Monthly Market Outlook - October 2018 Equity & Fixed Income Outlook - ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund

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Monthly Market Outlook
      October 2018
  Equity & Fixed Income Outlook

                                  1
Global Indices Performance
                          10   9.1
                           8
                           6         5.5
                                                                                                                                                                           Most global indices
      Index Returns (%)

                           4               3.5 3.5
                                                         1.9 1.6 1.4 1.3                                                                                                 experienced significant
                           2                                             1.0 0.9
                                                                                                              0.2                                                         gains in the month of
                           0                                                                                                                                                   September,
                          -2                                                                                           -0.4 -0.5 -0.7 -0.9                               Indian equities suffered
                          -4                                                                                                                                             due to concerns on the
                          -6                                                                                                                                                  domestic front
                          -8                                                                                                                              -6.3

Germany - DAX Index; China - SSE Composite Index; France - CAC 40 Index; Japan - Nikkei; Europe - Euronext 100; Hong Kong - HangSeng; US - Dow Jones; Singapore - Strait Times; Russia - RTS Index; Indonesia
- Jakarta Composite Index; U.K. - FTSE; South Korea - Kospi; Brazil - Ibovespa Sao Paulo Index; Indonesia – Jakarta Composite Index; Switzerland – Swiss Market Index; Taiwan – Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation;
India – S&P BSE Sensex; Returns in % terms. Data Source: MFI; Returns are absolute returns for the PRI variant of the index calculated between August 31, 2018 – September 28, 2018.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2
Sector and Market-cap based Index
                        5.0
                               0.5                                                                                                            • Sentiment in the market turned
                        0.0                                                                                                                     negative on depreciating rupee
   Index Returns (%)

                                     -0.4
                                            -1.5                                                                                                and rising crude prices
                        -5.0                       -3.9
                                                          -5.8
                       -10.0                                     -7.4                                                                         • Worries about worsening CAD
                                                                        -9.9 -9.9 -9.9
                                                                                       -10.9 -11.8 -11.8
                       -15.0                                                                                -12.8 -13.1 -13.4
                                                                                                                                              • Finance stocks remained under
                       -20.0                                                                                                                    pressure led mainly by the decline
                                                                                                                                  -20.5         in NBFCs
                       -25.0
                                                                                                                                              • IT index gained on the back of
                                                                                                                                                rupee depreciation

All indices are of S&P BSE and carry the prefix of S&P BSE; Abbreviated CD - S&P BSE Consumer Durables; CG - S&P BSE Capital Goods; FMCG - S&P BSE Fast Moving Consumer Goods; HC
- S&P BSE Health Care; Infra. - S&P BSE India Infrastructure; IT - S&P BSE Information Technology. Source: MFI; Returns are absolute returns for the PRI variant of the index calculated between   3
August 31, 2018 – September 28, 2018.
Indian Equity and Debt Markets in Sept-18
                 Factors affecting both debt and equity markets

                   Depreciating Rupee                                          Widening Fiscal Deficit

                                                                          Decline in NBFCs on concerns
                                                                                                                S&P BSE Sensex was
                 Higher Crude Oil Prices                                                                      down 6.3% in Sept- 2018;
                                                                         about liquidity and credit quality

                             Markets would remain watchful of:                                                 G-Sec yields touched a
                                                                                                              high of 8.18% mid-month
               US rate hikes – the US Fed                                  Events in the run-up to the            in Sept 2018 before
              could raise rates in Dec again                                    elections 2019
                                                                                                               finally settling at 8.02%
             Rationalisation of bond-buying                                 Escalating tensions due to
              programme by central banks                                       on-going trade-wars

Source: BSE India and CRISIL Research; NBFCs – Non-Banking Financial Companies; Fed – US Federal Reserve
                                                                                                                                           4
Equity Outlook
   Stay Cautious

                   5
Our Equity Recommendations

• For pure equity exposure, prefer largecap Schemes

• Remain positive on exports and services theme

• For long-term equity exposure, prefer midcap and smallcaps through SIP

• Recommend asset allocation to benefit from volatility

                                                                           6
Prefer Largecaps over Mid- and Smallcaps
                     60                       Largecaps have relatively better valuations                                                                                  1 Month
                                                                                                                                                             Index
                                                                                                                                                                             (%)
                     55                                           53.7
                                                                                                                                                        S&P BSE Sensex      -6.3
                     50
                                                                                                                                                        S&P BSE MID CAP    -12.5
    P/E valuations

                     45                                                                                                             S&P BSE
                                                                                                   43.4                                                S&P BSE SMALL CAP   -16.1
                     40                                                                                                           Midcap Index
                               36.6
                     35
                                                                                                                                                33.2
                     30
                                                                                                                                                          Near-term outlook for
                                                                                                                                  S&P BSE
                                                                                                                                   Sensex
                                                                                                                                                          midcaps and smallcaps
                     25      23.8
                                                                                                  22.3                                          23.9         continues to be
                     20                                                                                                                                   cautious; we maintain
                                                                                                                                                           our largecap stance

