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DATA AND ANALYSIS WITHIN THIS REPORT
Overview

Pages      Subject                                                             Essentials
03 – 05    Detailed overview
            ›   Market scope                                                     Ongoing shift from offline to online fashion purchases
            ›   Customer benefit, market size                                    with new services brick and mortar can’t offer

            ›   Future developments, assumptions and sensitivity                 Mobile shopping gains importance

06 – 09    KPI-Comparison
            ›   Market KPI comparison by region in charts
                                                                                 Biggest market is China with US$125.8 billion in 2016
            ›   Market KPI comparison by region in tables
                                                                                 China has the highest average growth rate of 18%
            ›   Market sizing subjects for e-Commerce Fashion forecast

10 – 11    Top Player
            ›   Zalando - Company Profile , KPI Comparison: Zalando vs. Asos
                                                                                 Zalando succeeds with an aggressive marketing
                                                                                 strategy

12         Trend

                                                                                                                                          © Statista Digital Market Outlook
            ›   Curated Shopping                                                 Curated Shopping services gain market traction

13 – 15    Structure, contacts and imprint

                                                                                                                                      2
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E-COMMERCE MARKET
Market focus: Fashion

                                     Fashion
   Electronics & Media                                         Furniture & Appliances

   Food & Personal Care                                          Toys, Hobby & DIY

                                                                                            © Statista Digital Market Outlook
                                                                                        3
                          Focus Segment        Other Reports
E-COMMERCE: FASHION - statcdn.com
ONLINE FASHION STORES OFFER SERVICES THAT
CONSUMERS CAN’T FIND OFFLINE
Customer benefit                                                             Market size
The fashion segment is a               The consumer can get inspired         The size of the global fashion e-      purchasing power makes it a very
relatively     mature       market     through different means such as       Commerce market is about               attractive market for online
segment in the e-Commerce              personalization              and      US$332.1 billion in 2016 and           merchants.
cosmos. Before the possibility of      recommendations     (based    on      accounts for 28% of the total e-
                                                                                                                    Big online players for fashion in
online    shopping,    clothes   in    personal    taste  or   previous      Commerce market.
                                                                                                                    Europe are Zalando, Vente Privee,
particular were not only purchased     purchases).
                                                                             The three regions covered in this      Asos, the Otto Group and H&M.
in stores but also through mail
                                       Also social influencers play a big    report have an accumulated online
order catalogues.                                                                                                   The US market is valued at US$
                                       role in the fashion segment.          fashion revenue of US$275.8
                                                                                                                    63.3 billion in 2016. The European
The segment covers all men and         Fashion blogs or social media         billion in 2016 and cover more
                                                                                                                    market accounts for 26.1% of the
women’s clothing, accessories (e.g.    platforms like Instagram reach a      than 83% of the global e-
                                                                                                                    global market, while the US has a
hats, scarves, gloves), shoes and      huge audience. Using these,           Commerce fashion market.
                                                                                                                    share of 19.0%. Relevant players in
shoe    accessories     (e.g.   care   influencers can directly advertise
                                                                             The Chinese market has grown to        the US market are online shops of
products) as well as different kinds   certain brands and products or
                                                                             a total volume of US$125.8 billion     retailers Gap and Nordstrom as
of bags (daypacks and purses)          indirectly through paid subtle
                                                                             and is by far the largest online       well as the pure player Amazon.
and luggage purchased online.          product placement.
                                                                             fashion market. The willingness of
                                                                                                                    The market size includes gross
The broader product range              An example of services that go        Chinese consumers to shop
                                                                                                                    merchandise volume, meaning
(colors, sizes, styles) offered in     beyond the standard online            outside of their country (87% of
                                                                                                                    returns have not been deducted.
online shops, free shipping,           shopping is curated shopping:         shoppers) and the strong focus on
                                                                                                                    Particularly in the fashion segment
improved delivery services (e.g.       individual outfits are put together   luxury fashion for certain wealthy
                                                                                                                    high return rates are a cost factor
same day delivery) and hassle free     by personal style advisers. One       consumer      groups,     have    a
                                                                                                                    but for the most part are still
return processes are all factors       example in this niche market is       significant impact on the market.
                                                                                                                    inevitable.
that support the ongoing trend         Outfittery who specialize in men’s
                                                                             The European fashion market is

