AGRIFOOD ATLAS Facts and figures about the corporations that control what we eat 2017 - Bund für Umwelt und Naturschutz Deutschland

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AGRIFOOD ATLAS Facts and figures about the corporations that control what we eat 2017 - Bund für Umwelt und Naturschutz Deutschland
AGRIFOOD ATLAS
Facts and figures about the corporations that control what we eat   2017
AGRIFOOD ATLAS Facts and figures about the corporations that control what we eat 2017 - Bund für Umwelt und Naturschutz Deutschland
IMPRINT
The AGRIFOOD ATLAS is jointly published by
Heinrich Böll Foundation, Berlin, Germany
Rosa Luxemburg Foundation, Berlin, Germany
Friends of the Earth Europe, Brussels, Belgium

Chief executive editors:
Christine Chemnitz, Heinrich Böll Foundation
Benjamin Luig, Rosa Luxemburg Foundation
Mute Schimpf, Friends of the Earth Europe

Executive Editors of the German edition:
Christian Rehmer, Reinhild Benning, Marita Wiggerthale

Managing editor: Dietmar Bartz
Art director: Ellen Stockmar

English Editors: Paul Mundy, Oliver Mundy
Proofreader: Maria Lanman

Contributors: Christophe Alliot, Dietmar Bartz, Stanka Becheva, Reinhild Benning,
Christine Chemnitz, Jennifer Clapp, Olivier de Schutter, Stephen Greenberg,
Roman Herre, Saskia Hirtz, Nina Holland, Emile Frison, Benjamin Luig, Sylvian Ly,
Elise Mills, Heike Moldenhauer, Sophia Murphy, Christine Pohl, Christian Rehmer,
Shefali Sharma, Christoph Then, Jim Thomas, Jan Urhahn, Katrin Wenz, John Wilkinson

Editorial responsibility (V. i. S. d. P.): Annette Maennel, Heinrich Böll Foundation

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First English edition, October 2017

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FOR ORDERS AND DOWNLOADS
Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung, Schumannstraße 8, 10117 Berlin, Germany, www.boell.de/agrifood-atlas
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Friends of the Earth Europe, Rue d’Edimbourg 26, 1050 Brussels, Belgium www.foeeurope.org/agrifood_atlas
AGRIFOOD ATLAS Facts and figures about the corporations that control what we eat 2017 - Bund für Umwelt und Naturschutz Deutschland
AGRIFOOD ATLAS
 Facts and figures about the corporations that control what we eat

                               2017
TABLE OF CONTENTS

    02 IMPRINT                                         18 FERTILIZERS
                                                          CHEMICALS FOR THE SOIL
    06 INTRODUCTION                                      Synthetic fertilizers increase agriculture’s
                                                         productivity, but do not improve soil quality.
                                                         Manufacturers want to sell more – despite the
                                                         high energy and environmental costs.

                                                       20 SEED AND PESTICIDES
                                                          FROM SEVEN TO FOUR –
                                                          GROWING BY SHRINKING
                                                         Mergers galore: Bayer wants to buy
    08 INDEX                                             Monsanto and become the world’s largest
       THE CORPORATIONS MENTIONED                        producer of seeds and agrochemicals.
       IN THE AGRIFOOD ATLAS                             All top rivaling companies are pairing up.

    10 HISTORY                                         22 ANIMAL GENETICS
       SUPERSIZE ME                                       IN THE BEGINNING WAS
         Whether protectionism or deregulation            THE PATENT
         – the agrifood industry keeps growing.          Genetically modified livestock are prone
         Mergers are making firms bigger all the         to disease and are difficult to market.
         way along the value chain.                      But many labs are developing methods to
                                                         further industrialize animal production.
    12 MERGERS
       ONE GROUP TO RULE THEM ALL                      24 CROP GENETICS
         A single private equity firm, 3G Capital         JUGGLING GENES
         from Brazil, controls some of the world’s       In the coming years, seed companies plan
         biggest food and beverage corporations.         to use genome editing to produce crops
         The company’s aggressive takeover               with new characteristics – and market
         strategy is just the tip of the iceberg.        them without having to state that they are
                                                         “genetically modified”.
    14 PLANTATIONS
       MODERN-DAY LANDOWNERS                           26 COMMODITIES
         New corporations have emerged that buy or        AGRICULTURAL TRADERS’
         lease vast areas of farmland in developing       SECOND HARVEST
         countries. They grow monocultures to feed       Four Western corporations dominate
         the industrialized agriculture.                 the global trade of agricultural products.
                                                         Now a Chinese firm has joined them.
    16 AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY
       DIGITAL MANOEUVRES –                            28 MANUFACTURERS
       WHEN TRACTORS GO ONLINE                            BRANDS DOMINATING MARKETS
         Precision farming promises to revolutionize     Fifty manufacturers account for 50 percent
         farm management. But it will only benefit       of global food sales in the industry. The
         large landholdings and capital-intensive        big companies are growing fastest and are
         agro enterprises.                               rapidly increasing their market share.

4   AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017
30 RETAILING                                        42 WORLD TRADE
   EXPANDING AISLES                                    IN CONTROL, NOT UNDER CONTROL
   Food shoppers in the developed world let           International trade deals reflect the
   the cash registers ring at the likes of            interests of the industry. Agrifood
   Wal-Mart, Lidl, Carrefour and Tesco. The           corporations want to keep a grip on
   supermarket revolution is now expanding            the steering wheel.
   throughout the developing world.
                                                    44 EU LOBBYING
32 FEEDING THE WORLD                                   BIG BUSINESS IN BRUSSELS
   CHEMICAL SPRAYS, BUT HUNGER STAYS                  The crowds of industry lobbyists trying to
   Industry says it can feed the world. But total     infl uence European Union policy often
   food production is not the issue; access to        find they are pushing at an open door. They
   food is. The key solution is to fight poverty.     combine legitimate lobbying with underhand
                                                      methods such as hiring government
34 MEAT                                               insiders and publishing quasi-scientifi c
   HERD INSTINCT                                      studies. The EU must recognize such tactics
   They are largely unknown to the public, but        for what they are.
   they dominate the world’s meat supplies.
   Much of the beef, pork and chicken we eat is     46 CHINA
   controlled by just a handful of big firms.          PUBLIC AND PRIVATE COMPANIES
                                                       ARE REACHING OUT
36 ALTERNATIVES                                       The world’s new economic powerhouse
   LOOKING FOR A NEW WAY                              is located in China. Its land investments in
   Agroecology is a successful concept which          Africa and Latin America have attracted
   promotes farming methods that are                  headlines, but Southeast Asia is where it is
   attuned to local ecosystems. It is already         making its influence most felt.
   used for growing rice worldwide.
                                                    48 RULES
38 CAPITAL MARKETS                                     MARKET POWER AND HUMAN RIGHTS
   INVESTORS CARE ABOUT GROWTH –                      Again and again, corporations fail to
   NOT ABOUT THE GROWERS                              respect human rights. Voluntary measures
   Speculators are increasingly placing               are not enough: we need binding rules.
   their bets on agriculture. Capital flows into
   stock exchanges are exacerbating price           50 RESISTANCE
   fluctuations in agricultural commodities            PROTESTS, BOYCOTTS
   – to the benefit of funds and banks.                AND RESISTANCE
                                                      In many countries, people are resisting
40 WORKING CONDITIONS                                 agrarian and trade policies that boost
   PILE IT HIGH, SELL IT CHEAP                        the power of the multinationals. Individual
   Labels on supermarket packaging trumpet            companies also come in for criticism.
   all kinds of concerns for people
   and nature. But most have little impact
   on the miserable conditions                      52 AUTHORS AND SOURCES
   endured by farm and plantation workers.             FOR DATA AND GRAPHICS

                                                                                                 AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017   5
INTRODUCTION

    T
           he contrast could hardly be greater.
           The list of the world’s largest 500
           companies by turnover contains a
                                                  „      The fight for market share
                                                         is achieved at the expense
                                                  of the weakest links in the chain:
    huge number of firms engaged in               farmers, and workers.
    agriculture and food: firms that have
    carved up big chunks of the sector among
    themselves. At the same time, the sector      protection does not necessarily depend on
    is the basis of the livelihoods for many      the size of a company. But in many
    millions of farmers and farm workers who      parts of the agrifood sector, individual
    are among the poorest people in the world.    corporations have gained so much market
                                                  sway that they have the ability to shape
    The trend continues towards a further         markets and policies. Conflicts usually
    concentration of power. In the developing     involve unequal power relations: between
    world, the growth of the middle class         agricultural, food and trade corporations
    is changing tastes and diets. Demand for      on the one hand, and farmers and farm
    processed foods is sure to rise. The          workers on the other. The gap between
    declared aim of agriculture, chemicals        their shares of revenues yawns ever wider.
    and food corporations is to grab as           Across the globe, inequality is increasing.
    big a slice of the cake as possible, but

