Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora

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Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
Investor Update
April 2021

                  1
Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
CONTENTS

    SECTION 01
                   SECTION 02

                   Construction
    Overview       and urban
                   development

    SECTION 03

   Financing and
   financials

                                  2
Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
SECTION 01

Overview

Photo: Weymouth Road, Manurewa,
Auckland

                                  3
Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
New Zealand’s largest residential landlord and developer

                                                                             We own or manage
 189,000+                                       5,180
 People live in our houses                      Families placed into homes   66,253
 Which is 4% of New Zealand’s 5.0m population
                                                last financial year          Properties

                                                                             Over 98%
                                                                             Occupancy rate

                                                                             Value of group assets

                                                                             $30.8 billion
                                                                                                     4
Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
COVID-19: heading in, and the recovery                         COVID-19 - lessons learned

• Stable and secure rents and income - over 90% of
  income directly or indirectly from the Crown                     Customer welfare

• $871 million of cash and financial assets available to the       Improvements to
  business - as at 31 March 2021                                   customer
                                                                   programme on
• Construction work quickly recommenced - following one            welfare calls and
  month of a stringent national lockdown in April 2020             check ins
                                                                                        Supporting the
• Tenant debt largely unchanged - lower risk given most                                 sector
  tenants receive a benefit ($9 million of $1,465 million
  total annual revenue)                                                                 Immediate
                                                                                        payment terms for
• Continue to work closely with our stakeholders - making                               all build partners
  sure contingencies are in place should infections escalate                            and suppliers as
• Supporting the sector as a key economic driver - more                                 BAU
  than 100 build partners and contractors supporting the
  national recovery from the impacts of COVID-19

                                                                                                         5
Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
Kāinga Ora – established October 2019

The creation of Kāinga Ora brings a more cohesive, joined-up approach to supporting the Government’s priorities
for housing and urban development.

Kāinga Ora supports people across New Zealand to have good quality, affordable homes, and live in strong,
healthy communities.

                                            Two key roles
          Being a world-class public housing landlord                     Partnering to lead and facilitate urban
                                                                          development projects of all sizes

                                                                                                                6
Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
Kāinga Ora

On 1 October 2019 the people, capabilities and resources of Housing New Zealand Corporation, KiwiBuild and
HLC (a subsidiary of Housing New Zealand) came together as Kāinga Ora – Homes and Communities.

                      Past                                                             Present
                     Crown                                                                 Crown
               (controlling entity)                                               (controlling entity)

     Housing New Zealand Corporation                               Kāinga Ora (incorporating HNZC, HLC and KiwiBuild)

                                          KiwiBuild
  Housing     Housing                 (A department of the
                        HLC (2017)     Ministry of Housing           Housing New Zealand           Housing New Zealand
New Zealand New Zealand
                           Ltd             and Urban                       Limited                       Build Ltd
  Limited    Build Ltd                   Development -
                                            Planning)

                                                                                                                         7
Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
Our outcomes

• Public housing customers - Our public housing customers live well in their homes with
 dignity, stability, and the greatest degree of independence possible

• Māori interest - Partnering with Māori ensures Māori interests are protected and their
 needs and aspirations are met and allows Kāinga Ora to fulfil its obligations in respect of Te
 Tiriti o Waitangi

• Housing access - We provide good quality, affordable housing choices that meet diverse
 needs

• Communities - We create sustainable, inclusive and thriving communities: supporting
 good access to jobs, amenities and services

• Environment - Environmental wellbeing is enhanced and preserved for future
 generations

• System transformation - System transformation is catalysed and delivered

                                                                                                  8
Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
Overview of funding and financing

                                                                   Ministry of Social   Minister of Housing
                                                                    Development         Minister of Finance

                                                                                                         Budget
                                                                                                         appropriations

                                         Governance                                                               NZD $500 million
             Independent                                                                                                                    Crown loans
                Board
                                                                                                              Housing NZ Build Ltd.

