National Political Update - Verified Voter Omnibus Survey N=1,001 Registered Voters Fielded July 19 - July 23, 2021 - Echelon Insights
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National
Political
Update
Veri ed Voter Omnibus Survey
N=1,001 Registered Voters
Fielded July 19 - July 23, 2021
X
1
fiBiden Approval Unchanged In July, Dips On Covid Spread
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling…? Approval
Change
From JUNE
His Job
55% 43% 2% EVEN
As President
The Spread of
59% 37% 4% -3
the Coronavirus
The U.S. Economy 52% 45% 3% +1
Foreign Policy 46% 45% 9% -4
Crime and public
46% 45% 9% N/A
safety in the U.S.
Immigration 45% 50% 6% +3
Strongly / Somewhat Strongly / Somewhat Unsure
Approve DisapproveDemocrats Lead Ticks Up On July Generic Ballot
Q. If the election for Congress were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you
vote?
De nitely/Probably the Republican candidate
Unsure
De nitely/Probably the Democratic candidate
50%
48%
45% 46% 46%
44%
44%
42% 42% 42% 41%
40%
12% 13% 12% 12%
10% 11%
February March April May June July
2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021
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fiDemocratic Advantage Slightly Smaller Among Likeliest Voters
Q. If the election for Congress were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you
vote?
De nitely the Republican candidate Probably the Republican candidate
Probably the Democratic candidate De nitely the Democratic candidate
Unsure
NET
All
Registered 30% 11% 14% 34% 11% D+7
Voters
Extremely/
Very Likely
35% 10% 10% 38% 7% D+5
To Vote
In Midterms
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fiBiden at +8 Net Fav, Harris +1
Q. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals or groups which have
been in the news lately? Favorable
Change
From JUNE
Joe Biden 53% 2% 45% -1
The Democratic Party 49% 5% 46% +2
Ron DeSantis 28% 18% 29% 26% N/A
Kamala Harris 48% 4%1% 47% -2
Mike Pence 41% 10% 2% 47% N/A
The Republican Party 40% 7% 53% +2
Donald Trump 42% 2%
1% 56% +2
Very / Somewhat No Never Very / Somewhat
Favorable Opinion Heard Of Unfavorable“Right Direction” Ticks Down in July
Q. Would you say things in the United States are headed in the right direction, or is the country o on
the wrong track?
Right Direction Wrong Track Unsure
70%
67% 66% 66%
61% 63% 62%
59% 59% 58%
54% 54% 52% 51% 49% 51%
45% 45%
46% 44%
42% 40%
38%
34% 34%
30% 28% 29% 30%
27% 27% 25%
22% 21% 22% 22%
15% 17% 17%
12% 14% 12% 12% 14% 12%
11% 11% 9% 9% 11%
8% 8% 8% 8%
January May September January May June
2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021
ff2024
“Trump” Republicans Reach Post-Election High In July
Q. Would you say you consider yourself to be primarily a supporter of Donald Trump, or a supporter of the
Republican Party? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters]
Donald Trump The Republican Party I don't support either one Unsure
59%
56%
53%
50% 50%
48% 48% 47%
46% 45% 45% 45%
43% 44% 43% 44% 44%
42% 42%
39% 38% 38%
33%
30%
12%
10% 10% 9%
7% 8% 8%
5% 6% 6% 5%
4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3%
2% 2%
August October December February April June July
2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021 2021Trump Advantage In GOP Primary Continues To Grow
Q. If the 2024 Republican presidential primaries were being held today and you had to make a choice,
for whom would you vote? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters]
Donald Trump, A Di erent Republican Candidate, Unsure
De nitely/Probably De nitely/Probably
67%
63%
60% 59% 59%
54%
48%
41%
35% 35%
32% 31%
30%
26%
14%
11% 11%
6% 6% 6% 7%
January February March April May June July
2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021
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fi
ffDeSantis Makes Strong Gains In Non-Trump GOP Field
Q. If Donald Trump does NOT seek the Republican nomination for President in 2024 and the Republican
presidential primaries were being held today, for whom would you vote? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters]
CHANGE FROM
JUNE The following
Ron DeSantis +11% 32% candidates were
tested but received
Mike Pence +3% 17% 1% or LESS vote
Donald Trump, Jr +3% 10% share:
Ted Cruz +3% 9% Tucker Carlson
Mike Pompeo
Nikki Haley -2% 4% Tom Cotton
Mitt Romney -1% 3% Tim Scott
Josh Hawley
Marco Rubio -1% 2% Greg Abbott
Kristi Noem
Someone else -1% 1%
Liz Cheney
Unsure -11% 13% Ben Sasse
Rick Scott
Chris Christie
Larry HoganDeSantis Leads Among Both Party- And Trump-First Republicans
Q. If Donald Trump does NOT seek the Republican nomination for President in 2024 and the Republican
presidential primaries were being held today, for whom would you vote? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters]
Trump-First Republicans Party-First Republicans
The following
Ron DeSantis 34% 30%
candidates were
Mike Pence 13% 21%
tested but received
Donald Trump, Jr 16% 4% 1% or LESS vote
Ted Cruz 12% 8% share within both
Nikki Haley 4% 5% breaks:
