International "living" report: Long-Term Care and COVID-19 vaccination, prioritization and data - LTCcovid.org

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International “living” report: Long-Term Care and
          COVID-19 vaccination, prioritization and data
   Shoshana Lauter, Klara Lorenz-Dant, Eleonora Perobelli, Ann Caress, Samir K.
                 Sinha, Greg Arling and Adelina Comas-Herrera
                                                Last updated 26th January 2021

 Authors
 Shoshana Lauter, Klara Lorenz-Dant, Adelina Comas-Herrera (Care Policy and Evaluation Centre, London School of Economics and
 Political Science), Eleonora Perobelli (Observatory on Long Term Care, CERGAS SDA Bocconi), Ann Caress (School of Human and
 Health Sciences, University of Huddersfield, UK), Samir K. Sinha (National Institute on Ageing, Ryerson University), Greg Arling
 (School of Nursing, Purdue University, US)
 ltccovid.org
 This document is available through the website ltccovid.org, which was set up in March 2020 as a rapidly shared collection of
 resources for community and institution-based long-term care responses to Covid-19. The website is hosted by CPEC at the
 London School of Economics and Political Science and draws on the resources of the International Long Term Care Policy
 Network.
 Corrections and comments are welcome at s.e.lauter@lse.ac.uk. This document was last updated on 26th January 2021 and may
 be subject to updates and revision.
 Copyright: © 2020 The Author(s). This is an open-access document distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons
 Attribution NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported International License (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0), which permits unrestricted use,
 distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. See
 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/.
 Suggested citation
 Lauter S, Lorenz-Dant K, Perobelli E, Caress A, Sinha SK, Arling G and Comas-Herrera A (2021) International “living” report: Long-
 Term Care and COVID-19 vaccination, prioritization and data. LTCcovid.org, International Long-Term Care Policy Network, CPEC-
 LSE, 26th January 2021.
 Follow us on Twitter
 @shoshlauter, @LorenzKH, @adelinacohe, @eleperobelli, @DrSamir Sinha @CPEC_LSE, @researchisace, @RyersonNIA,
 @LTCcovid

ltccovid.org | Living report: International approaches to COVID-19 vaccination prioritization and data                       1
1. Key points
    •   This report aims to provide an overview of progress in the delivery of COVID-19 vaccinations to people
        who use and provide long-term care. It is a collaborative “living report” that is updated and expanding
        regularly, please email s.e.lauter@lse.ac.uk if you would like to contribute.

    •   The report shows data on COVID-19 vaccinations for populations that either use and provide long-term
        care or are likely to do so. As of 26th January, these data are only available for a few countries, as most
        countries do not yet share disaggregated vaccination figures according to the characteristics of people
        who are vaccinated. In contrast, many countries provide data disaggregated by geographical area.

    •   An initial review of vaccine prioritization documents shows that care home residents and personnel are
        consistently listed among the group with the highest priority. Care partners and family members of
        care home residents and unpaid carers of people living in the community are only explicitly mentioned
        in a few countries. There are few mentions of people living with dementia or people with learning
        disabilities, although there is growing pressure in some countries (e.g. United Kingdom) for people with
        learning disabilities to be prioritised.

    •   On the 26th of January we have found data on COVID-19 vaccinations for LTC populations for 11
        countries, but there are important problems with comparability, so the data in this report can only
        provide a broad indication of scale and is not suitable for detailed analysis.

    •   While most countries for which we have found data stated that care home residents were amongst the
        highest priority group, this does not necessarily translate into practice. In some countries the initial
        vaccination effort was entirely directed towards care homes, despite logistical challenges. So far, Israel,
        Denmark, Scotland and Cyprus, and some regions in Spain and Canada’s provinces have completed (or
        nearly completed) the 1st doses of vaccination of care home residents and staff, while England,
        Northern Ireland and Croatia, are close to achieving this goal too.

    •   There is marked contrast in the targeting of vaccinations, whereas some countries have initiated their
        vaccination rollout by targeting care homes, England, Germany, Italy and the United States have
        adopted a broader vaccination approach, targeting health care professionals and older people living in
        the community before care home residents and staff. This may be due to the logistical difficulties in
        delivering vaccines requiring very cold storage to care homes.

    •   This report also includes a summary of early (non-scientific) evidence on the international experiences
        in vaccination the LTC population. Countries are facing major challenges in respecting their rollout
        plans (in LTCFs and among the whole population) due to logistical challenges related to, on the one
        hand, the logistical challenges posed by some of the vaccines in terms of refrigeration and, on the
        other, the delay in the vaccine delivery announced by both Pfizer and AstraZeneca. There are also
        some indications of reluctance of part of LTC staff and, to a lesser extent, residents, to get vaccines.
        Finally, the need for consent policies for residents who lack capacity is another reason why it is more
        challenging to vaccinate people living in care homes, where a high proportion of residents have
        dementia, compared to older people living in the community.

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2. Introduction
This document gathers data on the COVID-19 vaccine rollout among people who use and provide long-term
care. The aim is to update this document regularly and collaboratively, expanding the countries covered.
Please email s.e.lauter@lse.ac.uk if you would like to provide information on your country or if you would like
to be involved in future versions of the report.

3. Data on COVID-19 vaccination 1st doses among people who use and provide
   Long-Term Care
In this section we report available data on COVID-19 1st dose vaccinations for the population who use and
provide Long-Term Care. For overall country vaccination progress, the website Ourworldindata.org provides
regularly updated data at national level 1. Similarly to Ourworldindata, we include data from official sources (in
some cases media reports of official announcements). We seek to include data on the following groups:
people who live and work in care homes, people who use and provide care in the community (including
unpaid carers) and groups of people who have higher probabilities of using LTC (older people and people with
conditions such as dementia and people with other disabilities).
Data on vaccinations of populations who use and provide LTC is publicly available for very few countries, and it
is not always presented in the same way. For example, in some countries data on vaccinations in care homes
shows vaccinations of care home staff and residents together, whereas in others only data for residents is
available. In some countries, only the share of care homes that have been visited by vaccination teams is
available. Data on the share of care home residents who cannot be vaccinated due to existing COVID
infections, counter indications, delays in obtaining consent or refusals is rarely available. In some cases we
have not included data because we have not found the correct denominator.
Please note that the data presented here are not robust enough for analysis or for detailed country
comparisons, but are reported in order to document early evidence on the degree of prioritisation, in practice,
of LTC populations in the roll out of the COVID-19 vaccination programmes.

