CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities

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CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP:
 BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT
 AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS

                    9-11 August 2016
               Tanoa Hotel, Nadi, Fiji Islands

             Integration Opportunities

 Salesa Nihmei I Meteorology and Climate Officer I SPREP I Samoa
CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
Overview

1. Overview of SPREP and its Meteorology
   Programme/Partnerships

2. The Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) and
   Progress in the Pacific

3. Application of Climate Services in the region

4. Challenges and Opportunities

5. Additional Resources and Tools
CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
1. Overview of SPREP and its Meteorology
Programme/Partnerships
CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
Introducing Secretariat of the Pacific
Regional Environment Programme (SPREP)
• Working for over 40 years in the Pacific region
• Inter-governmental organisation
   – The Pacific regional agency for the environment
   – Recognized as the lead agency on biodiversity, climate change, waste
      management and environmental monitoring and governance in the
      Pacific Region

• 26 member countries
   – 21 Pacific Island countries & territories
   – 5 ‘metropolitan’ states (AU, NZ, FR, USA, UK)
   SPREP is fully accountable to member governments
   through an annual SPREP Meeting and Ministerial Meeting
• Over 90 staff
CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
Climate Change Division

               Adaptation

             Climate
 Knowledge
Management   Change         Science and
                               Policy

             Division
               Mitigation
CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
Pacific Met Desk Partnership
CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
Pacific Meteorological Strategy 2012-2021 guides
the priorities of the region

• The PIMS has 14 Pacific Key
  Outcomes (PKO) that outline the main
  priorities highlighted by the NMSs.

• The implementation of each of the
  PKO's are further separated into (87)
  Pacific National Priority Actions and
  (68) Pacific Regional Priority
  Actions Under each of the PKO's

• Currently under mid-term Review
CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
14 Pacific Priorities for NMSs
Priority 1, 2 and 3:                     Priority 8:
• Improved aviation, marine and public   • Preservation of Historical Data
    weather services                     Priority 9:
Priority 4:                              • Observations of Atmospheric
                                             Chemistry
• Improved end-to-end Multi-Hazard
    Early Warning Systems (MHEWS)        Priority 10:
                                         • Capable and effective NMSs
Priority 5:
                                         Priority 11:
Improved EWS Flood
                                         • Education, training and Capacity
Priority 6:                                  development activities
• Improved Climate information and       Priority 12:
    prediction Services                  • Funding and resource mobilization
Priority 7:                              Priority 13:
• Enhanced infrastructure (data and      • Strategic Partnerships
    information services) for weather,   Priority 14:
    climate and water                    • Effective and efficient PMC (with
                                             linkages to RA-V)

 • Development of a Pacific Roadmap for Climate Services
    to be more inclusive of Sectors
CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
1. The Pacific
 Meteorological Council
 (PMC)                                     Majuro-2011

      Number of Participants to the PMC
100
 80
 60
 40
 20                                            Nadi-2013
  0
        PMC-1       PMC-2        PMC-3

                                          Nuku’alofa-2015
CAPACITY BUILDING WORKSHOP: BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENT AGRICULTURE IN PACIFIC SIDS - Integration Opportunities
2. Pacific Meteorological Council and the Ministerial
 Meeting on Meteorology

                                                 •   First Pacific Ministerial Meeting on
                                                     Meteorology (PMMM-1) held in Tonga
                                                     in July 2015.
                                                 •   Endorsement of the Nuku’alofa
                                                     Ministerial Declaration on
                                                     sustainable weather and climate
                                                     services for a resilient Pacific

                                                          PMC-3 +
                                                          Partners

                                                                      Regional
                                                                     Ministerial
                                                                      Meeting
“Note that weather and climate services are not
an option but are a responsibility and a basic human right”
Working Groups to Support the PMC
•   Establishment of a Pacific Island Panel
    (Working group) on Aviation Services to
    deal with and advise with the                                 Climate
    implementation of Aviation weather                            Services
    Services (including looking at Quality
    Management and Cost Recovery)
                                                Education                           Communic
                                                 Training                           ations and
•   Establishment of a Pacific Island Panel        and                             Infrastructu

