AI will transform project management. Are you ready? - Transformation Assurance

Page created by Beverly Campos
 
CONTINUE READING
AI will transform project management. Are you ready? - Transformation Assurance
www.pwc.ch/ta

AI will transform
project management.
Are you ready?
Transformation Assurance
AI will transform project management.                                                                                                                                                      Evolution of AI in project management
Are you ready?
Around 200 years ago the industrial                                         Even though the application of AI                                      What is AI?                             The future of project management will                   learning to natural language processing.   intelligent and even human thinking.
revolution changed society in                                               software to project management dates                                                                           be heavily influenced by technological                  What they all have in common is the        To date, a lot of the focus has been on
unimaginable ways for the time. Today                                       back as far as 19872, it is only now                                                                           breakthroughs, and there is no doubt that               idea that machines could one day learn     the automation – requiring a certain
another revolution is under way, with                                       that it is really taking off. Beyond data                              “The designing and building of          AI will change the course of how project                by themselves, rather than having          degree of standardisation – of tasks that
even farther-reaching consequences.                                         integration and process automation,                                                                            management tasks are delivered and                      to be spoon-fed every instruction or       are already carried out. However, we
                                                                                                                                                   intelligent agents that receive
Artificial Intelligence (AI), experts are                                   self-driven project management no                                                                              controlled in the future. We are convinced              merely acting in accordance with a pre-    consider this as only the first phase in the
predicting, will change everything about                                    longer looks like mere science fiction.                                percepts from the environment           that AI will evolve from simple task                    programmed rule set.                       evolution of AI in project management.
the way we produce, manufacture                                             However, as we have previously seen with                               and take actions that maximise          automation to predictive project analytics,                                                        This first phase will be followed by
and deliver 1.                                                              the Internet, big data and all the other                               its chance of successfully              advice and actions. However, there is                   Today the term AI is often used            chatbot project assistants, machine
                                                                            technological revolutions of recent times,                                                                     something AI cannot do – be human.                      interchangeably with ‘automation’.         learning-based project management and,
From manufacturing to utilities and                                         there are obstacles to be overcome before
                                                                                                                                                   achieving its goals.”                                                                           There is, however, a huge difference:      finally, autonomous project management.
transport to financial services, AI is                                      we reach this technological utopia.                                                                            Over the years AI has been associated                   automation is a controlled process that
present in nearly every industry. AI                                                                                                               Artificial Intelligence:                with different terms ranging from                       follows pre-programmed logic and
will also change the course of project                                      In this article, we will explain how AI                                A Modern Approach. Stuart Russell and   cognitive computing and machine                         rules, while AI is designed to simulate
management practice.                                                        is set to change project management                                    Peter Norvig (Pearson, 2009)
                                                                            practice, what obstacles need to be
                                                                            overcome, and how project managers
                                                                            can prepare themselves to stay relevant
                                                                            in a fully integrated, automated and
                                                                            predictive project management world.                                                                           Figure 1: Evolution of AI in project management

1
    “Why Artificial Intelligence Will Change Our World and Why It Needs To Be Purposeful” (Forbes Magazine, May 2016)
2
    “The application of artificial intelligence software to project management”, William N. Hosley (PMI Project Management Journal, August 1987)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Hello!

                                                                                                                                                                                           Integration & automation                          Chatbot assistants             Machine learning-            Autonomous
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            based project                project management
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            management

2    AI will transform project management. Are you ready?                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     AI will transform project management. Are you ready?   3
Evolution of AI in project management

                                                                                                 Hello!

