NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC

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NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC
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Promotion. For Investment Professionals Only. Not for public Distribution

   The Nordic Hedge Fund
   Universe at a Glance
   Movers & Shakers in the Nordics

   What makes a good
   Hedge Fund?

   In Focus: Multi Managers
   A dying breed or at the brink of
   comeback?

   Nordic Hedge Fund
   Industry Report - 2018
NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC
Contents
                                                                                                     www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018   www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

                                                                               Promotion. For Investment Professionals Only. Not for public Distribution
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  INTRODUCTION

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  HedgeNordic is the leading media
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  covering     the    Nordic       alternative
    In Focus: Multi Manager Funds / Fund of Hedge Funds                                     Is it a bird, is it a                            New nordic Hedge Fund launches: Evira, Nordic Cross,                                 investment and hedge fund universe.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  The website brings daily news, research,
                                                                                            plane... No, it´s VISIO                          CABA Capital, Adrigo Nordic Small & Midcap L/S
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  analysis and background that is relevant
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  to Nordic hedge fund professionals from
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  the sell and buy side from all tiers.

                                        •    Funds of Hedge Funds in                                                                                                                                                              HedgeNordic        publishes      monthly,
                                             Metamorphosis                                                                                                                                                                        quarterly and annual reports on recent
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  developments in her core market as well
                                        •    The building blocks of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  as special, indepth reports on “hot topics”.
                                             good Fund of Hedge Funds
                                        •    “We always expect to be                                                                                                                                                              HedgeNordic also calculates and
                                             wrong...”                                                                                                                                                                            publishes the Nordic Hedge Index (NHX)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  and is host to the Nordic Hedge Award
                                        •    An Iconoclastic Fund                                                                                                                                                                 and organizes round tables and seminars.
                                             of Funds mentality

                                                56-71                                                                                        42-55
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  NordSIP is a leading news website
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  focused on Sustainable Investment

                                                                                                                     22
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  viewed from the Nordics.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  The site brings together institutional
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  investors, fund managers and third party
    Nordic Real Estate -             Formue....Who?                                  PPM - Reform                                           Are institutions flexible                     What Makes a good hedge                 service providers concerned with ESG.
    As Local As it Gets                                                                                                                     enough for real                               fund?                                   News, opinions, interviews and analysis
                                                                                                                                            diversification?                                                                      are provided are showcased on a daily
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  basis.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Contact:

                           35                                              38                                        28                                                      25                                      14           Nordic Business Media AB
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  BOX 7285
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  SE-103 89 Stockholm, Sweden
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Corporate Number: 556838-6170
   How Nordic                                                                                                                                                                                                                     VAT Number: SE-556838617001
   Pension Funds
                           5                                                   28                                                          46                                             66
                                                         The Editor –                                        PPM Reform-                                       Nordic Cross in Multiple         “We always expect to be wrong
   Invest in Equity             A Tough Year for Nordic Hedge Funds                    The Swedish Premium Pension System                                         Hedge Fund Launch                    going into every trade!”   Direct: +46 (0) 8 5333 8688
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Mobile: +46 (0) 706566688

                           6                                                   32                                                          50                                             69
                                            The Nordic Hedge Fund                                 A Risk Parity Approach to                                        A Danish bank’s edge                   An Iconoclastic Fund    email: kamran@hedgenordic.com
                                         Space at a glance - a review                                     Systematic Macro                                transitioned to a Hedge Fund                      of Funds mentality
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  www.hedgenordic.com

                           14                                                  35                                                          54                                             72
                                                                                               Real Estate in the Nordics:                                 New Launch: Putting Nordic          NHX Asset Growth Index - AuM
                                  What Makes a Good Hedge Fund?
                                                                                                     as local as it can be                                  Small & Mid Caps to work           in the Nordic Hedge Fund Space
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Picture Index: G. K.---shutterstock.com, Ollyy---
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  shutterstock.com, Syaheir Azizan--- shutterstock.com,

                           18                                                  38                                                          56                                             76
                                 Change and Continuity: How Nordic                         Formue…who? A Great Dane you                           		 In Focus: Fund of Hedge Funds                          Family Offices and    Ase---shutterstock.com, ©-flyfisher---Fotolia.com,
                                      Pension Funds Invest in Equity                       may not have on your Radar….yet                                     Multi Manager Funds                Hedge Funds: A Shared DNA?      isak55---shutterstock.com, Khakimullin Aleksandr--
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  -shutterstock.com, kudla---shutterstock.com, lynea-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  --shutterstock.com, Michal Durinik---shutterstock.

                           22                                                  42                                                          58
                                             Is it a bird, is it a plane...?                         Nordic New Launches                                      Funds of Hedge Funds in                                             com, MorganStudio---shutterstock.com, Polarpx---
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  shutterstock. com, Romolo-Tavani---shutterstock.com,
                                                            No, It´s Visio!                             Keep ´em coming!                                               Metamorphosis                                              Michal Durinik---shutterstock.com, Tom Wang---
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  shutterstock.com, Romolo Tavani---shutterstock.

                           25                                                  43                                                          62
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  com, somchaij---shutterstock.com, Stefano
                                      Are institutions flexible enough                          Nykredit launches leveraged                                      The building blocks of

                18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Buttafoco---shutterstock.com, graf---shutterstock.
                                                for real diversification?                          corporate credit strategy                                good Fund of Hedge Funds                                              com. Tashatuvango---shutterstock.com, Tom Wang---
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  shutterstock.com, totojang1977---shutterstock.com,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  designer491---shutterstock.com

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NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

                                                                                            The Editor...
                                                                                                                    A tough year for Nordic Hedge Funds

                                                                                            After years of steady traffic on global financial markets,       On the first pages of the report, we made an effort to dis-
                                                                                            winds of change may have caught up with us towards the           sect to the Nordic hedge fund space and present data,
                                                                                            end of last year, continuing into the new year. The spike        numbers, some facts and fiction we hoped you´d find
                                                                                            in inflation in early February that sent shivers through         relevant. This edition of the Nordic hedge fund indus-
                                                                                            markets may be the first bad breath hint to the kiss of          try report will look into what institutional investors (and
                                                                                            death for the Goldilocks years, and a wake-up call to a          jury members to the Nordic Hedge Award) consider to be
                                                                                            new normal.                                                      some characteristics of a good hedge fund, and investigate
                                                                                                                                                             if hedge funds and family offices are distant cousins, and
                                                                                            With the early possible early signs of inflation creeping up     carry some of the same DNA. The report also looks at how
                                                                                            (maybe by 2019?), American threats of protectionism and          how Nordic pension funds invest in equities and what role
                                                                                            a possible global trade war there is plenty to look out for.     ESG plays in that.
                                                                                            The EU itself is still digesting the Brexit vote, and everyone
                                                                                            is still trying to understand what                                                        We are introducing three new
                                                                                            this confluence of events could                                                           launches that come with very
                                                                                            mean.                                            “Is there                                different prefixes: Danish CABA
Facts & Figures on the Nordic Hedge Index (NHX)                                                                                                                                       Capital, alongside a fellow Danish
                                                                                            With market uncertainties and ge-              still room for                             team, this one the award winning
                                                                                            opolitical sabre-rattling all around
                                                                                            us. The question is whether there               optimism?”                                fixed income team of Nykredit,
                                                                                                                                                                                      who are sending their new fund,

                                 3.21
                                                                                            is still room for optimism. At a re-                                                      Evira, to the races.
                                                                                            cent conference I attended, the AIF in Amsterdam in early
                                                                                            March, a speaker was asked to list the “most important           With Adrigo Small & Midcap L/S one of Sweden’s oldest
                                                                                            upside risks for 2018/2019” (I was late pulling out my pen       managers launched its first fund, since its flagship set sail
                                 Average Sharpe Ratio of NHX Fixed Income Constituent       but it went something like this):                                in 2006, and finally Nordic Cross who set out not to launch
                                                                                                                                                             a new fund, but an entire boutique with a range of funds.

