2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020

Page created by Ann Bradley
 
CONTINUE READING
2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020
2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin
Oct 30 – Oct 31 2020

                                        © 2020 AtlasIntel
                                        All Rights Reserved
2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020
Methodology & Sample Profile
 This study was conducted by AtlasIntel, an independent research & data intelligence firm.

 Random interviews of Wisconsin adults were conducted online between October 30 and October 31 2020. The sample was post-stratified
 with propensity scores to match the profile of registered voters on the following variables: gender, region, age group, education, family
 income, and race. Results are reported for 781 likely voters. The margin of error for likely voters is +/-3% at the 95% confidence level. Some
 percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

 More information about AtlasIntel can be obtained by visiting www.atlasintel.org.

                   Gender                                   Vote
                                                               Partisanship
                                                                 in 2016 Presidential
                                                                            (self-reported)
                                                                                      Elections
Female                                  52.7%    Democrats
                                                 Hillary Clinton                                  31.1%
                                                                                                  44.7%
Male                                    47.3%    Republicans
                                                 Donald Trump                                     30.6%
                                                                                                  43.4%
                                                 Independents
                                                 Other; doesn’t remember; didn’t vote             38.2%
                                                                                                  11.9%
                  Age Group
18 – 29                                 11.3%                        Household
                                                                     Household income
                                                                               income
30 – 44                                 23.8%    Below
                                                 Below 50k
                                                       50k                                        40.6%
                                                                                                  38.0%
                                                                                                  38.1%
45 – 64                                 43.4%    50k – 100k
                                                 50k – 100k                                       30.9%
                                                                                                  32.0%
                                                                                                  32.5%
65+                                     21.4%    Above
                                                 Above 100k
                                                       100k                                       28.5%
                                                                                                  30.0%
                                                                                                  29.5%

                    Race                                                  Education
                                                                          Education
White                                   89.2%    College
                                                 College degree
                                                           degree or
                                                                  or higher
                                                                     higher                       34.6%
                                                                                                  45.9%
                                                                                                  34.6%
Black                                    4.8%    All other
                                                 All other                                        54.1%
                                                                                                  65.4%
Hispanic                                 3.0%
Asian                                    1.1%
                                                            Vote
                                                            Votein
                                                                 in 2016
                                                                    2016 Presidential
                                                                         PresidentialElections
                                                                                      Election
Other                                            Donald
                                                 Hillary Clinton
                                                         Trump                                    43.6%
                                                                                                  44.7%
                                         2.3%
                                                 Hillary
                                                 Donald Clinton
                                                         Trump                                    45.3%
                                                                                                  43.4%
                                                 Other,
                                                 Other; don’t
                                                         doesn’t
                                                               remember,
                                                                 remember;
                                                                         didn’t
                                                                           didn’t
                                                                                vote
                                                                                  vote            11.1%
                                                                                                  11.9%

                                                                                                                                                  2
2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020
I. Presidential Election
2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020
1   Whom will you vote for in the US presidential election?

                               Oct-20
    Joe Biden                      51
    Donald Trump                   49
    Other                           2

     Donald Trump                                                  48.7

         Joe Biden                                                      50.6

        Don’t know       0.9

                     0                  10   20         30    40   50          60
2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020
1   Whom will you vote for in the US presidential election?
    [Crosstabs]
2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020
II. Presidential Approval
2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020
2   Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?

                            Oct-20
    Approve                     48
    Disapprove                  52
    Don't know                   0

       Approve                                                              48.0

     Disapprove                                                                   51.6

     Don’t know       0.5

                  0              10     20          30          40          50           60
2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020
2   Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?
    [Crosstabs]
2020 Presidential Election: Wisconsin Oct 30 - Oct 31 2020
In 2020, AtlasIntel polls for the US democratic primaries had the
  smallest mean error across all pollsters. AtlasIntel conducted the
  most accurate polls in New Hampshire, California, and Florida.

Performance up to February 12 2020                              Performance up to March 15 2020
Source: G. Elliott Morris, The Economist                        Source: Jack Kersting, JHK Forecasts
https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1227454160813088769   https://projects.jhkforecasts.com/democratic_primary/analysis/
AtlasIntel had the best performance in anticipating the results of the 2019
Presidential Elections in Argentina. We conducted the only poll that predicted the
results of all candidates within the margin of error.
Atlas Tracking PRO
Nationally-representative daily poll with more than 30 questions on the political and economic
scenario. The polling is conducted online based on a proprietary methodology for random
selection and sample post-stratification and validation.

✓ Currently available for:

    North America        US Swing States      South America     Europe
    ▪   United States    ▪   Arizona          ▪   Argentina     ▪   France
    ▪   Mexico           ▪   Florida          ▪   Brazil        ▪   Germany
                         ▪   Georgia          ▪   Chile         ▪   Netherlands
                         ▪   Ohio             ▪   Colombia      ▪   Italy
                         ▪   Michigan         ▪   Peru          ▪   Spain
                         ▪   North Carolina                     ▪   UK
                         ▪   Pennsylvania
                         ▪   Texas
Atlas Tracking PRO is accessible in real time through a secure URL
Atlas Monitor
Atlas Monitor tracks political engagement in social media in real time.
We deploy big data tools to transform huge quantities of information
into intuitive and useful indicators that reveal the impact of network
sentiment on political developments and electoral dynamics. All of our
work carefully adheres to the privacy rights of social media users, to
platform policies, and to local and international legislation.
Atlas Monitor is accessible in real time through a secure URL
Media & Client Inquiries: info@atlasintel.org
You can also read