EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE

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EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE
EUROPEAN
TECH
INSIGHTS
2021
  Part II
  Embracing and Governing
  Technological Disruption
EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE
INSTITUTIONAL REMARKS

There has always existed an interplay between human-      On the other hand, there has been a decline in trust of    Indeed, this was the catalyst for the creation of the
kind and technology’s promise to improve our lives.       democracy and an increase in political polarization.       Center for the Governance of Change. Through the
Seldom, and certainly not in modern times, has the        Europeans are increasingly seeing that this is made        Center, we are researching precisely how emerging
adoption of technology accelerated as quickly as it has   worse by social media and are, in general, feeling more    technologies are reshaping the world and, more
with the Covid-19 pandemic.                               negatively towards the Big Tech companies. This is in      importantly, how to govern this change in areas from
                                                          part because geopolitical conflict accompanied our         geopolitics and data privacy to economics. This is in
                                                          migration to the digital domain. It now threatens to       line with IE University’s broader goal to reinvent
IN THE PAST YEAR,                                         splinter the internet, and to disrupt supply chains and    higher education through technological change.
THE LION’S SHARE OF WORK                                  companies.
                                                                                                                     We are thrilled to present you with this year’s European
AND SOCIAL INTERACTIONS
                                                          Whilst the relevance of technology and the digital         Tech Insights and its focus on what we as humans can
HAS GONE DIGITAL AND                                      domain is increasing at an exponential rate, much          delegate to robots and AI, how to handle the geo-
THUS TECHNOLOGIES HAVE                                    remains unregulated. The digital economy relies on         political conflict over technology, and the ways in
                                                          the wholesale of private data; the digital discussion is   which technology can strengthen our democracy. It is
PERMEATED THE FABRIC OF
                                                          filtered through algorithms that do not favor veracity     our hope that this report will encourage you to join the
EVERYDAY LIFE.                                            and reason; and the geopolitical conflict is lacking new   discussion on how rapid technological change can be
                                                          governance solution.                                       governed for the benefit of society.

                                                                                                                                                                                 EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
This has created both immense opportunities and
complex challenges. On one hand, citizens are now able    We have before us a unique opportunity, thanks to
to engage with the world from their living rooms and      technological development, to improve our lives,                                   Diego del Alcázar Benjumea
have access to an unprecedented breadth of knowledge.     societies, and the international system. The question        Vice President of IE University, Co-chair of the Center
Technology is revolutionizing healthcare in areas such    is: what should be done? This is the key motivation                                  for the Governance of Change.
as diagnosis and vaccine production. In the case of       behind our annual report, European Tech Insights,
tedious and dangerous tasks, we have been able to         which investigates how citizens see their relationship                                            Susana Malcorra
substitute humans with robots, and algorithms for our     with technology and how we can actively shape the                  Dean of the School of Global and Public Affairs,
advanced computation.                                     future accordingly.                                          Co-chair of the Center for the Governance of Change.
                                                                                                                                                                                      2
EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE
TABLE OF CONTENTS

                                                  THE REGULATION

                                                                   EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
THE GEOPOLITICS   DEMOCRACY IN      EMBRACING
OF TECHNOLOGY     THE DIGITAL AGE   TECHNOLOGY?   OF BIG TECH
p. 5              p. 8              p. 12         p. 17

                                                                        3
EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE
KEY FINDINGS

                                  A vast majority of Europeans want democracy to go digital.                               There is a strong and broad support for the introduction
                                 72% would prefer to vote via their smartphones                                            of a “tech tax” with 65% of citizens in favor and
                                     rather than physically, and only 17% are against.                                                        15% against.

                                                                                               The perception of Google, Amazon, Facebook and Apple has

  Over 50% of Europeans support replacing their                                                  deteriorated notably over the last year: only Germany

 parliamentarians with algorithms. Younger generations                                             supported breaking them up last year. Today   all
 particularly support this, with 60% of 25–34 year olds in favor.
                                                                                               European countries except Italy and Poland
                                                                                               are in favor of limiting the power of Tech giants.

                                                                                                                            The vast majority of Europeans (86%) believes
                                    42% of Europeans support the use of facial                                             digital addiction is a problem. This view is in particular
                                     technology in their daily lives if it makes them
                                                                                                                           strong among the younger generations that use smartphones
                                                       more convenient.
                                                                                                                                                   more heavily.
EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE
1
THE GEOPOLITICS
OF TECHNOLOGY

                  EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                       5
EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE
FI N D I N G 1 — G EO P O LITI C S O F EU RO P E                                                                        Q U E S TI O N :

Over the course of the last years, we have seen an escalating power competition between the US and                      There is increasing confrontation between the US
                                                                                                                        and China, who are competing for economic and
China in the economic and technological fields. Having to pick sides, Europeans firmly support the US
                                                                                                                        technological dominance. Who would you prefer
(47%) rather than China (12%). Europe is also the preferred partner for both American (73%) and Chinese (64%)           Europe to side with?
respondents. However, there are notable differences among European states: while over 50% of Polish, Italian and
Estonian prefer to side with the US, only about a third of the citizens of EU’s largest states like Germany side with
the transatlantic partner.

