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Small & Medium                              Personal loan
Enterprises (SMEs) Car loan   Credit Cards

                  Dreams Come True ...
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Finance (Chap.1)_Layout 1 7/10/17 4:25 PM Page 6

                                                                                                           July 2017

                8
            Reforms
                                                   16
                                            Consumer
                                                                               26
                                                                              Marriage
                                                                                                                    32EGX
             Bear                             Credit                         of Finance                              on the
             Fruit                          on the Rise                    and Technology                           Upswing

             O
                         ne of the strongest sectors of the Egyptian econ-
                         omy, the financial sector has significant potential
                         to grow. With the free float of the Egyptian pound,
             financial institutions are finding the liquidity and freedom
             to expand their services, but they will have to strike creative                 Khaled Sewelam
                                                                                     Director, Research and Publications
             alliances with IT and mobile phone companies to attract the
             86% of the population still unbanked. The latest edition of                       Amira Sheha
                                                                                             Research Manager
             AmCham Egypt’s Industry Insight series explores the oppor-
                                                                                             Fadila Noureldin
             tunities and challenges facing the banking and finance                   Author and Economic Researcher
             industry today. First, we look at where the sector stands and                     Kate Durham
                                                                                  Editor and Head of Corporate Publications
             how key reforms such as the float of the Egyptian pound, the
             Value Added Tax and Central Bank mandates about loan                            Nessim N. Hanna
                                                                                             Senior Art Director
             portfolios will impact bank services. Second, we outline the
                                                                                                Emy Emile
             key areas of growth for retail banking – from homes to white                     Graphic Designer
             goods as well as personal loans and credit card services.                        Amany Kassem
                                                                                 Advertising & Business Development Director
             Third, as financial transactions by mobile phones are gaining
             popularity and new regulations to facilitate mobile payments                        Nada Auf
                                                                                    Advertising & Circulation Coordinator
             are in the works, we detail the new and established players
                                                                                                Aya Enaba
             and what innovations lie ahead. Finally, we explore what                 Design & Administrative Assistant
             lies ahead for The Egyptian Exchange as trading is at an                            Hani Elias
                                                                                            Production Supervisor
             all-time high and more companies are launching IPOs.
FINANCE (COVER)_LAYOUT 1 7/10/17 4:47 PM PAGE 2 - AMCHAM EGYPT INC
HDB Final.pdf   1   7/10/17   2:50 PM

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FINANCE (COVER)_LAYOUT 1 7/10/17 4:47 PM PAGE 2 - AMCHAM EGYPT INC
Finance (Chap.1)_Layout 1 7/10/17 4:25 PM Page 8

                       REFORMS
                       BEAR FRUIT
                       A
                               s Egypt looks back on the rocky road it has traveled since the 2011 revolution, 2016 could well
                               be the turning point toward a lasting economic recovery despite a shaky start to the year. Inter-
                               national reserves hovered at USD 16.4 billion by the end of 2015 compared to around USD
                       36 billion at the end of 2010. A persistent foreign exchange (forex or FX) shortage severely hampered
                       every sector of the economy, especially those relying on imports for essential commodities and pro-
                       duction inputs. The banking sector in particular was shackled by capital controls that limited dollar
                       deposits and transfers, as well as the ability to issue letters of credit (LCs). As the year progressed, banks’
                       foreign currency reserves were drying up, causing more people in search of dollars to turn to the parallel
                       market, paying up to twice as much per dollar than the official rate.

             8. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
• Corporate Banking and Syndicated Loans
• Small and Medium Enterprises Finance
• Structured Trade and Export Finance
• Treasury and Investement Services
• Diversified Banking Services

                                                                                     www.ebebank.com

 THE LEADING BANK FINANCING AGAINST EXPORTERS’
   PROCEEDS AT THE EXPORT DEVELOPMENT FUND

      EXPORT EXPERTS

                                  Cairo                        Giza                      Industrial Zones
                                  Cairo Branch                 Main Branch               Obour Branch
BRANCHES:                         El Orouba Branch             Mossadak Branch           10th Of Ramadan Branch
                                  Heliopolis Branch            Faisal Branch             6th Of October Branch
                                  El Nasr Branch               Nile Branch               Other Govenorates
                                  Saint Fatima branch          Sheikh Zayed Branch
Head Office:                                                                              Mansoura branch
                                  Nasr City Branch (Soon)      Mohandesin Branch(Soon)   Damietta Branch
108 Mohy El Din                   Madinaty Branch
Abo EL Ezz St.,                                                Alexandria                Tanta Branch
                                  Sheraton Heliopolis Branch                             Assiut Branch
                                                               Roushdy Branch
Dokki, Giza, Egypt                Stella Branch                                          Port Said Branch
                                                               Smouha Branch
PO,Box: 38 El Agouza,             Maadi Branch
                                                               Sidi Bishr Branch         Ismailia Branch (Soon)
Post Code: 12311                  Shobra Branch                                          Aswan Branch (Soon)
                                                               Selsela Branch
Hotline: 16710                    Moqattam Branch                                        Beni Soief Branch (Soon)
                                                               Borg El Arab Branch
Fax: (+202) 33385942 - 33385940
Finance (Chap.1)_Layout 1 7/10/17 4:25 PM Page 10

               In March 2016, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) devalued            While the float brings with it a host of challenges, infla-
             the Egyptian pound by 13%, setting the rate at EGP 8.88            tion not least among them, it has also drawn an influx of
             to the dollar in a bid to close the gap with the parallel mar-     dollars back into the banking system and unleashed a new
             ket. To contain inflation after the devaluation, the CBE’s         optimism in the industry.
             Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) simultaneously raised
             basic interest rates by 150 basis points (bps), setting
             overnight deposit and lending rates at 10.75% and
             11.75%, respectively; the MPC bumped up the rates by an-
             other 100 bps in June. Yet, the moves had little effect. By
             July 2016, headline inflation had jumped to 15% (com-
             pared to 8% in July 2015 and 11% in July 2014), and the
             black-market exchange rate had risen by more than 30%.
               The CBE was doing damage control as the government
             laid the groundwork for a larger solution that combines
             economic reforms designed to boost government revenues
             and reduce public expenditures with an influx of interna-
             tional loans to shore up international reserves. On the re-
             form side, the state resumed its subsidy reductions on
             electricity and fuel in August and in September imple-
             mented a Value Added Tax (VAT) that raised the rate to 13%
             and expanded the tax base. At the same time, the govern-
             ment raised USD 6 billion in external funding as a precur-
             sor to a three-year USD 12 billion extended fund facility
             (EFF) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
               With the foundations in place, the CBE made the dra-
             matic decision on November 3, 2016, to free-float the
             Egyptian pound for the first time in Egypt’s history, leaving
             its value to be fully determined by market supply and de-
             mand. The float signaled Egypt’s commitment to difficult
             reforms, and the IMF signed off on the EFF a week later.

