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Executive Summary
                                                        xxxxxxx

The homelessness monitor:
England 2021
Suzanne Fitzpatrick, Beth Watts, Hal Pawson,
Glen Bramley, Jenny Wood, Mark Stephens & Janice
Blenkinsopp. Institute for Social Policy, Housing and
Equalities Research (I-SPHERE), Heriot-Watt University;
City Futures Research Centre, University of New South
Wales; School of Social and Political Sciences, University
of Glasgow
March 2021
Executive Summary
ii      The homelessness monitor: England 2021                                                                                                   iii

     The homelessness monitor                                                       The homelessness monitor:
     The homelessness monitor is a longitudinal study providing an independent
     analysis of the homelessness impacts of recent economic and policy
                                                                                    England 2021
     developments across the United Kingdom. Separate reports are produced
     for each of the United Kingdom nations.                                        Suzanne Fitzpatrick, Beth Watts, Hal Pawson,
     This ninth annual report updates our account of how homelessness stands
                                                                                    Glen Bramley, Jenny Wood, Mark Stephens & Janice
     in England in 2020, or as close to 2020 as data availability allows. It also   Blenkinsopp. Institute for Social Policy, Housing and
     highlights emerging trends and forecasts some of the likely future changes,
     identifying the developments likely to have the most significant impacts on    Equalities Research (I-SPHERE), Heriot-Watt University;
     homelessness.                                                                  City Futures Research Centre, University of New South
                                                                                    Wales; School of Social and Political Sciences, University
                                                                                    of Glasgow

                                                                                    March 2021
iv   The homelessness monitor: England 2021                                                                                            v

                                                About Crisis
                                                Crisis is the national charity for homeless people. We help people directly
                                                out of homelessness, and campaign for the social changes needed to solve it
                                                altogether. We know that together we can end homelessness.

                                                About the authors
                                                Professor Suzanne Fitzpatrick, Dr Beth Watts, Professor Glen Bramley, Dr Jenny
                                                Wood and Dr Janice Blenkinsopp are all based at the Institute for Social Policy,
                                                Housing, and Equalities Research (I-SPHERE). Professor Hal Pawson is based at
                                                the City Futures Research Centre, University of New South Wales. Professor Mark
                                                Stephens is based at the School of Social and Political Sciences, University of
                                                Glasgow.

                                                Acknowledgements
                                                This report was commissioned and funded by Crisis, and our thanks go to Sophie
                                                Boobis, Dr Francesca Albanese and Matthew Downie at Crisis for all of their
                                                support with this work. In addition, we are extremely grateful to all of the key
                                                informants from the statutory and voluntary sector organisations across England
                                                who found time amid the COVID-19-related pressures to help us with this, and
                                                likewise to all 148 local authorities who completed the online questionnaire
                                                despite the extraordinary strain they were under as a result of the pandemic.
                                                We would like to record our sincere appreciation for Rhiannon Sims’ excellent
                                                analysis of social security and housing policy developments that we were able
                                                to draw on in preparing Chapter 2 of this report. We would also like to thank Dr
                                                Filip Sosenko for his assistance in setting up the survey, Jill McIntyre for all her
                                                help with chasing survey responses and with the overall logistics of the project,
                                                and Lynne McMordie for undertaking the formatting and proofing tasks (all
                                                I-SPHERE).

                                                Disclaimer: All views and any errors contained in this report are the responsibility
               Crisis head office               of the authors. The views expressed should not be assumed to be those of Crisis
               66 Commercial Street             or any of the key informants who assisted with this work.
               London E1 6LT
               Tel: 0300 636 1967
               Fax: 0300 636 2012
               www.crisis.org.uk
               © Crisis 2021

               Crisis UK (trading as Crisis).
               Registered Charity Numbers:

               E&W1082947, SC040094.
               Company Number: 4024938
vi   The homelessness monitor: England 2021                                                                                                                                                             Executive Summary   vii

               Executive
               summary
               The Homelessness Monitor series                            single people. This is in stark contrast              exceeding that of all temporary           than half (110,000 households
               is a longitudinal study providing                          to the pre-Homelessness Reduction                     accommodation – up by 17 per cent         or individuals). Next in numerical
               an independent analysis of the                             Act era when the key headline                         in the 12 months to March 2020, and       importance was hostel and
               homelessness impacts of recent                             statistic – households ‘accepted’ by                  by 299 per cent since 2010.               similar accommodation (42,000),
               economic and policy developments                           local authorities as in ‘priority need’                                                         followed by unsuitable temporary
               in England and elsewhere in the                            – comprised only around one-third                    •T
                                                                                                                                 hanks to various temporary              accommodation and other
               United Kingdom.1 This ninth annual                         single people.                                        protective measures (especially           unconventional accommodation,
               Homelessness Monitor England                                                                                     income protection programmes              at around 19,000 each. The least
               updates our account of how                              •N
                                                                         onetheless substantial numbers                        and eviction moratoria), the              numerous group were those actually
               homelessness stands in 2020, or                          of (mainly single) homeless                             COVID-19 pandemic triggered               sleeping rough at a point in time,
               as close to 2020 as data availability                    applicants still reach the end of the                   no immediate overall increase in          which we estimate at 13,600.
