O verview of PPP O pportunities and Projects for Dubai

 
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O verview of PPP O pportunities and Projects for Dubai
O verview of PPP O pportunities and Projects
for Dubai
 Investment and PPP
 Department
 2020
O verview of PPP O pportunities and Projects for Dubai
O n Jan 4th 2019 the 50 year charter was announced by
    HH Shk. Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum
    The Vice President and Prime Minister of the UA E, and ruler of
    Dubai

    Article 5: A Doctor to Every Citizen
    We aim to provide citizens with medical consultations 247/ through hundreds of thousands of
    doctors, specialists and medical consultants across the globe.
    This will be facilitated by smart government application.
    O ur goal is to transform the medical system to bring doctors closer to individuals, enhance
    awareness, and
    utilize top medical minds globally to serve the health of our citizens.

2
O verview of PPP O pportunities and Projects for Dubai
Dubai is a vibrant city of opportunity for professionals, investors
     and
     entrepreneurs

     The Dubai Advantage
                                                                                                THE GATEWAY
       THE CITY
                                                                                          Strategic location           Open economy
Over 200 Nationalities                            THE HUB
15.8 million tourists in 2017
                                                                                    140 airlines                           8 hrs flights
84% of population is between 15            Investor friendly destination
and 64 Yrs.                                                                         260 destinations                       to 2/3rd of
                                           Quality of life and talent                                                      the world
                                           retention
                                                                                                           Dubai
                                           Number 1 city for quality                                       International
                                           of living across the Middle                                     Airport
                                           east and Africa for 5 yrs in
          88% of GDP is from                                                                           Ranks #1 in the word Bank’s
                                           a row
          Financial Corporation                                                                        logistics performance index
                                                               Top 10 financial hubs in                for MENA region
                                                               the Bank2017 IFC ranking
  4th most visited city
  in the world

 Dubai is a gateway to growth markets with recognized quality of
 life and ability to retain talent

 3
O verview of PPP O pportunities and Projects for Dubai
Dubai Health Authority oversees the healthcare sector in the Emirate of Dubai,
    and the health sector has witnessed significant growth in the past decade

                                                                         Snapshot of the Key Figures of Dubai’s Healthcare Sector
              Regulatory Bodies                                          The number of outpatients, inpatients as well as the number of healthcare
                                                                         facilities and professionals licensed by DHA have seen significant growth in recent
                                                                         years

                                                                                        Outpatients                                           Inpatients
                                                                                        O P Volumes (2012-2017, in                            IP Volumes (2012-2017, in
                                                                                        millions)                                             thousands)
                                                                                             CAGR 12-17                                               CAGR 12-17
                                                                                               +6.0%                                                    +4.8%

                                                                                            7.3           9.                                    208            263
                                                                                                          8

                                                                                          2012           2017                                  2012           2017
Number of hospitals, per type of setting (2017, in no. of facilities)

               Private
                                                      MO HA P
                                                                                    Hospitals                        Facilities                             Professionals
                                                                                    Evolution of the no. of          Total number of                        Total number of licensed
                                                                                    Hospitals (2012-2017,            licensed facilities by                 professional by DHA
             Regulate                                                               in no. of facilities)            DHA (2014- 2017, in                    (2014-2017, in thousands)
               d by                                                                                                  thousands)
                                                      DHCC
               DHA                                                                +10 Hospitals                      CAGR 14-17                              CAGR 14-17
                                                      (Private)                                                        +3.9%                                   +8.1%
                                                                                                    37                                3.
               Public                                                              27               6
                                                                                    6              31                2.8              1                    30.6           38.5
                                                                        Public
                                                                                   21
                                                                        Private

                                                                                  201             2017               2014           2017                   2014           2017
                                                                                  0

4
O verview of PPP O pportunities and Projects for Dubai
Health spending in Dubai has risen by 12% p.a. from 2012 to 2017, and there
       exists opportunities for investment and growth in the health sector

Health spending has risen from AED 9.9 billion in 2012 to 17.5 billion in                                    …and the UAE is one of the top 10 economies
2017, and this is estimated to reach AED 24 billion in 2020, supported by                                    with the most efficient healthcare sector, and
health insurance reforms…                                                                                    ranked on top of Middle East countries...