                                 77%
                                                                                            “A pick up in productivity growth, fiscal stimulus and in-       We introduce a new series in this report with a segment of
                                                                                            creased government spending in Europe, Trump getting             the hedge fund industry “in focus” and have selected fund
                                                                                            some things right, and improvements in policy in the EU          of hedge funds under the microscope.
                                                                                            region.”
                                 Ratio of NHX constituents with positive                                                                                     We spoke to many interesting managers for this publica-
                                 returns in 2017                                            The Nordic Hedge Index (NHX) had a tough 2017, es-               tion from across the Nordics and discussed their strategies
                                                                                            pecially compared with its international peers. The NHX          and views on markets and the world, on risk, on risk ap-

                                 118,8%
                                                                                            subcategory that finished the year weakest were CTAs,            petite and much more, as we share on the following pages.
                                                                                            who consequently also started weakest into the first
                                                                                            quarter of 2018. The CTA space will find it harder and
                                                                                            harder to prove their case of not being a one-hit-in-a-
                                 Highest cummulative return of any NHX sub                                                                                                    Kamran G. Ghalitschi
                                                                                            decade wonder, too. 2017 surely was a disappointment,
                                                                                                                                                                              CEO / Publisher HedgeNordic
                                 category since index inception (2005): NHX CTA             and the hefty kick where it hurt in February of this year
                                                                                            was not encouraging.

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NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018   www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

                                                                                        by Eugeniu Guzun– HedgeNordic

                                                                                        The Nordic Hedge Index, hereafter the NHX                                            generated a cumulative return of 89.0 percent
                                                                                        Composite, tracks the performance of the Nordic                                      since the beginning of 2005, which compares
                                                                                        hedge fund industry since the beginning of 2005.                                     with the returns of 86.5 percent and 102.1
                                                                                        Despite lagging international peers in the past                                      percent produced by the HFRI Fund Weighted
                                                                                        couple of years, Nordic hedge funds have broadly                                     Composite Index and the Barclay Hedge Fund
                                                                                        performed in line with their global counterparts                                     Index, respectively.
                                                                                        over the past 13 years. The NHX Composite has

                                                                                        Performance Comparison Between NHX Composite and Benchmarks

                                                                                                                                                NHX Composite versus Benchmarks
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    102,1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   86,5%
                                                                                           Since 2005
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     89,0%

                                                                                                                                                                         45,0%
                                                                                              6 years                                                       35,4%
                                                                                                                                                            35,2%

                                                                                                                                          20,6%
                                                                                              4 years                               16,7%
                                                                                                                                        18,1%

                                                                                                                                    17,1%
                                                                                              2 years                            14,6%
                                                                                                                     6,9%

                                                                                                                           10,4%
                                                                                               1 year                     8,6%
                                                                                                              2,9%

                                                                                                                    5,8%
                                                                                             6 months              4,9%
                                                                                                            1,6%

       The Nordic hedge fund                                                                 3 months
                                                                                                              3,0%
                                                                                                              2,6%
                                                                                                            0,7%

       Space at a glance - a review
                                                                                                    -0,03                        0,17                  0,37                        0,57               0,77                   0,97

                                                                                                                                 Barclay Hedge Fund Index           HFRI Fund Weighted Composite   NHX Composite

                                                                                        Source: HedgeNordic, BarclayHedge, and Hedge Fund Research.

                                                                                        However, the realized volatility of the NHX                                          at 3.8 percent, which compares favourably with
                                                                                        Composite on an annualized basis is significantly                                    the volatility of 5.8 percent and 6.8 percent for
                                                                                        lower than that of the international indices. The                                    the HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index and
                                                                                        annualized volatility of the NHX Composite stands                                    the Barclay Hedge Fund Index, respectively.

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6                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            7
NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018   www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

  Performance Comparison Between NHX Composite and Benchmarks (Adjusted to 5% Annualized Volatility)                                                       Fixed-income hedge funds collectively formed the best-                                              funds in the subsequent year with an average gain of 4.5
                                                                                                                                                           performing NHX sub-category in the past two years, after                                            percent. The graph below shows the performance achieved
                                                                                                                                                           gaining 7.2 percent in 2017 and 8.1 percent in 2016.                                                by each of the five NHX sub-categories in each of the past
       240,00                                                                                                                           45,00%             Equity-focused hedge funds gained the most among                                                    three years.
                                                                                                                                                           Nordic hedge funds in 2015 and trailed only fixed-income
                                                                                                                                        40,00%
       220,00

                                                                                                                                                            Performance Comparison Between NHX Sub-Categories, 2015-2017
                                                                                                                                        35,00%
       200,00
                                                                                                                                                                                          -4,0          -2,0                 0,0            2,0               4,0                 6,0          8,0              10,0           12,0

                                                                                                                                        30,00%                                                                                                          3,0
                                                                                                                                                                         NHX Composite                                                                         3,8
       180,00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4,8
                                                                                                                                                                                                 -2,4
                                                                                                                                        25,00%                                 NHX CTA                                                                              4,1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      -0,2
       160,00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3,8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2017
                                                                                                                                                                           NHX Equi>es                                                                                4,5
                                                                                                                                        20,00%                                                                                                                                                                    9,9                 2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7,2
       140,00                                                                                                                                                          NHX Fixed Income                                                                                                               8,1                             2015
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1,6
                                                                                                                                        15,00%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4,3
                                                                                                                                                                      NHX Mul>-Strategy                                                                  3,2
       120,00                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               3,6
                                                                                                                                        10,00%                                                                                     0,2
                                                                                                                                                                      NHX Fund Of Funds                        -0,8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2,3
       100,00
                                                                                                                                        5,00%
                                                                                                                                                            Source: HedgeNordic
       80,00                                                                                                                            0,00%

                                                                                                                                                            Despite their recent underperformance, CTAs produced                                               CTAs, by a wide margin in the past six years. Equity
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                                                                                                                                                            the highest return on average since 2005, delivering                                               hedge funds generated cumulative gains of 50.4
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                             NHX Overperformance Barclay    NHX Overperformance Barclay        NHX Composite                                                a cumulative return of 118.8 percent. On the other                                                 percent since the beginning of 2012 through the end
                             HFRI Fund Weighted Composite   Barclay Hedge Fund Index
                                                                                                                                                            hand, equity-focused and fixed-income hedge funds                                                  of 2017, while fixed-income strategies returned a
                                                                                                                                                            outperformed the remaining fund categories, including                                              cumulative 50.8 percent over the same time period.

  Source: HedgeNordic, BarclayHedge, and Hedge Fund Research.

                                                                                                                                                            Performance Comparison Between NHX Sub-Categories, Cumulative Returns

  When adjusting for the level of volatility, Nordic hedge              Nordic Hedge Fund (NHX) Index Strategy                                                                                                          Performance NHX Sub-categories
  funds outperform their international peers by a wide margin.          Breakdown
  Since 2005, the outperformance of the NHX Composite                                                                                                                 115%

  compared to the HFRI and Barclay indices accumulated to
                                                                                                                                                                       95%
  more than 30 percent, when the performance of all three
                                                                                                NHX Fund of
  indices is scaled to 5% volatility, which appears clearly in                                   Funds, 23
                                                                                                               NHX CTA, 21
                                                                                                                                                                       75%
  the graph above.
                                                                                                                                                                       55%
  Historically, the NHX Composite has included a large
  number of equity strategies. Equity-focused hedge funds                              NHX Multi-
                                                                                       Strategy, 33                                                                    35%
  account for slightly more than one-third of the overall NHX                                                             NHX
  universe, with a total of 57 members. The NHX family also                                                            Equities, 57
                                                                                                                                                                       15%
  contains 21 CTAs, 23 funds of funds, 24 fixed-income
  funds, and 33 multi-strategy funds.                                                            NHX Fixed                                                              -5%         6 months                    1 year                   2 years                      4 years                 6 years
                                                                                                 Income, 24
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Since 2005

                                                                                                                                                                                 NHX Composite          NHX CTA              NHX Equities         NHX Fixed Income               NHX Multi-Strategy         NHX Fund Of Funds

                                                                        Source: HedgeNordic                                                                 Source: HedgeNordic
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NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018   www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