               allows, and covers a year dominated by                   post- Homelessness Reduction                            homelessness applications. Indeed,
               the twin major events of the COVID-19                    Act operational procedures                              the number judged as threatened          • It is predicted that the economic
               pandemic2 and Brexit. It is also the first               without having secured settled                          with homelessness fell back                 aftermath of COVID-19 risks a
               Monitor in which a comprehensive                         accommodation, or even having had                       significantly April-June 2020 (down         substantial rise in core homelessness,
               analysis of Homelessness Reduction                       such accommodation offered to                           35 per cent on the previous quarter).       including rough sleeping, unless the
               Act processes and outcomes is                            them (around 20,000 households in                       But temporary accommodation                 Government implements a range
               included and we offer detailed                           2019/20).                                               placements surged, particularly of          of housing and welfare mitigation
               modelling estimates and forward                                                                                  single homeless people, as a result of      interventions, including continuing
               projections of extreme forms of ‘core’                  •S
                                                                         ome 48 per cent of all 2019/20                        the emergency measures to protect           with emergency accommodation
               homelessness.                                            ‘owed a duty’ applicants were judged                    people at risk of rough sleeping            measures for those at risk of rough
                                                                        as having some form of support                          during the pandemic.                        sleeping.
               Key points to emerge from our latest                     need, and in 23 per cent of (all ‘owed
               analysis are as follows:                                 a duty’) cases, this was linked to a                   • ‘Core homelessness’ in England – a     • In the longer term, the largest
                                                                        history of mental ill-health. Only                        concept which captures the most           projected impact on reducing core
               • Some 305,000 single people,                            a small proportion of applicants                          severe and immediate forms of             homelessness would result from a
                 couples and families registered                        are subject to ‘complex support                           homelessness – is estimated to have       large expansion of total and social
                 homelessness applications with                         needs’ (e.g., 3 per cent of ‘owed                         totalled nearly 220,000 in 2019,          housing supply and consistent, large-
                 local authorities in 2019/20. Of                       a duty’ applicants in London had                          having risen from about 187,000 in        scale application of Housing First
                 these, 289,000 (95%) were judged                       support needs associated with drug                        2012. During 2020 these numbers           accompanied by appropriate support
                 as homeless or threatened with                         dependency; 7 per cent in rest of                         dropped somewhat to around                for mental health and substance
                 homelessness.                                          England).                                                 200,000, mainly due to the effects        misuse issues, alongside the raising
                                                                                                                                  of the Government’s emergency             of the Local Housing Allowance. A
               • Amongst those threatened with                         • Temporary accommodation                                 measures in response to the               meaningful levelling up of economic
                 homelessness and entitled to a                           placements show a 91 per cent                           COVID-19 pandemic. In 2020 there          performance across the English
                 ‘prevention’ duty half (49%) are single                  increase since 2011 (and 9 per cent                     were an estimated 10,500 people           regions would also contribute to the
                 adults and amongst those actually                        in the 12 months to March 2020).                        currently sleeping rough on any           reduction of core homelessness.
                 homeless and entitled to a relief                        Bed and Breakfast hotel placements                      given night which had dropped by a
                 duty almost three-quarters (72%) are                     have continued to increase at a rate                    third on the previous year.            •L
                                                                                                                                                                           evels of infection and COVID-
                                                                                                                                                                          related deaths have been low
               1	Parallel Homelessness Monitors are being published for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. All of the UK   •T
                                                                                                                                 he largest element of core              amongst homeless people in
                  Homelessness Monitor reports are available from http://www.crisis.org.uk/pages/homelessnessmonitor.html
                                                                                                                                homelessness in 2018-19 was its           England, indicating an effective
               2	Fitzpatrick, S., Watts, B. & Sims, R. (2020) Homelessness Monitor England 2020: COVID-19 Crisis Response
                  Briefing. London: Crisis. https://www.crisis.org.uk/ending-homelessness/homelessness-knowledge-hub/           least visible manifestation, sofa         public health strategy with regards
                  homelessness-monitor/england/homelessness-monitor-england-2020-covid-19-crisis-response-briefing/             surfing, accounting for more              to this vulnerable population. Critical
viii   The homelessness monitor: England 2021                                                                                                                                                                   Executive Summary   ix
                   to this successful outcome was the         •L
                                                                ocal authorities expressed qualified   Trends in homelessness                                      the 81,500 prevention cases logged as
                   national ‘Everyone In’ emergency            approval for the role played by          Statutory homelessness                                      ‘duty ended’ during the year.
