Global high consequence infectious disease events Monthly update

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Global high consequence
infectious disease events
Monthly update
May 2019
Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

About Public Health England
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and reduce health inequalities. We do this through world-leading science, knowledge
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Prepared by: Emerging Infections and Zoonoses Section, PHE
For queries relating to this document, please contact: epiintel@phe.gov.uk

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Published June 2019
PHE publications                                     PHE supports the UN
gateway number: GW-485                               Sustainable Development Goals

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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

Introduction
This monthly report provides detailed updates on known high consequence infectious
disease (HCID) events around the world.

This report details all the HCID pathogens that are covered during epidemic intelligence
activities. The report is divided into 2 sections. The first contains contact and airborne
HCIDs that have been specified for the HCID Programme by NHS England. The
second section contains additional HCIDs that are important for situational awareness.

Each section consists of 2 tables of known pathogens and includes descriptions of
recent events. A third table will be included in the second section when undiagnosed
disease events occur that could be interpreted as potential HCIDs.

Likelihood assessment

Included for each disease is a ‘likelihood assessment’; the likelihood of a case
occurring in the UK, based on past UK experience and the global occurrence of travel-
associated cases. There are 3 categories currently: LOW, VERY LOW and
EXCEPTIONALLY LOW. This assessment is as of January 2019.

When considering clinical history, it is important to remember that cases can and do
occur outside of the usual distribution area. It is not possible to assess accurately the
risk of cases presenting to healthcare providers in England, but taken together it is
inevitable that occasional imported cases will be seen.

Events found during routine scanning activities that occur in endemic areas will briefly
be noted in the report. Active surveillance, other than daily epidemic intelligence
activities, of events in endemic areas will not be conducted (such as actively searching
government websites or other sources for data on case numbers).

The target audience for this report is any healthcare professional who may be involved
in HCID identification.

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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

Section 1. Incidents of significance of primary HCIDs

Ebola virus disease – outbreak in North Kivu and Ituri provinces, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)

                                                             Contact HCIDs
 Infectious               Geographical risk areas         Source(s) and route of      UK experience          Likelihood
 disease                                                  infection                   to date                assessment
                          Endemic in Central and          • bite from or crushing      Two confirmed cases    LOW
                          Eastern Europe, Central             of an infected tick      (ex-Afghanistan 2012; Rarely reported in
                          Asia, the Middle East,          • contact with blood or      ex-Bulgaria 2014)      travellers (23 cases in
                          East and West Africa.               tissues from infected                           world literature)
                          First locally acquired case         livestock
                          in Spain 2016                   • contact with infected
                          (Risk Assessment)                   patients, their blood
                                                              or body fluids
 Crimean-Congo
 haemorrhagic fever       Recent cases/outbreaks:
 (CCHF)                   • Russia is reporting sporadic cases, consistent with seasonal transmission
                          • Namibia declared an outbreak, consisting of 1 confirmed case and 6 suspected cases (of which
                            5 tested negative as of 15 May) across 5 regions in the country
                          • South Africa reported its third case of the year, in North West province
                          • Iranian media reported that 12 people have been diagnosed with CCHF since 21 March 2019,
                            compared to 25 cases in the same period last year
                          • Kazakhstan reported a fatal case in a child who reportedly acquired infection in Kyrgyzstan
                          • Turkish media reported a suspected fatal case in Sivas province

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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

                          Sporadic outbreaks in           •   contact/consumption of   Four confirmed cases     VERY LOW
                          Western, Central and                infected animal tissue   (1 lab-acquired in UK    Other than during the
                          Eastern Africa                      (such as bushmeat)       in 1976; 3 HCWs          West Africa outbreak,
                                                          •   contact with infected    associated with West     exported cases are
                                                              human blood or           African epidemic         extremely rare
                                                              body fluids              2014-15)
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          The Ebola outbreak in DRC is ongoing. As of 1 June, a total of 1,994 confirmed and probable
 Ebola virus              cases have been reported across 22 health zones in North Kivu and Ituri provinces. This is an
 disease                  increase of 459 confirmed cases in the past month, compared to 406 in April. A new health zone in
                          North Kivu, Alimbongo, reported a confirmed case for the first time that was epidemiologically
                          linked to Katwa. An additional 28 probable cases were retrospectively identified across 7 health
                          zones – all community deaths which had occurred between 30 January and mid-May. The overall
                          security situation remains highly unpredictable with ongoing threats and attacks against response
                          teams. The WHO Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE) recommended adaptations to the
                          Ebola vaccination strategy to address insecurity and community feedback.