                                                  A
    they have now been joined by banks,                   grifood corporations are driving
    insurance companies and the information               industrialization along the entire
    technology industry.                                  global value chain, from farm to
                                                  plate. Their purchasing and sales policies
    Takeovers and mergers like Monsanto           promote a form of agriculture that
    by Bayer, Kraft with Heinz and Dow with       revolves around productivity. The fight
    DuPont are just the tip of the iceberg.       for market share is achieved at the expense
    A spate of corporate marriages is             of the weakest links in the chain: farmers,
    concentrating control at each link in the     and workers. The price pressure exerted
    value chain, from field to fork. The          by supermarkets and food firms is a
    biggest players are growing the fastest       major cause of poor working conditions
    and are pushing through their own             and poverty further back in the chain.
    interests and approaches.                     It also promotes the onward march of
                                                  industrial agriculture and its associated
    When does big become too big? That is         effects on the environment and climate.
    not an easy question to answer.               The loss of soil fertility and biodiversity,
    Attention to ecological and social values     marine pollution and the emission of
    such as human rights, labour rights,          greenhouse gases: all these are partly due
    as well as climate and environmental          to the spread of industrial farming.

6   AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017
Despite all this, a reorientation is still not
in sight – except in a few promising cases.
On the contrary, attempts to make binding
                                                 „      A growing number of
                                                        people are changing
                                                 their buying habits to recreate
rules on human rights, working conditions        diversity in the value chain.
and the environment are routinely tor-
pedoed. A major reason lies in the power
relations described in this atlas. To push       the value chain. But the current debate over
for the necessary political changes, we first    new permits for glyphosate has shown
need to understand the business models           that political institutions and the interests
and growth strategies of the corporations.       of the industry are closely interwoven.

C                                                A
        itizens must be able to influence                growing number of people are
        food politics. But around the world,             organizing themselves and
        we see democratic freedoms being                 are changing their buying habits
restricted. In many of the countries in          to recreate diversity in the value chain.
which our organizations are active, civil        But that is not enough to end hunger
society is increasingly being discouraged,       and poverty or to protect the environment.
censored and intimidated. Two trends             The withdrawal of government from
coincide in the agrifood sector: ever-fewer      economic intervention is a major cause of
corporations are taking control of an            the colossal environmental and climate
ever-bigger market share and are gaining         damage and the global injustice that
influence in many parts of the world.            we see today. It is high time for a socially
At the same time, the opportunities for          and politically oriented regulation
civil society and social movements               of the agrifood industry. We hope that
to oppose such developments are being            this atlas will stimulate a broad-based
restricted.                                      social debate on this vital topic.

The megafusions that have been announced
in the seed and agrochemicals sector –
between Bayer and Monsanto, Dow
and DuPont and Syngenta and ChemChina
– must serve as a wake-up call. Politicians      Barbara Unmüßig
and competition authorities must                 Heinrich Böll Foundation
come to grips with mergers that have social
                                                 Dagmar Enkelmann
and environmental effects in fields that are
                                                 Rosa Luxemburg Foundation
already concentrated in a few hands. They
must push ahead with competition law             Jagoda Munic
reforms to prevent further concentration in      Friends of the Earth Europe

                                                                                       AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017   7
INDEX
           THE CORPORATIONS MENTIONED                                                            UNITED KINGDOM
           IN THE AGRIFOOD ATLAS                                                                 • Associated British • SABMiller 10/11,
                                                                                                   Foods 28/29          12/13, 28/29
                                                                                                 • BG 10/11           • Sainsbury 30/31
                                                                                                 • CNH 16/17          • Shell, Royal Dutch
              UNITED STATES                                                                      • Compass Group        Shell 10/11, 14/15
              • 3G Capital 12/13, 28/29 • Intellia Therapeutics                                    48/49              • Tesco 10/11, 30/31,
              • AB InBev 10/11, 12/13     24/25                            CANADA                • Envigo 22/23         48/49
              • ADM cf. Archer Daniel   • Intrexon 22/23                   • Agrium 18/19        • Genus 22/23        • Unilever 10/11,
                Midland                 • IT-DNA 24/25                     • AquaBounty 22/23    • Hume Brophy 44/45 12/13, 28/29, 40/41,
              • AGCO 16/17              • John Deere 10/11, 16/17,         • Canpotex 18/19      • Oxitec 22/23         42/43, 44/45
              • Allergan 10/11            24/25, 38/39                     • Nutrien 18/19
              • Alta Genetics 22/23     • Kellogg’s 40/41                  • Potash 18/19
              • Amazon 10/11            • Koch Foods 34/35                                                              IRELAND
              • Anheuser-Bush 12/13, • Kraft, Heinz, Kraft Heinz                                                        • Fyffe 50/51
                28/29                     10/11, 12/13, 28/29,                                                          • Actavis 10/11
              • Anthem 10/11              40/41
              • Archer Daniel Midland   • Kroger 10/11, 30/31,
                14/15, 18/19, 26/27,      48/49
                                                                                                             FRANCE
                28/29, 38/39            • Life Technologies 24/25
                                                                                                             • Auchan 30/31,
              • AT&T 10/11              • Mars 28/29
                                                                                                               48/49
              • Autodesk 24/25          • McDonald’s 10/11, 48/49
                                                                                                             • Bigard Group 34/35
              • BAT 10/11               • Microsoft 10/11, 24/25
                                                                                                             • Carrefour 30/31,
              • Berkshire Hathaway      • Mondelez 12/13, 28/29
                                                                                                               48/49
                12/13, 28/29            • Monsanto 10/11, 12/13,
                                                                                                             • Castel 12/13
              • BlackRock 38/39           16/17, 20/21, 24/25,       MEXICO
                                                                                                             • Cellectis 24/25
              • Bunge 18/19, 26/27,       34/35, 38/39, 42/43,       • Industrias
                                                                                                             • Danone 28/29
                38/39                     44/45                        Bachoco 34/35
                                                                                                             • Finatis 48/49
              • Burger King 12/13       • Morgan Stanley 38/39
                                                                                                             • Grimaud 22/23
              • Cargill 10/11, 14/15,   • Mosaic 18/19
                                                                                                             • Groupe Doux
                18/19, 26/27, 34/35,    • Neogen 22/23
                                                                                                               34/35
                38/39, 42/43            • OSI 34/35
                                                                                                             • ITM (Intermarché)
              • Caribou Biosciences     • PepsiCo 10/11, 12/13,
                                                                                                               30/31
                24/25                     28/29, 40/41
                                                                                                             • Lactalis 28/29
              • CF Industries 18/19     • Perdue Foods 34/35
                                                                                                             • Leclerc 30/31
              • Charter 10/11           • Pfizer 10/11
                                                                       ECUADOR                               • Sodexo 48/49
              • Cibus Biotech 24/25     • Pilgrim‘s Pride 10/11
                                                                       • Palmar 40/41
              • Cigna 10/11             • Popeyes 12/13
                                                                       • Reybanpac 40/41
              • Citibank 38/39          • RBI 12/13                                                                   GHANA
              • Climate 16/17           • Recombinetics 22/23                                                         • Fan Milk 28/29
              • Coca-Cola 10/11, 12/13, • Reynolds 10/11
                28/29, 40/41, 44/45     • Sangamo BioSciences
              • Costco 10/11, 12/13,      24/25
                30/31                   • See‘s Candies 12/13
              • Dairy Queen 12/13       • Smithfield 10/11, 28/29,
              • Dell 10/11                34/35                                                 BRAZIL
              • DirecTV 10/11           • Swift 10/11                                           • 3G Capital 12/13, 28/29
              • Dow, Dow Chemical 10/11,• Target 30/31, 48/49                                   • Amaggi 14/15
                20/21, 24/25, 44/45     • The Pampered Chef                                     • AmBev 12/13
              • DuPont 10/11, 16/17,      12/13                                                 • Biosev 14/15
                20/21, 24/25, 34/35     • Tim Hortons 12/13                                     • BRF 10/11, 34/35
              • Editas Medicine 24/25 • Time Warner Cable 10/11                                 • Copersucar 14/15
              • EMC 10/11               • Trans Ova Genetics 22/23                              • Cosan 14/15
              • FMC 20/21               • Twist Bioscience 24/25            ARGENTINA           • Frangosul 34/35
              • Gen 9 24/25             • Tyson Foods 28/29,                • El Tejar 14/15    • Granol 14/15
              • General Mills 28/29       34/35, 38/39                                          • InBev 12/13
              • GenScript 24/25         • Verizon 10/11                                         • JBS 10/11, 28/29, 34/35
              • Goldman Sachs 26/27, • ViaGen 22/23                                             • Marfrig 34/35
                38/39                   • Wal-Mart 10/11, 12/13,                                • Petrobras 14/15
              • Heinz cf. Kraft           30/31, 48/49                                          • Raizen 14/15
              • Hershey 12/13           • Wintergreen Research                                  • Santelisa 14/15
              • Hormel 34/35              16/17                                                 • Vanguarda Agro 14/15
              • IBM 10/11               • Wyeth 10/11
              • Intel 24/25             • Zoetis 22/23