             A Year of Tough Turns
             Many observers felt the devaluation was long overdue. Amid         banks with forex disbursed from its international reserves.
             political uncertainty following the 2011 and 2013 revolu-          With this limited supply of dollars, banks found it increas-
             tions, the country’s main sources of foreign currency, tourism     ingly difficult to fulfill their corporate clients’ foreign cur-
             and foreign investment, had dried up. More recently, Suez          rency requirements. Zeinab Hashim, CEO and managing
             Canal receipts have dropped amid suppressed global trade.          director of Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank (ADIB) Capital, the
             “Egypt had a golden opportunity to devalue the local cur-          UAE-based bank’s equity and debt advisory services arm,
             rency following the aftermath of 2011. The political situation     says, “By 2016, banks were opening LCs for their corpo-
             and the economic challenges the country was facing were a          rate clients by utilizing other clients’ dollar deposits,
             solid justification for a cheaper Egyptian pound,” says Hani       which were limited, as opposed to their own sources of
             Farahat, senior economist at CI Capital. The effects of an over-   foreign currency.”
             valued local currency and subsidized dollar rate manifested          Normally, banks access foreign currency through a num-
             in the country’s growing trade deficit and dwindling reserves.     ber of channels, including the foreign exchange interbank
             Meanwhile, the widening gap between bank and parallel-             market, where banks sell their excess dollars to other
             market exchange rates drove up prices for investors and con-       banks. “An interbank FX market is one of the fundamental
             sumers alike. “The dual pricing of the dollar was causing an       life-blood aspects of the banking system, and for the econ-
             outflow of foreign currency resources at the expense of in-        omy as a whole,” says Nadir Shaikh, Citibank Egypt’s man-
             vestment growth and economic activity, which also reduced          aging director, noting that four years ago, banks were
             Egypt’s net foreign assets,” he explains. “This was accompa-       trading up to USD 300 million a day. “Then for three years,
             nied by lower revenues on the part of Egypt’s exports, which       until November 2016, this market basically died.” Banks
             we’ve seen decline over the years on the back of other exter-      were allocating the dollars from their exporting clients to
             nal factors.”                                                      their importing clients instead of selling to other banks,
               In 2013, in an attempt to ration the outflow of foreign          meaning there were no spare dollars in the system to cover
             currency, the CBE introduced dollar auctions to supply             shortfalls.

             10. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
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                                                                                                                    Reforms Bear Fruit

             FX Interbank Market Activity in Egypt

                                                                                                                                             CBE

                The other major source of foreign exchange for banks is ex-      tional foreign currency to meet their needs,” says Shaikh. As
             patriate worker remittances, which at its peak in 2010 covered      parallel market rates rose, families converted remittances in the
             half of Egypt’s balance of payments deficit. “Previously, workers   exchange bureaus and deposited the extra pounds in the banks.
             abroad sending remittances transferred the funds to their fam-      “With such a high differential, the banking system was losing a
             ilies through local banks, which could be then converted at the     substantial portion of FX flow from remittances, which could
             official exchange rate. This would provide banks with addi-         have been allocated to import-oriented clients,” says Shaikh.

             Official versus Parallel Market Exchange Rate

                                                                                                                      CBE, xe.com, media reports

                                                                                                                         Financial Services .11
Finance (Chap.1)_Layout 1 7/10/17 4:25 PM Page 12

               Adding to the pressure on banks and the business en-            Foreign investors, unable to repatriate profits, slowed
             vironment were the CBE’s limits on dollar deposits and            or postponed projects being financed by domestic
             transfers. The deposit cap was meant to discourage im-            banks. Meanwhile, demand for black market dollars
             porters from buying and depositing black market dollars           continued to grow: Right before the float, the parallel
             for LCs needed to pay for shipments, while the transfer           market rate had risen to EGP 18.5 to the dollar, more
             cap was meant to keep foreign currency in the country.            than double the official rate.

             Bringing Dollars Back to the Banks
             By the end of float day, the official exchange rate had depre-    The amount, which covered the government’s funding gap
             ciated by 65% and the pound sat at EGP 14.65 to the dollar;       fully in the FY 2016/17 budget and partially in FY 2017/18,
             two weeks later, the Egyptian pound had fallen to 17.54 to the    was raised across three tranches: USD 1.75 billion of five-
             dollar. Dollars started moving back into the formal banking       year bonds yielding 6.125%, USD 1 billion of 10-year
             system as banks could now compete for dollars with foreign        bonds carrying a yield of 7.50%, and USD 1.25 billion of
             exchange bureaus. “Banks could now freely price as high as        30-year bonds yielding 8.50%.
             they needed to get dollars, which meant that consumers no           Buoyed by the eurobond’s success, sky-high interest rates
             longer needed to use the parallel market,” says Hashim.           and the eliminated risk of devaluation, foreign holdings of
               Overall, forex liquidity in the banking system has im-          local assets have hit their highest levels since 2011. “Before
             proved, turning a corner in the first half of 2017. “In the       the 2011 revolution, Egypt almost had USD 11 billion of
             five-month period since the flotation, about USD 35 billion       foreign asset managers’ money in local currency T-bills,
             flowed into the banking system from bilateral agreements,         which dwindled to nearly zero after 2011,” recalls Shaikh.
             the eurobond issuance, customers selling dollars to the           By June 2017, foreign holdings of treasury bills had shot
             bank, filing remittances, and even more significantly,            up to EGP 164 billion (USD 9.3 billion) compared to EGP
             proper and strong recovery in the foreign ownership of            7.8 billion (USD 433 million) in November 2016. “Interest
             local assets [T-bills and T-bonds],” notes Farahat. “The flota-   rates offered are over the top at 18-20%. Nowhere in the
             tion’s results went far beyond our expectations.”                 world do you have such a return. And while these are only
               In January 2017, the government raised USD 4 billion from       a fraction of pre-revolution levels, this is only within a four-
             its eurobond issuance, which was three times oversubscribed.      month period,” says Shaikh.

             Foreign Holdings of Egyptian Treasury Bills

                                                                                                                                           CBE

             12. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
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                                                                                                                 Reforms Bear Fruit

               Following the strong appetite for January’s issuance, the gov-     Meanwhile, the interbank market is back in business, posting
             ernment raised another USD 3 billion in eurobonds issued in        more than 2,000 transactions with a total value of more than
             late May. The move came after the Cabinet raised the cap on        USD 2 billion from November 2016 to January 2017, com-
             total foreign debt the government can hold per year to USD 7       pared to 887 transactions worth USD 1.5 billion during the
             billion from USD 5 billion. “The government’s current trend is     same period the year before. Citibank’s Shaikh says, “The
             to replace domestic borrowing [with] external borrowing in         opening of the interbank market has facilitated the clearing of
             order to reduce the cost of borrowing as local interest rates      backlogs of dollar payments that were previously stuck.” By
             rise,” Reham El Desoki, senior economist for Arqaam Capital,       early April, the banking sector had opened USD 26 billion
             told Reuters at the time.                                          worth of LCs since the float.

