Immigration Will Be a Thing of the Past," Real Clear Politics, June 12,
  2013. www.realclearpolitics.com.

  Service Employees International Union "Framework for Comprehensive Immigration Reform,"
  SEIU.org, accessed November 3, 2013.
Daniel Strauss "Obama: Congress Can Pass Immigration Bill by the End of Summer," The Hill,
   June 8, 2013. http://thehill.com/blogs.

   Sabroma Tavernise "For Medicare, Immigrants Offer Surplus, Study Finds," New York Times, May
   29, 2013.

   Teaching Tolerance "10 Myths About Immigration," No. 39, Spring 2011. www.tolerance.org.

   Mark Trumbull "US Immigration Reform: Why 'E-Verify' Screenings, While Flawed, Will Pass,"
   Christian Science Monitor, June 7, 2013. www.csmonitor.com.

   Erica Werner "House Committee Takes Up Tough Immigration Bill," TIME, June 18, 2013.
   http://swampland.time.com.

   Rachelle Younglai and Thomas Ferraro "Gaps Widen Between House, Senate on Immigration,"
   Reuters, June 18, 2013. www.reuters.com.

   Jessica Zuckerman "House Stands Up for Important Immigration Enforcement Program," The
   Foundry, June 4, 2013. http://blog.heritage.org.

Full Text: COPYRIGHT 2014 Greenhaven Press, a part of Gale, Cengage Learning.

Source Citation
  Lynch, Robert, and Patrick Oakford. "Granting Illegal Immigrants a Path to Citizenship
     Would Boost US and State Economies." Immigration. Ed. Debra A. Miller.
     Farmington Hills, MI: Greenhaven Press, 2014. Current Controversies. Rpt. from
     "National and State-by-State Economic Benefits of Immigration Reform." Center for
     American Progress. 2013. Opposing Viewpoints in Context. Web. 10 Dec. 2014.

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