Responses to the MAC consultation on the impact on the UK labour market of the UK's exit from the European Union. Other manufacturing (SIC 12-33) ...

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Responses to the MAC consultation on the impact on the UK labour market of the UK's exit from the European Union. Other manufacturing (SIC 12-33) ...
Responses to the MAC consultation
on the impact on the UK labour market
of the UK’s exit from the European
Union.

Other manufacturing (SIC 12-33)

March 2018
Responses to the MAC consultation on the impact on the UK labour market of the UK's exit from the European Union. Other manufacturing (SIC 12-33) ...
Contents

 Responses available via the MAC website          3
 British Fashion Council                          4
 British Generic Manufacturers Association        14
 Cambridge Insitu Limited                         17
 Polypipe                                         18
 Rolls-Royce                                      21
 The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders   43
 UK Fashion & Textile Association                 51
Responses available via the MAC website
  1. British Furniture Federation

  2. Caterpillar

  3. EEF

  4. Johnson & Johnson

  5. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Group

  6. Textile Services Association

  7. Toyota Motor Manufacturing
British   Fashion Council
INTRODUCTION

0.1 The British Fashion Council welcomes the opportunity to provide evidence to the
    Migration Advisory Committee (MAC), who have been commissioned by the
    Government to advise on the economic and social impacts of the UK’s exit from the
    European Union and also how the UK’s immigration system should be aligned with a
    modern industrial strategy in relation to all migration both EU/EEA and the rest of the
    world.
0.2 The BFC is submitting evidence on behalf of the designer fashion industry, based on
    evidence that we hold from research and consultation across the whole industry, from
    fashion design houses, through to creatives such as photographers, model agents, and
    retailers. This response is linked to the issues raised in the BFC’s broader response to
    the Government’s Industrial Strategy Green Paper in April 2017.
0.3 The British Fashion Council (BFC) is a not-for-profit organisation that was established
    by the industry to promote the British fashion industry and its designer businesses by
    harnessing and sharing collective knowledge, experience and resources of the sector.
    Based in London and formed in 1983, the BFC is funded by industry patrons,
    commercial sponsors and the Government including the Department for International
    Trade, Mayor of London and the European Regional Development Fund.
0.4 As part of the Creative Industries, the fashion industry plays a pivotal role in the UK’s
    economy, with the industry as a whole contributing £28bn and 880,000 jobs to the UK,
    with its GVA contribution at 4.7% in 2015 compared to the economy’s 2.2%. (Value of
    Fashion, Oxford Economics 2015).
0.5 London leads the fashion world, with London Fashion Week considered on a par with
    its counterparts in New York, Paris and Milan, positioned as one of the four global
    fashion capitals based on Fashion Weeks being the marketplaces for leading designer
    fashion businesses. These weeks not only position the UK and London as leaders in
    the global fashion economy, they generate millions of pounds of business and media
    coverage. An innovative leader, this is a platform to show designer fashion that also
    directly influences high street fashion, whose reach and influence spreads to regional
    cities throughout the UK. Globally our industry drives tourism (culture and creative
    industries, it is the reason 4 out of 5 visitors choose to visit London – GLA economics).
0.6 The nature of a designer fashion business makes it imperative to be global from the
    day that it begins trading. British based designer businesses cannot scale on the sales
    made in the UK, and therefore export almost immediately. These sales are achieved
    all around the world, not just Europe, with markets such as the USA being key. It is
    therefore not surprising that a designer fashion business reflects this global outlook
    across all areas of the business. Driven by the need to achieve high artistry and
    creative pieces, a designer will act global in all elements of the business, from sourcing
    the perfect fabric, through to finding the best pattern cutter in the world to work with that
    fabric. In developing the look of a collection, or the brand, creativity drives a global
    outlook. It is therefore vital that the industry can recruit from a global talent pool.
0.7 The industry is heavily reliant on international trade, especially with Europe. Most of our
    exports to non-EU markets, especially USA, Japan and China, are commissioned as a
    result of attendance at key international trade shows and fashion weeks around the
world. All aspects of the supply chain depend on ease of trade and people, from the
    sourcing of materials and recruiting of highly specialised technicians, to placing orders
    with brands and large retailers, through to taking collections and samples to key
    international markets. At present, the EU is the UK’s largest export market for textiles
    and apparel and is a key source of business talent and production skills for many
    fashion businesses, which understandably raises the need to address the opportunities
    and challenges of Brexit within the industry’s response to the Industrial Strategy. The
    BFC prioritises its international outreach and promotion strategy based on feedback
    through its annual Designer Business Survey.
0.8 The UK is a hub for creative talent operating in a global market and on an international
    stage, this is especially true in the fashion industry. Talent is key in fashion, not just
    the central design talent but also interns, skilled workers and business leaders. In the
    2017 BFC Designer Survey, when questioned on the issues arising from Brexit issues,
    access to global talent was ranked as the main issue, with 80% designer businesses
    concerned about the impact that Brexit will have on this.
0.9 The BFC is making this submission alongside that of UK Fashion & Textiles, the two
    organisations work closely together to ensure clear communication and common
    purposes as both organisations represent different elements of the fashion industry.
    The BFC has also provided information to other responses including that of the
    Creative Industries Federation.
0.10 Whilst we recognise the need to collect detail and evidence to ensure that decisions
    and new systems meet the UK’s needs, the BFC asks that Government continue to
    communicate clearly and regularly with industry to allow businesses to plan:
    uncertainty is the biggest constraint to growth. We are already seeing evidence of the
    impact that it is having on business.

