Evaluation of Fragile Forest Ecosystem of Uttarakhand and Assessment of Associated Disaster

 
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Evaluation of Fragile Forest Ecosystem of Uttarakhand and Assessment of Associated Disaster
Scientific Society of Advanced Research and Social Change

                                          SSARSC International Journal of Geo Science and Geo Informatics
                                                                                          ISSN 2348-6198
                                                                            Volume 1 Issue 1, March 2014

          Evaluation of Fragile Forest Ecosystem of Uttarakhand and
                      Assessment of Associated Disaster
                                                    Tajinder Kaur

     IT Cell, Office of PCCF, Uttarakhand Forest Department, 85, Rajpur Road, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, India

                                             Email: taji.ahuja1@gmail.com

Abstract: The flash flooding in the northern Indian          and magnitude of landslides since 1970[1]. Landslides
state of Uttarakhand devastated the region with deadly       may occur as a consequence of a number of
landslides and caused an unprecedented disaster              determining and triggering factors [4][5]. Main
resulting in loss of lives and property. The heavy           objective of the study is to determine optimal
rainfall created havoc by affecting the fragile nature       sampling procedure in the presence of different
ecosystem of the Himalayan range, which is                   variables and to extract the information for the impact
characterised with problems of poor soil stability and       of landslide on different variables such as forest cover,
steep slopes compounded by man-made factors like             aspect, slope, altitude and forest types of Uttarakhand
indiscriminate deforestation and mindless construction       and also to evaluate accuracy of the study and its
and lack of land use policy. The present paper               variability on temporal dataset. Present paper tries to
explores the extent of damage in terms of                    find the loss of area during land slide in the monsoon
vegetation/forest cover through digital image                season of 2013 when a serious disaster of the country
interpretation of Landsat-8 data for pre and post            after Tsunami has occurred using Remote Sensing and
monsoon period, simultaneously carrying out                  GIS technologies.
sensitivity analysis of fragile ecosystem of the region.
The landslide map datasets so generated were verified        2. Study Area
using Google Earth high resolution data. The paper              Study area consists of all the 13 districts of
analyses landslide affected forest types, forest             Uttarakhand state. Uttarakhand, a state of northern
densities, slope, aspect and altitude using multi-           part of India have a geographical area of 53,483 km2
layered datasets. The findings of the paper have high        which constitutes 1.63% of the country’s total area.
utility in preparing forest management plans and             The state lies between lat 28°43’N and 31°28’ N and
carrying out development of the region, besides              long 77°34’E and 81°03’E. About 19% of the total
stabilising the mountains.                                   geographical area remains under permanent snow
[Key words: Landslides, DEM, forest types, forest cover,     cover. Topographically, Uttarakhand can be divided
aspect, landsat-8.]                                          into three zones namely, the Himalayas, the Shiwaliks
                                                             and the Terrai region. The temperature in the state
                                                             ranges from sub-zero to 43oC. The average annual
1. Introduction                                              rainfall is 1,550 mm [2]. The forest cover in the state,
           Undesired effects on ecosystem, human life        as per ISFR 2011, is 24,496 km2 which is 45.80% of
and economic activity resulting from landslides due to       the state’s geographical area [2].
flash flood and heavy rainfall are observed throughout
the Uttarakhand state. Loss of forest cover is a major
concern worldwide. Anthropogenic pressures are the
principal causes of such loss, although natural causes
(e.g. fire, flash flood etc.) may have locally significant
effects.[6] State received heavy rains in the months of
June 2013 onwards which created havoc in the state
by taking the lives of thousand people and damage the
ecosystem by landslides and flash floods. Hill slopes
in the Himalaya are known for their instability due to
ongoing tectonic activity. However, increasing
anthropogenic intervention in the recent times appears
to be contributing to terrain instability in addition to
natural factors, as observed by increasing frequency

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Scientific Society of Advanced Research and Social Change

                                     SSARSC International Journal of Geo Science and Geo Informatics
                                                                                     ISSN 2348-6198
                                                                       Volume 1 Issue 1, March 2014

