Toronto West - Avison Young

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Toronto West - Avison Young
First Quarter 2018 / Office Market Report

                                               Toronto West

            Market Facts                       Market Overview

          926,500 sf                           Building on the success of the fourth
                                               quarter and 2017 overall, Toronto West,
                                                                                            is an ongoing trend that has continued
                                                                                            since the second quarter of 2016.
        New office space completed in          the Greater Toronto Area’s (GTA) largest
       Oakville during the last five years
                                               suburban office market, produced             As a result of tenants’ continued interest
                                               another quarter of positive results. In      in the Toronto West office market, the
                                               all, Toronto West registered net positive    overall availability rate decreased 30
                     44                        absorption of close to 92,000 square         basis points (bps) from year-end 2017
                                                                                            and 30 bps year-over-year to finish the
                                               feet (sf ) in the opening quarter of 2018.
      Buildings with more than 50,000 sf of                                                 first quarter at 16.8% – the lowest level
                                               Class A buildings garnered the majority
         available space in Toronto West
                                               of the growth during the quarter,            in almost three years. Overall vacancy
                                               largely at the expense of class C            sits at 12.9%, down 100 bps year-over-
                                               buildings. The Burlington and Oakville       year. The Airport East node experienced
                 16.8%                         nodes contributed to the market’s            the biggest quarter-over-quarter
                                               overall first quarter performance, while     improvement, with availability dropping
          Toronto West availability rate
                                               the Airport-area nodes (Airport East,        210 bps to finish the quarter at 15.9%.
                                               North, West and Corporate Centre             Burlington and Meadowvale, two of the
                                               (ACC)) collectively showed relative          more prominent office nodes in Toronto
                                               strength, with first-quarter gains in ACC    West, saw availability rates fall 110 bps
           $16.73 psf                          and Airport East more than offsetting        and 70 bps, to end the quarter at 13.7%
       Average direct net asking rental rate   losses, largely in Airport North. Positive   and 18.7%, respectively. Dixie & Eglinton
      for Airport Corporate Centre (class A)   absorption in the Toronto West market        and Brampton office nodes continue

Partnership. Performance.                                                                                              avisonyoung.com
Toronto West - Avison Young
Toronto West                                                                                                                   First Quarter 2018 / Office Market Report

                     13.7%                                                                            15                                                         $15.63
                   Overall availability rate in                                           Class A buildings in                                                  Average asking net rent psf
                          Burlington                                                   Toronto West with largest                                                     in Toronto West
                                                                                       contiguous available area
                                                                                         greater than 50,000 sf

                                                           Toronto West Occupancy Costs - All Classes
                       $45

                       $40

                       $35

                       $30

                       $25

                       $20

                       $15

                       $10

                        $5

                        $0
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                                                                      Net Asking Rent (Avg. $psf)                   Additional Costs (Avg. $psf)

Partnership. Performance.                                                                                                                                                                         avisonyoung.com
Toronto West                                                                                                     First Quarter 2018 / Office Market Report