RESPONSE TO CALL FOR EVIDENCE

EEA Migration Trends

1.     Please provide evidence on the characteristics (e.g. types of jobs migrants perform;
       skills levels, etc) of EEA migrants in your particular sector/local area/region. How
       do these differ from UK workers? And from non-EEA workers?
       1.1 There are three areas in which non-UK nationals are important to the industry:
           1. Fashion Design Talent: The UK’s reputation in fashion is built upon the
                excellence that graduates from our world-renowned fashion colleges, with
                graduates of all nationalities going on to either establish their own
                businesses in the UK or be employed at the helm of some of the most
                prestigious brands in the UK. Similarly, we have a roster of British talent at
                the helm of international brands: John Galliano at Maison Margiela, Jonathan
                Saunders at Diane von Furstenberg, Stuart Vevers at Coach and JW
                Anderson at Loewe, Kim Jones at Louis Vuitton Men’s, to name but a few.
           2. Global Creatives: Our ecosystem as a sector is built on the movement of
                people e.g. models, photographers, hair stylists, make-up artists, set
                designers and production managers, that travel all around the world to do
jobs. Jobs are booked at short notice, but more importantly people come to
       the UK without a job being booked but need to be in the country to do
       castings/interview to get work. For example in modelling where models take
       part in castings (interviews) just days before the start of LFW, and so it is
       impossible to enter under current rest of the world visa arrangements. The
       scale of this problem is sizeable as similar problems arise across the industry
       where creatives from outside the EU are being sought for jobs such as
       photoshoots, but due to visa regulations and speed in some countries, jobs
       are being moved out of the UK, for example photoshoots will now be held in
       other countries rather than in the UK.
    3. Highly skilled workers: The creation of high-end fashion requires very
       specialist skills in manufacturing areas such as seamstresses, pattern-
       cutters and areas such as embroidery. Fashion designers will go to great
       lengths to find the best talent and highest craftsmanship. Evidence shows
       that EEA migrants are key to the fashion manufacturing sector, with workers
       more highly skilled than their UK colleagues, but more often filling roles that
       UK workers are not qualified to fill. With the growth in “made in Britain” and
       the growing need from fashion designers to sample and manufacture locally,
       it is estimated that an additional 20,000 jobs could be created ("Repatriation
       of UK textiles manufacture", The Alliance Project Team). Without access to
       the highly skilled workers from the EEA, it will not be possible for the UK to
       fully exploit this opportunity.
1.2 From the BFC Designer Survey 2017:
      “Fashion is a global business, it’s not British, or French, or German. And the
      talent is Global, and we need to access that talent. The diversity and
      international nature of the talent pool is essential to the success of the
      industry. In my headquarters here, we have 52 nationalities.”

      “Fashion is an international business, my work room looks like the United
      Nations, it is extremely important, and we take talent from all over the world.
      So the fact that immigration policy works is extremely important to us.”

1.3 The table below, taken from the BFC Designer Survey 2017, shows the
    percentage of employees are from the EU:
1.4 Ahead of submitting this response the BFC did a short survey on the
         Employment of EU nationals and Brexit and found that 87.5% of respondents
         employed EEA nationals, with 70% of respondents having between 1% and
         50% of their workforce EEA nationals.
     1.5 The BFC High-end & Designer Manufacturing report (March 2015) found that:
         Labour Force: UK has a specific set of challenges based around skills and
         retention of talent. Manufacturers consistently stressed the lack of skilled labour
         within the UK and their reliance upon a first generation immigrant workforce that
         was mainly drawn from Easter Europe and India.
         “In a couple of years three to four of our workforce will be retiring – that’s around
         25%”
         The report estimates that growth in manufacturing could result in 1,700
         additional jobs. However, with an ageing workforce, and issues with
         international workers, there is considerable concern that there won’t be enough
         skilled workers to fill this opportunity.

2.   To what extent are EEA migrants seasonal; part-time; agency-workers; temporary;
     short-term assignments; intra-company transfers; self-employed? What information
     do you have on their skill levels? To what extent do these differ from UK workers
     and non-EEA workers?
     2.1 The fashion industry, like other creative industries, has a high number of
         freelancers, with an estimated 18% of the workforce self-employed (Creative
         Skillset Figures based on ONS Labour Force Survey Apr 2012 - Mar 2013). We
         have no evidence to show that EEA migrants represent more of the freelancers
         than UK nationals.
     2.2 Within the “global creatives” there are particularly high rates of freelance. Here
         it is worth highlighting the issues being faced by models and their agents around
         immigration. Models are all self-employed and using the 4 largest UK model
         agents as a proxy to gauge the international profile of the models represented,
         40% are British, 30% EEA and 30% non-EEA. The model industry uses the Tier
         5 system to enter the UK. But it is fundamentally different to other sectors which
         use Tier 5 as most sports people, dancers, musicians enter the UK with a
         specific invitation to work from a company. Models however arrive speculatively
and need to attend castings before clients decide who they will use in shows. A
         model may attend as many 60 casting in the days leading up to London Fashion
         Week, which may only yield 1 or 2 jobs. No job will have been pre-committed
         until the model is seen. Therefore the current Tier 5 system does not work for
         the modelling industry. And if this is then extended to EEA nationals then there
         would be severe implications for the model industry and the broader fashion
         industry and on the UK’s global competitive position attracting leading talent in
         this field.
     2.3 The BFC Survey on the Employment of EU nationals and Brexit (2017) shows
         that more than half of the businesses surveyed said that the EU nationals that
         they employed were staff and not freelance.
     2.4 The fashion industry has two “main seasons” per year, driven by the circuit of
         international shows. Within fashion houses employment, particularly of
         freelancers, spikes in the weeks leading up to show season, February and
         September for womenswear, and January and June for menswear.

3.   Are there any relevant sources of evidence, beyond the usual range of official
     statistics, that would allow the MAC to get a more detailed view of the current
     patterns of EEA migration, especially over the last year?

4.   Have the patterns of EEA migration changed over time? What evidence do you
     have showing your employment of EEA migrants since 2000? And after the Brexit
     referendum? Are these trends different for UK workers and non-EEA workers?
     4.1 Anecdotally we believe that he number of EEA migrants being used across the
         entire fashion industry has risen since 2000, particularly in manufacturing, as an
         aging workforce and lack of skills means that roles are not being filled. There
         are difficulties in evidencing specifically how this relations to EEA workers as we
         would not have separated EEA worker data from UK worker data.
     4.2 According to evidence collected in the BFC Survey on the Employment of EU
         nationals and Brexit (2017) only 18.4% of respondents have said that there has
         been an impact on employment since Brexit, citing return to home country due
         to uncertainty around Brexit as the reasons. However, nearly all stated a
         concern that there’s been a shift in sentiment and therefore they are expecting
         large numbers to leave if the uncertainty around EEA nationals rights is not
         changed.

