KSA CONSTRUCTION OVERVIEW - Organised by - Created by - Intersec Saudi Arabia

 
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KSA CONSTRUCTION OVERVIEW - Organised by - Created by - Intersec Saudi Arabia
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KSA
CONSTRUCTION
OVERVIEW

               Organised by
KSA CONSTRUCTION OVERVIEW - Organised by - Created by - Intersec Saudi Arabia
Overview of KSA’s Economic Outlook
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Saudi Arabia (KSA) has announced a bold reform
program under its Vision 2030. Growth is expected to be robust over the medium-term as structural
reforms are implemented (refer Figure 1). Risks are anticipated to arise from uncertainties regarding
future oil prices and the impact on ongoing economic reforms. Moreover, KSA is expected to bring in
additional revenues through new taxes and fees, including Value Added Tax (VAT), extra fees on expats
working in the kingdom and potential additional costs imposed on foreign businesses.

                         KSA Budget Outlook
                         KSA’s 2018 budget is deemed the largest ever and the government is expected
                         to spend US$ 261 Bn.. The budget provides a roadmap for the ongoing
                         economic transformation directing at the direction of oil prices and energy
                         equities. Analysts predict that the prime feature of the budget were the key
                         focus on structural reforms accompanying rising spending patterns. In 2018,
                         the government forecasts a deficit of US$ 52 Bn., which is equivalent to 7.3%.

                         KSA’s public budget at a glance from 2015 to 2018

                         With KSA’s 2018 budget, the government is
                         recommitting to investments in the future. The
                         kingdom’s construction market is expected
                         to show significant growth and offer lucrative
                         potential due to its Vision 2030, NTP 2020, and
                         ongoing reforms to diversify away from oil.
Figure 1 represents
KSA’s *macroeconomic indicators

              Real GDP Growth Rate, 2015 – 2022                                                                                Inflation Rate, 2015 – 2022
              (all figures in %)                                                                                               (all figures in %)

        4.5                                                                                                               6
                 4.1
         4                                                                                                                                                         5
                                                                                                                          5

        3.5
                                                                                                                          4
                                                                                                                                            3.5
         3
                                                                                                                          3
        2.5
                                                                                                                                  2.2                                                 2.2      2.1
                                                                        1.8        2           2                                                                              2                          2
         2                                                                                                                2
                           1.7
                                                            1.6
        1.5
                                                 1.1                                                                      1
         1
                                                                                                                          0
         .5
                                      0.1                                                                                                              -0.2
         0                                                                                                                -1
                 2015      2016      2017        2018       2019       2020       2021       2022                                 2015      2016      2017        2018       2019    2020      2021    2022

              Current Account Balance % of GDP, 2015 – 2022                                                                    Population, 2015 – 2022
              (all figures in %)                                                                                               (all figures in %)

          4                                                                                                              40

                                                                                                                                                                                              35.046   35.747
                                                                                             1.616                                                               33.025     33.685   34.359
          2                                                                       1.302                                                               32.377
                                                                       1.219                                                               31.743
                                     0.637                  1.155                                                                31.016
                                                0.397
                                                                                                                         30
          0

         -2
                                                                                                                         20
         -4
                 -8.67
         -6
                                                                                                                         10

         -8                -4.26

        -10                                                                                                               0
                 2015      2016       2017       2018       2019       2020       2021       2022                                 2015      2016      2017        2018       2019    2020      2021    2022

        *Note: All figures are in annual percentage change; F: Forecasts. In January 2018, the IMF has recently raised its economic growth forecasts for KSA as oil prices rise.
      The government expects GDP to grow 1.6% in 2018 and 2.2 % in 2019. 1 SAR= USD 0.26652 Exchange rate taken. Source: IMF, October 2017.
Figure 2 represents KSA’s public
budget at a glance from 2015 to 2018

      Real GDP Growth Rate, 2015 –2020                                             Public Expenditure, 2015 – 2018
      Value in US$ Billion                                                         Value in US$ Billion
      240
                                                                                   280
      220                                                              208.68516
                                                      185.49792                    270
      200                                                                                       259.857                                260.65656

      180                                                                          260
                    162.04416
      160                                                                          250                                   246.79752
                                     138.32388
      140
                                                                                   240
      120
      100                                                                          230                    221.2116

        80                                                                         220
        60
                                                                                   210
        40
                                                                                   200
        10
                       2015             2016             2017             2018                   2015      2016            2017          2018

      Budge Deficit, 2015 –2018                                                    Budget Allocations, 2018

      - 20                                                                                                           A   21%   Military
      -40                                                                                                            B   20%   Education
                                                                       -51.9714                                      C   15%   Health Social Development
      -60                                             -61.2996                                                       D   11%   Economic Resources and Public Programs
      -80                            -82.88772                                                                       E   10%   Security and Regional Administration
                    -97.81284                                                                                        F   9%    General Items
      -100
                                                                                                                     G   6%    Infrastructure and Transport
      -120                                                                                                           H   5%    Municipality Services
      -140                                                                                                           I   3%    Public Administration

                      2015             2016             2017             2018

      Source: Albilad Capital’s report on Saudi Arabia Economy, December 2017.
Classification of KSA Construction Market
The construction market in this report comprises of the building, infrastructure and energy markets.