                                                             PMC
    (Working group) on Marine and Ocean         Research                                re
    services (including coastal inundation
    and tsunami)

•   Formalised a Pacific Islands Panel of
                                                       Marine
    Education, Training and Research                                         Aviation
                                                      and Ocean
    (including a call for a Regional Training                                Services
                                                       Services
    Centre)

•   Report from the Pacific Island Climate
    Services (PICS) Panel dealing with RCC,
    climate prediction
Pacific Islands Climate Services (PICS) Panel

• Establishment and support to
  the meetings of the Pacific
  Islands Climate Services
  (PICS) Panel.
• NIWA (NZ) is Chair and PNG is
  the Vice Chairman of the PICS
  Panel
• Members include (NOAA, BoM,
  NIWA, Meteo-France, SPREP,
  USP, SPC, WMO RA-V, PNG,
  Vanuatu, Niue, Palau, Samoa
  (Water), Tonga (Agriculture)) First PICS Panel Meeting, August 2014 to
                                     Finalise its ToR and draft its Action
• 3 meetings to date and
  developed an Action Plan
2. The Global Framework for Climate Services
(GFCS) and Progress in the Pacific
Climate Database Management
             System
             A tool to manage, organise and store weather records

Data Digitization

                                                              PCCSP, 2012
                                 Why are climate data important?
                                 – To describe the climate
                                 – To describe climate variability
                                 – To understand climate change and its impacts
Data Storage

  •   PAPER FORMS
  •   CLICOM (introduced by WMO)
  •   SPREADSHEETS
  •   CLIMSOFT
  • CliDE/CliDESC (still needs support)

                                          PCCSP, Samoa
Global Framework for Climate Services
User Interface
Innovative mechanism that will:
• Provide ways for climate service
   users and providers to monitor
   requirements for climate
   services
• Provide forum for dialogue to
   understand needs of users and
   capabilities of providers
• Identify products and services
   requirements of users
• Increase the literacy of climate
   service users
• Monitor user satisfaction with
   the overall performance of the
   Framework
WMO RCC Status Worldwide

                                                                     NEACC

                  North America Initiative

                                                                                  BCC
                                                                                        TCC

                                                     ACMAD
                                             AGRRHYMET
                              CIIFEN                         ICPAC

Designated RCCs

Designated RCC-Networks                                 SADC-CSC

RCCs in Demonstration Phase

RCC-Networks in Demo Phase

RCCs Proposed
RCC-Networks Proposed

                                         Weather • Climate • Water           18
Climate Services
• Climate Products and
  Information are NOT Services
  unless they are used for
  Decision Making
Value of Seasonal Forecasting

  • Seasonal Forecasting is a
      potential tool to inform
      community short term
  adaptation actions and long-
     term adaptation design
Why?

  – Many Communities in the region identify climate change impacts
    to the impact of extreme events and climate variability

  – If communities adapt to climate extremes and variability, they will
    be better prepared for long term changes in the climate

  – Seasonal forecasting can inform short-term and community-
    based adaptation actions while we await CCA funds to be
    available for larger interventons
PMC Support for Effective Climate Services

                                           Climate Services Training, August 2011
  • Majuro 2011 workshop to
    investigate organizational
    structures and functions to
    support robust and sustained
    climate services at the regional
    level (SPREP/NOAA)

  • Suva 2013 convened the
    Pacific Islands Climate Services
    Forum (USP/NOAA)

                                       Pacific Islands Climate Services Forum, Jan 2013
Regional User-Interface Platforms for Climate
 Information
                                       • Establishment of the Pacific Islands Climate
                                         Outlook Forum (PICOF-1) targeting the
                                         Water Sector (SPREP, WMO, USP, SPC,…)

                                       • Regional Climate Statement

                                       • PICOF-2 October 2016-Nadi

PICOF -1 Hosted at USP, October 2015
3. Application of Climate Services in the region
Seasonal Forecasting Capability
  Climate and Oceans Support Program for the Pacific (COSPPac)