                                                                                                                     Jul-18
                                                     Dec-17
                                   Oct-17

                                                                                Mar-18

                                                                                                                              Aug-18
                                                                                         Apr-18

                                                                                                                                       Sep-18
                                            Nov-17

                                                                                                   May-18

                                                                                                            Jun-18
                                                                       Feb-18
                          Sep-17

                                                              Jan-18

Source: BSE India; Data as of September 28, 2018; P/E – Price to Earnings; Past performance may or may not be sustained in future.
                                                                                                                                                                                     7
Why ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund?
                    (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks.)

                                        Adopts “buy & hold” approach in
                                       large-cap companies with proven
                                      track record, quality management,
                                            good growth potential.
                                                                                                                    Closing AUM                             `18,966.3 crore

                                                                                                                Average                                      No. of
                                                                                                                                          1.64                                        58
                                      Takes aggressive positions in high                                     Dividend Yield                                  stocks
                                       conviction stocks with an aim to
                                                generate alpha.                                                  Average                                   Top 10
                                                                                                                                         24.87                                    43.10%
                                                                                                                 P/E ratio                             Stock Holdings
                                                                                                                 Average                                     Top 10
                                                                                                                                          5.04                                    74.25%
                                                                                                                 P/B ratio                                   Sectors
                                           Follows bottom-up approach
                                                for stock selection

Data as of Sept 28, 2018; Past performance may or may not sustain in the future. The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes within the provisions of the Scheme Information Document of
the Scheme. AUM – Assets Under Management                                                                                                                                                        8
Currency and Crude:
                            Supporting the export theme
                                     Rupee Depreciation                                                                          Rising Crude prices
              75
                                                                                                       84                                                                             82.7
                                                                                           73.0
              73                                                                                       80                                        79.6
              71                                                         70.2                          76
  INR / USD

              69                                                                                       72                 70.5
                                          66.9                  67.8                                                                                              71.8
              67                                                                                       68

              65                     64.9                                                              64
                                                                                                                     62.6
              63                                                                                       60

                                                                                                                                       Apr-18

                                                                                                                                                May-18
                                                                                                                              Mar-18

                                                                                                                                                                    Jul-18

                                                                                                                                                                             Aug-18
                                                                                                                                                         Jun-18
                                                                                                            Jan-18

                                                                                                                     Feb-18

                                                                                                                                                                                       Sep-18
                                     Mar-18

                                                                                  Aug-18
                                              Apr-18

                                                       May-18

                                                                         Jul-18
                                                                Jun-18
                   Jan-18

                            Feb-18

                                                                                              Sep-18

Source: CRISIL Research; Data as of September 30, 2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                9
ICICI Prudential Exports and Services Fund

                            EXPORT-ORIENTED SECTORS                                                                                            The scheme is well
                                                                                                                                           diversified across different
                                                                                                                                              sectors and gives a
                                                                                                                                         broader play on Indian
    PHARMACEUTICALS &                                                                                                                    economy. Also, the flexibility
    HEALTHCARE SERVICES                                                                                                                     to move portfolios from
                                                                        SOFTWARE
                                                                                                                                          Export oriented sectors to
                                                                                                                                           domestic oriented sector
                                                                                                                                         makes this scheme suitable
                                                                                               CHEMICALS                                   for the long-term.
                        TEXTILES
                                                       AUTO ANCILLARIES

The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes within the provisions of the Scheme Information document of the Scheme. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any
recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in this stock(s).                                                                                        10
Manufacturing outlook
                                                                                             S&P BSE India
                         250                                                               Manufacturing Index                     231.4
                                                                                                Earnings
                                                                                                                                                    The Government aims to increase
                         200                                                                                                                         the share of the manufacturing
                                                                                                                                                     sector in India’s GDP to 25% by
     Earnings (in Rs)*

                         150                                                                         S&P BSE Sensex                                    2025, from 18% at present.
                                                                                                                    116.7
                                                                                                        Earnings
                         100
                                                                                                                                                   Therefore, we expect earnings of
                                                                                                                                                  manufacturing sector companies to
                                                                                                                                                       increase going forward
                         50

                          0
                                  Aug-16

                                  Aug-17

                                  Aug-18
                                  Dec-16

                                  Dec-17
                                  Jun-16

                                  Feb-17

                                  Jun-17

                                  Feb-18
                                  Apr-18
                                  Jun-18
                                  Oct-16