1   Many of the data sources on vaccinations we have used in this report were identified through https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations.
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Table 1. Data on COVID-19 Vaccination rollout in groups that use or provide long-term care and older people 2, most recent
disaggregated data available up to 26th January
                Country                 Date        % Population      % Care home       % Care home      % Population     % Population     % of all 1st
                                                   given at least 1     residents        residents &       aged 60 +      80+ given at    vaccination
                                                   dose of vaccine    given at least    staff given at   given at least     least one    doses given to
                                                                       one dose of       least 1 dose     one dose of        dose of      care home
                                                                         vaccine        of COVID-19        COVID-19        COVID-19      residents and
                                                                                                                                              staff
    Belgium 3                         22/01/2021            1.22%               N.A.             N.A.             N.A.         11.18%               N.A.
    Canada 4                          22/01/2021            1.83%               N.A.             N.A.             N.A.            N.A.       Uncertain
    Costa Rica 5                      15/01/2021            0.19%               N.A.             N.A.             N.A.            N.A.          10.93%
    Croatia 6                         11/01/2020            0.72%           66.90%               N.A.             N.A.            N.A.          55.43%
    Cyprus 7                          16/01/2021            0.85%      Around 90%                N.A.             N.A.            N.A.          53.99%
    Denmark 8                         25/01/2021            3.16%           90.47%               N.A.             N.A.            N.A.        19.82%%
    Germany 9                         25/01/2021            1.97%           64.16%          47.6%**.              N.A.          8.36%          79.5%**
    Israel 10                         25/01/2021           26.25%      Completed*         Completed               N.A.            N.A.             8.86%
    Italy 11                          26/01/2021            2.16%           46.47%               N.A.           2.09%           2.64%               N.A.
    Netherlands 12                    19/01/2021            0.44%            Starting            N.A.             N.A.            N.A.          48.05%
                                                                       18/01/2021
    England (UK) 13                   24/01/2021           10.18%         75.00%*                N.A.             N.A.       Over 75%              5.57%
    Northern Ireland        (UK) 14   05/01/2021            2.43%           64.57%            65.32%              N.A.            N.A.          45.40%
    Scotland      (UK) 15             24/01/2021            8.22%          95.00%*               N.A.             N.A.            N.A.          20.50%
    Wales      (UK) 16                24/01/2021            8.59%           66.18%            71.34%              N.A.         40.06%           12.98%
    United      States 17             25/01/2021            6.60%       14.28%***                N.A.             N.A.            N.A.      11.75%***
*The data for Israel combines care home staff and residents. Also, the data for England and Scotland is based on an announcement of the share of
people vaccinated, but no information is provided on, for example, the percentage of care home residents who may have refused the vaccine or
may have been excluded from vaccination due to contraindications (for example allergies).
** health and long-term care workforce
*** the data for care homes in the US is only for the number of doses and not the numbers of people, so this figure is an overestimate
Sources: as indicated in the footnotes for each country

2 All data on population sizes has been obtained from: https://population.un.org/wpp/ All data on number of care home residents, unless specified,
has been obtained from https://ltccovid.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Mortality-associated-with-COVID-among-people-living-in-care-homes-
14-October-2020-3.pdf
3 COVID-19_Weekly_report_FR.pdf (sciensano.be)
4 https://covid19tracker.ca/
5 https://www.ccss.sa.cr/noticias/general?ccss-registra-24-859-vacunas-contra-la-covid19-aplicadas
6 https://vlada.gov.hr/news/beros-croatia-registering-fewer-infections-hospitalisations/31274
7 Ανακοινωθέντα Άρθρο - PIO estimated based on the % of care homes where staff and residents have been vaccinated
8 https://covid19.ssi.dk/overvagningsdata/vaccinationstilslutning and https://www.sst.dk/-

/media/Udgivelser/2021/Corona/Vaccination/Kalender/Vaccinationskalender-8-
9 https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Daten/Impfquotenmonitoring.html
10 https://www.israel21c.org/israel-has-vaccinated-everyone-in-elder-care-facilities/
11 https://www.governo.it/it/cscovid19/report-vaccini/
12 https://www.rivm.nl/covid-19-vaccinatie/cijfers-vaccinatieprogramma
13 https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare?areaType=overview&areaName=United%20Kingdom, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-

55786409 and Analysis of population estimates tool - Office for National Statistics (ons.gov.uk)
14 New phase in Covid-19 vaccination programme is a game-changer | Department of Health (health-ni.gov.uk)
15 https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare?areaType=overview&areaName=United%20Kingdom and https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-

55710758
16 Rapid COVID-19 virology - Public - Public Health Wales Health Protection | Tableau Public
17 https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations, this may include 2nd doses

ltccovid.org | Living report: International approaches to COVID-19 vaccination prioritization and data                                         4
Figure 1. Share of total population and of care home population who have had the 1st dose of the COVID-19 vaccine, most recent
data available up to 26th January 2021

     100%

     80%

     60%

     40%

     20%

       0%
               Israel     Scotland     Denmark      Cyprus      England      Croatia    Wales (UK) Northern       Germany        Italy   United
                            (UK)        Care home residents given
                                                             (UK) at least one dose of COVID-19  vaccine
                                                                                           Ireland                                       States
                                                                                                        (UK)
                                        Population given at least 1 dose of COVID-19 vaccine

Source: as per table 1.

Data for vaccinations of people who use or provide LTC in Spain is not available at national level, but some
Autonomous Communities report having completed the first dose vaccinations for all care homes that had no
COVID-19 outbreaks (Asturias 18, Galicia 19, La Rioja 20) and are starting the second doses.