                   accommodation initiative for                the Homelessness Reduction Act           This year’s Monitor was the first where
                   people sleeping rough and those             legal framework in facilitating their    the analysis of statutory homelessness                      While fundamental changes to the
                   at risk; around 30,000 people in            responses to homelessness during         trends was substantially based on                           legal framework for homelessness
                   total had been assisted under these         the early pandemic period. Councils      the operation of the Homelessness                           application assessment under the
                   arrangements by autumn 2020.                more critical of the Act dislike what    Reduction Act 2017 and its associated                       Homelessness Reduction Act 2017
                                                               they perceive as the excessive           (H-CLIC) administrative dataset.                            have made ‘new homelessness’
                 •T
                   he speed and clarity of the early          bureaucracy associated with it.          Some 305,000 households registered                          trend over time comparisons more
                  central Government response on                                                        homelessness applications with                              difficult, temporary accommodation
                  rapidly accommodating people                •K
                                                                ey changes to local authority          local authorities in 2019/20. Of                            placements, which can be legitimately
                  sleeping rough, eliminating the use          working practices prompted by the        these, 289,000 (95%) were judged                            graphed over a long time series,
                  of communal shelters, enhancing              COVID-19 emergency include a             as homeless or threatened with                              show a 91 per cent increase since
                  welfare benefits, and halting                shift to remote/online working with      homelessness. This is slightly higher                       2011 (and 9 per cent in the 12 months
                  evictions, was widely welcomed, with         service users, which was viewed as       than the 272,000 ‘local authority case                      to March 2020).4 Bed and Breakfast
                  local authorities and homelessness           having been largely successful. Some     actions’ as estimated for 2017/18, the                      hotel placements have continued to
                  charities also praised for rapidly rising    Councils intend to make a decisive       last year of the ‘old regime’.3                             increase at a rate exceeding that of all
                  to an unprecedented challenge.               shift away from communal forms                                                                       temporary accommodation – up by
                                                               of sleeping provision for homeless       By comparison with the Housing                              17 per cent in the 12 months to March
                 •H
                   owever, subsequent ‘mixed                  people post-pandemic, though             Act 1996 regime, a much-increased                           2020, and by 299 per cent since 2010.
                  messages’ from central Government,           others feel that financial and legal     proportion of those seeking help
                  particularly on assistance to non-           constraints make the use of night        under the Homelessness Reduction                            The increased ‘visibility’ of single
                  United Kingdom nationals ineligible          shelters unavoidable.                    Act are being formally assisted under                       adults in the official homelessness
                  for benefits and on the continuation                                                  prevention or relief duties, with                           statistics is one of the most striking
                  of Everyone In, became a matter             •W
                                                                hile the COVID-19-prompted £20         the result that far fewer applicants/                       changes brought about by the new
                  of acute concern amongst local               weekly enhancement to Universal          applications are ‘progressing’ through                      legislative framework. This group
                  authorities and their third sector           Credit and Working Tax Credits have      the system as far as being assessed as                      accounted almost three-quarters (72%)
                  partners as the crisis progressed.           been widely welcomed, at the time        owed a main statutory rehousing duty.                       of all of those assessed as homeless
                                                               of writing the Government planned        This traditional headline indicator of                      and entitled to the ‘relief’ duty,
                 •M
                   any local authorities offered an           to withdraw these uplifts from April     homelessness demand – at 40,000 in                          and half (49%) of those threatened
                  upbeat assessment of their own               2021. There is also no indication        2019/20 – was well below the 57,000                         with homelessness and entitled to
                  performance in response to the               that they will be extended to legacy     recorded in 2017/18.                                        a ‘prevention’ duty. This is in stark
                  homelessness consequences of the             benefits. The restoration of the                                                                     contrast to the pre- Homelessness
                  COVID-19 crisis and initial lockdown         Local Housing Allowance maxima to        A substantial proportion of 2019/20                         Reduction Act era when the key
                  period, though it was clear that the         cover 30 per cent of private sector      prevention and relief actions ended                         headline statistic – households
                  resilience of both staff and resources       rents was especially beneficial in the   with accommodation having been                              ‘accepted’ as owed the main duty
                  had been severely tested, with               context of managing homelessness         secured. Thus, households have been                         – comprised only around one-third
                  many local authorities surprised             risks, but Government plans to           enabled to retain existing – or to                          single people.