             Source of funds                                                          Use of funds

                                                                                                                     Hong Kong

                                                                                                                                                                                     Switzerland
                                                                                                                                  Singapore

                                                                                                                                                        Australia
Evolution of healthcare expenses, by Source of                    Healthcare expenses, by type of

                                                                                                                                                                            Norway
                                                                                                                                              Japan
funds (2012-2017, in AED)                                         provider (2014, in % of total healthcare

                                                                                                                                                                    UAE
                                                                  expenses)
                              17.5 billion
                                                                                Hospitals 47%
                   16.0 billion                                                 Clinics 22%
                                                                                                                     #1 #2                    #7       #8 #10 #11
                                  8%     O ut of                                                                     #12
                                                                                Ancillary 2%
                                         Pocke                                                                       Source: Bloomberg Health-Efficiency Index, 2018
                                                                                                               …however,     despite years of positive development,
            12.8 billion13%                                                     Pharmacies 9%
                                         t                                      Outbound                       there exists potential for growth in the health sector
                                                                                medical tourism
     9.9                                                                        14%
   billion     25%                       Insurance &
                                  60%                                           Admin & Finance
                                         Corporation                            6%
                       52%                                                                                   Healthcare expenditure in Dubai vs. GCC and OECD
      22%                                s                         Healthcare expenses, by type of care      countries (2014, in % of the GDP)
               42%
                                                                   (2014, in % of total healthcare                                                                    10.0%
      41%                                                          expenses)
                                                                                Curative care 59%
                                                                                Rehabilitative care 1%
                       35%        32%                                           Ancillary services 15%
      38%      34%                           Governmen                          Medical goods 14%                                3.6%                 3.4%
                                             t                                  Preventive care 5%
                                                                                Admin & Finance 6%
   2012 201           201         2017
        4             6                                                                                                          Dubai                GCC                 OECD

                  Source: Dubai Health Investment Guide 2018, Health Accounts System of Dubai 2013-
  5               2014
O verview of PPP O pportunities and Projects for Dubai
Health Investments Strategy is important to Dubai (Health Investment Strategy
          2017-20)
          Projected Capacity Gaps in the Dubai Healthcare
          Infrastructure                                                                                  Capacity Gap in Other Critical
            Evolution of Supply-Demand Gap in Inpatient Beds in Dubai, 2020-
                                                                                                               Infrastructure in Dubai in
                                                                                                          Healthcare
            2030
                                                                                                               2030
In # of
beds                                          Suppl          Deman                            Gap:                   Primary care
                                              y              d
                                                           Gap:                              ~1,590
8,00              O versupply                                                                 beds                   Gap: ~726 OP rooms, by
                  : ~654                                  ~311                                                       2030
0
                    beds                                  beds
6,00                                                                                                                 Long-term care
0
                                                                                                                     Gap: ~192 beds, by
4,00                                                                                                                 2030
0                                                                                                                    Rehabilitation
                       2020                                2025                               2030
2,00                                                                                                                 Gap: ~192 beds, by 2030
0
  Specialties with the Largest Inpatient Bed
     0               Gaps, 2025-2030                      Gap by Specialty in
Gaps, in # of                                             2030                                              Procedural care / Medical
                                                     High       – Orthopedics
beds                                                                                                        imaging
                           241             227                  – Respiratory
           225
                                                                   medicine
                                                                                                            • Ultrasound
      90           96                                           – Pediatric medicine
                                 89                                                                               Gap: ~484 units, by 2030
                                                                – Obstetrics
                                                                – Gastroenterology                          • Computed tomography
    Obstetric    Orthopedic      Pediatric                      – Psychiatry                                      Gap: ~50 units, by 2030
    s            s               medicin            Mediu       – Cardiology &                              • Mammography
                                 e                  m              Cardiothoraci                                  Gap: ~43 units, by 2030
                 2025                                              c
                          203                                      General
                                                                – in        surgery
    By 2030, DHA foresees a gap of ~1,590 inpatient beds, mostly     specialties such as orthopedics, respiratory medicine, pediatric
                 0
    medicine, cardiology, long term care and obstetrics

    6            Note: (*) Ultrasound, X-ray, Computed tomography, Mammography, Magnetic resonance, PET
                 scan, etc.. Source: Dubai Clinical Services Capacity Plan 2018-2030.
O verview of PPP O pportunities and Projects for Dubai
…leading to investment needs in certain medical specialties in terms of outpatient
    rooms…

