Key Findings from a National Voter Survey Conducted March 11-15, 2018

Page created by Philip Rose
 
CONTINUE READING
Key Findings from a National Voter Survey Conducted March 11-15, 2018
Key Findings from a National Voter Survey Conducted
                 March 11-15, 2018

                                                      320-796
Key Findings from a National Voter Survey Conducted March 11-15, 2018
Methodology
✓ 1001 telephone interviews with voters
  nationwide
✓ Interviews conducted March 11-15, 2018
✓ Interviews on landlines and cell phones
✓ Margin of sampling error of +/- 3.1% at the
  95% confidence level
✓ Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to
  rounding
✓ Select tracks from 2016 and 2017 national
  research

                                                1
Key Findings from a National Voter Survey Conducted March 11-15, 2018
Bipartisan Research Team
                    Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (FM3) – a national Democratic
                    opinion research firm with offices in Oakland, Los Angeles and Madison, Wisconsin
                    – has specialized in public policy oriented opinion research since 1981. The firm has
                    assisted hundreds of political campaigns at every level of the ballot – from
                    President to City Council – with opinion research and strategic guidance. FM3 also
                    provides research and strategic consulting to public agencies, businesses and public
Dave Metz – FM3     interest organizations nationwide.

                    Public Opinion Strategies (POS) is the largest Republican polling firm in the
                    country. Since the firm’s founding in 1991, they have completed more than 10,000
                    research projects, interviewing more than five million Americans across the United
                    States. Media outlets, such as The Wall Street Journal, NBC News, CNBC, and
                    National Public Radio, rely on Public Opinion Strategies to conduct their polling.
                    The firm conducts polling on behalf of hundreds of political campaigns, as well as
                    trade associations, not-for-profit organizations, government entities and industry
Lori Weigel - POS   coalitions throughout the nation.

As a bipartisan team, FM3 and Public Opinion Strategies have researched a wide range of issues for
nearly a decade, in particular on conservation-related initiatives and policies. Together, the two firms
have jointly conducted research on behalf of political campaigns, businesses, not-for-profit
organizations and public agencies in 44 states and nationally.

                                                                                                            2
Key Findings from a National Voter Survey Conducted March 11-15, 2018
FM3 and POS have partnered to complete
  environmental research in 44 states.

                                         3
Key Findings from a National Voter Survey Conducted March 11-15, 2018
4
Key Findings from a National Voter Survey Conducted March 11-15, 2018
Rebuilding America’s infrastructure is seen as
    a top priority, and is gaining urgency.
Here are some issues that President Trump and leaders in Congress have said they may address
    this year. Please tell me how important you think it is for them to focus on each issue.
                                                                                                      Ext./Very
                            Ext. Impt.   Very Impt.   Smwt. Impt.   Not Too Impt.   DK/NA/Refused       Impt.
         Rebuilding America’s   2018             31%                   49%                 16%          80%
                infrastructure  2017            27%                 40%              25%     6%         67%
 Providing permanent legal status for
Dreamers, undocumented immigrants             21%             34%             23%         19%           55%
   who were brought here as children

Increasing funding for defense   2018         24%            30%             25%          20%           54%
  and anti-terrorism programs    2017         22%           27%             29%           21%           49%

      Repealing and replacing    2018         20%        18%        16%             44%                 38%
                  Obamacare      2017         21%         21%        16%            38%          5%     42%

        Building a wall on the   2018        15% 16% 12%                        57%                     30%
              Mexican border     2017       12% 14% 17%                         56%                     25%

                  Q2.                                                                                         5
Key Findings from a National Voter Survey Conducted March 11-15, 2018
Nearly four in five see it as “very important”
 that we rebuild our water infrastructure.
     We mentioned America’s infrastructure in the last question. Specifically, how
 important do you think it is (Half Sample: for the President and Congress to develop
 a plan this year) to rebuild our water infrastructure that brings clean drinking water
                  to your home and removes and treats wastewater?

