Country Strategy Paper - 2017-2021 KINGDOM OF MOROCCO - African Development ...

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Country Strategy Paper
       2017-2021

   KINGDOM OF MOROCCO
Country Strategy Paper
2017 - 2021
KINGDOM OF MOROCCO
Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

Table of contents

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY                                                                 11

I.    INTRODUCTION                                                                15

II.   COUNTRY CONTEXT AND OUTLOOK                                                 16

      2.1   POLITICAL, ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CONTEXT                                16

      2.2   STRATEGIC OPTIONS                                                     23

      2.3   AID COORDINATION/HARMONIZATION AND BANK’S                             31
            POSITIONING

III. BANK GROUP STRATEGY                                                          35

      3.1   RATIONALE FOR BANK’S INVOLVEMENT                                      35

      3.2   EXPECTED OUTCOMES AND TARGETS                                         43

      3.3   COUNTRY DIALOGUE                                                      45

      3.4   RISKS AND MITIGATION MEASURES                                         46

IV. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS                                                48

                                A f r i c a n   D e v e l o p m e n t   B a n k        4
Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021              Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

ANNEXES                                                                         FIGURES

ANNEX 1:            CRITERIA FOR SELECTING COUNTRY STRATEGY PAPER (CSP)         FIGURE 1:   FISCAL AND EXTERNAL BALANCES AS % OF GDP, 2012-2016

                    PILLARS AND PROJECTS                                        FIGURE 2:   CONTRIBUTION TO THE GROWTH OF KEY SECTORS OF THE

ANNEX 2:            LOGICAL FRAMEWORK MATRIX                                                ECONOMY

ANNEX 3:            PIPELINE OF PROJECTS                                        FIGURE 3:   INFLATION AND OFFICIAL INTEREST RATE IN %, 2012-2016

ANNEX 4:            TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE AND ECONOMIC AND SECTOR WORK           FIGURE 4:   DEBT AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES, 2010-2016

                    PROGRAMME                                                   FIGURE 5:   2004 & 2014 GOVERNANCE INDICATORS

ANNEX 5:            SECTOR DISTRIBUTION OF PARTNER SUPPORT AND SYNERGIES        FIGURE 6:   BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT: COMPARATIVE RANKING OF 183

ANNEX 6:            MAIN OBJECTIVES OF MOROCCO’S KEY STRATEGIES                             COUNTRIES

ANNEX 7:            ECONOMIC AND SECTOR WORK USED IN DRAFTING THE CSP           FIGURE 7:   GCI 2010-2011 AND 2015-2016 RANKINGS

ANNEX 8:            2012-2016 CSP COMPLETION REPORT AND PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
                    REVIEW (2015)
ANNEX 9:            SUMMARY – COUNTRY FINANCING PARAMETERS - MOROCCO (2015)
ANNEX 10:           CFRA SUMMARY – 2016                                         TABLES
ANNEX 11:           ENTITIES CONTACTED DURING THE MISSIONS AND WORKSHOPS
ANNEX 12:           EVALUATION OF BANK STRATEGIES AND PROGRAMMES IN
                                                                                TABLE 1:    DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT (PARTNERS AND SECTORS) (MIN END-
                    MOROCCO, 2004-2014
                                                                                            MARCH 2016)
ANNEX 13:           ACTION MATRIX FOLLOWING THE VISIT OF THE AFDB PRESIDENT
                                                                                TABLE 2:    JUSTIFICATION OF THE BANK'S INTERVENTION FRAMEWORK
                    IN JULY 2016
                                                                                            2017 - 2021
ANNEX 14:           MOROCCO’S PROGRESS TOWARDS ACHIEVING THE MDGS
ANNEX 15:           MOROCCAN DEBT SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS
ANNEX 16:           BANK PORTFOLIO IN MOROCCO
ANNEX 17:           SOME CHARACTERISTICS OF THE MOROCCAN PRIVATE SECTOR

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                      Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

LIST OF ABREVIATIONS                                                                    IMF             International Monetary Fund
                                                                                        Inh.            Inhabitant
AEO                        African Economic Outlook                                     IPCC            Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
AFD                        French Development Fund                                      IsDB            Islamic Development Bank
AfDB                       African Development Bank                                     JICA            Japanese International Cooperation Agency
AMU                        Arab Maghreb Union                                           JYAS            Jobs for Youth in Africa Strategy
APA                        Adaptation of African Agriculture                            KfW             Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau
AREI                       Africa Renewable Energy Initiative                           MAD             Moroccan Dirham
BAM                        Bank Al-Maghrib (the Central Bank)                           MAD billion     Billion Moroccan Dirhams
CGEM                       General Confederation of Enterprises in Morocco              COMA            Morocco Field Office (of the AfDB)
CID                        Centre for International Development                         MCC             Millennium Challenge Corporation
CODE                       Committee on Development Effectiveness                       MEMEE           Ministry of Energy, Mines, Water Resources and Environment
COP 21                     Paris Climate Change Conference (2015)                       ME              Ministry of Environment
COP 22                     Marrakesh Climate Change Conference (2016)                   MEAS            Ministry of Employment and Social Affairs
CPIA                       Country Policy and Institutional Assessment                  MEF             Ministry of Economy and Finance
CPW                        Construction and Public Works,                               MIC TAF         Middle-Income Country Technical Assistance Fund
DAT                        Directorate for Territorial Development                      MW              Mega Watt
EBRD                       European Bank for Reconstruction and Development             OCP             Moroccan Phosphates Authority
EIB                        European Investment Bank                                     OFSD            Financial Sector Development Department
EU                         European Union                                               OITC            Transport, Information and Communication Technologies and
EUR billion                Billion Euros                                                                Urban Development Department
ESW                        Economic and sector work                                     ONCF            National Railways Authority
FDI                        Foreign direct investment                                    ONEC            Energy, Environment and Climate Change Department
FFCO                       Financial Control Department (AfDB)                          ONEE            National Electricity and Water Authority
GCI                        Global Competitiveness Index                                 ORPF            Procurements and Fiduciary Services Department
GDP                        Gross domestic product                                       OSAN            Agriculture & Agro-industry Department
GEF                        Global Environment Fund                                      OSGE            Governance and Financial Management Department
GoM                        Government of Morocco                                        OSHD            Human Development Department
GPP                        Main Group of Partners                                       OWAS            Water and Sanitation Department
Ha.                        hectare                                                      PADESFI         Financial Sector Development Support Programme
HCP                        High Commission for Planning                                 PEFA            Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability
IBRD                       International Bank for Reconstruction and Development        PPIP            Portfolio Performance Improvement Plan
BDEV                       Independent Development Evaluation of the African Develop-   PPP             Public-Private Partnerships
                           ment Bank                                                    PSD             Country Strategy Paper

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                 Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

QDF                        Qatar Development Fund                                  CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS
SFD                        Saudi Fund for Development                              (January 2017)
SME                        Small and medium-sized enterprises
                                                                                   UA 1 = MAD 13,5724
SNDD                       National Sustainable Development Strategy
                                                                                   UA 1 = USD 1,34433
SNDR                       National Rural Development Strategy
SNFP                       National Vocational Training Strategy                   UA 1 = EUR 1,27534

TGR                        General Treasury of the Kingdom
TGV                        high speed train
UA billion                 Billion units of account
UN                         United Nations
                                                                                   FISCAL YEAR
UNCTAD                     United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
                                                                                   1 January - 31 December
UNDP                       United Nations Development Programme
UNECA                      United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
UNEP                       United Nations Environment Programme
UNFCC                      United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
UNICEF                     United Nations Children’s Fund
UNTCAD                     United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
USA                        United States of America
USD                        United States Dollars
USD billion                Billion US dollars
VSE                        Very small enterprises
WB                         World Bank
WEF                        World Economic Forum
WFP                        World Food Programme
WGI                        World Governance Indicators
WTO                        World Trade Organization

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                       Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

                                                                                                           strategies. For instance, the 2017 finance law        of the Bank in 2016, comprising 35 operations
                                                                                                           includes four development pillars, namely: (i)        for a total commitment of approximately UA
Executive Summary                                                                                          the acceleration of economic transformation
                                                                                                           through industrialization and exports; (ii)
                                                                                                                                                                 2 billion (USD 2.5 billion).

