The Chinese Market Understanding the Indices - Union Securities Switzerland

 
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The Chinese Market Understanding the Indices - Union Securities Switzerland
The Chinese Market
 Understanding the Indices
The Chinese Market Understanding the Indices - Union Securities Switzerland
Introduction
Investor often wonder what is the best way to invest in Chinese equities and what is the best index to measure the performance of the their
investment. Chinese companies typically list their shares on one or more exchanges in mainland China, Hong-Kong or in the US as ADRs. For
that reason, the many Chinese equity indices have a very different compositions and performances. In this document, we analyse the
differences between the most used indices.

China’s mainland stock markets had historically been difficult to access for foreign investors amid quota systems and capital controls. Recent
changes of exchange regulations allow international investors to access mainland listed stocks. These regulation changes were critical in
MSCI’s decision to increase the A shares’ proportion in its indices. In 2019 MSCI increased the inclusion ratio of China A shares from 5% to 20%
in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (no future weight increase is currently planned, as it would require Chinese authorities to address a
number of remaining market accessibility questions).

The development of Chinese equities ETF’s offering, in addition to MSCI’s decision, has permitted investors to invest more easily in China.

Some indices have similar performance patterns due to their main constituents and can be regrouped :

o       MSCI China (HKD) and S&P 500 China (HKD)

o       MSCI China A (USD), CSI 300 (CNY) and FTSE 50 China (HKD)

o       HIS (HKD), HSCEI (HKD)

o       Shanghai Composite (Renminbi) and Shenzhen Composite (Renminbi)

 February 3, 2021                                                                                                                              2
Chinese Main Indices

February 3, 2021       3
Chinese Main Indices
MSCI China Index
o          It covers 85% of the equity universe and across all types of Chinese shares, including foreign listings (e.g. ADRs).

o          It has an exposure to large and mid-cap companies. 20% of the large & mid-cap A Shares are included.

Hong Kong Hang Seng China Enterprises (HSCEI Index)
o          Reflects the performance of the 50 largest Chinese H-shares listed in Hong Kong.

o          It has a 10% cap on each constituent’s weight.

Hong Kong Hang Seng (HSI Index)
o          Reflects the performance of the largest stocks listed in Hong Kong.

o          It is composed of only a few sectors: industry, finance, utilities, and Real Estate.

o          It has a 10% cap on each constituent’s weight.

Hang Seng TECH (the “Hong Kong’s Nasdaq”, HSTECH Index)
o          Reflects the performance of the 30 largest technology companies listed in Hong Kong.

o          Stocks must have high business exposure to technology themes, such as Hardware, Semi-Conductors, e-commerce, FinTech or Software. It has a 8% cap on each
           constituent’s weight.

Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP Index)
o          Reflects the performance of all stocks (A and B shares) listed in Shanghai.

Shenzhen Composite (SZCOMP Index)
o          Reflects the performance of the 500 largest A-shares listed in Shenzhen.

    February 3, 2021                                                                                                                                              4
The Chinese Market
There are different markets where Chinese companies can list their stock.

The Chinese Mainland market
o          A-Shares are quoted in Chinese Renminbi and B-Shares are quoted in foreign currencies. Both type of shares are difficult to invest in for foreign investors.

o          The 2 principal mainland indices are the Shanghai Composite and the Shenzhen Composite. The Shanghai Composite Index tracks A-Shares and B-Shares listed in
           Shanghai. The Shenzhen Composite tracks the 500 largest A-shares listed in Shenzhen.

The Hong-Kong Market
o          H-Shares are listed on the Hong-Kong Exchange in HKD and are freely investable for foreign investors.

o          The HSCEI index tracks the top 50 H-Shares stocks. Futures on the HSCEI are available and trade in high volumes on the Hong-Kong futures exchanges.

The US Market
o          Some Chinese Tech Companies have chosen to be directly listed as ADRs in the US market.

The Hong-Kong Dollar is pegged to the US Dollar. Most companies report in CNY (even if the stocks is traded in HKD or USD). The CNY rate is
floating around a central parity determined by the People’s Banks of China with respect to a basket of world currencies.

    February 3, 2021                                                                                                                                                      5
Types of Equity Shares
The China mainland equity market is comprised of A, B, H, Red chip and P chip shares.

A shares are incorporated in China and traded in Shanghai and Shenzhen.
o          Quoted in local renminbi

o          Entail foreign investment restrictions. However, professional foreign investors with a special license are able to invest in these stocks under certain restrictions.

B shares are incorporated in China and traded in Shanghai and Shenzhen.
o          Quoted in foreign currencies

o          Open to foreign investors

H shares are incorporated in China and traded in Hong Kong and other foreign exchanges.
o          Quoted in HKD

o          This is the historical preferred market by foreign investors and is relatively liquid.