                                                         various density classes such as very dense forest,
                                                         moderately dense forests, open forest, scrub and non
                                                         forests. Landslide classification has been done using
                                                         visual interpretation of the post monsoon satellite data.
                                                         The important aspects for identification of the
                                                         landslides in satellite imagery may include its spectral
                                                         characteristics,     size,    shape,     contrast,   and
                                                         morphological       expression.     Interpretability   is
                                                         influenced by the contrast that results from the
                                                         spectral difference between the landslide and its
                                                         surroundings [14]. Because the landslides were mainly
                                                         bare of vegetation, elliptical or circular in shape
                                                         therefore visual interpretation of the imagery is the
                                                         most suitable and accurate method for the
                                                         identification of the landslide areas. Figure 4.1
    Figure 2.1: Location map of the Study Area           showing the map of landslide areas in Uttarakhand
                                                         state. Secondary data such as Forest cover map from
3. Data and Material                                     FSI has been taken to find the accuracy assessment of
         To carry out the study of the landslide         the forest cover map generated using LANDSAT data
affected areas various kinds of spatial remote sensing   during this study, editing has been done wherever the
data required. The data used in this study were          doubt has been found using this map. Forest type map
LANDSAT-8 satellite data for pre and post monsoon        of FSI was used to find the impact of landslide on
period of the year 2013, topographic maps of the         various forest type groups. Post classification change
Survey of India 1:2,50,000 and 1:50,000 scale),          detection technique was applied to extract change in
ASTER DEM, Forest cover map and Forest type maps         different land cover classes. The change detection
from the Forest Survey of India. ArcGIS 9.0 and          matrix was calculated to find the proportion of each
ERDAS Imagine 9.1, GIS and image processing              class which has undergone change during landslides.
software have been used in the study.                    Forest Type-Group map has been used to find the
                                                         impact of landslide. Altitude zone, Slope map and
4. Methodology                                           Aspect maps has been generated using ASTER DEM.
          Satellite data 30 m spatial resolution of      Altitude zone has been generated using rule based
Landsat-8, pre monsoon as well as post monsoon           knowledge engineering tool of the ERDAS Imagine
season has been downloaded from USGS website.            9.1 software. Slope map was generated directly from
Similarly ASTER DEM 30m interval has also been           ASTER digital elevation model by applying following
downloaded. The LANDSAT images were registered           algorithms in ERDAS Imagine software.
with reference to topographic maps by taking input
ground control points (GCPs) from LANDSAT and
reference from toposheet maps. For the most part,
intersections of drainages, roads and sharp
meandering points of river were considered as the        Similarly, Aspect was also generated directly from
GCPs. More than 150 GCPs were selected for               ASTER digital elevation model by applying following
georeferencing, and resampling was done using the        algorithms in ERDAS Imagine software.
nearest neighbour interpolation method. The
registered satellite images then reprojected from
geographic latitude longitude to UTM projection on
WGS84 datum. Similarly from the projected pre
monsoon satellite data, post monsoon satellite data
were georeferenced using AUTOSYNC module of the          Where x, y represent a pixel having elevation value.
ERDAS imagine. Pre processing such as radiometric
corrections and image enhancement has been done for
each temporal satellite data. Derived thematic data
from the satellite data such as forest cover map has
been generated using NDVI and unsupervised
Classification as per the FSI methodology showing

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Scientific Society of Advanced Research and Social Change

                                       SSARSC International Journal of Geo Science and Geo Informatics
                                                                                       ISSN 2348-6198
                                                                         Volume 1 Issue 1, March 2014

                                                           non forested area due to landslide. It has been found
                                                           that total 8 districts out of 13 have been reported
                                                           landslide and forest loss due to flood in rivers. Figure
                                                           6.1, shows that the Rudraprayag is worst affected
                                                           district by landslide during this monsoon season
                                                           followed by Uttarkashi and Tehri.

Figure 4.1 Landslide areas in Uttarakhand during
2013 monsoon

5. Accuracy Assessment
         Accuracy assessment is performed by
comparing the map created by remote sensing analysis
to a reference map from some other source of spatial
higher resolution. For the purpose of the accuracy         Figure 6.1 District wise landslide areas
assessment cluster sampling technique was applied to
generate test sample on landslide class of classified      6.2 Impact of landslide on forest cover
image. Testing sites selected from classified map were               When landslides do occur on forested slopes,
compared with the reference image of Google Earth          in extreme rainfall and wind events, they may be
and LISS III data. The overall accuracy for the            larger and more destructive than on non forested
landslide sites was 79.55%                                 slopes. In particular, they are likely to evolve in to
                                                           debris flows which deliver large volumes of sediment
6. Result & Discussion                                     and woody debris on the channel network [6] [7] [8].
         In the present study, remote sensing and GIS      An attempt has been made to find the impact of
were extensively used. Application of GIS was found        rainfall induced landslides in different forest density
immensely useful for thematic data layer generation        classes in each the districts of Uttarakhand Table 6.2.
and for their spatial data analysis, which involved        It has been observed that moderately dense forest is
complex operations.                                        the most affected forest cover followed by open forest.
Total landslide area in the state was observed to be       Uttarkashi is showing highest forest loss among the
1092 ha, out of which 653 ha landslide was found to        districts in moderately dense forests as well as open
be in forested area where as remaining area is the non     forests, but it is observed that very dense forests has
forest area including pastures as well as grassland        been badly affected in Rudraprayag district of
areas which was not analysed in the present study.         Uttarakhand followed by Pithoragarh.
Information below gives the statistical analysis of the
landslide affected districts, forest cover, forest types
as well as the altitude zone, aspects and slop where the
maximum landslide had happened.