                                                                                                                                                          © Statista Digital Market Outlook
towards online shopping in the         clothing or Trunk Club for men
                                                                             the second biggest in this
fashion segment.                       and women.
                                                                             comparison with a volume of
Some online shops selling fashion                                            US$86.8 billion in 2016. The large
products offer services that                                                 internet population, relatively high
customers can’t find in ordinary                                             online    shopper      penetration,
brick and mortar businesses.                                                 combined with comparably high

                                                                                                                                                   4
FASHION GOES TECH WITH CHINA AS THE
GLOBAL GROWTH ENGINE
Future developments                                                                Assumptions and sensitivity
We expect that e-Commerce in the            which means growth is mainly           One of our key assumptions is the        customers convert to using mobile
global1 fashion segment will grow           driven by the continuous shift by      shift from offline to online retail.     research. Also social networks like
at an average annual growth                 the existing customer base from        But also both “worlds”            are    Instagram,         where     social
rate of 13.8% by 2021 to reach a            offline to online purchases.           increasingly connected as cross-         influencers reach huge audiences
total market size of US$633.5                                                      channel         services          are    and try to generate authentic and
                                            New emerging technologies will
billion.                                                                           implemented. An example of               appealing     inspirations     and
                                            shape the customer experience
                                                                                   seamless integration of online and       recommendations, are mostly
The growth potential remains                and the efficiency of e-Commerce
                                                                                   offline channels is “Click & Collect”.   used on mobile devices.
relevant due to ongoing differen-           in different ways: virtual “fitting
tiation in comparison to ordinary           rooms” give customers the option       The fashion market landscape can         As well as known brands, online
offline retail. Additionally existing       to create 3D avatars. The shopper      be      divided   into     brand         shops offer own-label collections
and new niche concepts of online            has a better feel for the products     marketplaces (Zalando, Zappos),          (e.g. Asos). This creates the
retailers are a relevant factor.            which results in less returns (and     design shops (Net-A-Porter), the         advantage of differentiation from
                                            therefore reduced costs for the        online presence of ordinary              other vendors as well as higher
The fastest growing region is
                                            vendor) as well higher customer        retailers (H&M, Gap), generalists        margins (no middleman). Also with
China with 17.8% CAGR2 to 2021.
                                            satisfaction.                          (Amazon) and discount clothing           the help of big data and analysis of
China’s online fashion sales is
                                                                                   shops (boohoo).                          customer shopping behaviors,
expected to reach three times the           One of the most important trends
                                                                                                                            products can be developed with
size of the US market by 2021. This         of the segment is “Fast fashion”.      It is not a “winner-takes-it-all”
                                                                                                                            this knowledge in mind.
development is supported by an              Fast fashion retailers like Zara or    market due to fast-moving
ongoing       Chinese       internet        H&M decrease the “time to              fashion    trends    and     niche       An easy return process is key to
penetration        growth       (new        market”, i.e. the time between         segments where it’s difficult for        customer       satisfaction.     For
potential       customers)       and        picking up trends and making           just a few big players to cover all      merchants, the best-case scenario
increasing     purchasing      power        them      available     for    their   needs.                                   would be to reduce current return

                                                                                                                                                                   © Statista Digital Market Outlook
especially in the urban areas of the        customers     through     optimized                                             rates in order to keep margins at a
                                                                                   The aspect of mobile shopping is
country. The penetration of 51.3%           value chains.                                                                   substantial level. But due to the
                                                                                   important. The ongoing growth of
in 2016 – compared to the US and                                                                                            remaining growth potential in
                                            Other examples of trend signals        smartphone     penetration   will
Europe – is relatively low.                                                                                                 the market, the focus is still on
                                            are: augmented and virtual             ensure strong growth rates in
                                                                                                                            customer acquisition and loyalty in
In Europe and the US internet               reality shopping as well as mass       mobile shopping. With better and
                                                                                                                            order to increase overall sales.
penetration is already very high,           customization (3D-printed shoes).      easier online services, more