4. Prioritisation of people who use and provide Long-Term Care for COVID-19
   vaccinations
As countries began approving major pharmaceutical companies’ COVID-19 vaccines in early December, the
question of which populations would be first (and second and third) to receive them loomed large. Most
countries are prioritising groups at highest risk of death and or infections based on their age and health status,
job-related exposure and living in congregate settings.
LTC Covid has begun reviewing the prioritization plans of different countries with a particular focus on the
language regarding long-term care residents, carers, and personnel (see Table 2).
In terms of priority trends (i.e. those whom councils typically declare “Group 1” sub-populations), we find
long-term care residents and personnel consistently listed, while partners/families of residents and
unpaid/at-home carers are not explicitly mentioned in most countries. We also note that those deemed
clinically vulnerable are amongst the top-prioritized, but there is little mention of those receiving long-term
care for neurological illnesses (e.g. dementia, Alzheimer’s) and people with learning disabilities. In the United
Kingdom, people with Down’s Syndrome were added to the list of individuals classed as ‘clinically extremely
vulnerable’ in November 2020, due to evidence of increased risk, hence will be higher priority for vaccination.
There have been calls in the UK for this to be extended further, including a legal challenge. It is rare to find
explicit mention of those receiving at-home and outpatient long-term care.
An analysis of the COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group has compared the groups prioritized in the UK
vaccination rollout plan to the COVID-19 deaths observed among those groups. They found that the priority

18 https://coronavirus.asturias.es/-/el-gobierno-del-asturias-comienza-la-administraci%C3%B3n-de-la-segunda-dosis-de-vacuna-anticovid
19 https://www.laregion.es/articulo/galicia/nieves-cabo-es-primera-persona-completar-fase-vacunacion-galicia/20210117093914999688.html
20
   https://www.larioja.com/la-rioja/coronavirus/directo-sala-alba-20210114111414-nt.html
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groups represent less than half of the UK population yet amount to 99% of the COVID-attributed deaths. They
also estimated the number of vaccinations required to prevent one COVID-19 death and found that this
increased rapidly when moving down the priority order; for example, among care home residents 20
vaccinations would be needed to prevent one death, compared to 2,000 among people aged 60 and over, and
to 47,000 for the rest of the population.

Table 2. Long-Term Care Group Prioritization (Based on Countries’ Advisory Council Reports)
                   Older      People      Care        Care      Unpaid     Community     People who     LTC          Clinically    People with      People       Other Notable
                  People       living     Home      Partners    Carers        LTC            use       workers      vulnerable      dementia,        with         Populations
                 (typically   in Care   Personnel       of                  workers      community-     (all)      groups (i.e.    neurological    learning
                    75+)      Homes                  people                               based LTC               comorbidities)      illness     disabilities
                                                    who live                               services
                                                     in Care
                                                     Homes

     Australia     ✓(1)         ✓         ✓(1)                                                           ✓(1)          ✓(1)                                           ✓(1)
                                                                                                                                                                  (indigenous
                                                                                                                                                                 communities,
                                                                                                                                                                  non-medical
                                                                                                                                                                    essential
                                                                                                                                                                    workers)

     Austria       ✓(2)        ✓(1)       ✓(1)                                                                         ✓(1)            ✓(2)                        ✓ (staff in
                                                                                                                                                                   health care
                                                                                                                                                                  with high risk
                                                                                                                                                                  of infection)
                                                                                                                                                                       (1)
                                                                                                                                                                  ✓(2) (people
                                                                                                                                                                   working in
                                                                                                                                                                     critical
                                                                                                                                                                 infrastructure)

     Belgium         ✓                     ✓                                                                            ✓

     Canada          ✓          ✓          ✓           ✓          In 4                                                  ✓
                                                               Canadian        ✓                          ✓
                                                               Provinces

     Denmark       ✓(3)       ✓(1)        ✓(4)       ✓(6)        ✓(6)                       ✓(2)                       ✓(5)                                           ✓(2)
                                                                             ✓(4)                        ✓(4)                                                        (those
                                                                                                                                                                  performing
                                                                                                                                                                     critical
                                                                                                                                                                  functions in
                                                                                                                                                                    society)

     Estonia         ✓          ✓          ✓                                                                            ✓

      France       ✓(1)       ✓(1)        ✓(1)                                                                         ✓(1)
                                                                             ✓(1)                        ✓(1)

     Germany       ✓(1)       ✓(1)        ✓(1)       ✓(2)        ✓(2)                                  ✓ (1)(2)       ✓(2)(3)          ✓(2)         ✓(2) 21           ✓ 22
                                                                             ✓(1)

     Greece        ✓(2)       ✓(1)        ✓(1)                                                                        ✓(1)(2)
                                                                                                         ✓(1)

21and staff supporting people with learning disability in residential and community/ domiciliary care settings
22(1) staff in health care with very high risk of infection and those caring for people at greatest risk, (2) those at high risk and staff in public health services and
relevant hospital positions
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Hungary      ✓(3)    ✓(2)    ✓(2)                        ✓(2)       ✓(2)      ✓(2)       ✓(5)

    India              ✓(2)   ✓(1)                                                         ✓(2)                   ✓
                                                           ✓(1)                 ✓(1)                         Non-medical
                                                                                                              frontline
                                                                                                              essential
                                                                                                             workers (e.g.
                                                                                                              teachers)

  Indonesia                     ✓                           ✓                    ✓                                ✓
                                                                                                             (working age
                                                                                                               adults)

   Ireland      ✓      ✓(1)    ✓(1)

    Israel      ✓       ✓       ✓                           ✓          ✓

    Italy       ✓       ✓      ✓(1)

   Malta       ✓(1)    ✓(1)    ✓(1)                                                                              ✓(1)
                                                           ✓(2)                                               (Staff and
                                                                                ✓(2)                         residents of
                                                                                                                mental
                                                                                                              hospitals)

     The                       ✓(1)
 Netherlands                                               ✓(1)                 ✓(1)

   Norway      ✓(2)    ✓(1)   ✓(1)

  Singapore    ✓ (2)           ✓(1)                                             ✓(1)

    Spain       ✓       ✓       ✓                                      ✓                    ✓

   United       ✓       ✓       ✓                                                           ✓            ✓
  Kingdom

    USA         ✓       ✓       ✓                                      ✓                    ✓                     ✓
                                                                                                             Non-medical
                                                                                                              frontline
                                                                                                              essential
                                                                                                             workers (e.g.
                                                                                                              teachers)

Annex 1 contains details of advisory council reports on vaccination priorities.