                  by the sheer scale of need that the          refreeze these rates from April 2021     obtain new – accommodation. This
                  emergency measures uncovered.                will cause dismay.                       was the outcome for most prevention                         Also notable is the emerging
                                                                                                        duty cases ended during the year                            intelligence from H-CLIC on the profile
                 •W
                   hile acknowledging the large              •C
                                                                OVID-19 has inflicted extensive        (58%), with the equivalent figure for                       of support needs in the statutory
                  amount of homelessness emergency             damage on the economy and on             relief cases ended being 40 per cent.                       homeless population. While almost
                  funding made available by central            the public finances. There is acute      Assisting an applicant to obtain a new                      half (48%) of all households assessed
                  Government during the pandemic,              concern about a potential tidal wave     place to live (rather than to retain                        as owed a homelessness prevention
                  other stakeholders criticised the            of ‘new’ homelessness as the COVID-      existing housing) was, by definition, the                   or relief duty are recorded as having
                  proliferation of highly specified,           19-induced recession takes hold,         ‘accommodation secured’ result for                          a relevant support need, these needs
                  short-term funding pots, focused             Brexit causes disruption to trade and    all of the 2019/20 relief cases with this                   were highly diverse in nature. Far
                  overwhelmingly on rough sleeping,            various temporary labour market,         outcome, as well as for 51,490 (63%) of                     from being dominated by complex
                  as well as the apparently ‘transitional’     welfare and housing protections are
                  nature of the accommodation to               scaled back or ended during 2021.        3	See Figure 4.11 in: Fitzpatrick, S., Pawson, H., Bramley, G., Wood, J., Watts, B., Stephens, M. & Blenkinsopp, J.
                  be provided under the Next Steps                                                         (2019) The Homelessness Monitor: England 2019. London: Crisis. Local authority case actions’ in this context
                                                                                                           refers to the households subject to Housing 1996 main duty decisions plus those assisted by local authorities
                  programme
                                                                                                           via informal prevention or relief in that year (2017/18).
                                                                                                        4	That is, at the effective start of the COVID-19 pandemic, largely preceding the impact of the Everyone In
                                                                                                           programme.
x   The homelessness monitor: England 2021                                                                                                                                                                                             Executive Summary   xi
              support needs associated with drug or                     Significantly, virtually all of this increase          temporary accommodation and other                           national application of Housing First,
              alcohol problems, offending or rough                      resulted from growth in single adult                   unconventional accommodation,                               and increased rates of Local Housing
              sleeping histories, as some might                         placements (especially single men)                     at around 19,000 each. The least                            Allowance). A successful levelling up
              assume, mental or physical ill-health                     – most probably associated with the                    numerous group were those actually                          of economic performance across the
              problems, and experience of domestic                      Everyone In emergency rough sleeper                    sleeping rough at a point in time,                          English regions would also contribute
              violence, were more prominent.                            temporary housing initiative launched                  which we estimate at 13,600.                                to the reduction of core homelessness.
              In fact, only a small proportion of                       in March 2020, as discussed further
              applicants are subject to ‘complex                        below.                                                 The gradual increase in overall                             Economic, policy and COVID-19
              support needs’ (e.g. 3 per cent of                                                                               numbers from 2012 to 2019 concealed                         impacts on homelessness
              ‘owed a duty’ applicants in London                        Core homelessness                                      wide differences between different                          Going into COVID-19, the United
              had support needs associated with                         For the first time in this year’s Monitor,             categories, with hostel placements                          Kingdom had experienced a decade
              drug dependency; 7 per cent in rest of                    we present quantitative analysis of                    declining by 13 per cent, and sofa                          of austerity, which included public
              England).                                                 ‘core homelessness’, which captures                    surfers and other unconventional                            expenditure constraints affecting
                                                                        some of the most severe and                            increasing by 16 per cent and 13 per                        public services and social security
              Other key points to flag from                             immediate forms of homelessness.5                      cent, while rough sleeping virtually                        benefits. In 2018/19, 17 per cent of
              analysis of these first two years of                                                                             doubled (99%) and unsuitable                                individuals in the United Kingdom
              the Homelessness Reduction Act                            The key categories captured by core                    temporary accommodation rose by                             lived in households whose income
              operation include some positive signs                     homelessness include people sleeping                   171 per cent.                                               before housing costs (adjusted for
              that may allay initial concerns about                     rough, staying in places not intended                                                                              household composition) fell below
              certain aspects of the legislation                        as residential accommodation                           Our predictions indicate that the                           the relative poverty threshold.
              (e.g., discharge of duty on grounds of                    (e.g. cars, tents, boats, sheds, etc.),                economic aftermath of COVID-19 risks                        Research conducted by Heriot-Watt
              ‘non-cooperation’ is rarely recorded                      living in homeless hostels, refuges                    a substantial rise in core homelessness                     University for the Joseph Rowntree
              in practice), but also its limitations.                   and shelters, placed in unsuitable                     unless the Government implements                            Foundation indicated that some 2.4
              Principal amongst these limitations is                    temporary accommodation (e.g. Bed                      a range of housing and welfare                              million people, including 550,000
              that substantial numbers of (mainly                       and Breakfast hotels, Out of Area                      mitigation interventions. This should                       children, experienced destitution at
              single) homeless applicants still reach                   Placements, etc.), and sofa surfing (i.e.,             include continuing with emergency                           some point in 2019.6 The survey also
              the end of the post- Homelessness                         staying with non-family, on a short-                   accommodation measures for                                  found that the extent of destitution
              Reduction Act operational procedures                      term basis, in overcrowded conditions).                those at risk of rough sleeping on a                        had grown, with the numbers of adults
              without having secured settled                                                                                   substantial scale, maximising targeted                      and children affected rising by more
              accommodation, or even having had                         We estimate core homelessness                          homelessness prevention measures,                           than half since 2017. Consequently,
              such accommodation offered to                             in England to have totalled nearly                     ensuring social rehousing quotas                            the relatively stable overall poverty
              them (around 20,000 households in                         220,000 in 2019, having risen from                     for homeless people, placing limits                         rate over the past 15 years seems to
              2019/20).                                                 about 187,000 in 2012. During 2020                     on evictions, and implementing key                          disguise increases in very extreme
                                                                        these numbers dropped somewhat                         welfare changes (especially raising the                     experiences of hardship that reflect the
              Thanks to various temporary protective                    to around 200,000, including a drop                    level of Local Housing Allowance to                         impacts of labour market and social
              measures (especially eviction                             in rough sleeping by a third mainly                    the level of median actual rents (and                       security change.