Red chips are incorporated outside of China and traded in Hong Kong. Usually controlled by the state, a province or municipality.
o          Quoted in HKD

o          Open to foreign investors

P chips are incorporated outside of China and traded in Hong Kong. Usually non state-owned companies.
o          Quoted in HKD

o          Open to foreign investors

    February 3, 2021                                                                                                                                                               6
Sectors weights and P/E ratios

                                                 Weights                                          P/E Ratio
                           MSCI                         Shanghai Shenzhen MSCI                              Shanghai Shenzhen
                                 HSCEI   HSI    HSTECH                           HSCEI     HSI    HSTECH
                           China                       Composite Composite China                           Composite Composite
                                                                                                                                 MSCI China, HSCEI, HSI and
Consumer Discretionary     36.0   20.3 16.5      32.3    7.7       11.2    150.0 168.3 134.1       63.6       81.7     82.8
   Retailing               25.7   13.5   10.6    31.3     2.1       0.7    30.8    47.2    41.6    47.1       29.8      25.1     HSTECH     are     tilted     toward
   Automobiles              5.2   2.4    1.6              3.5       3.1    44.1    24.1    24.1               17.0      20.9
   Apparel                  2.0   3.5    2.4     0.4      1.8       6.3    32.2    34.1    34.1    16.5       21.7      20.0     Retailing (Alibaba, JD.com) and in
   Consumer Services        3.2   0.9    1.9     0.6      0.3       1.1    42.9    62.9    34.4               13.2      16.7

Communication Services     20.7   15.8 13.1      13.2    1.4        2.9    54.1    43.1    43.2    32.2       36.6     52.7      Medias (Tencent, Baidu).
   Media & Entertainment   20.5   11.0   10.3    13.2     1.0       2.9    33.8    35.0    35.8    32.2       18.3      22.7
   Telecommunication        0.2   4.8    2.8              0.3       0.1    20.3     8.1    7.4                18.3      30.0     HSCEI and HSI have a bigger
Financials                 12.9   31.4 41.9      1.8     26.0       5.5    25.1    14.5    68.1    91.8       24.5     37.4
    Banks                   9.0   21.1 25.8      0.1     20.8       5.4     8.2     5.3    27.0    30.3        8.4     18.7
                                                                                                                                 weight on financials (large banks
    Insurance               4.0   10.4 16.1      1.7      5.2       0.1     8.7     9.3    14.2    61.5        7.7
                                                                                                                                 & insurers).
Information Technology      6.0   7.9    5.0     45.1    10.0      20.1    191.9 116.5 33.0       210.3       123.6    110.1
   Hardware & Equipment     3.8   6.4    5.0     24.0     3.6      13.7    24.9    34.5    33.0    23.8       20.2      27.5
                                                                                                                                 Shanghai         and        Shenzhen
   Software & Services      1.4                  11.3     2.3       3.7    125.8                  130.4       52.1      36.0
   Semiconductors           0.8   1.5            9.8      4.1       2.8    41.2    82.0            56.1       51.3      46.6     Composites are tilted toward
Health Care                 6.9   4.3    4.7     7.7     7.0       13.4    120.1 438.4 56.2       413.0       76.7     74.4
   Health Care Equipment    1.6   1.4            7.7      1.3       5.3    40.6    411.7          413.0       29.7      35.0     smaller companies, exporters and
   Pharma & Biotech         5.2   2.8    4.7              5.7       8.1    79.5    26.7    56.2               47.0      39.4
                                                                                                                                 domestic stocks, in Industrials,
Industrials                 4.3   1.4    3.8             15.2      17.9    44.9    4.8     35.8               43.3     78.2
Consumer Staples            4.2   5.0    2.3             12.7      12.6    69.3    41.5    30.2               108.4    73.1
                                                                                                                                 Staples and Materials.
Materials                   2.1   0.8                     9.7      11.9    10.8    6.2                        15.6     20.2
Real Estate                 3.5   6.2    7.1              2.6       2.5    5.2     5.0     8.1                 5.4      5.4
Utilities                   1.8   3.2    3.1              3.1       1.2    10.6    14.9    17.2               11.8      8.7
Energy                      1.6   3.7    2.5              4.6       0.7    8.2     8.8     8.8                 9.3     13.0

 February 3, 2021                                                                                                                                                   7
Financial Ratios
Chinese indexes have quite wide different financial metrics.

The HSTECH index has higher price-related ratios (P/E, P/B,.), but smaller dividend yield.

HSCEI, HSCI and HSTECH indexes are concentrated in a few companies. Shanghai and Shenzhen indexes are much more diversified.