             Temporary Shocks
             Floating the Egyptian pound has created some chal-                 population,” says Farahat. Given Egypt’s dependence on im-
             lenges, which analysts expect will pass by the year’s end.         ports for strategic commodities and manufacturing inputs,
             Hardest hit by the surge in dollar prices were those who           prices instantly hiked when the pound was floated and had
             opened LCs before the float. “When the currency was                risen by as much as 40% year-on-year in January 2017, two
             floated in early November, the corporates found their              months after the float. There are signs that headline inflation
             pre-float liabilities had doubled in EGP terms,” explains          is cooling, as it has been declining month-on-month since
             Hashim. In February 2017, the CBE eased the burden by              January, and stood at 30.9% as of May.
             agreeing to settle companies’ credit lines opened before             Immediately after the float, the MPC aggressively hiked
             November. Under the agreement, the Central Bank                    interest rates by 300 bps, setting overnight deposit and
             would cover currency differences of up to USD 500 mil-             lending rates at 14.75% and 15.75%, respectively. The
             lion to banks for firms with outstanding debts less than           committee raised rates another 200 bps on May 21, 2017,
             USD 5 million. In return, these firms can settle their debts       to bring the overnight deposit rate up to 16.75%, overnight
             in local currency terms over two years at a 12% interest           lending rate to 17.75%, and discount rate to 17.25%.
             rate using the exchange rate of the debt settlement’s date.        While the move was endorsed by the IMF as the right way
             “This short-term banking upset still remains today, but in         to tame inflation, several analysts had argued against it, at-
             much smaller degrees compared to a few months back,”               tributing the mounting inflation to cost-push factors rather
             says Hashim. “Banks are on the right track to relieve the          than excess demand. With less than one in five people
             stress on the business climate, and we expect the picture          holding a bank account in Egypt, these experts argue that
             to come together within six to 12 months.”                         higher interest rates only hike borrowing costs for the gov-
               Of more far-reaching consequence is the inflation driven         ernment and the thin slice of corporate and retail clients
             by the sharp devaluation post-float. “The short-term down-         with access to credit. However, the MPC said the move is
             side of the flotation has been supply-side inflationary pres-      to contain core inflation, which has not yet decreased, and
             sures and lower consumption dynamics among the Egyptian            the persistently high annual inflation rate.

                                                                                                                       Financial Services .13
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             Headline Inflation

                                                                                                                             Ministry of Finance

              Nonetheless, the steep inflation offers an opportunity for         now incentivizes production and exporting, meaning there
             many domestic industries, as consumers seek locally made            will be more dollar inflows in the future,” ADIB Capital’s
             alternatives for increasingly expensive imports. “When the          Hashim says. Sectors best positioned to benefit include en-
             currency was floated, the cost of imports went up, which            ergy, agriculture and processed foods and consumer goods.

             Clearing the Road Ahead
             Despite the forex challenges, Egypt’s banks had a good year         ating in the country dropped from 62 in 2004 to 39 to date,
             in 2016, with combined profits of EGP 56 billion, up 60% over       while non-performing loans went from 13.4% of total loans
             2015 levels. Total banking assets and deposits also grew by         in 2009 (first official figures) to 5.8% by the end of 2016.
             59.4% and 44.3% year-on-year, respectively, as of December          “The FSRP of 2004 resulted in a very strong wave [of] con-
             2016. “Egypt has one of the most attractive growth profiles in      solidation among our banks, which reshaped the banking
             the MENA region as a result of years of underinvestment and         system into a number of stronger financial institutions with
             an ever-expanding population,” Bassel Khatoun, chief invest-        solid foundations,” notes Farahat.
             ment officer at Franklin Templeton Investments MENA Equities,         The FSRP’s phase III kicked off in December 2016 to imple-
             told Bloomberg TV in January 2017. Egyptian banks are               ment the Basel III standards, focused on risk management,
             backed by ample liquidity with a strong capacity to increase        solid governance, transparency and disclosure. This phase will
             lending. This is supported by a loans-to-deposits ratio as high     increase the total capital adequacy ratio, which measures
             as 47.6%, as of January 2017.                                       (among other variables) the banking system’s financial strength
               “Banking is one of the strongest sectors in the economy,          and ability to meet financial obligations, incrementally from
             with substantial capabilities to dampen any blows that the          11.25% in January 2017 to 12.5% by January 2019.
             economy is hit by. It survived 2004, 2008 and 2011 very well          The government has also signaled its intention to open up
             and it is still going strong,” says Hashim. The sector’s strength   private investment in state-owned banks, a practice off the
             has its foundations in 2004 Financial Sector Reform Program         table since 2008 when an 80% stake in Alex Bank was sold to
             (FSRP), instituted in 2004 to enhance the sector’s efficiency,      Italy’s Intesa Sanpaolo for USD 1.6 billion. In February 2017,
             minimize credit risk and improve banking soundness. The             the CBE announced plans to sell 20% of its stake in Banque
             first two phases of the program implemented the interna-            du Caire and 40% of Arab African International Bank. “Banque
             tional Basel I and II standards, with considerable privatization    du Caire is the transaction of the year, if its implementation
             and consolidation in the market. The number of banks oper-          happens by 2017’s end,” says Farahat.

             14. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
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                                                                                                                                  Reforms Bear Fruit

               Hashim adds, “The role of the government is to regulate the            can the banking system continue to lend to the government at
             banking system as opposed to taking part in managing banks.              the expense of corporates, consumers and SMEs?”
             The move to IPO is yet another positive statement signaling                The banking system is drawn to T-bills and bonds for their
             the government’s aim to increase its focus on regulation and             sky-high interest rates, ranging between 18-20%, com-
             ensure that more banks in Egypt are profit-driven.”                      pared to 14-16% for corporate loans. This is likely to
               While these structural reforms open the door for stronger per-         change going forward as the government tries to cut back
             formance in the years ahead, there remain underlying chal-               on domestic debt. The FY 2015/16 fiscal deficit was 12.2%
             lenges that must be tackled along the way. One challenge is              of GDP, but the state plans to bring that down to 6% by
             to wean banks off government debt. Citibank’s Shaikh notes               2021, targeting 10.5-10.7% by the end of FY 2016/17 and
             that about 45% of the banking sector’s assets are in treasury            9.5% by the end of FY 2017/18. This presents opportunities
             notes, meaning “banks are lending almost half of their balance           for banks to diversify their lending portfolios to business
             sheets to finance the government’s budget deficit. How much              and retail consumers.