  Despite the long-term dominance of CTAs in aggregate                                Invest IS, and Taiga Fund, and one CTA (i.e. Alfa Sigma                                Return Distribution of NHX Constituents in 2017
  since 2005, those dominating the list of best-performing                            Opportunities) generated an average compounded return
  NHX member hedge funds were equity strategies. Five                                 of more than 15 percent, of which the healthcare-focused                                                                      Return distribu,on of NHX members in 2017
  equity hedge funds, namely Rhenman Healthcare Equity                                fund managed by Rhenman & Partners Asset Management
                                                                                                                                                                                  35
  L/S, HCP Focus Fund, Borea Global Equities, Mjeltevik                               produced a compounded return in excess of 20 percent.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2% ~ 4%
                                                                                                                                                                                  30
  Average Compounded Returns and Percentage of Positive Months for NHX

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  0% ~ 2%
  Constituents
                                                                                                                                                                                  25

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                6% ~ 8%
                                                 100
                                                                                                                                                                                  20

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           -2% ~ -4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       0% ~ -2%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          8% ~ 10%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               -4% ~ -6%
                                                  90

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4% ~ 6%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   -6% ~ -8%
                                                                                                                                                                                  15

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     10% ~ 12%
                                                  80
       PERCENTAGE OF POSITIVE MONTHS

                                                                                                                                                                                  10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 12% ~ 14%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          -12% ~ -14%
                                                  70

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             14% ~ 16%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         18% ~ 20%
                                                                                                                                                                                       -36% ~ -38%

                                                                                                                                                                                                      -28% ~ -30%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        -10% ~ -12%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     20% ~ 22%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 22% ~ 24%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             34% ~ 36%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      -8% ~ -10%
                                                                                                                                                                                   5
                                                  60

                                                                                                                                                                                   0
                                                  50

                                                                                                                                                                             Source: HedgeNordic
                                                  40

                                                  30
                                                                                                                                                                            Focusing on the 2017 performance alone, most hedge                                                                               last year. Two existing NHX members, namely Gramont
                                                                                                                                                                            funds within the NHX Composite returned between 2 and                                                                            Equity Opportunities Fund and Estlander & Partners Alpha
                     -10               -5
                                                  20
                                                       0                  5                       10                   15                20                  25
                                                                                                                                                                            4 percent for the year. A total of 23 hedge funds returned                                                                       Trend II – Class P, lost more than 28 percent in 2017, while
                                                                      AVERAGE COMPOUNDED RETURN                                                                             between 0 and 2 percent last year, whereas 19 funds                                                                              Rhenman Healthcare Equity L/S gained in excess of 34
                                            NHX Equities   NHX Fixed Income   NHX Fund of funds        NHX CTA   NHX Multi-Strategy
                                                                                                                                                                            posted an average gain in the range of 6 to 8 percent. The                                                                       percent.
                                                                                                                                                                            Nordic hedge fund industry also observed some outliers

  Source: HedgeNordic

  Conversely, only one CTA currently included in the NHX                              On a positive note, Nordic fixed-income hedge funds,
  generated an average compounded return of more than                                 as shown by the same graph, generate attractive returns
  10 percent. The construction of the NHX Composite                                   on average, while keeping their returns positive most of
  minimizes the effects of survivorship bias by reflecting                            the time. A total number of seven fixed-income funds
  the performance of already-defunct funds. Therefore,                                generated average compounded returns of more than
  the outperformance of CTAs against the remaining sub-                               10 percent. The majority of fixed-income funds generate
  categories stems from the outstanding performance of                                positive returns in more than 70 percent of all months.
  several CTA funds that, like shooting stars, shone brightly
  before disappearing. These funds no longer operate and
  have thus disappeared from the NHX.

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NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018   www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

             Biggest percentage gainers by NHX                                                                                                                                                          NHX Key Facts at a Glance
                 sub-category and country.                                                                                                 Figures and data below are drawn from the HedgeNordic databses
                                                                                                                                                 covering the constituents of the Nordic Hedge Index.

                                                    Finland
        Equities and Sweden

            34.5%                                  21.0%                                                                                  Average sharpe ratios by
                                                                                                                                             NHX sub-category
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Performance fees charged by
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Nordic hedge funds
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Country Breakdown

                                                 HCP Focus Fund
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     180

       Rhenman Healthcare
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     160
                                                                                                                                 3,5                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          158
                                                                                                                                                                                3,21                                                   100                                                                                                                                      18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     140

           Equity L/S
                                                                                                                                      3                                                                                                                                        87
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            23

                                                                                                Average Sharpe ratios for 2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        80                                                           120
                                                                                                                                 2,5                                                                                                                                                                                                       16

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Frequency
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     100
                                                                                                                                      2                                                                                                 60                                                                            97
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      80
                                                                                                                                 1,5                                                                                                    40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      60
                                                                                                                                      1
                                                                                                                                                                                                 0,90                                                      17
                                                                                                                                                 0,73                                                                                   20                           10                               40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  6                                      3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                0,45                                                                             0
                                                                                                                                 0,5                                                                                                                                                                  20
                                                                                                                                                                 0,05                                                                    0

                              Nor way
                                                                                                                                      0                                                                                                                                                                  0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       5%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 8%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           4%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             e
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             or
                                                                                                                                                               NHX CTA      NHX Fixed          NHX Multi-      NHX Fund                                                                                          Sweden              Norway            Denmark             Finland        Total

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      -1

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                -1

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          -2

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    -3

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             M
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             -1

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      %

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                %

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          %

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    %
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         0%
                                                                                                                                          NHX Equities                       Income             Strategy        of funds

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            15

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      21

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                27
                                                               CTAs
                              19.3%                       12.6%
                                                                                                                                                 Hedge Fund Launches                                                                          Portion of Fund Gainers                                                           Largest Fund by AuM

                         Borea Global Equities
                                                                                                                                                                         18

                                                       Alfa Sigma                                                                                                                                       16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Brummer
                                                      Opportunities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          77%                                                                   Multi-Strategy
                                                                                                                                                   13

                                                                                                                                          11                                     11
                                                                                                                                                                                        10                       10

                                                                                                                                                           8
                                                                                                                                  7                                7
                                                                                                                                                                                                  6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  38.0 Billion SEK ~ 4.6 Billion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               USD

                                                                                                                                 2007

                                                                                                                                          2008

                                                                                                                                                   2009

                                                                                                                                                          2010

                                                                                                                                                                  2011

                                                                                                                                                                         2012

                                                                                                                                                                                 2013

                                                                                                                                                                                        2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                 2015

                                                                                                                                                                                                        2016

                                                                                                                                                                                                                2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Based on 2017 performance                                                         As of December 29, 2017

                                 Fund of
                                  Funds
                                                                                                                                                 Hedge fund
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2017 Launches                                                      Management fees charged by

                                 6.4%
       Fixed Income                                                                                                                        performance by country                                                                                                                                                    Nordic hedge funds
       and Denmark                                                                                                                                                                                                                - Volt Diversified Alpha Fund
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  - IAM Nordic Multi Strategy Fund                                               60
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           54

                                Brummer
        18.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  - CABA Hedge                                                                   50

                              Multi-Strategy        Multi-Strategy                                                                                                                                                                - Nordic Cross Total Return Bond Fund
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       41

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Frequency
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  - Nordic Cross Stable Return

                                                      15.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  - Nykredit EVIRA Hedge Fund
       Nykredit MIRA                                                                                                                                                                                                              - Asgard Fixed Income Risk Premia                                              20                                                   16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                8
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  - Adrigo Small & Midcap L/S                                                    10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3
                                                   Formuepleje Penta
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  - Evli Factor Premia                                                            0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  - Nordic Cross Small Cap Edge                                                            -1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             %
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      -1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         .5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           %
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     -2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       %
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 -2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   .5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      %
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 -3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     %
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          M
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           or
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              e
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      0%                          5%                         5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1%          1.           2%            2.