                                                                                                           strengthening     of   competitiveness     and        8. The Bank has prepared the completion
                                                                                                           promotion    of    private   investment;     (iii)    report of its 2012-2016 strategy and
                                                                                                           improvement of human resources and the                its evaluation department (BDEV) has
1. While several countries in North Africa              3. However, certain persistent challenges          reduction of disparities; and (iv) institution-       assessed the impact of Bank-funded
are experiencing instability and security               make it difficult to achieve more resilient        building and good governance.                         operations during the 2004-2014 period.
challenges, Morocco is making its transition            and inclusive growth. Accelerating the                                                                   These activities yielded a number of lessons
by combining reforms with multiparty                    structural transformation of the economy           6. Hence, the Kingdom has developed                   that would be factored into the design of
governance. The constitution was revised                remains predicated on continuous improvement       numerous        detailed     and   quantified         a new intervention strategy. The lessons
by referendum in July 2011 to consolidate               of the business environment (institutional,        sector policies. For example, in the area             suggest the need to: (i) continue supporting
multiparty democracy and individual freedoms.           regulatory and infrastructural frameworks),        of competitiveness and industrialization,             the authorities in the transformation of the
The parliamentary elections of October 2016             access to funding and the quality of human         Morocco launched the Logistics Acceleration           Moroccan economic model; (ii) match
once again yielded victory for the Justice and          capital. There are still a number of outstanding   Plan in 2014 and the National Industrial              the budget support and investment projects
Development Party, and even if there is a               challenges related to employment and social        Acceleration Plan for 2014-2020. In terms of          under each pillar with a view to developing
change in the ruling coalition, this victory            inequalities. With regard to employment, the       employment and human capital training,                synergies between public policies and
should guarantee continuity in the work of the          youth, and especially young graduates, are         Morocco adopted the 2015-2025 Employ-                 investment; (iii) promote a programmatic
new Government.                                         most severely affected by unemployment.            ment Strategy and the 2015-2021 National              approach        to   budget     support,     which
                                                        Rural employment is also less resilient and        Vocational Training Strategy in 2015. The             should be possible from 2018 following the
2. Thanks to Government’s fiscal consoli-               often affected by climate change. Further-         Green Morocco Plan, the National Rural                adoption of the new Organic Law on
dation efforts, Morocco significantly                   more, significant challenges exist in terms of     Development Strategy and the Development              the Finance Act; (iv) continue developing
improved its macroeconomic situation                    sustainable development of the economic            Fund for Rural and Mountainous Areas are              an investment programme and a logical
during the 2013-2016 period. From the                   and social model in the energy and water           flagship mechanisms for reducing inequalities         framework for a three-year period as was
public finance standpoint, it recorded a net            sectors.                                           in rural and disadvantaged areas though job           the practice in the previous CSP; and (v)
reduction in its budget deficit (from -7.3% of                                                             creation. Lastly, the Government’s objective          continue the sector assessment exercises
GDP in 2012 to -3.9% in 2016 and -3% in                 4. Since 2004, the priorities announced in         is to ensure that renewable energy accounts           initiated by the Bank (BDEV) to monitor
2017). These efforts also led to a reduction in         the King's statements and in the Government        for 42% of the electricity output by 2020.            the impact of reforms and investments. As
the current account deficit from -9.2% of               programme have replaced the economic                                                                     regards instruments, the CSP 2012-2016
GDP in 2012 to -3,8% in 2016 (-3,4% in                  and social development plan, and serve             7. A founding member of the African                   completion report and the BDEV evaluation
2017). Foreign exchange reserves rose from              as the policy framework. These priorities          Development Bank, the Kingdom of                      specifically recommend the acceleration of
less than 4 months of imports in 2013 to over           have been transformed into development             Morocco had the largest active portfolio              support to non-sovereign projects.
7 months at the end of 2016.                            pillars in subsequent finance laws and sector

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                         Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

9. This country strategy paper covers the               supported within the training system and             13. As regards instruments, the Bank will      2017-2021 period, the Bank will consider
2017-2021 period and is intended to help                through sustainable use of water resources in        accelerate its support to non-sovereign        financing budget support as well as public
the country address its challenges through              the agricultural system. Therefore, Pillar I will    projects by adopting innovative approaches     and private investment operations, which will
two intervention pillars: (i) support for               focus on climate change mitigation, paving           in which it has greater additionality (SMEs    be accompanied by technical assistance
green industrialization by SMEs and the                 the way for Pillar II to lay more emphasis on        and export sector). Furthermore, over the      and targeted economic and sector work.
export sector; and (ii) Improving the quality           adaptation actions.
of life through jobs for youth, women and
in rural areas. Under the first pillar, it is           11. Furthermore, the Bank will seek to
proposed that the focus be placed on                    support the development of relations
operations that eliminate the constraints               between Morocco and Africa. This will start
affecting the development of SMEs and                   with the acceleration of trade and investment,
the export sector, with a view to boosting              the financing of private sector projects and
industrialization. Meanwhile, industrialization         specific trade infrastructure. It will also entail
should be made green by promoting the                   sharing of the experiences and expertise that
development of renewable energy. Under                  Morocco has been able to develop.
the second pillar, it is proposed that focus be
placed on jobs for the most vulnerable                  12. Hence, the new CSP 2017-2021
groups, including the youth, women and in               favours the principles of alignment on
rural areas. This pillar will especially support        Government priorities, consolidation of the
entrepreneurship, adaptation of training                gains from previous operations, comple-
to employment and sustainability of jobs                mentarity with other partners and the
created by the agricultural sector. Hence,              Bank’s strategic framework. The CSP is
there are very strong synergies in employ-              structured around two of the Bank's High 5s:
ment, between the first pillar, which will              “Industrialize Africa” and “Improve the quality
address supply through development of the               of life for the people of Africa” as its main
industrial fabric and the second pillar, which          intervention pillars. Nevertheless, the projects
will focus on satisfying the demand from                will also respond selectively to the other three
young graduates and the development of                  priorities of the Bank (“Integrate Africa”, “Light
self-employment and entrepreneurship.                   up and Power Africa” and “Feed Africa”) by
                                                        speeding up the attainment of objectives
10. The promotion of green growth is the                under the first two priorities. The Bank's actions
crosscutting theme of this strategy. Under              will facilitate the attainment of two objectives
Pillar 1, green industrialization will be promoted      of the Ten-Year Strategy (2013-2022) - inclusive
through renewable energy development.                   and green growth - and one objective of the
Under Pillar II, green industries will be               regional integration strategy for North Africa.

