OPERATOR DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION UNLOCKING EUR15 BILLION BY 2021 THROUGH PARTNERSHIPS WITH OSPs - ITU Open Consultation Meeting

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OPERATOR DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION UNLOCKING EUR15 BILLION BY 2021 THROUGH PARTNERSHIPS WITH OSPs - ITU Open Consultation Meeting
ITU Open Consultation Meeting

                                          ITU Open Consultation Meeting

                                OPERATOR DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION
                                  UNLOCKING EUR15 BILLION BY 2021
                                 THROUGH PARTNERSHIPS WITH OSPs

                                                       18 SEPTEMBER 2017
                                               DAVID ABECASSIS, PARTNER

© Analysys Mason Limited 2017
OPERATOR DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION UNLOCKING EUR15 BILLION BY 2021 THROUGH PARTNERSHIPS WITH OSPs - ITU Open Consultation Meeting
ITU Open Consultation Meeting

Digital Transformation to become a ‘Digital Service Provider’:
A strategy adopted by all leading telecoms operators

“Digitisation is no longer a    “Telia should be a digital      “Digital transformation is        “Telenor will evolve into an
possibility - it's a reality.   facilitator in society, and     impacting every sector of         increasingly digital
The transformation of our       we should aim to apply our      industry, starting with           company with a broader
processes, policies and         technical skills in new         Orange itself […]                 set of engaging products
systems is the                  ways”                                                             and services reaching an
                                                                The Orange Digital
cornerstone of                                 Abraham Foss                                       even larger number of
                                                                Leadership Inside (ODLI)
digitisation, as well as                     CEO, Telia Norge                                     customers, yet deeply
                                                                programme was launched
being a facilitator of other                                                                      rooted in highly efficient
                                                                at the end of 2013 to step
priorities”                                                                                       core telecoms
                                                                up digital transformation
                                                                                                  operations”
                                                                across the company”
                                                                                                                    Sigve Brekke
                                                                                                      President and CEO, Telenor

                                                                                 Sources: operator reports and presentations

© Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting

Don’t go it alone:
Partnerships with OSPs can accelerate Digital Transformation

Liberty bundles Netflix subscription with its core services,     Deutsche Telekom partners with Cisco to implement NFV
  providing OSP with a better local market reach while            technologies to offer connectivity services to small and
  generating additional revenue from taking a share of             medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in three European
                Netflix subscription sale                               countries (Croatia, Hungary and Slovakia)

   Vodafone UK provides Android customers with an                 MTN Business partners with Microsoft to provide a pan-
  opportunity to charge the purchases of content in the          African cloud platform that offers its business customers a
 Google Play Store, such as apps, games, music, video,            hybrid cloud solution serviced from MTN’s data centres
        and e-books, directly to their monthly bill                         and powered by Microsoft technology

                                                               Selected examples only; sources: operator reports and presentations

© Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting

Don’t go it alone:
Partnerships with OSPs can accelerate Digital Transformation

                      Core business                                        Enhanced technology
Liberty bundles Netflix subscription with its core services,   Deutsche Telekom partners with Cisco to implement NFV
                  development
  providing OSP with   a better local market reach while                          & connectivity
                                                                technologies to offer operations services to small and
  generating additional revenue from taking a share of           medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in three European
                Netflix subscription sale                             countries (Croatia, Hungary and Slovakia)

                      New business                                               New business
   Vodafone UK provides Android customers with an                MTN Business partners with Microsoft to provide pan-
                   opportunities
  opportunity to charge the purchases of content in the                            opportunities
                                                               African cloud platform that offers its business customers a
 Google Play Store, such as apps, games, music, video,          hybrid cloud solution serviced from MTN’s data centres
        and e-books, directly to their monthly bill                       and powered by Microsoft technology

© Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting

Three key areas for partnerships and cooperation:
Many examples already exist, much more can be done

    Core                        High-end
                                                    Bundled content
                                                                          Digital ads and          ȼ     Low-cost
  business                      broadband                                 sales channels                 smartphones

 Enhanced                                           Omnichannel
                                Infra paid for by                         Network                        Productivity
 Tech and                       OSPs
                                                    customer
                                                                          transformation                 improvements
                                                    interactions
   Ops

                                                                          Entirely new
    New                         New consumer        New enterprise
                                                                          sectors (e.g.
  business                      products            products
                                                                          banking)

                                                                      Source: Analysys Mason, interviews with operators

© Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting

Direct and indirect interactions:
Quantifying the impact of two possible mid-term scenarios
     Our approach to quantify the cash flow impact                We looked at two scenarios, with direct
            of interactions at market level                        interactions as the main difference

        Model of direct interactions (partnerships) and                       Stable financial outlook, with continued
      indirect interactions with online service providers   Base case
                                                                              experimentation with partnerships and
                                                             forecast         interactions on a limited scale
      Only interactions with a market-level impact (not
               only a competitive advantage)
                                                                              Operators leverage interactions with
      Impact on operators based on a cashflow-based          Deepening        OSPs across the board, indirect
                model (EBITDA – CAPEX)                      interactions      interactions play out fully, direct
                                                                              interactions in a more limited way
     Three explicit operator archetypes, for WE and EE
                                                                              Much greater focus on direct
                                                             Intensive
                                                                              interactions and partnerships, with a
                      Extrapolation for MEA                 cooperation       knock-on effect on indirect interactions

                                                                        Source: Analysys Mason, interviews with operators

© Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting

A large opportunity in EMEA:
Up to EUR15 billion in addition cash flow from 2021
    Annual incremental cash flow by source in 2021                       Potential cash flow benefits by
                 (EMEA, EUR billion)                                      scenario (EMEA, EUR billion)

                                                   Intensive                            + €15
                          2.0                                     50                    billion
                                                  cooperation:
                                            4.9                   40                                  8
                                0.9               €15 billion                                         7
                                      2.3                         30
                                                                  20
                             3.8                                             31                      31
                                                   Deepening
                                                                  10
                                                  interactions:
                       7.8                                         0
                                                     €7 billion             2016                    2021

            Core business development                                             Base case
            Enhanced technology and operations                                    Deepening interactions
            New business development                                              Intensive interactions
                                                                       Source: Analysys Mason, analysis and modelling

© Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting

A large opportunity in EMEA:
Up to EUR15 billion in addition cash flow from 2021

© Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting

Beyond historical disruption:
The Internet is opening broad opportunities for telecoms operators

            Disruption          … has already worked its way through the system. What next?

                                … of Digital Transformation strategies is essential to mitigate the impact of
    Successful execution
                                  maturity, commoditisation, competition

                                … are substantial – up to €15 billion by 2021 (~50% of current cashflows),
       Financial benefits
                                  further opportunities from competitive advantages by fast movers

          New business          … are wide open – the Internet is bringing down barriers to entry not only
          opportunities           in the telecoms sector, but for telecoms operators in other sectors

© Analysys Mason Limited 2017
ITU Open Consultation Meeting

The report is available now on our website

                                                                             David Abecassis
                                                                             Partner
                                                                             david.abecassis@analysysmason.com

                                                                             Click the report or visit:
                                                                             http://www.analysysmason.com/digital-
                                                                             transformation-through-partnerships

     @AnalysysMason             linkedin.com/company/analysys-mason        youtube.com/AnalysysMason      analysysmason.com/RSS

© Analysys Mason Limited 2017                                         10
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