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12                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  13
NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018   www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

                                                                                                       T
                                   by Aline Reichenberg Gustafsson, CFA - HedgeNordic
                                                                                                              he Nordic Hedge Award has been recognising the             other hedge funds in the portfolio, as well as the portfolio
                                                                                                              best Nordic hedge fund managers every year since           as a whole for example. In general, we want our holdings to
                                                                                                              2012. After a quantitative screening finds the             complement one another in terms of investment strategy,
                                                                                                       nominees in each category, a jury composed of Nordic              approach and performance and risk patterns and so forth.”
                                                                                                       institutional investors determines the winner. The jury’s
                                                                                                       selection criteria go beyond numbers, by taking into              Numbers are evidently paramount in any manager selection
                                                                                                       account other elements that investors typically consider,         process, but for both Stanghellini and Hallén, there is
                                                                                                       such as reputation or fund organisation. We have asked            more to it than a mere quantitative screening. “There isn’t
                                                                                                       two of this year’s Nordic Hedge Award jury members                a single most important factor,” starts Hallén. “They all
                                                                                                       to share their personal view on what they look at when            need to make sense, and we need to acquire a conviction
                                                                                                       making an investment decision in a hedge fund. Claudia            in the management process, as well as the organisation
                                                                                                       Stanghellini, Head of external management at Swedish              behind the fund. The most important is the quality and the
                                                                                                       National pension fund AP3, and Malin Hallén, Senior               experience of the team. Once we have assessed that, the
                                                                                                       Portfolio Manager, Manager Selection at Swedbank                  rest is more likely to follow.”
                                                                                                       Robur, have accepted to answer our questions.

                                                                                                       When considering a hedge fund, the first question is how               “In general, we want our holdings
                                                                                                       the strategy fits within the firm’s broader asset allocation.            to complement one another in
                                                                                                       For example, AP3 excludes directional managers from its
                                                                                                       hedge fund allocation. “We don’t want to pay for beta at
                                                                                                                                                                                terms of investment strategy,
                                                                                                       hedge fund prices,” justifies Stanghellini. “Hedge funds                approach and performance and
                                                                                                       should not correlate with the equity market to be part of
                                                                                                                                                                                  risk patterns and so forth.”
                                                                                                       our absolute-return bucket.” In addition to external hedge
                                                                                                       funds, AP3 also includes its internal alpha strategies, which
                                                                                                       are in-house long/short hedge fund mandates, as well as           At AP3, Stanghellini reminds us, the “4Ps” are a guiding
                                                                                                       risk-premia strategies, in the absolute-return section of         principle. “ People, Process, Performance and Protection,
                                                                                                       its overall portfolio. “Some people assign risk premia to         these are the first things we consider. Practically, we like to
                                                                                                       the beta allocation of their portfolio, but we don’t. But it      see at least three years of track record, because we want
                                                                                                       depends on what type of risk premia you choose and we try         to see how the managers handle drawdowns and risk.
                                                                                                       also to build a risk-premia portfolio which is uncorrelated       They must show that they have control of their portfolio in
                                                                                                       to the market. Currently, we have more risk allocated to          a stressed market. We don’t look for the next hedge fund
                                                                                                       these strategies than to hedge funds, as we are looking to        stars who will produce 50 percent performance in one

        What Makes a
                                                                                                       harvest risk premia in the long-term.”                            year with painful drawdowns when markets move against
                                                                                                                                                                         them. We want to have a fund with stable performance,
                                                                                                                                                                         that is mostly alpha. Our managers must have the ability to
                                                                                                              “We don’t want to pay for beta at                          deliver on target given their mandate. Cost is an important
                                                                                                                                                                         consideration in our overall portfolio strategy, and a hedge
                                                                                                                    hedge fund prices.”                                  fund’s fee structure must be in line with our means.” In

       Good Hedge Fund
                                                                                                                                                                         addition to the actual selection criteria, AP3 also looks
                                                                                                       At Swedbank Robur, portfolio construction is, of course,          for a long-term strategic partnership with its hedge fund
                                                                                                       crucial, explains Hallén. “It is a mix of art and science,” she   managers, Stanghellini reveals. “We select skilled managers
                                                                                                       says. “Our hedge fund allocation is primarily included to         in niche markets. At the same time, we want to grow our
                                                                                                       add diversification but also value to our traditional asset       capabilities internally and look for managers that are open
                                                                                                       classes. Our view of the market will determine how much           to share and discuss research, investment ideas and market
                                                                                                       we allocate to each bucket. The hedge fund portion of the         views with us. We like knowledge sharing.”
                                                                                                       portfolio has to fit with what the rest of the portfolio looks

       Market Neutral and Volatility Strategies Under the Spotlight                                    like.” Currently, the hedge fund selection consists mostly
                                                                                                       of absolute return strategies such as equity market neutral
                                                                                                                                                                         Hallén mentions a new consideration in her selection
                                                                                                                                                                         process. “This may not be the most important criteria right
                                                                                                       and trend following strategies. “Within a strategy, the           now, but it has become more prominent in our manager
                                                                                                       weights of the different funds are adjusted depending on          selection process. We have added sustainability to our
                                                                                                       our conviction, and on the correlation, they have with the        due diligence process a couple of years ago. It is a factor

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14                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    15
NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018   www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

 we take into consideration. We favour managers that           Concretely, Stanghellini and Hallén are looking for hedge                           “We have added sustainability                           Both Hallén and Stanghellini believe in long-term
 have signed the PRI and incorporate those principles on       fund strategies that complement their firm’s portfolio,                                                                                     commitments once they have invested with any given
 a day-to-day basis. We are aware that it is easier for some   and therefore they need to be de-correlated from                                    to our due diligence process a                          manager, provided things pan out as expected of course.
 strategies, such as equity long/short, than for others like   traditional asset classes. “We don’t cover all the styles,”                        couple of years ago. It is a factor                      “Our holding time is long-term if the manager is on target,”
 trend followers. Hedge funds have started incorporating       says Stanghellini. “We have selected some strategies, such                                                                                  says Stanghellini. “We target high single digits for volatility
 sustainable investing practices across the board; the         as global macro and CTA, niche long/short structured
                                                                                                                                                    we take into consideration.”                           around or over 10 percent, and a Sharpe ratio of at least
 change is happening as we speak, and we are happy to          credit, or even emerging market hedge funds. We try to                                                                                      0.7 for each of the funds.”
 see that.”                                                    find strategies that fit into the wider allocation, and that                 downturn. This type of market is notoriously difficult to
                                                               we cannot manage internally because we don’t have the                        navigate, especially for CTAs and trend followers. There       Swedbank Robur has gradually integrated hedge funds into
                                                               expertise or the scale.” Stanghellini concurs with Hallén’s                  is one fund however which distinguished itself during          its portfolio since 2012. “We have not exited that many
       “We want to grow our capabilities                       view.                                                                        the recent turmoil, a Nordic shorter-term trend following      of our investments, to be honest,” says Hallén. “In some
        internally and look for managers                                                                                                    strategy, Estlander & Partners Freedom. All our CTA            cases, we did, because the fund didn’t fit into our portfolio
                                                               “In strong beta markets,” Stanghellini continues, “interesting               positions had negative performance during the turmoil,         construction, or because we saw better opportunities
       that are open to share and discuss
                                                               managers are those that are more market neutral. Volatility                  but this one was down less than one percent. Among our         elsewhere. Our shortest holding period was one year; the
         research, investment ideas and                        strategies are also interesting, even though they are getting                market-neutral positions, on average the performance           fund didn’t live up to our expectations, but there were
          market views with us. We like                        crowded perhaps. It is still a niche space.” At Swedbank,                    was slightly negative, but a bright spot was Pictet Asset      several other factors at play. It was an exception.”
                                                               volatility strategies have also been part of the portfolio.                  Management’s Agora fund. It has managed to deliver a
              knowledge sharing.”                              “Our long volatility position paid off in the recent market                  consistently positive return, even in choppy markets.”