                          The risk for the UK population has not changed and is currently assessed as negligible to very low.
                          Endemic in sub-Saharan       • contact with excreta or    14 cases since 1971, LOW
                          West Africa                     materials contaminated all ex-West Africa         Overall it is the most
                                                          with excreta of infected                          common imported VHF
                                                          rodent                                            but still rare (global total
                                                       • inhalation of aerosols                             35 reported since 1969)
 Lassa fever                                              of excreta of infected
                                                          rodent
                                                       • contact with infected
                                                          human blood or body
                                                          fluids
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:

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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

                          •   as of 2 June, a total of 2,639 suspected cases, including 581 confirmed, have been reported
                              across 22 states in Nigeria. Weekly case numbers have decreased since week 10, and only 27
                              cases were reported in the 4 weeks to 2 June
                          •   Liberia has reported 64 suspected cases, including 13 deaths, since the beginning of the year.
                              Of these, 22 have been confirmed. Ten were reported in the month of May.

                          Sporadic outbreaks in            Contact with infected    No known cases in        VERY LOW
                          Central and Eastern              blood or body fluids     UK                       Five travel-related
                          Africa                                                                             cases in the world
 Marburg virus
                                                                                                             literature
 disease
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • no cases reported since November 2017

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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

                                                             Airborne HCIDs
 Infectious               Geographical risk areas         Source(s) and route of        UK experience to     Likelihood assessment
 disease                                                  infection                     date
                          All human infections            • Close contact with          No known cases in UK VERY LOW
                          acquired in China                   infected birds or                              (PHE Risk Assessment)
                                                              their environments
                                                          • Close contact with
 Influenza
                                                              infected humans (no
 A(H7N9) virus
                                                              sustained human-
 (Asian lineage)
                                                              human transmission)
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • no confirmed or suspected human cases of H7N9 were reported in May

                          Human cases                •        Close contact with        No known cases in UK VERY LOW
                          predominantly in SE Asia,           infected birds or their                        (PHE Risk Assessment)
                          but also Egypt, Iraq,               environments
                          Pakistan, Turkey, Nigeria. •        Close contact with
                          Highly pathogenic H5N1 in           infected humans
 Influenza                birds much more                     (no sustained
 A(H5N1) virus            widespread, including UK            human-human
                                                              transmission)
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • no confirmed or suspected human cases of H5N1 were reported in May
                          • avian outbreaks were reported in Vietnam and Nepal with no (further) associated human cases

 Middle East              The Arabian Peninsula –         •   birborne particles        Five cases in total; 3   VERY LOW
 respiratory              Yemen, Qatar, Oman,             •   direct contact with       imported cases (2012,    (PHE Risk Assessment)
 syndrome                 Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi              contaminated              2013 and 2018), 2
 (MERS)                                                       environment               secondary cases in
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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

                          Arabia and United Arab          •   direct contact with     close family members
                          Emirates                            camels                  of second case; 3
                                                                                      deaths
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • 14 cases, including 5 deaths, were reported in Saudi Arabia in May; 12 were primary and 2 were
                            secondary cases. In total, Saudi Arabia has reported 150 cases across the country since January 2019

                          West and Central Africa         •   close contact with      Three cases in total;   VERY LOW
                                                              infected animal or      2 imported (Sept        Reported outside Africa
                                                              human                   2018) and 1             for the first time in 2018
                                                          •   indirect contact with   nosocomial              (2 in UK and 1 in Israel)
                                                              contaminated            transmission
                                                              material eg bed linen
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
 Monkey pox
                          • as of 05 May, 1,739 suspected cases have been reported from northwestern DRC in 2019. The
                            most affected provinces are Sankuru (56%), Tshuapa (10%) and Ecuador (10%)
                          • laboratory-confirmed monkeypox was reported in Singapore. The patient, a Nigerian citizen, had
                            recently attended a wedding in Nigeria, where he may have consumed bushmeat. The patient
                            recovered and all 22 close contacts in Singapore completed their monitoring period (21 days)
                            without developing disease

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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

                          Outbreaks in Bangladesh         •   direct or indirect     No known cases in UK EXCEPTIONALLY LOW
                          and India; SE Asia at risk          exposure to infected                        No travel-related
                                                              bats; consumption of                        infections in the
                                                              contaminated raw                            literature
                                                              date palm sap
                                                          •   close contact
                                                              with infected
 Nipah virus
                                                              pigs or humans
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • Kerala Health Ministry in India reported 1 confirmed case of Nipah virus infection in Ernakulam.
                            Close contacts are being monitored. This outbreak comes 1 year after an outbreak occurred in a
                            different part (Kozhikode) of Kerala, with 17 deaths. The source of the current outbreak is
                            unknown and investigations are ongoing

                          Predominantly sub-              •   flea bites             Last outbreak in UK   VERY LOW
                          Saharan Africa but also         •   close contact with     1918                  Rarely reported in
                          Asia, North Africa, South           infected animals                             travellers
 Pneumonic                America, Western USA            •   contact with human
 plague (Yersinia                                             cases of pneumonic
 pestis)                                                      plague
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • no confirmed or suspected human cases were reported in May

