What to look out for in Singapore's residential market in 2020?

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What to look out for in Singapore's residential market in 2020?
S PE CI AL P U B L ICAT IO N :

  What to look out for in
  Singapore’s residential
  market in 2020?
   Key developments affecting prices in Singapore’s residential buyer and
   rental space, with a special feature on d’Leedon

      Special feature: d’Leedon

      Residential leasing market:
      Key developments and what to expect in 2020

      Residential sales market:
      Key developments and what to expect in 2020

By: Alan Cheong, Executive Director, Research, Savills Singapore		   February 2020
What to look out for in Singapore's residential market in 2020?
NUMBER
OF LEASES                       110              133               151            101           144           189             183
CONCLUDED IN
D’LEEDON                  Q1/2018             Q2/2018          Q3/2018          Q4/2018       Q1/2019       Q2/2019        Q3/2019

        Special feature: d’Leedon
                                                                   S trategically located at the heart of District 10, d’Leedon’s
                                                                     vibrant landscape design is inspired by the distinct
                                                                   components of mountain ecosystems.
                                                                               Nanyang                               Reflecting
                                                                               Primary School,                       pools, spa
                                                                               Raffles Girls                         pavilions,
                                                                               Primary School                        clubhouses,
                                                                       SCHOOLS and Hwa Chong          FACILITIES     retail areas and
                                                                               Institution                           restaurants

                                                                                 CBD, Dempsey                       1 to 4-bedroom,
                                                                                 Hill, Holland                      penthouse
                                                                                 Village and                        suites and
                                                                       LIFESTYLE Orchard Road             UNIT      garden houses
                                                                         HUBS                            TYPES

T   he average selling price for d’Leedon units has
    been climbing steadily since the first quarter of
2017. From approximately $1,350 psf in Q1/2017, the
                                                                               For Q4/2019, the average price for non-landed
                                                                               properties in the CCR (both new sale and resale) was
                                                                               $2,369 psf, significantly higher than d’Leedon’s $1,557
trendline price is now approximately $1,650 psf, or                            psf. This relative difference may be what is driving the
a rise of circa 22% over the past 3 years. Please see                          market to see value in d’Leedon.
Figure 1.                                                                      More pertinently, with new 99-year leasehold launches
                                                                               in the vicinity of d’Leedon priced from $2,500 psf
FIGURE 1: TRANSACTED AND TRENDLINE                                             to just over $3,000 psf, the attractiveness of this
PRICES ($PSF) FOR D’LEEDON                                                     development is further enhanced. We therefore expect
  $psf
                                                                               that d’Leedon’s pricing will continue to be buttressed
1,700
                                                                               by the supporting factors in the foreseeable future.
1,600                                                                          On the leasing front, the median rent achieved in
                                                                               Q3/2019 was $3.88 psf pm (the latest available data
1,500
                                                                               from the URA). Leasing transactions have been active
1,400                                                                          (please see Figure 3), with an average of 144 units
1,300                                                                          rented out each quarter from Q1/2019 to Q3/2019.
1,200                                                                          On an annualised basis, this works out to 576 units, or
 1,100                                                                         approximately 33% of the units in the development,
1,000
                                                                               being relet each year.
                                                                               For investors looking for rental income, the vibrant
                                                                               leasing market is reassuring as to the ease of finding a
Source: URA Realis, Savills                                                    tenant, minimising their downtime to no income.

                                                                                INTERESTED TO EXPLORE AVAILABLE UNITS
FIGURE 2: D’LEEDON PRICES VERSUS URA
                                                                                AT D’LEEDON?
NON-LANDED CCR PRICES
130
                                                                                                      CONTACT OUR AGENT TO
 125                                                                                                  ARRANGE FOR A VIEWING
120
                                                                                                                 Eleanor Tan (R051035E)
  115
                                                                                                                 Senior Manager
 110
                                                                                                                 Residential Services
105
                                                                                                                 Singapore
100
  95
                                                                                                                 +65 6415 3261
  90
  85
  80                                                                                                    VIEW FLOORPLAN

                                                                                                        CONTACT AGENT
         D'Leedon Price Index         URA Non-Landed CCR Price Index
                                                                                                        NOW
Source: URA Realis, Savills

                                                                           1
What to look out for in Singapore's residential market in 2020?
What to look out for in
the Singapore housing
rental market?
 KEY TRENDS IN 2019:

                                                                                                                    ENQUIRE ABOUT
                                                                                                                    A PROPERTY

                                                                                                       average
                                      18.4%                                                            1.1%
                                                                                                       increase
The robust quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) growth in                            From Savills’ basket of high-end non-landed
leasing volumes was led by the Core Central Region                       residential developments, monthly average rents
(CCR) rising by 18.4%.                                                   continued trending up for a third straight quarter,
                                                                         rising by 1.1% QoQ in Q3/2019.