                Figure 3 represents the classification of KSA construction market

                                       Building sector:                                                  Infrastructure sector:                                                      Energy sector:
                                       Residential, commercial, mixed                                    Roads, bridges, railways,                                                   Oil & gas and power
                                       use, airports, sports facilities,                                 ports, wastewater and                                                       & water
                                       hotels & recreational facilities,                                 sewarage
                                       healthcare, education facilities
                                       and industrial projects

                 Overview of KSA Construction                                                                          KSA Contractor Awards by Sector, 2015 – 2018
                                                                                                                       Value in US$ Billion

                 Contractor Awards                                                                                     35,000

                                                                                                                       30,000
                 KSA’s contractor awards across the building, infrastructure and energy sectors are forecast
                 to increase from US$ 34,151 Mn. in 2017 to US$ 40,068 Mn. in 2018. All companies that are             25,000
                 working on contracts with government departments in KSA will need to modify their bills to
                 include the 5% VAT.                                                                                   20,000

                 The building construction sector is expected to register the highest contractor awards                15,000
                 followed by the energy and infrastructure sectors in 2018 (refer Figure 4). Increase in
                 population growth, urbanisation, and tourism are expected to drive growth in the building             10,000
                 sector especially in the residential and leisure markets. According to Oxford Business Group,
                                                                                                                       5,00
                 the government is stepping up investment in KSA’s transport infrastructure, fast-tracking
                 key projects and creating new opportunities for service providers. Transport infrastructure                              2015                 2016                   2017            2018
                 gains prominence in the Vision 2030 and National Transformation Programme (NTP) as                    Buildings         23,582                29,827               14,701           18,022
                 vital to economic growth. In 2018, the government has allocated 6% of its budget towards              Infrastructure     5,515                3,249                 4,595           5,786
                 transport and infrastructure.                                                                         Energy            20,902                17,869               14,855           16,260

                 Figure 4 represents KSA’s building, infrastructure and energy construction contractor
                 awards from 2015 to 2018 in US$ Mn.                                                                Source: Ventures ONSITE Projects Intelligence Database: www.venturesonsite.com
Landmark Project
Announcements in 2017

     • The US$ 500 Bn. NEOM city is 26,500 square kilometers
        (km) (10,230 square mile) zone and will focus on industries         KSA Boost for the
                                                                            Private Sector
        including energy and water, biotechnology, food, advanced
        manufacturing and entertainment. KSA government, the PIF
        and local and international investors are expected to invest
        over half a trillion dollars into it in the coming years. Phase 1   KSA is to inject US$ 19.2 Bn. into the private sector of the
        of the project is expected to be completed by 2025.                 economy in a bid to stimulate activity in the non-oil sector, which
                                                                            has been hit by the slowdown in government spending as a result
     • KSA has officially declared that public movie theaters will         of oil revenue weakness. Housing and small business are major
        return to the kingdom for the first time in more than 30            beneficiaries of the stimulus package. Among the measures
        years in March 2018. Opening cinemas is anticipated to act          announced in a decree by King Salman are a US$ 6 Bn. initiative
        as a catalyst for economic growth and diversification. By           on subsidised loans to provide housing, a US$ 4 Bn. injection into
        developing the broader cultural sector, it will create new          new building technologies, and a proposal valued at US$ 3 Bn.
        employment and training opportunities, as well as enrich            to support the funding of big infrastructure initiatives. Other big
        KSA’s entertainment options. By 2030, there are projected to        items include a US$ 0.4 Bn. initiative to support companies in
        be over 300 cinemas with more than 2,000 screens.                   financial distress, and a US$ 1.86 Bn. plan to refund government
     • KSA will allow women to drive effective from June 2018,             fees to small and medium enterprises.
        ending a longstanding policy of the oppression of women in
        the highly conservative kingdom.
KSA’s Major Construction Projects

      Top projects expected to be awarded to contractors in 2018

      Project Name                                                    Client

      KA-Care - Alternative Energy Projects - Nuclear Plants          King Abdullah City of Atomic and Renewable Energy (KA-care)

      Jeddah Light Rail Transit                                       Jeddah Metro Company; Ministry of Transport, Saudi Arabia

      King Abdullah City of Atomic and Renewable Energy (KA-Care) -
                                                                      King Abdullah City of Atomic and Renewable Energy (KA-care)
      Alternative Energy Projects - Phase 1

      The Avenues Riyadh                                              Shomoul Holding Company

      Offshore Berri Field                                            Saudi Aramco

      400 MW Wind Power in Dumat Al Janda                             Renewable Energy Project Development Office (REPDO)

      Ammonia Plant in Ras Al Khair                                   Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden)

      South Obhur Project - Housing Complex Project - BP-04 & PB-06   Al Raidah (Rayadah) Investment Company

      300MW Solar Facility at Sakaka                                  Ministry of Electricity & Water, Saudi Arabia

      King Fahd Causeway Passports Island (Saudi Sector) - Phase 2    King Fahd Causeway Authority
KSA’s Major Construction Projects

      KSA’s major projects awarded to contractors in 2017

      Project Name                                       Industry         Client                                                      Project Value (US$ Mn.)