1: Only includes countries listed in the Digital Market Outlook.
2: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate/ average growth rate per year.                                                                                         5
FASHION IN MA JOR REGIONS
Market KPI comparison by region
                        United States                                             China                                            Europe

Revenue forecast
in million US$ by region                        +8.8% p.a.                                         +17.8% p.a.                                       +10.1% p.a.
Bags & Accessories:
                                                                                                             42,073

Shoes:                                                                                                       55,166

Clothing:                                                                                 17,667                                                                   21,969
                                                         13,154                                                                             12,858                 28,030
                                      9,508                                               26,002             188,075
                                                         12,349
                                                                                                                                            19,032
                                      8,880                                               82,130                                                                   90,549
                                                         70,906                                                                             54,874
                                      44,897

                                      2016                   2021                         2016                   2021                       2016                   2021

Revenue per user
in US$ by region
                                          105.84                                            68.05                                                  98.61
                       2016                  119.28                              2016        80.39                                 2016                 134.16

                                                                    357.71                                       216.87                                             321.10

                                                                                                                                                                                         © Statista Digital Market Outlook
                                             118.35                                              96.92                                                119.50
                       2021                    126.65                            2021              113.02                          2021                  148.38

                                                                        415.73                                            312.02                                            378.47

Source: Digital Market Outlook 2016                                                                                                                                                  6
FASHION IN MA JOR REGIONS
Market KPI comparison by region
                       United States                                              China                                                      Europe

Revenue

                                                                      CAGR1                                                       CAGR1                                                     CAGR1
Segment       Unit   2016     2017    2018    2019    2020    2021              2016     2017    2018    2019    2020    2021               2016    2017    2018    2019    2020    2021
                                                                      16 – 21                                                     16 – 21                                                   16 – 21

Total         mUS$   63,286 69,821 76,846 83,918 90,343 96,408        +8.8%     125,799 159,014 193,897 228,004 260,469 285,313   +17.8%    86,764 96,670 107,676 119,216 130,831 140,548   +10,1%

Clothing      mUS$   44,897 49,973 55,427 60,950 65,933 70,906        +9.6%      82,130 105,992 130,154 152,846 173,867 188,075   +18.0%    54,874 61,535 68,885 76,536 84,173 90,549       +10,5%

Shoes         mUS$    8,880    9,590 10,362 11,130 11,852 12,349      +6.8%      26,002 31,755 37,834 43,790 49,423 55,166        +16.2%    19,032 20,689 22,510 24,409 26,314 28,030       +8.1%

Bags &
              mUS$    9,508 10,258 11,058 11,838 12,558 13,154        +6.7%      17,667 21,268 25,909 31,368 37,179 42,073        +19.0%    12,858 14,446 16,280 18,271 20,344 21,969       +11.3%
Accessories

Users

                                                                      CAGR1                                                       CAGR1                                                     CAGR1
Segment       Unit    2016    2017    2018    2019    2020    2021               2016    2017    2018    2019    2020    2021               2016    2017    2018    2019    2020    2021
                                                                      16 – 21                                                     16 – 21                                                   16 – 21

Clothing       m        126     135     144     154     162     171   +6.3%        379     420     468     519     571     603    +9.7%       171     184     198     213     228     239   +7.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                      © Statista Digital Market Outlook
Shoes          m         74      79      85      90      95      98   +5.5%        323     353     385     419     453     488    +8.6%       142     151     161     171     181     189   +5.9%

Bags &
               m         90      95     100     104     108     111   +4.4%        260     288     322     361     402     434    +10.8%      130     141     152     164     175     184   +7.1%
Accessories

