January 23, 2018 Presented by Betsy George - Ventura ...
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
January 23, 2018 Presented by Betsy George
Tonight's Topics
Overall Themes of Education Budget
State Budget and Economic Forecasts
Education Budget
Accountability System
Ventura Unified and the State Budget
Themes for the 2018-19 Governor’s Budget 2
© 2018 School Services of California, Inc.
Fully fund the Local Control Funding Formula (LCFF) two years ahead of original 2020-
21 goal set in 2013
Student achievement rises to the highest priority and tests the Local Control Funding
Formula (LCFF)/Local Control and Accountability Plan (LCAP) model
The true test of the LCFF/LCAP model is found in the performance of students, and
it is now time to begin the analysis and reporting of overall results
At the end of next year, California will match the longest economic recovery since
World War II
Overview of the State Budget and the State Economy
Big Three Revenues – Personal Income Tax, Sales and 4
Use Tax, and Corporation Tax
(in billions)
$138.5
$138.6
$135.2
$133.0
$133.0
$131.0
$126.8
$126.8
$122.1
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
LAO, November 2017 LAO, November 2017 2018-19 Governor's State Budget
(Growth Scenario) (Recession Scenario)
Inflation Forecast 5
© 2018 School Services of California, Inc.
Inflation Forecast
(Percent Change)
3.0%
3.0%
2.9%
3.0% 2.8%
2.7%
2.6%
2.5%
2.4%
2.2%
2.5%
2.0%
2.0% Benchmark
1.5%
LAO, November 2017
1.0% UCLA, December 2017
2018-19 Governor's State Budget
0.5%
0.0%
2017 2018 2019
Risks to the State Budget 6
© 2018 School Services of California, Inc.
The risks to the State Budget are the same as those that threaten our national economy
in part because of California’s unique standing as the 6th largest economy in the world
The top 1% of California’s taxpayers pay half the state income tax
The State Budget relies heavily on the highly volatile personal income tax (PIT) and any
modest change in PIT revenue has an amplified affect on the State Budget
Potential impact of the new federal tax law, particularly the newly created deduction
caps on both state and local taxes and mortgage interestThe Education Budget
Proposition 98 and the Major K-12 Proposals 8
© 2018 School Services of California, Inc.
Fully fund LCFF
One-time discretionary funding
The
Governor’s Strong Workforce Program to establish a K-12
Budget specific component (CTE)
proposal
includes: Child Care and State Preschool to expand
inclusive care and education settings for
children up to 5 years old
Teacher Workforce to increase and retain
special education teachersWhat’s Not in the Education Budget? 9
© 2018 School Services of California, Inc.
The 2018-19 Budget proposal provides no funding for the following critical items:
Increasing the LCFF base grant target to reach the funding level of the top ten states
The growing local obligations for the California State Teachers’ Retirement System
(CalSTRS) and the California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS) unfunded
liability
Home-to-School Transportation programs
Increasing and equalizing Assembly Bill (AB) 602 base funding rates for special education2018-19 LCFF Target Funding Factors 10
Base grant is calculated for all students based on Average Daily Attendance (ADA)
Supplemental and concentration (S/C) grants are calculated based on the percentage of a
district’s enrolled students who are English learners (EL), free and reduced-price meal program
eligible, foster youth, or homeless – the unduplicated pupil percentage (UPP)
Ventura Unified’s 2017-18 UPP is 56.9%
2018-19 Proposed 20% Supplemental 50% Concentration Grant
Grade Span
Grants Per ADA Grant – Total UPP – UPP Above 55%
K-3 $8,141 $1,628 $4,071
4-6 $7,484 $1,497 $3,742
7-8 $7,707 $1,541 $3,854
9-12 $9,163 $1,833 $4,582Goal of LCFF - Equity 11
Above and beyond
Targeted programs/services
Close the achievement gapSpecial Education 12
1,750
VUSD SpEd Enrollment Trends
17,500 • No mechanism in place to increase
17,402
17,430
1,706 17,400
funding based on student needs
17,366
1,700
1,678
17,300 • General Fund contributions nearing
1,650
1,649
17,200
60% of total Special Education
1,605
17,125
expenditures
1,600 17,100
1,558
17,000
1,550 16,981
16,900
1,500
16,800
1,450 16,700
2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
SpEd TotalOur Evolving Accountability System
Fiscal Transparency 14
© 2018 School Services of California, Inc.