                 ~68% of rent (income-related rent subsidy)

                 ~22% of rent (benefits, pensions, deducted at source)                                            NZD $1,500 million
                 ~10% (other income)                                                                              Bonds, Commercial Paper

      Tenant                                                                                                                                Capital
                                                                                                                                            Markets

       Source: Moody’s Investors Service
                                                                                                                                                          9
Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
Sustainability Financing Framework includes focus on Wellbeing

                                                     C
                                                                     B   Wellbeing
                                               UN Sustainable
                                                Development          Human capital
                                                   Goals
A                                                    B                    • Social connections
                                                                          • Knowledge and skills
                                                  NZ Living               • Time use
                                                  Standards
                                                 Framework           Social capital
                                                     A                     • Cultural identity
                                                                           • Civic engagement and
                                               ICMA principles               governance
                                                and guidelines             • Jobs and earnings

                                                                     Financial/Physical capital
C                                                                          • Housing
                                                                           • Income and
                                                Kāinga Ora                   consumption
                                                                           • Subjective wellbeing
                                               Sustainability
                                                 Financing           Natural capital
                                                Framework
                                                                           • Environment
                                                                           • Health
                                                                           • Safety
                                                                                                    10
Impact attributed to Wellbeing Bonds

In FY20 we raised $2,321 million, allocated as follows:               Eligible projects ICMA
                                                                          (Social / Green)

                                                          • Social housing for people in the greatest need
                                                          • Retrofit existing social housing
                                                          • Modifications / accessibility
                                                          • Transitional housing
                                                                              Natural
                                                                              capital
                                                          • Green buildings minimum 6 homestar rating
                                                          • Reduction in waste from construction
                                                            activities
                                                          • Reduced rate of Financial
                                                                               embodied emissions
                                                                              and Physical
                                                                              capital

                                                          • Supporting top 5% of most at risk tenants
                                                            with high and complex needs

                             *programme start 1-Jul-19
                                                                                                         11
Credit ratings of Kāinga Ora and HNZL equalized with New Zealand Sovereign

 Agency                                           Domestic currency   Foreign currency      Last updated

                                                  Aaa (stable)        Aaa (stable)          04 February 2021

                                                  AAA (stable)        AA+ (stable)          22 February 2021

Note, there is no explicit government guarantee

“Because of its public policy mandate, Kāinga Ora's                       “We believe HNZL will continue business as usual as a core
and HNZL's key role in the New Zealand social                             subsidiary of Kāinga Ora. We also believe there is an
housing sector and government oversight, there                            almost certain likelihood the New Zealand government
is no meaningful distinction between Kāinga Ora,                          would provide it with extraordinary support in a stress
HNZL and the Crown from a credit perspective.”                            scenario, if needed.”
Moody’s, February 2021                                                    S&P Global Ratings, February 2021

                                                                                                                                   12
SECTION 02

Construction and
urban development

Photo: 135 Britomart Street, Berhampore,
Wellington

                                           13
Build programme overview
• The Government announced plans to deliver an
  additional 8,000 new homes as part of May 2020 Budget,     Forecast build programmes
  made up of 6,000 state houses and 2,000 transitional
  houses
• The 2,000 transitional houses are targeted for delivery
  over the next two years, with the 6,000 new state houses
  targeted in the following two years
• Kāinga Ora will be responsible for around 70% of these
  new houses
• The Government announced in March 2021, Kāinga Ora’s
  borrowing would increase by $2 billion to enable land
  acquisitions (over 10-year period)
• We plan to update the market on our financing
  requirements around the time of the Government Budget
  (20 May 2021)
• The Borrowing Protocol limit is expected to increase to
  accommodate the additional build
                                                                                         14
Build programme and capital expenditure has increased in recent years

     Newly constructed public and supported homes                    Gross capital expenditure

• Around 600 homes moved from 2020 to 2021 year     • Significant pre-financing for 2021 has already occurred
  as a result of disruptions from COVID-19