1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate/ average growth rate per year.
Source: Digital Market Outlook 2016                                                                                                                                                             7
KEY-TAKE-AWAYS BY REGION
Market sizing subjects for Fashion forecast
                           United States                                             China                                         Europe
                       ›    In 2016 second highest single-country                ›    Biggest single-country market globally   ›    Diverse market sizes, though the third
                            market with US$63.3 billion in revenue                    with US$125.8 billion in 2016                 and fifth largest fashion markets are
                                                                                                                                    located in Europe (UK and Germany)
                       ›    Within the fashion market, clothes                   ›    Average revenue per user is the
    Market size
                            generate the majority of revenue,                         smallest when compared to US and         ›    As in China and the US, fashion
                            about 70% in 2016                                         Europe, with US$216.9 per user in the         revenues are dominated by the
                                                                                      clothing segment                              clothing segment, generating more
                                                                                                                                    than 60% of the total
                                                                                 ›    Tmall has an exceptional market
                                                                                      position in the online apparel segment

                       ›    Though the US is a pioneer in online                 ›    Highest growth rate with a CAGR of       ›    Europe has still a relatively high growth
                            fashion sales, it still has a high single-                17.8% mainly because of ongoing               rate with a CAGR of 10.1%
                            digit CAGR1 of 8.8%                                       internet penetration and user growth
                                                                                                                               ›    Revenue is expected to increase to
   Growth rate
                       ›    User growth ranges between 4-6%,                     ›    Revenue is expected to reach a market         US$140.5 billion in 2021
                            depending on the specific segment,                        volume of US$285.3 billion in 2021
                                                                                                                               ›    Online clothing shoppers will reach
                       ›    A significant part of market growth will                                                                239 million by 2021, a 40% increase
                            be generated through increasing                                                                         compared to 2016
                            baskets and higher order frequencies

                       ›    Major online shops (Amazon, eBay),                   ›    Chinese cross-border online shoppers     ›    Region is a strategic target for online
                            test ground for new products and                          should be considered by foreign               retailers who want to grow their global
                            services                                                  vendors (e.g. tailored offers)                footprint

                                                                                                                                                                                © Statista Digital Market Outlook
   Trend signals       ›                                                                                                       ›
                            Expansion of same day delivery                       ›    Social content-driven commerce                Noticeable: Curated shopping players
                                                                                                                                    and inspirational platforms with high

        ?
                            availability will increase impulse buying                 through platforms like WeChat
                                                                                                                                    social media activity are on the rise
                                                                                                                               ›    Zalando will become the most relevant
                                                                                                                                    online fashion marketplace

1: Only sales of commercial vendors are in scope of the Digital Market Outlook
2: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate/ average growth rate per year                                                                                                        8
Source: Digital Market Outlook 2016
FASHION – 2ND HIGHEST GROWTH SEGMENT
Fashion global segment size and growth rates

Global1 e-Commerce Revenue                                                       CAGR2 16 – 21
in million US$ by segment

                                                                                   +12.3% p.a.
                                                                     2,108,142

                                                                     440,732        +11.8% p.a.

                                                                     342,884        +11.5% p.a.
                                                    1,179,248
             e-Commerce                                              218,358
                                                      252,757                       +15.8% p.a.
     Toys, Hobby & DIY :
                                                      199,040        472,626
 Furniture & Appliances:
                                                      104,682                       +10.2% p.a.
  Food & Personal Care:

                                                                                                      © Statista Digital Market Outlook
    Electronics & Media:                              290,622
                                                                     633,542
                  Fashion:                                                          +13.8% p.a.
                                                      332,147

                                                       2016            2021

1: Only includes countries listed in the Digital Market Outlook
2: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate/ average growth rate per year                                9
Source: Digital Market Outlook 2016
TOP PLAYER: ZALANDO
Company profile
Availability                                            Background
                                                         Zalando,    headquartered     in     In 2014, Zalando made one of
                                                         Berlin, was founded in 2008 and      the most significant IPOs in the
                                                         has now become a major player        history of European internet
                                                         in the European online fashion       companies when it was valued at
                                                         business.                            US$6.7 billion.
                                                         Inspired by U.S. online retailer     Following a very aggressive
                                                         Zappos, the German venture           growth strategy, the company
                                                         builder Rocket Internet started      became profitable in 2014 for
                                                         the company with a strong focus      the first time and has had
                                                         on footwear, before expanding        extraordinary  success  since
                                                         the product range to include         then.
                                                         clothing and accessories.