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                        Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

I.         INTRODUCTION                                                                                      II.        COUNTRY CONTEXT AND OUTLOOK1

1.1 A founding member of the Bank, the                   five priorities (“High 5s”) and those of the        2.1 POLITICAL, ECONOMIC                                    this victory should guarantee continuity in the
Kingdom of Morocco has benefitted from                   Moroccan Government. Accelerating the               AND SOCIAL CONTEXT                                         work of the new Government (PEA, 2016).
AfDB’s sustained support since 1970. In 2016,            industrialization of the Moroccan economy
the Bank's portfolio in Morocco comprised                and improving the living conditions of Moroccans    A) POLITICAL CONTEXT                                       2.1.2 The September 2015 regional and
35 operations, worth a total commitment of               by facilitating their access to jobs are some                                                                  municipal elections were an important
approximately UA 2 billion (USD 2.5 billion).            of Government’s priority actions and also           2.1.1 While several countries in North                     step towards implementation of the
                                                         constitute two of AfDB’s High 5s.                   Africa are experiencing instability and                    decentralisation process enshrined in the
1.2 CSP 2012-2016 was approved by the                                                                        security challenges, Morocco is making                     2011 Constitution. These elections enshrine
Board of Directors in April 2012 and helped              1.4 While building on the previous strat-           its institutional, economic and social                     the new organic laws related to regions,
to provide Morocco with UA 2.2 billion. It               egy, this CSP takes account of the lessons          transition by combining reforms with                       prefectures and municipalities. These laws
was the subject of a mid-term review in 2014             drawn by BDEV following the analysis of the         multiparty governance. The constitution                    empower citizens to be more involved in the
that confirmed and fine-tuned the relevance of           Bank's action during the 2004-2014 period           was revised by referendum in July 2011 to                  management of local affairs. The regions
the intervention pillars, namely: (i) governance;        and from the conclusions of the CSP 2012-           consolidate      multiparty      democracy         and     demarcated in March 2015 and other local
and (ii) infrastructure. The CSP completion              2016 completion report. This CSP was                individual freedoms. The November 2011                     government authorities are endowed with
report was drafted to guide the preparation of           prepared through a participatory process that       legislative elections yielded victory for the              own financial resources and State allocations
CSP 2017-2021 and was presented to CODE                  involved the authorities, civil society, partners   Justice and Development Party, whose                       (PEA, 2016).
in September and November 2016. Two pillars              and the private sector.                             Secretary General was appointed to head the
were identified as potential intervention areas                                                              Government. A first coalition government                   B) ECONOMIC CONTEXT
for the Bank: (i) support for green industrialization    1.5 The Country Strategy Paper com-                 was formed in January 2012 and a second
by SMEs and the export sector; and (ii) Improving        prises four sections. This introduction is          in October 2013. The authorities were tasked               2.1.3 From 2005, the Kingdom of Morocco
the quality of life through jobs for youth, women        followed by Section 2, which presents the           with implementing the new provisions of the                redesigned its development model and
and in rural areas.                                      country context. Section 3 analyses AfDB’s          2011 Constitution. The October 2016 parlia-                embarked          on    an     ambitious       reform
                                                         strategic options, while Section 4 presents         mentary elections once again yielded victory               programme. In 2005, the authorities
1.3 This CSP, which covers the 2017-2021                 the conclusions and recommendations for             for the Justice and Development Party, and                 launched the Emergency Plan, followed by
period, is consistent with the Bank’s top                senior management.                                  even if there is a change in the ruling coalition,         the 2009-2015 National Emergency Plan for

                                                                                                             1
                                                                                                              The quotations in parenthesis refer to the studies used to draft this document. The list of the studies is given as
                                                                                                             Annex 7.

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                      Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

Industrial Emergence. These industrial strate-          2.1.5 During the 2013-2016 period,                months at the end of 2015. This improve-                         Strategy [which seeks to increase the share
gies aimed at developing new professions                Morocco      significantly    improved      its   ment also reflects substantial inflows arising                   of industry in GDP from 14% to 23% by
(aerospace and automotive sectors) while                macroeconomic situation, thanks to                from loans to public institutions and FDI.                       2020] (GoM, 2014) are beginning to bear
supporting traditional sectors such as textiles         Government’s fiscal consolidation efforts                                                                          fruit. The export sector experienced marked
and agro-industry. They are expected to                 (Figure 1). From the public finance stand-                                                                         recovery in 2015 thanks to the new profes-
                                                                                                           Figure 1: Fiscal and External balances
contribute to reducing the trade deficit by             point, it recorded a net reduction of its                 as % of GDP, 2012-2017                                   sions of Morocco (automobile, electronics,
50% and increasing the GDP by 1.6% per year.            budget deficit (from -7.3% of GDP in 2012                      (MEF & authors)                                     aerospace sectors). Accordingly, the auto-
However, their implementation has been                  to -3.9% for 2016 & -3% in 2017 ) following          2012      2013       2014       2015    2016 (e) 2017 (p)
                                                                                                                                                                           mobile sector became the country's leading
affected by global economic crises since                cuts in public spending, including operating                                                                       export sector with an export increase of
2007. From 2008 to 2012, Morocco imple-                 expenditure which declined from 29.9% to                                                -2.7               -2.4    20.7% in 2015 (MEF, 2016). This trend is
                                                                                                                                                     -3.9 -3.8 -3.0
mented a counter-cyclical fiscal policy to: (i)         26.4% of GDP in 2015. This stemmed from:                                 -4.9       -4.3                           expected to continue, since several corpo-
                                                                                                                      -5.5           -5.7
revive the economy in a context of interna-             (i) a reduction of the budget allocated to sub-                                                                    rations have decided to establish or expand
                                                                                                            -7.3         -7.3
tional financial crisis and high cost of raw            sidies (particularly energy subsidies) from            -9.2                                                        their presence in the country in recent years
materials (including energy); and (ii) address          6.2% of GDP in 2012 to 1.4% in 2015; (ii) the                        Budget deficit (% GDP)                        (PEA, 2016). However, acceleration of the
the social demands of 2011. This policy,                decline in wage costs by approximately                               Current account balance (% GDP)               structural transformation of the economy
which helped to sustain growth, resulted in             0.4% of GDP; and (iii) the cancellation of                                                                         remains dependent on continuous improve-
the deterioration of macroeconomic indicators           non-executed investments. These measures          2.1.7 The country recorded a 3.7% average                        ment of the business climate, access to funding
(budget deficit of -7.3% in 2012) and in fact           made it possible to raise additional revenue,     annual growth rate over the 2012-2015                            and the quality of human capital (AfDB, GoM,
reached its limits (AfDB, GoM, MCC, 2015).              streamline State spending and improve             period but the projected growth rate for                         MCC, 2015 - see 3.2).
                                                        investment efficiency. Thanks to these efforts,   2016 was only 1.8% (it is however expected
• Macroeconomic Developments                            the country received a second Precautionary       to be 3,7% in 2017). This decline is attributable
                                                        and Liquidity Line from the IMF in 2014 and       to a poor agricultural (cereal) harvest due to                       Figure 2: Contribution to the Growth
2.1.4 Consequently, since 2012, Morocco                 a third in 2016 (IMF, 2016; IMF, 2015).           bad weather (agriculture remains a strategic                            of Key Sector of the Economy
                                                                                                                                                                                              (MEF)
has embarked on a policy of correcting its                                                                sector for the Moroccan economy with value-
                                                                                                                                                                            25.0%       4.7                                             6
macroeconomic balances. The Government                  2.1.6 These efforts also slashed the              added amounting to 15% of GDP in 2015)                                                                4.5
                                                                                                                                                                            15.0%                                                       4
set two objectives for the 2012-2017 period:            current account deficit from 9.2% of GDP          (Figure 2). This also highlights the need to                                           2.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               1.8
                                                                                                                                                                             5.0%                                                       2
(i) reduce operating costs and improve the              in 2012 to -0.7% in 2016. This primarily          boost the country’s industrialization and
                                                                                                                                                                            -5.0%       2013     2014           2015        2016 (p) 0
efficiency of the State’s social action in order        stemmed from a decline in imports (-3.5%)         agricultural sector resilience (PEA, 2016).
to create the necessary fiscal space; and (ii)          as Morocco benefitted from the fall in oil        In this regard, the Industrial Development                            Agriculture    Mining Indust.         Transformation Indust.
continue with key investments and reforms               prices. However, it also resulted from the        Emergency Plan launched in 2008 (GoM,                                 Trade          Transport              Post and Telecoms
with a view to improving the business climate           export sector development policy. Foreign         2008) as well as the 2014 New Industrial                              GDP Growth in%
and triggering a transformation of the                  exchange reserves rose from less than 4
economic model.                                         months of imports in 2013 to over 6.5

