THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit

 
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THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit
THE YEAR AHEAD
U.S. SPORTS
BETTING
OPPORTUNITIES

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THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit
Presented by John English
   MARCH 20th 2019
    Copyright 2019 All Rights Reserved
THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit
Leader in Gaming and Hospitality Consulting

Strategic Planning • Public Policy • Tourism Development
   Gaming and Integrated Resort Market Assessments
       Sports Betting • Internet & Social Gaming
        Market Research • Operations Analysis
            Government Relations • Legal

      Las Vegas • Bangkok • Taipei • Denver

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THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit
   Partner, Managing Director of Sports Betting and Technology,
    Global Market Advisors
   Former Partner of American Wagering Inc.
   Developed and released the first approved sports betting kiosk
   Developed and released the first approved smartphone betting
    app
    ◦ First available on BlackBerry in 2010, later on Android
    ◦ First betting app in the Apple store in 2011
    ◦ Sold to William Hill in 2012
   Joined Betfair and TVG in 2013 to oversee development of Asia
    and the Americas
   Founder and President of WEBE Worldwide an Asia based
    consulting firm

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THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit
   Professional and Amateur Sports Protection
    Act of 1992 (PASPA)

    ◦ Essentially prohibited sports betting nationwide

    ◦ Did not include pari-mutuel racing or jai alai

    ◦ Nevada was the only state with full sports betting

    ◦ Exemptions for skill gaming, fantasy sports betting
      and in many states Daily fantasy sports.

      Delaware had NFL lottery, other exemptions for
       Montana and Oregon

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THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit
   PASPA backfired: prohibition was ineffective
    ◦ AGA estimated more than $150 billion wagered
      illegally each year
    ◦ Legal sports books must win back customers from
      the illegal market to be successful in the U.S.
    ◦ NBA, NHL, MLS, and other leagues have agreed that
      legalized sports betting is a better alternative
      Adam Silver NBA commissioner issued a New York
       Times op-ed on legalized sports betting in 2014

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THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit
   Non-regulated bookmakers have a strong
    advantage

    ◦ Ability to offer credit, better odds and pricing, cash
      back, online solutions

    ◦ Illegal books often don’t pay taxes, and ignore the
      Wire Act

   Convenience is a critical aspect of sports betting

    ◦ Operators will have to be creative and offer
      convenience to win back the customer

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THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit
   Murphy v. NCAA: states’ rights issue

    ◦ State of New Jersey attempted to legalize sports betting
      in 2012, sued by NCAA and pro leagues

    ◦ N.J. argued that PASPA violated the Tenth Amendment,
      states should have the right to enforce sports betting
      laws

    ◦ May 14, 2018, Supreme Court ruled 6-3 in favor of
      New Jersey

    ◦ New Jersey legalized sports betting less 3 weeks later
      and Delaware took the first bet June 5th. To date there
      are 8 states that have legalized sports betting and at
      least 22 states are considering legislation

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THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit
   The Interstate Wire Act of 1961 (“The Wire
    Act”) Modified in 2011
    ◦ Prohibits the transmission of money and
      information related to bets or wagers across
      state lines.
    ◦ U.S. Fifth Court of Appeals ruled that the Wire
      Act applies only to sports betting, no other
      types of online gambling
    ◦ DOJ has made a recent opinion to reverse
      modifications and disrupt online gaming efforts.
      Hearing set for June 14 2019

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THE YEAR AHEAD U.S. SPORTS BETTING OPPORTUNITIES - ASEAN Gaming Summit
   Sports betting currently legal on a state-by-state
    basis

    ◦ States beginning to enact laws or start moving in the
      direction of legislation and regulation

    ◦ Sports leagues campaigning to receive an “Integrity
      Fee”, royalties from bets places on their sport. Now
      sports book operations are forming partnerships with
      leagues to include sponsorships and branding
      awareness

    ◦ Operators and systems suppliers looking to capitalize
      on the untapped U.S. market

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o   NFL Football         o   Olympics
o   College Football     o   Boxing
o   NBA Basketball       o   MMA
o   College Basketball   o   Horse Racing
o   WNBA Basketball      o   Dog Racing
o   Baseball             o   eSports Events
o   Hockey               o   Daily Fantasy Sports
o   Golf                 o   Soccer
o   Poker
o   Tennis

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•   Money Lines     •   Teasers        •   Decimal
•   Point Spreads   •   Pleasers       •   Virtual
•   Totals          •   Futures        •   Contests
•   Propositions    •   In-play        •   Pari-Mutuel
•   Parlays         •   Event Wagers

\

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    States now with legal and regulated or pending
    sports betting:
     ◦ Nevada                ◦ New Mexico (one
                               tribe)
     ◦ Delaware
                             ◦ Pennsylvania
     ◦ New Jersey
                             ◦ Arkansas
     ◦ Mississippi             (pending)
     ◦ West Virginia         ◦ New York
                               (pending)
     ◦ Rhode Island