               Claudia Stanghellini,                                                                                                                                Malin Hallén,
         Head of External Management - AP3                                                                                                            Sr. Portfolio Manager. Asset Allocation –
                                                                                                                                                                   Swedbank Robur
 Claudia has 22 years of experience in finance, of which 16
 at AP3. After obtaining a MSc in Actuarial Sciences at City                                                                                  Malin Hallén is a Senior Portfolio Manager within the
 University in London, she joined Sun Life Financial as an                                                                                    Asset Allocation team at Swedbank Robur. She is currently
 Actuarial Analyst for 5 years.                                                                                                               managing a range of primarily multi-asset funds, investing
                                                                                                                                              across equity, fixed income and alternative investments;
 She started at AP3 in 2002 as a Quantitative Analyst.                                                                                        both directional and market neutral strategies. The total
 Two and a half years later she became a portfolio manager                                                                                    assets under management exceed 30 billion SEK. Part of
 in the Global Equity team where she specialised in                                                                                           the job involves manager selection responsibilities where
 selecting long-only managers. In 2007, as AP3 operated                                                                                       she covers both traditional long-only and hedge fund
 a separation between alpha and beta strategies, Claudia’s                                                                                    strategies across all asset classes. Malin has 19 years of
 focus extended to alternative asset strategies.                                                                                              experience in finance, of which 9 is at Swedbank Robur.

 Today, Claudia is responsible for manager research,                                                                                          Before joining Swedbank Robur in 2009, Malin worked
 manager selection and portfolio construction of externally                                                                                   at Handelsbanken Kapitalförvaltning, External Funds and
 managed strategies for the alpha and beta portfolios. She                                                                                    Alternative Investment with responsibility for External
 covers traditional long-only strategies, hedge funds and                                                                                     Funds within Handelsbanken. Malin has also spent
 risk premia strategies across all asset classes. Claudia is                                                                                  close to 10 years at Skandia as a Senior Fundanalyst
 also member of the Risk Management Committee at AP3.                                                                                         and Portfolio manager, where she had a broad coverage
                                                                                                                                              across asset classes including hedge funds. There she
                                                                                                                                              was a member of SkandiaLinks and Skandia Global Funds
                                                                                                                                              investment committees as well as board member of
                                                                                                                                              Skandia Investment Advisory Services AB.

                                                                                                                                              She is a certified EFFAS Financial Analyst (CEFA),
                                                                                                                                              authorized Financial Analyst (AFA), and a member of the
                                                                                                                                              Swedish Society of Financial Analysts.

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NORDIC HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY REPORT 2018 - HEDGENORDIC
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018   www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

                                                                                                                                                  The swings in favour of passive management and insourcing both      ESG acceptance
                                                                                                                                                  have a strong basis in investment prudence and have certainly
                                                                                                                                                  contributed to lower expenses for equity investments, although      Nordic investors have long been a driving force in the
                                                                                                                                                  these have often been partly offset by additional spending on       increasing prominence of sustainable investing. Over the past
                                                                                                                                                  the alternative investment side. We have also seen notable          fifteen years, ESG has definitively progressed from “ethical”
                                                                                                                                                  reductions in the fees offered to Nordic investors by active        side-show to mainstream industry phenomenon. Many of
                                                                                                                                                  equity managers, particularly among more systematic strategies.     bfinance’s clients in the region are long-standing participants
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      in international initiatives to help advance environmental,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      social and governance (ESG) issues in the investment industry.
                                                                                                                                                       “The shift towards passive investing
                                                                                                                                                       has perhaps been the most visible                              Indeed, every single equity manager selection exercise that
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      we have conducted in the Nordic Region has required that
                                                                                                                                                       development in Nordic investors’                               the manager be (or become) a signatory to the Principles

 Change and Continuity:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      for Responsible investing. Viewed in the region as a basic
                                                                                                                                                       equity allocations.”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      minimum requirement, it is taken as a sign that managers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      are at least aware of the importance of ESG issues to their

 How Nordic Pension Funds Invest in Equity                                                                                                        Yet new practices have not always been entirely voluntary.
                                                                                                                                                  For some investors, increasingly stringent cost constraints
                                                                                                                                                  have dictated behaviour. Stakeholder pressure has also been
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      clients. That being said, there is a strong awareness among
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      the community that many signatories have been bolting ESG
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      functions onto existing processes rather than implementing
                                                                                                                                                  a critical factor: justifying the expense of active management      genuine integration. This approach is rapidly becoming
                                                                                                                                                  through short-term ups and downs in the market can be               unacceptable to Nordic institutions, who in most cases are
                                                                                                                                                  immensely difficult. We have observed cases where investors         looking for managers with the ability and thought leadership
                                                                      by Richard Tyszkiewicz – Senior Director - bfinance                         have proceeded further down the “cost-saving” path than             to help their clients understand complex sustainability
                                                                                                                                                  their senior investment staff believe will be optimal for long-     themes and help them develop their own sustainable
                                                                                                                                                  term investment outcomes.                                           investment policy.

 F
       ifteen years ago, when we began working with                 These constructions and combinations are increasingly
                                                                                                                                                  Alpha/beta separation                                                  “There is no doubt that Nordic
       Nordic institutional investors, approaches to listed         innovative. For example, following a successful test with
       equity investing were very different indeed.                 internally managed domestic equities, Sweden’s AP7 gradually                  The rise of passive investing has also been part of a general          pension funds have either led or been
                                                                    moved their whole listed equity portfolio to a structure based                trend among Nordic institutional investors to get a better
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ‘ahead of the curve’ on many of the
 The rise of passive equity investing, the refinements in alpha     on 100% passive market exposure complemented by unfunded                      understanding of – and control over – the alpha sources in
 beta separation, the development of risk premia analysis and       “pure alpha” long-short mandates. Another sophisticated                       equity portfolios. The greater awareness of risk factor exposures      most significant shifts in the equity
 the increasing prominence of ESG have all fundamentally            investor has developed a long-term strategy around combining                  and their contribution towards returns, in addition to the
 changed equity portfolios – hopefully, we believe, for the         complementary active managers in a very effective “all-                       disappointment with some active managers that were suspected           landscape.”
 better. Meanwhile, asset allocation at a high level has shifted    weather” in-house fund of funds.                                              of “closet index” investing, led some of our clients towards
 in favour of alternative asset classes, altering the task that                                                                                   restructuring their portfolios around a passive core, sometimes     Interestingly, some of the best managers to come through our
 listed equity investments are expected to accomplish.                                                                                            supplemented by carefully combined smart beta strategies and        ESG assessment do not score particularly well within the PRI
                                                                    Cost compression
                                                                                                                                                  benchmark-agnostic unconstrained “satellite” managers.              framework. Some of them do not even market themselves as
 Yet these much-debated changes, outlined in greater detail         The shift towards passive investing has perhaps been the most                                                                                     ESG managers. Our Nordic clients typically look for managers
 below, mask certain elements of consistency and continuity.        visible development in Nordic investors’ equity allocations,                  The message has been clear and powerful: investors no               that have a long track record of integrating non-financial
 Fifteen years ago, the majority of equity manager selection        followed closely by the related trend of investment insourcing                longer intend to pay active management fees where they are          criteria in their stock selection, most often on the basis that a
 activity by these investors, whether for global or regional        – the move to manage a greater proportion of investments                      not due.                                                            focus on all aspects of ESG will favour sustainable companies
 markets, focused on long-only strategies with a preference for     in-house, sometimes running them on a more systematic                                                                                             for solid long-term investment.
 bottom-up stock picking, a clearly explicable investment process   enhanced model.                                                               Yet onlookers should not be deceived into thinking that this
 and a pooled vehicle structure for ease of administration.                                                                                       means active management is out of favour among Nordic
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Impact investing evolution
                                                                    The insourcing trend is, in part, a by-product of the quite rapid             pension funds. We are still running a consistent stream of
 Today there is still a strong appetite for long-only active        consolidation taking place in the Nordic pensions industry.                   searches for active equity managers for Nordic institutions.        Driven initially by Nordic foundations with various
 equity managers with many of the same key characteristics,         Once a pension fund reaches a certain critical mass it can justify            Indeed, we note a resurgence in the popularity of active            philanthropic and developmental aims, ‘impact investing’
 although in many cases these must now clearly complement           the internal resources needed for asset management. As seen                   managers among some contrarian Nordic investors who view            has become increasingly popular among some of the larger
 passive or smart beta strategies – and each other – rather         in the Dutch market, the next step in this growth process can                 the general shift into passive as an excellent opportunity to       investors in the region. These strategies seek to achieve
 than stand alone.                                                  be to offer asset management services to third party clients.                 add some of the best active houses into their portfolios.           various explicit positive outcomes alongside financial returns.

