A Delicate Balance - Internationale Politik

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A Delicate Balance - Internationale Politik
A Delicate Balance

                               A Delicate
                                Balance
            An effective government policy countering the
             COVID-19 pandemic relies on scientific advice.
            Still, there is a fine line to be tread to make the
            relationship between politics and science work
                    well. Transparency is one key factor.
                                       By Christian Schwägerl

I
    n recent years, a phrase became popular among      pathological narcissism led him to envy Fauci’s
    top American scientists: “When the going gets      popularity among an anxious population, who
    tough, go get Fauci.” The 79-year-old immunol-     admired their new “explainer-in-chief.” Some peo-
ogist was a kind of secret scientific weapon when      ple even took to wearing t-shirts with Fauci’s face
it came to dealing with politicians, and indeed the    on them. It also became clear that Fauci wanted to
public. Anthony Fauci is head of the NIAID, the Na-    prioritize public health over short-term economic
tional Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.   considerations, a policy Trump regarded as very
Famous for his research but with no star persona,      dangerous…to his re-election prospects.
he can clearly explain complex scientific subjects,       Dr. Fauci began to publicly express frustration
sketch out their practical implications, and explain   with a president who seemed quite unwilling to
the consequences for politics and everyday life.       learn, and who paid no heed to scientific facts,
    This is how, early in 2020, Dr. Fauci became the   publicly recommending the drinking of bleach and
public face of American science. With the corona-      expressing faith in non-existent light therapies. “I
virus spreading across the United States, President    can’t jump in front of the microphone and push him
Donald Trump eventually recognized the illness as      down!” Fauci told Science magazine in March 2020.
a huge and present danger, no mere Democratic             By early summer, relations had badly broken
hoax. Fauci stepped into the limelight, in person      down. Fauci appeared in public far less often, as the
at the president’s briefings, which were broadcast     White House vetoed his media appearances. With
worldwide.                                             the presidential election approaching, Trump dis-
    But cracks soon appeared in the relations be-      paraged his top scientist, calling him a “disaster,”
tween the president and his top scientist. Trump’s     and dismissing his own advisors as “idiots.” Fauci

                                                                                            IP Special • 2 /2021   | 39
A Delicate Balance - Internationale Politik
The Future of Democracy

                            was even assigned a team of bodyguards.        advisor to then-President George W. Bush,
                            By now, the rest is history.                   reportedly dismissed those who believed
                                Germany’s experience in 2020 has been      politics was about the close study of reali-
                            quite different, above all because Chan-       ty. “We create our own reality,” he said. Not
                            cellor Angela Merkel is a trained scientist,   so far from the “alternative facts” cited by
                            with a PhD in physics. For Merkel, science     Trump’s advisor Kellyanne Conway when
                            is not meant to be a political performance.    discussing inauguration crowd numbers
                            She declined to push Fauci’s German coun-      in 2017.
                            terpart—Christian Drosten, the head of the         This kind of thinking spread in Europe
                            National Coronavirus Laboratory and Di-        too, above all in the United Kingdom. Un-
                            rector of the Institute for Virology at Ber-   der Tony Blair’s Labour government, “spin
                            lin’s Charité hospital—into the spotlight to   doctors” ruled the roost, not people with
                            boost her political standing, although he      actual doctorates. In 2016, Conservative
                            would have been an appropriate figure to       politician Michael Gove took a directly
                            play the role.                                 anti-science stance: during a debate on
                                Merkel has rarely appeared with scien-
                            tists in public during the COVID-19 pan-
                            demic. Behind the scenes, however, the
                            chancellor has regularly brought scientists
                            into discussions, as at the key meeting in
                            October 2020 between Merkel and the lead-
                            ers of Germany’s 16 federal states.            German Chancel-
                                On the whole, the German chancellor
                            prefers to present the science herself. In
                            late September, she impressed the public
                                                                           lor Angela Merkel
                                                                           prefers to present
                            with a live “back of the envelope” sci-
                            entific calculation, used to show that, if
                            nothing was done, a few hundred cases in
                            August could mean 19,200 by Christmas.
                            But outside the public eye, she has sought     the science herself
                            out contacts with scientists. From the
                            Robert Koch Institute to the Leopoldina
                            (German National Academy of Sciences)
                            and the Helmholtz Association of German
                            Research Centers, scientific institutions
                            have contributed knowledge to the polit-       Brexit, he famously said, “People in this
                            ical understanding of Germany’s public         country have had enough of experts.”
                            health situation.                              Similar trends have occurred in Hungary,
                                                                           where the government has the scientific
                            A Split in the Western World                   community on a tight leash, and in Brazil,
Christian Schwägerl         These contrasting attitudes to science         where President Jair Bolsonaro has tried to
is one of Germany‘s         could hardly be more striking. They rep-       stop the publication of data on coronavirus
leading science             resent a deep split in the Western world,      and on Amazon deforestation.
journalists and co-
founder of Riff-            one which goes back long before Trump’s           The governments of New Zealand,
Reporter.                   2016 victory. In 2004, Karl Rove, a close      Canada, and Germany stand as counter-