12%                                                47 %
With China                                With the US                                                                          With the US
                                                               POL AND       60%                33%      7%

                                                                                                                               With China
                                                                  I TA LY     55%               33%       12%
                                                                                                                               I don’t know

                                                              E S TO N I A    53%               35%        12%
                                                                                                                        3%                                          73 %
                                                                                                                        With China                            With the EU
                                                                      UK     51%                42%        7%

                  EU RO PE A N                                                                                          24%
                   AV E R AG E                                 SWEDEN         49%               38%        13%          I don’t know            USI N
                                                                                                                                               CH   AA

                                                                                                                                                                            EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                                                          NETHERL ANDS        48%               38%           14%

                                                                                                                        5%                                          64 %
                                                                 S PA I N      41%              39%            20%
                                                                                                                        With the US                           With the EU

                                                               FR ANCE       37%                55%              8%     31%
 41%                                                                                                                    I don’t know           CH I N A

 I don’t know                                                GERMANY          35%               53%              12%

                                                                                                                                                                                6
EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE
FI N D I N G 2 — CO N FLI C T OV E R 5 G                                                                                                Q U E S TI O N :

Even though a number of European countries have banned Huawei from providing 5G, a majority of Europeans                                Some European governments are concerned about the
                                                                                                                                        involvement of Chinese companies (like Huawei) in
(41%) are against banning Chinese companies from their telecommunications networks. Only Sweden (48%),
                                                                                                                                        their 5G networks due to possible Chinese government
UK (43%) and France (38%) do not want Chinese companies getting involved in their 5G, while 56% of Italians and                         surveillance. However, these companies could also
                                                                                                                                        help lower prices for mobile users. Should European
52% of Spaniards do not think they should be banned. By contrast, 68% of Chinese respondents think Europeans should
                                                                                                                                        governments ban Chinese companies from their
be allowed to help build their network.                                                                                                 telecommunications networks?

               SWEDEN             48%                28%   24%                                CH I N E S E AV E R AG E
                                                                                             68%
                                                                                                                                               Yes
                       UK          43%               31%    26%

                                                                                                                                               No
                FR ANCE              38%             30%     32%
                                                                                                                                               I don’t know

                POL AND                    37%       16%     47%

                                                                                                      24%
       NETHERL ANDS                     35%          25%     40%

                                                                                                                8%
               E S TO N I A                34%       20%     46%

                                                                                                                                                                                               EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
              GERMANY                      28%       26%          46%

                                                                                   Q U E S TI O N :
                    I TA LY                    25%   19%          56%
                                                                                   Some European governments are concerned about the
                   S PA I N                 17%      31%            52%            involvement of Chinese companies (like Huawei) in
                                                                                   their 5G networks and are discussing banning them.
                                                                                   Do you think European providers should be allowed
E U R O P E A N AV E R AG E              34%         25%     41%
                                                                                   to help build the 5G network in China?)
                                                                                                                                                                                                   7
EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE
2
DEMOCRACY IN
THE DIGITAL AGE

                  EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                      8
EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE
FI N D I N G 3 — D I G ITA L D E M O CR AC Y                                                                                                Q U E S TI O N :

A vast majority of Europeans (72%) would like to be able to vote in elections through their smartphone,                                     If voting in elections via internet was 100% secure,
                                                                                                                                            would you be willing to vote on your smartphone
while only 17% would oppose it. Strongest support is found in Poland (80%), Estonia (79%), Italy (78%) and Spain
                                                                                                                                            instead of physically?
(73%). Similar numbers are found in the United States, where 58% support the idea and only 22% is opposed to it. In
China, an overwhelming majority (81%) support smartphone voting.