6.1 Impact of landslide in the districts of
Uttarakhand state
         Study tries to find the information regarding
landslide area in different districts to find the most
affected districts in terms of loss of forest as well as

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Scientific Society of Advanced Research and Social Change

                                       SSARSC International Journal of Geo Science and Geo Informatics
                                                                                       ISSN 2348-6198
                                                                         Volume 1 Issue 1, March 2014

 Table 6.2 District wise impact of landslide on
forest cover
                    Open      Moderately Dense          Very Dense
    District                                                              Non Forest       Scrub         Total
                    Forest           Forest               Forest
Uttarkashi           106.65                 141.48                5.48          128.76          1.5         383.87
Chamoli               14.94                  14.76                1.92           24.19            0          55.81
Dehradun               3.83                      0                   0           23.08            0          26.91
Tehri                  31.7                   9.87                   0           52.66         8.57          102.8
Rudraprayag           82.75                 125.38                16.8          166.27            0          391.2
Pithoragarh            8.97                  24.82                9.67           23.71            0          67.17
Pauri                 11.84                  17.64                0.12           15.38         3.83          48.81
Almora                 0.19                  10.73                   0             4.9            0          15.82
Total                260.87                 344.68                33.99          438.95         13.9       1092.39
                                                            6.4. Loss of Forest Cover in different aspects due to
6.3 Impact of landslide over different forest type          landslide
groups                                                      Aspect is also considered as a landslide conditioning
As per Champion and Seth’s classification of forest         factor and has been considered in many studies.
types Uttarakhand state have 8 forest type groups [9],      Therefore present study also tried to find the
right from tropical to subtropical, temperate and sub-      relationship between forest cover loss, aspect and
alpine to alpine forests. An attempt has been made by       landslides. There is some association of land sliding
using change detection technique from different forest      with slope aspect, with a tendency for landslides to
type group classes to landslide class and the area was      develop preferentially on southeast to east facing
calculated for the loss in different forest type groups.    slopes [10]. On north-facing slopes the landslide
Table 6.3 reveals that Group 12 Himalayan Moist             frequency is relatively low, and it increases with the
Temperate Forests followed by Group 9 Subtropical           orientation angle, reaching the maximum on south
Pine Forests are worst affected forest type groups of       facing slopes, and then declines [11]. Same pattern has
the state. Group 5 Tropical Dry Deciduous Forests and       been observed in the present study. Highest landslide
Group 14 Sub-Alpine Forests have also reported              has been observed in South aspect followed by east
landslides during monsoon season.                           and west (Table 6.4). Northern aspect has been found
                                                            less affected by landslide event. However forest cover
Table 6.3 Area showing impact of landslide on               in the south aspect found to be highly damaged
forest type groups                                          followed by Eastern and Northern aspects.
S.No        Forest Type Group                     Area
        Group 3 Tropical Moist                              Table 6.4 Table showing loss of forest type groups
  1     Deciduous Forests                         11.83     due to landslide
        Group 5 Tropical Dry                                                                            Total
                                                                             No Eas Sou We
  2     Deciduous Forests                         37.26     Forest Cover                              Landslid
                                                                             rth   t     th     st
        Group 9 Subtropical Pine                                                                          e
  3     Forests                                 248.96                        12. 84. 127 36.
        Group 12 Himalayan Moist                            Open Forest        54  47 .82       04       260.87
  4     Temperate Forests                       284.94      Moderately       101 90. 67. 84.
        Group 13 Himalayan Dry                              Dense Forest      .96  37     97    38       344.68
  5     Temperate Forests                         31.45     Very Dense        12. 18. 1.9
                                                            Forest             26  37      6 1.4          33.99
  6     Group 14 Sub-Alpine Forests               34.18                           1.9 10. 1.2
        Group 15 Moist Alpine                               Scrub               0    2    76      2         13.9
  7     Scrub                                        4.82                     40. 100 219 78.
        Total                                   653.44      Non-Forest         37 .75 .33         5      438.95
                                                            Total            167 295 427 201
                                                            Landslide         .13 .88 .84 .54          1092.39

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Scientific Society of Advanced Research and Social Change

                                       SSARSC International Journal of Geo Science and Geo Informatics
                                                                                       ISSN 2348-6198
                                                                         Volume 1 Issue 1, March 2014