40 | IP Special • 2 /2021
A Delicate Balance

examples, having at least tried to orient        half of the 20th century. Scientists have
policy—on climate change, the pandemic,          all too willingly supported political ideol-
and other issues, including dangerous de-        ogies, like the Social Darwinism preached
clines in biodiversity—according to scien-       by Herbert Spencer. Nazi Germany’s geno-
tific research.                                  cidal plans and human experiments were
    To understand these conflicts around         crimes substantially driven by scientists.
science and politics, we need to look back       The scientific community has subjected
at the history of science. This does not         its role in Nazi crimes to serious critical
make for comfortable reading on any side         scrutiny—although the process is hardly
of the debate. The historical record dis-        complete—and drawn broad conclusions.
proves simplistic models in which “good          But there has not yet been intense debate
politics” always listens to “good science,”      around science’s role in the imperialist
while bad politics does not.                     and colonial genocides of the West.
                                                     Since World War II, science has been
Complicated Relations                            more obliged than ever to uphold its own
Science has profoundly enriched the rela-        basic values. It has not shied away from
tionship between politics and society. De-       presenting politicians with uncomforta-
ploying evidence, arguing for proof, and         ble truths. In free Western countries, im-
refuting error, science has contributed to       pressive networks of scientific advisors on
a massive growth in material and physical        political issues have been created.
wellbeing, not least with breakthroughs in           In Germany, this network has several
medicine, agriculture, and communica-            layers. In terms of government, the most
tions. Beyond even that, science has also        closely-integrated science is the “depart-
been central to the emergence of open,           mental research” carried out within fed-
democratic societies.                            eral and state governments. These days,
    The early Enlightenment held to the          the most prominent of these institutions is
utopian idea of a Republic of Scholars, in       the Robert Koch Institute, headquartered
which rationality would be the only princi-      in Berlin. Coronavirus research has thrust
ple and guide. As science flourished, it de-     this institution into the spotlight, and it
veloped methods against superstition, but        continues to provide the government with
these also worked against aristocratic de-       daily information and advice. The large
sires for total power. The scientific method     research institutions of the Helmholtz
generated a growing body of knowledge.           Association are also working closely with
More importantly, however, it encouraged         the Federal Ministry of Research, although
a subversive process of evidence gather-         they remain organizationally separate
ing, which could render powerless even a         from government. The Helmholtz Associ-
supposedly omnipotent pope or king.              ation’s research aims are adjusted regular-
    But an idyllic or idealistic story of sci-   ly, but the basic idea remains that of free
ence’s influence on politics would not tell      scientific inquiry. Since the outbreak of the
the whole truth. Over the last century, pol-     COVID-19 pandemic, the Helmholtz Center
itics and science have often made highly         for Infection Research in Braunschweig
problematic alliances.                           has played a key role in creating models
    Scientists were enablers and accomplic-      of the pandemic’s spread.
es in colonialism and played a key role in           The Leopoldina is the third type of
the horrific escalation of war in the first      institution offering public policy advice.