                                                                     % in favor of voting on their smartphone
11%                                            72 %
I don’t know                                    Yes       POLAND                                                                 80%               Yes

                                                          ESTONIA                                                                79%               No

                                                                                                                                                   I don’t know
                                                             ITALY                                                           78%

17%                                                         SPAIN                                                       73%                 20%                                            58%
No                                                                                                                                          I don’t know                                     Yes
                                                         GERMANY                                                      69%
                     EU RO PE A N
                      AV E R AG E                     NETHERLANDS                                                     69%                   22%                       USI N
                                                                                                                                                                     CH   AA

                                                                                                                                                                                                   EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                                                                                                                                            No
                                                          FRANCE                                                   68%

                                                          SWEDEN                                                 65%                        4% I don’t know

                                                                                                                                            15% No
                                                               UK                                                64%
                                                                                                                                                                                            81%
                                                                                                                                                                     CH I N A                Yes
                                                                     0     10       20      30      40      50   60         70         80

                                                                                                                                                                                                       9
EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021 - Embracing and Governing Technological Disruption - IE
FI N D I N G 4 — A I A N D D E M O CR AC Y                                                                                                               Q U E S TI O N :

51% of Europeans support reducing the number of national parliamentarians and giving those seats to an                                                   How would you feel about reducing the number of
                                                                                                                                                         national parliamentarians in your country and giving
algorithm. This proposal is particularly popular in Spain (66%), Italy (59%) and Estonia (56%), whilst the citizens
                                                                                                                                                         those seats to an artificial intelligence algorithm
of Germany, the Netherlands, the UK and Sweden are mostly against. The results vary significantly by generation,                                         that would have access to your data to maximise your
with the younger ones being more open to the idea: over 60% of Europeans aged 25-34 and 56% of those aged 34-44                                          interests?

are excited about this measure, whereas a majority of respondents above 55 years old is against. China and the US
hold opposite views: 75% of the Chinese support it, 60% of Americans oppose it.

                       EU RO PE A N AV E R AG E

           50                                                   S PA I N          34%                     32%        15%         19%
                           16%                                                                                                                                  Strongly in favor.
                                       23%
                                                                 I TA LY            29%                       30%     24%              17%
           40                                                                                                                                                   Somewhat in favor.

                                                             E S TO N I A         10%                   46%                31%           13%                    Somewhat against.
           30
                           35%
                                                              POL AND               20%                   35%              30%           15%                    Strongly against.
                                       26%
           20
                                                              FR ANCE                   18%               34%          26%              22%

            10                                                SWEDEN                    10%              37%          24%                29%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                                                            GERMANY                       15%                 31%          30%               24%
            0

                                                         NETHERL ANDS                    6%              38%           27%                   29%
1 8 –24          10%      37%         33%          20%
2 5 –3 4   18%           42%        22%      18%                     UK                            4%          27%         29%                     40%
35–44       18%          38%        27%       17%
45–54            16%       32%       27%       25%                 USA                        8%              32%      25%                   35%
55–64             14%      29%      25%        32%
                                                                CHINA       15%                 60%                   20%        5%
   >64            20%      27%      26%        27%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                10
FI N D I N G 5 — I M PROV I N G D E M O CR AC Y                                                                                                                                                  Q U E S TI O N :

                        Both Europeans and Americans agree that ending corruption is the most important step to restore trust                                                                                            Data suggest that satisfaction with democracy has
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         declined the last decades. What would be the most
                        in democracy. In aggregate, Europeans also think improving welfare is critical and place it as the second most
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         important step to improve your belief in democracy?
                        important action, while “electing a strong leader” comes as the last priority. Only Sweden believes improving
                        welfare is more important than putting an end to corruption. Holding online referendums for important policy
                        decisions is also the second preferred option for French and German respondents.

                                                                                                                 1.
                                              EU RO PE A N                                                                                                                                                                      Putting an end to corruption.
                                               AV E R AG E
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Improving welfare.
                         2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Reforming the electoral system.
                                                                                                                 2.
                                   Putting an end to corruption.                                                                                                                                                                Holding online popular votes for important policy decisions.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Electing a strong leader.
                                                                                         Most preferred choice

                                                                                                                 3.
                        2,5
Most preferred choice

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                              Improving                                                                          4.
                              welfare.                     Reforming the
                                                           electoral system.
                         3

                                                                                                                 5.

                                 Holding online popular votes for
                                     important policy decisions.

                        3,5
                                                             Electing a strong leader.                                ESTONIA   FR ANCE   GERMANY   ITALY   POL AND   NETHERL ANDS   SPAIN   SWEDEN   UK   USA   CHINA

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                11
3
                                   EMBRACING
                                   TECHNOLOGY?

12

     EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
FI N D I N G 6 — RO BOT S A N D H U M A N S                                                                                                Q U E S TI O N :

   More than a third of Europeans (35%) prefer to have a package delivered by a robot rather than a                                           In the following situations, would you rather interact
                                                                                                                                              with a human or a robot?
   human. The view is strongest in Estonia (78%), Poland (43%) and Sweden (38%). Europeans prefer to interact with
   humans when ordering food except 30% of the Dutch, who would prefer a robot. However, few respondents trust
   robots to drive them home (15%) or perform a medical test (8%). Americans hold similar views, with 38% of them
   preferring to deal with robots when receiving packages and 25% when ordering food. In China, a majority of citizens
   would prefer to deal with a robot when ordering food (56%) and receiving a package (53%).