                                  Oct-17
                                  Apr-16

                                  Apr-17

                               03-Sep-18
                               05-Sep-18
                               07-Sep-18
                               11-Sep-18
                               14-Sep-18
                               18-Sep-18
                               21-Sep-18
                               25-Sep-18
                               27-Sep-18
Source: BSE India, Citi Research, ibef.org ; Data as of Sept 27, 2018. *Earnings rebased to Rs 100; Past performance may or may not be sustained in future.
                                                                                                                                                                                       11
ICICI Prudential Manufacture in India Fund
                 (An open ended equity scheme following manufacturing theme)

                                  • ICICI Prudential Manufacture in India Fund gives an opportunity to
                                    participate in the diverse themes of manufacturing
                                  • Contribution of Manufacturing to GDP has been improving
                                  • The Scheme can go overweight in the following sub-themes of the
                                    manufacturing sector based on various economic parameters:
                                           Exports oriented manufacturing
                                           Domestic consumption
                                           Domestic capex manufacturing
                                  • Scheme will follow market cap agnostic approach of investing

The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes within the provisions of the Scheme Information document of the Scheme. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any
recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or may not have any future position in this stock(s).                                                                                        12
Valuation
                          EquityIndex
                                 Valuation Index

   170

   150                                                   Book Partial Profits

   130
                                                                                                                                                Equity valuations show that
                                                                                                                              115.37            the market valuations are in
                                                                            Incremental Money to Debt
   110
                                                                                                                                                the zone where investors are
                                                                      Asset Allocation                                                          recommended to invest in
                                                                                                                                                funds with low net equity
     90
                                                                                                     Invest in Equities                         levels within the dynamic
                                                                                                                                                asset allocation fund category.
     70
                                                                                        Aggressively invest in Equities
     50
          Sep-05

                   Sep-06

                             Sep-07

                                      Sep-08

                                                Sep-09

                                                          Sep-10

                                                                   Sep-11

                                                                               Sep-12

                                                                                          Sep-13

                                                                                                   Sep-14

                                                                                                            Sep-15

                                                                                                                     Sep-16

                                                                                                                              Sep-17

                                                                                                                                       Sep-18
  Equity Valuation index is calculated by assigning equal weights to Price-to-Earnings (PE), Price-to-Book (PB), G-Sec*PE and Market Cap to GDP ratio. G-Sec – Government Securities.
  GDP – Gross Domestic Product; Asset Allocation – Schemes that invest both in equity and fixed income

Data as of September 28, 2018; Past Performance may or may not be sustained in future. None of the aforesaid recommendations are based on any assumptions. These are purely for
reference and the investors are requested to consult their financial advisors before investing.                                                                                         13
Our Asset Allocation Hybrid schemes
                       These schemes aim to benefit from volatility and manage equity exposure based on valuations.

                                                                                                                                          ICICI Prudential
                                                                                                               ICICI Prudential          Equity & Debt Fund
                                                                                 ICICI Prudential              Multi-Asset Fund
                                                                                    Balanced
                                                   ICICI Prudential              Advantage Fund
                                                   Equity Savings
         ICICI Prudential Regular
                                                         Fund
              Savings Fund*
                                                                                                                                            Aggressive
                                                                                                                                              Hybrid
                                                                                                                   Multi Asset
                                                                                                                   Allocation
                                                                                  Dynamic Asset
                                                                                   Allocation or
                                                           Equity                    Balanced
                Conservative                              Savings                                                                        Net Equity–65-80%
                                                                                  Advantage Fund
                                                                                                               Min of 10% in each of
                Hybrid Fund                                 Fund
                                                                                                               the three asset classes

                                                                                Net equity - 30-80%
                                                  Net Equity–15-50%
             Net Equity–10-25%

The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per the Scheme Information Document, *This scheme will attract debt taxation.
                                                                                                                                                              14
Our Equity Scheme Recommendations
                                                    Invests in large-cap stocks
                         ICICI Prudential
                                                     and follows a benchmark
                          Bluechip Fund
                                                        hugging approach.
   Pure Equity

                                                                                                                                                The scheme
                         ICICI Prudential             Invests in stocks across                                        ICICI Prudential
                                                                                                                                           predominantly invests in
                          Multicap Fund                 market capitalisation                                          Midcap Fund

                                                                                              SIP Recommendations
                                                                                                                                               midcap stocks

                         ICICI Prudential           Follows a value investment
                      Value Discovery Fund                   strategy.                                                ICICI Prudential     The scheme predominantly
                                                                                                                       Smallcap Fund       invests in Smallcap stocks

                         ICICI Prudential             For investors looking at
                    Exports and Services Fund           tactical allocation.                                                                  The scheme invests in
Thematic/Sectoral

                                                                                                                       ICICI Prudential
                                                                                                                                           largecap as well as midcap
                                                                                                                    Large & Mid Cap Fund
                         ICICI Prudential                                                                                                            stocks
                                                      For investors looking at
                     Pharma Healthcare and
                                                        tactical allocation.
                     Diagnostics (P.H.D) Fund

                        ICICI Prudential              For investors looking at
                    Manufacture In India Fund           tactical allocation.