                                                                                                         15
The largest build programme in decades has three key drivers

Growth in our public housing               Requirement for more affordable        Significant renewal and
register                                   housing                                realignment requirement
• Public housing register has quadrupled   • New Zealand housing is among the     • Average age of houses is around
  in the past four years                     most unaffordable in the world         45 years – many are cold and damp
• Majority of growth in Priority A         • House price to incomes remain very   • Over 45,000 homes are due for
  category (most at risk)                    high, particularly in Auckland         renewal in the next 20 years

Source: Kāinga Ora                         Source: Interest.co.nz                 Source: Kāinga Ora

                                                                                                                        16
Using scale and innovation to deliver new housing at lower cost

Leveraging the build programme to lower costs
• Scaled-up procurement practices
• Supplier panels
• Standardised designs to speed up consent
  process
• Multi-year Construction Partnering Agreements
  – providing certainty to innovate and scale up

Innovation and new construction methods
• Offsite manufacturing
• Use of cross-laminated timber
• All new builds now have minimum 6 Homestar
  certification (except apartments), apartments
  from 1 January 2021
• Bathroom pods with accessibility modifications
• New Building Consent Authority: Consentium
                                                                  17
Urban development

Leading the largest urban
regeneration ever undertaken in
New Zealand, by creating
sustainable, inclusive and thriving
communities that will transform
suburbs by:

                      Evaluating new land
                        opportunities to

Reviewing existing      deliver large scale

  concentrated               projects

 landholdings for
  opportunities
                          Working in
                       partnership with
                       others (Councils,
                     private developers,
                     Iwi) to enable quality
                     urban development
                                              18
SECTION 03

Financing
and
financials

Photo: Universal Drive, Henderson,
Auckland

                                     19
Our debt programmes

   Bonds                                 Bills
   Notes offered are:                    • $1.5 billion programme limit
   • Unsecured & unsubordinated          • Regular fortnightly tenders of $25 million
   • Repo-eligible with the RBNZ            (3-month paper)
   • Approved Issuer Levy paid by HNZL   • Private placements as required

                                                                                        20
New debt sourced from the market, legacy Crown loans rolled over

Crown loans
• Legacy loans of around $2.0 billion                         HNZL bonds on issue
• Annual appropriation allows for refinancing

Market debt
• $7.1 billon of debt can be sourced from the
  market under Kāinga Ora’s Borrowing
  Protocol – expected to increase over time
• Annual programme around $2.0 billion,
  subject to Government decisions
• Total market debt on issue $4.65 billion:
    $4,200 million nominal bonds
    $300 million inflation-indexed bonds
    $150 million bills

                                                                                    21
Market conditions

               HNZL yield to maturity                 HNZL spread to NZGB (interpolated)

             HNZL Yield to Maturity                       HNZL spread to NZG
4.00                                           1.20
             2023          2025         2026             2023           2025               2026
             2028          2030         2035             2028           2030               2035
3.50
                                               1.00
3.00
                                               0.80
2.50

2.00                                           0.60

1.50
                                               0.40
1.00
                                               0.20
0.50

0.00                                           0.00

                                                                                                  22
Bond tender programme

Overview                                    FY2020/21

• Monthly bond tender operated through       Bond tender schedule to 30 June 2021
  the Yieldbroker Auction System, to
                                             Announcement      Tender            Settlement        Volume             Coverage
  complement the use of syndicated issues
                                             30-Nov-20         02-Dec-20         07-Dec-20         100                4.3 x
• Expected to account for around half of
  annual issuance on an ongoing basis        18-Jan-21         20-Jan-21         26-Jan-21         100                4.9 x

                                             15-Feb-21         17-Feb-21         22-Feb-21         100                3.0 x
• Volumes up to aggregate $100 million
  per tender                                 29-Mar-21         31-Mar-21         07-Apr-21         100                3.0 x

• Up to three bonds offered, existing        23-Apr-21         28-Apr-21         03-May-21         100

  maturities only                            17-May-21         19-May-21         24-May-21         100