  SCOPIC – Statistical Forecasting Capability used in the region for over
  10 years

                                     • Online Forums for NMHSs (OCOF)

                                     • Climate Bulletins (Red Cross)

                                     • Developed by the BoM and now
                                       transferred to SPREP
Seasonal Forecasting Capability
• New Online Climate Prediction System (CLIK℗)
  installed at SPREP http://clikp.sprep.org
• Up to 12 Dynamical Models data available on
  CLIK℗ to provide advanced 3-6monthly outlooks
• To reduce damages from extreme climate events
  through disaster risk management,
• Improved monitoring and prediction of severe
  weather for coastal communities
• Better data management and infrastructure to
  facilitate data collection
• Improving the quality of products delivered to
  end-users
• Develop early warning communication strategies
  for National Met Services.
Seasonal Forecasting Capability
• Rainfall Forecast
• Developed by NIWA supported by SPREP
• Water Stress (3 month outlook)
3. Finnish-Pacific Project on Reduced vulnerability of
       Pacific island country’s villagers’ livelihoods to the effects
       of climate change
       2013-2016
    Building climate and disaster ready communities through
             improved National Meteorological Services

•     Implemented by SPREP in collaboration with the
      Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and partners:
       •   14 Pacific island countries
       •   World Meteorological Organization
       •   International Federation of Red Cross & Red Crescent
           Societies (IFRC)
       •   Australian Bureau of Meteorology
       •   Other Partners
Finland-Pacific Project on Reduced vulnerability of Pacific island country’s villagers’
livelihoods to the effects of climate change
Direct support to NMSs…
• Capacity building through technical
   trainings for NMSs

•   Introduction of the SmartMet weather
    forecasting system to 6 NMSs (Fiji, PNG,
    Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga and
    Vanuatu)

•   Introduction of the SmartAlert warning
    visualization software

•   Rehabilitation of silent Regional Basic
    Synoptic Stations
Communication and Partnerships to reach Communities

                        National
                      Meteorological
                        Services

 Others     Face to     Community       Gov..
                                                 Media
             face        Mobilsers     Sectors
                        (Red Cross)

                  Communities (USERS)
          60-80% of the Pacific Population
Climate Information discussed in Communities

    Working with Communities
Climate Early Warning System (CLEWS)

     • Put today’s weather into the context of the past climate
       record

     • Understand the potential severity of future events, given
       knowledge of historical conditions (including uncertainty)

     • Sectoral Application of climate Services is guided by a
       Policy approved by Cabinet
Site Location Map
15. Mt. Talu                     13. Le Piu Tai
                                                                                                              : SMD Head Office
                                                                                                              : AWOS (Airport Weather Observation System)
   14. Vaisala                                                                                                : AWS (Automatic Weather System)
                                                         12. Mt. Tagotala                                     : Repeater System

                     31.5km
                                         17.8km
 10.5km
                                                                   11. Tuasivi
                                                    15.3km                                  7. Faleolo International Airport
                                                                     10. Mt. Valusia
                                                                                                  1. SMD Head Office
                                                                                                                                             Upolu Island
                                                 7.5km

                                                                    24.5km
                                                  4.5km                                                                 2. Mt. Vaea
                                                                                                                                           6. Lufilufi
                                                                                                                5.8km
                                                                     9.6km             27.3km                              20.3km
                                                                                                                                           9.5km         5. Le Mafa
                                                                                                    12.0km
                              9. Maota Airport
     Savaii Island
                                                                                                                  13.7km