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                                           Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

                                                                     favourable because 75% of the debt stock is                      from 56 to 48 between 2004 and 2014 (WB,                                                  Law on the Finance Act, which became
                                                                     domestic and thus insensitive to external                        2015). Similarly, according to the Global                                                 effective in 2016, will usher in better planning
     Figure 3: Inflation and Official Interest
             Rate in % 2012-2017                                     shocks. Besides, the efforts made in recent                      Integrity-2016 report, public management                                                  and transparency in the use of public resources.
                 (MEF & authors)                                     years in terms of fiscal consolidation and active                has been strengthened with a score of                                                     Lastly, a PEFA conducted in 2015-2016 with
                                                                     debt management have yielded concrete                            63/100 (43 in 2013).                                                                      the support of the EU, AfDB and the World
       3.0        3.0       2.8         2.5      2.3                 results: the State has continued to finance                                                                                                                Bank, is being validated and will help to guide
               1.9                                        2.1
     1.3                             1.6      1.6                    itself at relatively low rates and to extend the                                                                                                           future reforms.
                         0.4                                         maturity of the debt. The average cost of                              Figure 5: 2004 & 2014 Governance
                                                                     the debt has decreased (from 5.1% in 2010                                        Indicators (WGI)                                                          • Business Environment and Competitiveness
     2012      2013      2014        2015 2016 (e) 2017 (p)
                                                                     to 4.4% in 2014), while its maturity has                                                                                                      50.48
                                                                                                                                                          Corruption control                                          55.12
               Inflation in %       Federal funds rates              increased (from 5.7 to 6.5 years).                                                           Rule of law                                          56.25    2.1.12 With regard to the business
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      53.59
                                                                                                                                                          Regulatory quality                                        52.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                46.57
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                environment, Morocco recorded a significant
                                                                                                                                              Government effectiveness                                           48.08
                                                                                                                                                                                                 30.1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       56.1     improvement in its Doing Business ranking,
                                                                                                                                      Political stability and absence of violence                       35.58
2.1.8 Morocco has been implementing a                                  Figure 4: Debt and Foreign Exchange                                                                                      28.08                           from 130th in 2009 to 75th in 2016 (Figure 6).
                                                                                                                                               Voice and accountability                            32.21
                                                                            Reserves, 2010-2016 (BAM)
cautious monetary policy since 2011. Over                                                                                                                                           0   10 20 30 40 50 60                       It made remarkable progress in: registering
the 2012-2016 period, inflation remained low                                                                                                                                                                                    property; reducing the number of procedures
                                                                     70.0    7.2                                         7.0    8.0                                       2014           2004
at 1.3% on average, despite the phasing out                          60.0              5.1                        5.8           7.0                                                                                             for starting a business (from 6 to 4); and reducing
                                                                     50.0                     4.2   4.6                         6.0
                                                                                                            4.1                 5.0
                                                                     40.0                                                       4.0
of energy subsidies in January 2014 (Figure                          30.0                                                       3.0                                                                                             the cost of these procedures as a percentage
                                                                     20.0                                                       2.0
3). The Central Bank has sought to sustain                           10.0                                                       1.0   2.2.11 The decree on public procurement                                                   of income per capita (from 15.7% to 9%).
                                                                        -                                                       -
                                                                            2010     2011    2012   2013   2014 2015 2016 (p)
demand, which is the main engine of                                                                                                   and the law governing free pricing and                                                    However, efforts still have to be made as
economic growth. In a context characterized                                                                                           competition, approved in 2014, helped to                                                  regards: (i) getting credit (109th); and (ii) protecting
                                                                                   Total debt (as % of GDP)
by low inflation, it decided on three occasions                                                                                       improve convergence with international                                                    minority investors (105th) (WB, 2015b).
                                                                                   Foreign exchange reserves in import months
to lower its key lending rate from 3% to                                                                                              regulations on governance, simplification
2.25% (its lowest historical level) between                                                                                           of procedures and dematerialization of
2014 and 2016 (BAM, 2016; IMF 2016).                                 • Gouvernance                                                    the public procurement process. Besides,                                                      Figure 6: Business Environment:
                                                                                                                                      Morocco launched its corruption control                                                     Comparative Ranking of 183 Countries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            (Doing Business)
2.1.9 Treasury debt amounted to 63.4%                                2.1.10 Morocco made significant progress                         strategy in May 2016, in addition to the
of GDP in 2016, but remains sustainable                              in corruption control, governance efficiency                     initiatives established in recent years, including:                                                  Protecting investors
in the medium term (IMF Article IV, February                         and accountability between 2004 and                              (i) the establishment a toll-free number for                                                               Getting credit
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Trading across borders
2016) (Figure 4 - Appendix 15). Although                             2014 (figure 5). In 2015, its overall CPIA                       reporting acts of corruption; (ii) presentation                                                       Starting a business
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Paying taxes
the debt has continued its upward trend                              score was 4.09, ranking it 13th on the Continent                 by the Court of Auditors, of records before                                                           Enforcing contracts
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Registering property
begun in 2010 (63.2% of GDP in 2014,                                 (and in the second quintile). According to the                   the justice system, highlighting this practice;                                           Dealing with construction permits
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Getting electricity
against 49% in 2010), it is expected to decline                      World Bank governance indicators, the country                    and (iii) the proposal of a new law governing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0      20 40 60 80 100 120
from 2017 (from 65.1% in 2016 to 62.1% in                            recorded a significant improvement in the                        the National Authority for Probity and Corruption
2019) (IMF, 2016). The debt structure remains                        efficiency of public action, with its score moving               Prevention and Control. The new Organic                                                                                       2015   2016

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                                                  Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