                 Gap analysis by specialty, in no. of outpatient rooms required (base case, 2018-
                 2025)
        Specialty                                 Gaps (base                                                        Specialty                              Gaps (base
                                                  case)                                                                                                    case)
        Primary Care                             524          696        1,218                                              Nursing care &                357       463        761
                                                                                                                            Allied health
        Orthopaedics and                          77           31           75
        Rheumatology                                                                                                        Trauma and Injury              27        32        44

        Respiratory Medicine                      10           20           37                                              Neurology                       1        12        35

                                                                                                                            Vascular Surgery                4         7        16
        Immunology & Infections                   11           15           26
                                                                                                                            Urology                        41        27        12
        Endocrinology                             33           21           13
                                                                                                                            Renal Medicine                  2         3        11
        O ncology                                  8            4           11

        Haematology                                1            3            7
                                                                                                                            Neonatology                     3         4         6

        Gastroenterology                          47           35            0                                              Dentistry                      26        19         4

                                                                                                                 Projections are based on the following assumptions:
                                                                                                                   1. 248 operational days per year
                                                                                                                   2.8 operational hours per day
                                                                                                                   3.70% planning occupancy per consultation room
                                                                                                                   4.Adjustments for National and Non-national utilisation based on current trends
                                                                                                                   5.Nursing demand has been split between adult and paediatric Hospital modes, no
                                                                                                                     supply captured but absorbed by other consultation rooms

         Source: Dubai Health Investment Guide 2018, Preliminary results from Dubai Clinical Services Capacity
7        Plan 2018-2030, developed by TAHPI
… As well as acute inpatient beds in 2020 and 2025 across certain specialties and
     services

                                 Gaps by specialty, in no. of additional acute inpatient beds required (base
                                 case)

    2020
                                                       Oversupply                                              Optimum                        Undersupply
                                                                                                               coverag                    (investment
    General Gyneaec             Neuro-               Neuro- Cardio. &          General Obste- ENT,             e                          needs)
             olog               Endocrin                     Cardiot.          Head            & neck
    medicin Neona-                                    log
                                                     Plastic                   surger
             y
                    tolog
                                surgery ology                surger surger             trics
                                                                                               Urology                                                        78         10
    e               y                                 y               y        y                                                                   43
                                                             y                                                        1         10      10                               8

                                                                                                           7      O rtho. Gastroen- Renal          O nco-                  Resp.
                                                     51        40      35        27       23      16
                                   81       72                                                                       &     terology                 Psychiatry logy      medicin
                       10
                                                                                                                  Rheum. medicine                                        e
             16        0
    208      9

    2025
                                   Oversupply                        Optimum                                          Undersupply
                                                                     coverag                                      (investment
                                                                     e                                            needs)
                                                                      ENT,                                                                                               167
    General Gyneae    Neuro-     Endocri     Neona- Neuro- Plastic
                                                                     Head                                                                          96         10
    medicin c         surger        n        tology  logy surger                                                     67         77      90
             ology                                                   &                            43       55                                                 8
    e                 y           ology                    y                     18       41
                                                                     neck

                                                                       6       Urolog     Renal Genera Cardio. &             Gastroen- O bste-                             Resp.
                                                               30                                                                                           Psychiatry
                                            33       32                                 medicin l      O nco- Cardiot.        terology Otrics
                                                                                                                                         rtho. &                         medicin
                       75          64                                          y
                                                                                        e       surger            logy                  Rheum.                           e
    14       13                                                                                 y      surgery
    8        5

8            Source: Dubai Health Investment Guide
             2018
Health Investments Strategy is important to Dubai (Health Investment Strategy 2017-
    20)
    Priority Investment Areas for Dubai Healthcare Infrastructure
                                                         Focus of next 2-3 years…                                                   Focus for 3-5 years…
                      1
                                                                                                                                          11
     Innovations                                                                                                          Preventive Care &
     in                                                                                                                       Pharmacy
     Primary Care                                                                                                          beyond- the-pill
                                   2
                                                                                                                     10
               Ambulatory
                                                                                                    Long-term Care                                     12
                 Care
                                                                                                     and Extended                       Precision
                                                                                                         care                           Medicine
                                              3                                                                  9                    and Genetics
                             Urgent
                              Care                                                            Home-based
                             Clinics                                                          care                                                          13
                                                                                                                                        Population
                                                          4                                                  8                            Health
                                         Mental                                         Rehabilitation and                                Management
                                         Health                                          Physical Therapy

