Origins and Fundamental Physics of Supermassive Black Holes

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Origins and Fundamental Physics of Supermassive Black Holes
The US Extremely
Large Telescope
Program

           Origins and Fundamental Physics
             of Supermassive Black Holes
                                      Jenny E Greene
           GC Team:Tuan Do, Andrea Ghez, Jessica Lu, Matthew Hosek, Andrew Bellini,
                        Sukanya Chakrabarti, Mark Morris, Shoko Sakai
               IMBH team: Tuan Do, Andrea Bellini, Jonelle Walsh, Kayhan Gultekin, Karl
                Gebhardt, Aaron Barth, Matthew Hosek, Dongwon Kim, Mattia Libralato,
                                     Jessica Lu, Matthew Malkan

  01/07/2019                              U.S. ELT Program - AAS #233                     1
Origins and Fundamental Physics of Supermassive Black Holes
US-ELT:
                     Transforming Black Hole Science
Is GR the right description of black holes?
          Proper motions and radial velocities of stars at the Galactic Center

How did supermassive black holes (SMBH) form?
                  Search for intermediate-mass black holes
                                                                 Figure 3. Simulation of the central 0.5 arcsecond around the supermassive black hole Sgr A* (white cross) w
                                                                 adaptive optics with the Keck Telescopes (left) compared to that with TMT (right). The greater resolving pow

How did SMBHs evolve through cosmic time?
                                                                 along with better AO correction will likely allow us to detect a factor of > 10 times more stars in this region. W
                                                                 how these orbit can be used simultaneously in a joint analysis to constraint tests of gravity and other science

                Search for SMBHs out to z~2 (won’t cover now)

  01/07/2019                       U.S. ELT Program - AAS #233                                                                                   2
                                                                 Figure 4. Overlay of a sample orbits from the simulations described in Section 3. TMT will likely discover
Origins and Fundamental Physics of Supermassive Black Holes
Zooming Into Stellar Nuclei

                                                           Both angular resolution
                                                           and depth are key

                                                           From 17 to 120 stars to
                                                           be monitored at the GC

                                                           Reach the sphere of
                                                           Influence of 1000 Msun
                                             Keck Today    BHs in the MW and 10,000
              1.1”=0.044pc                                 Msun BHs to >5Mpc
01/07/2019                   U.S. ELT Program - AAS #233                      3
Origins and Fundamental Physics of Supermassive Black Holes
Zooming Into Stellar Nuclei

                                                           Both angular resolution
                                                           and depth are key

                                                           From 17 to 120 stars to
                                                           be monitored at the GC

                                                           Reach the sphere of
                                                           Influence of 1000 Msun
                                                           BHs in the MW and 10,000
              1.1”=0.044pc                                 Msun BHs to >5Mpc
01/07/2019                   U.S. ELT Program - AAS #233                      4
Origins and Fundamental Physics of Supermassive Black Holes
Galactic Center Experiment

Simulations:                                 Instrumentation:
Number of stars: 121 (TMT) vs 17             TMT/IRIS for astrometry+moderate
(present-day)                                resolution spectroscopy
Assumes: 5x better astrometry                GMTNIRS for high-resolution
10x better radial velocities                 spectroscopy for shortest-period
                                             stars
Cadence: 3 RV and 3 PM
measurements/yr for three years              Two-telescope system: provides
                                             complementary instrumentation,
Total time: 360 hrs (IRIS)                   longer baseline modeling,
                                             insurance against weather

    01/07/2019               U.S. ELT Program - AAS #233                 5
Origins and Fundamental Physics of Supermassive Black Holes
>10 sigma detection

 Figure 4: The left panel shows the signal to noise ratio for the GR precession signal and the left
 panel displays the uncertainty on the extended mass parameter     at the
                                                                To 1000   Galactic
                                                                        Msun       Center. The red
                                                                             precision
 curve shows the evolution with Keck and TMT data. The blue curve on the other hand is with
 only Keck data. The grey dashed horizontal line in the right panel is the extended mass value at
 the distance of semi–major axis of S0–2.

Figure 4: The left panelToshows
                           2000 Msun precision
                                the signal                        To +/-
                                           to noise ratio for the GR     5pc precision
                                                                      precession  signal and the left
panel displays the uncertainty on the extended mass parameter at the Galactic Center. The red
curve shows the evolution with Keck and TMT data. The blue curve on the other hand is with
only Keck data. The grey dashed horizontal line in the right panel is the extended mass value at
the distance of semi–major axis of S0–2.