             Egypt’s Bank Map

                                                                       EGP 85.4 bn            *    EGP 221.0 bn                   *   EGP 127.9 mn
                                                                       EGP 231.7 bn                EGP 558.6 bn                       EGP 341.3 mn
                   Jordan
                                                                       EGP 9.3 bn                  EGP 13.1 bn              *         EGP 3.5 bn
                                                                       EGP 13.5 bn                 EGP 24.7 bn                        EGP 2.2 bn

                   Morocco

                                                 EGP 94.9 bn
                   Qatar                         EGP 158.2 bn                                                     International
                                                                                                                  Arab Banking
                                                                                                                   Corporation

                                             *   EGP 2.6 bn
                                                 EGP 7.8 bn
                                                 USD 1.1 bn
                   Bahrain                       USD 1.8 bn
                                             *   EGP 9.3 bn
                                                                                                                                                     EGP 8.7 bn
                                                 EGP 25.4 bn
                                                                                                                                                     EGP 24.1 bn

                                                                                                                                                     EGP 6.0 bn
                                                 EGP 3.8 bn                                                                                          EGP 64.1 bn
                                                 EGP 30.0 bn
                   Lebanon                                                                                                                           EGP 18.9 bn
                                                 EGP 8.6 bn
                                                                                                                                                     EGP 40.7 bn
                                                 EGP 24.4 bn
                                                                                                                                                     EGP 6.2 mn
                                         *       EGP 16.8 bn                                                                                         EGP 14.0 mn
                                                 EGP 31.6 bn
                   Kuwait                                                                                                                   *
                                                 EGP 7.0 bn                                                                                          USD 4.7 bn
                                                 EGP 12.3 bn                                                                                         USD 10.1 bn
                                                                                                                  EGP 30.0 bn
                                                                                                                  EGP 54.1 bn

                                                 EGP 18.3 bn               AED 356.2 bn                           USD 1.7 bn
                   Emirates                      EGP 34.5 bn               AED 400.3 bn                           USD 3.8 bn

                                                 EGP 15.6 bn               EGP 8.0 bn                             EGP 17.4 bn
                                                 EGP 25.6 bn               EGP 20.7 bn                            EGP 39.2 bn

               Loans          Deposits                                                                                     *Data as of end of FY 2015/16.
                                                                                                                 ** Egyptian banks with Arab investments.
                                                                                                                            Compiled from bank websites.

               Policy adjustments such as the float are attracting inter-             pressures, the experts see a positive future. “Egypt has ex-
             national support and investors, and have made it possible                perienced a somewhat fall from grace over the past five
             for banks to get back to the business of financing economic              years because it has been plagued by social unrest, dollar
             activity. But, Hashim cautions, “A potential threat is the               shortages and currency issues,” said Khatoun. “But if you
             government’s inclination to pull out of the reform program               look at the [local currency’s] devaluation back in 2003, in
             if inflationary pressures become too high and the social                 the years following that, we saw five golden years of eco-
             safety net […] is not activated effectively,” Backing off the            nomic growth at about 5.5% per year. And we don’t see
             reforms, however, risks a return to the forex crises of the              any reason why Egypt shouldn’t achieve [such] growth
             past few years. As long as the state can manage the social               rates going forward.”

                                                                                                                                      Financial Services .15
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                     CONSUMER CREDIT
                     ON THE RISE
                     R
                             etail banking is one of the most promising sectors in Egypt with strong growth potential. By pro-
                             viding credit to consumers and micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs), retail banking pro-
                             vides the capital needed for economic growth. “The banking sector generally contributes the most
                     to the economy’s capital formation, which is largely backed by household savings. Households make up
                     more than two-thirds of the economy’s savings,” says Ahmed Issa, CEO of consumer banking at Commer-
                     cial International Bank (CIB) Egypt, the country’s biggest private bank. Households also account for about
                     75% of the banking system’s total deposits. “Additionally, Egyptian households make up most of aggregate
                     consumption, which accounts for about 80% of annual GDP,” Issa continues. “This indicates a vast con-
                     sumer-banking customer base and an obvious need for access to finance.” Egypt’s population exceeds
                     90 million people and average annual incomes are less than EGP 50,000, indicating vast potential for
                     consumer credit to grow.

             16. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
ABK - EGYPT RECOGNIZED AS
‘BEST NEW BRAND IN EGYPT’
BY THE BANKER MIDDLE EAST

eahli.com   Call 19322
Finance (Chap.2) 2_Layout 1 7/10/17 4:29 PM Page 18

               Still, consumer banking has yet to fully hit its stride.     per 100,000 adults) stands at only 23.4%, with banks
             This is due in part to low financial inclusion, as less than   concentrated in major urban cities. Thus residents in
             15% of Egyptian adults have a bank account. In Egypt’s         most of rural Egypt—which account for almost half the
             cash-based economy, financial illiteracy plays a large         population—have no access to bank branches or even
             role, with the majority of consumers viewing credit and        ATMs. In addition, the banks need to adapt their prod-
             cashless transactions as security risks. Accessibility is      ucts, such as mortgages and MSME loans, to meet the
             also a problem. Egypt’s banking density (bank branches         needs of the population.

             Consumer Credit Growth

                                                                                                          Central Bank of Egypt (CBE)

                                                                  Banking Loan Portfolio (January 2017)
             Retail lending has comprised an average
             19.8% of banks’ total lending portfolios for the
             past decade, posting a 10-year compound av-
             erage growth rate (CAGR) of only 15.8% since
             2006. This falls short of regional and other
             emerging economies’ averages. For example,
             consumer loans in the United Arab Emirates
             currently account for 70% of banks’ loan port-
             folios, even amidst tougher economic condi-
             tions and lower oil prices. “In developing
             countries such as Brazil and Mexico, lending
             in the retail segment occupies up to 40-60%
             of banks’ total lending,” adds Nadir Shaikh,
             managing director of Citibank.

                                                                                                                                 CBE

             18. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
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                                                                                              Consumer Credit on the Rise

                In 2016, retail lending grew 18.5% over 2015 levels, yet     basis points (bps) to counter the inflationary effects and in-
             its share of total lending dropped to 17.3% from 24% in         creased them by another 200 bps in May 2017. While the
             2015 partly due to banks’ appetite for government debt,         rate hikes have driven up the cost of retail debt, they have
             which has grown by a cumulative 300% since 2010. “In            attracted more liquidity in the banking system. Eight banks,
             the past five years, banks have been more inclined to lend      including Ahli United Bank and Bank of Alexandria
             to the government than to individuals and the private sector    changed their interest rates in response to the CBE’s deci-
             due to the perceived higher risk of defaults compared to        sion. State-run Banque Misr raised interest on three-year
             the government,” says Shaikh.                                   investment certificates to 17.25% from 16%, and raised in-
                Others argue that there are fewer opportunities for retail   terest rates on personal and auto loans to 18.5% from
             lending. “Banks usually invest in government T-bills or         16.5%. Blom Bank also increased rates on short-term Cer-
             bonds because they have excess liquidity […] when there         tificates of Deposit (CDs) by a maximum of 200 bps.
             are limited lending opportunities, the banks resort to in-         On the bright side, foreign exchange restrictions are start-
             vesting in [debt instruments]. [While] banks can earn more      ing to ease and several banks—including CIB, Banque Misr,
             revenue from credit facilities, including letters of guaran-    National Bank of Egypt and HSBC—dropped international
             tee, letters of credit, credit cards and retail banking serv-   spending limits on credit cards in May 2017, indicating a
             ices, there have not been many [of these] opportunities,”       strong comeback for credit card receivables going forward.
             Mohamed Ozalp, director and CEO of BLOM Bank-Egypt,             The Egyptian pound’s steep devaluation post-float drove
             told local media in September 2016. Retail lending is more      prices of all consumer goods up, inspiring retail banks to in-
             profitable than investing in notes, Shaikh notes, adding,       troduce innovative models to increase loan activity. For ex-
             “Before Citibank sold its retail banking arm, credit card re-   ample, several retailers have partnered with banks to offer
             ceivables were a substantial line of business, which            installment payment plans on high-ticket merchandise such
             charged 22-25% interest rates for consumers. Whereas cor-       as mobile phones, electronics and appliances.
             porate clients were charged about 14%, showing a much              Egypt’s banking sector is definitely endowed with ample
             higher spread.”                                                 liquidity that can capitalize on consumers’ shrinking pur-
                Recent economic pressures have dampened consumer             chasing power. “On the asset side, household deposits
             lending. As a result of severe dollar shortages, many banks     amount to 60-70% of GDP; however, household debt does
             limited debt and credit cards usage abroad in the begin-        not exceed 7-8% of GDP, which shows substantial variance
             ning of 2016. Following the Egyptian pound’s float in No-       between the banked population’s saving and borrowing
             vember 2016, the CBE raised basic interest rates by 300         rates,” elaborates CIB’s Issa.