The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per the Scheme Information Document
                                                                                                                                                                   15
Fixed Income Outlook
     Tightening Liquidity –
     Stay in Low Duration

                              16
Our Outlook on Fixed Income
           • Maintain cautious approach and remain watchful of:

                 − Higher Crude Prices

                 − Rising Trade Protectionism

                 − Unwinding of QE by central banks

                 − Commitment towards domestic fiscal discipline and consolidation

                 − Upside risks on inflation
QE – Quantitative Easing
                                                                                     17
October RBI Monetary Policy Review –
                  Pause in rate hikes
                RBI Repo Rate action since 2013
                                                                                                  RBI kept repo rate unchanged at
                 Jan-13                       Mar-13                  May-13
                                                                                           CUT    6.5% in its Oct 5, 2018 MPC meeting
                   7.75                          7.5                    7.25
                                                                                                  due to :
                 Sep-13                       Oct-13                   Jan-14
                                                                                           HIKE
                    7.5                         7.75                      8                       • Lower inflationary pressures
             Jan-15             Mar-15             Jun-15             Sep-15
                                                                                           CUT    • Rupee Instability
              7.75                 7.5               7.25               6.75

                 Apr-16                       Oct-16                  Aug-17                      • Higher crude oil prices
                                                                                           CUT
                    6.5                         6.25                      6
                                                                                                  • Possibility of fiscal slippage at
                      Jun-18                                Aug-18
                                                                                           HIKE     centre or state level
                        6.25                                 6.5
Source: RBI; Data as of Oct 5, 2018; bps – basis points: MPC – Monetary Policy Committee
                                                                                                                                        18
Rates and Yields Across the World
                                               Interest rates (%)                                      10-yr G-Sec Yield (%)

                                            Sep-17                   Sep-18                             Sep-17         Sep-18

                    India                        6                       6.5             India           6.66           8.02

                      US                      1.25                     2.25                US            2.33           3.06

                 Eurozone                        0                        0            Eurozone          0.46           0.47

                    China                     4.35                     4.35              China           3.62           3.63

                   Japan                     -0.063                   -0.064             Japan           0.06           0.12

                The US rate hike and subsequent rise in the US Treasury yields has had a significant impact on global liquidity.
                 Indian markets have had sharp reactions to the US rate-hikes as seen in the currency depreciation, and the
                                               subsequent increase in the 10-yr G-sec yield.
Source: CRISIL Research; Interest rates as on Sept 30, 2017 and Sept 30, 2018
                                                                                                                                   19
Tightening Liquidity –
                     Credit Growth vs Deposit Growth
          20%

          16%                                                                     15.90%
                                                                                                                                        13.50%

          12%                         11.10%                                                                                                                Credit growth has been
  % (Y-o-Y)

                                                                                                                                                           surpassing deposit growth
              8%                      9.00%                                                                                                                  since November 2017,
                                                                                                                      7.36%              8.60%
                                                                                                                                                          with December 2017 seeing
              4%                                                                           4.10%                                                          the widest gap between the
                                                                                                                                                                 two at 7.36%
              0%

                                                                                                                                                 Sep-18
                   Apr-15

                            Jul-15

                                                       Apr-16

                                                                Jul-16

                                                                                           Apr-17

                                                                                                    Jul-17

                                                                                                                               Apr-18

                                                                                                                                        Jul-18
                                     Oct-15

                                                                         Oct-16

                                                                                                             Oct-17
                                              Jan-16

                                                                                  Jan-17

                                                                                                                      Jan-18
                   Aggregate Deposit Growth (% Y-o-Y)                                  Bank Credit Growth                      (% Y-o-Y)

Source: RBI; Data as on September 14, 2018
                                                                                                                                                                                       20
Tightening Liquidity –
              Increase in currency in circulation
   5%
              4.1%
   4%
                     3.2%
   3%

   2%                           1.4%
                                        1.3%
                                                   1.4%                                                  As of September 2018,
   1%                                                                              0.6% 0.8%             currency in circulation
                                                                                                       (MoM%) is higher than the
   0%                                                                                                        5-year average
                                                                                               -0.1%
   -1%                                                  -0.6%                   -0.5%
                                                                   -1.1%
   -2%                                                                  -1.3%
               Apr-18            May-18             Jun-18           Jul-18      Aug-18    Sep-18

                                                      2018       5Y Avg

Source: Morgan Stanley Research, Data as of September 21, 2018
                                                                                                                                   21
FPI – Sellers in the Debt market

                                                                                                              FPI selling in the bond
                                                               FPI buying / selling of INR bonds               markets has further
                         300                                                     253.55   256.85            aggravated the pressure on
                                                                                                                   the currency
                         200    157.01                                                             160.63
    Amount (in Rs. bn)