                                        U.S. ELT Program - AAS #233                               6
How do SMBHs Form?
                                                        ????????????????????????????????????????????
                             106                            10
                                                            10       10      76
                                                                              10
                                                                              10       10                     1087                                            89                                         9

                                                                                                      Direct Collapse                   Direct
                                                                                                                                           Directcollapse?
                                                                                                                                                  Collapse
                              The Astrophysical Journal Letters, 824:L8 (7pp), 2016 June 10                                                                               Rodriguez et al.
rophysical Journal Letters, 824:L8 (7pp), 2016 June 10                                                                            Rodriguez et al.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Supermassive
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Supermassive
                                                                                                                                                                                          Supermassive
                                                                                                                                       Accretion                               Accretion
                                               Stellar Mass
        Stellar Mass
                   Stellar Mass
                   Black Holes

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Black Holes
                                                                                                            gravitational!    Tidal !
                                                                                 gravitational
                                                                                     gravitational!
                                                                               Rodriguez+2016          Tidal ! runaway     disruption
                                     Rodriguez+2016                                    runaway      disruption
                                                                                         runaway?

                                                                                                                                                                        Accretion
                                                                                                                                Accretion
                                                   PopIII SNe?                     dynamical !                  Figure 2. Distribution of BBH total masses from GCs. In gray, we show the
                                                                                                                CHE
                                                                                                                distribution of all mergers that occur at z 0.5 (for GCs that form at z 3.5),
                                         dynamical !                              interactions
                                                                     Figure 2. Distribution of BBH total masses      from  GCs.weIn show
                                                                                                                                     gray, the
                                                                                                                                            we distribution
                                                                                                                                               show the of sources detectable with Advanced
                                                                     CHE                                        while   in blue
                                                                     distribution of all mergers that occur at z 0.5 (for GCs that form at z 3.5),
                                        interactions               while in blue we show the distribution of
                                                                                                            LIGO during its first observing run. The median and 90% credible regions for
                                                                                                            thesources  detectable
                                                                                                                 total mass          with Advanced
                                                                                                                                of GW150914       are shown in red (The LIGO Scientific
                                                                   LIGO during its first observing run. The median    and 90% & credible    regions  for

       105 Msun
                                                                                                            Collaboration         The Virgo      Collaboration   2016b). We also show the
                                                                   the total mass of GW150914 are shown           in red (The trigger,
                                                                                                                                   LIGO LVT151012,
                                                                                                                                             Scientific in purple (where we have computed
                                                                   Collaboration & The Virgo Collaboration
                                                                                                            gravitational-wave
                                                                                                                   2016b).
                                                                                                            the median    and We
                                                                                                                       (where
                                                                                                                                     alsoregions
                                                                                                                               credible     show bythe                    Accretion
                                                                                                                                                      adding the component mass median and
                                                                   gravitational-wave trigger, LVT151012, in
                                                              explosion
                                                                   the median and credible regions by adding
                                                                                                            90%purple
                                                                                                            Thethe
                                                                                                                  credible
                                                                                                                    component
                                                                                                                 Virgo             Accretion
                                                                                                                                 we have
                                                                                                                            interval        computed
                                                                                                                                      boundaries
                                                                                                                                   mass median
                                                                                                                         Collaboration
                                                                                                                                                   from The LIGO Scientific Collaboration &
                                                                                                                                          2016a). and
                                                                                                                                                    Note that while LVT151012 is below the
                  SN01/07/2019
                     explosion                                     90% credible interval boundaries from The
                                                                   The Virgo Collaboration 2016a). Note that
                                                                                                                LIGO
                                                                                                            thresholdU.S.
                                                                                                                 while
                                                                                                            signal
                                                                                                                       to      ELTCollaboration
                                                                                                                        Scientific      Program
                                                                                                                           be considered
                                                                                                                   was LVT151012
                                                                                                                        of astrophysical
                                                                                                                                                     & - there
                                                                                                                                            a detection,
                                                                                                                                        is below    the
                                                                                                                                            origin (Abbott
                                                                                                                                                          AASexists#233
                                                                                                                                                                      a 84% chance that the
                                                                                                                                                            et al. 2016d).
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   7
                                                                   threshold to be considered a detection, there exists a 84% chance that the
Search for
. ELT Key Science Program
                          Intermediate-mass Black Holes
                                        Page 4        Draft