2.1.13 Morocco improved its global                                                         • Financial Sector                                 • Trade and Regional Integration                   C) SOCIAL SITUATION
competitiveness rankings by 14 spots
between 2011 and 2016, moving from the                                                     2.1.15 Since the 2000s, Morocco has                2.1.17   In terms economic integration,            • Poverty and Access to Basic Services
98th to 84th position (figure 7). It made                                                  achieved significant progress in modernizing       Morocco continued its policy of economic
remarkable progress particularly in the quality                                            its financial sector. Its ranking improved         openness and liberalization (AfDB, 2016a).         2.1.19 Morocco has made major efforts
                                                    th                th
of public institutions (from 66 to 47 ), infra-                                            by 21 spots, in the area of financial market       Accordingly, the authorities have promoted         to address its social challenges (AfDB,
structure (from 71th to 55th), and health and                                              development within a decade, to 70th in            exports and liberalized imports by eliminating     2016c). In particular, major actions were
                                                  th              th
primary education (from 94 to 77 ) (WEF,                                                   2016 (WEF, 2015). The legal and institutional      the lists of prohibited or restricted goods,       conducted to ensure greater access to basic
2015a). Labour market effectiveness, higher                                                framework governing the financial environment      and reducing customs duties. Furthermore,          services in all regions of the country (AfDB,
education and training remain areas in which                                               benefitted from greater sector liberalization      Morocco is a founding member of WTO and            2014b). Basic medical coverage and primary
Morocco continues to have low rankings                                                     thanks to AfDB reform support, among               has ratified multiple free trade agreements        education have been generalized. Moreover,
(AfDB, 2014a).                                                                             others.                                            (AfDB, 2016). This policy of openness has          the drinking water access rate increased from
                                                                                                                                              enabled the country to improve its trade           81% in 2006 to 100% in urban areas and
                                                                                                                                                                                  th
2.1.14 Morocco's attractiveness in terms                                                   2.1.16 The Moroccan banking sector is              facilitation index ranking from 75 in 2010         94.5% in rural areas. The electrification rate
of FDI has improved. In turn, this has led                                                 one of the best in Africa and plans to be a        to 44th in 2014 (UNCTAD, 2016). Moreover,          increased from 18% in 1996 to 99% in 2015
to an improvement in the current account                                                   continental leader, with three of its largest      Morocco's economic openness rate rose              (97% in rural areas).
balance. In 2014, FDI flows declined                                                       banks established in over 20 African               from 51.2% in 2000 to 62.1% in 2014.
throughout the North African region but                                                    countries (IMF, 2015b; IMF, 2015c, AfDB,                                                              2.1.20 Thanks to these efforts, Morocco
increased by 9% in Morocco. These flows                                                    2013). In 2015, the banking sector reported        2.1.18 Although it is very commercially            has made significant progress in poverty
came from France (leading investor in                                                      a net result of MAD 1.103 billion or 119 % of      anchored to the EU, Morocco has                    reduction. It is one of the countries that
Morocco with 37% of total FDI), United Arab                                                GDP. It represents 2/3 of the financial system     strengthened its economic and trade                made the most progress in attaining the
Emirates (8.6%), Switzerland (7%) and United                                               and is dominated by five banks that hold           cooperation with the rest of Africa. This          MDGs (annex 14). The national poverty rate
Kingdom (6.5%) (UNCTAD, 2015).                                                             79.5% of all sector assets. The financial          strategy is reflected in the Royal tours of        dropped sharply from 15.3% to 4.2% in 2014
                                                                                           base of Moroccan banks continued to be             2014, 2015 and 2016, and the full commitment       (HCP, 2015a). However, some spatial disparities
                                                                                           strengthened in 2015, showing an average           of the entire private sector. To support           in access to basic services persist. Rural
                                                                                           solvency ratio of 13.9% and a capital ratio of     this partnership, economic relations between       women do not receive the same assistance
     Figure 7: GCI 2010-2011and 2015-2016
                    Ranking                                                                11.5%, calculated for the first time according     Morocco and other African countries are            in childbirth as women living in urban areas
                                                                                           to Basel-3 rules. The return on equity             governed by more than 500 cooperation              (55% compared to 91%). Access to drinking
      Labour market efficiency                                                      130
                                                                  102            123
 Higher education and training
                                                             81
                                                                           106             amounted to 10.2%, while the return on             agreements (AfDB, 2016 b). Morocco is the          water and education also remains unequal in
                     Innovation                                  98
 Global competitiveness index                                   94
        Technological maturity                           75 84
                                                            78 94
                                                                                           assets stood at 1% in 2015. Due to the             second African investor on the continent with      the country.
 Health and primary education                                77
 Financial market development                          70
                                                          74
                                                           77
                                                                                           economic downturn stemming from a sluggish         EUR 1.5 billion invested over the last 5 years.
      Goods market efficiency            31           64
 Macroeconomic environment
                  Infrastructure
                                                 58
                                                 55
                                                         71                                international economy especially in sectors        Even more, the share of Moroccan exports to        • Unemployment, Education and Gender
                   Market size                  53
                                                    57
                    Institutions              47
                                                       66
                                                                                           like real estate, outstanding debts continued to   sub-Saharan Africa rose from 3% in 2008 to
                               0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
                                                                                           rise to stand at 7.4% by end-2015. However,        8% in 2014. In comparison, exports to the          2.1.21         However, there are still some
                      2010-2011               2015-2016                                    provisions have remained adequate.                 AMU remain low (3% in 2014) (AfDB, 2016b;          persistent challenges related to employ-
                                                                                                                                              AfDB - AMU, 2016).                                 ment and social inequality. With regard to

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                       Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