5.   Have you conducted any analysis on the future trends of EEA migration, in
     particular in the absence of immigration controls?

6.   Have you made any assessment of the impact of a possible reduction in the
     availability of EEA migrants (whether occurring naturally or though policy) as part of
     your workforce? What impact would a reduction in EEA migration have on your
     sector/local area/region? How will your business/sector/area/region cope? Would
     the impacts be different if reductions in migration took place amongst non-EEA
     migrants? Have you made any contingency plans?
     6.1 As demonstrated in our response in Section 1.1, significant numbers on non-UK
         nationals are used in the fashion industry and the resulting impact would be
         devastating for the UK fashion industry. Access to, and the use of, both a UK
         based and an international labour force is absolutely fundamental to the success
         of the designer fashion industry.
6.2 Delays in giving EEA nationals assurances over their right to work and right to
    stay is destabilising businesses and results in losing key talent (notably
    international fashion design graduates) to competitors in the EU and other
    markets.
6.3 Because fashion is international in areas such as design talent and creatives the
    impacts would be the same if reductions took place amongst non-EEA migrants.
    However in areas where EEA migrants represent a high proportion of the
    workforce, such as manufacturing, the impact would be severe. The restriction
    to the free movement of creatives would pose a serious risk to events such as
    London Fashion Week.
6.4 Skills gaps have been identified in the fashion industry in the following areas:
    supervisors and production management; technicians and fabric technologists;
    and in apparel and sewn products including pattern cutters, graders, knitwear
    linkers, hand-tailors, sewers and weavers (Sector Skills Assessment for the
    Fashion and Textiles Sector in the UK, Creative Skillset, 2011). While the latest
    data is from 2011, we know from our work in high-end manufacturing
    anecdotally that this problem is growing. The problem is on a growth trajectory,
    with 60% of workers in the fashion sector over the age of 40 and potential to be
    exacerbated further with issues from Brexit.
6.5 The BFC Designer Survey 2017 found that the hardest positions to recruit for in
    order of mentions:
        •      Sales and commercial staff
        •      Skilled workers (e.g. pattern cutters)
        •      Digital and technical positions and finance and operations
6.6 More broadly, there are also specific skills shortages in the UK, around
    manufacturing. The UK Employer Skills Survey 2011 showed that Fashion and
    Textiles employers have reported skills gaps in their workforce, which is having
    a major impact on their businesses performance, including increased world for
    other staff, increase in operating costs, difficulties introducing new working
    practices and losing business or orders to competitors/overseas. The BFC
    Survey on the Employment of EU nationals and Brexit (2017) showed that
    production area was the biggest area of concern. Production roles and
    technical workers were cited as the hardest to replace.
6.7 With the growth in “made in Britain” and the growing need from fashion
    designers to sample and manufacture locally (improve productivity by being part
    of the process, overseeing quality etc), there is huge potential to “reshore”
    manufacturing and create jobs, an estimated 20,000 jobs could be created
    according to "Repatriation of UK textiles manufacture", The Alliance Project
    Team. The High-end & Designer Manufacturing Report (Oxford Economics &
    Glasgow Caledonian University 2015) suggests a 65% increase in demand for
    UK made high-end product over the next five years, which would add an
    additional turnover of £400million and support an additional 1,700 jobs across
    the UK. Without access to the highly skilled workers from the EEA, it will not be
    possible for the UK to fully exploit this opportunity.
6.8 However high end requires high skills, and the industry currently has an ageing
    workforce, 48% of the Fashion and Textiles workforce is over 45 years of age
    (Creative Skillset Figures based on ONS Labour Force Survey Apr 2012 - Mar
    2013, also highlighted in “Repatriation of UK textiles manufacture", The Alliance
    Project Team). The industry is struggling to attract a younger workforce into
    these roles. It should be noted that attracting a global workforce into these roles
    not only will enable the industry to exploit these opportunities, but will also
    enable the training of the next generation.
6.9 Business skills that are specialist to fashion are also a gap, in particular around
          sales and merchandising. In the BFC Survey on the Employment of EU
          nationals and Brexit (2017) respondents cited multilinguals, customer service,
          business development roles (understanding market and cultural differences),
          merchandising, and visual merchandising as key areas of concern. As
          businesses move to digital business models there are also shortages in coders
          and data analysts; these skills aren’t readily available in the volume required in
          the UK.
      6.10 In the BFC Survey on the Employment of EU nationals and Brexit (2017)
          there was a specific continued concern around models, both EEA and
          international.
      6.11 The BFC Survey on the Employment of EU nationals and Brexit (2017)
          highlighted impacts that there would be if our industry could not access EU
          workers including loss of talent and finding the best for the job, language skills
          and cultural knowledge, the lack of UK workers attracted to work in areas of the
          industry that have skills gaps (e.g. production), loss of business knowledge that
          would take time to re-place/re-train, reduction in talent pool available, impact on
          quality of production and concern that salary costs will go up. Contingencies
          that are being considered include outsourcing to EU agencies (resulting in
          higher costs), relocation of company or parts of operations to other countries,
          several mentioned that the company would close.
      6.12 The Government needs to urgently remove the uncertainty around the status
          of those EU nationals that currently live and work in the UK. The uncertainty is
          already impacting the workforce, as evidenced in the BFC Survey on the
          Employment of EU Nationals and Brexit (2017), it also impacts the ability to
          create strong contingency plans.

Recruitment Practices, Training & Skills

7.    Please provide evidence on the methods of recruitment used to employ EEA
      migrants. Do these methods differ from those used to employ UK and non-EEA
      workers? What impact does this have on UK workers? Have these methods
      changed following the Brexit referendum?
      7.1 Recruitment in the industry is based around talent, no matter what the role
          designers seek out “the best”. There are no differences in the methods used to
          recruit UK, EEA or non-EEA workers. BFC Survey on the Employment of EU
          Nationals and Brexit (2017) found that there was no evidence of a difference in
          recruitment methods.

8.    Do recruitment practices differ by skill-type and occupation?

9.    What are the advantages and disadvantages of employing EEA workers? Have
      these changed following the Brexit referendum result?