              moratoria, see below), the COVID-19                       due to the effects of the emergency                    maintaining that level).
              pandemic triggered no immediate                           COVID-19 ‘Everyone In’ programme                                                                                   COVID-19 has caused the most
              overall increase in homelessness                          aimed at those at risk of rough                        In the medium term, the most                                dramatic shrinkage of the economy
              applications. However, temporary                          sleeping (see further below).                          effective policies for reducing core                        ever experienced and in any other
              accommodation placements surged                                                                                  homelessness would be large                                 circumstances such as massive
              in Q2 2020. By quarter end, the                           The largest element of core                            increases in welfare benefit levels                         contraction of the economy would
              overall national total was more than                      homelessness in 2018-19 was its                        and associated measures to reduce                           have resulted in mass unemployment.
              6,000 higher than at the start, with                      least visible manifestation, sofa                      destitution, including raising the level                    But lockdown was accompanied by
              additional Bed and Breakfast hotel                        surfing, accounting for more than half                 of Local Housing Allowance as just                          unprecedented peacetime levels of
              placement accounting for half of this                     (110,000 households or individuals).                   noted. In the longer term, the largest                      economic stimulation and, notably,
              change. The latter, therefore, rose                       Next in numerical importance was                       projected impact on reducing core                           the various job ‘furlough’ schemes.
              from some 8,000 to some 11,000 over                       hostel and similar accommodation                       homelessness would result from a                            The first Coronavirus Job Retention
              the period – a 40 per cent increase.                      (42,000), followed by unsuitable                       large expansion of total and social                         Scheme, introduced in April 2020,
                                                                                                                               housing supply (accompanied by the                          met 80 per cent of a furloughed
              5	The core homelessness concept was introduced in research undertaken with Crisis in 2017 and updated           maintenance of social housing quotas                        employee’s salary up to £2,500 per
                 in 2018, with this Monitor representing a further major update. Bramley, G. (2017) Homelessness
                 Projections: Core homelessness in Great Britain. Summary Report. London: Crisis. https://www.crisis.org.
                                                                                                                               for core homeless households), the                          month (with the Government funding
                 uk/media/237582/crisis_homelessness_projections_2017.pdf; and Bramley, G. (2019) Housing Supply
                 Requirements across Great Britain for Low-Income Households and Homeless People: Research for Crisis          6	See Fitzpatrick, S., Bramley, G., Blenkinsopp, J., Wood, J., Sosenko, F., Littlewood, M., Johnsen, S., Watts,
                 and the National Housing Federation; Main Technical Report. Edinburgh: Heriot-Watt University. https://doi.      B., Treanor, M., & McIntyre, J. (2020) Destitution in the UK 2020. York: JRF. https://www.jrf.org.uk/report/
                 org/10.17861/bramley.2019.04                                                                                     destitution-uk-2020
xii   The homelessness monitor: England 2021                                                                                                                                                                                                 Executive Summary   xiii
                75 per cent of this cost). The scheme                     2020 Summer Statement reaffirming                       letter instructed all local authorities in                    under Everyone In did not return to the
                was extended until the end of March,                      planned housing investment as                           England to move everyone sleeping                             streets in winter.17 Various other smaller
                and then, in December, the Chancellor                     announced earlier in the year. The                      rough and in communal shelters into                           pots of funding targeted at rough
                announced a further extension until                       Affordable Homes Programme will be                      a safe place, ideally in self-contained                       sleeping were announced over the
                the end of April 2021. By the end of                      worth £12.2 billion over the five years                 accommodation, over the following                             course of the year, to operate alongside
                October, the scheme had supported                         to 2025/26, with annual spending                        two days.12 Over 90 per cent of                               pre-existing funding streams targeting
                almost 10 million (9.9 m) jobs at a cost                  rising by a quarter from £1.95 billion                  people sleeping rough known to                                homelessness, including the third
                of £46.4 billion.7 The initial furlough                   in 2020/21 to an average of £2.44                       Councils at the beginning of the crisis                       year of the Rough Sleepers Initiative
                scheme was also, according to our                         billion.8 However, the new Affordable                   were reported to have been offered                            programme, amounting to £112million
                local authority survey, crucial in                        Housing Programme differs from its                      accommodation in commercial hotels,                           in 2020/21. In the Spending Review on
                mitigating homelessness risks during                      predecessors in some important ways:                    Bed and Breakfasts, holiday lets,                             25th November, the Chancellor made
                the COVID-19 crisis: 80 per cent of                       in particular, it shifts funding away                   university accommodation or housing                           available further new monies (£151
                respondents considered it ‘very’ or                       from renting and towards ownership                      association stock, many of whom                               million) for local authorities to spend
                ‘somewhat’ important in this regard.                      by reverting to a roughly 50:50 split                   had been sleeping on the streets for                          on rough sleeping in 2021-22.
