Hotel Quarterly Bulletin - Q3, 2017

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Hotel Quarterly Bulletin - Q3, 2017
Hotel
                                                 Quarterly Bulletin
                                                      Q3, 2017

                                                   Optimism in the
Residence Inn Kensington (Opening Q4 2017)   UK Serviced Apartment Sector
Hotel Quarterly Bulletin - Q3, 2017
New Supply by City 2013-2019 (Units)

                                                                                                                  100%

                                                                                                                          80%

                                                                                                                          60%

                                                                                                                           40%

The UK Serviced
                                                                                                                          20%

                                                                                                                                  0%

Apartment Sector

                                                                                                                                       2013

                                                                                                                                                          2014

                                                                                                                                                                                      2015

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2016

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2017

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Due 2017

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Due 2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Due 2019

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Speculative
                                                                                                                                              London                                                                                   Bristol                                                                                 Aberdeen
London leads the way in the supply boom of the UK serviced                                                                                    Manchester                                                                              Birmingham                                                                               Liverpool

apartment sector – evidence that the sector is fast becoming                                                                                  York                                                                                    Edinburgh                                                                                Other UK City

a mainstream competitor in the UK hotel market.
                                                                                                                                   Leading UK Serviced Apartments Brands
                                                                                                                                           (as at September 2017)

In 2017, the supply of serviced apartments and         regional cities, accounting for approximately 5,000                         1,600                                                                                                                                                                                                                 160
aparthotels will witness a year of phenomenal growth   serviced apartment units, representing 24% of the                           1,400                                                                                                                                                                                                                 140

                                                                                                                Number of units
for both London and regional UK, with supply           total supply.                                                               1,300                                                                                                                                                                                                                 120

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Average size
                                                                                                                                   1,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                 100
forecast to grow by 10% and 10.4% respectively.
                                                                                                                                     800                                                                                                                                                                                                                 80
                                                       During the past few years the serviced apartment
                                                                                                                                     600                                                                                                                                                                                                                 60
The serviced apartment sector is one of the fastest    sector has gained significant momentum in terms
                                                                                                                                     400                                                                                                                                                                                                                 40
growing sectors in the UK, with a compound annual      of development and branding. Alongside a number                               200                                                                                                                                                                                                                 20
average growth rate of 6.8% per annum between          of specialist extended stay operators, the rollout                              0                                                                                                                                                                                                                 0
2013 and forecast year end supply 2017, with the       of the extended stay concept by a number of the

                                                                                                                                               Staycity
                                                                                                                                                           Marlin Apartments
                                                                                                                                                                               SACO
                                                                                                                                                                                       Staybridge Suites
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Citadines
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Living by Bridge Street
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Cheval Residences
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Roomzzz
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Premier Suites
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Adagio
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Locke by SACO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Macdonald Hotels
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Go Native
total units rising to over 21,500 units.               global hotel operators, has reinforced the sector’s
                                                       position as a mainstream asset class within the wider
With supply in London set to increase by over          hotel market. To date, international branded supply
1,000 units, London’s share of the market is set       accounts for 40% of the serviced apartment stock in
to rise closer to its five-year average of 53%, with   London and 30% in regional UK. Significant scope
supply growth in regional UK having outperformed       for consolidation exists, with the market remaining
the capital in 2016. Edinburgh, Manchester,            highly fragmented, with a plethora of regional brands,
Liverpool, Birmingham and Aberdeen are the top 5       representing 20% of the UK market.                                              Number of Apartments                                                                                                                     Average Apartment Size
Hotel Quarterly Bulletin - Q3, 2017
As the sector continues to grow, competing brands
will contribute to the heightened blurring of a
traditional serviced apartment and a select service
product. Brands will increasingly seek to develop
their distinctive style and personality, through the
design and product offering. Whilst offering the
comfort and space of a home-away-from-home
product remains at the core, evidence exists of
operators becoming more creative in terms of
product offering with self-service communal dining      Roomzzz Manchester City
                                                        (individually designed aparthotel, 59 apartments)
areas and enhanced in-room technology becoming
increasingly the norm.

The sector is set to expand by                         approximately 2,000 branded apartments scheduled          European extended stay specialists in their bid to    amongst international operators, such as Mapletree
                                                       to open by the end of 2019 and a further 2,000            achieve ambitious development plans. The launch of    Investments’ recent acquisition of Oakwood is
21% between 2017 and 2020,                             units in the pipeline. For example, luxury apart-hotel    new innovative brands, are becoming an increasingly   expected to further strengthen certain established
equating to approximately                              operator Roomzzz have an extensive pipeline of            common occurrence, meanwhile consolidation            global brands in the UK and European market.
                                                       seven UK developments, some 650 rooms in city-
23,500 apartment units.                                centre destinations nationwide. Meanwhile, Cycas
900 new apartments have                                Hospitality continue to foster partnerships by signing

opened to September YTD                                their third deal with Marriott, continuing the trend to
                                                       operate dual-branded hotel projects, with the signing
2017, with a further 1,000                             of a 92-room Residence Inn and 144-room boutique
apartments forecast to open                            Moxy hotel, to be operated under a single lease

by the year end.                                       agreement in the same building.