                         100

                           0

                         -100
                                                                                                                            -101.98
                         -200
                                                                       -211.51                                    -196.54
                         -300

Source: RBI: Data as of September 30, 2018; FPI – Foreign Portfolio Investor
                                                                                                                                         22
Tightening Liquidity –
                      RBI intervention
                15                      FX Intervention (Spot+ Forward) in US$ Bn

                10

                 5
    In USD bn

                 0                                                                                               RBI Continued to intervene
                                                                                                                   in the forex market to
                 -5                                                                                              reduce the forex volatility

                -10            Negative shows - RBI sold dollars

                -15
                               Oct-16

                                                                             Oct-17

                                                                                               Apr-18
                      Jul-16

                                                     Apr-17

                                                                 Jul-17

                                                                                                        Jul-18
                                         Jan-17

Source: Morgan Stanley Research, Data as of July 31, 2018; FX – Foreign exchange      Jan-18
                                                                                                                                               23
Inflationary Pressures
                         Inflationary pressures in the economy have started to cool off largely on account
                                                     of decline in food inflation
                         7
                         6                                                                   6.07
                                  5.40
                         5                                                                                                                                                                                        In its October Monetary
     CPI Inflation (%)

                                                                           4.83                                                                                                                     4.92
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Policy Committee meeting,
                         4                                                                                                       3.89                                                                              the RBI revised its CPI
                         3                                                                                                                                                                              3.69         inflation projection
                         2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        downwards to
                                                                                                                                              1.46                                                               3.9 – 4.5% for 2HFY19 and
                         1                                                                                                                                                                                             4.8% in Q1FY20.
                         0
                                                        Dec-15

                                                                                                              Dec-16

                                                                                                                                                                    Dec-17

                                                                                                                                                                                      Apr-18

                                                                                                                                                                                                        Aug-18
                             Jun-15
                                      Aug-15
                                               Oct-15

                                                                          Apr-16
                                                                                   Jun-16
                                                                                            Aug-16
                                                                                                     Oct-16

                                                                                                                                Apr-17
                                                                                                                                         Jun-17
                                                                                                                                                  Aug-17
                                                                                                                                                           Oct-17

                                                                                                                                                                                               Jun-18
                                                                 Feb-16

                                                                                                                       Feb-17

                                                                                                                                                                             Feb-18
Source: RBI; Data as on Aug 31, 2018; CPI – Consumer Price Index; 2HFY19 – Second half of FY19; Q1FY20 – First Quarter of FY20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             24
Debt Valuation Index
  10
    9                                                                                           Aggressively in                                                                      We recommend investors to
                                                                                                 High Duration                                                                       invest in Ultra Low / Low
    8
                  High Duration                                                                                                                                                      Duration schemes or accrual
    7                                                                                                                                                                                schemes such as ICICI
    6                                                                                                                                                                                Prudential Credit Risk Fund.
                  Moderate Duration
    5                                                                                                                                                                                For those investors who aim to
    4                                                                                                                                                                                benefit from volatility we
                            Low Duration                                                                                                                                             recommend investment in
    3
                                                                                                                                                                                     ICICI Prudential All Seasons
    2                                                                                                                                                               1.11             Bond Fund.
                       Ultra Low Duration
    1
                                     Mar-16

                                                                                           Mar-17

                                                                                                                                                 Mar-18
                                              May-16
                   Nov-15

                                                       Jul-16

                                                                                                    May-17
                                                                         Nov-16

                                                                                                             Jul-17

                                                                                                                                                          May-18
                                                                                                                               Nov-17

                                                                                                                                                                   Jul-18
         Sep-15

                            Jan-16

                                                                Sep-16

                                                                                  Jan-17

                                                                                                                      Sep-17

                                                                                                                                        Jan-18

                                                                                                                                                                            Sep-18
Debt Valuation Index considers WPI, CPI, Sensex YOY returns, Gold YOY returns and Real estate YOY returns over G-Sec yield, Current Account Balance and Crude Oil Movement for
calculation. WPI – Wholesale Price Index; CPI – Consumer Price Index. None of the aforesaid recommendations are based on any assumptions. Data as of September 28, 2018                                               25
Duration
                   Our Debt Recommendations

                                                                                                   Dynamic Duration
                                                           The scheme invests with
   Short

                     ICICI Prudential                                                                                                           An All-season scheme
                                                          the aim to maintain a short                                   ICICI Prudential
                     Short Term Fund                                                                                                            which invests across
                                                                   duration                                            All Seasons Bond
                                                                                                                                                duration based on an
                                                                                                                              Fund
                                                                                                                                                 in-house CAD model
  Duration