8   AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017
CHINA
                                                                                                 • ChemChina 10/11, 20/21
                                                                                                 • China Asean Resources 46/47
                                                                                                 • China Minzhong Food 46/47
                                                                                                 • COFCO 10/11, 26/27
                                                                                                 • First Pacific 46/47
                                                                                                 • IR Reources 46/47
         NORWAY                                                                                  • Jiusan 14/15
         • Yara 18/19                                                                            • New Hope 34/35
                                                                 RUSSIA                          • Shandong Chenxi Group
                                                                 • PhosAgro 18/19                  14/15
                                                                 • RIF 26/27                     • Shanghui Group 34/35
SWEDEN/                                                          • Uralkali 18/19                • Shuanghui Development
DENMARK                                                                                            34/35
• Arla Foods 28/29                                                                               • Sinofert 18/19
                                                                                                 • Smithfield cf. WH Group
                                                                                                 • Wen‘s Food 34/35
                          UKRAINE                                                                • WH Group, Smithfield 10/11,
                          • Kernel Group 14/15                                                     28/29, 34/35
                                                                                                 • Yunnan Power Biological
                                                                                                   Group 46/47
                                                                                                 • Yurun Group 34/35
        ITALY                                                                                    • ZTE 46/47
        • CNH 16/17
                             ISRAEL                                                                                                     JAPAN
        • Fiat 16/17
                             • Adama 20/21                                                                                              • Kubota
                             • ICL 18/19                                                                                                  16/17
                                                                                                                                        • Nipponham
                                                                                                                                          34/35
 SWITZERLAND
 • CRISPR Therapeutics              SAUDI ARABIA                             INDIA
   24/25                            • Acolid 34/35                           • Mahindra 16/17
 • Glencore 26/27
                                                                             • Tata 28/29
 • Nestlé 10/11, 12/13,                                                                                       THAILAND
                                                                             • UPL 20/21
   28/29, 42/43, 44/45,                                                                                       • CP Group 34/35
   48/49, 50/51
 • Syngenta 10/11,
   20/21, 24/25, 38/39,                          NETHERLANDS
   44/45                                         • ABN Amro 10/11
                                                                                                                 MALAYSIA
                                                 • CNH 16/17
                                                                                                                 • Sime Darby 14/15
                                                 • CRV 22/23
                                                 • Hendrix Genetics
                                                   22/23                                                    SINGAPORE
                                                 • Koepon 22/23                                             • Noble 10/11        INDONESIA
                                                 • Louis Dreyfus 14/15,                                     • Olam 26/27         • Sinar Mas 14/15
                                                   18/19, 26/27, 38/39                                      • Wilmar 14/15
                                                 • Nidera 10/11              GERMANY
                                                 • RFS 10/11                 • Aldi 30/31, 34/35
                                                 • Royal Dutch Shell,        • BASF 16/17, 20/21,
                                                   Shell 10/11, 14/15          24/25, 44/45
                                                 • Topigs Norsvin 22/23      • Bayer 10/11, 16/17,
                                                 • Unilever 10/11, 12/13,      20/21, 24/25, 34/35,
                                                   28/29, 40/41, 42/43,        44/45
         SOUTH AFRICA                              44/45                     • Claas 16/17
         • Shoprite 30/31                        • Vion Food 34/35           • Deutsche Bank 38/39
                                                                             • Edeka 30/31, 34/35,                                    AUSTRALIA
                                                                               40/41, 48/49                                           • Nufarm 20/21
                                                                             • JAB Holding 28/29
                                                                             • K+S 18/19
                                                                             • Metro 30/31
                                                                             • Netto 34/35
                                         BELGIUM                             • Ostfriesische Tee
                                         • AB InBev, Anheuser-Busch            Gesellschaft 28/29
                                           InBev, InBev, Interbrew           • Rewe 30/31, 34/35
                                           10/11, 12/13                      • Schwarz (Lidl, Kaufland)
                                                                               30/31, 34/35, 40/41
                                                                             • Teekanne 28/29
                                                                             • Tönnies 34/35
                                                                             • Westfleisch 34/35

                                                                                                                                             AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017   9
HISTORY

     SUPERSIZE ME
     Whether protectionism or deregulation                                                                   opment of new food preservation and transformation tech-
     – the agrifood industry keeps growing.                                                                  nologies to produce food and drink for urban consumption.
     Mergers are making firms bigger all the                                                                 In the 1930s, the development of hybridization made cross-
                                                                                                             ing crop varieties or breeding lines possible. This led to the
     way along the value chain.
                                                                                                             emergence of companies that produced seeds and animal
                                                                                                             breeding stock. Each of these industries had its own technol-

     T
           he global agrifood system can trace its origins back to                                           ogies or marketing characteristics that created barriers to
           the last quarter of the 19th century in Britain, which                                            entry for new firms. Food retailing remained local and fami-
           was then the world’s dominant commercial power.                                                   ly-based until the 1950s in the USA and the 1960s in Europe,
     The first large agricultural corporations with a global reach                                           when self-service supermarket chains emerged.
     emerged for a range of reasons, both technological and                                                      With the rise in protectionism and the decline of trade in
     institutional. Farm work was mechanized; agrochemicals                                                  the first half of the 20th century, big firms in the USA and Eu-
     were invented and marketed; trains, ships and ports revo-                                               rope turned themselves into transnational corporations by
     lutionized transport; and new technologies improved the                                                 investing in other countries, rather than just exporting their
     preservation and storage of food. Free trade removed tariff                                             products there. Oligopolies, in which a few actors determine
     barriers, and futures markets overcame capital shortages                                                what happens, emerged at various stages along the value
     by selling crops even before the seed had been put in the                                               chain.
     ground.                                                                                                     This process accelerated with the US-led reconstruction
         From the point of view of farm production, these corpo-                                             programmes in Europe after the Second World War, and
     rations could be roughly divided into upstream and down-                                                was reinforced by the emergence of new types of products:
     stream firms. Upstream firms supplied farm machinery and                                                fast food, snacks and drinks. The upstream machinery and
     chemicals to large estates in Europe and big commercial                                                 agrochemicals firms, along with the newly created seed in-
     family farms in the Americas. Downstream firms focused                                                  dustry, paved the way for the industrialization of agriculture
     either on trading and primary processing, or on the devel-                                              in Europe. Food aid and the Green Revolution, with its reli-
                                                                                                             ance on seed, fertilizers, pesticides and machinery, enabled
                                                                                                             these firms to spread in Asia and Latin America.
                                                                                                                 Post-war economic growth and rising incomes led to a
        WHERE CORPORATIONS WORK
                                                                                                             shift in diets. Food options expanded. According to Engel’s
        Major areas of activity in the agrifood industry,
        schematic diagram                                                                                    law, as income rises the proportion of income spent on food
                                                                                                             falls. Companies responded to this potential loss of turnover
             Finance             Investment              Insurance       Information
                                                                                                             by launching new, more expensive, products and by inten-
                                                                                                             sifying their marketing. The family grocer gave way to su-
                                                                                                             permarkets, and giant retailers exerted their influence both
                Machinery                      Land                    Water                                 backwards along the agrifood chain to processors and farm-
            Seed                 Pesticides          Fertilizer                                              ers, and forwards with consumers. Health and fitness con-
                                                                                                             cerns created demand for fresh products such as vegetables,
                       Breeding lines                       Veterinary         Feed                          fruit and fish, which came to be organized under the direct
                                                                                                             control of the retailers.
                                                                                                                 In the 1980s, the transnational crop companies increas-
                                          Agricultural
                                                                                                             ingly became global players with interests around the
                                          production
                                                                                                             world. In developing countries, liberalization dismantled
            Energy                                                                                           state controls over commodity markets and tariff barriers,
          production                 Commodity trading                                                       leading to a rapid expansion of global trade in foodstuffs.
                                       and transport
           Chemicals                                                                                         Big retailers began organizing new supply chains to source
                                                                                                             fresh produce from developing countries. They also expand-
                                       Food production                                                       ed in the larger countries in the developing world to serve
                                        and processing                                                       the needs of the new middle classes there.
                                                                                                                 A handful of global corporations now organizes the
                                                                                                             world’s agriculture and food-consumption patterns. They
            Wholesale, retail                                        Gastronomy                              are remarkably long-lived: many of today’s leaders were
                                                                                       AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017