Integration & automation                                           Chatbot assistants                                                   Machine learning-based project management                           Autonomous project management
When it comes to integration and automation there is already       AI chatbots serving as project assistants are considered to be the   The third phase of AI in project management introduces              Similar to self-driving cars, autonomous project management
a strong focus on streamlining and automating standardised         second phase in the evolution of AI in project management. Bots      machine learning into project mana­ge­ment practice. Machine        would only need limited input and intervention from a human
project tasks through workflow integration and process             will take a role in human-computer interaction, mainly based on      learning enables predictive analytics and can provide advice to     project manager.
automation. For instance, project budget updates within a          speech or text recognition.                                          the project manager, for example on how to set up and steer the
database are directly integrated into the budget forecast report                                                                        project given certain parameters, and/or how to react to certain    Besides technical project management processes – which
without any manual intervention.                                   Chatbots can take over menial tasks such as organising               issues and risks to reach the best possible outcome based on        are what the previous three phases prima­rily focus on – an
                                                                   meetings, plan vs progress checks, reminding project team            what worked in past projects.                                       autonomous project management system will additionally
Project planning could also be made more robust by enabling        members of scheduled activities, etc. Chatbots can even include                                                                          need to comprehensively consider and master the project
auto-scheduling by means of programmed logic and rules,            initial insights into the existing data. For example, project        In the near future, AI could convert mind maps created by           environment and related stakeholders. These AI systems
i.e. automatically tracking the progress and status of tasks       assistants could answer questions like “what is my team working      project professionals into a semantic network and derive tasks      would therefore have to be able to apply sentimental analysis
performed by project team members and alerting a project           on today?” or put these questions to team members.                   and their relationships from it. For instance, AI-based project     algorithms to crawl through customer communications and
manager only for intervention in an exception-based scenario.                                                                           scheduling could include lessons learned from previous projects     understand stakeholder satisfaction and commitment at any
Interaction between incident management tools and project          Current real-life use cases include:                                 and suggest multiple possible schedules based on the context        given point in time.
planning tools could be enforced to highlight potential delays                                                                          and dependen­cies. Further­more, project plans could be adapted
based on a high number of defects within certain workstreams.      • Fireflies.ai is an AI bot for Slack that processes conversations   and re-base­lined in near-real-time based on historical team        There are currently no real-life use cases supporting fully
                                                                     within Slack and recognises tasks and assignments on this          performance and project progress. An AI system could even alert     autonomous project management.
Current real-life use cases include:                                 basis                                                              the project manager to potential risks and opportunities by using
                                                                   • Stratejos.ai sends team members reminders, tracks their            real-time project data analysis.                                    In our view, there might be dedicated areas where autonomous
• Interaction between MS Project Online and Wunderlist for                                                                                                                                                  project management could serve as an extension of machine-
                                                                     performance and enables the project manager to recognise
  task creation and scheduling                                                                                                          There are currently only a few examples of the successful           learning-based project management in the future, especially in
                                                                     top contributors based on measurables
• Using online templates and workflows, e.g. in Slack or MS                                                                             integration of machine learning in project management, for          small, non-complex projects. However, looking ahead for the
  Sharepoint, to reduce time and enhance quality of data           In our view, analogous to the first phase of project task            example:                                                            next 10 to 20 years, we believe there are unlikely to be purely
                                                                   integration and automation, project assistants will con­tinue to                                                                         self-driven artifical project managers. Among other things
• Sending alerts when potential budgeting or scheduling issues     take over basic project management tasks and relieve project         • Altering scheduling views according to user permissions and       this is because project budgets and portfolios will ultimately
  are identified for the project                                   teams of repetitive work creating little value. In this regard we      preferences                                                       be controlled by humans to manage the risk of autonomous
                                                                   expect to see the close integration and plug-in of existing and      • Using social tagging to identify and connect users based on       investment decisions.
In our view the trend towards integration and auto­mation will
                                                                   upcoming technologies relating to human-computer interaction           their posted comments and to identify the best team for a task
continue in the next couple of years, mainly focusing on more
                                                                   in project management. As a consequence, the role of
effective project management processes. Enhanced tools for                                                                              • Machine-learning-based project analytics tool predicting
                                                                   the classic project manager leading a PMO and its staff will
streamlining standardised project management will thus emerge                                                                             the expected net promoter score (NPS), expected client
                                                                   increasingly be replaced by intelligent project assistants
from both existing project management software providers,                                                                                 satisfaction and expected write-off for PwC-internal projects
                                                                   (chatbots).
workflow management vendors and start-ups. This will increase
the quality of standard project management processes and                                                                                In our view, predictive project analytics will be the most
reduce the effort and labour costs involved in basic PMO tasks.                                                                         disruptive innovation in project management in the next ten
The resulting automated project management will reduce costs                                                                            years. It will give project managers increased visibility into
and at the same time free up project managers to focus on more                                                                          what the future may hold for a project, and will create value
complex project activities and manage the world outside the                                                                             by enhancing the quality of decision­making. It will also help
project (i.e. stakeholder management).                                                                                                  connect data to effective actions by drawing reliable conclusions
                                                                                                                                        about conditions and future events and enabling decisionmakers
                                                                                                                                        to identify potential risks and opportunities before they occur.
                                                                                                                                        An AI equipped with machine learning could even be enabled
                                                                                                                                        to take decisions by itself, which will usher in the fourth phase
                                                                                                                                        of AI-based project management evolution. However, this phase
                                                                                                                                        will require substantial investment to build capabilities in data
                                                                                                                                        analytics and machine learning as a basis for modelling highly
                                                                                                                                        complex social and economic project environments.