                                                          nature’s fury or human folly, Current Science, Vol.
6.5. Impact of landslide in different Altitude Zones      100, No. 11, 10 June 2011
Altitude is a significant factor for the landslides. To
assess the landslide affected altitude zone an overlay    2.       FSI, India State of Forest Report, Forest
analysis of altitude zone map and landslide area map      Survey of India, Ministry of Environment and forests,
has been done using ASTER DEM of 30 m interval. It        2011.
has been observed that the maximum landslide
occurred between 1000-1500 m altitude zone followed       3.       Government of Uttarakhand, Uttarakhand
by 1500-2000m and 2000-2500m altitude zones               State Action Plan for Climate Change, Revised
(Table 6.5).                                              Version June 2012

Table 6.5 Table showing altitude zones wise loss of       4.       Varnes, D.J., “Slope movement types and
area in landslide                                         process”, In: Schuster, R.L. and Krizek, R.J. (eds)
                                                          Landslides Analysis and control, Transportation
   S.No.         Altitude Zone             Area           Research Board Special Report 176, Washington DC:
                                                          National Academy Press, pp. 11-33,1978.
    1       0-500                              33.68
    2       500-1000                          124.25      5.       Popescu, M.E., “A suggested method for
                                                          reporting landslide causes”, Bulletin IAEG, No. 50,
    3       1000-1500                         344.56
                                                          pp. 71-74,1994.
    4       1500-2000                         274.36
    5       2000-2500                         190.97      6.        James C. Bathurst, Modelling the impact of
    6       2500-3000                           96.7      forest loss on shallow landslide sediment yield, Ijuez
                                                          river catchmtent, Spanish Pyrenees, Hydrol.Earth
    7       3000-3500                          25.55
                                                          Syst.Sci., 11(1), 569-583,2007
    8       >3500                               2.32
                Total                       1092.39       7.       Eschner,A.R. and Patrick, J.H., Debris
                                                          avalanches in eastern upland forests. J. Forestry,
  6.6. Impact of landslide in different Slopes            80,343-347., 1982
The most important parameter in the slope stability
analysis is the slope angle [12]. About 96 percent of     8.        DeGraff J.V., Bryce, R.,Jibson, R.W., Mora,
the landslides initiated from slopes between 16° and      S. And Rogers, C.T., landslides: their extent and
44° [13].Slope angle has been derived from ASTER          significance in the Caribbean. In: Landslides: Extent
DEM. Present study reveals that the maximum               and Economic significance, E.E. Brabb and B.L.
landslide in the state is between 15o and 35o followed    Harrod (Eds), Balkema, Rorrerdam, The Netherlands,
by 35o to 50o and 0o to 15o slope angle (Table 6.6).      68, 1989.

 Table 6.6 Table showing impact of landslide on      9.       FSI, Atlas: Forest Types of India, Forest
 different Slope                                     Survey of India, Ministry of Environment and forests,
S.N                        Slope             Area in 2011.
o.      Slope              Angle                 ha.
                            o     o                  10.     M. S. Rawat, B.S.Rawat, V. Joshi and
1       Gentle             0 -15              202.76 M.M.Kimothi, Statistical analysis of Landslide in
2       Moderately High    15 o -35 o         585.12 South district, Sikkim, India:using Remote Sensing
3       High                  o
                           35 -50   o
                                              279.69 and GIS, Journal Of Environmental Science,
                                                     Toxicology And Food Technology, Volume 2, Issue 3,
4       Steep              > 50 o              24.82 PP 47-61, Nov. - Dec. 2012.
                 Total                          1092.39
                                                          11.      F.C. Dai, C.F. Lee, Landslide characteristics
7. References                                             and slope instability modeling using GIS, Lantau
                                                          Island, Hong Kong, Geomorphology 42, 213– 228,
1.      Sati S. P., Sundriyal Y. P., Rana Naresh and      2002.
Dangwal Surekha, Recent landslides in Uttarakhand:

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Scientific Society of Advanced Research and Social Change

                                      SSARSC International Journal of Geo Science and Geo Informatics
                                                                                      ISSN 2348-6198
                                                                        Volume 1 Issue 1, March 2014

12.      Lee S, Min K, Statistical analysis of
landslide susceptibility at Yongin, Korea. Environ
Geol 40:1095–1113, 2001.
13.      Coe J.A., Godt J.W., Baum R.L., Bucknam
R.C. & Michael J.A. Landslide susceptibility from
topography in Guatemala, W.A., Erlich, M., Fontoura,
S.A.B., and Sayao, A.S.F., eds., Landslides-evaluation
and stabilization, Proceedings of the 9th International
Symposium on Landslides: London, A.A. Balkema
Publishers, v. 1, p. 69-78, 2004.

14.     Sarkar S. and Kanungo D.P., “An Integrated
Approach for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using
Remote Sensing and GIS”. Photogrammetric
Engineering & Remote Sensing Vol. 70, No. 5, p.
617–625. 2004

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