• No reallocations across maturities if      21-Jun-21         23-Jun-21         28-Jun-21         100
  undersubscribed
                                             Tender announcement and results published via Bloomberg landing page 

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Diversifying our investor base
• Primary issues supported by both Bank and Fund   • Offshore (non-resident) holdings on average
  Manager accounts                                   represent ~10% of total bonds outstanding
• Non-bank holdings from 34% (2019) to 54%         • Noticeable offshore investor enquiry

        Bank / Non-bank holdings of HNZL bonds              Domestic / Offshore holdings of HNZL bonds

                                                                                                         24
Demonstrating strong ability to service financing requirements
                                                                                                          90% of
                                                                                                         revenue
                                                                                                       from Crown

                                   2020           2019                                                  2020           2019
                                  $m % Total     $m % Total                                            $m % Total
Repairs and maintenance           359    24%     366    27%   Rental revenue - income-related rent
Depreciation and amortisation     301    20%     287    21%   subsidy (IRRS)                          959    59%     880      61%
                                                              Rental revenue - tenants receiving
Personnel                         176    12%     152    11%
                                                              IRRS                                     386    24%     368      25%
Rates                             171    11%     160    12%
                                                              Crown appropriation revenue              103     6%     102       7%
Interest expenses                 135     9%     106     8%
                                                              Other                                    166    11%     101       7%
Grants                             78     5%      84     6%
                                                              Total                                  1,614   100%   1,451     100%
Third-party rental leases          67     4%      64     5%
Other expenses                    206    14%     133    10%
Total                           1,493   100%   1,352   100%

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Strong, stable and consistent financial performance

Year ended (NZ$m)               Jun-20    Jun-19    Jun-18    As at (NZ$m)                         Jun-20    Jun-19    Jun-18
Revenue                          1,614     1,464     1,338    Total assets                         32,934    28,996    27,490
Expenses                         1,078       973       854    Total liabilities                     8,964     6,072     5,171
                                                              Total equity                         23,970    22,924    22,319
EBITDA                              536      491       484
                                                              Total debt                            6,439     3,536     2,653
Depreciation and amortisation       301      287       259
EBIT                                235      204       225
Net Interest expense                114        92        72
Tax                                  32      (24)        49
Gains/(losses)                    (147)      (76)      (28)   As at (NZ$m)                         Jun-20    Jun-19    Jun-18
Net profit after tax               (58)        60        76   Liabilities / Assets                  27.2%     20.9%     18.8%
                                                              Debt / Assets                         19.6%     12.2%      9.7%
                                                              Debt / EBITDA                          12.0        7.2       5.5
                                                              EBITDA / net interest expense            4.7       5.3       6.7
 Year ended (NZ$m)               Jun-20    Jun-19   Jun-18
Operating cash flow                 184       294       360
Investing cash flow             (2,968)   (1,404)     (590)                       Retain strong
Financing cash flow               2,909       883       697                         standalone
                                                                                  credit metrics
                                                                                   on gearing &
                                                                                  serviceability

                                                                                                                             26
Strong and stable credit

  Largest                      Critical                          Domestic currency credit ratings

  residential property owner
  and developer in New
                               To the delivery of Government’s
                               urban development
                                                                 AAA / Aaa
  Zealand                      programmes

                                                                 90% of income received
                                                                 from the Crown

                                                                 Conservative
                                                                 Treasury policies

                                                                                                    27
Investor relations                             Direct contacts

News, credit ratings, borrowing programmes,
                                                             Matthew Needham
Sustainability Financing Framework, and more                 Chief Financial Officer
                                                             Matthew.Needham@kaingaora.govt.nz
https://kaingaora.govt.nz/investor-centre

                                                             Jason Bligh
                                                             Treasurer (Acting)
                                                             Jason.Bligh@kaingaora.govt.nz

                                                             Nicki Reeves
                                                             Liquidity and Investor Relations Manager
                                                             Nicki.Reeves@kaingaora.govt.nz