                                                                          between these tenures.9                                 years. By autumn 2020, around 33,000
                Lockdown brought the housing market                                                                               people had been assisted under these                          Notable by its absence, at the outset
                to a halt, whilst the wider economic                      Access to long-term housing was the                     ‘Everyone In’ arrangements.13                                 of the COVID-19 crisis, was any notion
                dislocation brought fears of mass                         capacity challenge most widely seen                                                                                   of a purely ‘localist’ approach to
                evictions and mortgage possessions.                       as having been posed (or emphasised)                    This Everyone In initiative was                               assisting the homeless population:18
                The Government acted to protect                           by the pandemic by local authorities                    preceded by £3.2 million targeted                             instead, strong, decisive and hands-
                tenants and mortgaged owners from                         in our national online survey. Some 61                  funding to local authorities to support                       on leadership was offered by central
                eviction during the pandemic by                           per cent of local authority respondents                 people sleeping rough and those                               Government and received and acted
                introducing compulsory and blanket                        considered that their authority was                     at risk, alongside £4.6 billion un-                           upon by Councils and other local
                forbearance on the part of landlords                      poorly or otherwise inadequately                        ringfenced funds14 to help councils                           stakeholders with a sense of urgency
                and mortgage lenders. For renters,                        equipped to deal with the crisis in                     cope with the overall financial                               and collective endeavour. While this
                forbearance relied on two main                            this respect. Among the minority of                     pressures of the pandemic.15 On 24th                          weakened over time, as discussed
                mechanisms. First, legal proceedings                      authorities where it became easier to                   May the Government announced                                  below, homeless people were, by and
                were halted and sometimes                                 access social rental tenancies during                   that it was to bring forward £161                             large, kept safe in in the early stages of
                enforcement action suspended.                             the pandemic, explanatory responses                     million out of an (increased) £433                            the pandemic. Levels of infection and
                Second, notice periods have been                          related in the main to amended                          million four-year budget to provide                           COVID-related deaths have been kept
                extended to six months until at least                     housing association or council                          6,000 new supported housing units                             low amongst this highly vulnerable
                the end of March 2021 in the majority                     allocation policies that gave increased                 for ex-rough sleepers, with 3,300                             population, so far at least, indicating a
                of cases (with exceptions for anti-social                 or overwhelming priority to homeless                    of these units to become available                            successful public health strategy.19
                behaviour and fraud). In this year’s                      households, usually for a time limited                  over the next 12 months.16 On 24th
                national online survey, 87 per cent                       period.                                                 June, it was announced that £105                              Other crucial factors in mitigating the
                of responding Councils considered                                                                                 million would be made available for                           impact of COVID-19 on homeless
                the evictions moratorium to have                          As reported in the Homelessness                         interim accommodation to ensure                               people included substantial additional
                been ‘very important’ in preventing or                    Monitor England 2020: COVID-19                          that those currently being assisted                           resources, radically improved
                minimising homelessness in their area.                    Crisis Response Briefing,10 (July 2020),
                                                                          the pandemic prompted a radical and                     12		Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (2020) Coronavirus (COVID-19): Letter from
                Notably, however, the Chancellor                          rapid nation-wide shift in responses                          Minister Hall to Local Authorities on Plans to Protect Rough Sleepers. Online: MHCLG. https://www.gov.uk/
                                                                                                                                        government/publications/letter-from-minister-hall-to-local-authorities
                chose not to increase the supply of                       to some of the most extreme forms                       13		Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (2020) Coronavirus (COVID-19) Emergency
                new affordable housing as part of the                     of homelessness with a remarkable                             Accommodation Survey Data: November 2020. Online: MHCLG. https://www.gov.uk/government/
                Government’s COVID-19 stimulus                            degree of success and speed.11 On                             publications/coronavirus-covid-19-emergency-accommodation-survey-data-november-2020
                                                                                                                                  14		As at October 2020 National Audit Office (2021) Investigation into the Housing of Rough Sleepers During
                package, in contrast to the response                      26th March, a Ministry of Housing,
                                                                                                                                        the Pandemic. London: NAO
                to the 2008 financial crisis, with his                    Communities and Local Government                        15		National Audit Office (2021) Investigation into the Housing of Rough Sleepers During the Pandemic.
