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The thin line between leadership and mediocrity - Bertelsmann Stiftung
PolicyBrief

                                    Policy Brief | 12.2017

             The thin line
   between leadership and mediocrity
                     Can Ukraine become a role model
                        in fighting disinformation?

                                       Łukasz Wenerski

After more than three years of                   Introduction
debunking Kremlin “fake news”,
Ukraine does not have a perfect track            “Fake news” has been officially named
record in countering manipulation. Yet,          word of the year by Collins English
the country has made enough progress             Dictionary and will be included in the next
to be treated by other Eastern                   print edition of the dictionary.1 The word,
Partnership countries as a possible              which has no precise meaning but
example on how to approach the issue             generally describes information that has
of fighting disinformation and                   been either fabricated or manipulated, has
developing strategic communication.              witnessed a surge in popularity in 2017,
Non-governmental actors in Ukraine               mostly in the aftermath of the United States
have achieved a level of experience and          presidential election. On the one hand, it
excellency that would be interesting for         has been widely discussed that sources
any organization dealing with Kremlin            connected to Russia meddled in the U.S.
propaganda, fact-checking or media
literacy. However, these organizations           1 'Fake news' named Collins Dictionary's official Word of
would need more international publicity          the Year for 2017, Independent,
to raise their visibility.                       http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/fake-
                                                 news-word-of-the-year-2017-collins-dictionary-donald-
                                                 trump-kellyanne-conway-antifa-corbynmania-
                                                 a8032751.html
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 2

election by flooding social media with                 well as by Kremlin propaganda.
manipulated information and sponsored
ads aimed at polarizing American society.              But there is also another side to the
On the other hand, U.S. President Donald               “information warfare” between Ukraine and
Trump, who is considered the biggest                   Russia. Ukrainians now have more than
beneficiary of the manipulated stories                 three years of experience in debunking
produced by Russian sources as the vast                fake news and uncovering the mechanisms
majority of such stories were tailored to his          for spreading manipulated information. As
favor, uses the term “fake news” in a very             a consequence, among Ukrainian civil
different context. He has often called any             society activists, experts and politicians,
information that might present him in a                knowledge of how Kremlin propaganda
negative light “fake news”. Such                       actually works and how to counter it often
accusations have been directed at, among               exceeds the knowledge and experience of
others, CNN, The New York Times, the                   their counterparts from the Eastern
U.S. Democratic Party and even some                    Partnership countries, the European Union
fellow Republicans.                                    or the USA. This opens a vast field for
                                                       potential cooperation for sharing this know-
In Europe, “fake news” gained momentum                 how between Ukraine and other countries.
due to a series of elections and                       Ukraine – in an unlikely role reversal in its
referendums in which manipulated                       relations with the West – could be a source
information is considered to have played an            of knowledge that can help other countries
important role in misleading public opinion.           to monitor and address disinformation.
This includes events such as the elections             Despite Ukraine being experienced and
in France, Netherlands, and to a lesser                likely more than capable of providing others
extent, Germany, and the referendums on                its fair share of knowledge on countering
Brexit and Catalonian independence. In all             disinformation, the notion of considering it a
cases, Russian sources are believed to                 role model remains unpopular, even among
have been involved in manipulation and                 countries which have already recognized
disinformation.                                        the threat of the Kremlin’s manipulations. A
                                                       series of factors, such as a controversial
The modern use of “fake news,” which                   national disinformation strategy, and de
involves a coordinated action on both                  facto instrumentalization of information
online and offline media platforms but is              policy for its own purposes by the Ukrainian
largely concentrated on the internet, was              ruling elite as well as limited recognition for
widely noticed for the first time when the             Ukrainian “anti-manipulation” initiatives
Kremlin propaganda machine played a                    have also contributed to the fact that
crucial part in the Russian-Ukrainian                  Ukraine’s case of countering propaganda is
conflict, which erupted in 2014 when                   worth analyzing, but not always worth
Russia annexed Crimea and engaged in                   following.
war in Donbas. The internet was flooded
with fake news and manipulated                         Status quo: belated and controversial,
information aimed at showing that the                  yet making progress
people who supported the Revolution of
Dignity and the politicians who came to                Members of Ukrainian civil society and
power after president Yanukovych fled the              Ukrainian officials have been indicating
country were a true danger not only to                 Russia’s propaganda machine as one of
“normal” Ukrainians but to Russians and                the key elements of its hybrid warfare since
even others, including the EU. For more                2014. Dmytro Shulkin, deputy head of
than three years now, Ukraine has been                 Ukraine’s presidential administration, told
under constant shelling - in real terms as             the Financial Times in October 2017 that,
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 3