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QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS

Photo: Frankmoore Avenue, Johnsonville, Wellington

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DISCLAIMER

This presentation has been prepared by Housing New                 forward-looking statements and they should not be              its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the
Zealand Limited (HNZL). This presentation does not                 regarded as a representation or warranty by HNZL, the          offer of Securities; (b) authorised or caused the issue of,
constitute or form part of, and should not be construed            directors of HNZL or any other person that those forward-      or made any statement in, any part of this presentation;
as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to   looking statements will be achieved or that the                and (c) make any representation, recommendation or
buy or acquire any securities (Securities) of HNZL or any          assumptions underlying the forwarding-looking                  warranty, express or implied regarding the origin, validity,
of its subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdiction or an        statements will in fact be correct. It is likely that actual   accuracy, adequacy, reasonableness or completeness of,
inducement to enter into investment activity.                      results will vary from those contemplated by these             or any errors or omissions in, any information, statement
                                                                   forward-looking statements and such variations may be          or opinion contained in this presentation and accept no
The information in this presentation is in summary form
                                                                   material.                                                      liability (except to the extent such liability is found by a
and must be considered in conjunction with and subject
                                                                                                                                  court to arise under the Financial Markets Conduct Act
to publicly available information of HNZL. It is of a general      The information in this document is given in good faith
                                                                                                                                  2013 or cannot be disclaimed as a matter of law).
nature and does not constitute financial product advice,           and has been obtained from sources believed to be
investment advice or any recommendation by HNZL or                 reliable and accurate at the date of preparation, but its      A credit rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or
any other person to subscribe for, or purchase, any                accuracy, correctness and completeness cannot be               hold any Securities and may be subject to suspension,
Securities. Nothing in this presentation constitutes legal,        guaranteed. HNZL makes no representation or warranty           change or withdrawal at any time by the assigning rating
financial, tax or other advice.                                    as to the accuracy or completeness of the information in       agency.
                                                                   this presentation and does not undertake to update it.
The information in this presentation does not take into                                                                           By attending this presentation or otherwise accessing this
account the particular investment objectives, financial            HNZL has not prepared or registered an investment              document, you agree to be bound by the terms and
situation, taxation position or needs of any person. You           statement, prospectus, product disclosure statement or         restrictions set out above.
should not rely on this presentation in relation to any            other regulated offer document in relation to any offer of
                                                                                                                                  No person may offer or sell Securities, or distribute or
investment assessment. You should conduct your own                 Securities. No action has been taken or is proposed to be
                                                                                                                                  publish any offering material or advertisement in relation
research on HNZL and analysis of its financial condition,          taken by HNZL to register any Securities under the laws
                                                                                                                                  to any offer of Securities, to any person in New Zealand
assets and liabilities, financial position and performance,        of any jurisdiction (including New Zealand) for which such
                                                                                                                                  other than to wholesale investors within the meaning of
profits and losses, prospects and business affairs of              registration is required or otherwise to enable the
                                                                                                                                  clause 3(2)(a), (c) or (d) of Schedule 1 to the Financial
HNZL, and the contents of this presentation.                       Securities to be offered to the public or under a regulated
                                                                                                                                  Markets Conduct Act 2013.
                                                                   offer. This presentation may not be distributed or
This presentation contains certain forward-looking
                                                                   published in or from any jurisdiction except under
statements with respect to HNZL. All of these forward-
                                                                   circumstances that will result in compliance with all
looking statements are based on estimates, projections
                                                                   applicable laws of any such jurisdiction.
and assumptions made by HNZL about circumstances
and events that have not yet occurred. Although HNZL               No Arranger or Lead Manager for any offer of Securities
believes these estimates, projections and assumptions to           nor any of their respective directors, officers, employees
be reasonable, they are inherently uncertain. Therefore,           and agents: (a) accept any responsibility or liability
reliance should not be placed upon these estimates or              whatsoever for any loss arising from this presentation or

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