With concerns about the direct services provided to the students that generate LCFF
dollars, the Governor’s Budget proposes:
Districts will be required to show how their budget expenditures align with the
strategies detailed in their LCAPs
The calculations and total amount of supplemental and concentration funding
provided to each district under the LCFF will be reported on a single websiteLCAP Decision-Making Guide 15
© 2018 School Services of California, Inc.
3
1 2
Identify
Identify Prioritize
Actions and
Needs Goals
Services
The district’s leadership team The district shares the Based on the proposed
identifies the most significant Dashboard and local goals, the district works
areas of need for all students, needs assessment with with the LCAP committee
students in significant an LCAP committee and to identify proposed
student groups, and its they work together to actions and services for
unduplicated pupils using the identify and prioritize the next three years
Dashboard and local needs goals
assessmentVentura Unified and the State 2018-19
Budget ProposalMultiyear Projections 17
Under the revised VUSD’s Comparison of LCFF Revenue per ADA
projections, the steep $10,000
increase happens in $9,800
$9,802
2018-19 and the $9,593
remainder of the years $9,600
$9,411
are Cost of Living $9,400
$9,449
Adjustment (COLA) only
$9,200
$9,236
$9,000
$8,899
$8,800
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
2nd Interim 1st InterimVUSD Progress Towards LCFF Implementation 18
2017-18 2018-19
2017-18 at 97% $510
100%
99.6% base 90% $3,942
92.1% supplemental 80%
70%
60%
Majority of additional
50% $132,784 $134,751 $15,256
funds in 2018-19 are
40%
projected to be $14,139
supplemental and 30%
concentration grant 20%
funds 10%
0%
17-18 Base 17-18 Supplemental 18-19 Base 18-19 Supplemental
(in thousands)
Target GapEmployer Contribution to Employee Retirement Plan 19
Future contribution rate increases for school employers are:
State Teachers Retirement System (STRS)
Teachers, counselors, Set by State Statue Allowable
librarians, nurses, 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23
principals, etc
14.43% 16.28% 18.13% 19.1% 20.1% 21.1%
Public Employee Retirement System (PERS)
Office staff, bus drivers, Actual Projected
custodians, cafeteria
workers, etc
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23
15.531% 18.1% 20.8% 23.8% 25.2% 26.1%Declining Enrollment 20
VUSD Enrollment Trend
17,506 17,509
17,429 17,402 17,430
17,371 17,366
17,125
16,981
16,813Enacting the State Budget 21
© 2018 School Services of California, Inc.
While the State Budget process is complicated and covers six months, here’s the abbreviated
edition of the process between January and the May Revision
January 10 February Early Spring Early-to-Mid May
Governor Budget trailer Budget Governor
introduces State bills are subcommittees releases May
Budget proposal released, examine Revision
providing Governor’s and
Budget bill legislative
critical details
introduced in both proposals
to the January
houses shortly
proposal
thereafterFinal Thoughts 22
© 2018 School Services of California, Inc.
2nd Interim Budget presented to the board on March 13th will include the
2018/19 Governor's budget proposal assumption in the Multiyear Projections
(MYP)
Continue 2018/19 budget development
Concentrate on developing programs that increase or improve services to the
District's enrolled students who are English learners (EL), free and reduced-
price meal program eligible, foster youth, or homeless
Continue to focus on improving outcomes for all students and lifting the
performance of student groups identified by the DashboardThank You
You can also read