                                         Consumption
                                                                                                             It’s a long way from field to plate.
        Information: weather, markets, farm management                                                       Farmers are the most
                                                                                                             vulnerable link in the chain

10   AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017
THE BIGGEST MERGERS OF THE LAST DECADE
  Timeline, by sector and transaction value in billion US dollars (controlled for inflation, base year 2016),
  publicly traded companies only, includes announcements
                                                                                                                                                                              agrochemicals,
                                                                                                                                                                              food, drinks,
                                             132                                                                                           130                                tobacco
                                                                                                                                                                              finance, oil,
                                         Verizon                    117                                                                  Dow/                                 pharmaceuticals,
        112                           (Share purchase,
                                                                                                                                        DuPont                                technology
                                        technology)
                                                                                                                                     (Agrochemicals)
                                                                 AB InBev/                                         100
    ABN Amro/                                                    SABMiller
       RFS                                                        (Drinks)
      (Finance)                                                                                                   Heinz/                                            85
                                                                                             79                    Kraft
                               75                                                                                 (Food)                                          AT&T/
                                                         70                                                                    71
                                                                                         Charter/                                                       67         Time                     66
                             Pfizer/                                                       Time                                                                   Warner
                    57       Wyeth                                                        Warner                                                               (Technology)
                                                    Royal                                                                   Actavis/                                                       Bayer/
                         (Pharmaceuticals)                                                Cable
                                                    Dutch                      47                       49                  Allergan                                            47        Monsanto
                                                                                         (Technology)                  (Pharmaceuticals)                                               (Agrochemicals)
              InBev/                                Shell/
                                                     BG                                                                                               Dell/

                                                                                                                                                                                                         AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / AM ARCHIVES
          Anheuser-Busch                                                                            AT&T/
                  (Drinks)                               (Oil)               Anthem/                                                                  EMC                    BAT/
                                                                              Cigna                 DirecTV                                        (Technology)            Reynolds
                                                                             (Finance)             (Technology)
                                                                                                                                                                              (Tobacco)

        2007       2008        2009          2013                                                       2015                                                                    2016

                                                                                                                                                                 Mergers in the agrifood
founders of the modern agrifood system, such as Cargill                                                                                                industry are just as big as in other
(grain trader), John Deere (farm machinery), Unilever (pro-                                                                                                       sectors of the economy
cessed food, and plantation production in the past), Nestlé
(dairy and chocolate), McDonald’s (fast food), Coca-Cola
(fizzy drinks). Two developments – the shift towards finance                                            the wider world. They must begin to address issues such
capital and the impact of biotechnologies – have led to a                                               as hunger, climate change, waste, sustainability, health
wave of mergers and acquisitions since the 1980s, changing                                              and disease, as well as social justice. These concerns have
the face of the sector.                                                                                 been highlighted by social movements, international con-
    In the last 20 years, much of the action has shifted to the                                         ventions and civil society organizations. These organiza-
developing world and to Asia, especially China, which has                                               tions and institutions are now exerting more pressure than
become the leading market for commodities. New global                                                   ever on the global corporations, demanding changes in the
players are emerging. Two Brazilian firms are now world                                                 production approaches, marketing methods and purchas-
leaders in the meat sector. BRF (formely Brasil Foods) has                                              ing practices, which the latter have used over the last 150
expanded in Argentina, the Middle East and Thailand. JBS                                                years.
has snapped up Swift, Pilgrim’s Pride and part of Smithfield
Foods, three of the largest US meat producers. Chinese state-
owned companies are also getting in on the act. ChemChi-
                                                                                                                                                                                                         AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / FILE

                                                                                                           THE BIGGEST AGRO AND FOOD CORPORATIONS
na is acquiring Syngenta, a Swiss agrochemicals and seeds
                                                                                                           Headquarters of companies with the highest turnover, 2015
business. COFCO, the China National Cereals, Oils and Food-
stuffs Corporation, has bought two commodity traders:                                                                                                      industry             trade
Singapore-based Noble and the Dutch firm Nidera. Mean-
                                                                                                               3 Costco
while, global trade is once again leaning towards protec-                                                                                                          5 Tesco
                                                                                                                           2 Cargill        Welwyn Garden
tionism.                                                                                                                                         City
    At the same time, the digital revolution and biotechnol-                                                Issaquah
                                                                                                                            4 Kroger                  Brussels
                                                                                                          Minnetonka      Purchase             Vevey               5 Anheuser-Busch InBev
ogy are redefining the sector and result in the emergence of                                                      Cincinnati
                                                                                                                     Atlanta     2     PepsiCo
new external players. Big data and intelligent vehicles are                                                     Bentonville                                    1 Nestlé
                                                                                                                                       4 Coca-Cola
making farm production and food retailing attractive for
the likes of IBM, Microsoft and Amazon.                                                                                           1 Wal-Mart
    Despite their all-embracing power, the food majors have
so far paid little attention to the impact of their actions on                                                                 São Paulo

                                                                                                                                       3 JBS

                            Only one of the top five agrifood trade
                   and industrial firms comes from the developing                                          Industry: only turnover with agricutural products and foods; Trade: including non-food
                               world: a meat producer from Brazil

                                                                                                                                                                                       AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017                                   11
MERGERS

     ONE GROUP TO RULE THEM ALL
     A single private equity firm, 3G Capital                                                In 2010, 3G acquired Burger King, along with its out-
     from Brazil, controls some of the world’s                                           standing debt, for US$4 billion. Around one-third of Burger
     biggest food and beverage corporations.                                             King was owned by another private equity consortium and
                                                                                         around two-thirds were floated to the public. Part of the
     The company’s aggressive takeover
                                                                                         new business model was a “refranchising initiative”: before
     strategy is just the tip of the iceberg.                                            2010, out of more than 13,000 restaurants, 1,344 were still
                                                                                         company-owned. By 2013, only 52 were.

     L
          arge-scale takeovers in the food and beverage indus-                               In 2013, 3G Capital joined forces with Warren Buffett’s
          try are nothing new. Mirroring trends in other sectors,                        Berkshire Hathaway and bought the food giant Heinz. Two
          in the late 1980s and the 1990s corporations such as                           years later, in 2015, Heinz acquired Kraft Foods Group for
     Nestlé and Kraft diversified their control over brands by                           US$62 billion to form Kraft Heinz, the world’s fifth-largest
     making acquisitions in various markets. Since the end of                            food and beverage company, with revenues of US$6.6 billion
     the 1990s, financial investors began exerting a strong influ-                       in 2016. The motives for this merger are symptomatic for the
     ence on mergers and acquisitions in the food and beverage                           whole wave of mergers in recent years: while Heinz had a
     sector. Firms were urged to focus on their core brands and                          strong global foothold with 61 percent of its sales outside
     industries, and to make vertical and horizontal acquisitions                        North America, Kraft Foods generated 98 percent of its sales
     within the same subsector.                                                          in North America. At the time of the merger, Kraft had a very
         Profit maximization, rather than expansion, became the                          good credit rating, which made it easy for 3G and Berkshire
     key objective. Instead of accumulating capital to expand                            to refinance its debt. The management announced cost sav-
     a firm’s operations, financial investors demanded that it                           ings arising from synergies and rationalisation of logistic
     channel its cash flow into dividend payouts and share buy-                          structures, which amounted to US$1.5 billion per year for
     backs, giving financial investors (and not the firm itself) the                     the first three years. This rationalization resulted in the loss
     flexibility to diversify their investments. Both institutional                      of around 5,000 jobs. In the USA and Canada, one-fifth of 41
     investors and leading market analysts now wanted acquisi-                           processing plants were closed.
     tions to be “leveraged” – to be based on debt. Since the early                          Two years later, in February 2017, 3G attempted, through
     2000s, all major acquisitions in the food and beverage sec-                         Kraft Heinz, a takeover of its much larger rival Unilever for
     tor have been justified using the pretext of increasing short-                      US$143 billion. The offer was rejected. In 2016, Mondelez, a
     term shareholder value.                                                             snack-and-confectionery maker spun off from Kraft in 2012,
         One of the most prominent private equity firms that has                         failed to take over Hershey, a US chocolate maker. These fail-
     fundamentally restructured a number of corporations is 3G                           ures have increased the likelihood of Mondelez being reab-
     Capital. Founded in 2004 by Jorge Paulo Lemann and part-                            sorbed into Kraft Heinz.
     ners, 3G is headquartered in New York and has offices in Rio
     de Janeiro and São Paulo. Before founding 3G, Lemann and
     his partners laid the foundation of their wealth through in-                        Snack producers – high-growth companies
     vestments and acquisitions that resulted in the formation of                        in 2016 – became expensive buys
     the Brazilian beer giant, Ambev.                                                    while slow-growth retailers were cheaper
                                                                                                                                                                                            AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / IMAP