already back in 2015, Ukraine warned                              Information Policy, the Ministry of Foreign
Facebook and the U.S. administration that                         Affairs, the Ukrainian Security Service, the
Russia is spreading disinformation on                             State Special Communications Services
social media.2 Even though Ukrainian                              and the National Institute for Strategic
officials have undertaken actions to inform                       Studies.6
other countries that Russian information
warfare is a real threat, their actions were                      The Information Security Doctrine was
not underpinned with an effective, fully-                         created as a comprehensive strategy to
fledged strategy. It was only in February                         counter Kremlin propaganda. It has,
2017 that Ukrainian president Petro                               however, raised considerable concerns
Poroshenko approved the Information                               stemming from the dilemma of whether
Security Doctrine,3 a strategic document                          more security measures7 can be
adopted with the purpose of effectively                           implemented at the cost of personal
addressing security threats faced by                              freedoms, primarily the freedom of
Ukraine. Although work on the Doctrine                            expression. Opinions expressed not only
had started much earlier – the first draft of                     by the political opposition to the current
the strategy was discussed during public                          Ukrainian ruling elite, but also by members
consultations already in mid-20154 – it took                      of civil society, including Amnesty
Ukrainian politicians almost three years                          International8 and the Internet Association
(counting from the annexation of Crimea by                        of Ukraine, have raised concerns that the
Russia), despite awareness that                                   new Doctrine not only counters Kremlin
information about Ukraine is manipulated                          propaganda but can also lead to excessive
every day, to develop its fight against                           control of the Internet by the state.9 Despite
Russian “fake news” into an official                              this criticism, the Doctrine has been in
strategy.                                                         force since February. Its provisions were
                                                                  among the factors that led to the decision
The Information Security Doctrine openly                          to ban the Russian social media portals
states that its elaboration and adoption is a                     VKontakte and Odnoklassniki in Ukraine as
reaction to Russian hybrid warfare against                        internet sources which extensively promote
Ukraine and that its main goal is to create                       anti-Ukrainian propaganda, a move yet
an information strategy for Ukraine and an                        again perceived as controversial. Thorbjorn
information barrier against Russian                               Jagland, the head of the Council of Europe,
propaganda.5 For implementation of the                            even stated that banning Russian social
Doctrine’s provisions, the document                               media websites contradicted the “common
regulates the division of responsibilities
between numerous official bodies: the
                                                                  6 Ukraine’s Information Security Doctrine: A
                                                                  Breakthrough or the Veneer of Change?, The Jamestown
Cabinet of Ministers, the National Security                       Foundation, https://jamestown.org/program/ukraines-
and Defense Council, the Ministry of                              information-security-doctrine-breakthrough-veneer-
                                                                  change/
                                                                  7 The question remains of what is the long-lasting strategy
2 Ukraine says it warned Facebook of Russia fake news in          of the Ukrainian ruling elite with regard to the
2015, Financial Times,                                            implementation of the doctrine. Does it want to use
https://www.ft.com/content/c63d76d4-bd1e-11e7-b8a3-               provisions of the doctrine purely to counter Russian
38a6e068f464                                                      disinformation, or may the temptation of using the
3 President approved Information Security Doctrine of             doctrine’s provisions lead to strengthening the power of
Ukraine, http://www.president.gov.ua/en/news/glava-               the ruling elite by increasing control over Ukrainian
derzhavi-zatverdiv-doktrinu-informacijnoyi-bezpeki-ukr-           society and political opposition
                                                                  8 Указ Порошенко загрожує свободі слова – Amnesty
40190
4В Киеве обсудили проект Концепции                                International, Dzerkalo Tyzhnia,
информбезопасности страны, Nova Vlada,                            https://dt.ua/UKRAINE/ukaz-poroshenko-zagrozhuye-
http://novavlada.info/gosudarstvo/v-kieve-obsudili-proekt-        svobodi-slova-amnesty-international-234750_.html
                                                                  9 Ukraine’s Information Security Doctrine: A
koncepcii-informbezopasnosti-strany
5President approved Information Security Doctrine of              Breakthrough or the Veneer of Change?, The Jamestown
Ukraine, http://www.president.gov.ua/en/news/glava-               Foundation, https://jamestown.org/program/ukraines-
derzhavi-zatverdiv-doktrinu-informacijnoyi-bezpeki-ukr-           information-security-doctrine-breakthrough-veneer-
40190                                                             change/
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 4