                                  R E C E I V E A PAC K AG E                                    ORDER FOOD IN A CAFETERIA

     FR ANCE                                 17%                      83%         FR ANCE                      13%                      87%
                                                                                                                                                  Robot
        S PA I N                         22%                      78%               S PA I N                   14%                      86%
             UK                         23%                       77%                    UK                    16%                      84%
                                        28%                      72%                                          20%                      80%        Human
   GERMANY                                                                        POL AND
         I TA LY                       29%                       71%             E S TO N I A                 21%                      79%
NETHERL ANDS                           29%                       71%            GERMANY                       21%                      79%
     SWEDEN                        38%                          62%                  I TA LY                  21%                      79%
     POL AND                      43%                      57%                    SWEDEN                      22%                      78%
     E S TO N I A          78%                      22%                      NETHERL ANDS                30%                      70%

     EUROPE                            34%                      66%               EUROPE                      20%                      80%
           USA                     38%                      62%                        USA                25%                      75%
        CHINA                    53%                      47%                       CHINA          56%                     44%

                                  TA K E A TA X I H O M E                                       H AV E A M E D I C A L T E S T

                                                                                                                                                                                                       EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
     FR ANCE                                  10%                      90%      GERMANY                   2%                           98%
NETHERL ANDS                                 12%                      88%         FR ANCE                4%                            96%
             UK                              12%                      88%                UK              4%                            96%
   GERMANY                                   13%                      87%           S PA I N             5%                            95%
         I TA LY                             14%                      86%        E S TO N I A                 7%                   93%
        S PA I N                             14%                      86%            I TA LY                  8%                   92%
     POL AND                                 16%                      84%    NETHERL ANDS                 10%                      90%
     SWEDEN                              21%                      79%             SWEDEN                 15%                      85%
     E S TO N I A                       27%                      73%              POL AND                19%                     81%

     EUROPE                                  15%                      85%         EUROPE                      8%                   92%
           USA                           21%                      79%                  USA                    7%                   93%
        CHINA                           25%                      75%                CHINA              23%                       77%
                                                                                                                                                                                                       13
FI N D I N G 7 — A I A N D H U M A N S                                                                                                                                                               Q U E S TI O N :

     One third of Europeans would prefer to have an AI rather than a civil servant make a decision on their                                                                                               Artificial Intelligence (AI) can make data-driven deci-
                                                                                                                                                                                                          sions with accuracy often surpassing humans. Would
     social welfare payments or approving their visa. One quarter of Europeans also trust AI more than humans
                                                                                                                                                                                                          you rather have a human or Artificial Intelligence make
     when it comes to negotiating and granting mortgage loans. The strongest trust in AI is seen in Estonia, Italy                                                                                        a decision on:
     and Spain: up to 41% of Spaniards and 37% of Italians and Estonians favor AI making a decision on their social
     welfare payments and 45% of Estonians, 37% of Spaniards and 35% of Italians prefer trust AI when applying for a
     visa for working in a foreign country.

                   A P P R OV I N G YO U R S O C I A L W E L FA R E PAY M E N T S            A P P R OV I N G YO U R V I S A F O R WO R K I N G I N A F O R E I G N CO U N T RY

          UK                         22%                       78%                              UK                      24%                     76%
NETHERL ANDS                         22%                       78%                       FR ANCE                        27%                     73%
     FR ANCE                         24%                     76%                       GERMANY                         29%                      71%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      AI
   GERMANY                           24%                     76%                    NETHERL ANDS                       29%                      71%
     POL AND                       31%                     69%                           SWEDEN                      32%                     68%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Human
    SWEDEN                         32%                     68%                           POL AND                     34%                     66%
    E S TO N I A                37%                     63%                                  I TA LY                 35%                    65%
        I TA LY                 37%                     63%                                S PA I N                 37%                     63%
       S PA I N                41%                     59%                              E S TO N I A              45%                     55%

     EUROPE                        30%                     70%                           EUROPE                      33%                     66%
          USA                      30%                     70%                                USA                    35%                    65%
       CHINA                 49%                     51%                                   CHINA                  45%                     55%

                       YO U R M E D I C A L D I AG N O S I S                                            G R A N T I N G YO U R M O R TG AG E LOA N                                            YO U R B A I L I N A CO U R T R U L I N G