                                                  8. Manono

                                                                                            3. Mt. Fiamoe

                                                                                                                           4. Togitogiga
TOGITOGIGA (AWS)
CLEWS

Climate-hydro services and
early warning system
CLEWS

Climate and hydrometric
observations
CLEWS

Live data views via web
services
CLEWS

CliDE climate data
management system
CLEWS

CliDEsc data and climate
services
River stage
River stage + rain
Rainfall accumulation
Fire hazard warning
Forest Fire Weather Index – 16 Sep 15
Hydropower Management: Afulilo
                         Dam, Samoa
• Afulilo Hydropower Scheme is primary
  renewable energy supplier in Samoa.
• Output sensitive to climate variability.
• Water balance model designed to
  quantify dam level response to rainfall,
  energy demand and evaporation.
• Model will predict dam volume based
  on given rainfall and power output.
• Provide forewarning of dam levels in
  order to make operational decisions.
• Assess the impact of ENSO phases on
  dam storage levels.
Linking Climate and Malaria
    GOAL: Use climate information to improve
    malaria control in the Solomon Islands by
    providing early warning for periods of
    heightened malaria incidence.
•    Collaboration between COSPPac, Solomon
     Islands Met. Service and Ministry of Health.
•    Provide monthly or seasonal forecasts of
     relative malaria incidence.
•    Pilot scheme aims to provide forecasts for
     Temotu, Guadalcanal and Central.
•    Expansion to other provinces in 2014.
•     Categorical warnings:
      – low/moderate/high/extreme
      – low/medium/high
•    Include spatial map of warning levels in a
     bulletin format for stakeholders..
Summer droughts forecast in
strong El Niño conditions
4. Challenges and Opportunities Integration
Capacity of the NMHSs in the Pacific

• Capacity Varies from country to country
Regional Consultation on Climate Services
for Pacific Small Island States

    April 2014, Rarotonga, Cook Islands
Discussion on Agriculture and Climate
• Identify “insertion points/entry points/windows” where
  climate services can be applied to support Agriculture
  Activities
   – El Nino and Livestock, ENSO and Alley Cropping, Flooding
     and lowland farming
• lack of coverage of actual climate or rainfall monitoring
  stations across the island(s)
• Currently a low uptake of climate services in the
  agriculture sector - 3 month outlooks are not so useful
  and rather longer term services are needed
• Training exchanges will be a must on climate services,
  particularly if considering the use of extension officers
  who are working directly with farmers
Discussion on Agriculture and climate
• Climate information could use a number of informative tools
  such as maps, statistics, and that the inclusion of these in
  ways that make the climate information more easily
  understood either by the intermediate user (say the
  Agriculture/Fisheries researcher or extension officer) or the
  final user (farmer/fisherman).
• The fostering of a relationship between the agriculture and
  NMS will take time to develop.
• Being aware of the climate services available and their
  applications is not generally known unless agriculture
  researchers actively look for it, or climate services of NMS do
  the same (in looking for end users to their products).
Monitoring Network

                         Approx. 100 station records
                         for 23 countries and
                         territories (excluding the Aust.
                         and NZ mainland) – 2010-11

                         Data can be modified by
                         participating national
                         meteorological services

                     http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/pccsp/
                     (data is password protected)
National Platforms
for discussion

• Agro-Met
  Summits

• Identify
  agriculture
  activities and
  how and when
  climate
  information can
  be applied
Effective Communication to Reach the Last Mile: A Proposed Approach through an
                                                                 MoA for Agriculture
                                                         VMGD                                       8
                                                 1.    Climate/Change
                                                         Information
                                                 2.   Seasonal Forecast
                                                                                                             Impact Database (GIS)
     1. Delivery Options                                                                                          ENSO events
               •    Bulletins (soft/hard
                    copies
                                                                                                                Tropical Cyclone
               •    Quarterly Seminar                                                                          Volcanic Eruption
                    /workshops                        1                                                      Other observed Impacts
               •    Radio/TV/News paper

                                                                                                     9
                                                    DARD (VMGD, GiZ)
2. Delivery Options
                                 2          1.      Translate Information for
                                                            Farmers
          •    Bulletins (soft/hard                                                                                                Solutions
               copies                      2.      What to do & how to do it?
                                                                                                                                  Hotspots
          •    Quarterly Seminar                 3.    Report on Impacts             3                                           Adaptation
               /workshops
                                                                                                                                   Projects
                                                                                                                                  Workshops
                                                                                                                                  /Seminars