             Loan and Deposit Growth

                                                                                                                                       CBE

                                                                                                                    Financial Services .19
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             Unleashing Consumer Lending
             Expanding retail lending has been a topic among policy-          voices, property contracts and other documents. MSMEs
             makers for more than a decade now. Topping the agenda            are often informal with little documentation or experience
             is the pressing need to open up MSME lending. Formal and         in financial reporting practices, which indicates a need for
             informal MSMEs account for about 98% of businesses in            less stringent procedures.
             the economy and employ 70% of the workforce, which im-              “Growing loans to SMEs around the country also means
             plies a sizable boost to the economy if they are provided        expanding branches to these areas so banks can physically
             with suitable financing opportunities. Expanding credit to       monitor SME clients from proximity rather than remotely,”
             MSMEs will help grow one of the country’s most vital eco-        Shaikh adds. In late 2014, the CBE approved “mini-sized”
             nomic agents, enhance financial inclusion, formalize the         branches with lower capital requirements to encourage the
             gray economy and increase tax revenues.                          spread of banks into areas with low coverage. The measure
                In January 2016, as part of an EGP 200 billion initiative     has yet to gain much momentum, and as of December
             to promote SME growth, the CBE mandated that by 2020,            2016, the annual growth in branches was less than 5%,
             at least 20% of bank loan portfolios should be directed to-      with about 3,950 total bank branches across Egypt,
             ward MSMEs at lower-than-market rates. The initiative set           In May 2017, the CBE launched a EGP 30 billion micro-
             a 5% interest rate on loans to micro and small enterprises       finance initiative to funnel loans to some 10 million benefi-
             with up to EGP 50 million in revenues. Medium-sized en-          ciaries over the next four years. Also supported by the
             terprises earning EGP 50-200 million and operating in the        Egyptian Microfinance Federation (EMF) and the Egyptian
             fields of manufacturing, agriculture or renewable energy         Financial Supervisory Authority (EFSA), the initiative allows
             are eligible for 12% and 7% interest rates for short-term        microfinance loans to count toward banks’ 20% quota for
             and medium to long-term loans, respectively. While the           MSME funding. Eight banks will offer subsidized funding to
             CBE’s initiative offers much potential to broaden banks’         three microfinance companies and 752 EFSA-accredited in-
             customer bases, some find the current eligibility require-       stitutions and NGOs working under the EMF. These organi-
             ments problematic. Citibank’s Shaikh explains that tradi-        zations will then lend to individuals and micro-enterprises
             tional loan approval methods require “a scoring system or        in need of specific forms of financing. The initiative also lets
             using financial statements, which SMEs in most cases don’t       beneficiaries seek direct funding from the Microfinance Proj-
             have.” Currently, MSMEs requesting loans must present            ects Development Authority (MPDA, the former Social Fund
             certified financial statements, tax returns, stamped sales in-   for Development) and banks.

             The Mortgage Market

                                                                                                                                        EFSA

             22. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
Finance (Chap.2) 2_Layout 1 7/10/17 4:29 PM Page 23

                                                                                                  Consumer Credit on the Rise

             Maximizing the Mortgage Market
             Egypt’s high and growing demand for housing and its lim-           ownership disputes, or because the residents live in informal
             ited financing options make mortgages of key importance            settlements. Additionally, long-term mortgage financing is only
             to scaling up banking performance and improving con-               granted after 30% of the unit’s construction is complete, so
             sumers’ standards of living. Although Egypt’s home loan            buyers must pay cash installments until that point, restricting
             market was activated in 2001, it is nowhere near satura-           the pool of borrowers to those who can afford off-plan pay-
             tion. The total value of mortgages was only EGP 6.9 billion        ments. These consumers can already obtain home financing
             in 2016, comprising a negligible 0.36% of GDP and well             from real estate developers, who offer more flexible payment
             behind global averages. “In developed markets such the             schedules and minimal interest rates.
             U.S. and U.K., 80% of consumer lending is directed to-                “Globally, real estate developers have a limited role in pro-
             wards mortgages, and mortgages account for 60-80% of               viding financing options for buyers. For example, developers
             GDP,” explains Issa of CIB. “This means that developing            cannot collect more than 30% of off-plan sales in the U.K. and
             the mortgage market in Egypt is a key area to grow banking         the remaining amount must be financed through mortgages.
             assets and develop retail lending in Egypt.”                       In Egypt, 100% of the property’s value can be collected in cash
                Mortgages have seen sluggish growth due to legislative bar-     by the developer,” Issa elaborates. Developers extend payment
             riers and cost-prohibitive financing mechanisms. For example,      schedules up to 10 years for consumers over monthly, quar-
             banks can issue mortgages only for legally registered proper-      terly or annual installments, luring more consumers from
             ties, but most of Egypt’s inhabited properties are unregistered,   banks. However, experts anticipate much change as lending
             either due to arduous registration procedures, formal              frameworks continue to broaden.

             The CBE’s Mortgage Finance Initiative                                 In February 2014, the CBE unveiled an EGP 10 billion long-
                                                                                term financing initiative for low- and middle-income housing
                                                                                units, with interest rates based on income brackets. In February
                          ial Housi
                        oc                                                      2016, the regulations were amended to add more income
                                   ng
                    S

                                                                                brackets and expand the pool of authorized lenders to include
                                                         or                     foreign mortgage finance companies. The CBE revised the eli-
                                                    Monthly Income              gibility requirements in November 2016 to promote property
                                                  less than EGP 2,100           insurance policies, protect borrowers from discrimination
                  Interest on Home Loan                                         based on occupation, and allow banks to finance 85% of a
                            5%                                                  property’s price. In June 2017, the CBE increased the income
                                                                                thresholds for each bracket.
                                                         w-Incom                   Since its launch, banks participating in the initiative have
                                                       Lo                       lent EGP 6 billion to finance more than 62,000 housing units,
                                                                  e