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
            UK                        5%                           95%                   FR ANCE                           15%                     85%                                                          10%                   90%
                                                                                                                                                                                       UK
     FR ANCE                               8%                     92%                            UK                      20%                     80%                                                         13%                     87%
                                                                                                                                                                             NETHERL ANDS
        I TA LY                           9%                     91%                         I TA LY                    22%                      78%                              FR ANCE                   16%                      84%
   GERMANY                               12%                     88%                NETHERL ANDS                        23%                      77%                                 S PA I N              19%                      81%
NETHERL ANDS                             12%                     88%                    GERMANY                         24%                     76%                                   I TA LY              20%                     80%
       S PA I N                          12%                     88%                        S PA I N                    25%                     75%                               GERMANY                 23%                      77%
    E S TO N I A                         14%                     86%                     POL AND                        28%                     72%                                POL AND                23%                      77%
     SWEDEN                           16%                      84%                       SWEDEN                        31%                     69%                                 E S TO N I A           26%                     74%
     POL AND                         20%                       80%                       E S TO N I A                35%                     65%                                   SWEDEN                 27%                     73%

     EUROPE                              12%                     88%                     EUROPE                         25%                     75%                                 EUROPE                 20%                     80%
          USA                         17%                      83%                             USA                      27%                     73%                                      USA                17%                     83%
       CHINA                       31%                     69%                              CHINA                49%                     51%                                          CHINA              27%                      73%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    14
FI N D I N G 8 — FACI A L RECO G N ITI O N                                                                            Q U E S TI O N :

A majority of Europeans (42%) support the use of facial technology for verifying the identity of citizens if          The use of facial recognition technology for verifying
                                                                                                                      the identity of a person is increasing around the world.
it makes their lives more convenient. We see increased support in countries such as Italy (56%), Sweden (47%) or
                                                                                                                      Would you support or oppose the use of facial recog-
The Netherlands (45%), however these numbers are far from China, where the use of facial recognition is massively     nition in your daily life if that meant not needing to
accepted (71%). In terms of gender, men (48%) are notably more willing than women (36%) to accept the use of the      carry access cards anymore (e.g., key cards, public
                                                                                                                      transportation passes or gym cards)?
technology in their daily lives, while the younger generations are more privacy-minded than the older ones.
A majority of those under 45 years old oppose the measure, while those above 65 years old approve it.

41%                                                42 %
                                                                                                                             I would support it because would be
I would oppose it                      I would support it           I TA LY    56%           16%         28%                 convenient.
because I don’t                        because would be
trust it or have                             convenient.                                                                     I would oppose it because I don’t trust it or
                                                                 SWEDEN         47%          18%          35%                have privacy concerns.
privacy concerns.

                                                            NETHERL ANDS             45%     14%           41%               I don’t know.

                                                                   S PA I N          42%     14%           44%

                                                                        UK       40%         23%               37%

                    EU RO PE A N                                E S TO N I A         40%     18%               42%
                     AV E R AG E

                                                                                                                                                                                 EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                                                                 POL AND              37%    16%               47%

                                                               GERMANY                 35%   15%                50%

                                                                 FR ANCE             35%     21%                44%

                                                                      USA            32%     28%                40%

                    17%
                                                                   CHINA       71%                 26%
                    I don’t know.
                                                                                              3%
                                                                                                                                                                                 15
FI N D I N G 9 A N D 1 0 — D I G ITA L A D D I C TI O N                                                                                      QUESTION:

An overwhelming majority of Europeans (86%) believe that digital addiction is a problem, however                                             #9: Some people argue that smartphone addiction is
                                                                                                                                             increasing. Do you feel that “digital addiction” is a
only 39% of them believe their smartphone hinders their productivity at work. There is an important
                                                                                                                                             problem?
generational gap, as a majority of the younger respondents (62% of the 18-24 years old group and 53% of
the 25-34 group) do believe their phones hinder their productivity, while more than 3/4 of those above 65 years                              #10: Do you think your smartphone hinders your
                                                                                                                                             productivity at work?
old disagree with the statement.

Some people argue that smartphone addiction is increasing.      Do you think your smartphone hinders your productivity at work?
Do you feel that “digital addiction” is a problem?
                                                                                                                                                     Strongly agree.
12%                                                     38%     34%                                                  11%
                                                                                                                                                     Somewhat agree.
Somewhat disagree.                            Strongly agree.   Somewhat disagree.                         Strongly agree.
                                                                                                                                                     Somewhat disagree.
3%
Strongly                                                                                                                                             Strongly disagree.
disagree.