Facts                                                   Analyst opinion
              Active customers       17.9m (2015)        Through aggressive marketing         As Zalando still owns all
                                                         Zalando pursued their primary        customer touchpoints, they are
                        Revenue      €2,958.2m (2015)    goal to become the largest           able to use this data to further
                                                         online fashion retailer in Europe.   improve their business.
                              EBIT   €89.6m (2015)       Now Zalando focuses on brands        With several smart acquisitions

                                                                                                                                   © Statista Digital Market Outlook
                                                         and develops a marketplace,          (e.g. Tradebyte, Metrigo) Zalando
                      employees      9,987 (2015)        which might be the only area         additionally     underlines    its
                                                         Amazon is not dominating.            capabilities in using customer
                Average basket       €67.8 (2015)                                             data to boost the business in
                                                         The opportunity for brands is to
                                                                                              areas such as mobile commerce,
                                                         reach a wide range of customers
     # of orders per customer                                                                 personalized advertising and
                                     3.1 (2015)          and to gain customer insights.
                                                                                              social media.

                                                                                                                             10
Source: Company Information 2016
PLAYER KPI COMPARISON: ZALANDO VS. ASOS
Zalando’s aggressive growth strategy outpaces organically growing Asos

  Revenue in million €                                                  Zalando                            ›
                                                                                     Marketing spending as Country  with
                                                                                                           percentage     the second
                                                                                                                      of revenues        highest               Zalando
                                                                                                                revenue (US$ 56.3 billion in 2016)
                                                                        Asos                26.7%
                                                                                                           ›     Within the fashion market, clothes            Asos
 4,000                                                                                                         22.6%
                                                                                                                 generate the majority of revenue,
                                                                     2,958                                       about 67%17.5%
                                                                                                                            in 2016
 3,000
                                                     2,214                                                                            13.3%
                                       1,762                                                                                                         11.2%
 2,000                                                                       1,409
                         1,159                               1,211
                                               906                                                                             5.3%           5.7%           5.0%
 1,000     510                   704                                                                4.1%            3.6%
                 466

      0
             2011           2012          2013          2014            2015                   2011              2012        2013        2014          2015

  Year-over-Year Revenue Growth                                                         EBIT Margin in percent

  3       231%

  2                                                                                            4.1%                           5.3%        5.7%          5.0%
                         127%                                                                                     3.6%

                                                                                                                                                                           © Statista Digital Market Outlook
  1                                     52%
                                                       26%              31%
                                                                                                                                          2.8%          3.0%
  0       49%             41%           35%            27%                                                       -7.2%       -6.5%
                                                                        18%
 -1                                                                                           -11.6%
          2011           2012           2013           2014            2015                    2011               2012        2013        2014          2015

Source: Company Information 2016                                                                                                                                      11
TREND: CURATED FASHION & STYLING SERVICES
Remote personal stylists recommend and package individual outfits
                                 Background

  Curated       shopping     players   traditional fashion e-Commerce
  address people who have no           experience without generating
  time or desire for shopping or       high overhead costs. Though it is
  the    latest    fashion   trends.   a niche segment, recent fundings
  Personal stylists pick complete      and acquisitions of players like
  outfits including shoes and          Trunk     Club,    Outfittery   or
  accessories based on a short         Modomoto as well as market
  survey of personal preferences.      entries from players like Zalando
  Curated shopping         therefore   (Zalon) underline the rising
  adds a service component to the      potential of this shopping trend.