      Expansion of King Khalid International Airport -
                                                         Buildings        General Authority for Civil Aviation (GACA), Saudi Arabia   1,493
      Terminal 1 & 2

      Expansion of King Khalid International Airport -
                                                         Buildings        General Authority for Civil Aviation (GACA), Saudi Arabia   1,390
      Terminal 3 & 4

      AMC Long-Term Medical Care Hospital                Buildings        Anfas Medical Care (AMC)                                    1,300

      Batterjee Medical City in Dammam                   Buildings        Middle East Healthcare Company (MEAHCO)                     1,070

      Satellite Haradh Gas Compression Plants
                                                         Oil & Gas        Saudi Aramco                                                1,000
      (Sa-GCP) - Package 2

      South Haradh Gas Compression Plants
                                                         Oil & Gas        Saudi Aramco                                                1,000
      (S-GCP) - Package 3

      North Haradh Gas Compression Plants
                                                         Oil & Gas        Saudi Aramco                                                1,000
      (N-GCP) - Package 1

      Hawiyah Gas Plant Expansion                        Oil & Gas        Saudi Aramco                                                1,000

      Safaniyah - Phase 6                                Oil & Gas        Saudi Aramco                                                1,000

      Maritime Yard in Ras Al Khair -                                     Lamprell LLC, Dubai, The National Shipping
                                                         Infrastructure                                                               780
      Dredging & Reclamation                                              Company of Saudi Arabia (Bahri), Saudi Aramco

      New International Airport in Hail                  Buildings        General Authority for Civil Aviation (GACA), Saudi Arabia   500

      Freeflow Pipelines of Haradh                       Oil & Gas        Saudi Aramco                                                500
KSA’s Major Construction Projects

      KSA’s major projects announced in 2017

       Project Name                                                        Industry         Client                                             Project Value (US$ Mn.)

       Neom Business City                                                  Buildings        Public Investment Fund (PIF)                       500,000

       The Red Sea Project                                                 Buildings        Public Investment Fund (PIF)                       8,000

       Public Transportation Network in Taif                               Infrastructure   Ministry of Transport, Saudi Arabia                7,199

       New Jeddah Downtown                                                 Buildings        Public Investment Fund (PIF)                       4,800

       New Energy Industrial City in Abqaiq                                Industrial       Saudi Aramco                                       4,400

       Al Faisaliah Housing and Administrative in Makkah                   Buildings        Makkah Region Development Authority (MRDA)         4,000

       Jizan Economic City (JEC) - Pure Terephthalic Acid (PTA) and
                                                                           Industrial       Pan-Asia PET Resin (Guangzhou) Co, Saudi Aramco    3,800
       Poly Ethylene Terephthalate (PET) Production Plant

                                                                                            Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden), Eastern
       Waad Al Shimal Mining City -
                                                                           Industrial       Province, Mosaic Company, Saudi Basic Industries   3,200
       New Phosphate Mine and Industrial Complex
                                                                                            Corporation (Sabic)
       Offshore Marjan Oil and Gas Field                                   Oil & Gas        Saudi Aramco                                       3,000

       Berri Increment Programme                                           Oil & Gas        Saudi Aramco                                       1,500

       Redevelopment of East Wing of the Prophet’s Mosque                  Buildings        Public Investment Fund (PIF)                       1,200

       Batterjee Medical City in Dammam                                    Buildings        Middle East Healthcare Company (MEAHCO)            1,070

      Source: Ventures ONSITE Projects Intelligence Database: www.venturesonsite.com
Conclusion

     The large budget indicates that KSA is
     expecting significant revenue growth       About Ventures
     in the years to come. The Vision 2030,
     NTP 2020 and private sector investment     ONSITE
     boost, and ongoing reforms are likely      Ventures ONSITE, a product by Ventures
     to be the growth drivers for KSA’s         Middle East, has been a market leader in tracking
     construction market in 2018 and beyond.    construction projects across the Middle East and
     According to Riyadh officials, KSA’s       Africa region for more than 15 years. Ventures ONSITE
     economy is entering a post-oil era in      provides accurate and detailed information on completed,
     which the kingdom’s mega-cities, which     current, and future construction projects.
     are under construction, will provide the
     country’s future growth.                   Request a demo today and experience how Ventures ONSITE
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