                                                       Operators such as Staycity, Cycas Hospitality,
Of particular prominence is the acceleration of        Roomzzz and Go Native are some of the most active
growth planned by the existing operators, with         players in the market and will likely become pan-
Hotel Quarterly Bulletin - Q3, 2017
RevPAR Performance London                                                                                                         Top UK Serviced Apartment Operators
              Serviced Apartments v London Upscale & Upper Upscale Hotels

                                                                                                                                                          Staycity
            180                                                                                       32%
                                                                                                                                                           SACO
            160                                                                                       31%
                                                                                                                                                Cycas Hospitality
            140                                                                                       30%                                      Marlin Apartments

                                                                                                              Serviced Apartment
                                                                                                               % RevPAR Uplift
            120                                                                                                                                         Go Native
                                                                                                      29%
RevPAR £

            100                                                                                                                                          Roomzzz
                                                                                                      28%                          BridgeStreet Global Hospitality
              80
                                                                                                      27%                                           Ascott Group
              60
                                                                                                                                               Frasers Hospitality
              40                                                                                      26%
                                                                                                                                                    Nadler Hotels
              20                                                                                      25%                                           PREM Group
               0                                                                                      24%                                    Accor HotelServices
                         2015                  2016         July YTD 2016           July YTD 2017                                                                    0           500         1,000             1,500                 2,000   2,500

           London Upscale &          Serviced Apartments             Serviced Apartments %        Source: STR                          Existing Stock 2017                  Total Pipeline 2017-2020                        Speculative
           Upper Upscale Hotels      – London                        RevPAR uplift

 The basic premise of an apart-hotel product is            With specialist operators’ willingness to offer                         transactions or commit to development opportunities       significant and expected to further enhance the
 that with a longer average length of stay, the            leases, combined with the perception of improved                        is expected to continue in order to benefit from a        sector’s investment appeal.
 impact of room vacancies is reduced. Based                covenant strength associated with increased brand                       high yielding return post development.
 upon data provided by STR, the RevPAR                     awareness, and the sector’s high margin / low cost
 performance for a sample of London serviced               operating model having the potential to generate                        Nevertheless, the opportunity to build a scalable,
 apartments achieves a significant uplift in               attractive income and capital returns, combined                         recognisable and established brand, with the
 performance compared to a sample set of London            these factors serve to deliver increased investment                     forthcoming disposal of SACO, the UK’s second
 upscale and upper upscale hotels. This enhanced           appetite from institutional and private equity                          largest extended stay operator, is expected to result
 performance is achieved through strong occupancy          investors seeking to diversify their portfolios.                        in a new wave of investment activity and interest in
 and a significant premium in the average room rate.                                                                               the sector. Furthermore, with specialist operators
 In particular, serviced apartments benefit from the       To date one of the biggest barrier to institutional                     such as Go Native exploring a diversified operating
 high yielding corporate market and stability              investment in the sector has been a lack of sizeable,                   model in order to underpin long-term value creation,
 throughout the entire week in the average daily           purpose built stock. As such, the growing trend for                     the opportunities presented through the embryonic
                                                                                                                                                                                              Staycity Aparthotels London Heathrow
 rate achieved.                                            institutional investors to participate in forward funding               Private Rental Sector and Build to Rent Sector are
Hotel Quarterly Bulletin - Q3, 2017
Julian Evans, FRICS
                                                   Head of Healthcare. Hotels & Leisure
                                                   T: +44 207 861 1147
                                                   E: julian.evans@knightfrank.com

                                                   Alex Sturgess, FRICS
                                                   Partner
                                                   T: +44 207 861 1164
                                                   E: alex.sturgess@knightfrank.com

                                                   Ian Elliott, FRICS
                                                   Partner
                                                   T:+44 207 861 1082
                                                   E: ian.elliott@knightfrank.com

                                                   Henry Jackson, FRICS
                                                   Partner
                                                   T: +44 207 861 1085
                                                   E: henry.jackson@knightfrank.com

                                                   Philippa Goldstein
                                                   Hotel Analyst
                                                   T:+44 203 826 0600
                                                   E: philippa.goldstein@knightfrank.com
Residence Inn London Bridge (Opened August 2017)
Hotel Quarterly Bulletin - Q3, 2017
418 OFFICES
60 COUNTRIES                                                          United Kingdom                   Continental Europe
15,020 PEOPLE
                                                                                                       16 Countries
                                                                                                       Austria / Belgium / Cyprus
                                The Americas
                                                                                                       Czech Republic / France
                                                                                                       Germany / Ireland / Italy / Monaco
                                  15 Countries
                                                                                                       The Netherlands / Poland / Portugal
                                Argentina / Brazil
                                                                                                       Romania / Russia / Spain
                      Canada / Chile / Colombia
                                                                                                       Switzerland
                Costa Rica / Dominican Republic
                                   Mexico / Peru
                 Puerto Rico / The Caribbean (4)
                                             USA

                                                                85
                                                                OFFICES

                                                               2,145
                                                                                              80
                                                                PEOPLE

                                                                                             OFFICES

                                                                                          1,035
                                                                                             P
                                                                                             PEEO
                                                                                                OPPLLE
                                                                                                     E

                                                     169                                                      3
                                                     OFFICES

                                               5,475
                                                                                                            OFFICES

                                                     PEOPLE
                                                                                                             50
                                                                                                            PEOPLE

                                                                      23
                                                                     OFFICES
                                                                                                                                                                         58
                                                                                                                                                                        OFFICES

                                                                    700                                                                                              5,615
                                                                     PEOPLE                                                                                              PEOPLE

                                                                                                                                                           Asia Pacific

                                                                           Africa                                                                        14 Countries
                                                                                                                                                   Australia / Cambodia
                                                                           10 Countries                                                              China / Hong Kong
                                                                           Botswana / Kenya / Malawi               The Middle East                     India / Indonesia
                                                                           Nigeria / Rwanda / South Africa                                            Japan / Malaysia
                                                                           Tanzania / Uganda / Zambia              2 Countries                   New Zealand / Philippines
                                                                           Zimbabwe                                The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia    Singapore / South Korea
                                                                                                                   The United Arab Emirates             Taiwan / Thailand
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