                                                                                                                                             Do you think your smartphone hinders
                                                                                                                                             your productivity at work?
                         EU RO PE A N                                                   EU RO PE A N

                                                                                                                                                                                                     EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                          AV E R AG E                                                    AV E R AG E
                                                                                                                                  1 8 –24      23%            39%          25%    13%
                                                                                                                                  2 5 –3 4       14%          39%           34%     13%
                                                                                                                                  35–44            12%          35%         34%         19%
                                                                                                                                  45–54                    7%        23%    37%           33%
                                                                                                                                  55–64                     8% 20%         31%            41%
                                                                27%                                                  28%
                                                                                                                                     >64                        5%   18%    37%               40%
                                                                Strongly disagree.                       Somewhat agree.
                                     48%
                                     Somewhat agree.                                                                                                                                                 16
4
THE REGULATION
OF BIG TECH

                 EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                 17
FI N D I N G 11 — TECH TA X                                                                                                                                                                    Q U E S TI O N :

As international talks on global corporate tax unfold, Europeans massively support the adoption                                                                                                Some experts claim that Big Tech companies use
                                                                                                                                                                                               loopholes to avoid paying billions in taxes in European
of a tech tax (65% vs. 15%), with close to 70% of Germans, Italians, Spaniards and Dutch favoring of
                                                                                                                                                                                               countries. France has just adopted a “tech tax” on
such measure. Support for the tech tax grows with age: up to 78% of the oldest respondents (65+) approve                                                                                       technology companies who declare their profits abroad.
the measure, while only 52% of the youngest respondents (18-24) support it.                                                                                                                    Do you support such tax in your country?

                                                                                                                        Support for a tech tax

20%                                 65 %

                                                                                                NETHERL ANDS
I don’t know                         Yes                                                                                                                                                              Yes

                                                                                                                                                                                         >64
                                                                                GERMANY

                                                                                                                                                                                 55–64
                                                80

                                                              FRANCE
                                                      ITALY

                                                                       SPAIN
                                                                                                                                                                                                      No

                                                                                                                                                                                         78%
                                                                                                                                                                         45–54
                                                                                          UK

                                                                                                                                                                                 74%
                                                                                                               SWEDEN
                                                70

                                                                                                                         POL AND
                                                                                                                                                                                                      I don’t know

                                                      71%
                                                              70%
                                                                       70%

                                                                                                                                                                 35–44
                                                                               69%
                                                                                          69%
                                                                                                68%

                                                                                                                                                         25–34

                                                                                                                                                                         66%
                                                                                                                                   ESTONIA
                                                60

                                                                                                                                                 18–24

                                                                                                                                                                 60%
                                                                                                               60%
                                                                                                                        58%

                                                                                                                                                         57%
                                                50

                                                                                                                                                 52%
                                                                                                                                   50%
                   EU RO PE A N
                    AV E R AG E
                                                40

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                                                30

                                                20

15%                                             10

No
                                                 0
                                                                               COUNTRIES                                                                           AGE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         18
FI N D I N G 12 — REG U L ATI O N O F B I G TECH                                                                                            Q U E S TI O N :

The opinion of Europeans towards Big Tech companies deteriorated notably over the last year, when a wide                                    In your view, what should European governments do
                                                                                                                                            with the so called GAFA companies (Google, Apple,
majority of Europeans (46%) supported to help them grow as they create jobs and technologies. This year, most
                                                                                                                                            Facebook and Amazon)?
Europeans (42%) think that governments should limit the size of the GAFA companies or even de-escalate
them. Last year, Germany was the only European country in favor of limiting their size; today most European
countries surveyed want governments to limit them. In terms of age groups, younger generations are the most
supportive of Big Tech, with around 40% of those respondents under 35 years old in favor of their growth.

24%                                                          42%
I don’t know.

                                                                                                                      GERMANY
                                                        Limit their             32%   28%                 41%   32%             52%   41%

                                                                      ESTONIA
                                                                                                                                                   Limit their size and even deescalate them since

                                                                                            FRANCE
                                                     size and even                                                                                 they are bad for competitiveness and democracy.
                                                        deescalate              43%   53%                 31%   40%             23%   31%
                                                   them since they                                                                                 Support their growth because they create jobs and
                                                                                25%   19%                 28%   28%             25%   28%
                                                        are bad for                                                                                valuable technologies.
                                                   competitiveness
                           EU RO PE A N            and democracy.
34 %                        AV E R AG E                                                                                                            I don’t know.

                                                                                            POLAND
                                                                                30%   25%                 49%   25%             52%   31%

                                                                                                                      SPAIN
                                                                      ITALY
Support their
growth because                                                                  48%   54%                 32%   57%             27%   45%          Compared with 2020
they create jobs
                                                                                22%   21%                 19%   18%             21%   24%
and valuable
technologies.