                                                                                                 IP Special • 2 /2021   | 41
The Future of Democracy

The “public face of American science” began to express frustration with a president who paid no heed to
facts: Dr. Anthony Fauci testifies during a hearing on the coronavirus crisis at the US Congress, July 2020

The head virologist at the
Charité hospital has emphat-
ically denied he was a sort
of “replacement chancellor”
for the time of the pandem-
ic: Christian Drosten at his
laboratory in Berlin

42 | IP Special • 2 /2021
A Delicate Balance

US President                                    closed-mindedness is one key problem, as
                                                is the very narrow thematic composition
                                                of committees. For example, most aca-
Donald Trump                                    demic economists offering policy advice
                                                still wrongly regard environmental and

came to denigrate
                                                climate protection as “externalities,” as
                                                if life’s natural basis could be something
                                                merely extra, an add-on to what is sup-

his own experts                                 posed to be reality.
                                                    Major errors have also occurred: in
                                                Germany, demographers long predicted
                                                rapid and unavoidable population decline,
                                                and were widely listened to in the polit-
                                                ical world. However, population decline
Founded in 1652, it is Germany’s oldest         will probably not now occur until at least
scientific organization, and strongly em-       2030. This means all planning—whether
phasizes its autonomy and independence.         urban development, energy reform, or
In 2008, it relaunched as the “National         public debt policy—has been based on
Academy of Sciences,” a role in which           false premises. Fortunately, there are
the Leopoldina regularly publishes rec-         many examples of scientists supplying
ommendations on issues from COVID-19            timely, well-founded, thorough advice on
to biodiversity. For its part, the German       problems going beyond the usual political
parliament (the Bundestag) has its own          time horizon (i.e. the next election). Above
institutions for research and consultation,     all, this has been true for climate change.
including its Research Services and the         Between 1987 and 1990 (!), the parliamen-
Office for Technology Impact Assessment.        tary Enquête Commission on “Provisions
Additionally, parliamentary “Enquête            to Protect the Earth’s Atmosphere” was
Commissions” offer a unique format for          already offering decisive warnings for hu-
producing science-based advice.                 manity, helping climate politics to emerge
   Across federal and state levels, there       as a field in its own right.
are numerous scientific advice commit-              Thus, when the coronavirus first began
tees in all areas of politics, employing        to circulate early in 2020, both Germany
university academics and expert from            and the United States were well prepared
other institutes. Most Western countries        for scientists to advise political leadership.
have similarly broad networks. However,         What happened next will probably dom-
in the United States the leadership of the      inate debate on science-politics relations
White House Office of Science and Tech-         for many years to come. An entire gener-
nology Policy (OSTP) remained vacant for        ation of historians of science will study
18 months after Trump’s 2016 victory.           how President Trump denigrated his own
                                                experts, including Fauci and the entire
Getting It Wrong, Sometimes                     Centers for Disease Control, both in me-
In general, scientific advice is not lacking,   dia comments and in practical contexts.
and has very often formed the basis for             But even Germany has seen differences
good and feasible political decisions. But      in opinion on how politicians should best
not everything runs perfectly: disciplinary     respond to advice. Good scientific advice

                                                                                                 IP Special • 2 /2021   | 43
The Future of Democracy

                            should always rely on the most up-to-date       effectiveness of masks. He has helped a
                            research, and should be open about any          wide audience understand that research
                            gaps in its knowledge. It needs to acknowl-     on COVID-19 in children and the young is
                            edge errors, and respect the time pressure      unsettled and incomplete. Drosten’s “one
                            that politicians are under. Ideally, advice     man show” has presented politicians with
                            should offer several possible actions, not      options, while his ongoing dialogue with
                            just one. Above all, scientists should be       the general public has emphasized collec-
                            clear on their own role, and refrain from       tive learning processes in the pandemic.
                            playing politics.                                   As a public figure, Hendrik Streeck, head
                                                                            of virology at Bonn University, presents a
                            Behind the Scenes                               stark contrast with Drosten. Ever since the
                            During the pandemic, scientific advice in       earliest reports on the new virus, Streeck
                            Germany has largely taken place behind          has continually minimized its dangers.
                            the scenes. There is no central national sci-   In April, he inflated his own fieldwork,
                            entific committee, and Merkel has decid-        making claims for national transmission
                            ed not to have scientists stand at her side.    based on his narrow study of contagion
                            Even so, several individuals have come to       in Gangelt, a village in the federal state of
                            dominant media coverage.                        North Rhine-Westphalia. His claims were
                               Scientific figures who seem to embody        presented at a joint press conference with
                            scientific ideals include Christian Drosten,    Armin Laschet, prime minister of North
                            head virologist at Berlin’s Charité hospi-      Rhine-Westphalia. Streeck’s intervention
                            tal, and Sandra Ciesek, head of Frankfurt       helped bolster Laschet’s demands for a
                            University’s Institute for Virology. Early in   rapid end to the first lockdown, propos-
                            the debate, Drosten emphatically denied         als which succeeded some days later. The
                            he was a sort of “replacement chancellor”       Bonn virologist has used his position to
                            for the pandemic. In many interviews, he        popularize ideas discredited in scientific
                            has openly acknowledged his own errors,         literature, in particular “herd immunity”
                            for example his misunderstanding of the         theories. These claim that widespread
                                                                            infection among the young, even in the
                                                                            absence of a vaccine, could offer collective
                                                                            defense to society.
                                                                                As the year has gone on, Streeck’s mes-
                                                                            saging has come disquietingly close to that
                            Good scientific                                 emerging from Trump’s White House. At
                                                                            times, his ideas have been based on false