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18                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  19
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

                                                                                                                                      IPM sees the world as it really is. The only certainty is change. In order to gain
                                                                                                                                      insight into an environment that is in constant flux, you need a continuous flow
 This approach is generally oriented towards private            significant shifts in the equity landscape. Better active
                                                                                                                                      of new ideas and a rigorous means of filtering them.
 equity, thanks to the direct access to and involvement         management fees, more sophisticated portfolio design
 with portfolio company management. Nevertheless, there         and smarter asset manager analysis have all contributed               That is our investment process, based on the belief that market prices will fluctuate
 is increasing appetite from Nordic institutions for impact     to improvements. The past decade has seen particularly                around the true, fundamental value of financial assets. A vast number of human and
 investing in public equity markets. The greatest challenge     interesting innovations, although the driving pressures               natural factors influence investors’ perceptions and impact how they value financial
                                                                                                                                      assets. Ultimately, what matters is what these assets are truly worth, after the
 is the accurate measurement of the positive outcomes           – particularly on the cost side – have not always been
                                                                                                                                      rising and falling of the tides.
 that investors are seeking to achieve. Industry participants   entirely positive in their effects.
 are hard at work trying to improve data access and agree                                                                             Find out more about our approach at ipm.se or contact us at info@ipm.se
 on some form of standard reporting that would allow for        Active management has emerged from this phase with
 better assessment of impact managers’ performance.             a somewhat smaller, but perhaps no less important, role
                                                                in portfolios. Diversification, genuine alpha generation,
 There is no doubt that Nordic pension funds have either        ESG and impact goals are of critical importance in today’s
 led or been ‘ahead of the curve’ on many of the most           Nordic pension market.

                                                                                                    Richard Tyszkiewicz,
                                                                                                Senior Director - bfinance

                                                                                                                                      The tide
                                                                                                                                      will turn

                                                                                                                                      IPM Informed Portfolio Management was founded in 1998 with the purpose of delivering robust investment strategies with
                                                                                                                                      a systematic investment process to institutional investors. Today, IPM is primarily recognised for its multi-asset systematic macro
                                                                                                                                      strategy, but also for its Smart Beta equity strategy, both building on similar investment principles.
                                                                                                                                      IPM is regulated as an AIFM by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (Finansinspektionen), and registered with the U.S.
                                                                                                                                      Securities and Exchange Commission an investment advisor, and as a CPO/CTA with the Commodity Futures Commission.

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20
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018   www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

             Is it a bird, is it a plane...?

                                                                                                Petri Tuutti
                                                                                                                        No, It´s visio!                                                                            by Jonathan Furelid – HedgeNordic

       “Our main priority has
                                  B
                                        y focusing on what matters - bringing absolute returns to                       The Visio Allocator fund has delivered on its promise to         The Allocator fund is currently co-managed by three
                                        end investors - Finnish asset manager Visio has proven its                      outperform equity markets to a significantly lower risk          portfolio managers. Next to Tuutti, who founded the
       always been to deliver           worth since launching in 2010. The fact that investors fail                     than that of stocks, earning it a five star Morningstar rating   company in 2009, the team also includes Antti Aalto who
        competitive absolute      to frame them in a style box is of secondary importance, the firms                    and recently also giving them the Morningstar award as           joined the firm from Danske Markets in 2012 and Sami
                                  founder and CIO, Petri Tuutti, argues.                                                the best allocation fund in Finland.                             Listola, who joined from Finnish asset manager FIM only
       returns and to do that                                                                                                                                                            last year.
         with controlled risk.”   There is an old slogan from the iconic jeans label Levi’s saying that                 “Our main priority has always been to deliver competitive
                                  “quality never goes out of style”. While that is probably all true,                   absolute returns and to do that with controlled risk. We
                                  Finnish asset manager Visio has never been too concerned about                        are investing alongside our investors in the fund which
                                                                                                                                                                                         Stock-picking at the core
                                  the label attributed to their style of trading, but rather focused on                 means that there is an alignment of interest from day one”,
                                  bringing quality of returns to end investors. And indeed, trying to                   Petri Tuutti, Managing Director and CIO of Visio Asset           The Visio Allocator fund is an absolute return fund
                                  stick Allocator in a box with a clearly defined label will clearly cause              Management explains.                                             focusing on Nordic equity markets. At the core the strategy
                                  a challenge. The fund is typically very directional, but has market                                                                                    employs a stock-picking approach that Tuutti describes as
                                  neutral overlays, it trades large cap to small cap stock, corporate                   Tuutti has a long background managing investment                 being Visio’s edge. The portfolio typically consists of 20-
                                  bonds, options and futures. The fund has a value approach at its                      portfolios. In the 1990’s he managed equity portfolios for       30 Nordic large- and mid-cap stocks with some small cap
                                  core.                                                                                 the Finnish mutual insurance company Fennia and was              stocks blended in. On top of that, the portfolio trades an
                                                                                                                        also the first equity portfolio manager at Varma, Finland’s      equity market neutral strategy, an equity hedging strategy
                                  Although that has certainly been a challenge from a marketing                         largest pension fund. In 2000, Tuutti co-founded Avenir,         and also invest into corporate bonds.
                                  perspective, with investors typically failing to frame the investment                 a multi-strategy hedge fund that was managed under the
                                  program in a pre-defined hedge fund category, the performance                         Brummer and Partners umbrella organisation. Tuutti left          “The corporate bond strategy should be seen as a
                                  profile of the fund since launching in 2010 speaks for itself.                        Avenir to set up Visio in 2008.                                  complementary to our equity trading, whenever we find

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22                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               23
www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018   www.hedgenordic.com - March 2018

 opportunities that offer good risk return characteristics.
 This means that the proportion of bond allocations can
                                                                   “90 percent of the profits we
 vary significantly over time, in 2010 and 2011 when               have made in equities is from
 interest rate spreads were high and the return potential
 in high yield was significant, we held 60 percent of the
                                                                   positions in large caps, only 10
 allocation in corporate bonds, today, that number is below        percent relates to mid- and
 10 percent”, Tuutti says.
                                                                   small cap positions.”
 Since the start of the fund, the majority of profits have
 come from fundamental equity positions where Visio                Tuutti also mentions that the inherent characteristics
 estimates the intrinsic value of a company and builds a           of the different Nordic markets make a case for good
 balanced portfolio of what they see as mispriced Nordic           diversification benefits. “By combining the different
 securities. Most of the profits have come from positions in       Nordic countries in a portfolio provides basis for good
 large cap stocks, Tuutti says.                                    diversification, Norway for example relies more on energy
                                                                   and Denmark being a defensive market are good examples
 “90 percent of the profits we have made in equities is from       of that”, he says.
 positions in large caps, only 10 percent relates to mid- and
 small cap positions.”
                                                                   Current positioning and ways
 Through the balanced equity portfolio, Visio targets to           forward
 exceed equity market returns over a business cycle. Tuutti
 stresses that it is the ability of Visio to stay more defensive   Being value-driven at the core, Visio has no negative or
 in difficult periods in equity markets that explains the          positive bias built into their investment strategy. The
 outperformance over time.                                         long exposure in equities is based on the amount of
                                                                   cases offering excellent return potential relative to their

                                                                                                                                                Are institutions flexible enough
 “Succeeded by actively managing the downside in these             risk using a fundamental bottom-up view. Except for a
 periods we have to stay ahead of the equity markets while         period in the very early days of the fund, when they were
 keeping portfolio volatility lower than the European stock        positioned for a risk-off scenario, Visio has held a long bias

                                                                                                                                                for real diversification?
 markets on average. This is where our index hedging and           since late 2011.
 market neutral portfolios come into play”, he explains
 continuing:                                                       “Both economic and company specific fundamentals have
                                                                   been supportive for quite some time which has made us
 “We are very active on the derivatives side, using futures        hold on to our positive view for many years and to be
 for hedging purposes as well as to increase or decrease           significantly invested in stocks”, says Tuutti. The recent
 sector exposures. Options are also frequently used to             sell-off and heightened volatility levels in equity markets
 manage individual positions and to hedge risks.”                  have not materially changed this view.                                                                                                          Aline Reichenberg Gustafsson, CFA – HedgeNordic