10.   To what extent has EEA and non-EEA migration affected the skills and training of
      the UK workers?
      10.1 EEA and non-EEA migration has not affected the skills and training of UK
          workers. Firstly it should be highlighted that the issues relating to the shortage
          of skills are much more systemic and start from primary education. Skills
education in terms of craft and making has gone from the education system.
         Anecdotal evidence from the teachers that we work with, at primary level,
         suggests that even the most basic of craft skills using fine motor skills (such as
         using scissors) is not developed at younger ages. The re-introduction of basic
         craft skills in the curriculum would assist careers pathways into skilled
         employment and is a key part of addressing the skills shortage that the fashion
         industry is facing. There is also still a large skills gap in the sector, even with
         the roles being filled by EEA workers.
      10.2 BFC Survey on the Employment of EU nationals and Brexit (2017) found that
         almost universally respondents felt that the use of EEA workers has either no
         impact or a positive impact on the UK workers, stating that it has helped the
         workplace become more varied, creates new creative skills, helps to train junior
         staff as well as develop the wider team to bring staff up to standard and helped
         the team understand the culture of customers in EEA markets.
      10.3 The BFC High-end Manufacturing report found that some of the
         manufacturers interviewed invested in skills and training, others had tried the
         existing apprenticeship framework, but found it challenging with no guarantee
         the training would result in a worker staying within the factory. An ageing
         workforce and the inability to attract domestic talent into jobs were cited as key
         problems.

11.   How involved are the universities and training providers in ensuring that the UK
      workforce has the skills needed to fill key roles/roles in high demand in your sector?
      Do you have plans to increase this involvement in the future?
      11.1 Since Government’s withdrawal of funding for the Sector Skills Councils, the
         BFC has worked with UK Fashion & Textiles, who have played a pivotal role in
         supporting the co-ordination of skills activities across our industries. Such co-
         ordinated action is vital in an industry that predominantly comprises of SMEs to
         ensure that educators are looking to fill key roles. We would ask that
         Government continue to help with collecting further data on the skills issues and
         shortages blocking the growth of our industry.
      11.2 The BFC has a Colleges Council, which is a network of the 33 top fashion
         design courses across the UK, with whom we liaise regularly to discuss widely
         the issues facing education and skills for the sector.
      11.3 Action is needed to improve technical education and to address the
         shortages that are likely to impede the growth of our industry, and become
         particularly acute in light of Brexit. The BFC welcomes the fact that Government
         has recognised that these need to be employer led so that they best meet the
         needs of industry. The fashion industry would benefit not only from broader
         pathways into the industry, but also communicating the broader range of job
         roles that the industry has beyond designers, such as technical and business
         roles.
      11.4 Feedback from the employers in our industry have highlighted that often
         universities and training providers focus too much on courses that will yield high
         numbers of students (namely fashion design), at the expense of offering courses
         that fill key roles. In addition, our employers have concerns that the courses
         offered often lack quality and are not up to date with industry/global
         developments.
      11.5 The BFC has acted as secretariat to support an employer group with the
         development of a new apprenticeship standard, Fashion Studio Assistant. We
         welcome Government’s continued work on apprenticeships as an alternative
         pathway into our industries, however would ask that recognition is given to those
industries that are dominated by micro and SME businesses that there are
         challenges in not only developing new apprenticeship standards, but also in
         these companies having the capacity to take on apprentices and embrace them
         fully into their businesses. Support not only through financial incentives (that
         currently exist) but advice, perhaps through the Institute of Apprenticeships,
         would enable the industry to increase the uptake.

12.   How well aware are you of current UK migration policies for non-EEA migrants? If
      new immigration policies restrict the numbers of low-skilled migrants who can come
      to work in the UK, which forms of migration into low-skilled work should be
      prioritised? For example, the current shortage occupation list applies to high skilled
      occupations; do you think this should be expanded to cover lower skill levels?
      12.1 The BFC, representing the industry, is broadly very aware of the current UK
          migration policies for non-EEA migrants. The challenges come for the wider
          industry, which is made up of many small sized businesses, who simply do not
          have the resources to familiarise themselves with these policies and the
          practicalities necessary to adhere to them.
      12.2 The BFC Survey on the Employment of EU Nationals and Brexit (2017)
          found a broad range of understanding of the UK migration policies, with an even
          distribution of knowledge from none to fully aware. Those that were aware of
          the systems were very critical, citing the UK immigration system as “shambolic”,
          and that the Home Office can be damaging to business and its staff as it is
          “overstretched, underfunded and not fit for purpose”.
      12.3 Companies find it hard hiring employees outside the EU, as paperwork is
          complicated and costly and the minimum salary required, e.g. in China – takes 6
          months plus, lawyer fees, therefore pay over the odds of person’s worth.
      12.4 The current shortage occupation list method assesses the level of skill in a
          role to academic achievement and/or salary. The issue that the fashion industry
          has is that the skills gaps described in section 6 of this response are roles that
          do not require formal academic achievement and aren’t highly paid. Therefore,
          the Government is asked to consider new roles for the Shortage Occupation
          List, e.g. pattern cutters, embroiderers or high-end machinists. Consider the
          introduction of the Tier 3 visa to cover “low skilled migrants” despite the skills
          being unavailable or in short supply in the UK.
      12.5 Whilst designers have degrees, the roles around the designer that are critical
          to the business, particularly in creating the garments, are formed from
          experience garnered on the job (26% of Fashion & Textile workers are qualified
          to NQF level 4 or above, compared to a national percentage of 37%, based on
          ONS Labour Force Survey, March 2013). We would therefore ask that “industry
          experience” be reflected as a factor. Like so many of the other creative and
          cultural industries, these roles also have a reliance on “innate talent”, that
          special something that cannot be taught, that is part of the creative process
          between a designer and their team.
      12.6 A point must also be made about using salaries as one of the selection
          criteria. As described above, the majority of the posts that would be affected by
          these changes are not at degree level, and therefore do not command high
          salaries. The salary threshold proposed would be too high, the net result would
          be that production would remain “off-shore”, having a negative effect on the
          balance of trade, and a resulting impact on the industry.
      12.7 Finally, in an industry dominated by SMEs, and where many employees are
          freelancers (with 18% of the workforce self-employed Creative Skillset Figures
          based on ONS Labour Force Survey Apr 2012 - Mar 2013), implementation of
          more complex visa rules will negatively impact the growth of the industry.
12.8 The BFC would therefore welcome a review of the current shortage
         occupation list to cover “lower” skills levels, through looking at other criteria as
         discussed above.