                                                                                                                                                                 14
                                                                  5                                     7                                         Nursing
                                                    Chronic                         Diagnostic Health
                                                                                       & Remote                                                 Homes and
                                                    Disease
                                                                                       Monitoring                                              Palliative Care
                                                   Manageme
                                                       nt
                                                                Tertiary Care   6
                                                                for Diabetes,
                                                                 Cardiology
                                                                     and
                                                                  Oncology

As part of its Investment Strategy 2017-2020, DHA has started identification of highest priority investment areas to fulfil its objective of
promotion and facilitation…
9           Source: DHA Investment Strategy 2017-2020,
            Advention
The Dubai Investment Guide maps the investment journey for
     different types of facilities / projects for healthcare services

e.g.New facility
licensing
process map

 Source: Dubai Health Investment Guide 2019

10
Key Features of a PPP Model
     PPP’s are unique in helping create value and transfer of risks to Private Sector

                                         Public Private Participation (PPP) model is a partnership
                                         structured between the Public Sector/ Government and
                                         the Private Sector to develop infrastructure or provide
                                         services to the population based on an agreed
                                         allocation of risks and reward to the Private Sector.

                                         The Key Components of a PPP Model are the following –
                                         1. Financing – Identifying and selecting acceptable
                                            modes of public and private funding for the project
                                         2. Distribution of risks – assessing and designing a risk
                                            distribution model across public and private sector
                                            partners
                                         3. Business case – develop a business case that is
                                            beneficial and feasible to the public and private
                                            sector

11         Source: DHA Investments &
           PPP’s
PPP Models in Healthcare - Examples
     PPP models have been implemented across developed and developing regions of the
     world helping drive lower capital costs, more efficiency, improved access and investment
     in health
                                                                                         Hospitals in
                                Hospitals in               Hospital Trusts
                                                                                         Spain
                                Canada                     in UK
                                                                                        • Hospital de La Ribera in
                               • $ 460 mn Women’s          • 1.1 bn GBP Bart’s                                        Hospitals in New
                                                                                          Alzira region for $ 91      Zealand
                                 College Hospital –          Health Trust NHS
                                                                                          mn. Payment through
                                 Design, Build, Finance      hospital and 430mn GBP
                                                                                          capitation fees
                                 and Maintain (DBFM)         Bristol Trust NHS                                       • $ 215 mn Burwood
                                                                                                                       Hospital in Christchurch
                                                                                                                       with 230 beds
                                                                                      Hospitals in
                                                                                      Turkey

                                                                                    • Eur 360 mn 1,000 bed           Bumrungrad
                                                                                                                     Hospitals in
                                                                                      hospital in Elaziğ. 26         Intl. Hospital
                                                                                                                     Australia
                                                                                      PPP’s planned
                                                                                                                     • $365 mn Royal
                                                                                                                       Women’s Hospital in
                                                                                                                       Victoria, Australia
Hospitals in
Canada
• $ 352 mn Joseph
  Brant Hospital with
  172 beds. Design,                               Imaging
  Build and Finance                                                             Tele-radiology in
                                                  Diagnostics in
  (DBF)                                                                         Kenya
                                                  Brazil
                                                                               • GE partnership with
                                                  • $ 40 mn project in the       Kenya to deliver
                                                    State of Bahia to set up     teleradiology to 46 mn
                                                    and operate 45 new           people across 98
                                                    equipment across 12          hospitals
                                                    hospitals
12          Source: DHA Investments &
            PPP’s
PPP Law and Guidelines in Dubai
     Dubai has a PPP Law and PPP Guidelines developed by the Dept. of Finance (DoF) to support
     investments in healthcare, transport and other infrastructure projects for the Emirate

                          Dubai PPP Law and Guidelines
                                                                 DHA is very focused on implementing
                                                                 models that are suited and tailored to
                                                                 Dubai’s needs and that are within the
                                                                 framework of the PPP Law no 22 of 2015.
                                                                 PPP Guidelines issued by DoF governs
                                                                 different models of PPP’s for both
                                                                 greenfield and brownfield facilities and we
                                                                 are reviewing and proposing different
                                                                 types of models that are suited to different
                                                                 projects provided these allow for risk
                                                                 sharing and risk transfer to the private
                                                                 sector