5. From prioritisation to delivery: initial evidence of international experiences
   and challenges
The speed of regulatory approval, as well as constraints in the supply of vaccines, means that some countries
have started vaccinating earlier than others. This, as well as differences in logistical approaches to delivering
vaccinations, explains national differences in overall vaccination rates.

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As prioritisation plans are finalized and rolled out, countries are facing new challenges regarding the delivery
of vaccinations to long-term care populations—some that were expected, and others that may have prompted
unforeseen ethical and logistical questions. Here we highlight some of initial findings on what has been
happening internationally in the transition from prioritization plan to vaccination delivery. This information
has been gathered from news reports and government announcements.

     5.1.             Logistical challenges for getting vaccines into care homes
1. A major challenge presented early in the rollout of vaccinations has been the storage of the
   Pfizer/BionTech and Moderna vaccines. Most countries have found it challenging to work around the
   requirement of providing ultra-cold (-70 degree Celsius in the case of the Pfizer/ BioNTech vaccine) storage
   units to care homes 23. The Oxford/Astrazeneca vaccine (which can be stored at normal cold temperatures,
   between 2 and 8 degrees Celsius) was approved for administration in early January in the United Kingdom
   but has not yet been approved in other countries. The challenge of meeting the Pfizer vaccine
   requirements may explain why in some countries, despite a stated first priority for people living in care
   homes, in practice people who could travel to vaccination centres were vaccinated first.
2. In Germany, mobile teams have started to provide the vaccine in care homes, however, the limited
   number of available vaccine doses and the complex cooling chains that so far were required have been
   posing challenges to quick progress.
• There appears to have been a lag in vaccination delivery during the holiday season, when staffing was low
   and clinics had reduced hours.
• In the United Kingdom, the responsibility of vaccination of long-term care home residents has been placed
   on GP-led clinics, creating new challenges for their already-demanding schedules and disallowing care
   home nurses from taking initiative to vaccinate residents with whom they have established relationships.
   To encourage GP assistance in long-term care facility vaccination drives, the NHS is giving GPs £10 per jab
   boost.
• In the United States most vaccinations in long-term care facilities are being administered under contract by
   major drug store chains (Walgreens, CVS, and others), but there are concerns that this may have slowed
   down the speed of delivery.
• In the USA an ‘aspirational target’, set by the Trump administration, of having all residents and staff in
   long-term care facilities vaccinated by Christmas 2020 was not achieved, with reports of uneven access in
   different areas of the country contributing to this.
• In Canada, there are reports of 100% first-dose vaccination in long-term care facilities having been
   achieved in PEI and Alberta (as of 15th and 17th Jan 2020 respectively. Other provinces such as Quebec and
   BC are nearly complete. However, in Manitoba, concerns have been reported regarding access of
   vulnerable home-dwelling individuals to the vaccine, whilst in Ontario, there has been concern around
   how it initially prioritized non-LTC frontline health care workers over LTC residents and staff that worsened
   its ability to vaccinate LTC residents efficiently especially as vaccine shortages emerged.
• Following Pfizer’s announcement of a delay in the delivery of the vaccine, many European Countries are
   facing great challenges in guaranteeing their rollout plan’s schedule. This could harm the possibility of
   administering the second dose to the prioritized groups who already received the vaccine, which in most
   countries include nursing homes’ residents. For example, Italy received 29% less of the expected doses in
   the January 18-24 week, with sharp variability among regions: some received less than half (e.g. – 53% in
   Veneto, which is currently among the hardest hit territories by the virus) of the planned doses. It will
   receive -20% of the expected doses in the January 25-31 week. Pfizer noted two reasons for the delay: 1)

 Anecdotally, vaccinations in Catalonia (Spain) were partly delayed due to a delivery of refrigerating units being delayed when France closed its border with the
23

United Kingdom in response to the COVID-19 VUI – 202012/01 variant.
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the major plant of Puurus requires some maintenance to increase the production, 2) EMA confirmed that
     six doses, rather than five, can be extracted from each BioNTech/Pfizer vial through a low dead volume
     syringe. The company asserts that its agreement with the European Union is based on a set numbers of
     doses (not vials). The Italian Government announced it will take legal action against Pfizer over the coming
     days. Also, AstraZeneca announced that initial volumes will ‘be lower than originally anticipated’, further
     harming the sustainability of European Governments’ vaccination plans.

     5.2.        Staff and residents hesitant about and/or refusing the vaccine
•    Many care home personnel in the United States are reportedly wary of receiving the vaccination 24, with
     some studies suggesting that close to 30% of healthcare workers are ‘vaccine hesitant.’ Much of the
     uncertainty is rooted in the newness of vaccination and the expediency of its approval, as well as the
     convenience and cost related to getting the vaccine as has been the case in parts of Canada where LTC
     workers must travel to vaccination clinics to receive their vaccine. Similar hesitancies have been reported
     on in the United Kingdom, Malta, Italy, and Canada though exact numbers of refusals by care workers in
     any of these countries are difficult to find (as of January 25th, 2021).
•    Wariness and refusal of the vaccination in the United States also stem from a long history of distrust due
     to mistreatment of lower-income communities of colour and migrants by the healthcare sector.
•    In Germany, a survey suggested less than half of nurses wanted the vaccine, but this is response to a
     theoretical question. In practice, a more confusing portrait appears to be manifesting; the Minister of
     Health says some nursing homes are seeing staff vaccination rates of 80%, while others are at
     approximately 20%.
•    A “high degree of reluctance” is also being seen amongst care home personnel in European countries such
     as France and Austria; one December study in France showed skepticism amongst French care home
     workers as high as 76%. According to Austrian national radio, around only half of care facility staff in the
     Vorarlberg region were willing to be inoculated. Health Ministries are trying to remain hopeful that the
     end of January will bring results with different numbers than what polls have suggested.