                                                                   “Looking at what happened in early February gives a
 The benefit of being local

                                                                                                                                              I
                                                                   fairly good idea of what can happen in the markets when
                                                                   momentum takes overhand. This is being emphasized                              n a low bond yield environment accompanied by rich         who explained the advantages of investing in the market
 Tuutti emphasizes that the Nordic focus is very important         by the increased use of momentum based ETF’s. We                               equity valuations, relying on differentiated strategies    for US life insurance policies, while discussing the
 for bringing Visio´s value added to the portfolio over time.      are currently using and looking to further develop such                        and new asset classes is more important than ever.         challenges he encounters when talking to local investors.
                                                                   indicators to better capture the momentum impact of                          Not many low-hanging fruits are left ripe for the picking,
 “I think it is a combination of the fact that we know the         equity market performance, both on the long and the short                    as institutions are hunting for every bit of sound alpha     In essence, Resscapital´s strategy consists in taking over
 culture, the companies and the investors here, you know           side”, Tuutti explains.                                                      available.                                                   life-insurance contracts from individuals who no longer
 how people usually act which makes a big difference when                                                                                                                                                    need them. Instead of letting their policies lapse, people
 making investment decisions. Also the Nordic region                                                                                            One strategy however, locally managed in Stockholm           can sell them and collect a lump-sum. The investor
 as such offers many interesting opportunities since it is                                                                                      but investing in assets across the pond, could provide       continues to pay premiums to the insurer and collects the
 reflecting the opportunities in the developed world overall.”                                                                                  a welcome diversification. But are Nordic institutions       policy payout at the end of these people’s lives. Practically,
                                                                                                                                                flexible enough to open their portfolios to a new asset      the mechanism very much resembles a fixed income
                                                                                                                                                class? We spoke to Gustaf Hagerud, CEO of Resscapital,       investment, as it involves a schedule of cash flows. The

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                                                                   knowhow when it comes to coordinating the process with                                                                                         such instruments from a moral perspective. “We have
                                                                   the different links in the transactional chain,” adds Hagerud,                            “Often we find that                                  worked a lot with this aspect,” Hagerud explains.
                                                                   “as well as ensuring that we limit any operational risk once
                                                                   the policy is in our portfolio. We have also accumulated
                                                                                                                                                             investors put the fund in                            “For some time now, we commissioned an ethical
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  assessment of the investment strategy that shows how
                                                                   more than five years of experience in valuing these assets                                the alternative investments                          the market for life insurance policies actually favours
                                                                   in the context of our fund.”
                                                                                                                                                             bucket, together with funds                          the consumers, as it procures a financial payoff for
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  something that would otherwise be worthless. Now we
                                                                   In 2017, when Resscapital’s fund, Ress Life Investments                                   that have a significantly                            have taken one step further and set up a sustainable
                                                                   started approaching the hailed USD 100 million mark,
                                                                   the company decided to hire Hagerud to take the fund
                                                                                                                                                             higher risk profile, such as                         investment policy to show how we take ethics as well
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  as other responsible investing questions at heart. As a
                                                                   to institutional investors. Until then, the fund had grown                                private equity, for example.”                        result, we have become signatory of the UN Principles
                                                                   steadily with the support of individual investors, family                                                                                      for Responsible Investing (PRI) last year.”
                                                                   offices and medium-sized institutions under the leadership
                                                                   of founder Jonas Mårtenson, who now focuses his efforts                      in and out of the fund. Ress Life Investments is an open-
                                                                   exclusively on marketing. Mårtenson comments: “With his                      ended fund with the possibility to subscribe or redeem like
                                                                   institutional background, as Head of Asset Management                        in many alternative investment funds, but it is also a listed
                                                                   at the Swedish public pension fund AP3, as well as his                       company on the Copenhagen Nasdaq stock exchange. For
                                                                   expertise in global tactical asset allocation from AP1 and                   redemptions, we require a seven-month notice, in order
                                                                   Alecta, Gustaf can really help us to position the fund for                   to be able to sell off policies in this illiquid market, while
                                                                   larger investors. We believe that Ress Life Investments can                  taking care of the interests of investors with a longer
               Jonas Mårtenson, Sales Director & Founder
                                                                   provide diversification to them, with a return level that they               investment horizon.”
                                                                   may not obtain otherwise. But the investment process of
 timing of the final payout is uncertain for each individual       pension funds is very different from that of the investors                   Despite this opportunity to add return to most portfolios
 investment, but over a large number of policies, the              we approached until now. They have bigger teams and are                      without increasing the level of risk, especially in this
 average can be estimated fairly accurately. The valuation         more sophisticated in their asset allocation and manager                     low yield environment, there seems to be a structural
 of the individual contracts relies on a statistical model and     selection.”                                                                  impediment for some institutions to invest in Ress Life
 on the actualisation of expected cash flows. The measured                                                                                      Investments. “Often we find that investors put the fund
 volatility of the fund mainly depends on a mark-to-market                                                                                      in the alternative investments bucket, together with funds
 model that takes into account recent transactions, even                     “The measured volatility of                                        that have a significantly higher risk profile, such as private
 if the plan is to hold most assets to maturity, in principle.
 It is easy to see how such an asset class is absolutely
                                                                             the fund mainly depends on                                         equity for example,” says Hagerud. “Our risk profile is much
                                                                                                                                                closer to fixed income however with a volatility estimated
 uncorrelated from any other.                                                a mark-to-market model                                             at around 3.5 percent, but we offer a higher return with

 “Of course, investing in life insurance policies carries its
                                                                             that takes into account                                            a target of 7 percent, and our Sharpe ratio is superior to
                                                                                                                                                many of the higher-risk alternatives. We also offer a level
 own risks,” explains Hagerud. “Longevity is one of them.                    recent transactions, even                                          of fees that is competitive for our risk category.”
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Gustaf Hagerud, CEO
 Like for any insurance-linked security investment, there is
 an informational asymmetry. The seller always knows more
                                                                             if the plan is to hold most                                        All in all, the investment cycle for larger investments can      With all the stars lined up, Ress Life Investment is now well
 than the buyer. What we do to remediate this problem                        assets to maturity.”                                               also take quite a long time, especially when it comes to an      positioned to grow its assets but capacity is limited in the
 is that we rely on the solid expertise of independent                                                                                          unfamiliar asset class. “Compared to the US where this is        current product. “We only have space to grow the fund to
 medical underwriters.” Another reason institutions would                                                                                       a well-known investment area, it may take a little longer to     about two and a half times its current size of approximately
 be prudent not to invest directly in such securities is that      During his first few months on the job, Hagerud spent                        convince European investors, and Nordic investors even           USD 90 million,” continues Hagerud. “Our marketing
 the transaction itself and the management process of the          time talking to his former colleagues and peers, as well                     more so. They need time, as they first need to understand        strategy is to target those investors focused primarily on
 policies once purchased are fairly complex. The market for        as a wider array of Nordic and European institutional                        how the market works, and then get to know the product           that unique offering we have to procure stable, yet totally
 life insurance policies is highly regulated in the US to ensure   investors. “We typically get a very positive response from                   and its characteristics.”                                        uncorrelated returns. We are growing also outside the
 customers really benefit from the advantages of being able        these institutions. They are particularly attracted to the                                                                                    Nordics, mainly in the rest of Europe where are already
 to sell their policies at a fair price instead of letting them    uncorrelated nature of the returns we provide. Another                       As the payout is triggered by the death of the policyholder      have some investors. Interestingly, we are also seeing
 lapse without any payoff. “We have developed a strong             feature that investors appreciate is that there are two ways                 some investors are uncomfortable and have questioned             strong interest in Asia.”

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                                                                          “Out of almost 850 funds only 10 are categorised as hedge funds”

                         e
               u  t of th ds
            “O             n
                st  850 fu rised
         almo re catego y
            10 a           ds b    t
       only edge fun ng that i
              h             i                                                                                                                         by Pirkko Juntunen – HedgeNordic
          as           prov      ed
            in g star, a favour
       Morn ot been ge fund
        has n e by hed .”