employment, the youth, and especially young             99.1%. The implementation of gender-sensitive      laws. In January 2012, the Government                        underpinned by the search for new partners.
graduates, are most severely affected by                budgeting by the Ministry of Finance is a key      elected in 2011 adopted four main pillars                    In this regard, Morocco aspires to become
unemployment. In 2016, the unemployment                 step in this process (UN-women, 2016).             related to: (i) performance of the State’s                   a hub for trade with the rest of Africa.
rate among the youth aged 15-24 years                                                                      social action; (ii) education, vocational training           Investment planning and performance
reached 23% compared to 21% in 2015, and                2.1.24 Notable progress has been made              and research; (iii) agricultural sector modern-              targets are defined within programme
that of young higher education graduates was            in women’s employment. For example, the            ization; and (iv) economic and financial                     contracts formulated between the State
24% compared to 22% in 2015 (HCP, 2016).                proportion of women in public administration       governance. During the October 2013 formation                and public corporations (ONEE for water
                                                        increased by 21% between 2007 and 2013,            of the second government, special emphasis                   and electricity, ONCF for rail transport),
2.1.22 The authorities have kept up their               to stand at 38.5%. However, women are              was laid on improvement of the business                      unions and professional sectors. For the
commitment to implement reforms to                      mainly employed in certain ministries such         environment and the competitiveness of the                   agricultural sector, boosting competitiveness
improve the quality of human capital and                as health and women's affairs where they           national industrial fabric. The 2017 finance bill            is at the heart of the Green Morocco Plan.
make labour market regulations more                     constitute over 50% of the staff.                  includes four development pillars, namely: (i)               A national strategy to develop the food
flexible. In 2015, Morocco launched higher                                                                 acceleration of economic transformation                      industry was launched and recently
education and vocational training strategies,           2.1.25 However, much remains to be done            through industrialization and exports; (ii)                  completed.
respectively referred to as the 2030 Education          (see paragraph 2.2.9). Gender disparities          strengthening      of   competitiveness      and
Vision and the 2015-2021 Vocational Training            remain glaring within the legislation. According   promotion     of   private   investments;      (iii)    •    As regards employment and training of
Strategy. Moreover, the net primary enrolment           to the report "Women, Business and the Law         improvement of human resources and                           human capital, Morocco adopted the
ratio rose from 90.1% to 99.6% between                  2016" (WB, 2016), Morocco is one of the 155        reduction of disparities; and (iv) institution               2015-2025 Employment Strategy and
2008 and 2013. In rural areas, it grew from             countries (out of 173) that have at least a law    building and good governance.                                the 2015-2021 National Vocational Training
84.5% to 97.9%.                                         that prevents women from working freely. The                                                                    Strategy in 2015. The employment strategy
                                                        report notes that married women cannot be          2.2.2 To address these priorities, the                       is aimed at increasing the labour force by
2.1.23 As regards gender inequality, the                family heads, which is discriminatory to them      Kingdom has implemented many detailed                        17% and slashing unemployment to
new 2011 Moroccan Constitution “under-                  in terms of tax provisions.                        and quantified sector policies (Annex 6).                    3.9% by 2025. Furthermore, the higher
takes to combat and banish all discrimi-                                                                                                                                education strategy (called Education
nation against anyone based on gender”.                 2.2     STRATEGIC OPTIONS                          •   With regard to competitiveness and                       Vision 2030) is being developed. These
According to the Africa Gender Equality Index                                                                  industrialization, Morocco in 2014                       strategies must address the issues
(AfDB, 2015-b), the country has made efforts            A) COUNTRY STRATEGIC FRAMEWORK                         launched the Logistics Acceleration Plan                 of matching training to employment,
in terms of human development (education of                                                                    and the National Industrial Acceleration                 entrepreneurship and combating inequities
the girl child, maternal mortality) and is              2.2.1 Since 2004, the priorities announced             Plan for 2014-2020 to replace the National               in skills development. On the social front,
ranked third in Africa. Under the “Ikram”               in the King's statements and in the                    Pact for Industrial Emergence launched                   a State social action strategy is being
Gender Equality Programme (2012-2016),                  Government programme have replaced                     in 2008, which enabled the country to                    developed.
the Government is committed to bridging the             the economic and social development                    develop new industries such as aeronautics
gap between men and women. Indicators                   plan, and serve as the policy framework.               or car manufacturing, referred to as “the           •    As regards territorial development,
reflect the efforts made, with the net school           These priorities have been transformed                 new global professions of Morocco”. The                  the Green Morocco Plan, the National
enrolment ratio for girls rising from 88% to            into development pillars within the finance            implementation of these strategies is                    Rural Development Strategy and the

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                          Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

     Development         Fund     for    Rural    and      SMEs) is one of the factors that negatively          support to women entrepreneurs constitute          surface area remains low (less than 18% of
     Mountainous Areas are the flagship                    affect economic growth and the employability         major obstacles (AfDB, 2015c).                     utilized agricultural land), it was able to yield
     mechanisms for reducing inequalities in               of young graduates. However, the relatively                                                             good performance and preserve jobs in a
     rural and disadvantaged areas                         high rate of integration in some sectors (80%        2.2.5 Although major efforts are being             context of poor rainfall in 2016. Sustainable
                                                           integration rate in the construction sector)         deployed, spatial inequality in terms of           water resources development is essential to
B) CHALLENGES AND WEAKNESSES                               shows that vocational training could satisfy         access to quality employment remains               the improvement of rural living conditions.
                                                           the demand of investors if it is well targeted.      one of Morocco’s weaknesses. Notwith-
►    Reduce        Disparities          Related     to                                                          standing the higher labour force participation     2.2.6 Reducing the vulnerability of self-
Employment                                                 2.2.4 Access to employment and economic              ratio in rural areas (56.8% in 2015) compared      employed and/or informal sector workers
                                                           opportunities for women is also a major              to urban areas (41.5%), rural employment is        must remain a priority. Self-employment
2.2.3      As indicated above, the youth                   challenge, with less than one out of                 fragile and often remunerated poorly or not        and entrepreneurship develop mainly in the
unemployment rate is particularly high                     four women in the labour force actively              at all. This applies to 40% of rural jobs in       informal sector, with 80% of workers not
(20.8% in 2015 within the 15-24 years’ age                 employed. Women are employed in sectors              2013 compared to 4.1% of urban jobs                covered by a social security scheme. In
bracket), especially among higher education                that rely on low-skilled labour (agriculture,        (MEAS, 2014). Thus, poverty remains a rural        2012, 10% of workers were poor, 64% were
graduates (24.4%). Although total unem-                    textiles) and / or offer low wages (hotels). Their   phenomenon with a rate of 8.9% compared            working without a contract, especially in the
ployment grew from 8.7% to 9.7% between                    work is characterized by vulnerability: mainly       to 1.1% in urban areas (HCP, 2015 b).              private sector (70%), and 53% were working
2012 and 2015, it remains relatively low. Even             in the informal sector, without social security      Moreover, rural employment is also highly          over 48 hours per week (ME, 2014). Approx-
more problematic is the fact that while the                coverage and often without remuneration              dependent on the weather. Since agriculture        imately 38% of the population is not yet cov-
overall unemployment rate declined steadily                (CESE, 2014). In rural areas, for example, 74%       employs more than 75% of the labour force          ered by basic medical insurance, particularly
from 2000 to 2011, youth unemployment                      of employed women in 2012 were unpaid.               in the rural area, the rural unemployment rate     people who work in the informal sector, the
started spiking again after 2003, despite                  This primarily stems from women's historically       depends directly on sector performance.            liberal professions and the self-employed.
the implementation of several programmes                   limited access to primary education and limited      For instance, the particularly arid climatic       The Government is stepping up its efforts
(Idmaj-Insertion, Moukawalati-My Business,                 women’s entrepreneurship. Moreover, in rural         conditions of 2016 resulted in the loss of 154     to extend social security coverage to self-
Ta'hil-Qualification). The growth diagnostic               areas, 73.2% of women are in underage                000 rural jobs (MEF, 2016). The authorities        employed workers. However, the best
identified human capital as one of the two                 employment (under 15 years) and have no              have deployed considerable efforts to              organized socio-professional categories will
major constraints to more robust and                       access to secondary education (only 23.6% of         improve agricultural sector productivity,          be integrated first, thus creating pockets
job-creating growth (AfDB, GoM, MCC,                       rural girls currently attend secondary school).      mainly through the Green Morocco Plan to           of fragility within the ranks of the self-
2015). In terms of quality of education and                Furthermore, of the 36.7% of the population          develop better quality jobs in the rural area.     employed. The adoption of a job loss
training, 38% of major corporations cite the               classified as illiterate, 64.7% are rural women.     This plan increased agricultural GDP signifi-      allowance is one of the attempts made to
lack of sufficiently skilled labour as a major             In addition, the percentage of self-employed         cantly by 49% between 2008 and 2013.               reduce workers’ vulnerability. However, this
constraint to their development. In addition to            persons within the labour force is 33.4% for         Thanks to the National Irrigation Water            reform does not yet constitute unemployment
the shortage of human capital, the diagnosic               men but only 14.5% for women (HCP, 2014).            Savings Programme, over 51% of additional          insurance per se and only benefits a small
reveals that the mismatch between the skills               Apart from socio-cultural factors that hinder the    value-added created by the crop sub-sectors        number of workers. Furthermore, only one
developed by the education and training                    development of women’s entrepreneurship,             since 2008 comes from irrigation farming           third of the workforce contributes to a
system, and the needs of businesses (especially            limited access to finance and inadequate             areas. Although the proportion of the irrigated    pension system.