                                                                                     to boast the lowest availability             Dundas-Kipling Centre in Etobicoke
                                                                                     rates, coming in at 4.5% and 5.2%,           South, benefit from being Toronto
                                                                                     respectively.                                West’s only office complexes with
                          Positive absorption in                                                                                  immediate subway access. Transit
                                                                                     With so many options on the market,          accessibility for workers will also
                        the Toronto West market                                      landlords are competing fiercely to          be enhanced by Metrolinx’s Kipling
                                                                                     attract and retain tenants – the latter      Mobility Hub – now underway –
                        has continued since the                                      was prominent as three of the first          which has the potential to increase
                         second quarter of 2016.                                     quarter’s significant transactions           the appeal of office product in
                                                                                     were renewals, including Edward              adjacent nodes (including Bloor
                                                                                     Jones for 78,400 sf at Dream Office          & Islington, Etobicoke South,
                                                                                     REIT’s Sussex Centre in Mississauga          Highway 427 Corridor and even the
                                                                                     and Becton Dickinson at GWL                  ACC). This is also close to the new
                                                                                     Realty Advisors' (GWL) 2100 Derry            Etobicoke Civic Centre site (former
    Toronto West                                                                     Rd. W. in Meadowvale for 73,000 sf.          Westwood Theatre lands) and the
    Overall Availability & Vacancy Trends                                            Others took advantage of sublease            reconstruction of the Six Points
      20%                                                                            opportunities, notably Scotiabank for        Interchange.
      18%                                                                            68,000 sf (former Mondelez space)
      16%
      14%                                                                            at Polaris Realty’s 2660 Matheson            Only one building was completed
      12%                                                                            Blvd. E. in the ACC, and Cognizant           in the first quarter of 2018: 2
      10%
           8%
                                                                                     Technology Solutions taking 58,700           International Blvd. in the Airport
           6%                                                                        sf (former WorleyParsons space) at           East node came online, replacing an
           4%                                                                        Manulife’s 7100 West Credit Ave. in          older building on the site and adding
           2%
           0%
                                                                                     Meadowvale. The healthy appetite             close to 75,000 sf of new class A
                               2014        2015       2016       2017        Q1'18   for Toronto West office space                inventory (currently 100% available
                                       Vacancy Rate      Availability Rate           continues as a number of large               for lease). The development pipeline
                                                                                     tenants are rumoured to be in the            for office product now totals close
                                                                                     market.                                      to 745,000 sf of class A inventory
    Toronto West                                                                                                                  underway across seven buildings,
                                                                                     The strong market activity continues         the bulk of which will be completed
    Overall Absorption Trends
                                                                                     to push occupancy costs upwards,             later in 2018. This represents more
                       1,400
                       1,200
                                                                                     albeit slowly, with average asking net       than 50% of the total office space
                       1,000                                                         rental rates increasing to $15.63 per        currently under development in the
                        800                                                          square foot (psf ) from $15.55 psf three     GTA suburban office market (Toronto
    sf (thousands)

                        600
                                                                                     months earlier, and up from $15.06           East, North, and West). Potential
                        400
                        200
                                                                                     psf year-over-year. With an abundance        future tenants looking for class A
                          0                                                          of new supply introduced recently in         space in Heartland and Oakville may
                       -200                                                          the Oakville office market (926,500 sf       soon have additional options, as the
                       -400
                                                                                     in the past five years), it is no surprise   majority of space under construction
                       -600
                                  2014        2015     2016       2017       Q1'18   that Halton Region’s most populous           in Toronto West is located in these
                                                                                     municipality currently commands the          submarkets.
                                                                                     highest average asking net rental rate
                                                                                     in the west end at $18.41 psf.               Investors remain bullish on Toronto
    Toronto West                                                                                                                  West office product, looking to
    Overall New Supply Trends                                                        The next most costly node is Bloor           capitalize on the market’s improving
                       2,500                                                         & Islington – a smaller office node          fundamentals. Noteworthy
                                                                                     with direct subway access within             transactions included Morguard’s
                       2,000
                                                                                     core buildings – with an average             acquisition of 5985 Explorer Dr. in
                                                                                     asking net rental rate of $17.63
      sf (thousands)

                       1,500                                                                                                      the ACC from GWL for $50.6 million,
                                                                                     psf. This node also continues to             as well as Slate Asset Management’s
                       1,000
                                                                                     be the most expensive submarket              purchase of 5500 North Service Rd.
                        500                                                          on a gross basis (net rental plus            in Burlington from Cominar REIT for
                           0
                                                                                     additional costs), approaching $40           $43.1 million, part of a $348-million
                                  2014        2015      2016       2017      Q1'18   psf. Starlight Investments’ Bloor            GTA-wide office portfolio sale.
                                      Completions      Under Construction            Islington Place, along with Manulife’s

Partnership. Performance.                                                                                                                                avisonyoung.com
Toronto West                                                                                                               First Quarter 2018 / Office Market Report