Economic, Social and Fiscal Impacts

13.   What are the economic, social and fiscal costs and benefits of EEA migration to the
      UK economy? What are the impacts of EEA migrants on the labour market, prices,
      public services, net fiscal impacts (e.g. taxes paid by migrants; benefits they
      receive), productivity, investment, innovation and general competitiveness of UK
      industry

14.   Do these differ from the impact of non-EEA migrants?

15.   Do these impacts differ at national, regional or local level?

16.   Do these impacts vary by sector and occupation?

17.   Do these impacts vary by skill level (high-skilled, medium skilled, and low-skilled
      workers?)
British Generic Manufacturers Association

  The British Generic Manufacturers Association (BGMA) represents the interests of UK-
based manufacturers and suppliers of generic and biosimilar medicines and promotes the
  development and understanding of the generic and biosimilar medicines industry in the
   UK. Our 30 members account for around 90% of the UK generic medicines market by
 volume. Generic medicines are launched when the patent on a medicine produced by a
 research-based pharmaceutical (or originator) company expires. When a patent expires,
    generic manufacturers can produce equivalent versions that contain the same active
ingredient. Generic medicines are tested by the medicines regulator (MHRA) to the same
   standards of safety and efficacy as the originator product. The high number of generic
  manufacturers helps ensure that generic medicine prices are much less than that of the
  originator version under patent protection. Based on NHS Digital data, competition from
  generic medicines saved the NHS in England over £13.5 billion in primary care in 2016
  (with a similar figure saved in 2015). The average reimbursement cost to the NHS of a
 generic medicine was £4.17, whilst the average cost of a branded medicine was £20.63.
Had all scrips been reimbursed at the latter price, the drugs bill would have been £13.5bn
 higher. The average generic price of £4.17 not only covers the cost of the medicine, but
                    also the payment to pharmacy for dispensing the drug.

 Competition from generic medicines also stimulates the research-based pharmaceutical
 industry to develop new medicines (as generic medicines capture the bulk of the market
 after patent expiry). Furthermore, in keeping medicines affordable for the Department of
     Health, this allows further investment in other healthcare priorities, and promotes
                      innovation in the development of new medicines.

Summary

The BGMA, representing manufacturers and suppliers of generic medicines in the UK,
welcomes the Migration Advisory Committee’s (MAC) preliminary analysis of the UK
labour market, and call for evidence to support the Committee’s advise to Government on
the economic and social impacts of the UK’s exit from the European Union.
Following a survey of 27 BGMA members – including a representative range of large
multinational manufacturers, national retailers, and small/medium suppliers based
throughout the UK – it is apparent that the UK generics industry primarily employs UK
citizens, but must occasionally recruit long term employees with specialised skills and
qualifications from outside of the UK – particularly medical researchers, pharmacovigilance
and qualified persons. For recruiting the from the EEA, the small number of expert staff
necessary to the UK generics industry, members believe that the current Visa system of
Tier 2 company transfers and Exceptional Talent schemes works effectively.
While the majority of member companies have not experienced a change in recruitment
levels from the EEA since the UK voted to Exit the European Union in June 2016, several
voiced concerns that the continuing lack of clarity on the future rights of EU citizens in the
UK will increase challenges of filling these roles. First-movers within the industry are
already introducing measures to plug anticipated gaps in specialised recruitment, including
internal training programmes to upskill current employees, enhanced specialised graduate
recruitment, and new apprenticeship schemes. Ultimately, if unable to fulfil a function with
UK candidates, a majority of the industry would consider outsourcing or relocating a
function outside of the UK.

EEA Migration Trends

According to our Survey of BGMA members, an average of 12% of UK Generics industry
employees are from non-UK EEA origins.

Of this small percentage, EEA recruits are typically highly skilled, plugging particular
specialist skills gaps in the UK generics industry recruitment. Six surveyed companies noted
that they have recruited EEA workers to providing specialised graduate-level skills in
medical research, pharmacovigilance and qualified persons’ roles. One member company
required EEA workers in sales development roles.

The specialised, skilled nature of roles suggests EEA recruits are employed on long term,
permanent contracts within the UK generics industry, rather than short-term migrant
workers.

66% (12) of respondents surveyed were satisfied with the current EEA recruitment
mechanisms, with the majority of respondents – 66% (12) – utilising Tier 2 VISA system or
company transfer schemes to recruit EEA employees.

There is evidence of UK generics industry recruitment trends shifting. 72% (13) of surveyed
companies have recruited non-UK EEA and non-EU employees in the past 2 years, while a
further 11% (2) organisations had recruited non-UK EEA employees. However, while 54%
(7) of respondents have not noticed a change in the ease of attracting non-UK EEA talent
since June 2016, 31% (4) had noticed increased difficulty recruiting since the UK’s
referendum upon membership of the EU.

Recruitment Practices, Training and Skills

As the roles currently fulfilled by EEA workers within the UK generics industry are typically
highly specialised and a large minority of the industry are already anticipating a reduction
in EEA recruitment, some BGMA members are already taking action to plug the perceived
upcoming skills gap.
All members who responded to the survey noted that they intend to maintain their
international staff rotation practices, continuing to benefit from the skills of their
international networks. Additionally, some first movers within the industry are adopting
additional measures to reinforce their UK skills base and recruitment pipeline.
53% (8) respondents were enhancing their internal skills development programmes; 20%
(3) are developing specialised internship and graduate recruitment programmes; while
20% (3) were exploring options for dedicated apprenticeship schemes.
However, 33% (5) respondents were not planning any action or asserted that they did not
perceive any future recruitment challenges.
Ultimately, if unable to fulfil a role, skillset or capacity with UK workers, 46% (7) of
respondents would consider outsourcing or relocating the function outside of the UK.

Economic, Social and Fiscal Impacts

While the number of EEA workers in the UK generics industry is small, due to their
specialised roles, they typically make a substantial contribution to the UK industry. EEA
workers provide specialised medical and pharmacy knowledge, supporting research and
quality control of medications in the UK market. While first movers within the UK generics
industry are already taking action to plug any anticipated skills shortages, we recognise that
these specialised workers will not be easily replaced.