     5.3.        Residents unable to be vaccinated
•    While countries may state that they are looking to vaccinate all care home residents and staff (and
     sometime announce this has been achieved), in practice there will be some people who cannot vaccinated.
     This may be due to counterindications (for example for people with a history of severe allergic reactions to
     the vaccines or components of the vaccines. While negative reactions to the vaccinations appear to be
     rare, health ministries across the globe are cautious to remind long-term care residents and personnel that
     allergies and allergic reactions to past vaccinations and medications are justifiable reasons as to refuse the
     vaccine.
•    Pregnancy and Vaccination: The Netherlands explicitly advises against those who are pregnant receiving
     the vaccination. The United States determines it to be a ‘personal choice,’ and encourages those who are
     pregnant to speak with their healthcare providers. Israel is now recommending that pregnant people
     receive it; according to the Health Ministry’s position paper (in cooperation with Israel’s fertility research
     association), “the illness caused by the coronavirus is liable to cause harm during pregnancy...and lead to
     early deliver,” so the importance of immunization outweighs unsubstantiated fears.

24
   See also https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33370448/
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•    There are also different approaches to vaccination in care homes where there are active COVID-19
     outbreaks, which may result in delays in vaccinations in affected care homes, due to risk considerations.

     5.4.            Consent policies and challenges for people who lack capacity
Obtaining consent for people who lack capacity is another reason why vaccinations in care homes take longer
than vaccinating other population groups.
•    Disagreements between families and care home staff over the vaccination of residents who are unable to
     consent have already reached the courts. In Spain, a care home went to court to overturn the refusal of
     vaccination by the family (legal guardians) of a person living with dementia in the care home. The judge
     ruled in favour of the care home, claiming that “’the low risk’ of vaccine harming the woman’s health was
     outweighed by the dangers of remaining exposed to the infection.”
•    In the UK, The Alzheimer’s Society has released a report on consent to COVID-19 vaccination in relation to
     dementia and the Mental Capacity Act of 2005.
•    In Germany, the have also been discussions about information and consent among people living in care
     homes and especially for those who lack capacity. It is required that the legal guardian of people without
     capacity have received information from a medical doctor before being asked for their consent.
•    In Italy, there has been large discussion regarding vaccination consent for elderly residents of nursing
     homes who lack capacity and are without legal guardianship: the law has established that the nursing
     home becomes the legal guardian and has 48 hours to identify relatives (up to the third degree of
     relationship) that can express the consent for the elderly to be vaccinated.

     5.5.            Outbreaks following the first round of vaccination
•    There are reports in many countries25 of care homes where there have been COVID-19 infections shortly
     after the first round of vaccines were administered. It is understood that full protection from the vaccine
     should have been developed around one week following the second vaccination. In the reported cases, it
     was assumed that infection took place shortly before or after the first round of vaccines were delivered. A
     particular dire case of a long-term care home recently hit hard with the virus amidst its vaccination
     program is in Barrie, Ontario.
•    On a positive note, early reports from Israel suggest that, 14 days after the 1st dose was administered,
     infection rates decreased by 50% among those who received the dose.

     5.6.            Reported side effects from the vaccine
•    Reporting of side effects from the vaccine in Germany is very low. By 14 January, 842,455 people had
     received the vaccine. Out of this total, there were 325 reported cases with suspected side effects (0.53
     suspected cases per 1,000 vaccine doses), 51 suspected cases with severe side effect (0.08 suspected cases
     with severe side effects per 1,000 vaccine doses) and 10 deaths following vaccination. Those who were
     recorded to have died until up to four days after they had received the vaccine were between 79 to 93
     years old and suffered from severe underlying illnesses. It is not assumed that these deaths were linked to
     the receipt of the vaccine.
•    The Norwegian Medicines Agency is currently investigating the recent deaths of 23 frail older patients
     after receiving the Pfizer vaccination, however, these deaths were among a population that experiences
     on average 400 every week. “The agency has...concluded that common adverse reactions of mRNA

25
   Rödinghausen: Corona-Ausbruch in Seniorenheim nach Impfungen - Westfalen-Lippe - Nachrichten - WDR,, Dos residencias de mayores sufren brotes después de
la primera dosis de la vacuna (lavozdegalicia.es), https://www.timesofisrael.com/240-israelis-diagnosed-after-vaccination-underscore-need-for-continued-vigilance/
ltccovid.org | Living report: International approaches to COVID-19 vaccination prioritization and data                                                  10
vaccines, such as fever, nausea, and diarrhea, may have contributed to fatal outcomes in some of the frail
    patients,” but is not alarmed and determines these to be unique and rare occurrences. In Germany,
    specialists at the Paul Ehrlich Institute are similarly investigating ten deaths of older patients in palliative
    care following vaccination; they have determined thus far using current data that “they died from their
    main diseases, coinciding in time with the vaccination.” A similar report is ongoing in France.

    5.7.         Vaccination and other public health measures
The impact of vaccination on transmission is as yet unknown, leading to growing recognition that public health
measures, such as physical distancing will need to continue even after the roll out of vaccination programmes.
A recent modelling study has highlighted that this will need to include long-term care facilities.