                                                           The scheme invests with
                      ICICI Prudential
   Low

                                                           the aim to maintain a low
                       Savings Fund
                                                                    duration

                                                                                                   Floater Fund
                                                          The schemes invests with                                                                The scheme invests
                                                                                                                         ICICI Prudential
  Duration
  Medium

                    ICICI Prudential                         the aim to maintain a                                                             predominantly in floating-
                                                                                                                      Floating Interest Fund
                 Medium Term Bond Fund                       medium duration with                                                                  rate instruments
                                                           focus on accrual income

                                                                                                                                                  The scheme invests
                                                          The scheme invests with
  Ultra Short

                                                                                                   Credit Risk
   Duration

                                                                                                                                               predominantly in AA and
                     ICICI Prudential                     the aim to maintain a low                                     ICICI Prudential
                                                                                                                                                   below rated credit
                  Ultra Short Term Fund                     duration with focus on                                      Credit Risk Fund
                                                                                                                                               instruments with a Hold-
                                                               accrual income
                                                                                                                                                 till-maturity approach

The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per the Scheme Information Document. CAD: Current Account Deficit
                                                                                                                                                                            26
Update on Key Schemes

                        27
ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund (An open ended
                  dynamic asset allocation fund):Aim                      to Benefit From Market Volatility
                 • ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund (BAF) seeks to remove
                   the psychological barrier (Greed & Fear) for its investors.

                 • The Scheme aims to follow a buy-low and sell-high strategy.

                              Stock                                     Asset                                  Derivative
                             Selection                                Allocation                                Strategy

                                                                      Net Equity Level                           Derivative
                           Blend of Large and                          Range 30-80%                             Exposure for
                            Mid Cap Stocks                           based on In-House                        Hedging / Portfolio
                                                                        P/BV Model                              Rebalancing

The portfolio of the scheme is subject to changes within the provisions of the Scheme Information document of the scheme.
                                                                                                                                    28
SIP for the Long Run

                                       SIP

                   ICICI Prudential Large & Midcap Fund
    (An open ended equity scheme investing in both largecap and midcap stocks)

                        ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund
     (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in mid cap stocks)

                       ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund
    (An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in small cap stocks)

                                                                                 29
ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund
                                        (An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in instruments such that
                                        the Macaulay Duration* of the portfolio is between 3 months and 6 months)

                                 1.2

                                                                                                                                                                        Low Duration Play - Anticipating
                                  1 0.96                          0.98
    Modified duration (in yrs)

                                                                                                                                                                       volatility, the scheme has reduced its
                                                                                                                                                                     modified duration over the last one year to
                                 0.8                                                          0.78                                                                      0.26 yrs (as on September 30, 2018)

                                 0.6

                                 0.4                                                                                                                                 Margin of Safety - The Yield To Maturity
                                                                                                                                     0.33                   0.26      (YTM) is at 8.98% as on September 30,
                                                                                                                                                                      2018, 248 bps higher than the repo rate.
                                 0.2
                                       Aug-17

                                                                                                      Mar-18

                                                                                                                                                   Aug-18
                                                         Oct-17
                                                                  Nov-17
                                                                           Dec-17

                                                                                                               Apr-18
                                                                                                                        May-18
                                                                                                                                 Jun-18
                                                                                                                                          Jul-18
                                                Sep-17

                                                                                    Jan-18
                                                                                             Feb-18

                                                                                                                                                            Sep-18
Data as of September 30, 2018; bps - basis points; Past performance may or may not be sustained in future.; *The Macaulay Duration is the weighted average term to maturity
of the cash flows from a bond. The weight of each cash flow is determined by dividing the present value of the cash flow by the price.                                                                             30
Accrual based schemes investment process

                Well Researched Credit Universe

          • Based on various filters, qualitative and
            quantitative research                                                                                    The scheme has an Independent credit
                                                                                                                     evaluation, approval and monitoring process
                         Broadened Exposure                                                                          which is not solely relying on the Fund
                                                                                                                     Manager judgement to invest in a paper.
          • Mitigating concentration risk by diversification
                                                                                                                     The scheme focuses on direct origination*
                       Managing Duration Risk                                                                        which helps in alpha generation and
                                                                                                                     monitoring.
          • Clearly defined modified duration range
          Strict Internal Limits at Issuer Level and
                          rating level

The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per Scheme Information Document. *Direct origination means no involvement of intermediaries.
                                                                                                                                                                   31
ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund
                   (An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in AA and below rated corporate bonds)

                           The scheme portfolio is well-diversified across a large number of securities which
                                    reduces risk pertaining to high exposure in a single security.
         10.16
                                                 Yield to Maturity
          %                                                                                                              Aims to invest in well researched
                                                                                                                         corporate bonds
           89                 No. of securities in the scheme portfolio

                                       Average exposure to a single                                                          Aims to generate alpha from any
         1.06%                                                                                                               potential credit upgrades
                                         security in the portfolio