Additionally, EEA workers’ contribution should be considered as part of the larger social and
economic contribution made by the UK generic industry, supporting the vital work of the
NHS.

Simply put; while the UK generics industry would not currently operate without specialist
EEA workers, the NHS would not function economically without the affordable medicines
provided by the UK generics industry. Therefore the NHS would not function without
specialist EEA workers in UK generics.

                                                                    Friday, 27 October 2017
Cambridge Insitu Limited

We are an international company trading all over the world and have been doing so since
1971.
We make and also use as a service, pressuremeters. These are cylindrical instruments
which are put down boreholes in the ground. They measure various properties of the
ground considered as an engineering material on which or in which to put structures.
Typical projects with which we have been concerned are CrossRail, the new Queensferry
Bridge and its approach roads, the second road crossing of the river Severn and many
others in all parts of the world, for example Bangladesh, Australia, Tanzania, Malaysia,
China, Brunei and so on.
We are a high-tech company in that it is essential that people who work for us understand
about pressuremeters not only to be able to use them but also to be able to explain their
benefits to observers.
Our employees have, mostly, to be degree-level qualified.
We have been much involved with several universities, most notably Cambridge, Imperial
and Bristol. Their PhD students come from all over the world and have been much
supported by us over the years. Typical will be those from Malaysia, from China, from
Ireland, from Trinidad and so on. Understandably, the principal qualification of them all has
been intelligence.
Several of these students have been seriously considered as our employees.
We would not wish any change to the relationship between UK and EU to upset or make
such arrangements more difficult.
Polypipe

Polypipe is one of Europe's largest manufacturers of piping systems, water management
solutions and energy-efficient ventilation systems, delivering engineered solutions that
respond to a rapidly changing environment.

Polypipe has an established market position, spanning the residential, commercial, civils
and infrastructure, and public non-housing sectors in the UK and selected markets across
the globe. Through constant innovation and focused research and development, Polypipe
is uniquely positioned to offer solutions that help deal with the pressures placed on urban
environments and natural resources and both labour availability and the breadth of skills
remain a crucial element to maintaining our strategic focus.
  Fig 1. Post Brexit Review
  (Polypipe UK)              Heads EU %             Current EU Migrant Landscape in
  Terrain – Kent             291       20 6.9       Polypipe
  Ulster – Northern Ireland 109        4    3.7
  Domus - Doncaster          43        1    2.3     EU Migrant numbers remain steady
  Surestop - Birmingham      19        5    26.3 within Polypipe with no evidence of an
  Robimatic - Doncaster      58        5    8.6     exodus of workers leaving the country
  Building    Products     -                        either immediately post referendum or
  Doncaster                  972       181 18.6 within the interim period.
 Civils               –
 Loughbrough/Horncastle 413          41    9.9
 Nuaire     –   Wales,                            EU Migrant numbers can swell due to
 Caerphilly             521         15 2.9        seasonal variation by circa 100
                                                  individuals  when     agency       worker
 Total                     2426     272 11.2 numbers are added to the employed
                                                  numbers stated in (Fig 1). It is therefore
common for Polypipe to be providing work to circa 400 EU migrant workers at any one time.
Agency workers are largely considered unskilled roles.

85% of Polypipe EU migrant workers are considered unskilled and largely work within
manufacturing undertaking basic operative/assembly type roles. The remaining 15% are
considered skilled, sitting in either development/technical/clerical/supervisory type roles.
Around 6% of this number have been promoted to more senior positions or supervisory/team
leader type roles.

All roles have had some form of training and/or development and therefore investment has
been placed in all our workers, no matter what nationality.

Polypipe Challenges

The number of EU Migrant workers currently available and/or employed in Polypipe is critical
to the ongoing production/assembly capabilities of the manufacturing sites. It is evident
when considering today’s unemployment rate (the lowest since comparable records began
in 1971) that the number of individuals available to work, who evidence either the willingness
or the appropriate work ethic/capabilities, is greatly limited at this time, therefore the number
of EU Migrants available is crucial in fulfilling a UK productivity labour gap.

It is therefore imperative for the government to ensure regulations and agreements are
passed for workers who are currently available in the UK, to remain available in the UK.

On this basis it is crucial for Polypipe and its workers to understand the exact position when
it comes to ‘settled status’, and more so, as to how much this registration process is going
to cost each individual.

From our experience most of our EU workers are already settled with families local to our
businesses, so registration would need to remain affordable to a family of e.g. 4 individuals,
who are largely living on the national living wage rate.

The period of time our EU Migrants have been settled in the UK covers a broad width of
timeframes.

With reference to some anecdotal feedback, it is evident that those who have already
achieved 5 years of settlement in the UK (but not applied for registration) feel very confident
about their long term future, however the opposite is said of those with only 1 – 3 years of
employment in the UK. It is for these individuals we would like to receive some form of
assurances as soon as possible.

   •   Government to finalise settled status decisions, at the lowest registration cost
       possible, without delay.

When considering Polypipe and its medium to long term future, the company realises it has
a responsibility to take a longer term approach when considering the available labour pool,
as well as considering the annual labour cost increases being applied to all businesses
through mandatory pay scales and the knock on effect this is having on our level of
competitiveness within global markets.

Having considered Polypipe’s production initiatives and future skills needs, the company
has taken the view that investment into automation and robotics is of paramount importance
and a number of projects are already underway, with considerable investment earmarked
for these initiatives.

To remain competitive in the UK industry it is essential for Polypipe to work towards
production processes at less cost with better quality whilst at the same time tackling the long
term labour challenge by reducing its future needs on unskilled labour.
Our investments aims over the long term will create a need for Polypipe to upskill its current
workforce, which in turn supports the apprentice levy system recently introduced, driving
development towards more skilled engineers in the UK, which we are fully supporting.

However, our long term labour needs cannot be fully managed by skilled workers alone. We
would foresee a need to retain the ability to employ a pool of unskilled workers, therefore
whilst the government is considering the future migration system we would like to see a
process which continues to allow unskilled workers, alongside the current Tier 2 system for
skilled workers, access to UK work. Our preference would be a migration system that
focuses on the entire spectrum of skills, not just higher skilled.