                                                                            HQ: Chicago (USA)
                                                                            Founded: 2009
                                                                            Funding: US$12.4m
                                                                            Aquired by Nordstrom (US$350m in 2014)

                                                                            HQ: Berlin (Germany)
                                                                            Founded: 2012
                                                                            Funding: US$59.8m

                                                                                                                          © Statista Digital Market Outlook
                                                                            HQ: Berlin (Germany)
                                                                            Founded: 2011
                                                                            Funding: n.a.
                                                                            Acquired The Cloakroom in 2016

Source: Company Website, Crunchbase                                                                                  12
FASHION REVENUE STREAMS
Market Structure and definition
Segment       Sub-segments                                                                     Out of segment
                                                                                                 Outdoor and sports
                                                                                                clothing, sports shoes
                             Includes digital sale of almost all types of clothing
                             articles (e.g. t-shirts, coats, pants, underwear). The main        This type of clothing and shoes
              Clothing       sales channels in this market segment are multi-brand              that have a special purpose
                             merchants (e.g. Asos, Nordstrom) and online shops of               are subsumed in the category
                             individual fashion retailers (e.g. Zara).                          “Sports & Outdoor”.

                                                                                                Toddler and baby clothes

                                                                                                This kind of clothing can be
                             This segment includes all types of shoes (e.g. casual              found in the segment “Toys &
                             shoes, slippers, etc.) - with the exception of sports shoes        Baby”.
                             – as well as shoe accessories and care products. The
Fashion       Shoes          main distribution channels in this market segment are
                             multi-brand merchants (e.g. Asos, Zappos) and online
                                                                                                reCommerce
                             shops of individual shoe retailers (e.g. Clarks).
                                                                                                The resale of used, defective
                                                                                                or repaired goods is not
                                                                                                included.
                             This segment contains various types of bags and
                             accessories. Included are for example, leather bags,

                                                                                                                                  © Statista Digital Market Outlook
                             suitcases and purses, jewelry, hats, scarves, and gloves,
              Bags &                                                                            Consumer-to-Consumer
                             among others. The main sales channels in this market
              Accessories    segment are online fashion retailers (e.g. Asos, Zalando,          Sales between private persons
                             Nordstrom) or dedicated luggage retailers such as                  (e.g. via Craigslist) are not
                             eBags.                                                             included.

                                       In scope                Other segment               Out of scope                     13
ABOUT DIGITAL MARKET OUTLOOK

9 Markets, 34 segments & 85 sub-segments                                                                  Details
    Digital Media                                          Connected Car                                  ›   50 countries
    Video-on-Demand, Digital Music,                        Connected Hardware, Vehicle Services,
    Video Games, ePublishing                               Infotainment Services                          ›   Direct access & downloads
                                                                                                          ›   7-Year coverage: 2015 – 2021
    FinTech                                                                                               ›   Revenue forecasts
    Digital Payments, Business Finance,
                                                           Smart Home
    Personal Finance
                                                           Home Automation, Security, Home
                                                           Entertainment, Ambient Assisted Living,
    eTravel                                                Energy Management
    Online Travel Booking, Mobility Services

                                                           e-Commerce
                                                                                                          ›   User count & penetration
    eServices                                              Fashion, Electronics & Media, Food &
                                                           Personal Care, Furniture & Appliances, Toys,
    Event Tickets, Fitness, Dating Services,               Hobby & DIY
    Food Delivery

    eHealth                                                 Digital Advertising
    Diabetes, Hypertension, Heart Failure                   Banner Ads, Video Ads, Search Ads,
                                                            Social Media Ads, Classifieds                 ›   Comparable data

                                                                                                                                                  © Statista Digital Market Outlook
                            Exclusive part of the Statista Corporate Account

    Access to more than 1,000,000 statistics and all digital markets
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IMPRINT
Contacts and author

                            Tobias Bohnhoff
                            Managing Analyst
                            Tobias Bohnhoff studied Geography and Innovation Management.
                            He gathered deep knowledge of digital transformation processes
                            and innovative business models in numerous research and                                              E-MAIL
                            consulting projects before he started to build up the Digital Market                                 tobias.bohnhoff@statista.com
                            Outlook team at Statista.
                                                                                                                                 WEB
                                                                                                                                 statista.com/outlook

Released: September 2016

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This study is based on survey and research data of the previously mentioned sources. The forecasts and market analysis presented were researched and prepared by Statista with great
care.

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