                    Monthly Income                                              as of April 2017. In early 2017, the global market research Eu-
                 EGP 2,100 to EGP 3,500                                         romonitor named Egypt as the world’s fastest-growing mort-
                                                                                gage market in 2017, forecasting an annual expansion of
                                                                                18.9%, with almost 300,000 units expected to be owned
                    Monthly Income               Interest on Home Loan          through a mortgage by the year’s end. According to EFSA,
                 EGP 2,100 to EGP 4,750                    7%                   mortgage financing has grown by 98% year-on-year in the first
                                                                                four months of 2017, reaching EGP 722 million for the period;
                                                                                87% of that financing went to residential properties.
                           le-Incom
                        idd                                                        “Over the past years, a lot has been done to develop mort-
                    M

                                                                                gages in Egypt. There have been significant regulatory changes
                                      e

                                                  Monthly Income
                                               EGP 3,500 to EGP 10,000          and we’re on the right track,” says Issa. “What’s left is normal-
                                                                                izing mortgage interest rates to induce more lending, which
                                                                                will be a significant boost to the home loan market.” Since the
                  Interest on Home Loan           Monthly Income                float, overnight lending and deposit rates have increased a total
                            8%                 EGP 4,750 to EGP 14,000          of 500 bps to 17.75% and 16.75%, respectively, pushing the
                                                                                cost of home financing up further. “For mortgage finance com-
                                                                                panies not participating in the CBE initiative, the 300 bps in-
                                                         er-Incom
                                                       pp                       terest rate hike [in November 2016] caused interest rates on
                                                   U

                                                                   e

                    Monthly Income                                              mortgages to jump up to 17%.” Mohamed El Etreby, CEO of
                EGP 10,000 to EGP 15,000                                        state-owned Banque Misr told press in early 2017. According
                                                                                to EFSA figures, average mortgage interest rates had not ex-
                                                                                ceeded 12.7% since 2011. “However, we expect the spike to
                                                 Interest on Home Loan          be temporary until the market stabilizes and inflation is ab-
                    Monthly Income
                                                         10.5%                  sorbed, which will allow interest rates—including those on
                EGP 14,000 to EGP 20,000
                                                                                home loans—to cool down,” El Etreby added.

                                                                                                                        Financial Services .23
Finance (Chap.2) 2_Layout 1 7/10/17 4:29 PM Page 24

             Technology Take-off
             Globally, the banking sector’s use of technology has been   suit, such as state-owned The United Bank, which
             increasing over the years, and Egyptian banks today are     launched mobile banking in January 2017.
             taking advantage of technology tools to lower the cost of      Citibank’s Shaikh explains that digital banking in Egypt
             servicing customers and attract more clients into the       is “lagging behind many countries because the economy
             banking system. The introduction of internet, mobile and    remains very much cash-based. Also, the initial technology
             telephone banking services has allowed for faster, more     infrastructure required to jumpstart these services is expen-
             convenient banking transactions as well as a wider client   sive.” Banking technology’s growth has also been sluggish
             reach. Beyond extending their physical footprint, banks     due to regulatory concerns over cybersecurity and con-
             have invested heavily in ATMs and technological infra-      sumer data protection, which are gradually loosening up.
             structure to grow digital banking. Yet, ATM penetration        Another tech-based banking initiative is the ‘smart wal-
             (the number of ATM machines per 100,000 adults) is at       let’ concept. Adopted by major banks such as CIB, AAIB,
             only 0.02%. “For retail banking to grow, banks need to      NBE, Banque Misr and HSBC, this tool links the client’s
             expand their investments in IT, customer experience and     bank account to a smart phone application that allows
             distribution networks as well as improve technologically    consumers to pay phone, internet, electricity and car li-
             savvy services such as internet banking and mobile bank-    cense renewal bills as well as recharge mobile credit, trans-
             ing so customers can fully access their accounts from       fer funds to other wallet holders, deposit or withdraw cash
             anywhere at any time,” says Issa. The latest figures on     from ATMs and issue Virtual Card Numbers (VCNs) to
             mobile banking, which launched in 2014, show that           make secured online purchases.
             fewer than half of Egypt’s 38 banks offer mobile banking       As the transition from cash to credit continues, tech-
             services to their customers. These include Banque Misr,     based banking services will play a vital role in boosting
             Arab African International Bank (AAIB), National Bank       bank performance, enhancing consumers’ banking expe-
             of Egypt (NBE), HSBC, Arab Bank, Emirates NBD, Arab         rience and improving financial inclusion. The integration
             Investment Bank (AIB) and CIB, which recently upgraded      of technology in retail banking improves digital connectiv-
             its application to allow customers to request cheque        ity, which will allow for faster, more accessible banking
             books, control and change supplementary card limits,        services to unbanked consumers, MSMEs and residents of
             and report lost/stolen cards. Other players are following   Egypt’s more remote areas.

                                                                                                     62,764
                                                                                                     62 764 POS tterminals
                                                                                                                     i l

                                                               Key Digital
                                                             Banking Metrics
                                                                (as of Dec 2016)
                          9,832 ATMs

                   3.9 million Credit cards                                                       20.7 million Debit cards

                                                                                                                                  CBE

             24. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
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                                                                                             Consumer Credit on the Rise

             ATM Distribution by Bank (number of machines and share of total as of Dec 2016)

                                                                                                             Compiled from bank websites

             Road to Financial Inclusion
             In the absence of a widespread physical network of com-        almost 23,000 customers per office. Egypt Post offers con-
             mercial banks, Egyptians save and borrow money through         sumers savings accounts, pension distribution and funds
             informal and formal non-banking channels. On the infor-        transfer, with a physical and digital network covering al-
             mal front, households and MSMEs often raise capital via        most the entire nation. Latest figures from the National Post
             gam’iyas (Rotating Savings and Credit Associations, known      Authority showed total deposits in Egypt Post at EGP 184
             as RoSCAs). Gam’iyas are based on borrowers’ binding           billion as of November 2016. After the pound’s float, Egypt
             ‘credible commitment’ to their lenders, and do not collect     Post hiked interest rates on saving accounts to 10.25%
             collateral or score a borrower’s creditworthiness.             from 8% in order to compete with banks offering 18-20%
                On the formal front, many Egyptians access funds from       returns. For these reasons, along with the adoption of more
             microfinance organizations and store their savings with the    cautious lending strategies by banks, non-banking chan-
             Egyptian Postal Service. The number of post offices, which     nels have successfully managed to hold a substantially
             is almost identical to the number of bank branches, serves     larger market share than banks.

             Egypt Post Services
                                                                                   As of December                 Year-on-year
                                                                                         2016                     growth (%)
              Number of post offices                                                        3,931                        6.0%
              Average number of people served by each post office                          22,670                        1.5%
              Number of pensions distributed through post offices                         5,800,000                      6.0%
              Number of instant postal financial transfers                                1,314,000                      8.6%
                                                                                   Ministry of Communications and Information Technology

             As the government continues to push for wider formal ac-       Financial Inclusion Week.
             cess to finance, the role of non-banking channels in im-         Nonetheless, retail banking will remain a vital element
             proving financial inclusion cannot be neglected or             in Egypt’s road to financial inclusion. Key issues to focus
             underestimated. “The road to financial inclusion does not      on include resolving legislative barriers to mortgage
             rely only on banks, but on other financial institutions that   growth and MSME lending, heavily investing in banks’
             can help, such as Egypt Post, NGOs specialized in micro-       physical and digital distribution networks, incorporating
             finance, and the [MPDA], along with e-payment compa-           innovative products to counter shrinking purchasing
             nies such as Fawry,” Egyptian Agriculture Bank Chairman        power, and normalizing interest rates to less cost-prohibitive
             El-Sayed El-Kosayer told press in May during Egypt’s annual    levels for borrowing.