       Agriculture Extension Officers                          4                     Farmers Associations
1.       Inform local farmers of probable
                                                                                1.   Inform members of probable
                 ensuing climate                      5                                    ensuing climate
2.       Introduce climate resistant crops
                                                                                      2.   Provide reports

                               6                                                     7
                                       Commercial and Traditional Farmers
                        1.     All Farmers informed of the expected climate and what to do
Products Developed

• 3 Agro-Met Summits
• Agro-met Bulletin for Farmers and
  NGO’s
• ENSO Sector Action Booklet
• ENSO Animation – Cloud Nasara
• Community based Rainfall Network
• Community-based Farmers Field School
• Resource Materials (Animal feed, food
  replication)
• Communication, Partnership and
  Engagement Strategy
Key Messaging and Communication Needs

                    Climate Crab: Describe ENSO in the Pacific
                    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIUSWEft
                    N4w

                    Climate Nasara: Describe ENSO in Vanuatu
                    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMthanw
                    iOWE
•   FAO
•   SPREP
•   SPC
•   USP
•   WMO
•   NIWA
•   IFAD
•   Vanuatu
•   Samoa
•   Tonga

Project Proposal
A Practical Option for Integration of Climate and Agriculture at the National Level

                                                                                         Alignment of:
                                                    Regional and Global Organisations    • Strategies
                                                   (e.g. WMO, FAO, SPREP, SPC, USP…)     • Projects
                                                                                         • Funding

                                                              Specialised
                                         MAF + Ag/Soil           Team         MetService + Climate
                                          Scientists                               Scientists

                                                                                                                                                        Alignment with National Strategies
                                                              Partnership

                                                                                                               (e.g. Sus Devt, Food Sec, DRR, Health)
Alignment with Traditional
       Knowledge

                                                                                           Farmers, Village,
                             NGO Networks                   MAF Extension
                                                                                           Church, Women’s
                             (e.g. Red Cross)                 Officers
                                                                                              Networks

                                                         Farmers + Communities
Use of Existing Arrangements
• Networks
   –   Extension Services
   –   PIRAS
   –   PIFON
   –   NGO’s

• Type of information and products that is suitable for
  dissemination ?

• Training needs and which level?

• Institutionalization ? (Legislation, Policy, Staffing, Agreements,
  etc)

• Harmonisation
Platforms for exchange of information/integration/
Capacity Development

    Regional   • PICOF – Pacific Island Climate Outlook Forum
    Forums     • Currently organised once a year in October

                                       • NCOF – National Climate Outlook
                     National            Forums
                     Forums            • Now established in Kiribati, PNG,
                                         Vanuatu and soon in Fiji and Tonga

                                             Community          • Entry
                                             based field          Points/ap
                                               Schools            plication
Climate Frameworks: Platforms for Integration
(from NMSs)

   Global         • Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS)

                  • Pacific Implementation Roadmap for Climate Services
                  • how sectors can lead with the integration
 Regional         • Instructed by the Nuku’alofa Ministerial Declaration
                  • Roundtable discussion in October 16
                  • Pacific Island Climate Services Panel

 National         • National Framework for Climate Services (Vanuatu and soon Fiji)
                  • Climate Services are established in NMHSs to provide support
5. Additional Resources and Tools
Climate Portals

• Pacific Climate Change Portal
• National Climate Change Portals
   – Fiji
   – Vanuatu
   – Tonga

• Ocean Portal/Climate
   – BoM
   – NOAA

                             http://cosppac.bom.gov.au/products-and-
                             services/ocean-portal/
Climate Change in the Pacific (PCCSP)

Volume 2: Climate Change
                            Volume 1: Climate Change
   in the South Pacific:
                               in the South Pacific:
Scientific Assessment and
                                 Country Reports
      new Research
Other Tools

•http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/history/tracks/

 www.pacificclimatechangescience.org/animations/climatecrab/
                                                               https://www.niwa.co.nz/climate/icu
Climate Futures Tool
                   Which Countries

14 PICT are able to assess climate
  projections
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