6. Brief summaries of country vaccine rollout experiences
Canada
See the full report on Canada’s rollout by Samir Sinha, Cameron Feil, and Natalie Iciaszczyk here (published
January 25th, 2020).
Information on Canada’s COVID-19 vaccination rollout comes from the National Advisory Committee on
Immunization, which recommended that the first stage of dosage distribution prioritize residents and staff in
senior homes, adults over 70, health-care workers, and adults in Indigenous communities. However,
jurisdiction over the provision of health care ultimately falls to each province and territory; their
corresponding strategies include complete vaccination of long-term care home residents and staff by February
2021. Four provinces have also chosen to prioritize family caregivers of LTC users in their strategies.
Alongside some globally observed issues in vaccine rollout (e.g. freezer storage planning, vaccine hesitancy),
many Canadian provinces and territories have not yet released updates with details of their long-term care
vaccination rollout plans. Canada has further announced a slight delay in their Pfizer-BioNtech shipments from
Europe (with new deliveries only picking up again during the week of February 1st), forcing provinces and
territories to revise their strategies and delay second-dosage administration. Ontario has indicated that
despite the delay, the province has no intention of letting this affect their LTC resident population and in fact
announced on January 25th that it would speed up its target to administer an initial vaccine dose to all of its
LTC home residents by 10 days with a target completion date of February 5th, 2021.
By the 22nd January 2021 two provinces have completed vaccination of their designated LTC populations
receiving publicly-funded LTC: Prince Edward Island and Alberta (on 15th and 17th January respectively). The
authors are seeking data for other provinces, but so far: British Columbia (90%), Quebec (87%) and Ontario
(60%) have reported these levels of vaccination.
United States
Information on COVID-19 vaccinations comes from the US CDC COVID-19 Vaccine Tracker and CDC LTC and
Pharmacy Partnership web sites. According to CDC guidelines, residents and staff of nursing homes and other
long-term care facilities, along with healthcare workers, are to receive top priority for vaccinations. Most
states, which can set their own priorities, have followed the CDC guidelines.
The rollout of the vaccines is targeted to “long-term care facilities” defined broadly to include nursing
facilities, assisted living facilities, memory centres and other congregate settings for older or disabled people.
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Most vaccinations in long-term care facilities are being administered under contract by major drug store
chains (Walgreens, CVS, and others). Facilities sign up to participate in the program. Vaccines are administered
en masse through “clinics” held on-site in long-term care facilities. Vaccinations are reported as number of
doses. A total of 2,714, 487 doses, either 1st or 2nd doses, had been administered in long-term care facilities
as of January 25, 2021. This is nearly double the number doses administered on January 15 (1,384,963); it
represents an increase of nearly 133,000 doses per day. The number of long-term care facility residents
probably exceeds 2 million, while the number of health and other workers associated with long-term care
facilities is probably roughly the same. A total of 22,734,243 doses (19,252,279 1st, and 3,346,390 2nd) had
been administered to the overall population, including long-term care, as of that date. With the rapid rollout
of the vaccines, the numbers are increasing rapidly.
West Virginia has been unique in being the only US state to opt-out of a federal partnership program that uses
major pharmacy chains to deliver vaccines to nursing homes, but rather used its local pharmacies with the
additional help of the US National Guard to get all of its 214 vaccinated by December 30th, 2020. Connecticut
became the second US State to announce the completion of vaccinating all of its long-term care facilities by
January 8th, 2020.
The CDC offers guidance to long-term care residents and staff on the risks, benefits, and decision to be
vaccinated for COVID-19. Individuals can refuse vaccination for any reason. Written consent is not required by
Federal law but states may have their own requirements. Pharmacy chains or facilities may establish their own
requirements regarding verbal, email, or formal written consent from residents or persons making medical
decisions for them. No data are yet reported by the CDC, pharmacy partners, or the states on the rate of
persons refusing the vaccine.

7. Discussion
Despite most countries announcing that people living in care homes had the highest priority, there is
divergence, in some countries, between this statement and the degree to which vaccinations have been
targeted to care home residents. The evidence on the rollout of vaccines (at this stage mostly captured by
media reports of official announcements) shows that the process of vaccinating people in care homes poses
particular challenges: from the complexity of obtaining consent of some care home residents (see this article
outlining the issues in relation to people living with dementia), to the logistical difficulties posed by the
vaccines that require very low temperatures and the challenge of delivering the vaccines at a when infection
rates in care homes are very high in many countries. This means that, in some countries, despite statements of
priority for care home residents, it has been easier to first vaccinate older people who could travel to
vaccination sites (such as hospitals or health care centres) instead of care home residents.

For further information:
The Our World in Data site, which tracks weekly the announcements of countries beginning to vaccinate.

The Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (OxGCRT) is an ongoing collection of coronavirus
pandemic policy responses from 180+ countries tackling issues related to travel, education, and healthcare
administration.

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The World Health Organization’s (WHO) Strategic Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization (SAGE)
produced a values framework for the allocation and prioritization of COVID-19 vaccination (September 12th,
2020) and is currently making a request for information on vaccine rollout effectiveness and impacts.

The European Center for Disease Control and Prevention’s (ECDC) Overview of COVID-19 vaccination
strategies and vaccine deployment plans in the EU/EEA and the UK (as of December 2nd, 2020).

The Federation of European Social Employers has published a report on how individual EU countries are
prioritizing vaccination of the social care workforce (as of January 15th, 2021).

We are hoping to continuously update and curate the above tables to reflect various countries’ rollout plans,
specifically with regards to long-term care users and personnel. If you would like to contribute information on
your respective country, please contact us at s.e.lauter@lse.ac.uk.

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ANNEX 1. Advisory Councils prioritisation plans, by country.

This table provides an ongoing summary with links to the reports by which Table 2 was formulated.

Table 3. List of Advisory Boards and Published Prioritization Plans (By Country)
     Country           Advisory Board                               Vaccine Rollout Priority Groups (Summary)

                                             “As of 13 November 2020, the initial priority groups for COVID-19 immunisation
                                             identified by ATAGI are:
                                                  •   People who have an increased risk, relative to others, of developing severe
                                                      disease or dying from COVID-19: older people; people with certain pre-
                                                      existing underlying medical conditions; Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander
                                                      people
                                                  •   People at an increased risk of exposure, infection and transmission of COVID-
                                                      19, or are in a setting with high transmission potential: health and aged care
                                                      workers; other care workers such as group residential care workers and
                                                      disability care workers; people in other settings where the risk of virus
                                                      transmission is increased such as correctional and detention facilities, and
                                                      meat processing plants.
                                                  •   People working in critical services: select essential services staff such as
                                                      emergency services providers, defence forces, public health staff and staff
                                                      managing quarantine facilities; people working in supply and distribution of
                                                      essential goods and services such as food, water, electricity,
                                                      telecommunications and other critical infrastructure.
                     Australian Technical
                                             Regular updates from the Department of Health are accessible here.
                      Advisory Group on
    Australia       Immunisation (ATAGI)     Read the full ATAGI report here.

                                             On 26 December 2020 the Federal Ministry of Social Affairs, Health, Care and
                                             consumer protection published the COVID-19 vaccine prioritization recommendations
                                             development by the national vaccination committee.
                                             In the first phase people with the highest priority including residents and staff in care
                                             and nursing home, staff in health care sector with high risk of exposure and people
                                             aged 80 years and older.
                                             The second phase will include people with existing illnesses (including dementia) and
                                             their closes contacts (especially of those living in residential care settings), domiciliary
                      Bundesministerium
                                             care workers, people aged 75 to 79 years.
                     Soziales, Gesundheit,
                          Pflege und         The full strategy providing an overview of the seven priority groups is available here, in
     Austria         Konsumentenschutz       German.