understanding of freedom of expression.”10.                     Despite the controversies over provisions
Moreover, more than half (58%) of                               of the Information Security Doctrine, one
Ukrainians do not support this decision,                        should not neglect the fact that the
according to the opinion poll by GfK                            strategic communication of the Ukrainian
Ukraine and the Center for Insights in                          government aimed at countering Kremlin
Survey Research.11 Other results of                             disinformation      has       been     slowly
implementing the Doctrine are yet to be                         progressing. For instance, a number of
seen, but one can state that its provision                      actions have been implemented by the
and current implementation are not the                          Ministry of Information Policy13 or the
best promotion of the Ukrainian state’s                         Ministry of Foreign Affairs.14 The conclusion
approach to countering Russian                                  of     the    Strategic      Communications
misinformation.                                                 Partnership Road Map between Ukraine
                                                                and NATO in October 2015 was also an
Separate criticism has been raised against                      important step.15 In the document, both
the Ministry of Information Policy, a                           sides agreed that the NATO Public
governmental body established in 2015,                          Diplomacy Division would support Ukraine
which is supposed to play a key role in                         in the implementation of goals that would
implementing the Information Security                           lead to the improvement of Ukraine’s
Doctrine. The Ministry has to face a series                     strategic communications. One example of
of concerns, such as capacity shortages                         this cooperation are the Strategic
(29 employees, 4 million UAH initial                            Communications courses for SBU officers
budget) and limited delegation of power,                        that started in 2016 at the National
which narrows its possibility to work                           Academy of the Security Service of
effectively. The biggest problem, however,                      Ukraine.
is, that according to many journalists and
activists the Ministry should have never                        Non-state actors: many activities,
been created in the first place; it was                         moderate recognition
established without proper public
consultation and under fears that its modus                     Having to counter the Kremlin’s
operandi would lead to the restriction of the                   propaganda while at the same time
freedom of speech. The Ministry of                              debunking fake news has been a serious
Information Policy has never recovered                          concern of Ukrainian non-governmental
from these accusations. It remains                              organizations. Civil society has been
unpopular among many activists and                              quicker and more efficient than the
journalists, who sometimes call it “Ministry                    government at reacting, targeting and
of Truth” with reference to Georg Orwell’s                      revealing deliberate Russian disinformation
novel “1984”12                                                  on Ukraine propagated both in Ukraine and
                                                                in other countries. A number of projects
                                                                have been established to counter the
10 Ukraine bans its top social networks because they are        problem of manipulation from different
Russian, The Economist                                          angles – to debunk Kremlin fake news in
https://www.economist.com/news/europe/21722360-
blocking-websites-may-be-pointless-it-could-help-               Ukraine, to reveal untrue stories about
president-poroshenkos-popularity-ukraine                        Ukraine abroad or to generally monitor
11Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine,