                                                                                                                                        London: NAO
                                                                                                                                  16		Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (2020) 6,000 New Supported Homes as Part
                7	Gov.UK (2020) HMRC Coronavirus (COVID-19) statistics, last updated 17 December. Online: Gov.UK https://              of Landmark Commitment to End Rough Sleeping. Online: MHCLG. https://www.gov.uk/government/
                   www.gov.uk/government/statistics/coronavirus-job-retention-scheme-statistics-december-2020                           news/6000-new-supported-homes-as-part-of-landmark-commitment-to-end-rough-sleeping
                8	Perry, J. (2020) ‘Building back better? Post-Covid housing programmes’, in Stephens, M. et. al. (eds) UK       17		Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (2020) £105 Million to keep Rough Sleepers
                   Housing Review Autumn Briefing. Coventry: CIH                                                                        Safe and off the Streets During Coronavirus Pandemic. Online: MHCLG. https://www.gov.uk/government/
                9	Ibid.                                                                                                                news/105-million-to-keep-rough-sleepers-safe-and-off-the-streets-during-coronavirus-pandemic
                10	Fitzpatrick, S., Watts, B. & Sims, R. (2020) Homelessness Monitor England 2020: COVID-19 Crisis Response      18		Fitzpatrick, S., Pawson, H. & Watts, B. (2020) 'The limits of localism: a decade of disaster on homelessness
                   Briefing. London: Crisis. https://www.crisis.org.uk/ending-homelessness/homelessness-knowledge-hub/                  in England', Policy and Politics, 48(4), 541-561. https://doi.org/10.1332/030557320X15857338944387
                   homelessness-monitor/england/homelessness-monitor-england-2020-covid-19-crisis-response-briefing/              19		Lewer, D., Braithwaite, I., Bullock, M., Eyre, M.T., White, P.J., Aldridge, R.W., Story, A. & Hayward, A.C. (2020)
                11	See also National Audit Office (2021) Investigation into the Housing of Rough Sleepers During the Pandemic.         ‘Covid amongst people experiencing homelessness in England: a modelling study’, The Lancet, 8(12), 1181-
                   London: NAO                                                                                                          1191. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30396-9/fulltext#seccestitle70
xiv   The homelessness monitor: England 2021                                                                                                                                                                            Executive Summary   xv
                collaborative working (especially                      both local authorities and key                        accommodation of non-United                          of the senior homelessness experts
                between health and homelessness                        informants raised concerns about the                  Kingdom nationals ineligible for                     we interviewed mid-pandemic.
                services), and a workforce that adapted                deleterious impacts on homelessness                   benefits and the continuation of                     Interestingly, the local authority
                swiftly to a wholly unprecedented                      if enhancements to Local Housing                      Everyone In, became a matter of                      survey also indicated that only a very
                challenge. While local authorities                     Allowance and Universal Credit were                   acute concern for Local Authorities                  small number of councils expected
                generally gave an upbeat assessment                    not sustained in the longer-term,                     and their third sector partners as the               to continue to use dormitory-style
                of their own performance in response                   about the failure to uprate ‘legacy’                  crisis progressed. It also resulted in               provision post-pandemic. However,
                to homelessness during the COVID-19                    benefits such as Income Support,20                    growing variation in local authority                 given the high-profile Government
                crisis, it was clear that the resilience               and the offsetting effect of the Total                practice across the country as the                   commitment to ‘end’ rough sleeping
                of both staff and resources had been                   Benefit Cap on the Local Housing                      year progressed, notwithstanding a                   by 2024, fears were expressed by some
                severely tested, with the National Audit               Allowance uplift in particular.                       change in the Homelessness Code of                   key informants that communal shelter
                Office remarking that many councils                                                                          Guidance advising local authorities                  provision, or at least more congregate-
                were surprised by the sheer scale of                   Moreover, the official homelessness                   to respond sympathetically to those                  style hostels, might be expanded to
                need that Everyone In uncovered. The                   statistics for April-June 2020 capture                made vulnerable as a result of the                   help meet this target. Furthermore, the
                large amount of emergency funding                      the dramatic impact of the evictions                  pandemic.22 The protections offered                  speed with which the capital budget
                made available by central Government                   ban, with the number of homeless                      to those in asylum accommodation,                    in the Next Steps programme was
                to respond to homelessness during the                  households assisted as a result of the                for example, has also weakened in the                required to be spent was argued as
                pandemic was widely acknowledged                       ending of private and social tenancies                second and third COVID lockdowns.                    undermining the ability to deploy these
                by key informants, but the proliferation               plummeting, while cases associated                                                                         resources strategically and, potentially,
                of highly specified, short-term funding                with family and friend exclusions                     Key informants pointed to the strong                 opening up the danger of damaging
                pots was viewed as less than strategic,                or domestic violence remained                         foundations laid by the Rough Sleepers               new ‘path dependencies’ associated
                with rapid turnaround bidding                          steady. The suspension of evictions                   Initiative and the Homelessness                      with hasty investments in inappropriate
                processes layering further stress onto                 from asylum accommodation, and                        Reduction Act in enabling a more                     forms of accommodation.