        INVESTORS’ ACTIVITIES, CLOSELY EXAMINED

        Mergers and acquisitions activity                            Deals by financial and           Public food and beverages companies by earnings multiples,
        in the United States, number of transactions                 strategic buyers, 2016,          selected product groups
        in the food & beverages sector                               in percent
                                                                                                       Earnings multiples*
                                                                                                         20x                                             snacks
                                                                      financial
                                                305
                                                                                                potentially
                                                                                               overrvalued

                                  300                                 investors                               18x
                           283
                 261                     268
                                                       249                                                    16x                                                beverages
                                                              239
                                                                         29.7
          210                                                                                                 14x
                                                                                               undervalued

                                                                                       70.3                   12x                     alcoholic beverages
                                                                                               potentially

                                                                                                              10x   distributors
                                                                                  strategic
                                                                                  investors                   8x
                                                                                                                                               2016
                                                                                                   * Earnings (before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) multiples define the
          2009   2010      2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016                                   assumed value of a company by financial investors in relation to annual income

12   AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017
AN INVESTOR’S AGRIFOOD PORTFOLIO
   Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. food-related holdings as of June 30, 2017,
   percent of shares and value in million US Dollars
                                                                                                                     Coca-Cola 9.4 %

                                                                                                          18,024
       retail                             chemicals
       food and beverages                 restaurants
                                                                                          543
                                                                Restaurant Brands Int. 3.6 %
                      320*
                                                  Costco 1.0 %
      The Pampered Chef 100 %

                                                                720
                                        410*

                           See’s Candies 100 %                                                                              Monsanto 1.8 %

                                                                                     Kraft Heinz 26.7 %
                                                                                                                                                 964

                                                                   25,400
           4,100*                                                                                                                  110
                                                                                                                                       Wal-Mart 0.05 %

                                                                                                                                                           AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / CNBC
                     Dairy Queen 100 %
                                                                                                                                            23

   * diamonds: total sales or revenues of other food-related
                                                                                                                                 Mondelez 0.04 %
     firms owned by Berkshire Hathaway, 2014–16

                                                                                                                      Warren Buffett is the world’s largest
    3G has followed a similarly aggressive strategy in the                                                                private investor and a key player
beverage sector. Through successive mergers in 2004 and                                                              in acquiring and merging companies
2008, Ambev together with Interbrew from Belgium and
Anheuser-Busch from the USA formed AB Inbev, the largest
brewing company in the world. In 2015, AB InBev took over                                ally, including Budweiser, Corona, Stella Artois, Becks and
SABMiller. The resulting company has 25 percent of global                                Jupiler. The SABMiller takeover is the likely end of AB InBev’s
beer sales and 45 percent of the sector’s profit.                                        merger activity in beer because of the risk of being blocked
    Again, a key motivation has been to drastically cut oper-                            by antitrust regulators. Options may include diversifying
ating costs by creating a global giant. AB Inbev plans to cut                            into other alcoholic beverages (e.g. wine through Castel in
5,500 jobs in this process. Together, AB Inbev and SABMiller                             France) or into soft drinks (e.g., PepsiCo or Coca-Cola).
control seven of the ten most important beer brands glob-                                    However, 3G’s aggressive takeover strategy is just the
                                                                                         tip of the iceberg. Almost all large food companies have
                                                                                         launched their own venture capital arms in recent years,
After failing to acquire Unilever, the world’s                                           investing in smaller, upcoming brands. Aggressive take-
largest consumer goods company, in 2017,                                                 overs, pushed by venture capital, have become the status
3G is said to be looking for other targets                                               quo.                                                              AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / MEDIA REPORTS

   HUNGRY, THIRSTY, GREEDY
   Mergers and aquisitions led or accompanied by 3G Capital and its partners including Berkshire Hathaway

        2004 AmBev                   2008 InBev purchased
        merged with                                                                        2015 AB InBev                         world’s largest
                                     Anheuser-Bush to form
        Interbrew to                                                                       merged with SABMiller                 beer company
                                     AB InBev
        form InBev

                                                                      2014 Tim Hortons purchased
                                                                                                                              world’s third-largest
                                           2010 Burger King           and merged with Burger King     2017 Popeyes
                                                                                                                             fast food restaurants
                                           purchased                  to form Restaurant Brands       added to RBI
                                                                                                                                    operator
                                                                      International (RBI)

                                                                                           2015 Kraft purchased
                                                                                                                              world’s fifth-largest
                                                          2013 Heinz purchased             and merged with Heinz
                                                                                                                                food processor
                                                                                           to form Kraft Heinz

                                                                                                                                            AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017                                  13
PLANTATIONS

     MODERN-DAY LANDOWNERS
     New corporations have emerged that buy or                                                                more profitable downstream activities. The traditional ap-
     lease vast areas of farmland in developing                                                               proach of producing on plantations seemed less lucrative.
     countries. They grow monocultures to feed                                                                    Since the end of the 20th century, there has been a dra-
                                                                                                              matic increase in the area used to cultivate oil palm, maize,
     the industrialized agriculture.
                                                                                                              sugarcane and soybeans. These four crops are used not only
                                                                                                              as food, but also as animal feed, biofuel and industrial feed-

     F
          rom the start of the colonial era in the 16th century,                                              stock, earning them the moniker “flex crops”.
          globalization was driven by European powers in their                                                    The production of oil palm is closely linked to rapid de-
          search for cheap labour and slaves. Trading compa-                                                  velopment in Southeast Asia. Agricultural concerns from
     nies established plantations to produce food and industrial                                              Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia dominate the market.
     raw materials for the rapidly growing cities of Europe. This                                             They both supply raw materials to Western industries and
     changed in the second half of the 20th century. As Asian and                                             cater to the enormous demand in their home countries.
     African countries gained their independence in the 1950s                                                     The Malaysian state-owned company Sime Darby was
     and 1960s, Western corporations reduced their activities                                                 created through the nationalization of British colonial com-
     there. Many pulled out of direct primary production in the                                               panies. It first expanded to Indonesia and Papua New Guin-
     1980s, but maintained control of the sector through con-                                                 ea and is now also active in Liberia and Cameroon. Sime Dar-
     tract farming, as in the case of banana cultivation in Central                                           by controls nearly a million hectares around the world. The
     America or tea growing in India. They focused instead on                                                 Singaporean firm Wilmar is the world’s leading producer
                                                                                                              of cooking oil. Robert Kuok, billionaire and majority share-
                                                                                                              holder, is often called the “King of Cooking Oil”. His com-
                                                                                                              pany cultivates over 200,000 hectares worldwide, mostly in
        BEFORE AND AFTER
                                                                                                              Malaysia and Indonesia, and controls parts of the processing
        Land use changes as a result of international investment
        1,004 deals made between 2000 and 2016 in the Land Matrix Register,                                   industry. Another major player is the Widjaja family. It con-
        Figures in percent                                                                                    trols the Indonesian company Sinar Mas, which owns over
                                                                                                              100,000 hectares.
        Land use before acquisition                                                                               The sugarcane sector is structured in a similar way. In
                                                                                                              Brazil, seven joint ventures between Brazilian capital and
                             10                                                                               Western commodity corporations control 50 percent of the
                        5
                                                   arable
                                                                                                              sugar mills. The Brazilian side belongs mostly to associations
                                                   forests                                                    of family enterprises whose wealth is based on the owner-
                    27                             shrubs, pasture                                            ship of vast tracts of land.
                                       58          marginal land                                                  The Copersucar corporation, which in 2014 created a
                                                                                                              joint venture with the US agricultural giant Cargill, owns
                                                                                                              47 sugar mills and controls another 50 through contracts.
                                                                                                              Raízen is another joint venture formed by the Cosan cor-
        Production target at acquisition
                                                                                                              poration with the mineral-oil company Shell; Biosev is a
                                                                                                              partnership between Santelisa with Louis Dreyfus Compa-
                        23            21            agrofuels                                                 ny, one of Cargill’s competitors. Sugarcane plantations are
                                                    food                                                      expanding worldwide, but nowhere as fast as in Brazil. The
                                                    livestock                                                 cultivated area doubled between 2005 and 2013 from five to
                    9                             	other agricultural                                        ten million hectares.
                                                    products (non-food)
                        9                                                                                         In contrast to oil palm and sugarcane, large soybean
                                      38            not specified
                                                                                                              producers focus mainly on production, not processing. The
                                                                                                              Argentinean grain-and-meat producer El Tejar controls
                                                                                                              700,000 hectares in Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, Bolivia
        Land use after acquisition
                                                                                                              and Uruguay through leases and contract farming. Amaggi
                                                   oilseeds                                                   owns 200,000 hectares of land on which soy is grown. Blairo
                            17
                                                   cereals                                                    Maggi, the head of the company, is the former governor of
                                                                          AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / LAND MATRIX