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                        Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

►    Accelerate Transformation of the                   2015). However, this situation is evolving in       2.2.9 The desire to transform Morocco                  dependence on the State budget, which
Economic Model through Industrialization                the automotive sector, where the value              into a production and trade hub should                 fluctuated depending on international oil price
                                                        chains have been improving over the past            be driven by the need to continue imple-               trends. However, the fact remains that such
2.2.7 Morocco's economic growth creates                 four years, with over 40% of the value-added        menting      an    investment      programme           dependence affects the balance of payments
very few jobs (HCP, 2005; AfDB, GoM, MCC,               for cars created nationally. Moreover, Moroccan     focused on transport and logistical infra-             and industrial sector competitiveness.
2015). The elasticity of employment to growth           exports do not sufficiently play the role of        structure (AfDB, 2016 b; AfDB - AMU,
is less than 0.5, which makes it difficult to           anchoring economic growth to a large and            2016). According to the Doing Business                 2.2.11 To reduce this dependence, the
                                                                                                                                                    nd
absorb the flow of young job seekers entering           promising market. Although it has improved          report, Morocco was ranked 102               in the    authorities are implementing a renewable
the labour market. The low correlation between          markedly in recent years thanks to Morocco’s        World in 2016, in terms of cross-border                energy         investment     programme          that
the employment rate trends of young graduates           global business lines, export sector performance    trade. In particular, the costs and export time        requires significant investments. The
and economic growth stems from the predom-              remained modest at 17% of GDP in 2016,              limits remain high compared to the average             objective is to ensure that renewable energy
inance of sectors within the economy, such as           compared to 30% for imports. Furthermore,           in the MENA and OECD regions. Moreover,                accounts for 42% of electricity production by
agriculture and trade, which mainly employ              these exports are mainly concentrated in the        despite its quality infrastructure, the country        2020. The solar programme requires a total
low-skill workers. Hence, the low level of indus-       EU (85% of agricultural exports in 2016). This      declined by 24 spots between 2014 and                  investment of USD 9 billion, while wind
trialization (which, like agriculture, contributes      performance affects the trade balance deficit       2016 as regards logistical performance,                energy requires USD 3.7 billion to develop a
                                                                                                                        th
14% of GDP) limits job creation for young               estimated at 13% in 2016. Therefore,                falling to 86 position in global rankings (WB,         capacity of 4000 MW by 2020. Solar and
graduates (AfDB, 2014).                                 Morocco must continue with the progress             2016). Morocco is ranked 90th and 91st in              wind energy programmes are being developed
                                                        made in ensuring the diversification and            terms of transport and logistical infrastructure.      through industrial integration to strengthen
2.2.8 Morocco’s low structural transfor-                sophistication of its exports (CID, 2016 -          Developing such infrastructure requires                the green sub-sectors.
mation is mostly attributable to the modest             Annex 17). In addition to human capital, the        substantial resources. For example, the
ripple effect of the private sector on the              2016 growth diagnostic and global competi-          authorities estimate that Morocco needs                ►    Preserve Water Resources
economy (HCP, 2005; AfDB, GoM, MCC,                     tiveness report identified several aspects of       USD 10 billion to position itself strategically in
2015). SMEs, which account for over 95%                 the business climate that authorities should        the port sector.                                       2.2.12 The water resource situation in
of the productive fabric, are struggling to             continue to improve to facilitate business                                                                 Morocco is disturbing. The renewable
develop. In terms of jobs, the probability that         creation and development, boost exports             ►   Reduce Energy Dependence                           water resource rate is less than 600 m3/
a company with less than 10 workers would               and strengthen innovation. These include                                                                   person/year (the critical threshold being 1000
increase its staff strength to over 100 after           taxation, bureaucracy and land tenure.              2.2.10 Energy supply and the reduction of              m3/person/year) (FAO, 2016). Even though
5 years is negligible (0.4%). In terms of               Access to funding also seems to be an issue         energy dependence are major challenges                 drinking water production increased fivefold
value-added, it is becoming difficult to estab-         since it is regularly cited as a major constraint   for Morocco. While demand is growing at                over the past three decades, the 145 dams
lish integrated value chains. An analysis of            by SMEs (BM & WEF, 2016). Trade procedures          a 6% annual rate, the country has a high               have a storage capacity that is below the
Morocco’s position in terms of production               must also be strengthened, as the Doing             dependency rate (96% between 2004 and                  population's annual water consumption.
shows a lack of connection between the                  Business classification ranks the country           2011), with oil accounting for 27% of imports          According to the IPCC, climate trends in the
                                                              nd                                   th
industrial sectors. This reduces synergies and          122        in terms of traceability and 124 for     in 2014 (MdEMEE, 2013). The drastic reduction          sub-region are particularly disturbing due to
undermines the development of the industrial            efficiency of customs clearance procedures          of energy subsidies between 2013 and 2014              declining rainfall, estimated at 30% by 2050.
fabric based on SMEs (AfDB, GoM, MCC,                   (WB, 2016).                                         significantly reduced the impact of such               Furthermore, the significant efforts made to

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                      Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