         Toronto West Market Summary
                                                                                                                                    Change in
                                                                                                                                                                    New Supply
                         Availability Trend                                                     Vacancy Trend                     Occupied Area
                                                                                                                                                                    (000's of sf)
                                                                                                                                   (000's of sf)
           12 Months               3 Months                Current             12 Months            3 Months      Current        Current                   YTD        Under
                                                                                                                                              YTD                                Preleased
              Ago                    Ago                   Quarter                Ago                 Ago         Quarter        Quarter                Completions Construction
               17.1%                 17.1%                  16.8%                 13.9%              12.8%         12.9%           92         92            75          745          43%

         Comparison of Leasing Options for Tenants
                                  Available Space                                                                                                                   Availability Rate
                                                                                                              Bldgs with largest
                                                                                                                                  Number of spaces
                                                                                             Bldgs with more contiguous available
           Office Space in Select Nodes                             No. of Bldgs                                                   between 4k and            Direct %    Sublet %    Total %
                                                                                                than 50k sf    area greater than
                                                                                                                                        8k sf
                                                                                                                     50k sf
           Airport Corp Ctr Class A                                         37                        8                     3                  15                14.7       1.9         16.6
           Airport Corp Ctr All Classes                                     51                       10                     4                  21                15.9       2.3         18.2
           Burlington Class A                                               24                        1                     0                  11                14.6       0.8         15.4
           Burlington All Classes                                           59                        1                     0                  24                13.0       0.7         13.7
           Heartland Class A                                                27                        4                     0                  13                 7.3       4.4         11.7
           Heartland All Classes                                            46                        5                     1                  26                12.3       3.4         15.7
           Meadowvale Class A                                               35                        5                     4                   4                14.0       4.0         18.0
           Meadowvale All Classes                                          61                         7                     5                  12                15.8       2.9         18.7
           Mississauga City Ctr Class A                                    14                         2                     0                  16                12.1       1.3         13.4
           Mississauga City Ctr All Classes                                24                         2                     0                  22                11.6       1.0         12.6
           Oakville Class A                                                39                         5                     3                  9                 16.5       0.6         17.1
           Oakville All Classes                                            62                         5                     3                  15                18.8       0.5         19.3
           Toronto West Class A                                            245                       32                     15                 96                13.6       2.0         15.6
           Toronto West All Classes                                        501                       44                     24                182                15.3       1.5         16.8

         Toronto West Significant Transactions
           Address                                                                 Node                                          Tenant                                  Size
           90 Burnhamthorpe Road West                                              Mississauga City Centre                       Edward Jones                            78,400 sf
           2100 Derry Road West                                                    Meadowvale                                    Becton Dickinson                        73,000 sf
           2660 Matheson Boulevard East                                            Airport Corporate Centre                      Scotiabank                              68,000 sf
           7100 West Credit Avenue                                                 Meadowvale                                    Cognizant Technology Solutions          58,700 sf
           2425 Matheson Boulevard East                                            Airport Corporate Centre                      Regus Business Centre                   53,000 sf

                                                                                                    For more information, please contact:

                                                                                                       Bill Argeropoulos                                   Warren D'Souza
                                                                                                       Principal & Practice Leader, Research (Canada)      Research Manager,
                                                                                                       416.673.4029                                        Toronto Suburban Markets
avisonyoung.com                                                                                        bill.argeropoulos@avisonyoung.com                   905.283.2331
                                                                                                                                                           warren.dsouza@avisonyoung.com
© 2018 Avison Young Commercial Real Estate (Ontario) Inc., Brokerage.
                                                                                                       Anthony Hong                                        77 City Centre Drive
E. & O.E.: The information contained herein was obtained from sources which we deem reliable           Research Analyst                                    East Tower, Suite 301
and, while thought to be correct, is not guaranteed by Avison Young. Acknowledgment: Data
for graphs, charts and tables used in this report are sourced from Avison Young and Altus InSite.      905.283.2392                                        Mississauga, ON L5B 1M5
Some of the data in this report has been gathered from third party sources and has not been
independently verified by Avison Young. Avison Young makes no warranties or representations as
to the completeness or accuracy thereof.
                                                                                                       anthony.hong@avisonyoung.com                        905.712.2100
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