                                             Published in July 2020, The Superior Health Council of Belgium advised prioritization of
                                             1) workers in the healthcare sector (broadly), 2) people over 65 years of age, and 3)
                                             people with higher risk due to comorbidity (e.g. cancers, cardiovascular diseases,
                                             diabetes).
                         Government
                        Commission on        On December 3rd, the COVID-19 Task Force produced a vaccination rollout strategy
     Belgium             Coronavirus         available here, in Dutch.

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Recommended prioritization (but determined by federal/provincial/territorial
                                             discussions):
                                             “1) Those at high risk of severe illness and death from COVID-19 (Advanced age; Other
                                             high-risk conditions (to be defined as the evidence base evolves)
                                             2) Those most likely to transmit COVID-19 to those at high risk of severe illness and
                                             death from COVID-19 and workers essential to maintaining the COVID-19 response
                                             (Healthcare workers, personal care workers, and caregivers providing care in long-
                                             term care facilities, or other congregate care facilities for seniors; Other workers most
                                             essential in managing the COVID-19 response or providing frontline care for COVID-19
                                             patients; Household contacts of those at high-risk of severe illness and death from
                                             COVID-19
                                             3) Those contributing to the maintenance of other essential services for the
                                             functioning of society (Examples: those who cannot work virtually and have
                                             differential exposure to COVID-19 (e.g., police, firefighters, grocery store staff)
                                             4) Those whose living or working conditions put them at elevated risk of infection and
                                             where infection could have disproportionate consequences, including Indigenous
                                             communities (Examples: settings where physical distancing and other infection
                                             prevention and control measures are challenging, access to healthcare infrastructure is
                                             reduced, and infection could have disproportionate consequences).”
                                             Read the full preliminary guidance statement here and the policy report here
                                             (modified Nov. 03, 2020).
                      National Advisory
                       Committee on          Read the full guidance statement on the prioritization of initial doses of COVID-19
     Canada          Immunization (NACI)     vaccine(s) here (modified Dec. 12, 2020)

                                             “It is the Danish Health Authority's professional assessment that the target groups for
                                             the vaccination programme should be given priority in the following order:
                                             1) Residents in nursing homes, etc.
                                             2) People aged ≥ 65 years who receive both personal care and practical assistance.
                                             3)People aged ≥ 85 years.
                                             4) Personnel in healthcare, elderly care and selected parts of the social sector who are
                                             at particular risk of infection or who has been identified as performing a critical
                                             function in society.
                                             5) Selected persons with conditions and diseases that result in a significantly increased
                                             risk of severe illness from COVID-19.
                                             6) Selected relatives of persons at significantly increased risk of severe illness from
                                             COVID-19 or relatives who are indispensable as carers.”
    Denmark        Danish Health Authority Read the full vaccination programme site here (in English or Danish).

                                              Notice from the Ministry of Social Affairs (3rd January 2021): Priority is for health
                                              professionals and healthcare professionals, nursing home staff and residents, people
                                              over 70 years of age, and people with health conditions that increase their
                                              vulnerability to COVID-19. Vaccination to other target groups and the general
                                              population will take place as soon as soon as sufficient COVID-19 vaccines become
     Estonia       Ministry of Social Affairs available.

                                              First phase, scheduled for January and February, prioritizes:
                                              “-The elderly residing in institutions (eg nursing homes)
                                              -The professionals working there and at high risk (age over 50 years, diseases)
                   Ministry of Solidarity and
                                              -All health professionals, including police, firemen and to-home aids for over 50 years
     France                 Health
                                              and / or patients with comorbidities

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-People with disabilities housed in institutions and personnel are engaged aged 50 and
                                             older / or with comorbidities.”
                                             Full plan presented here.

                                             The initial position paper produced by the advisory committee in November 2020 is
                                             linked here (in English).
                                             The rollout plan beginning January 2021 is linked here in German.

                                             A summary of the German vaccination strategy can be found on LTC Covid’s Blog
                                             here. From the summary:
                                                       “The German Federal Ministry of Health emphasises that high risk groups and
                                                       medical staff will be among those who will be given first access to the
                                                       vaccination once it becomes available. It specifically lists: 1) people living in
                                                       care and nursing homes; 2) people aged 80 years and older; 3) staff working
                                                       in health care settings with particularly high risk of exposure (e.g. A&E, staff
                    Standing Committee on              caring for COVID-19 patients); 4) staff in health care setting in close contact
                      Vaccination (STIKO),             with groups at particularly high risk (e.g. Haemato-oncology, transplant
                    German Ethics Council,             medicine); 5) care workers in domiciliary and residential long-term care for
                   The National Academy of             older people; 6) others working in care in nursing homes in contact with
    Germany           Science Leopoldina               residents.

                                             The nationwide campaign entitled “Eleftheria” prioritizes (Group One): health and
                                             social services staff, staff and residents of nursing homes; patients, staff and residents
                                             of rehabilitation centers and care centers for the chronically ill; priority staff for critical
                                             functions in Government. Group Two will prioritize those 70 and older and those
                                             deemed clinically vulnerable.
     Greece           Ministry of Health     The full report (in Greek) can be found here.

                                             National Public Health Centre: only people over 18 with a valid social security number
                                             who have not been diagnosed with COVID-19 in the past 6 months are eligible for
                                             vaccination, in the following order of priority:
                                                  1.   Health care professionals (started on December 26)
                                                  2.   Residents and staff in care homes
                                                  3.   Law enforcement staff working in epidemic defence
                                                  4.   People aged 60 or above
                                                  5.   Younger people with chronic conditions
                    National Public Health        6.   Critical infrastructure workers
     Hungary               Centre                 7.   General public

                                             India’s vaccination rollout will begin on January 16th, following recent approval of
                                             Covaxin (Indian firm Bharat Biotech) and Covishield (Astrazeneca).