Polypipe has not experienced the need to sponsor graduate level roles from the global
labour market, however we are sympathetic towards the industries that do extensively
require this.

From our experience the UK is quite capable of developing students to the levels that we
need within our sector, and in addition to this, Polypipe is also inclined to support the ongoing
development of our own individuals with employer sponsored qualifications to graduate
level. We therefore do not foresee this changing in the future as it works well at Polypipe
presently. However, it remains of paramount importance to achieve a system that fulfils the
needs of all employers across the breadth of skills/labour needs in the long term.

   •   Government to agree a system that supports the provision of ongoing unskilled labour
       availability with an appropriate work ethic, either by instilling a work ethic in the 2.4
       million currently unemployed in the UK, e.g. some form of pastoral support provision
       along with benefit system changes, or ensuring the availability of unskilled migrant
       workers in the future within a planned migrant system.

If UK employer initiatives and investments are driving projects that upskill its current and
future workforce, and the UK educational system is appropriately preparing students for
future UK skills needs, there must remain an opportunity or a system that allows the country
to maintain an effective unskilled labour pool, as there will always be a need within the likes
of manufacturing, retail and food industries. These industries also require a seasonal flex.
From Polypipe’s perspective maintaining a decent pool of unskilled labour is our long term
challenge following the referendum decision.
Rolls-Royce

Summary Introduction

Rolls-Royce is a preeminent engineering Group operating globally in over 50 countries and
focussed on the design, manufacture and servicing of world-class power and propulsion
systems. Our headquarters have been in the UK for over a century and most of our
research and development work is carried out here, as well our main graduate and
apprentice programmes. Our products and services are hugely technical and complex
which requires a high proportion of our workforce to be highly educated and skilled,
particularly in STEM areas of expertise.

Supplementing our resident UK workforce is a small but vital population of highly skilled
EU nationals to deliver specialist engineering and manufacturing skills in the UK due to
such skills shortages in the UK domestic market. It is critical that we can continue to
source highly skilled talent from the EU and equally from non-EU markets with agility and
efficiency for both short and long term work, on the job training and specialist knowledge
transfer.

Two thirds of our revenue and three quarters of our order book are generated outside of
the EU and the anticipated growth we see in the years ahead will be predominantly from
the Middle East and Asia. That said we have a significant geographical footprint (infra-
structure and workforce) across the EU.

Rolls-Royce’s commitment and investment in the UK remains high but UK immigration
policy must serve as a key enabler for organisational development within the UK. It must
enable us to deploy highly skilled people strategically and intelligently when needed.
Should it become a real challenge to engage our skilled talent in the UK – whether for
short or long term needs – the natural progression will be to look for and invest in locations
that are more accommodating and facilitating.

Rolls-Royce Response

1. Please provide evidence on the characteristics (e.g. types of jobs migrants perform; skill
levels etc.) of EEA migrants in your particular sector / local area / region. How do these
differ from UK workers? And from non-EEA workers?

Over 95% of Rolls-Royce’s 25,000 strong workforce are British citizens. Two-thirds of the
balancing population (c850 EEs) comprise of EU citizens (predominantly locally hired, but
with small numbers of international assignees) and the remaining balance non-EEA
nationals (again predominantly locally hired).

Whilst the percentage (c5%) is relatively modest, these employees are vital to the
continued success of our business. They perform key engineering roles on our flagship
engine programmes; others delivering vital manufacturing skills in our complex assembly
processes. Some hold key executive roles, others operate in managerial level roles, the
greater numbers support our manufacturing engineering workforce.

Many of these individuals are highly educated (to Bachelors’ degree level or higher) and
are paid significantly higher wages than UK national average rates. Others have been
through our world-class apprenticeship training schemes. The average annual wage for
UK hired EU citizens is in excess of £43K per annum. We have employee representation
from virtually all EEA member-states on our UK headcount – the top 7 citizenship locations
comprise Italy, Spain, France, Poland, Ireland, Germany and Greece.

STEM skilled talent remains at critical shortage levels across the Aerospace industry and
beyond. For many years Rolls-Royce has invested in the education, development and
attraction of individuals into Engineering through a very comprehensive and broad-ranging
outreach programme (see attached appendix 1) but skilled and available talent remains in
very short supply in the UK, Hence we must recruit on a global basis (both EU and non-
EEA citizens) to ensure we meet our existing business commitments and to deliver on
long-term research and development programmes to remain competitive and relevant in
future markets.

In summary, there are no distinguishable differentiators between the non-EU versus EEA
nationals whom we have working for Rolls-Royce in the UK. They are highly educated and
highly skilled employees – the majority possess STEM skills that are absolutely vital to the
current and future success of our business.

2. To what extent are EEA migrants seasonal; part-time; agency-workers; temporary;
short-term assignments; intra-company transfers; self-employed? What information do you
have on their skill levels? To what extent do these differ from UK workers and non-EEA
workers?

We have no requirement for seasonal migrants. There are occasions when we need to
deploy skilled workers (both from inside and outside of the EU) to the UK for extended
training on new products or systems, or more over to support peaks in our operational
manufacturing cycles. These employees will typically travel to the UK under the provisions
of an extended business trip.

Limited numbers may be deployed on longer term projects to the UK under International
Assignment terms due to their engineering skills and specialisms. Today we have 9 EU
citizens on assignment in the UK, with slightly higher volumes of UK hosted assignments
from non-EU home locations.

The vast majority of the non-UK citizen element of our workforce comprises of permanent
EU contracted citizens.
3. Are there any relevant sources of evidence, beyond the usual range of official statistics,
that would allow the MAC to get a more detailed view of the current patterns of EEA
migration, especially over the last year?

There has been no significant noticeable change in the patterns of EEA migration over the
past year (attrition or job applicants). During 2017 the Civil Aerospace division of our
business has needed to recruit approximately 160 new hires with specialist engineering
and manufacturing qualifications and skills – and while we are able to source the majority
of recruits from the resident UK workforce, it has also been necessary to supplement a
similar ratio of approximately 5% of the new hires from EU and non-EU nationalities.