Shanghai and Shenzhen indexes have more indebted components with a much smaller market cap.

                                                          MSCI                    Shanghai Shenzhen
                                                                HSCEI HSI HSTECH
                                                          China                  Composite Composite
                             Dividend Yield                1.5    3.0     2.8     0.5         2.9    1.2
                             P/E                           17.6   10.7   13.3    42.0        11.8   23.2
                             P/B                           2.3    1.2     1.3     5.1         1.2    3.5
                             P/S                           1.9    1.4     1.9     2.1         0.9    2.2
                             EV/EBITDA                     15.5   12.5   13.2    25.4        16.9   23.7
                             Debt/Assets                   21.3   16.2   14.9    12.8        23.8   30.9
                             Market Cap Median $Bn         10.4   42.4   32.6    13.3         1.0    0.7
                             Number of constituents        592     51     52      31         1542   2396

February 3, 2021                                                                                                               8
MSCI China Index – Top 20 holdings

Name                                    Sector                   P/E Weight
Tencent                                 Communication Services   43.5 15.1
Alibaba                                 Consumer Discretionary   23.9    14.5
Meituan                                 Consumer Discretionary   208.2   5.2
JD.com                                  Consumer Discretionary   47.9    2.4
Nio                                     Consumer Discretionary    0.0    2.4
China Construction Bank                 Financials                5.4    2.2
                                                                                The MSCI China Index is concentrated on
Ping An Insurance                       Financials               11.9    2.2
Baidu                                   Communication Services   25.9    2.0    Tencent and Alibaba (30%). Main sectors are
Pinduoduo                               Consumer Discretionary    0.0    1.9    Financials, Communication and Discretionary :
Xiaomi                                  Information Technology   39.0    1.6
Netease                                 Communication Services   36.1    1.4
                                                                                Top 10 represents 49.7%
Wuxi Biologics                          Health Care              273.1   1.4    Top 20 represents 59.8%
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China   Financials                5.2    2.0
Tal Education                           Consumer Discretionary   118.8   0.9
Bank of China                           Financials                4.2    0.8
New Oriental                            Consumer Discretionary   44.1    0.8
Geely Automobiles                       Consumer Discretionary   40.1    0.7
Kweichow Moutai                         Consumer Staples         52.0    0.7
Yum China                               Consumer Discretionary   29.8    0.7
BYD Co                                  Consumer Discretionary   409.5   0.6

 February 3, 2021                                                                                                           9
HSCEI Index – Top 20 holdings

Name                                    Sector                   P/E     Weight
Tencent                                 Communication Services   43.5     11.1
China Construction Bank                 Financials                5.4     8.3
Ping An Insurance                       Financials               11.9     7.3
Meituan                                 Consumer Discretionary   208.2    5.4
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China   Financials                5.2     4.7
Alibaba                                 Consumer Discretionary   24.3     4.5
Xiaomi                                  Information Technology   39.0     4.4     The HSCEI Index is concentrated on a few
China Mobile                            Communication Services    7.6     3.6
                                                                                  names,    mainly        in   the   Financials,
China Merchants Bank                    Financials               12.7     2.9
Bank of China                           Financials                4.2     2.7
                                                                                  Communication and Discretionary sectors:
Geely Automobiles                       Consumer Discretionary   40.1     2.5     Top 10 represents 55%
JD Health                               Consumer Discretionary   570.7    2.3
                                                                                  Top 20 represents 74%
Sunny Optical Tech                      Information Technology   43.9     2.0
Anta Sports Products                    Consumer Discretionary   45.7     1.8
CNOOC Ltd                               Energy                    7.1     1.7
Shenzhou International                  Consumer Discretionary   35.7     1.7
China Mengniu Dairy                     Consumer Staples         34.2     1.6
Semiconductor manufacturing             Information Technology   104.6    1.6
China Life Insurance                    Financials                7.9     1.6
JD.com                                  Consumer Discretionary   51.2     1.5

 February 3, 2021                                                                                                            10
HSI Index – Top 20 holdings

Name                                    Sector                   P/E     Weight
Tencent                                 Communication Services   43.5     11.1
AIA Group                               Financials               23.2     9.9
HSBC                                    Financials               12.6     7.4
Meituan                                 Consumer Discretionary   208.2    6.3
Hong Kong Exchanges                     Financials               50.7     5.6
China Construction Bank                 Financials                5.4     5.6
Ping An Insurance                       Financials               11.9     5.0
                                                                                  The HSI Index is concentrated on a few
Alibaba                                 Consumer Discretionary   24.3     4.5     names, mainly in the Financials and
Xiaomi                                  Information Technology   39.0     3.4     Discretionary sectors:
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China   Financials                5.2     3.2
Wuxi Biologics                          Health Care              273.1    3.1     Top 10 represents 62.1%
China Mobile                            Communication Services    7.6     2.5     Top 20 represents 79%
Bank of China                           Financials                4.2     1.8
Geely Automobiles                       Consumer Discretionary   40.1     1.7
Techtronic Industries                   Industrials              39.4     1.6
Sunny Optical Tech                      Information Technology   43.9     1.3
CK Hutchison                            Industrials               6.1     1.3
Anta Sports Products                    Consumer Discretionary   45.7     1.2
CLP Holdings                            Utilities                16.0     1.2
Link Reit                               Real Estate               0.0     1.2