                            advice needs to
                                                                            assumptions, for example about how long
                                                                            and how well antibodies can protect those
                                                                            recovering from COVID-19, and about dan-

                            be open about                                   gers to young people, even outside sup-
                                                                            posed high-risk groups. There has been
                                                                            much speculation about possible moti-
                            gaps in its present                             vations for Streeck’s interventions. What
                                                                            is clear is that his pronouncements have

                            knowledge
                                                                            brought him substantial media attention,
                                                                            and won him the support of the powerful

44 | IP Special • 2 /2021
A Delicate Balance

media group Axel Springer and its own-         sequences, have seen slower resolution.
er, the US investment company KKR. One         Some questions—where the virus origi-
KKR subsidiary, Deutsche Glasfaser, has        nated, for example—could take years to
helped to co-finance Streeck’s “Heins-         answer. Many much-heralded announce-
burg” study in North Rhine-Westphalia.         ments, for example on the effectiveness of
                                               medicines like Remdesivir, have ultimate-
A Communication Gap                            ly turned out to be false. Both politicians
In one way, the contrast between Dros-         and the population at large are now see-
ten and Ciesek and scientists like Streeck     ing “science in the making,” as the whole
revealed a healthy pluralism of opinion
in Germany, although for politicians it
presents a problem of whom to trust. But

                                               In a pandemic,
what became clear, above all, was that the
German science establishment as a whole
was unprepared to communicate with the
public in an emergency. In particular, it
did not know how to deal with problematic
                                               people want rapid
figures. In February 2020 a huge communi-
cation gap opened up, into which poured
conspiracy theorists, ideologists, and
                                               certainties and
                                               guarantees, also
quack doctors.
    Accustomed to announcing break-
throughs, science communication pro-
fessionals in Europe and the US have
struggled to counteract conspiracy the-
                                               on a vaccine
orists on social media. Effective political
advice has been hampered by a failure to
weigh statements of different value, and
to act against problematic assertions by       world has turned into a real-life laboratory,
some researchers. This has prompted a          where the health and survival of millions
wave of critical interventions, like that of   depend on the smooth functioning of
the “Siggen Circle,” an important forum        science and its processes of knowledge
for science communication professionals.       production.
A statement from October 2020 contained           Every day we are reminded of Karl Pop-
down-to-earth advice: “If in doubt, keep       per, the philosopher who described sci-
your mouth shut!”                              ence as the “present state of error.” Today,
    In a pandemic, people want rapid cer-      both politicians and the general public
tainties and guarantees, for example on        have a unique opportunity to understand
the availability of a vaccine. During the      the great strength of the scientific meth-
coronavirus outbreak, science has suc-         od—to provide knowledge to act on, as is
cessfully delivered gains in record time:      the case in both the climate and the COV-
for example, establishing the molecular        ID-19 crises—and precisely its extraordi-
structure of SARS-CoV-2, and identifying       nary openness and capacity for learning,
its differences from other pathogens. Oth-     which helps politicians to keep an open
er issues, like COVID-19’s long-term con-      mind. 

                                                                                               IP Special • 2 /2021   | 45
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