                                                                                                                  Financial Services .25
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                 THE MARRIAGE OF FINANCE
                 AND TECHNOLOGY
                 F
                        ollowing the 2008 global financial crisis, policymakers concentrated their regulatory efforts on making fi-
                        nancial sectors less susceptible to economic crashes. Accordingly, banking systems were stuffed with capital,
                        and new compliance standards transformed what was once a back-office job into a C-suite one. Alongside
                 the emphasis on regulation, compliance and security, institutions shifted toward a more consumer-centric approach
                 to financial services, spurring innovations in fintech, the technology-based products and services that build on
                 traditional financial services. “[Fintech] is essentially a tool to improve the way individuals and companies bank,
                 or in Egypt’s case, provide an alternative means for the unbanked population to manage money,” says Menna Abd
                 El Rahman, general manager of Cairo Angels, an angel investment firm. Internet banking, mobile banking, ATMs,
                 point-of-sale (POS) terminals and drive-up banking are all fintech services that have been offered by banks over
                 the years. The industry has since expanded to embrace a wide array of non-banking fintech services. According
                 to a March 2017 report by the regional entrepreneurship network Wamda and the UAE-based e-payments provider
                 PayFort, the global fintech industry has evolved to include lending, capital raising and payment solutions services
                 as well as crowdfunding platforms, peer-to-peer lending networks, mobile money and many others.

             26. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
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             Evolution of Global Fintech

                                                                           Bank mainframe
                                                                             computers
                                                                          Banking data and                               Electronic banking
                                                                           record-keeping
                                          ATMs                                 systems                                    Mobile banking

                      1950s              1960s             1970s              1980s               1990s                      2000s                    Today
                     Credit cards                           Electronic                              Internet                                     Mobile wallets
                                                          stock trading
                                                                                                 E-commerce                                    Payment solutions
                                                                                                Online stock                                     Online lending
                                                                                             brokerage websites                                    platforms
                                                                                                                                                Robo-advisors for
                                                                                                                                                    wealth and
                                                                                                                                               retirement planning

                                                                                                                                                         Assorted media
               In addition to developing faster, more efficient financial trans-      Egyptian Agricultural Bank (EAB), told local media that finan-
             action services, fintech is helping increase access to formal fi-        cial inclusion’s role is to “ensure that all segments of society
             nance, particularly in countries with low financial inclusion            have adequate opportunities to manage their money and sav-
             such as Egypt. Around 85% of the population is unbanked in               ings in safe and secure channels [rather than] non-official
             this largely cash-based, informal economy. The Central Bank              means, which are [unregulated] and may be scams.” Fintech
             of Egypt (CBE) defines financial inclusion as giving all citizens        has stretched the term ‘formal channels’ to include much more
             access to financial products—such as saving and current ac-              than just banking products. As technology continues to im-
             counts, insurance, credit and other services—through formal              prove and the costs of connectivity continue to decrease, non-
             channels at affordable prices, particularly for low-income               banking fintech services can significantly contribute to
             groups. In May 2017, El-Sayed El-Kosayer, chairman of the                enhancing financial inclusion in Egypt.

             Egypt’s Enabling Environment
             Fintech’s growth, particularly in the past half-decade, has been         by the Northwestern University in Qatar indicated that Egyp-
             spurred by several trends. The transition to internet economies,         tians aged 18 to 34 represent 74% of the country’s internet
             social networks and e-commerce has been a primary growth                 users and 76% of smartphone holders. As such, tech-based
             driver. Internet has increasingly become a household staple in           financial services that are more user-friendly, cheaper and
             Egypt: The average income for an Egyptian, according to the              faster have gained momentum due to their popularity among
             state statistics agency CAPMAS, is around EGP 3,700 per                  millennial consumers.
             month, while the average internet plan costs approximately
                                                                                                    Population                                     eration Y
             5% of a monthly income. Almost 40% of Egypt’s 93 million                                                                           Gen

             people use the internet and about 20% are e-commerce con-
             sumers, and tech innovations have made it increasingly easier
             to acquire and analyze data about these consumers.
               The sheer size of Egypt’s population is another major con-
                                                                                                    92.9 million                                33.7 million
             tributor. The population grows by an average of 2.5% per
             year and is forecasted to hit the 100 million mark by 2020—                          rn  et Penetra
                                                                                                                   tio                          bile Penetrat
                                                                                                                                                               io
                                                                                               nte                                            Mo
             giving Egypt the largest consumer base in the Middle East
                                                                                                                                                                n
                                                                                             I

                                                                                                                     n

             and North Africa (MENA). As with many other emerging
             economies, Egypt’s population is characterized by a youth
             bulge, a demographic advantage for demand and consump-
             tion. Egypt’s millennials (the 15-to-35 age bracket also known                               39.2%                                      109.7%
             as Generation Y) make up about 40% of the population, and
                                                                                                          ng Dens                                    d Consum
             this generation is known for their fast-paced, technologically                         nki             it                          nke             er
                                                                                               Ba                                             Ba
                                                                                                                     y

                                                                                                                                                                 s

             conscious lifestyles as well as high consumption patterns.
             According to a report by the global market research company
             Nielsen, millennials as a consumer group have growing
             spending power and demand “convenience, connectivity
                                                                                                       23.4%                                          14%
             and options that allow them to be in control.” A 2016 report
                                                                                                                                                      CAPMAS, MCIT, CBE

             28. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
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                                                                                       Marriage of Finance and Technology

             Fintech in Egypt
               Egypt is one of MENA’s most-advanced fintech hubs, host-           digital banking, personal finance management, funding, busi-
             ing 16% of the region’s fintech companies. This makes the            ness intelligence, online payments and payment solutions.
             country the second largest hub after the United Arab Emi-            However, the predominant fintech services in Egypt are mainly
             rates (UAE) and putting it ahead of Jordan, Lebanon and              digital and mobile banking, payment solutions and mobile
             Morocco. “The technology infrastructure supporting fin-              money,” explains Cairo Angels’ Abd El Rahman.
             tech in Egypt is far ahead of regional peers such as Mo-               In Egypt, non-banking fintech services operate in partnership
             rocco, Tunisia and the UAE,” says Islam Shawky, CEO and              with local banks, meaning that transactions flow through the
             co-founder of Paymob, an Egyptian payment solutions                  banking system, even if the end-user of the service does not
             provider in the market since 2015.                                   have an account with the bank backing the service. Non-bank-
               While the fintech industry at large offers a wide range of serv-   ing fintech services such as mobile money and payment solu-
             ices to facilitate financial transactions, Egyptians are not yet     tions offer a promising opportunity for banks to tap into the
             taking advantage of the full spectrum. “The primary buckets in       financially excluded population due to the lower costs asso-
             fintech services worldwide are consumer credit, payment so-          ciated with service distribution and wider reach into rural and
             lutions, crypto currencies (such as bitcoin), money transfers,       other underserved areas of the country.