                struggling local authorities.                          easement of restrictions on support for               effective response to COVID-19
                                                                       people originally from the European                   than might otherwise have been                       Conclusion
                Supportive wider changes to welfare                    Economic Area who are not in                          the case, particularly with regards to               The sharp disjuncture represented
                policy were also vital in protecting                   employment,21 were humanitarian                       single homeless people. That said,                   by the catastrophe of the COVID-19
                homeless people and other low-                         interventions that also likely saved                  the Homelessness Reduction Act                       pandemic opens up an opportunity to
                income groups during the crisis. In                    lives, or at least immense suffering.                 received only qualified endorsement                  reflect on the shape of homelessness
                particular, the raising of the Local                                                                         from local authority respondents with                services in the future, and in particular
                Housing Allowance maximum to cover                     It is striking that, despite the scale and            regard to the role it played during the              the future role of congregate models
                the 30th percentile of private rents                   apparent success of the Everyone In                   pandemic; those who were positive                    of accommodation, especially that
                was considered ‘very’ or ‘somewhat’                    initiative, enumerated levels of rough                pointed to its pivot towards earlier                 employing dormitory-style shared
                important in mitigating homelessness                   sleeping in London, as captured in                    forms of intervention, while the (very               sleeping provision. On the more
                risks by 82 per cent of local authorities              the CHAIN dataset, did not alter much                 small) minority who were singularly                  immediate horizon, a pressing
                in our national survey, while the                      during 2020, with new rough sleepers                  critical flagged what they perceived as              priority remains effective move-on
                corresponding percentage was                           even spiking during the most active                   excessive bureaucracy associated with                arrangements for people temporarily
                almost as high (74%) with regard to                    phase of Everyone In (April-June                      specified operational procedures and                 accommodated during the COVID-19
                the temporary suspension of benefit                    2020). However, the extent to which                   statistical monitoring.                              crisis, especially those with No
                sanctions. Around two-thirds of all                    these statistics reflect 'real' patterns                                                                   Recourse to Public Funds who, by
                local authority respondents (66-68%)                   in levels of rough sleeping over the                  One striking point to emerge during                  autumn 2020, comprised around half
                considered additional Local Welfare                    course of this extraordinary year, as                 the pandemic was the extent to                       of the population accommodated in
                Assistance funding, enhancement of                     opposed to variations in the intensity                which dormitory-style shelters have                  London under ‘Everyone In’.
                Universal Credit standard allowances                   of outreach activity and data capture,                continued in use to accommodate
                (by £20 per week), and the temporary                   is difficult to judge                                 homeless people in at least some parts               The 2022 Homelessness Monitor
                suspension of (most) debt-related                                                                            of England. Over half (52%) of local                 England will be able to assess the
                benefit deductions, as likewise                        However, subsequent ‘mixed                            authorities reported at least some                   success or otherwise of efforts to
                important in preventing or minimising                  messages’ from central Government,                    homelessness accommodation of this                   resolve the predicament of these
                homelessness in their area. However,                   particularly with regard to the                       type in their area pre-pandemic, albeit              vulnerable migrants, as well as to
                                                                                                                             often confined to winter or extreme                  stem the potential tidal wave of ‘new’
                20	Child Poverty Action Group (2020) Supporting Families During the COVID-19 Pandemic. Online: CPAG.        weather conditions. A decisive shift                 homelessness expected as the COVID-
                      https://cpag.org.uk/policy-and-campaigns/briefing/supporting-families-during-covid-19-pandemic
                21		Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (2020) Letter from Minister for Rough Sleeping
                                                                                                                             away from the use of night shelters                  19-induced recession takes hold, Brexit
                      on Funding for Emergency Accommodation During the Pandemic, and Support for EEA Rough Sleepers.        was, unsurprisingly, a priority of many              causes disruption to trade and various
                      Online: MHCLG. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-letter-from-
                      minister-hall-to-local-authorities-on-funding-support-for-those-in-emergency-accommodation-and-
                      eea-rough-sleepers                                                                                     22	See https://www.gov.uk/guidance/homelessness-code-of-guidance-for-local-authorities/updates
xvi   The homelessness monitor: England 2021

                temporary labour market, welfare and
                housing protections are scaled back
                or ended. More positively, it should
                also enable reflection on the extent
                to which opportunities to ‘build back
                better’ are starting to materialise in the
                post-pandemic era.

                Longer-term, a key factor in
                determining economic prospects
                and the level of social protection is
                whether the Government returns to a
                policy of austerity in order to reduce
                the levels of debt built up as a result
                of COVID-19. The lesson of the last 10
                years is that this will be of fundamental
                importance to determining the context
                of homelessness over the next decade.

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