                  3                                sugarcane                                                  the Brazilian state of Mato Grosso and the current Minister
                 3                         44      trees
                 3                                                                                            of Agriculture of Brazil.
                                                   beverage and
                    10                             spice crops
                                                   roots and tubers
                                 20
                                                   other                                                      Shifting land use to livestock and
                                                                                                              industrial crops increases the risk of
                                                                                                              regional and national food insecurity

14   AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017
AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / LAND MATRIX
  GRABBING ACRES
  The 20 largest countries of origin and destination for land acquisition by international investors, noted in the Land
  Matrix register, area in million ha

                         origin and        destination countries for investments                                                   tax haven

                                                                                          Russia
                                                                                   Ukraine
                                                                                           2.4
                                                                                     2.4

                                                                    1.3
             0.6                                          1.8
                                                           Netherlands
           Canada                                United Kingdom                                                0.5
                                                        0.5                        0.4                   Kazakhstan     1.0
     3.3                                                   0.6                                                                                                0.5
                                                   Jersey                                                                              Cambodia
                                                                    0.5                                                China
     USA                                                 France                                                                                        South Korea
                                                                        Cyprus                                                               0.7
                                                Morocco         Luxembourg                        1.4                                 Laos                            Papua
                                                  0.7                                                                                                               New Guinea
                                                                                          Saudi-
                             0.7                                                                                                                      1.1
                                                                                    Sudan Arabia                       1.3            0.4                              2.3
                            British        Sierra Leone                                                                                            Hong Kong
                                                                                         0.5        Ethiopia          India
                        Virgin Islands            0.6
                                                                                 South Sudan             1.0
                                                    Liberia
                                 0.3                            Ghana                0.7                                        3.7                   Indonesia
                                                        0.6
                                       Brazil                    0.8 Rep. Congo                                               Malaysia                      3.0
                                                                                                                                              1.6
                                                                                                  Madagascar
                                   2.0                                     0.7                                                           Singapore
                                                                                                         0.6
           Paraguay
                                                                        Zambia                 Mozambique
             0.5
                                                                                     0.5
                                                                                                  0.5
                           0.8                                            0.4    South Africa
                   Argentina 1.1

                                                                 Comparison:       3.1                  2.6            1.1

                                                                                 Belgium           Rwanda            Jamaica

                                                                                                                      Land acquisitions to produce for the world
    Various corporations compete to control the production                                                               market are booming in Eastern Europe,
of feed and biodiesel from oilseeds. These include Brazilian                                                           South America, Southeast Asia and Africa
corporations such as the state-owned Petrobras and private-
ly held Vanguarda Agro and Granol, Western commodity
traders such as Archer Daniels Midland and Cargill, as well                                    These firms contribute to the economic growth of
as importers such as the state-controlled Jiusan and the pri-                             emerging countries. They control vast areas of farmland;
vate Shandong Chenxi Group from China, the leading im-                                    many have been criticized for grabbing land. They bene-
porting country.                                                                          fit from cheap labour and new technology. Many holdings
    The main maize-growing areas present a mixed picture.                                 are in family ownership, while others are listed on the stock
In the Midwest of the United States, ethanol production                                   exchange, and a few are state owned. By and large they act
from maize has increased steadily over the last 20 years. To-                             discreetly and opaquely. The workforce of sugarcane and
day maize is grown on 40 million hectares in the USA, main-                               oil palm plantations face colonial-style working conditions:
ly by family farms that use modern technology to cultivate                                they are paid piece-wages, and safety standards are low.
large areas.                                                                                    States play a central role in promoting the flex crop in-
    But US producers are increasingly facing competition                                  dustry. Politicians decide to sell or lease state-owned land
from Eastern Europe, mainly from Ukraine, Russia and                                      and whether to finance transport infrastructure. Produc-
Kazakhstan. Ukraine is the third-largest wheat producer                                   tion and processing plants are often subsidized. Quotas for
worldwide. The Kiev-based Kernel Group is a large and fast                                bio-fuels push up demand, sales and earnings of these crops.
growing producer and exporter of grain and sunflower oil                                       Plantation corporations are modern, financially strong
from Ukraine and Russia. In 2017, it became Ukraine‘s larg-                               actors that are transforming agriculture into agro-indus-
est land user with a land bank of 700.000 hectares, a quarter                             try. We can no longer see them as mere relicts of colonial-
of the country‘s 2.8 million hectares of agricultural land.                               ism.

                                                                                                                                                              AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017                                15
AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY

     DIGITAL MANOEUVRES –
     WHEN TRACTORS GO ONLINE
     Precision farming promises to revolutionize                                                                   have bought up smaller competitors and maintained their
     farm management. But it will only benefit                                                                     brands. The global market is dominated by three players.
     large landholdings and capital-intensive                                                                      The US corporation Deere & Company is the market leader;
                                                                                                                   it is known for its biggest brand, John Deere. CNH Industri-
     agro enterprises.
                                                                                                                   al belongs to the Fiat group; its twelve brands include Case,
                                                                                                                   New Holland, Steyr, Magirus and Iveco. The third-largest

     T
            he market for agricultural machinery and technology                                                    player is the US company AGCO, with Gleaner, Deutz-Fahr,
            is huge. With a worldwide turnover of $US 137 bil-                                                     Fendt and Massey Ferguson. These three corporations share
            lion, 2013 was the best year ever for the sector. Since                                                more than 50 percent of the global market. Deere alone had
     then, the sales of tractors, balers, milking machines, feed-                                                  a turnover of $US 29 billion in 2015: higher than the com-
     ing equipment and other technical gear have been falling.                                                     bined seed and pesticide sales of Monsanto and Bayer.
     In 2015 the turnover dropped to $US 112 billion. A further                                                         Market consolidation is not the only trend in the farm
     decline is expected in 2016. An immediate recovery is un-                                                     equipment sector. The digitalization of agricultural pro-
     certain.                                                                                                      duction is still at an early stage, but is developing quickly.
         There are several reasons for the recession. Low prices for                                               Sensors measure milk production, livestock movements
     agricultural products around the world depress investment.                                                    and feed rations. Quality assessments are performed online
     The European and North American markets are saturated.                                                        during milking instead of afterwards in a laboratory. In crop
     The number of farms is decreasing, especially in animal pro-                                                  farming, digitalization (known as “precision farming”) op-
     duction. The area used for farming is shrinking and fewer                                                     timizes operations, saving money and resources and maxi-
     subsidies are being paid out.                                                                                 mizing yields.
         China and India remain the most attractive markets. Chi-                                                       Tractors are steered by GPS; apps provide data about soil
     nese agriculture is regulated by the government. State poli-                                                  quality to planters via wireless networks, and calculate op-
     cies have boosted the percentage of work done by machines                                                     timal sowing patterns and planting distances. Drones could
     in the past 15 years from 34 percent in 2005 to 61 percent                                                    take over the spraying of pesticides. Information technology
     in 2014. India’s market is not yet as advanced. The industry                                                  enables digital “farm management systems” to access data-
     hopes that the government will modify its agricultural poli-                                                  bases and combine soil-quality data with weather forecasts.
     cies to encourage equipment sales. Producers plan to sell half                                                Control over this technology is concentrated in the hands of
     of all tractors worldwide in these two countries by 2020. Asia                                                a few corporations.
     will then account for over 40 percent of the global market.                                                        Digitalization is opening up new markets for agrotech
         A few large corporations share the equipment market                                                       companies. New joint ventures and acquisitions already
     amongst themselves. Instead of growing organically, they                                                      point towards this trend. AGCO and the pesticide producer
                                                                                                                   DuPont announced in 2014 that they would work together
                                                                                                                   on data transmission. In the same year, CNH and Monsan-
                                                                                                                   to’s “Climate Corporation” division signed a contract to
        TOP 6 AGROTECH CORPORATIONS
                                                                                                                   develop precision planting technologies. Deere and the
        Headquarters of the leading enterprises in 2016
                                                                                                                   Climate Corporation have agreed to give Deere’s farm man-
            publicly traded        private or family enterprise                                                    agement system permission to access the large datasets of
                                                                                                                   the Climate Corporation. AGCO and the chemical company
                                                   5 Claas                                                         BASF have also formed a partnership to develop their own
                    1 Deere                                         4 Kubota                                       farm management system.
                                  Amsterdam
                                 London
                                              Harsewinkel
                                                                                                                        CNH introduced self-driving tractors in 2016. Sensors
          Moline
                   Duluth                                                  Osaka                                   guide the vehicle, making a driver’s cab unnecessary. They
                                 2 CNH                                                                             are among the first “agricultural robots”: machines that
                                                                Mumbai
                                                                                                                   plough, sow, spray, prune, milk, shear and harvest. The US
                        3 AGCO                                                                                     consulting firm Wintergreen Research estimates that the
                                                                               AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / AM ARCHIVES