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   High volume, low margin business
◦ Capital Ex & FFE       ◦ Know Your Customer
                           (“KYC”) & Geolocation
◦ Risk management
  expertise              ◦ Compliance reporting

◦ Systems cost           ◦ Marketing

◦ Data feeds             ◦ Staffing, Customer
                           Support & Admin
◦ Bankroll & reserve
  accounts, Internal
  controls

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$0.94               $0.06

In Nevada, over $5 billion in sports betting handle
$300 million in revenue in 2018, hold (win) of 6%
     Operators hold 6¢ of every $1.00

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   Nevada tax 6.75% of all
    gaming revenue

   Federal tax 0.0025% of handle,
    roughly 5% of revenue

   Operating costs 2.4% of
    handle, roughly 48.25% of
    revenue

   EBITDA of 40.0%

    ◦ 2-3¢ of every $1.00

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   Some sports leagues have
    lobbied for a 1% of sports
    betting handle as an “integrity
    fee” built on a 5% hold model

    ◦ 20% of sports betting
      revenue

    ◦ EBITDA cut from 40% to 20%

       1¢ of every $1.00

   No integrity fees are currently
    paid in any legal jurisdiction,
    including Nevada

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   Gaming taxes on sports betting vary state-by-state
    ◦ Nevada: 6.75% (applies to all forms of gaming revenue)

    ◦ West Virginia: 10% of revenue

    ◦ Mississippi 12% of revenue

    ◦ New Jersey: 8.5% for land-based, 13% for online

    ◦ Pennsylvania: effective rate of 36% plus a one-time
     licensing fee of $10 million

    ◦ Rhode Island: 51% (run by state lottery)
      Services provided by William Hill & IGT

      Delaware is a similar structure with Scientific Games.

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   Operations, bankroll and reserves vary by state

   Operators could be in-house, state lotteries, or
    third-party operators

   Varying bet requirements and limits

    ◦ May allow mobile betting or just brick-and-mortar

    ◦ May or may not allow in-play wagering

    ◦ May or may not allow bets on events such as Oscars,
      eSports or Daily Fantasy Sports (“DFS”)

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   Certifications and state approvals:

    ◦ In-depth testing for the integrity of a gaming system
      GLI is a proven leader in testing globally in a timely and
      cost effective format

    ◦ States must validate and verify that operators maintain
      hardware and software, avoid glitches and enforce
      integrity

    ◦ Customer acquisition costs and marketing

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smartphone betting cost efficient and
convenient
   ◦ First smartphone
     sports betting
     app that could
     safely be used
     anywhere in
     Nevada in 2010

   ◦ Exact Geolocation
     technology
     ensured that the
     bettor was within
     state borders
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◦ 2008 NGCB Board was
  skeptical, performed
  rigorous testing

◦ Research In Motion
  (“RIM”) agreed to
  sponsor American
  Wagering

◦ A point of sale terminal
  that is portable and has
  better capabilities than a
  terminal

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   There will be several system suppliers, risk management
    services, comprehensive brands, publishers and payment
    processors. Geolocation companies and tech providers from
    all parts of the world
   Tribal Gaming will play a major role in the expansion of
    sports betting in America
   We are seeing unprecedented partnerships forming. William
    Hill had a early start in NJ and DE, FanDuel and Draft Kings
    have strong branding, MGM and Boyd as well as UK based
    GVC have all partnered. Leagues such as NHL and NBA all
    have partnerships with betting operators
   Scientific Games, IGT, Stadium Technology, and many
    European and Asian systems such as SBTech, Kambi and BF
    Games, are positioning themselves for the U.S. market

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   The United States has long been considered the “holy
    grail” of sports betting
    ◦ AGA estimated $150 billion wagered illegally before PASPA
      repeal (initially estimated $400 billion)

    ◦ GMA knows of at least 30 states and territories where active
      sports betting discussions are taking place, including tribal

    ◦ Nearly 500 tribal casinos nationwide, represents great
      potential for sports book operators

    ◦ GMA estimates up to $138.0 billion in handle if maximum
      convenience and availability is realized

    ◦ $10-12 billion nationwide sports betting revenue

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   Global market size of $47 billion in 2017
    ◦ Projected to reach $82 billion by 2022

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• Don Best   • Bet Radar
• Perform    • BetConstruct

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Win, Lose or Tie

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THANK YOU FOR ATTENDING
             2019

                                      For more information contact
                                      John J English
                                      Partner, Managing Director
*Photo credits
 Google, Willian Hill, US Treasury,
                                      Sports Betting and Technology
                                      jje@globalmarketadvisors.com
                                      www.globalmarketadvisors.com
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