                                                                                            NETHERLANDS

                                                                                                                                                                                                       EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                                                                      SWEDEN

                                                                                50%                       47%   32%             40%   30%
  AG E

                                                                                                                      UK
                                                                                24%                       28%   46%             30%   43%
1 8 –24              36%       23%          41%
                                                                                26%                       25%   22%             30%   27%
2 5 –3 4             34%       26%          40%
35–44               39%        24%         37%
45–54               40%        24%         36%                                  41%   24%                 23%   12%
                                                                                            CHINA
                                                                      USA

55–64              48%         28%        24%                                   25%   45%                 66%   71%
   >64             52%         22%        26%                                   34%   31%                 11%   17%

                                                                                                                                                                                                       19
FI N D I N G 13 — B I G TECH M O N O P O LI E S                                                                     Q U E S TI O N :

Europeans are overwhelmingly against Facebook becoming a private messaging behemoth.                                Facebook, who owns WhatsApp, Instagram and
                                                                                                                    Messenger, is planning to progressively integrate all
57% of respondents want governments to prevent Facebook’s merge of WhatsApp, Instagram and Messenger,
                                                                                                                    four apps. Some experts argue this would lead to a
while only 17% think they should allow it. Americans hold similar views, as 58% are against the integration         monopoly on messenger-services and present privacy
and only 12% support the apps merging. Strongest opposition is seen in the Netherlands (68%), Germany               issues since personal data would become assimilated
                                                                                                                    across all four apps. Do you think governments should:
and UK (64%), Spain (62%) and France (61%).

26%                                                    57 %    NETHERL ANDS        68%          18%   14%
I don’t know.                          Prevent Facebook from                                                               Prevent Facebook from merging the apps.
                                           merging the apps.               UK     64%           23%   13%
                                                                                                                           Allow Facebook to merge the apps.
                                                                  GERMANY         64%           23%   13%

                                                                                                                           I don’t know.
                                                                      S PA I N    62%           29%    9%

                                                                    FR ANCE              61%    11%    28%

                                                                    SWEDEN          54%         25%         21%
                        EU RO PE A N
                         AV E R AG E

                                                                                                                                                                             EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                                                                    POL AND         52%         26%         22%

                                                                       I TA LY          47%     27%          26%

                                                                   E S TO N I A         41%     32%           27%

                                                                         USA      58%           30%     12%
17%
Allow Facebook to merge the apps.                                     CHINA               48%   15%          37%

                                                                                                                                                                             20
FI N D I N G 14 — ECO M M E RCE PL ATFO RM S                                                                                   Q U E S TI O N :

A majority of Europeans (50%) believe Amazon is harming small businesses and local shops:                                      Do you think Amazon is helping or harming small
                                                                                                                               businesses and local shops?
all European countries surveyed hold this view, except Italy and Estonia. Up to 70% of Spaniards,
64% of Germans, and 57% of Dutch believe the tech giant is harming local businesses. Similarly,
47% of respondents from the USA feel the same way.

20%                                                     50%
I don’t know.                                     It’s harming                                                                        It’s harming them because it discourages people
                                                them because                                                                          from buying locally.
                                                                        S PA I N    70%               13%   17%
                                                it discourages
                                                   people from                                                                        It’s helping them because it allows them to sell
                                               buying locally.                                                                        through Amazon.
                                                                    GERMANY          64%              13%    23%
30 %                 EU RO PE A N
It’s helping          AV E R AG E                                                                                                     I don’t know.
                                                                 NETHERL ANDS        57%              19%     24%
them because
it allows them
to sell through
                                                                             UK           50%         17%         33%
Amazon.

                                                                      SWEDEN              48%         20%          32%

                                                                                                                                                                                         EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
23%                                                     47%
                                                                      FR ANCE              44%        17%          39%
I don’t know.                                     It’s harming
                                                them because
                                                it discourages        POL AND             43%         25%           32%
                                                   people from
29%                   EUROPE AN
                                               buying locally.
                          USA
                       AV E R AG E
It’s helping                                                             I TA LY                41%   9%            50%
them because
it allows them
to sell through                                                      E S TO N I A         32%         33%                35%
Amazon.

                                                                                                                                                                                         21
FI N D I N G 1 5 — ECO M M E RCE PL ATFO RM S                                                                          Q U E S TI O N :

    Although a majority of Europeans believe Amazon is harming local businesses, up to 64% of British                      On average, are you more likely to buy the following
                                                                                                                           items on e-commerce platforms, such as Amazon, or
    respondents, 48% of Germans and 47% of Italians prefer to buy their books via their platform instead
                                                                                                                           in a physical store?
    of going to a physical store. Likewise, 43% of Europeans buy their electronics online instead of going in person
    to a shop, with up to 65% of Italians, 59% of Brits and 56% of Spaniards doing so. American respondents too
    prefer to buy books and electronics on Amazon instead of physically (56%).