develop water management infrastructure                 draws from the multiple free trade agree-         Firstly, this is reflected in the accelerated         2016f). The sector employs 40% of the
have led to the development of large-scale ir-          ments signed with the EU, USA, Turkey and         implementation of the 2015-2025 Employment            labour force at the national level and 75%
rigation, thus aggravating the pressure on              several Arab and African countries (AfDB,         Strategy and Education Vision 2030. Secondly,         in rural areas (MEF, 2015).
water. The current irrigated surface area is            2016), and supplemented by the search for         the State has continued its commitment to
nearly 1.5 million hectares, of which two-              new partners. In this regard, Morocco aspires     improving the functioning of and access to            2.2.18 Competitiveness gains are possible
thirds have been equipped by the authorities.           to become a hub for trade with the rest of        public services nationwide.                           because the agricultural value chains
In response, Morocco initiated the exploitation         Africa (AfDB, 2016b).                                                                                   remain barely developed and fragmented.
of abundant resources such as seawater or                                                                 2.2.16 The improvement of living condi-               Agricultural production is characterized
wastewater, using new technologies (e.g.                2.2.14 Morocco also embarked on an                tions through equal access to economic                by the coexistence of a large number of
desalination plants). The development of                ambitious reform process to improve the           opportunities is indeed central to many               small-sized farms (70% of the 1.5 million
infrastructure and an integrated approach to            business climate. The establishment of the        policies on which the Bank's intervention             farms have a surface area of less than 5 ha),
ensure the sustainability of water resources            National Business Environment Committee           framework can rely to support reforms                 the low quality of their output, very limited
are essential for developing the type of                contributed to the adoption of a consultative     and investments. The Green Morocco Plan,              market integration and a limited number of
agriculture that creates jobs and is sustainable.       and integrative approach to reforms. The          the National Rural Development Strategy and           large farms with high value-added, whose
                                                        reforms specifically aim at developing entre-     the Development Fund for Rural and Mountain           output is mainly exported. Actually, the 1.5
C) STRENGTHS AND OPPORTUNITIES                          preneurship and SMEs (AfDB, 2016e; AfDB,          Areas are central to this from a territorial          million farms only account for 4% of exports
                                                        2015c). Furthermore, major investments are        standpoint (DAT, 2011). The SNDR seeks to:            while the agro-industry sector, which is less
►    A Clear Industrial Strategy and a                  being made to provide investors with the          (i) improve the quality and attractiveness of         labour-intensive (60,000 workers), accounts
Strong Desire to Improve the Business                   infrastructure needed for their development.      rural life; (ii) improve the competitiveness          for 2%. Paradoxically, the coverage rate has
Environment                                             For example, the Nador and Kenitra ports or       and diversity of the rural economy; and (iii)         declined since 1990, indicating a deficit in
                                                        the TGV (high speed train) line were built in     create the conditions for environmental               agricultural products.
2.2.13 The year 2014 was marked by the                  2015-2016.                                        sustainability. The Fund is particularly solicited
adoption of a new industrial strategy                                                                     to reduce the human development deficit and           2.2.19         Sector    competitiveness          had
(2014-2020), which continues the promotion              ►   A New Constitution (2011) that                guarantee access to education in remote               improved, thanks to the Green Morocco
of new sectors: automobile, electronics,                Promotes Access to Education and                  areas.                                                Plan. Since 2008, the plan has led to: (i)
aerospace, and 'offshoring'. In 2015, auto-             Labour                                                                                                  an increase of 137,000 ha in the irrigated
mobile (+26.2%), electronics (26%) and                                                                    ►   An Agricultural Sector with High                  surface area; and (ii) a 70% increase in fruit
aerospace      exports      (+1.8%)     increased       2.2.15 Morocco has continued its major            Potential                                             and vegetable production. Exports of agri-
remarkably (MEF, 2016). The authorities also            reform drive to ensure that its regulatory                                                              food products surged to over MAD 32.5 billion
pay special attention to agro-industry, which           and institutional frameworks are consistent       2.2.17 The agricultural sector holds                  in 2013, or an increase of 123% since 2001.
benefits from the achievements of the Green             with the requirements of the 2011 Consti-         enormous opportunities in terms of                    Despite growing competition, especially from
Morocco Plan in terms of improving production           tution. Article 31 of the Constitution provides   development and job creation through                  countries of the Mediterranean basin, Morocco
downstream. These sectors were identified by            for citizens’ access to conditions that enable    the structuring of value chains and                   is ranked among the world’s five leading
the AfDB as being most capable of creating              them to enjoy economic and social rights,         product     quality    improvement        (ADB,       exporters of several products.
jobs and wealth (AfDB, 2012). This strategy             including the right to education and work.

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Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021                                          Kingdom of Morocco: Country Strategy Paper 2017 - 2021

►    A Strong Commitment to Combating                   regards adaptation, the programme includes:           promote the private sector, industrialization        assistance needs are significant. These sectors
Climate Change and Preserving Resources                 (i) the substitution of overexploited ground-         (competitiveness, financial sector, agriculture)     include energy [with WB, IsDB and KfW],
                                                        water with surface water; and (ii) the acceleration   and employment (matching training to                 agriculture [with AFD, WB and JICA] and
2.2.20 Moroccan authorities have made                   of desalination programmes, construction of           employment, protection of workers), these            water [with the WB and the AFD]. However,
great efforts in terms of public policy                 dams and recycling of wastewater by 2030.             being sectors in which the Bank has                  the partners develop certain specificities in
and operational initiatives to protect                  Concerning drinking water, an estimated               recognized expertise.                                such operations. For instance, renewable
the environment. The 2011 Constitution                  water savings potential of 120 Mm3/year is                                                                 energy, irrigation and development agricultural
 recognizes access to a healthy environment             possible through recourse to appropriate              2.3.2 The Bank, together with the WB, KfW            value chains, and integrated water resource
as a fundamental right of citizens. The                 technologies and greater efficiency in its            AFD and EU (and its institutions), is one of         management are areas in which AfDB is
National    Environment       and    Sustainable        usage (UNECA, 2016; WB, 2013; UNFCC,                  Morocco’s leading donors. The support of             one of the lead donors. Thirdly, the leading
Development Charter adopted in 2014,                    2015).                                                the Gulf countries (Qatar and Saudi Arabia) is       partners have also developed some very
establishes an environmental taxation system                                                                  also significant (UA 1.5 billion) and is provided    specific skills, for instance in urban devel-
composed of green taxes levied on activities            2.3 AID COORDINATION/ HAR-                            in the form of grants (Table 1). Analysis of the     opment (AFD), or waste management (WB).
that have a significant impact on natural               MONIZATION AND BANK’S                                 portfolio of institutions with a similar level of    AfDB’s specificities include: (i) its ability to
resources. This drive led to the publication            POSITIONING                                           commitment as the Bank (Annex 5) yields              conduct reform programmes aimed at
of the National Strategy for Sustainable                                                                      three conclusions on identification of the           boosting the competitiveness of the economy
Development 2015-2020 (ME, 2015).                       2.3.1 The AfDB is a long-term privileged              Bank's interventions for the 2017-2021               and reducing social inequality through
                                                        partner in the development of Morocco.                period. Firstly, these institutions have similar     employment, while mobilizing partners (EU,
2.2.21 The Kingdom also played a major                  The country has the Bank’s largest portfolio,         strategies, involving the implementation of          WB and JICA) and developing synergies with
role on the international scene by under-               comprising 35 operations for a total commitment       broad crosscutting approaches with very              its investment programmes; (ii) its longstanding
taking to reduce its greenhouse gas                     of UA 2 billion (Annex 16). The portfolio covers      strong synergies between partners; this              competence in developing large-scale infra-
emissions under COP 21 and organizing                   seven areas: energy (38.7%), transport (24.8%),       approach should be consolidated in the new           structure (transport and logistics, energy,
COP 22 in 2016, during which it introduced              water and sanitation (14.5%), agriculture             strategy. The broad crosscutting approach            water and sanitation, while mobilizing the
the issue of water resources into the discus-           (6.8%), the social sector (4.9%), non-sovereign       also enables the leading partners to address         AFD, EIB or EBRD), and in infrastructure used
sions. During COP 21, Morocco undertook                 operations (0.6%) as well as multi-sector             major development challenges in an inte-             to stimulate economic development and
to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 13%               operations (9.8%). The portfolio is concentrated      grated and concerted manner, especially as           create employment. Intervention pillars are
before 2030. This effort could be increased             on infrastructure (85% of commitments)                these challenges are highly inter-dependent          identified around these complementarities
to 32% if international funds are mobilized             especially in the energy and transport sectors        in emerging economies. This approach also            and AfDB’s specific competencies.
(estimated at USD 45 billion). As regards               in which the Bank has a real comparative              makes it possible to diversify risk when
climate change mitigation, 50% of the                   advantage. However, it is worth noting that           dealing with large portfolios and to sustain         2.3.3 The AfDB Field Office in Morocco
projects focus on energy. They include: (i) a           this portfolio mainly reflects the Bank's invest-     their disbursement performance. Secondly,            (COMA) plays a key role in consolidating
determination to increase the share of renew-           ment projects and that 39% of allocations             there are strategic sectors in which Morocco’s       dialogue with the government and other
able energy within the installed electricity            over the 2012-2015 period (UA 1.85 billion)           major partners are systematically committed.         development partners. Regular dialogue
capacity to 42% by 2020 (34% in 2015); and              are provided as budget support to the State.          Such joint commitment builds substantial             between COMA and the authorities helps to
(ii) the improvement of energy efficiency. As           These operations have supported reforms to            leverage in areas where financial and technical      identify problems and priority actions that

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