September 14 – October 10, 2017, International
                                                                13
Republican Institute,                                              For instance: http://mip.gov.ua/en/content/proekti-yaki-
http://www.iri.org/sites/default/files/2017-11-                 realizovani-za-pidtrimki-mip.html
                                                                14 For instance: http://mfa.gov.ua/en/page/open/id/5026;
28_ukraine_poll_presentation.pdf
12 Analyzing the Ground Zero. What Western Countries            http://mfa.gov.ua/en/page/open/id/4130
                                                                15 Strategic Communications Partnership Road Map
can Learn From Ukrainian Experience of
Combating Russian Disinformation, European Values,              between the National Security and Defense Council of
http://www.europeanvalues.net/wp-                               Ukraine and the NATO International
content/uploads/2017/12/Analyzing-the-Ground-Zero..pdf,         Staff,http://mfa.gov.ua/mediafiles/sites/nato/files/Roadma
pp. 6-7                                                         p_Eng.pdf
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 5

actions originating from Russia that may be              represents yet another type of activity. It is
harmful to the image of Ukraine. These                   a volunteer community that conducts
efforts have been supplemented by                        investigations aimed at debunking Kremlin
projects implemented by Ukrainian think                  disinformation or identifying Kremlin-
tanks on monitoring the Kremlin’s soft                   connected covert activities. Using open
power influence in Ukraine and other                     source data collection, InformNapalm has
countries.                                               investigated topics such as the Russian
                                                         intervention in Syria, the crash of the
Although the common goal of countering                   Malaysian Airlines Boeing over Donbas in
information manipulation unites a variety of             July 2014 and Kremlin-backed protests in
Ukrainian or Ukraine-originated actors,                  Poland. Another organization, Information
their activities and target groups vary                  Resistance, tries to cover both analytical
substantially. First, one should mention                 work and investigative activities. This non-
fact-checking efforts, that is, the verification         governmental organization also directs its
of the authenticity of information from                  efforts at debunking fake news.
media outlets.
                                                         Although Ukrainian non-state actors have
StopFake is a Ukrainian media platform                   the capacity for countering manipulated
which specializes in the fact-checking of                information, one can argue that they lack
international news about Ukraine. Its main               international recognition. With the
goal is to verify and refute disinformation              exceptions of StopFake and InformNapalm,
and propaganda about events in Ukraine                   knowledge about the other organizations is
which are circulated in the media outlets of             limited to the relatively small groups of
different countries. The organization                    experts who either follow the situation in
investigates and debunks fake news                       Ukraine closely or specialize in the topic of
related to Ukraine in ten languages and                  Kremlin propaganda.
publishes it on dedicated websites and in
social media. It also produces “Stop Fake                StopFake is an especially interesting
News”, a fake-news debunking broadcast,                  example. The group received a serious
which is available online and aired regularly            promotional boost and attention from the
on about 30 Ukrainian television stations.               international media when it became
                                                         apparent that Russia was involved in
DetectorMedia, “watchdog of the                          meddling with the U.S. election. Articles
Ukrainian media” as it is called by its                  about its work appeared in Politico16 and
authors, is more domestically oriented. It               The New York Times.17 Recognition of the
monitors and reveals manipulations and                   importance of StopFake’s knowledge and
misinformation spread in the Ukrainian                   experience followed. In September 2017,
media by journalists or politicians.                     StopFake journalists took part in the U.S.
                                                         Congressional hearing entitled The
Other groups focus their efforts on                      Scourge of Disinformation, where Russia’s
delivering information on specific issues.               goals in its hybrid warfare were discussed.
They would include VoxUkraine, an                        Among the factors that helped to raise
analytical platform that shares quality                  StopFake’s visibility was its focus on
research about the real economic situation               reaching out to an international audience.
of Ukraine, as well as News of Donbas, a                 By monitoring foreign media outlets, its
news agency that delivers accurate
information about the situation in the                   16 Ukraine’s fight against fake news goes global, Politico,
Donbas region.                                           https://www.politico.eu/article/on-the-fake-news-frontline/
                                                         17 To Battle Fake News, Ukrainian Show Features Nothing