4    AI will transform project management. Are you ready?                                                                                                                                                                          AI will transform project management. Are you ready?   5
Table 1: Summary of anticipated evolution of AI in project management

How will AI transform project management

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Hello!

AI creates the possibility of automated
processes and intelligent tools that will
reduce manual work. However, based on
our experience it will require a certain
degree of project management maturity.                                                                                                                                                     Integration & automation            Chatbot assistants                    Machine learning-based                   Autonomous project
Furthermore, for AI to bring deep insights                                                                                                                                                                                                                           project management                       management
into a project or projects, it needs to be
                                                                                                                                                                     Key elements          Streamlining and automating         Integration and automation with       Enabling predictive analytics            Combining the previous
equipped with a heavy data set from                                                                                                                                                        tasks through integration and       additional human-computer             and giving advice to the project         phases, autonomous project
which it can learn what works and what                                                                                                                                                     process automation                  interaction, mainly based on          manager based on what worked             management leads to little-to-
doesn’t. Having large historical data sets                                                                                                                                                                                     speech or text recognition            in past projects                         no human interaction in project
and current project information in a                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          management
standardised form is truly one of the key
challenges when it comes to successfully                                                                                                                             Outlook               Sophisticated project               Chatbot assistants will take          Predictive project analytics will        Implementation of autonomous
implementing an AI-based project                                                                                                                                                           management tools will enhance       over basic project management         give project managers increased          project management for smaller,
                                                                                                                                                                                           the quality of project management   tasks, relieve project teams of       visibility into the project’s future     standardised projects involving
management system.
                                                                                                                                                                                           processes and reduce the effort     repetitive tasks and provide more     and enhance the quality of               relatively little human/stakeholder
                                                                                                                                                                                           and labour costs                    interactive automation capabilities   decisionmaking                           interaction
In addition, if you want to implement
an AI system in your existing project                                    Challenges for the successful              Technical project management                                           Project managers can focus more     The classic project manager           Machine learning-powered                 Purely autonomous project
                                                                                                                                                                                           on complex project activities       leading a PMO will be increasingly    project management will give             managers seem unlikely within
management environment, it’s imperative                                  implementation of AI                       Technical project management encompas­                                 creating value for the project      replaced by project assistants        intelligent advice on project            the next 10 to 20 years, since
to evaluate what benefits it can actually                                in project management                      ses the various tasks involved in managing                                                                                                       scheduling and project risks             certain skills such as emotional
bring to your projects, as well as your                                                                             and running a project. We believe that                                                                                                                                                    intelligence, creativity and
business culture and risk appetite. Do                                   When using AI in project management        these are the areas primarily supported                                                                                                                                                   leader­ship will remain the domain
you want simple automation – a digital                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        of humans
                                                                         you also have to remember that project     by the AI systems currently available.
assistant to take care of menial tasks                                   management covers various disciplines.     Intelligent project management assistants,       Where we expect AI to support project management skills 5
for you – or do you need it to be more                                   A project manager needs to master all      bots and machine learning algorithms
sophisticated and challenge the project in                               of them to be successful. By contrast      support project managers in their daily          Technical
depth? Finally, you also need to carefully
evaluate what it will cost to realise these
                                                                         with intelligent agents that operate
                                                                         in a defined and stable environment,
                                                                                                                    work by analysing status and providing
                                                                                                                    data-driven insights and forecasts.
                                                                                                                                                                     project
                                                                                                                                                                     management
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          
potential benefits.                                                      for example robots producing cars on
                                                                         a production line, given the nature of                                                      Strategic
                                                                                                                    Strategic and business                                                                   X                                 X
We see great opportunities for                                           projects 3, and the social dynamic and                                                      and business                                                                                                   ( )                                    ( )
implementing AI-based project systems                                    uncertain environment within which
                                                                                                                    management                                       management
in large project organisations and in                                    a project has to be delivered, a project   Strategic and business management skills
project portfolio management as a way of                                 management environment is without          are required, for example, to analyse,                                                   X                                 X                                      X