Extremely important                                                Extremely/Very
                                                           40%
                                                                      Important
     Very important
                                                         38%            78%

Somewhat important
                                      16%       Somewhat/Not
      Not important                               Important
                              5%
                                                    21%

     Don’t know/NA                         Numbers were essentially identical with
                         1%
                                          and without reference to Presidential and
                                              Congressional action “this year.”
              Q3.                                                                         6
Democrats, independents, voters under 50,
   and women are more likely to see this as
          “extremely” important.
                                      Extremely/Very Extremely                                   Very                    Somewhat/Not
   Demographic Groups
                                         Important   Important                                 Important                   Important
Party
Democrats                                        88%                        48%                      40%                           12%
Independents                                     80%                        45%                      35%                           18%
Republicans                                      66%                        29%                      37%                           32%
Age
18-49                                            79%                        45%                      34%                           20%
50+                                              78%                        36%                      42%                           21%
Gender
Men                                              74%                        38%                      36%                           24%
Women                                            81%                        42%                      39%                           17%
               Q3 (Total). We mentioned America’s infrastructure in the last question. Specifically, how important do you think it is (SPLIT SAMPLE
               A ONLY: for the President and Congress to develop a plan this year) to rebuild our water infrastructure that brings clean drinking
               water to your home and removes and treats wastewater?                                                                                  7
Voters of color and those in the Northeast are
most likely to place importance on rebuilding
                infrastructure.
                                         Extremely/Very                     Extremely                 Very    Somewhat/Not
   Demographic Groups
                                            Important                       Important               Important   Important
Ethnicity
Latinos                                            92%                           47%                     45%                        8%
African-Americans                                  94%                           57%                     37%                        4%
Whites                                             74%                           36%                     38%                        25%
Voters of Color                                    90%                           50%                     40%                        8%
Region
Northeast                                          81%                           51%                     30%                        17%
Midwest                                            73%                           38%                     35%                        26%
South                                              83%                           37%                     46%                        16%
South Central                                      77%                           35%                     42%                        23%
Central Plains                                     73%                           31%                     42%                        27%
Mountain                                           79%                           38%                     41%                        18%
West                                               75%                           39%                     36%                        24%
               Q3 (Total). We mentioned America’s infrastructure in the last question. Specifically, how important do you think it is (SPLIT SAMPLE
               A ONLY: for the President and Congress to develop a plan this year) to rebuild our water infrastructure that brings clean drinking
               water to your home and removes and treats wastewater?                                                                                  8
9
Nearly nine in ten support increasing federal
   investments in water infrastructure.
   Some people have proposed increasing the federal investment in rebuilding
  our water infrastructure ‐ including pipes, pumps, reservoirs, treatment plants,
  and other facilities ‐ to ensure safe, reliable water service for all communities.
          Does this sound like something you would support or oppose?

            Strongly support                                         53%
                                                                               Total
                                                                              Support
          Somewhat support                               35%                    88%

          Somewhat oppose           4%
                                               Total
                                              Oppose
             Strongly oppose        4%          8%

              Don't know/NA        3%

            Q6.                                                                         10
Support cuts across gender, age, party and
                  ideology.
                                        Total                  Strong                Smwht.                   Total
  Demographic Groups                                                                                                                DK/NA
                                       Support                Support                Support                 Oppose
Gender
Men                                        86%                    52%                    34%                    10%                     4%
Women                                      91%                    55%                    36%                     6%                     3%
Age
18-49                                      92%                    54%                    38%                     6%                     3%
50+                                        86%                    53%                    33%                    11%                     4%
Party
Democrats                                  95%                    66%                    29%                     4%                     1%
Independents                               89%                    56%                    33%                     7%                     5%
Republicans                                81%                    38%                    43%                    14%                     5%
Ideology
Liberal                                    97%                    66%                    30%                     2%                     1%
Moderate                                   89%                    53%                    36%                     7%                     3%
Conservative                               82%                    42%                    40%                    13%                     5%