                                                         but Lies, The New York Times,
On the other hand, InformNapalm                          https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/26/world/europe/ukrain
                                                         e-kiev-fake-news.html
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 6

volunteers were able to show that it is not                     for Ukraine are twofold. Firstly, its influence
only Ukraine that is susceptible to media                       on other countries as regards how to
manipulation – this vulnerability is present                    counter propaganda is limited because the
in other countries as well. This move raised                    process of effective “debunking” in the
awareness by exposing people to the truth                       West is still in its early stages. Secondly, if
that similar manipulations of facts happen                      used appropriately, the current situation
“at home” as well, and not just “somewhere                      gives the Ukrainian side an enormous
else,” like in far-away Ukraine.                                chance to be involved in the process of
                                                                creating international mechanisms to
Other organizations which either direct their                   counter fake news from the beginning and
work to different target audiences (such as                     promote itself as a leader in the field.
the expert community or people following
Ukrainian media only) or concentrate on                         But there is another obstacle to overcome.
monitoring the situation within Ukraine                         Even if Ukraine is capable of being a role
have not achieved this level of international                   model for countering propaganda (which is
recognition. To promote their work, other                       still not the case when it comes to
mechanisms and channels of sharing their                        government actions and is limited when it
expertise need to be developed.                                 comes to non-governmental actors), the
                                                                question remains: Would others be willing
Lack of trust in expertise                                      to listen to Ukraine’s advice? The
                                                                stereotypical thinking is that Ukraine is the
The belated and controversial politics of the                   recipient of support and advice and not
Ukrainian government in countering                              someone who has something to offer that
propaganda and the rather limited                               might be considered valuable by other
recognition of Ukrainian non-governmental                       partners. It is not unlikely that it may be
efforts to stop information manipulation are                    difficult for other, more developed (both
important, but they are not the only factors                    with regard to their economy and
that have contributed to Ukraine’s modest                       democracy) countries to acknowledge that
role in the “industry” of fighting                              they can learn something from their
disinformation. The general problem is that                     Ukrainian counterparts, especially on such
although many countries have already                            an unprecedented topic where an entirely
acknowledged the problem of “alternative                        new approach to a problem has to be
facts” spreading in the internet, they are                      developed. The paradigm, i.e. the
lagging behind in the implementation of                         reluctance of acquiring knowledge from
appropriate measures for countering it. To                      countries that are traditionally considered
mitigate the flood of fake news, an                             to be less-developed, was recently
advanced coordination of various                                dismissed by the U.S. Congress, which
stakeholders, such as governments,                              invited StopFake as experts on debunking
security agencies, online corporations                          fake news to its hearing on Russia’s hybrid
(Facebook, Google) and non-governmental                         warfare methods, but this example can only
actors is necessary. This process is only at                    be considered an exception, as opposed to
the very early stages now and is facing                         a rule.
obstacles and resistance, especially from
social media platforms, which are the main                      Conclusions and recommendations
carriers of fake news.18 The consequences
                                                                Ukraine as a state is not ready to be a
18Just one of the examples: German spy agency attacks           “role-model” for the EU or the USA in
Facebook and others for failing to tackle fake news, The        countering the Kremlin’s manipulations.
Guardian,
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/nov/27/germany
-spy-agency-facebook-tech-fake-news
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 7