                                                                                                                   global market for these technologies will grow from $US
                                                             6 Mahindra                                            1.7 billion in 2016 to $US 27 billion in 2023. However, Win-

                                                                                                                   Some dominant producers sell
                                                                                                                   equipment under their own brand names.
                                                                                                                   Others have several brands

16   AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017
HEAVY MACHINERY IN A LIGHT MARKET
  Declines in food prices and turnover in agrotechnology

                                                                                                 Global world market shares of agrotech by region
                      Agrotech development compared with the previous year in percent            and countries, average 2012–14 in percent
    25   325             EU       USA           Russia        China      Brazil                      EU
                                                                                                     Nafta *                      17
                                                                                                     China                                  26
    20   300                                                                                                             6
                                                                                                     South America
                                                                                                     India               6
    15   275                                                                                         CIS **
                                                                                                                             8              22
                                                                                                     other
                                                                                                 * USA, Canada, Mexico             15
    10   250                                                                                     ** Mainly Russia

     5   225

    0    200               2012                           2013                     2014                         2015

    -5   175

   -10   150

                                                                                                                                                            AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / AMIS, VDMA
                      Price indices for cereals and edible oils of UN Food
                      and Agriculture Organization (2002/04 =100)
   -15   125
                         index for cereals          index for oils

   -20   100
               2012                          2013                      2014                      2015                            2016

                                                                                                       The recession in the sector is expected to last
tergreen expects the price of the equipment to fall once it is                                      until 2018. But these corporations refrain from
produced on a large scale.                                                                           talking about a crisis so as not to appear weak
    While a boom in the sector will generate employment
in equipment production, servicing and software, it will
reduce the number of jobs in animal production and in la-                             AGCO expects consortia to form around Deere and Claas,
bour-intensive aspects of crop farming. The developers aim                        a German tractor-maker. The ETC Group, a non-governmen-
to reduce labour costs and drudgery, and enable farmers to                        tal organization based in the USA, anticipates a takeover of
become independent of working hours. Image-recognition                            the seed and pesticide industry by agrotech corporations
techniques are advancing quickly, allowing computers to                           due to their financial power. This would increase their con-
detect if fruit and vegetables are ripe for harvest and which                     trol over farms and our food even further.
ones to pick. Manufacturers promise that unlike human
workers, their machines can work day and night without
errors. For cost reasons, humans can only pass through a
                                                                                                                                                            AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / AG WEB

                                                                                    MAKING MACHINES FOR FARM AND FIELD
field once or twice to harvest it; machines can do so contin-
                                                                                    Turnover of the largest corporations, by size,
uously.                                                                             in billion US dollars, 2014
    Hopes exist that the digitalization of agriculture can help
combat climate change. Sensors could calculate soil carbon                           35

stocks and farmers could earn money by selling the stocks
                                                                                     30                                          agrotech
on the emission offsets market. That would pave the way for                                                                      other
larger-scale industrial agriculture but it would leave the en-                       25
vironmental problems unsolved. Such techniques could be
used only by large, capital-intensive farming enterprises in                         20
the developed world. Farms not only have to expand but will
also have to digitalize to remain profitable. The notion “up                          15

or out” will change to “digitalize or out”. Structural changes
                                                                                      10
in agriculture will continue to make workers redundant.
                                                                                      5

                             Some experts speculate that producers                    0
                                    will buy up competitors to stay                         Deere       CHN       AGCO    Kubota        Claas Mahindra
                          competitive with the market leader, Deere

                                                                                                                                             AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017                               17
FERTILIZERS

     CHEMICALS FOR THE SOIL
     Synthetic fertilizers increase agriculture’s                                                                           groups and fertilizer corporations co-founded the Global Al-
     productivity, but do not improve soil quality.                                                                         liance for Climate-Smart Agriculture. The aim of this alliance
     Manufacturers want to sell more – despite the                                                                          is to increase productivity by using fertilizers, pesticides and
                                                                                                                            improved seed. It also wants to include carbon sequestration
     high energy and environmental costs.
                                                                                                                            in soils in international emissions trading.
                                                                                                                                 However, measuring the carbon stock is difficult. And

     S
            oil fertility is of central importance to farmers. They                                                         the prospect of making money with sequestration would
            fertilize their fields to replenish the nutrients re-                                                           give farmers the wrong incentives. It might promote un-
            moved through the harvest. The three main nutrients,                                                            sustainable cultivation methods and land speculation that
     nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium, are found in manure,                                                               would threaten fundamental goods: food security, soil fer-
     chicken droppings, crop residues and other materials of                                                                tility and biological diversity.
     animal or vegetable origin. Mineral fertilizers also contain                                                                The production of artificial fertilizers is extremely energy
     them, but their sources are different: phosphorus and potas-                                                           intensive, which means that their prices are tied to gas and
     sium are mined from rock. Synthetic nitrogen is produced                                                               oil prices. Synthetic nitrogen is produced mainly in North
     through a chemical process.                                                                                            America, India, China, Russia, the Middle East, Australia and
         The invention of mineral fertilizers made possible the                                                             Indonesia. Eighty percent of the potassium comes from Can-
     industrialization of agriculture first in Europe and North                                                             ada, Israel, Russia, Belarus and Germany. Rock phosphate is
     America, then in developing countries. The Green Revolu-                                                               extracted in opencast mines: more than 75 percent of the
     tion introduced Western agricultural practices to other re-                                                            world’s reserves are located in Morocco and in the Moroc-
     gions. A billion-dollar fertilizer business has emerged. The                                                           can-occupied Western Sahara.
     industry proudly points to rising yields but ignores the nega-                                                              Since 1961, the consumption of artificial fertilizers has
     tive impacts on soils, climate and environment.                                                                        increased sixfold, and in 2013, world sales totalled US$ 175
         Corporations are trying to turn the international de-                                                              billion. Manufacturers, especially of phosphate and potash,
     bate surrounding “climate-smart agriculture” (CSA) to their                                                            dominate certain geographic markets or sectors and act as
     advantage. The Food and Agriculture Organization of the                                                                monopolists. The biggest players are Agrium in Canada,
     United Nations (FAO) introduced this concept in 2010. Its                                                              Yara in Norway and the Mosaic Company in the USA. They
     idea was to link agriculture, food security and climate pro-                                                           operate their own mines and factories; together they ac-
     tection. Selected practices adapted to local climate, and soil                                                         count for 21 percent of the global fertilizer market.
     conditions were supposed to make smallholder farms more                                                                     For the period 2015–20, FAO expects artificial fertilizer
     productive and boost humus formation. The idea is to adapt                                                             deliveries to rise from 246 to 273 million tonnes. The latter
     agriculture to climate change and promote carbon seques-                                                               includes 171 million tonnes of nitrogen fertilizer and about
     tration in soils, especially in developing countries.                                                                  50 million each of phosphate and potash. The industry ex-
         But the original idea changed quickly. In 2014, FAO,                                                               pects uneven growth in this period. Africa is expected to
     the World Bank and several governments, as well as lobby                                                               have the strongest annual growth rate, at 3.6 percent, fol-
                                                                                                                            lowed by Latin America, South Asia, and the successor states
                                                                                                                            of the Soviet Union.
                                                                                                                                 China’s demand for fertilizer is plateauing. In 2015, the
                                                                                         AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / SOIL ATLAS

        THE FERTILIZER TOP 10
                                                                                                                            government decided to limit the country’s fertilizer use to
        Headquarters of firms with the biggest turnover, 2015
                                                                                                                            one percent a year. By 2020/21, markets in 50 percent of
            publicly listed             state-owned         private                                                         the global market – China, North America, Western Europe
                                                                                                                            and Australia – will be saturated, with sales growing weakly
                   1 Agrium                    2 Yara          8 PhosAgro                                                   or shrinking. But if these regions import more feed and food,
                        4 Potash                                   9 Uralkali                                               for example from Brazil, they will be outsourcing agricultur-
      Calgary                                   Oslo Moscow Beresniki
                 Saskatoon                      Kassel                                                                      al production as well as fertilizer usage.
        Plymouth
        Deerfield
                                                        Tel Aviv
                                                                        Peking                                                   Multinational agricultural trading groups such as Arch-
                          3 Mosaic
                                             10 K+S                         6 Sinofert                                      er Daniels Midland, Bunge, Cargill and Louis Dreyfus Com-
                                                              7 ICL                                                         pany have reduced their investments because of the low
                                                                                                                            growth prospects. At the same time, the big players are
                5 CF Industries
                                                                                                                            buying up their competitors. The Canadian PotashCorp,
                                                                                                                            world’s #4, holds shares of Sinofert (#6) from China and ICL