               Q6. Some people have proposed increasing the federal investment in rebuilding our water infrastructure ‐ including pipes, pumps,
               reservoirs, treatment plants, and other facilities ‐ to ensure safe, reliable water service for all communities. Does this sound like
               something you would support or oppose?                                                                                                  11
Support also cuts across
                    geographic lines.
                                            Total                   Strong                 Smwht.                   Total
   Demographic Groups                                                                                                                       DK/NA
                                           Support                 Support                 Support                 Oppose

Region

Northeast                                      90%                     61%                     29%                      6%                      5%

Midwest                                        88%                     48%                     40%                      9%                      3%

South                                          88%                     55%                     32%                      9%                      3%

South Central                                  89%                     59%                     31%                      8%                      2%

Central Plains                                 91%                     42%                     49%                      7%                      2%

Mountain                                       87%                     54%                     33%                      8%                      5%

West                                           87%                     47%                     40%                    10%                       3%

                 Q6. Some people have proposed increasing the federal investment in rebuilding our water infrastructure ‐ including pipes, pumps,
                 reservoirs, treatment plants, and other facilities ‐ to ensure safe, reliable water service for all communities. Does this sound like
                 something you would support or oppose?                                                                                                  12
Three quarters favor investing in water
     infrastructure today, regardless of cost impacts.
 Water systems in many communities across the United States are aging and in need of repair. The
 American Society of Civil Engineers gives our water and wastewater infrastructure a D grade. They
    estimate the price tag for repairing and improving America’s drinking water and wastewater
   infrastructure will be $1.27 trillion dollars over the next 25 years. Having heard this, which of
        these approaches do you think we should pursue as it relates to water infrastructure?

                                                         With Costs     Without Costs        Total
          We should invest today in comprehensive
 replacement, improvements, and upgrades to our
 water infrastructure, in order to prevent problems               79%             75%                75%
from arising (Half Sample: at a total cost of roughly
                 $1.27 trillion dollars over 25 years)

We should largely leave our water infrastructure in
place, and simply fix problems and breakdowns as
   they occur (Half Sample: at a total cost greater        19%             20%           19%
          than $1.27 trillion dollars over 25 years)

                           Both/Neither/Don't Know       4%              5%             5%

                     Q7.                                                                               13
Support for making the investment today cuts
                across partisan lines.

     Demographic Groups                        Invest Today                        Fix Problems                   Both/Neither/DK/NA
Party
Democrats                                              88%                                 10%                                    3%
Independents                                           79%                                 18%                                    4%
Republicans                                            60%                                 31%                                    9%
Age
18-49                                                  79%                                 17%                                    4%
50+                                                    72%                                 22%                                    6%
Ethnicity
Latinos                                                86%                                 12%                                    2%
African-Americans                                      83%                                 17%                                    1%
Whites                                                 72%                                 21%                                    6%
Voters of Color                                        85%                                 14%                                    1%
Region
Northeast                                              81%                                 15%                                   4%
Midwest                                                75%                                 15%                                   10%
South                                                  73%                                 25%                                   2%
South Central                                          69%                                 25%                                   6%
Central Plains                                         72%                                 22%                                   6%
Mountain                                               78%                                 12%                                   10%
West                                                   75%                                 22%                                   3%

                Q7 (Total). Having heard this, which of these approaches do you think we should pursue as it relates to water infrastructure?   14
More than three-quarters support the
                 $1.2 trillion investment.
    To withstand threats from storms, wildfires, and more extreme and unpredictable weather and
    meet growing demand, some people have proposed we begin a decades-long project to ensure
       our drinking water and wastewater systems are resilient. The cost would be approximately
     $1.2 trillion dollars over 25 years. (Half Sample: For context, Americans spend approximately
     half that amount each year on Christmas presents alone.) Funding would come from a mix of
      federal, state, and local sources – some of which would ultimately be paid by ratepayers. Do
                         you think you would support or oppose such a proposal?
                 Spending Context           No Spending Context                Total