                          Currently none; 2          • airborne particles       Four cases related to      EXCEPTIONALLY LOW
 Severe acute             outbreaks originating from • direct contact with con- 2002 outbreak              Not reported since 2004
 respiratory              China 2002 and 2004          taminated environment
 syndrome (SARS)          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • no confirmed or suspected human cases reported since 2004

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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

Section 2. Incidents of significance of additional HCIDs

Nothing of significance

                                                           Contact HCIDs
 Infectious               Geographical risk areas           Source(s) and             UK experience          Likelihood assessment
 disease                                                    route of infection        to date
                          Argentina (central).              • direct contact with      No known cases in UK EXCEPTIONALLY
                          Limited to the provinces of          infected rodents                               LOW
                          Buenos Aires, Cordoba, Santa • inhalation of                                        Travel-related cases
                          Fe, Entre Rios and La Pampa          infectious rodent                              have never been
                                                               fluids and excreta                             reported
 Argentine
                                                            • person-to-person
 haemorrhagic
                                                               transmission has
 fever (Junin virus)
                                                               been documented
                           Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • as of 16 May, Argentina has reported 3 confirmed cases of Junin virus from Santa Fe province in
                             2019. This is consistent with the same time period last year

                          Bolivia – limited to the             •     direct contact with   No known cases in UK   EXCEPTIONALLY
                          Department of Beni,                        infected rodents                             LOW
 Bolivian                 municipalities of the provinces      •     inhalation of                                Travel-related cases
 haemorrhagic             Iténez (Magdalena, Baures                  infectious rodent                            have never been
 fever (Machupo           and Huacaraje) and Mamoré                  fluids and excreta                           reported
 virus)                   (Puerto Siles, San Joaquín           •     person-to-person
                          and San Ramón)                             transmission has
                                                                     been documented

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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • Bolivia reported 1 confirmed case in an infant (less than 6 months of age) in Potosi Department

                          Single case acquired in              •     presumed rodent        No known cases in UK   EXCEPTIONALLY
                          Zambia lead to a cluster in                contact (excreta, or                          LOW
                          South Africa in 2008                       materials contam-                             Single travel-related
                                                                     inated with excreta                           case; not reported
 Lujo virus disease                                                  of infected rodent)                           anywhere since 2008
                                                               •     person-to-person
                                                                     via body fluids
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • no confirmed or suspected human cases reported since 2008

                           Only reported from China            •     presumed to be tick    No known cases in UK   EXCEPTIONALLY
                           (southeastern), Japan and                 exposure                                      LOW
                           Korea                               •     person-to-person                              Not known to have
                                                                     transmission                                  occurred in travellers
                                                                     described in
                                                                     household and
                                                                     hospital contacts,
 Severe fever with                                                   via contact with
 thrombocytopenia                                                    blood/bloodstained
 syndrome (SFTS)                                                     body fluids
                          Recent cases/outbreak:
                          • South Korea reported 11 cases in May, relatively consistent with previous years
                          • Japan reported 8 cases in May, bringing the total reported in 2019 to 25. This is consistent with
                            previous years

                              (China does not provide publically available data on cases of SFTS)

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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

                                                            Airborne HCIDs
 Infectious               Geographical risk areas         Source(s) and                 UK experience        Likelihood assessment
 disease                                                  route of infection            to date
                          Chile and Southern              • rodent contact              No known cases in UK VERY LOW
                          Argentina                          (excreta, or materials                          Rare cases in travellers
                                                             contaminated with                               have been reported
                                                             excreta of infected
                                                             rodent
                                                          • person-to-person
 Andes virus                                                 transmission
 (Hantavirus)                                                described in
                                                             household and
                                                             hospital contacts
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • Chile reported 3 cases of hantavirus in May, bringing the total for 2019 to 49 cases and 9 deaths
                            (Chile has stopped reporting specific Hantaviruses separately)

                          Mostly China (March 2017 Close contact with        No known cases                    VERY LOW
                          new strain in Greece, and infected birds or their                                    Not known to have
                          subsequently found in     environments                                               occurred in travellers
 Influenza
                          Western Europe)                                                                      (PHE risk assessment)
 A(H5N6)
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
 virus
                          • no confirmed or suspected human cases of H5N6 were reported in May
                          • no avian outbreaks of H5N6 were reported in May

                          Sporadic occurrence             •   close contact with        No known cases         VERY LOW
 Influenza                including Europe and UK             infected birds or their                          Human cases are rare,
 A(H7N7) virus                                                environments                                     and severe disease
                                                                                                               even rarer
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Global high consequence infectious disease events: May 2019 update

                                                          •   close contact with
                                                              infected humans (no
                                                              sustained human-to-
                                                              human transmission)
                          Recent cases/outbreaks:
                          • no confirmed or suspected human cases of H7N7 were reported in May

                                                     Undiagnosed Disease Events
                          None reported

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