                                         Highest exposure to single
         5.03%                                                                                                           Aims to maintain stable accrual income
                                          security in the portfolio
                                                                                                                         with Hold-to-Maturity approach
                                 Exposure (as % of NAV) to the top 10
         31.3%
                                       holdings in the portfolio
Data as of September 28, 2018; The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per the Scheme Information Document. The portfolio of the scheme is subject to
changes within the provisions of the Scheme Information document.                                                                                                       32
ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund
                                          (An open ended dynamic debt scheme investing across duration)
                 ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund aims to perform in all market conditions
                                                                                                                                                                                      All Seasons Investment
                                                                                                                                                                                              Avenue
                               10                                                                                                                     9.0%
                                9 8.50%             9
  Modified Duration (in yrs)

                                8                                                                                                                     8.5%                              Uses an In-House CAD model

                                                                                                                                                             10-yr G-Sec yields (%)
                                                                                                                                          8.02%                                         to manage duration between
                                7                                                                                                                     8.0%
                                                                                                                          6.59                                                                    1-10 yrs
                                6                                                  5.73
                                  5.95
                                5                                                                                                                     7.5%
                                4                  7.34%                  7.44%
                                                                                                                                                      7.0%
                                3                                                                                                                                                       Aims to benefit from Volatility
                                2                                                                                    6.53%                            6.5%
                                1                                                              6.24%                                       1.11
                                0                                                                                                                     6.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                         Tactical Allocation between
                                 Jul-14

                                                        May-15
                                          Dec-14

                                                                                                            Jun-17

                                                                                                                                 Apr-18

                                                                                                                                             Sep-18
                                                                 Oct-15

                                                                                      Aug-16

                                                                                               Jan-17
                                                                          Mar-16

                                                                                                                      Nov-17
                                                                                                                                                                                            G-sec and Corporate
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Securities
                                                                     Modified Duration                  G Sec (RHS)

Data as of September 28, 2018; The asset allocation and investment strategy will be as per the Scheme Information Document. Past performance may or may not be sustained in
future. ^rounded off. CAD: Current Account Deficit.                                                                                                                                                                       33
Our Equity Schemes
             Scheme Name                                                         Type of Scheme
ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund               An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks.

ICICI Prudential Large & Mid Cap Fund        An open ended equity scheme investing in both large cap and mid cap stocks.

ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund                 An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in mid cap stocks.

ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund               An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in small cap stocks.

ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund        An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy.

ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund               An open ended equity scheme investing across large cap, mid cap, small cap stocks.

ICICI Prudential Exports and Services Fund An open ended equity scheme following Exports & Services theme.

ICICI Prudential Manufacture in India Fund   An open ended equity scheme following manufacturing theme
ICICI Prudential Pharma Healthcare and
                                             An Open Ended Equity Scheme following Pharma, Healthcare, Diagnostic and allied Theme
Diagnostics (P.H.D) Fund

                                                                                                                                     34
Our Hybrid Schemes

              Scheme Name                                                    Type of Scheme
ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund   An open ended dynamic asset allocation fund
ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund      An open ended hybrid scheme investing predominantly in debt instruments
                                           An open ended scheme investing in equity, arbitrage and
ICICI Prudential Equity Savings Fund
                                           debt.
                                           An open ended hybrid scheme investing predominantly in equity and equity related
ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund
                                           instruments
                                           An open ended scheme investing in Equity, Debt, Gold/Gold ETF/units of REITs & InvITs
ICICI Prudential Multi-Asset Fund
                                           and such other asset classes as may be permitted from time to time.

                                                                                                                                   35
Our Debt Schemes
                   Scheme Name                                                       Type of Scheme
                                          An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay duration
ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund
                                          of the portfolio is between 3 months and 6 months.
                                          An open ended short term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay duration of
ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund
                                          the portfolio is between 1 Year and 3 Years.
                                          An open ended low duration debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay duration of
ICICI Prudential Savings Fund
                                          the portfolio is between 6 months and 12 months.
                                          An open ended medium term debt scheme investing in instruments such that the Macaulay duration
ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund    of the portfolio is between 3 Years and 4 Years. The Macaulay duration of the portfolio is 1 Year to 4
                                          years under anticipated adverse situation.

ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund         An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in AA and below rated corporate bonds.

                                          An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in floating rate instruments (including fixed rate
ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund
                                          instruments converted to floating rate exposures using swaps/derivatives).

ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund    An open ended dynamic debt scheme investing across duration.