facilitating predictive steering of complex                              doubt much more complex.                   judge (on the basis of both rules and
                                                                                                                                                                     Leadership                                                                                                                                             ( )
transformation projects and portfolios,                                                                             emotions) or prepare business decisions.
and thus boosting project success and                                    By way of example, the talent triangle     AI can help by preparing parameters,
return on investment.                                                    from the Project Management Institute      identifying interdependencies or             The project manager                                            This includes:                                              In summary, we believe that AI will
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            assist, not replace, project managers. As
                                                                         groups the various required skills         forecasting business outcomes. The more      of the future                                                  • Leadership
                                                                         into technical project management,         sophisticated the underlying models                                                                                                                                     with every technology, AI alone will not
                                                                                                                                                                 As stated initially, AI will undoubtedly                       • People and stakeholder management                         guarantee success. However, deployed
                                                                         strategic and business management, and     and the more accurate the data streams
                                                                                                                                                                 change how projects are delivered and                                                                                      purposefully, AI can be a distinctive
                                                                         leadership 4.                              available, the better AI can support the                                                                    • Communication (verbal & non-verbal)
                                                                                                                                                                 how project management as a practice                                                                                       accelerator and game changer for project
                                                                                                                    project manager.
                                                                                                                                                                 will evolve. In the midst of this evolution                    • Storytelling                                              managers and thus help increase project
                                                                                                                                                                 it is important to remember that there is                                                                                  success rates. The project managers who
                                                                                                                    Leadership                                   something AI cannot do – be human.                             • Empathy                                                   succeed will likely be those who manage
                                                                                                                    This area includes various interpersonal                                                                    • Emotional intelligence                                    to see beyond the bounds of ‘human’
                                                                                                                                                                 This means that project managers will
                                                                                                                    competencies such as guiding, leading                                                                                                                                   imagination, and answer questions
                                                                                                                                                                 also stay relevant in the age of AI if                         • Negotiation
                                                                                                                    and motivating people/stakeholders. The                                                                                                                                 about how this technology can add
                                                                                                                                                                 they focus on the core skills of project
                                                                                                                    AI systems currently available can, for                                                                                                                                 real value and drive positive change
                                                                                                                                                                 management and progressively move into
                                                                                                                    instance, facilitate candidate selection                                                                                                                                in project management and business
                                                                                                                                                                 work that emphasises human skills.
                                                                                                                    by presenting a short list or ranking                                                                                                                                   transformations. This will ensure the
3
    PMI defines a project as a ‘temporary endeavour undertaken to
                                                                                                                    based on a defined set of requirements                                                                                                                                  strategic value of project management.
    create a unique product, service or result’
    (A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge, pmi.org)                                                  and patterns – but they do not take
4
    Talent Triangle https://www.pmi.org/learning/training-development/                                              emotional and/or social dynamics into
    talent-triangle
                                                                                                                    account. Added to this, leadership and
                                                                                                                    team management are not considered in
                                                                                                                    current AI systems.                          5
                                                                                                                                                                      According to the PMI talent triangle

6    AI will transform project management. Are you ready?                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   AI will transform project management. Are you ready?   7
Contacts

PwC
Birchstrasse 160
Postfach, 8050 Zürich

Marc Lahmann                                              Manuel Probst
Assurance Director                                        Assurance Senior Manager
+41 58 792 27 99                                          +41 58 792 27 62
marc.lahmann@ch.pwc.com                                   manuel.probst@ch.pwc.com

Peter Keiser                                              Adrian Stierli
Assurance Manager                                         Assurance Assistant Manager
+41 58 792 19 35                                          +41 58 792 21 69
peter.keiser@ch.pwc.com                                   adrian.stierli@ch.pwc.com

For more information: www.pwc.ch/ta

© 2018 PwC. All rights reserved. “PwC” refers to PricewaterhouseCoopers AG, which is a member firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, each member firm
of which is a separate legal entity.
You can also read