               $2k to
What to look out for in
Singapore’s residential
housing sales market?
 KEY TRENDS IN 2019:

                   New home sales rose in line with                                  Sales of private              ENQUIRE ABOUT
                   developers’ launches, climbing                                    residential properties in     A PROPERTY
                   39.6% to 3,281 private residential                                the secondary market
                   units sold in the months from July                                also picked up in tandem,
                   to September.                                                     albeit at a slower rate of 2.7% quarter-on-
                                                                                     quarter (QoQ) to 2,482 units sold in the
                                                                                     third quarter.
                   In the primary market, the
                   best-selling non-landed private
                                                                                     The URA’s price index in Q3/2019 showed
                   residential units in the first nine
                                                                                     that prices for the island-wide private
                   months of 2019 were those with
                                                                                     residential properties continued to rise for
                   a price tag from S$1.0 to S$1.25
                                                                                     a second straight quarter.
                   million each. These corresponded
                   with unit sizes ranging between
                   400 and 800 sq ft.
                                                                          0.8%
                                                                                     The average prices in the Savills basket of
                                                                       0.4%
                                                                                     high-end, non-landed homes rose by 0.4%
RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY LAUNCHES IN                                                     QoQ in Q3 and by 0.8% since Q2.
THE PIPELINE

                                                                                                                    TOTAL NO.
       PROJECT NAME                       LOCATION                        DEVELOPER                  LOCALITY
                                                                                                                     OF UNITS
            19 Nassim                     Nassmin Hill          Parksville Development Pte Ltd           CCR            101
           Amber Sea                    Amber Gardens                   Urban Park Pte Ltd               RCR            132
          Bideford Hills                 Bideford Road            SC Aetas Holdings Pte Ltd              CCR            168
  Condominium development                 Arthur Road             BSEL Development Pte Ltd               RCR            290
 (former Katong Park Towers)
    Dairy Farm Residences               Dairy Farm Road               UE Dairy Farm Pte Ltd              OCR            460
        Hyll On Holland               Holland Hill/Holland             FEC Skypark Pte Ltd               CCR            319
                                       Road/Queensway
         KI Residences                    Sunset Way           Hol Hup Sunway Clementi Pte Ltd           RCR            648
         Leedon Green                 Farrer Road/Holland              Asia Radiant Pte Ltd              CCR            638
                                     Road/Leedon Heights
          Midtown Bay                     Beach Road          GLL Prosper Pte Ltd/GLL Thrive Pte         CCR            219
                                                                             Ltd
            Midwood                       Hillview Rise        Hillview Rise Devlopment Pte Ltd          RCR            564
         Neu at Novena                   Moulmein Rise                  RH Novena Pte Ltd                CCR             87
      One Holland Village                Holland Road           Commons Residential Pte Ltd/             CCR            296
         Residences                                             Commons SR Trustee Pte Ltd/
                                                             Commons Commercial Trustee Pte Ltd
 Pullman Residences Newton               Dunearn Road         EL Development (Horizon) Pte Ltd           CCR            340
    Residential apartments                 Sims Drive           NovaSims Development Pte Ltd             OCR            566
    Residential apartments               Toh Luck Road        Qingjian Perennial (Bukit Timah) Pte       RCR            669
  (former Goodluck Garden)                                                    Ltd
           Royalgreen              Anamalal Avenue/Bukit         Sky Top Investments Pte Ltd             CCR            285
                                   Timah Road/Lily Avenue
 Sengkang Grand Residences             Sengkang Central       Siena Residential Development Pte          OCR            680
                                                                  Ltd/Siena Trustee Pte Ltd
           The Atelier                 Makeway Avenue              Bukit Sembawang Pte Ltd               CCR            376
           The Avenir                  River Valley Close        Carmel Development Pte Ltd              CCR            376
   The Linq @ Beauty World             Upper Bukit Timah              Allka Properties Pte Ltd           RCR            120
                                             Road
              The M                       Middle Road           Wingcharm Investment Pte Ltd             CCR            552
        Urban Treasures                   Jalan Eunos             Fragrance Treasures Pte Ltd            OCR            237
          Van Holland                    Holland Road                  KBD Holland Pte Ltd               CCR             69
             Verdale                   De Souza Avenue                  C&C (JJK) Pte Ltd                OCR            258
             Verticus                   Jalan Kemaman        SB (Kemaman) Development Pte Ltd            RCR            162

Source: URA, Savills Research & Consultancy
*Expected launch dates are subject to change.                     3
This list is not exhaustive
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