                                                                 Focus of PPP Law and Guidelines in
                                                                 Dubai–
                                                                 1. Description of the different types of
                                                                    PPP’s allowed and level of investment
                                                                 2. Evaluation and approval of PPP’s
                                                                 3. The process for development and
                                                                    approval of a PPP project
                                                                 4. Payment Mechanisms and Risk
                                                                    Allocation and transfer

13
DHA is implementing a PPP Project for Cardiology CoE
       The Cardiology CoE is the first healthcare PPP project to be implemented in the Emirate of
       Dubai and aims to bring world-class cardiology services in partnership with private sector

         Highlights of CCoE and PPP Model                                        O bjectives of the Cardiology CoE*

       • The Cardiology CoE is expected to be a 100-120 bed
         dedicated cardiology hospital focusing on cardiac ER, OP                                                      One –stop-
                                                                                   Evidence based
         and IP services;                                                                                            shop approach
                                                                                  international best
       • DHA aims to implement a DBFM PPP Model with the below                                                       with integrated
                                                                                practice with focus on
         stated sharing of responsibilities between the Public & Pvt.                                                care continuum
                                                                                 screening and early
         Sectors with the term of the PPP agreement of 25 years
                                                                                       detection
     • The CoE will be co-located
                           Selectedwithin the Rashid
                                    PPP Model  - DBFMHospital
       Complex
 Responsibility   (Design-Build-Finance-and Maintain, “DBFM”)
                                    with clinical affiliation                                                               Physician access
                                                                                                                           to clinical affiliation,
       Revenues                               DHA                               Sustainable                                     research &
                                                                               and predictable                                  technology
           Capex                         Private Sector                          costs with                                      innovation
                                                                                 access to
            Opex     Private Sector (excl. Clinical Salaries paid by DHA)        financially
                                                                                 vulnerable
                      Selected medical and nursing positions by DHA              segments
     Clinical Staff (40-50% of clinical staff), Clinical Affiliation partner
                          to support recruitment & development                                                           Focus on physician
                                                                                           It will be flexible and
                                                                                                                       training, development
     Non-Clinical Private Sector is free to recruit and deploy staff for                   adaptable to support
                                                                                                                      and education in Dubai
            Staff                 the suited positions                                         remote patient
                                                                                                  monitoring
                                      DHA  PPP Co
      Availability
                     Reflects capex and opex incurred by PPP Co, along
        Payment
                            with cost of funding (debt & equity)

14
DHA is also evaluating opportunities for PPP in 2020-24
     O ther PPP projects range from developing new infrastructure to enhancing
     existing DHA services and improving access to care for the patient
       O verview of other proposed PPP projects in service enhancement and improvement
     population
Imaging Diagnostics    DHA is keen to improve utilization of equipment, quality and efficiency of services and
                        training of staff
                       Possibility of a risk – share partnership to manage radiology services of 3 hospitals (retaining
                        DHA staff) to reduce waiting times and increase revenues                                               Improved
                       Training and upskilling DHA staff will be a key component                                             Efficiencies

Dialysis               Operating Agreement for managed services model to manage dialysis services for patients in
                        Dubai                                                                                                 Sustainability of
                                                                                                                               Services
                       To focus on efficiency, patient convenience and quality of outcomes (incl. access to care)

                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                               Better Quality
                       Needs to interface with primary care                                                                   O utcomes
Spine                  Operating Agreement for managed services model to manage spine services in Dubai
                        Hospital for patients in Dubai
                       To focus on cost of care, patient trust and quality of outcomes (incl. access to care)              Improved   Access
                                                                                                                             to Specialized Care
                       Objective is to bring best in class, highly qualified and experienced surgeons to Dubai
                        through this
                       Service enhancement and clinical affiliation for Dubai patients in diabetes care
                                                                                                                            Cost
                                                                                                                             Reduction and
Diabetes                                                                                                                     Control
                       To focus on cost of care, efficiency and quality of outcomes (incl. access to care)
                       In future it could include take over and turnaround of an existing center focused on UAE
                                                                                                                            Increase
                                                                                                                             in
                        National                                                                                               Revenue
                        patients

Long Term               Concession Model or Operator Agreement for managed services model to manage LTC                    Grow Patient
                                                                                                                              Volumes
                         services for
Care
                         patients in Dubai
                        To focus on efficiency, patient experience and quality of outcomes (incl. access to care)
                        Expected to free up beds and critical care units in Rashid and Dubai Hospitals
15
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