                                       BOOKS                                                    ELECTRONICS

            UK          64%                    36%                       I TA LY    65%                  35%
                                                                                                                                  Amazon
   GERMANY                 48%                   52%                         UK     59%                   41%
                                                                                                                                   Store
        I TA LY             47%                  53%                    S PA I N     56%                      44%

     FR ANCE                    36%                   64%           GERMANY           50%                     50%

       S PA I N                 35%                   65%            E S TO N I A          37%                  63%

     SWEDEN                     33%                   67%             FR ANCE              36%                      64%

NETHERL ANDS                     30%                  70%        NETHERL ANDS               30%                     70%

                                                                                                                                                                                  EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
    E S TO N I A                  25%                  75%            SWEDEN                27%                      73%

     POL AND                          17%                  83%        POL AND               26%                      74%

     EUROPE                     37%                  63%              EUROPE              43%                   57%

            US            56%                   44%                          US      56%                      44%

                                                                                                                                                                                  22
SURVEY                                                     ESTONIA
METHODOLOGY                                                FRANCE
                                                           GERMANY
                                                           ITALY
European Tech Insights 2021 was fielded in January 2021.
The data was received in February and analyzed by the
                                                           NETHERLANDS
IE Center for the Governance of Change in February and     POLAND
March 2021. We surveyed 2,769 adults from 11 countries
(Estonia, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Poland,     SPAIN
Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom, China and the United
States). Samples were representative in terms of age and   SWEDEN
                                                           UK
sex.

Respondents were part of recurrent panels recruited by
Netquest or affiliated companies into panels via social
                                                           CHINA
media, direct mailing or through referrals from other
respondents. They receive small in-kind incentives for
                                                           USA
responding to each survey.

                                                                                                        202 1
                                                                                            INS I GHT S2021
                                                           2,769

                                                                                     TE CH INSIGHTS
                                                           RESPONDENTS

                                                                            ROP E AN TECH
                                                                         EUROPEAN
                                                                         EU
                                                                         23
AUTHORS

Oscar Jonsson,                                               Carlos Luca de Tena,
Academic Director                                            Head of Operations

Oscar Jonsson is the Academic Director for the Center        Carlos Luca de Tena is a public policy professional who
for the Governance of Change. He holds a PhD from            has advised international organisations and top multi-
the Department of War Studies at King’s College              national companies in public affairs, mostly in the field
London. He has been Director of the Stockholm Free           of digital economy. He is the Head of Operations of
World Forum, a visiting researcher at UC Berkeley and        the Center for the Governance of Change. Carlos has
a subject-matter expert at the Swedish Armed Forces          worked as a Consultant at Llorente & Cuenca and
Headquarters. Oscar has advised governments, armed           APCO Worldwide and was in charge of European Affairs
forces’ leadership and financial institutions on strategic   at the French Association of Town Mayors.
affairs and geopolitical risk, and featured in inter-
national print and broadcast media.                          Carlos holds a master’s degree in European Affairs
                                                             from Sciences Po Paris and the University of Bath and
Oscar’s research focuses on the impact of emerging           studied as an undergraduate at Sciences Po Paris,

                                                                                                                                                  2021
                                                                                                                                        INSIGHTS 2021
technologies on modern statecraft and conflict, and          Universidad Carlos III de Madrid and the London

                                                                                                                                  TECH INSIGHTS
in particular Russian modern warfare. He is the author       School of Economics.
of The Russian Understanding of War (Georgetown
University Press) which is on the Commander of US

                                                                                                                         EUROPEAN TECH
Special Forces’ reading list for 2020 and finalist for

                                                                                                                         EUROPEAN
the Association of American Publisher’s award for
scholarly and professional excellence in social sciences
2020.

                                                                                                                         24
ABOUT
          This study was conducted by the IE Center for the Governance         Moreover, the CGC also runs a number of executive programs
          of Change (CGC), an applied-research, educational institution        on emerging tech for public institutions and companies inter-

THE CGC
          that studies the political, economic, and societal implications of   ested in expanding their understanding of disruptive trends, and
          the current technological revolution and advances solutions to       a series of outreach activities aimed at improving the general
          overcome its unwanted effects.                                       public’s awareness and agency over the coming changes. All this

                                                                                                                                                  EUROPEAN TECH INSIGHTS 2021
                                                                               for one purpose:
          The CGC does so by producing pioneering, impact-oriented
          research that cuts across disciplines and methodologies to unveil
                                                                               TO HELP BUILD A MORE
          the complexity of emerging technologies such as artificial intel-
          ligence, big data, blockchain, and robotics, and explores their      PROSPEROUS AND SUSTAINABLE
          potential threats and contributions to society.                      SOCIETY FOR ALL.

                                                                                                                                                  25
WWW.IE.EDU/CGC
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