                                             Priority will be given to healthcare workers and non-medical essential frontline
                                             workers (appx. 30 million people). This will be followed by those 50 and older and
                    Ministry of Health and
                                             under-50 population groups with co-morbidities deemed clinically vulnerable (appx.
      India            Family Welfare
                                             270 million people). You can find the Prime Minister’s press release here.
                                             According to Reuters (January 4th, 2021), Indonesia is taking a novel approach and
                                             prioritizing working-age adults following the vaccinations of frontline health workers
                                             and public servants.

    Indonesia           Health Ministry

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For more information on COVID-19 developments and protocols, the government
                                              provides this website.
                                         Ireland’s Vaccination Allocation Scheme can be found here.
                   National Immunisation
                     Advisory Committee
                                         As of December 13th, Ireland is first and foremost prioritizing those 65+ who live in
                   (NIAC) and Department
                                         long-term care facilities, and those who work in them. These groups are followed by
     Ireland              of Health
                                         those 70 and older in the following order: 85+, 80-84, 75-79, 70-74.
                                          According to the Israeli Ministry of Health’s Coronavirus Information website, those
                                          first eligible for the COVID-19 vaccine were healthcare workers and individuals over
                                          the age of 60.
                     Ministry of Health’s            Through a decentralized approach, long-term care institutions and nursing
                       Corona National               homes are amongst the top-priority vaccination sites. The Ministry of Health
                    Campaign Information             aims to have all nursing home and LTC residents and workers vaccinated by
                    and Knowledge Center             mid-January.
                                                     More information can be found on the regularly-updated COVID-19
      Israel
                                                     dashboard here.
                                              On December 12th, the Ministry of Health published the Italian strategic plan for the
                                              vaccination against Covid-19. The plan identifies three priority groups for the
                                              vaccination:
                                              1) Front-line health and LTC personnel
                                              2) Nursing homes’ residents
                                              3) People aged 80 or above
                                              These three categories together account for 6,416,372 people (although there might
                                              be an overlap between groups), almost 11% of the Italian population.
                                              For more information, read the Italian strategic plan for vaccination against Covid-19.
                                              Italy has also produced a national immunisation campaign website with live tracking of
       Italy          Ministry of Health      vaccinations.

                                              On December 7th, Malta’s Health Minister informed Parliament of three priority
                                              cohorts to receive the vaccine in January: 1) Staff and residents in homes for the
                                              elderly and mental hospital patients, 2) healthcare workers in private and public
                                              hospitals, 3) People aged 85 and over. The second round in February would prioritize
                                              all other frontline workers and people aged 80+.
                                              The Minister’s speech in parliament and review of the vaccination rollout plan can be
      Malta           Ministry of Health      found at this site. For more details, access the ministry’s COVID-19 dashboard here.

                                              Prioritization of vaccination (beginning in January) includes:
                                              -Acute care hospital staff (staff working in intensive care units, A&E departments and
                                              on COVID-19 wards) and ambulance crews, who are directly involved in the care and
                                              treatment of COVID-19 patients.
                                              -Care professionals working in nursing homes, small-scale residential homes and
                                              disability care homes, district nurses and social support workers.
                                              -Nursing home residents and residents of homes for people with intellectual
                                              disabilities.
                      Ministry of Health,
The Netherlands       Welfare and Sport       Platform can be found here, with a flowchart in Dutch available here.

                                              First prioritization groups include: 1) Residents in nursing homes and selected health
                     Folkehelseinstituttet    personnel groups, 2) Age 85 years and older and selected health personnel groups, 3)
                     (National Institute of   Age 75-84 years , 4) Age 65-74 years and persons between 18 and 64 years with
     Norway             Public Health)        diseases / conditions with a high risk of serious course.

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Full programme site and plan accessible here (in English and Norwegian).

                                             According to a press conference with Health Minister Gan Yim Yong on January 4th,
                                             Singapore is currently prioritizing the vaccination of frontline health workers, including
                                             staff at community care facilities and dedicated stay-home notice facilities. Starting in
                                             February, seniors aged 70+ will be prioritized.
                                             Read up on the Health Ministry’s COVID-19 developments and vaccination protocols
    Singapore         Ministry of Health     here.

                                             “The following group prioritization has been established for the first stage:
                                                       1. Residents and health and social care personnel in care homes for older
                                                       people and people with disabilities
                                                       2. Front-line health personnel.
                                                       3. Other health and social care personnel.
                                                       4. Dependent people with disabilities who require help from others
                                                       (noninstitutionalized highly dependents).”
      Spain           Ministry of Health      Last update of document setting out priorities (November 23rd, 2020).

                                             The initial December report by JCVI is linked here, with continuous updates (last:
                                             December 31st, 2020) found here.
                                             Summary: “Nine Priority Groups, Primarily Based on Age:
                                                  1)   Residents in a care home for older adults and their carers
                                                  2)   All those 80 years of age and over; Frontline health and social care workers
                                                  3)   All those 75 years of age and over
                                                  4)   All those 70 years of age and over; those deemed clinically extremely
                                                       vulnerable, etc... - includes people with Down’s Syndrome since November
                                                       2020.

                     Joint Committee on      A press release by the Department of Health and Social Care published on 4th January
                       Vaccination and       states that “GPs and local vaccination services have been asked to ensure every care
United Kingdom       Immunization (JCVI)     home resident in their local area is vaccinated by the end of January.”
                                               "ACIP’s ethical principles for allocating initial supplies of COVID-19 vaccine, namely to
                                                   maximize benefits and minimize harms, promote justice, and mitigate health
                                              inequities, support the early vaccination of 1) health care personnel (HCP) and 2) long-
                                                     term care facility (LTCF) residents." December 3rd, 2020 statement here.

                                                             Sub-prioritization details were updated December 23rd:
                                             Phase 1a (ongoing) includes healthcare personnel and long-term care facility residents.
                                                        Phase 1b includes frontline essential workers and those aged 75+.
                                              Phase 1c includes those 65+, those with underlying medical conditions, and a broader
                                                                        definition of essential workers.

                                                A CDC Report on the importance of vaccinating LTCF Residents was published on
                      Center for Disease
                                                                              December 28th.
                      Control’s Advisory
                        Committee on
                    Immunization Practices
                                                 The National Governors Association has also released a report that looks at key
       USA               (CDC's ACIP)
                                               themes, strategies, and challenges of COVID-19 vaccination plans in individual states
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and territories (December 9th, 2020).

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