In the process of attracting EU nationals to the UK it has been noted that the younger,
more junior candidates typically seem less concerned about the impact of Brexit whereas
the more senior applicants have raised more questions around the transfer of pensions,
social care impacts on immediate family and freedom of movement. This may have
reduced the overall number of EU applicants we might otherwise have received for this
recruitment campaign but is hard to objectively conclude.

4. Have the patterns of EEA migration changed over time? What evidence do you have
showing your employment of EEA migrants since 2000? And after the Brexit referendum?
Are these trends different for UK workers and non-EEA workers?

The number of EEA migrants employed in our UK business continues to grow year on
year. The same can be said of non-EU migrants. But expressed as a percentage of our
overall UK workforce, the number remains relatively constant and very modest at less than
5%. We continue to source the brightest and best engineers, wherever they may be.
Likewise for Graduates to develop and take up key roles in engineering and central
functions. The same with skilled manufacturing workers.

Rolls-Royce has expanded its global footprint significantly since the millennium – with a
mix of both organic growth and acquisition. Over 9,000 German based employees joined
our business when we fully acquired the former Tognum business to form our Rolls-Royce
Power Systems business which is headquartered in Friedrichshafen, Germany. This has
naturally led to the cross-transfer of skills and talent leading to increased business travel,
assignment and permanent transfer relocations between the UK-Germany, and beyond.

Our demand has not reduced since the UK referendum, but there is a level of evidence
and experience that EU citizens are being more cautious, in some instances more
reluctant to consider taking up UK permanent roles in these times of uncertainty of rights
to work/settle.

5. Have you conducted any analysis on the future trends of EEA migration, in particular in
the absence of immigration controls?

Please see response to Q4.
6. Have you made any assessment of the impact of a possible reduction in the availability
of EEA migrants (whether occurring naturally or through policy) as part of your workforce?
What impact would a reduction in EEA migration have on your sector / local area / region?
How will your business / sector / area / region cope? Would the impacts be different if
reductions in migration took place amongst non EEA migrants? Have you made any
contingency plans?

The closure of the Skills Transfer and Short Term ICT visa categories for non-EEA
nationals has already created significant challenges to our business. Should similar
restrictions apply to EEA nationals post Brexit, this will exacerbate such challenges with a
detrimental impact on business operations and ultimately adversely impact the UK
economy.

For example, the business sometimes needs non-UK employees from other our Rolls-
Royce locations to complete short temporary work assignments at critical stages of a
major project or to complete crucial on the job training in the UK. Due to the size,
complexity and high value of our equipment and products at established world class UK
manufacturing sites it isn’t realistic to physically move activity temporarily outside of the
UK. For employees with less than the required employment service and salary base to
meet the minimum requirements for Tier 2 Intra Company Long Terms Staff visas, we
have not been able to proceed as planned. An example of this is Bangalore where we
have a recently established design and manufacturing facility to aid our customer
commitments in region.

The above Tier 2 visa route closures have already forced changes in the way our business
thinks and structures certain operations (such as for knowledge transfer, on the job
training and managing temporary workload peaks). Our concern is that overly restrictive
immigration policies will slowly drive the expansion of our activities outside of the UK to
locations where the immigration environment recognises business needs and operates
immigration policies that can accommodate.

Should sponsorship of visas for EEA nationals become part of the post Brexit UK
immigration policy, then any increased burden of cost on employers will be of further
detriment at a time when reducing operating costs is essential to remain globally
competitive. For example, in the last 12 months RR has recruited 145 permanent EU
national new starters in the UK. If this volume is replicated post Brexit and assumes the
need for 3 year sponsored visas at a similar cost to Tier 2 General visas - including legal
representative fees and an average family size of 2 - this equates to an additional annual
burden of cost to the Company of nearly £1 million. Add in the cost of visas for skilled
temporary workers at current volumes, our annual additional costs will exceed £1mil p/a.

Recruitment Practices, Training & Skills
7. Please provide evidence on the methods of recruitment used to employ EEA migrants.
Do these methods differ from those used to employ UK and non-EEA workers? What
impact does this have on UK workers? Have these methods changed following the Brexit
referendum?

The methods we use to attract and select our most highly skilled and talented workers has
not changed following the Brexit referendum and there is little difference in the methods
used to recruit EEA and non-EEA migrants. Our internal and external recruitment
campaigns aim simply to find the best and most talented candidates subject to having the
Right to Work in the UK, with the only constraints being in giving preference to any current
Rolls-Royce employee whose role is at risk of redundancy. .

Internal roles are advertised globally on the Company’s internal website while external
campaigns are run on websites such as www.linkedin.com and www.indeed.com as well
as www.rolls-royce.com for generic roles and websites such as www.theengineer.com
which by their nature are globally accessible for targeted high skill level roles. Our
Sourcing team will proactively approach candidates for specific skilled roles if deemed
necessary.

While an impact is that UK workers are competing in a wider talent pool for UK jobs and
currently have a higher chance of being displaced by an EEA-national, a positive impact is
UK nationals recognise the need to raise their own standards to ensure they are well
equipped to compete with the brightest and best.

8. Do recruitment practices differ by skill-type and occupation?

The only difference is that for the more highly skilled roles there can be a more proactive
sourcing and approach for candidates with a specific skill set, experience and / or
qualification. The sourcing team is educated in immigration legislation requirements and
able to ensure that when speaking to applicants they can answer any questions around
Right to Work in the UK. For certain roles, for example where the role is covered by SOL,
the sourcing strategy can be far more wide reaching to include both EU and non-EU
nationals whereas normally the approaches are limited to UK and EU national candidates.

9. What are the advantages and disadvantages of employing EEA workers? Have these
changed following the Brexit referendum result?

As per our prior commentary, our intent is to recruit / deploy highly skilled talent with the
appropriate STEM skills to meet our business commitments today and develop products
and solutions for tomorrow. So we make no conscious decision to recruit EU/EEA
nationals over and above other non-EU citizens. The focus is purely on ‘talent’.

There is of course a secondary benefit to hiring an EU/EEA national relating to their
current Freedom of Movement with the UK. Business across the EU accounts for c25% of
our revenues and c33% of our infrastructure. So mobility for talent and manufacture is
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