                                                                                                                                                   36
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Multi-Asset Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended scheme investing in at least three asset classes with minimum allocation of 10% to each asset class.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Long term wealth creation solution
 A balanced fund aiming for long term capital appreciation and current income by investing in equity as well as fixed
  income securities.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Balanced Advantage Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Long term wealth creation solution
 An equity fund that aims for growth by investing in equity and derivatives.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

                                                                                                                         37
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Bluechip Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme predominantly investing in large cap stocks.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for
them

ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for
them

ICICI Prudential Large & Mid Cap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme investing in both largecap and mid cap stocks

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for
them

                                                                                                           38
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Equity Savings Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended scheme that seeks to generate regular income through investments in fixed income securities,
  arbitrage and other derivative strategies and aim for long term capital appreciation by investing in equity and
  equity related instruments.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Exports and Services Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
 Long term wealth creation
 An open-ended equity scheme that aims for growth by predominantly investing in companies belonging to
  Exports & Services industry.
*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Multicap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Long term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme investing across largecap, mid cap and small cap stocks.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

                                                                                                                    39
Riskometers
 ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

  Medium to long term regular income solution
  A hybrid fund that aims to generate regular income through investments primarily in debt and money market
   instruments and long term capital appreciation by investing a portion in equity.

 *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

 ICICI Prudential Credit Risk Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
  Medium term savings
  A debt scheme that aims to generate income through investing predominantly in AA and below rated
   corporate bonds while maintaining the optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity

 *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Medium Term Bond Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Medium term savings
 A debt scheme that invests in debt and money market instruments with a view to maximize income while
  maintaining optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

                                                                                                                 40
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Smallcap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Long Term wealth creation
 An open ended equity scheme that seeks to generate capital appreciation by predominantly investing in equity
  and equity related securities of small cap companies.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Short term income generation and capital appreciation solution
 A debt fund that aims to generate income by investing in a range of debt and money market instruments of
  various maturities.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 All duration savings
 A debt scheme that invests in debt and money market instruments with a view to maximize income while
  maintaining optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

                                                                                                                 41
Riskometers
 ICICI Prudential Floating Interest Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

  Short term savings
  An open ended debt scheme predominantly investing in floating rate instruments

 *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

 ICICI Prudential Ultra Short Term Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

  Short term regular income
  An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme investing in a range of debt and money market instruments

 *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

ICICI Prudential Midcap Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:

 Long Term wealth creation
 An open-ended equity scheme that aims for capital appreciation by investing in diversified mid cap companies.

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them

                                                                                                                  42
Riskometers
ICICI Prudential Savings Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking*:
      Short term savings
      An open ended low duration debt scheme that aims to maximize income by investing in debt and money market
       instruments while maintaining optimum balance of yield, safety and liquidity

*Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.

 ICICI Prudential Manufacture in India Fund is suitable for investors who are seeking:*

  Long term wealth creation
  An open ended equity Scheme that aims to provide capital appreciation by investing in equity and equity
   related securities of companies engaged in manufacturing theme.

 *Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.

    ICICI Prudential Pharma Healthcare and Diagnostics (P.H.D) FUND is suitable for investors who are seeking:*

     Long term wealth creation

     An equity Scheme that predominantly invests in pharma, healthcare, hospitals, diagnostic, wellness and allied
      companies
    *Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.

                                                                                                                      43
Disclaimer for Mutual Funds
                     Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.
All figures and other data given in this document are dated. The same may or may not be relevant at a future date. The AMC takes no responsibility of updating any
data/information in this material from time to time. The information shall not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or
to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Limited. Prospective investors are advised to consult their
own legal, tax and financial advisors to determine possible tax, legal and other financial implication or consequence of subscribing to the units of ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund.
Past Performance may or may not be sustained in future.

Disclaimer: In the preparation of the material contained in this document, ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Ltd. (the AMC) has used information that is publicly
available, including information developed in-house. The stock(s)/sector(s) mentioned in this slide do not constitute any recommendation and ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund may or
may not have any future position in this stock(s). Some of the material used in the document may have been obtained from members/persons other than the AMC and/or its
affiliates and which may have been made available to the AMC and/or to its affiliates. Information gathered and material used in this document is believed to be from reliable
sources. The AMC however does not warrant the accuracy, reasonableness and / or completeness of any information. We have included statements / opinions /
recommendations in this document, which contain words, or phrases such as “will”, “expect”, “should”, “believe” and similar expressions or variations of such expressions, that
are “forward looking statements”. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by the forward looking statements due to risk or uncertainties associated with our
expectations with respect to, but not limited to, exposure to market risks, general economic and political conditions in India and other countries globally, which have an impact on
our services and / or investments, the monetary and interest policies of India, inflation, deflation, unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices or
other rates or prices etc. ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company Limited (including its affiliates), the Mutual Fund, The Trust and any of its officers, directors, personnel and
employees, shall not liable for any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in
any way arising from the use of this material in any manner. Further, the information contained herein should not be construed as forecast or promise or investment advice. The
recipient alone shall be fully responsible/are liable for any decision taken on this material.

                                                                                                                                                                                             44
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