            SgrA*

                   6
                                                                                                            Two Experiments:
              10                                                                                                       15                        Cluster BHs = !
                                                                                                            Proper motion  measurements
                                                                                                                             More Common of 43 MW GCs

                                                                                                                       TOTAL NUMBER
                                                                                             i!
                                                                                       cle
                                                                               t     Nu )
                                                                             entection
                                                                                      s                     2e3 Msun limits with 3 epochs
              105
                       ?? Intermediate-mass
 MBH (M )

                                                                         r r                                                  Heavy BHs !
                                                                       Cu de(3
                                                                                                            100 total hrs*
                           Black Holes??

                                                                                                                       10        = rare
                                                                                             gh
                                                                                               t!        U.S. ELT Key Science Program                              Page 5                 NucDraft
                                              Current GC !                                 li
              104                                 (6 possible !                          t. )
                                                                                     - in sed              HST ACS/WFC 202x202 arcsec2      HST WFC3/UVIS 40 mas/pixel          TMT/IRIS 4 mas/pixel
                                                                             Ts propo
                                                                                                            Integrated-light observations of 25 stellar
                                                  detections)
                                                                            L
                                                                           E 25  (                                                                MWGC
                                                  ELT PM !
              103
                                              (43 proposed)                                                 nuclei in galaxies
                                                                                                                        5      with TMT/IRIS+GMTIFS
Search for
. ELT Key Science Program
                          Intermediate-mass Black Holes
                                        Page 4        Draft

            SgrA*

              10   6
                                                                                                              Two Experiments:
                                                                                                                             Cluster BHs = !
                                                                                                                                     15
                                                                                                              Integrated-light  observations   of 25

                                                                                                                      TOTAL NUMBER
                                                                                             i!                             More  Common
                                                                                       cle
              105
                                                                               t     Nu )
                                                                             entection
                                                                                      s                       stellar nuclei inHeavy
                                                                                                                                galaxies
Solve the Seed Problem
U.S. ELT Key Science Program                                                                                                            Page 4                            Draft

                SgrA*

                  106                                                                                                                   15       Cluster BHs = !

                                                                                                                         TOTAL NUMBER
                                                                                                 i!                                              More Common
                                                                                          ucle
                                                                                   t     N )
                                                                                          s
                  105                                                            entection
                           ?? Intermediate-mass
     MBH (M )

                                                                             r r                                                                  Heavy BHs !
                                                                           Cu de(3
                               Black Holes??

                                                                                                                                        10          = rare
                                                                                               ht!                                                                       Nuc
                       4                          Current GC !
                                                                                        t. )lig
                  10                                  (6 possible !
                                                                                    - inposed
                                                      detections)                 s
                                                                                 T ro
                                                                               EL 25 p
                                                                                     (
                                                      ELT PM !                                                                                                           MWGC
                                                  (43 proposed)
                  103                                                                                                                    5
                                                                                                                                                                         Nuc

                                                                                                                                                                         MWGC
                  102
            LIGO !
           Binaries                        10     3
                                                            10        2
                                                                          10    1
                                                                                            100                                          0 3
                                                                                                                                         10            104         105
                                                              D (Mpc)                                                                                 log (M /M )
01/07/2019                                                                                 U.S. ELT Program - AAS #233                                                   10
US-ELT:
                    Transforming Black Hole Science
 Is GR the right description of black holes?
       Proper motions and radial velocities of stars at the Galactic Center
       Extended mass distributions and GR tests: 360 hrs
 How did supermassive black holes (SMBH) form?
  Search for intermediate-mass black holes
  Mass function and environments, first-ever detections of IMBHs: 200-300hrs
                                                                Figure 3. Simulation of the central 0.5 arcsecond around the supermassive black hole Sgr A* (white cross) w
                                                                adaptive optics with the Keck Telescopes (left) compared to that with TMT (right). The greater resolving pow
                                                                along with better AO correction will likely allow us to detect a factor of > 10 times more stars in this region. W
                                                                how these orbit can be used simultaneously in a joint analysis to constraint tests of gravity and other science

The combination of angular resolution
and sensitivity will transform BH science
   01/07/2019                     U.S. ELT Program - AAS #233                                                                                11
                                                                Figure 4. Overlay of a sample orbits from the simulations described in Section 3. TMT will likely discover
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