Too many problems need to be overcome                 of anti-Western propaganda on the
first. The Ukrainian government needs to              population.”19 The Ukrainian government,
re-evaluate its actions in countering                 has sufficient knowledge to offer an
disinformation. Previous activities have              exchange of experience to their Georgian
been only partly effective. Presumably, one           counterparts on how to approach this
of the biggest problems is that the                   issue.
Ukrainian ruling elite lacks understanding
of how to communicate with journalists and            The situation is a little different with non-
activists, whose expertise on how to                  governmental organizations. In many cases
introduce effective mechanisms of                     they are experienced enough to be
countering Kremlin disinformation is often            considered role models for fighting
neglected and not appreciated. This was               disinformation by organizations in the EaP,
the case of the Information Security                  the EU and the USA. The work of these
Doctrine; its provisions have been                    organizations covers a variety of activities
considered controversial by both Ukrainian            and multiple target groups. They do news
NGO’s and international organizations. The            fact-checking, open-source investigations
strategy should be revisited and adjusted             and analytical research. They are
accordingly to meet recognized standards              increasingly engaging in media literacy
of protection of freedom of speech. A                 projects. What is needed now is support
similar situation happened with the Ministry          from the Ukrainian state and other actors
of Information Policy. Civil society                  (for instance, the EU) to raise the visibility
representatives were not satisfactorily               of these efforts. While StopFake and
involved in the process of the creation of            InformNapalm are already recognizable
the Ministry, which in turn resulted in               beyond Ukraine’s borders, other groups
resentment against its work and the                   that are involved in analyzing and fighting
competences of its employees.
                                                      disinformation could use a further PR
Nevertheless, even with these problems,               boost. New ways of communicating
Ukraine’s experience can be of paramount              between organizations (from Ukraine and
importance for other Eastern Partnership              from other countries) and between
countries. Taking into account the many               organizations and the general public should
similar problems these countries face vis-à-          be established. Platforms of
vis their relations with Russia, advice               communication should include: an annual
coming from Ukraine would definitely prove            conference on debunking fake news
useful. Problems, such as the controversy             organized in Ukraine; a series of
over the work of the Ministry of Information          international events in European countries
Policy are somehow balanced by positive               devoted to the promotion of Ukrainian
actions, for instance by the support of               initiatives and projects that deal with
institutions such as NATO, it is in the               countering manipulation; an online platform
process of developing its Strategic                   promoting Ukrainian efforts (in English and
Communications aimed at countering                    preferably other languages) and their
disinformation. If other countries intend to          achievements in monitoring and fighting
develop their own concept of strategic                propaganda; video channels targeting an
communication, they would do well to                  international audience.
consult their Ukrainian partner. In 2017, the
Georgian government adopted a
communication strategy on Georgia’s EU
                                                      19Communication
and NATO Membership for 2017-2020.                                     Strategy of the Government of Georgia
                                                      on Georgia’s EU and NATO Membership for 2017-2020,
One of the goals of the strategy is the               http://www.eu-nato.gov.ge/sites/default/files/EU-
“prevention and reduction of the influence            NATO%20Communication%20Strategy_ENG%20Final%
                                                      20version.pdf
The thin line between leadership and mediocrity | page 8

The next step for the Ukrainian government                 Cover photo
and non-governmental actors would be to                    Alexlmx / fotolia.com
implement a common coordinated plan
aimed at maximizing Ukraine’s presence                     Address | Contact
                                                           Gabriele Schöler
wherever new models for fighting
                                                           Senior Project Manager
disinformation are discussed. In practical
                                                           Program The Future of Europe
terms, it means a presence and lobbying in                 Bertelsmann Stiftung
all important capitals (such as Washington,                Telephone +49 05241 81-81205
Berlin, Paris, London, Brussels) of                        Mobile       +49 0172 5207 790
countries that are coming to acknowledge                   Fax          +49 05241 81-681205
                                                           Gabriele.schoeler@bertelsmann-stiftung.de
that propaganda is a real issue. The first
                                                           www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de
target should probably be Washington,
where the U.S. administration is now                       Dr Agnieszka Łada
considering taking appropriate measures                    Director of the European Programme
(legislation) to increase general                          /Senior Analyst
transparency and mitigate fake news in the                 Institute of Public Affairs
                                                           Telephone +48 22 5564288
social media.
                                                           Fax          +48 22 5564262
                                                           agnieszka.lada@isp.org.pl
                                                           www.isp.org.pl

Łukasz Wenerski works as an analyst
and project coordinator for the Institute
of Public Affairs, a leading independent
think-tank in Warsaw

This report was prepared within the
framework of the project “Young
Leaders for Europe”, jointly run by the
Bertelsmann Stiftung and the Heinz
Nixdorf Stiftung.
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