Mitt Romney 1% 5%
Marco Rubio 1% 3% Greg Abbott
Kristi Noem 0% 2%
Josh Hawley
Mike Pompeo 2%
Liz Cheney
0%
Tucker Carlson
Tim Scott 2% 1%
Ben Sasse
Tom Cotton 2% 0% Chris Christie
Someone else 2% 0% Rick Scott
Unsure 10% 15% Larry HoganThe 2020 Election And Voting Laws
Almost Half Of Voters Believe There Was Signi cant Fraud In 2020
Q. Which comes closest to your view of the 2020 Presidential election?
The amount of voter fraud or election irregularities was…
Signi cant enough to be able to change Signi cant, but not enough to change
the results of the election nationally the results of the election nationally
Minimal or non-existent Unsure
All 31% 17% 43% 10%
GOP 59% 18% 15% 8%
IND 23% 24% 38% 15%
DEM 10% 13% 70% 8%
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fiHalf Of Voters Want Federal Government To Set State Election Laws
Q. Who should set voting laws for federal elections in each state, the federal government or the state
government?
The federal government The state government Unsure
All 50% 33% 16%
GOP 40% 45% 15%
IND 44% 33% 23%
DEM 63% 22% 15%More Want Return To Pre-Pandemic Voting Laws
Q. To prevent the spread of the coronavirus at polling places, many states in 2020 adopted voting rules to
encourage mail-in or early voting. Now that the pandemic has subsided, which approach would you prefer states
take with their voting laws?
They should make the changes adopted for the pandemic permanent
They should return to the pre-pandemic rules
Unsure
All 41% 47% 12%
GOP 21% 68% 11%
IND 37% 49% 14%
DEM 60% 28% 12%Voters Overwhelmingly Support Consistent Early Voting Hours, Voter ID
Total
Q. Would you support or oppose each of the following voting laws in your state? Support
Having consistent early voting
hours for all counties in a state
61% 26% 3%
2%8% 87%
Requiring photo ID to vote 64% 18% 8% 6% 4% 82%
Requiring photo ID or the last 4 digits of a
Social Security number to vote by mail
58% 21% 6% 7% 7% 79%
Expanding the use of poll watchers 45% 26% 10% 7% 12% 71%
Requiring video recording of vote-counting 44% 26% 8% 7% 13% 71%
Banning ballot harvesting, where
political parties or other groups can collect 45% 16% 10% 16% 14% 61%
mail-in ballots from individual voters
Banning the sending of unsolicited
vote-by-mail applications
43% 16% 9% 17% 14% 60%
Allowing no-excuse mail-in voting 33% 19% 12% 18% 17% 53%
Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose UnsureNearly Half Of Democrats Strongly Support Voter ID
Q. Would you support or oppose each of the following voting laws in your state? [% Answering Strongly Support]
Having consistent early voting
hours for all counties in a state 55% 61%66%
Requiring photo ID to vote 47% 63% 85%
Requiring photo ID or the last 4 digits of a
Social Security number to vote by mail 40% 53% 83%
Expanding the use of poll watchers 30% 39% 68%
Requiring video recording of vote-counting 28% 46% 63%
Banning ballot harvesting, where political
parties or other groups can collect mail-in 31% 42% 63%
ballots from individual voters
Banning the sending of unsolicited 22% 46% 67%
vote-by-mail applications
Allowing no-excuse mail-in voting 23% 31% 44%
DEM IND GOPCrime And Public Safety
Strong Majorities Say Crime In U.S. Is Increasing
Q. Would you say crime is increasing or decreasing in…?
Strongly Increasing Somewhat Increasing Somewhat Decreasing Strongly Decreasing Unsure
The United States 45% 37% 7% 1% 10%
Your state 29% 42% 14% 2% 13%
Your community 21% 35% 20% 5% 18%Voters Split On Biden, Approve Of Local Leaders Handling Of Crime
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way [Joe Biden/your governor/your local leaders] is/are
handling crime and public safety in [the United States/your state/your community]?
Joe Biden/
46% 45% 9%
the U.S.
Your governor/
49% 41% 10%
your state
Your local leaders/
53% 36% 11%
your community
Strongly / Somewhat Strongly / Somewhat Unsure
Approve DisapproveBiden Underwater On Crime Among Suburban, Rural Voters
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling…
NET NET
His Job As President (Approve - Crime And Public Safety (Approve -
Disapprove) Disapprove)
Urban Voters 67% 31% 2% +36 57% 31% 12% +24
Suburban Voters 52% 46% 2% +6 43% 49% 8% -6
Rural Voters 46% 52% 2% -6 37% 55% 8% -18
Strongly / Somewhat Strongly / Somewhat Unsure
Approve DisapproveYour questions answered by real voters
Beyond our own public releases, the Veri ed Voter Omnibus is a resource companies and
organizations can use to answer mission-critical questions through add-on questions to the monthly
survey. It's the perfect tool for tracking a few core questions over time or gathering that one bit of
crucial public opinion data you need right now.
By adding on to the Veri ed Voter Omnibus, you’ll receive:
Hands-on assistance with drafting your questions
Full topline and crosstabs with key political trends questions included
A customized slide deck with your results
Contact omnibus@echeloninsights.com for more information.
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