 February 3, 2021                                                                                                     11
HSTECH Index – Top 20 holdings

Name                          Sector                    P/E  Weight
Meituan                       Consumer Discretionary   208.2  8.8
Sunny Optical Tech            Information Technology    43.9    8.4
Tencent                       Communication Services    43.5    7.8
JD Health                     Consumer Discretionary   570.7    7.8
Alibaba                       Consumer Discretionary    24.3    7.5
Xiaomi                        Information Technology    39.0    6.6
Semiconductor manufacturing   Information Technology   104.6    6.4
JD.com                        Consumer Discretionary    51.2    6.1   HSTECH    index   has   few   components    and   is
Alibaba Health                Health Care              685.2    6.1
                                                                      concentrated in the Tech and Discretionary sectors:
Kingdee International         Information Technology   2397.8   4.1
Lenovo                        Information Technology    18.2    3.6   Top 10 represents 69.4%
Kingsoft                      Information Technology    46.1    3.0   Top 20 represents 92.8%
Netease                       Communication Services    0.0     3.0
BYD Electronic                Information Technology    31.3    2.4
Weimob                        Information Technology   148.2    2.4
ASM Pacific Technology        Information Technology    31.1    2.1
Ming Yuan Cloud               Information Technology   249.4    1.9
AAC Technologies              Information Technology    20.4    1.8
Zhongan Online Insurance      Financials               101.0    1.7
Ping Healthcare               Health Care               0.0     1.6

 February 3, 2021                                                                                                       12
Shanghai & Shenzhen Indexes – Top 10 holdings
Shanghai Composite
Name                         Sector                   P/E Weight
Kweichow Moutai              Consumer Staples         52.0 6.2
ICBC                         Financials                6.2     3.1
China Merchants Bank         Financials                8.1     2.4
Agricultural Bank of China   Financials                5.7     2.3
Ping Insurance               Financials               12.3     2.1
China Life Insurance         Financials               20.3     1.8
Foshan Haitian Flavouring    Consumer Staples         92.4     1.5
Petrochina                   Energy                   14.3     1.5
Bank of China                Financials                5.9     1.5     Shanghai and Shenzhen indexes are well diversified in
China Tourism Duty Free      Consumer Discretionary   55.0     1.4     terms of components and sectors:

                                                                       Shanghai’s Top 10 represents 23.7%
Shenghen Composite
Name                         Sector                   P/E     Weight   Shenzhen’s Top 10 represents 18.3%
Wuliangye Yibin              Consumer Staples         52.1     3.4
Contemporary Amperex TechIndustrials                  115.8    2.6
Yihai Kerry Arawana          Consumer Staples         127.3    2.1
Midea                        Consumer Discretionary   24.6     2.0
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital   Information Technology   40.9     1.7
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical
                          Health Care                 78.6     1.6
BYD Co                       Consumer Discretionary   231.6    1.3
SF Holding                   Industrials              63.8     1.3
Ping An Bank                 Financials               14.0     1.2
Luxshare Precision Industry Information Technology    39.2     1.1

 February 3, 2021                                                                                                         13
Chinese Equities ETFs

Here is a selection of the main ETFs (approved for distribution in Switzerland).

                                                                                                          Fund Assets
                    Name                                   Ticker          Index       Currency   TER
                                                                                                            (M USD)
                    iShares MSCI China A UCITS ETF        CNYA LN      MSCI China A      USD      0.40%      2,208
                    Xtrackers Harvest CSI300 UCITS        ASHR LN         CSI 300        USD      0.65%       773
                    iShares China Large Cap UCITS          IDFX LN     FTSE China 50     USD      0.74%       693
                    iShares MSCI China UCITS ETF          ICHD NA       MSCI China       USD      0.40%       315
                    Xtrackers FTSE China 50 UCITS         XX2D LN      FTSE China 50     USD      0.60%       139
                    Amundi Msci China UCITS ETF           CC1U LN       MSCI China       USD      0.55%        82

February 3, 2021                                                                                                        14
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February 3, 2021
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