                                                                                                                            In 2018, a new leader will dominate the fertilizer
        ICL and K+S: only fertilizer sales                                                                                  top 10 when the merger between Agrium and Potash
                                                                                                                            is completed and its name is changed to Nutrien

18   AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017
AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / ICIS, FAO
   BY LAND AND BY SEA
   World transport routes of artificial fertilizers, flows over 300,000 tonnes, 2013

        potassium                                                          Sales by region in millions of tonnes, 2014
        phosphate
        nitrogen-phosphate
        compounds
        nitrogen                                                22.3                        15.4                          3.9                         1.8                        67.6
        sulphur
                                                         11.8                         3.8                         1.5                          1.4                        23.4
                                                 11.5                          4.1                         0.6                         0.4                         15.2
                                                     Americas                        Europe                      Africa                    Oceania                        Asia
                                                Nitrogen-phosphate compound fertilizers separated into nitrogen and phosphate, without sulphur-containing fertilizers

                                                                                                                   Potassium and phosphate deposits, as well as
(#7) from Israel. Norwegian Yara, the world‘s second largest                                               the natural gas used to produce nitrogen fertilizer, are
fertilizer producer, has acquired holdings in Brazil and the                                                unevenly distributed. That steers international trade
USA. Yara also plans to expand its business in Africa by pro-
moting large-scale, industrial agriculture and participating
in public–private partnerships such as the New Alliance for                                 heavy metals are leached out of the heaps. For cost reasons,
Food Security and Nutrition in Africa.                                                      K+S refuses to bring the tailings back into the mine. Howev-
    The four largest companies control more than half of the                                er, regional politicians have celebrated a minor success: K+S
production in all major producer countries except China.                                    says it will reduce the discharges by half by 2027.
In North America, three big companies dominate the pot-
ash sector: Agrium (the world’s number one), Mosaic and
PotashCorp. They work together in a cartel and distribute
                                                                                                 INTENSIVE FARMING
their products through a joint company, Canpotex. Some
                                                                                                 Fertilizer use by country, kilograms per hectare
countries such as Hungary and Norway have only one ferti-                                        arable land, 2013

                                                                                                                                                                         202
lizer company.                                                                                                                                         Indonesia
    In Germany, nitrogen usage has increased by two-and-
                                                                                                     China
a-half times and the usage of agricultural lime by half since
1961. Germany is dependent on imports: 66 percent of its
                                                                                                                                                          140
nitrogen and 94 percent of its phosphate come from abroad.
Domestic potassium is abundant. K+S is one of the world‘s
largest manufacturers. Fertilizers account for half of this
firm’s turnover of € 3.8 billion. Good for K+S, bad for the en-
                                                                                                           557                                                            USA

vironment. The firm discharges effluent into the river Werra
                                                                                                                                                                        204
                                                                                                                                615
or injects it into the ground. Salt that cannot be sold is piled
                                                                                                                                                                                        AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / WELTBANK

into large heaps. The groundwater is contaminated, and                                                India
                                                                                                                                                                        Germany
                                                                                                         158                                          Egypt
                                  In many parts of world, the overuse
                              of fertilizers acidifies soils and pollutes
                                         groundwater, lakes and rivers

                                                                                                                                                                         AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017                              19
SEED AND PESTICIDES

     FROM SEVEN TO FOUR –
     GROWING BY SHRINKING
     Mergers galore: Bayer wants to buy                                                                                   figure, US$ 43 billion, for Syngenta. Along with Syngenta’s
     Monsanto and become the world’s largest                                                                              pesticide and seed production, ChemChina, already a pro-
     producer of seeds and agrochemicals.                                                                                 ducer of non-patented chemicals, will gain an enormous
                                                                                                                          amount of knowledge on genetic engineering despite re-
     All top rivaling companies are pairing up.
                                                                                                                          sistance by many Chinese about using this technology in
                                                                                                                          farming, and doubts over whether the Chinese government

     S
            even companies currently dominate the global pro-                                                             will support the introduction of genetically modified plants.
            duction of pesticides and seeds, a key sector in agri-                                                        Whether Syngenta’s new owners will list parts of the compa-
            culture. But this oligopoly will shrink if the EU and                                                         ny on the stock exchange is unclear.
     US competition authorities give their green light. The two                                                                Bayer is financing the takeover of Monsanto with US$
     US corporations DuPont and Dow Chemical have merged,                                                                 57 billion of loans. Its board argues that the enormous po-
     ChemChina has bought the Swiss company Syngenta, and                                                                 tential of global agricultural markets justifies the price, and
     the German chemical giant Bayer is going to take over the                                                            taking on so much debt. It expects the global turnover of
     US company Monsanto. Three newly-formed conglomerates                                                                seed and pesticides to increase from US$ 85 billion in 2015
     would dominate more than 60 percent of the market for                                                                to US$ 120 billion in 2025. For comparison: in 2015 Bayer
     commercial seed and agricultural chemicals. They would                                                               and Monsanto had a turnover of US$ 25.5 billion and a prof-
     manage the supply of almost all the genetically modified                                                             it of US$ 5 billion.
     plants on this market. They would also own the majority                                                                   Bayer AG, the world’s tenth largest chemicals manu-
     of patent applications for intellectual property rights for                                                          facturer, has expanded into seeds by acquiring other com-
     plants at the European Patent Office.                                                                                panies. It has joined the league of large multinational seed
         The new Bayer-Monsanto would be the world’s largest                                                              corporations, following in the footsteps of other chemicals
     agricultural corporation, holding one-third of the global                                                            companies. Five of the world‘s seven largest seed producers
     market for commercial seed and a quarter of the market                                                               come originally from the chemical industry: Monsanto, Du-
     for pesticides. Bayer has agreed to buy Monsanto for US$                                                             Pont, Syngenta, Dow and Bayer.
     66 billion. Bayer-Monsanto and DuPont-Dow will remain                                                                     No other company has swallowed more competitors in
     on the stock market, and will continue to be accountable to                                                          the seed sector than Monsanto. This corporation began buy-
     their shareholders. The management of DuPont-Dow plans                                                               ing up seed producers around the world in the 1990s and now
     to split the new group into three listed companies, one of                                                           dominates a quarter of the world’s commercial seed market.
     them an independently operating agrochemicals compa-                                                                 It owns rights to most of the genetically modified plants, but
     ny. ChemChina, a state-owned firm that is China’s biggest                                                            also sells many conventional seeds, in particular vegetables.
     chemicals producer, has also agreed to pay an eleven-digit                                                           Monsanto’s presence is difficult to detect because the com-
                                                                                                                          panies it controls often keep their original name; Monsanto’s
                                                                                                                          logo rarely appears on a seed package in Europe.
                                                                                                                               The narrowing of the oligopoly from six or seven to
                                                                                        AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017 / AGROPAGES

        TOP 10 IN AGROCHEMICALS
                                                                                                                          three members will bring Bayer-Monsanto, DuPont-Dow
        Headquarters of the firms with the biggest turnover, 2015
                                                                                                                          and ChemChina-Syngenta closer to their objective of dom-
            publicly listed         state-owned                                                                           inating seed and pesticide markets and dictating products,
                                                                                                                          prices and quality standards. All three groups are pursuing
                                                                                                                          the strategy of ousting other suppliers and eliminating com-
           4 Dow Chemical                     2 Bayer
                                                              7 Adama (ChemChina)                                         petitors, if necessary through acquisitions.
                     8 FMC
                     Philadelphia
                                    Leverkusen Ludwigshafen                                                                    Thirty national antitrust authorities worldwide are ana-
           Midland                       Basel
        St. Louis    Wilmington                                        Beijing                                            lysing these mega mergers. The European Commission has
                                                       Tel Aviv                                                           ruled that DuPont must sell off some of its pesticides as well
                                                                   Mumbai
                     6 DuPont                   3 BASF                                                                    as its research and development branch. To squeeze past the
                                    1 Syngenta                                                                            regulators Bayer is forced to sell off its South African busi-
                                                                                                                          ness in genetically modified cotton, as well as its Liberty Link
           5 Monsanto                                             10 UPL
                                                                                                                          crops and chemicals.

                                                                                 Melbourne

                                                                           9 Nufarm                                       The influence of transnational corporations can
                                                                                                                          be difficult to detect. They often sell their products under
                                                                                                                          the brand names of the companies they buy up

20   AGRIFOOD ATLAS 2017
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