  Strongly support             39%  Total                 39%  Total                   39%  Total
                                   Support                    Support                      Support
Somewhat support               40%   79%                  38%   77%                    39%   78%

Somewhat oppose        8%    Total                10%     Total               9%     Total
                            Oppose                       Oppose                     Oppose
  Strongly oppose     7%     15%                 8%       18%                7%      17%

   Don't know/NA     5%                         5%                          5%

                     Q8.                                                                             15
Reducing water pollution is most likely to be
   rated a high priority for local water agencies.
      I am going to read you a list of services that your local water agency either provides
        today or may provide in the future. Please tell me if you think it should be a high
                  priority; a moderate priority; a low priority, or not a priority.
                                                                                                   High/
                                                  High    Moderate     Low    Not     DK/NA
                                                                                                   Mod.
                   Reducing water pollution                      83%                      11%      95%
 Meeting increased state and federal health
                     and safety regulations                64%                      23%    6% 5%   87%
 Maintaining, enhancing, or replacing aging
  equipment, pipes, facilities, and buildings              62%                      30%            92%
        Reducing greenhouse gas emissions                52%                 25%     11% 10%       76%
Generating energy in the process of treating
                               wastewater                50%                 34%          9% 5%    84%
 Preparing for the impact of climate change              48%             23%        14% 13%        72%
        Increasing the use of recycled water             47%                 36%          9% 6%    82%
 Capturing nutrients from wastewater to be
  used as fertilizer and other industrial uses     31%                 44%           14% 8%        76%

                    Q13.                                                                               16
Four in five say that what they currently pay
  for water and wastewater is affordable.
        Do you think what you pay currently for water and wastewater
                    service is affordable or unaffordable?

           Very affordable                                      42%       Total
                                                                       Affordable
      Somewhat affordable                                    39%          80%

    Somewhat unaffordable           8%      Total
                                         Unaffordable
         Very unaffordable       5%          13%

           Don't know/NA          6%

          Q15.                                                                      17
Regardless of income, majorities of voters say that
  what they pay for their water and wastewater
               service is affordable.
                                                                Total                        Total
       Demographic Groups                                                                                                DK/NA
                                                             Affordable                   Unaffordable
Household Income
Three-quarters say they would be
         willing to pay a modest rate increase
               for service improvements.
Suppose your water and wastewater service provider increased rates by a modest amount to
pay for infrastructure and water quality improvements. Would you be willing or unwilling to
    pay a modest rate increase in order to improve your water and wastewater service?

                        Very willing                                37%      Total
                                                                             Willing
                Somewhat willing                                     38%      75%

             Somewhat unwilling             9%      Total
                                                  Unwilling
                    Very unwilling          9%      18%

                  Don't know/NA           7%

                 Q16.                                                                         19
20
Conclusions
✓ Rebuilding America’s infrastructure continues to be a top priority for
  American voters and is gaining intensity.
✓ Even though a majority think the nation’s water infrastructure is in good
  condition and 84% say the same for their local infrastructure, nearly four
  in five say that rebuilding water infrastructure as “very important.”
✓ Voters strongly support a proposal to invest as much as $1.2 trillion in
  the nation’s water infrastructure system.
   ▪ Overall, support for this idea cuts across demographic and partisan lines.
   ▪ Democrats, voters of color, and those living in urban areas are most likely to
     consistently support the proposal.
   ▪ Republican women and those living in the Central Plains and Midwest are
     most likely to be persuadable on this issue.
✓ Voters express a distinct preference for making the investment now,
  rather than fixing problems in the system as they arise.
✓ Three-quarters of voters say they would be willing to pay a modest
  amount more to improve their local water and wastewater system.

                                                                                  21
For more information, contact:

                   Dave@FM3research.com

                   Lucia@FM3research.com

                       Lori@pos.org
You can also read