             Mobilizing Money
               “In developing countries like Egypt, Kenya, Brazil and               “The reason why M-Pesa’s usage is very high partially goes
             Pakistan, financial technology mechanisms work really                back to Kenya’s social context at the time of its launch,”
             well with financially illiterate populations. This is because        Shawky says. “There was a civil war, and people were afraid
             financial illiteracy can be overcome by financial technol-           to hold cash. The population is also substantially dispersed
             ogy tools such as mobile money,” explains Nadir Shaikh,              across the country with no roads and infrastructure, which cre-
             managing director of Citibank Egypt, referring to the use of         ated a big gap for M-Pesa to fill. People needed an easy mech-
             a mobile phone to transfer, withdraw or deposit funds, pay           anism to transfer money to friends and family in such difficult
             bills, make purchases and other transactions. Kenya’s M-             social circumstances, which is why people quickly jumped on
             Pesa is the world’s leading mobile money system and is               the M-Pesa boat. Egypt’s population, on the other hand, is con-
             used by more than two thirds of the country’s population.            densed within 7% of the country’s entire land, and despite the
             It was launched in 2007 by the mobile network operator               political events over the past five years, the majority of the tur-
             (MNO) Safaricom, and now around 25% of Kenya’s gross                 bulence was happening in urban areas.”
             national product flows through M-Pesa. “M-Pesa is nearly               Until recently, the biggest obstacle for mobile money in Egypt
             a nationwide financial tool the Kenyan population uses for           was government regulation: It was only in December 2016
             managing money,” says Shaikh. “And the reason for this is            that the CBE issued new rules allowing for the interoperability
             that when mobile technology is adopted in a country’s fi-            of MNO mobile money platforms, which went live in May
             nancial sector, financial inclusion substantially improves.”         2017. The rules also allow customers to receive cross-border
               Mobile money has been in Egypt since 2013 through the              family remittances into their respective mobile accounts,
             country’s three MNOs—Orange (formerly Mobinil), Vodafone             which can then be disbursed through mobile-money distribu-
             and Etisalat—each operating in collaboration with a bank. The        tion networks across the country. Particularly promising for res-
             service has not gained much momentum since its inception,            idents of rural cities, the CBE’s measures are a positive step
             however, with only 7 million subscribers compared to more            towards expanding mobile payment services in Egypt and im-
             than 17 million subscribers in Kenya. The problem is not one         proving access to financial services. In early 2017, Khalid El-
             of technology, for Egypt has a more advanced mobile money            gibali, division president of Mastercard MENA, told Oxford
             infrastructure than Kenya. Paymob’s Shawky explains that             Business Group (OBG), “With more than 85% of the country’s
             Kenya’s M-Pesa works on a closed-loop basis, meaning users           population lacking access to formal banking products and a
             of different networks cannot transfer funds to each other.           mobile penetration rate exceeding 100%, processing pay-
             Egypt’s infrastructure, however, has always used an open loop,       ments can be the first entry point for the unbanked to engage
             allowing transfers between different mobile money platforms.         with the banking system.”

                                                                                                                           Financial Services .29
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             Egypt’s Mobile Money Market
                         Platform                             Partners                                       Services
                                                                                     - Recharge mobile credit and bill payment
                                                                                     - Deposit into Vodafone wallet with a maximum of
                                                                                     EGP 3,000/day or EGP 5,000/month
                                                                                     - Money transfer
                                                                                     - ATM service for deposits and withdrawals
                                                                                     - Deposit, transfer and withdraw money to other
                                                                                     Etisalat Flous accounts
                                                                                     - Online payment transactions from Etisalat Flous
                                                                                     wallet
                                                                                     - Virtual Card Number (VCN) Plug-in to secure online
                                                                                     shopping
                                                                                     - Recharge mobile credit and bill payment
                                                                                     - Deposit, transfer and withdraw money to other
                                                                                     Orange Money accounts
                                                                                     - Money transfer to non-Orange Money members
                                                                                     - Money donations to certified charity organizations
                                                                                                                                   MNO websites

             Expediting Payment Solutions
             When it launched in 2007, Fawry was the first non-banking           one customer orders items from multiple retailers through a
             payment solution providers in Egypt; Bee Smart Payments So-         single website, with each source sending its own courier to
             lutions quickly followed in 2009. Both companies provide            collect payment.
             consumers with alternative channels through which to pay              Paymob’s Shawky notes that courier services are costly in
             bills and make purchases—services that have proved very             terms of money and time: “This slows down company oper-
             handy especially among those without bank accounts. Fawry           ations and actually limits its growth.” Paymob’s solution was
             and Bee’s services include secured online payments, payment         to team up with banks and online retailers to provide mobile
             on delivery, and retail points to mediate financial transactions.   POS terminals to couriers and allow customers to use their
             For example, a person without a credit card could book a            credit cards to pay for their entire order at one time, regardless
             flight with a travel agent and then pay for the tickets at a        of how many sources are involved. Paymob’s mobile POS ter-
             nearby Fawry-certified kiosk, which transfers the money to          minal system is now used by seven banks and several major
             the travel agency through a partner bank. In July 2017, Fawry       online businesses including the Egyptian e-commerce website
             announced plans to partner with seven more banks and invest         Jumia, the global shopping website Edfa3ly.com, and the on-
             EGP 400 million to expand its services.                             line event booking portal E7gezly.com.
               “Money transfer is a great opportunity in Egypt because of          Other players in the Egyptian market include PayFort,
             our banking system’s centralization. The introduction of Fawry      which launched in the UAE in 2013 and was recently fully
             was a brilliant step towards the decentralizing and mobilizing      acquired by Seattle-based Amazon. PayFort provides secured
             money transfers in Egypt, and it successfully managed to ex-        online payment gateways for businesses, governments and
             tend its reach across the country,” notes Cairo Angel’s Abd El      SMEs operating in the Middle East to target banked and un-
             Rahman. The market has since grown to include many pay-             banked customers. In late 2016, amid rising inflation, the
             ment solutions providers working with banks, businesses and         company partnered with the private bank CIB to offer in-
             customers to make fast and more secure payments possible.           stallment plans for Egyptian consumers buying from Pay-
               “Currently, Egypt remains a cash-based society, with 98%          Fort’s partner websites.
             of payments in the country taking place through cash,” said           The heavy reliance on cash in Egypt is one of the reasons
             MasterCard’s Elgibali. “Security is a big concern for con-          the informal economy, estimated at about 70% of the coun-
             sumers: lack of trust is often cited as the main factor discour-    try’s GDP, has yet to be reined in. New payment technologies
             aging consumers from shopping online or embracing                   make financial transactions more mobile and widely acces-
             e-payment methods.” In response, most online retailers offer        sible from the remotest of areas, which can potentially shift
             cash-on-delivery services. This can get cumbersome when             more of Egypt’s gray economy into the formal one.

             30. AmCham Egypt Industry Insight
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