                                                                                                              PPM Reform
           rout anagers
                    m

                                                                                                 Tough Swedish premium pension system
                                                                                                              getting tougher for alternatives

                                                                                                               New stricter entry criteria are expected to
                                                                                                               come into force on July 1 for the Swedish
                                                                                                               premium pension system, PPM. The tougher
                                                                                                               rules are expected to lead to fewer funds within
                                                                                                               the system and in the long run result in the
                                                                                                               platform becoming a professional buyer which
                                                                                                               would likely further cull the numbers.

                                                                                                              H
                                                                                                                      ow      will   this    affect   well as having certain levels of
                                                                                                                      hedge funds? Is it likely       transparency. These criteria have
                                                                                                                      going to increase the           already deterred hedge fund
                                                                                                               opportunities for alternative funds    managers from entering. Out
                                                                                                               to be offered on the platform?         of the almost 850 funds only 10
                                                                                                                                                      are categorised as hedge funds
                                                                                                               Current rules stipulates that funds    by Morningstar, proving that it
                                                                                                               registered on PPM must be UCITS-       has not been a favoured route
                                                                                                               compliant, have daily trading as       by hedge fund managers. In

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                                                                                                                                       The first hedge funds entered the PPM system in 2009 as UCITS funds.

 particular, the rebate system on fees may have been a          reformed system. The asset management companies                              and Amundi Luxembourg. Advisor, Ålandsbanken,                The government has stated there will be a second
 major disincentive for hedge funds. Many hedge fund            that wish to continue offering funds on PPM will have                        NN Investment Partners Norron, Amundi and SEB and            stage in the PPM-reform process. This will likely mean
 strategies have capacity constraints where maximising          until October 1 this year to do so. Ole Settergren, head of                  would all be over the SEK500million fund AUM hurdle.         that the fund platform will become an institutional
 margins is key given the AUM, rather than compromise           the analytics department and intermittent head of the                        Out of the six all, bar Ålandsbanken, also have the          buyer, suggesting that the number of funds could
 the strategy for ‘uncontrolled’ inflows in the current         new fund platform department at Pensionsmyndigeten,                          three-year performance track record required for the         then be slashed further. Having a distribution-platform
 PPM system. However, fee pressures are also increasing         the Pension Agency, which is the administrator of                            funds registered under the new stricter rules.               professional such as Fransson at its helm is seen by
 within alternative UCITS funds which may point to PPM          PPM, said it is expected that the new system will start                                                                                   industry participants as a good move for the future of
 being viewed as an attractive platform in the future.          operating at the beginning of 2019.                                          Currently only 21 out of the 105 asset managers offering     Swedish pensions.
                                                                                                                                             funds in the Swedish premium pension system will be
                                                                Existing funds that do not meet the new criteria, or if the                  unaffected by the new stricter rules expected to come        There has been and continues to be a lot of speculation
       While large established players                          companies choose not to re-register, will be booted out                      into effect on July 1 of this year.                          about the final design of the new PPM. Settergren
       with a broad spectrum of products                        of the system. Investors will be informed and have to                                                                                     said there are no specific requirements on how many
                                                                option of making an active selection where to transfer                       Out of the 837 funds on the system 314 will not meet         funds or the type of funds that will finally end up on
       may be overall winners, there will
                                                                their funds. If a choice is not made assets will go to AP7                   the new criteria. These funds have assets totalling SEK      the system. PPM is often not viewed as a single entity
       be an opportunity to increase                            Såfa, the government default option within the system,                       321 billion. Out of the 105 asset managers offering the      but should the second step in the reform materialise,
       the proportion of good, well-run                         Settergren explained. This has of course also led to                         funds, 36 will see all their funds on the system affected,   making it an institutional buyer, it will surpass the AP
       alternative products, such as hedge                      speculation about what to do should AP7 grow in size,                        whereas 81 will see some of their funds affected, and        funds in size. It currently has SEK1000 billion in assets,
       funds, within the PPM.                                   i.e implications for investment strategy among other                         only 21 will remain unaffected, according to statistics      and by 2060 when the system has matured this will
                                                                concerns. As a government entity this will likely lead to                    from the agency. Some 2.4 million investors within the       have grown to SEK4000 billion.
                                                                more enquiries to seek a solution, if need be.                               system will be affected by the changes.
 Some say hedge funds are complicated and expensive,                                                                                                                                                      Last summer Skandia commissioned a report on the
 others argue the benefits of a stable return irrespective      The background to reforming the PPM is various scandals                      Under the new rules the agency will have extended            Swedish pension system, penned by the aforementioned
 of market conditions. This would make hedge funds              within the system and in particular unscrupulous                             powers as a gatekeeper of the system, enforcing the          Langensjö. In his report Langensjö suggests a new
 particularly attractive now due to the fear a correction       telesales techniques that has seen investors being                           stricter criteria. The new fund platform department          platform where choice remains but is relevant to the
 as equity valuations look expensive across the board.          taken advantage of. In addition, the end outcome                             being created within the agency will oversee the quality     outcome, ie secure pensions by maximising returns
                                                                was not in the forefront when the current system was                         of the funds. Erik Fransson is joining from SEB, where       and minimising losses. The relevant choice term
 However, concerns about the ability and indeed interest        introduced. At least it was not clearly communicated,                        he has held several senior positions including working       would mean that the fund platform would act as
 of the general public to select a well-diversified portfolio   leading people to make poor choices and perhaps not                          with the firm’s fund platform, to head up the operations     one institutional entity. He proposes seven portfolio
 remain. Adding hedge funds and other alternatives              realising the effect this will have on their pension. The                    starting March 6. It is expected that the current team of    choices which would be vetted and would have clear
 without reforming the platform would therefore                 government wanted to increase consumer protection                            18 will be increased to 30.                                  risk-return profiles and outcome scenarios presented.
 not serve any purpose is the argument. Industry                and has been pushing for stricter product information,                                                                                    The fund platform would remain but individuals who
 participants and commentators all seem in agreement            transparency and sustainability issues for the fund                                                                                       would opt out of the seven portfolios would be made
 that professionalising the PPM platform through the            industry, not just within PPM.                                                   Currently only 21 out of the 105                         aware that they are stepping away from a professionally
 ongoing reform process is a good thing. They argue that                                                                                                                                                  vetted and monitored system and will be responsible
 while large established players with a broad spectrum          Making the rules even stricter may not seem to bode
                                                                                                                                                 asset managers offering funds in the                     for the outcome themselves. Those who do not make
 of products may be overall winners, there will be an           well for alternatives. However, the overhaul will for                            Swedish premium pension system                           an active choice would still go to AP7.
 opportunity to increase the proportion of good, well-          sure open up the system, particularly as more focus                              will be unaffected by the new stricter
 run alternative products, such as hedge funds, within          will be on the evaluation of the providers by a new                              rules expected to come into effect.                      A system with a defined ambition and relevant choice
 the PPM, particularly in the second phase of the process.      fund platform department within the agency as well as                                                                                     profile would not necessarily need the current level of
                                                                three investment consultancies.                                                                                                           liquidity and therefore open up to other fund structures
 In the first step of the government proposal, which is                                                                                      As the new department is being constructed the               than UCITS. Speculations about the end result continue
 out for consultation, asset managers will be required          According to Morningstar statistics there are currently                      agency has appointed three consultancies to help with        but due to the strong political implications, including
 to have a minimum of a three-year operating history, a         10 funds categorised as hedge funds on the PPM                               evaluating the fund companies wanting to enter the           the upcoming elections, and interests of other powerful
 three-year track-record of every fund offered as well as       platform. The first hedge funds entered the PPM                              platform in its new form. The consultancies are Omeo         entities, whatever the outcome is it is likely to become
 a minimum of SEK500 million in assets in each fund. In         system in 2009 as UCITS funds. The current funds are                         Financial Consulting, Transcendent Group as well as          a compromise in true Swedish style. Hopefully this
 addition, a maximum of 50% of a fund’s asset can come          managed by Atlant Fonder, Advisor, Ålandsbanken,                             Arkwright Group. Mats Langensjö, an investment and           compromise will have more foresight than the original
 from PPM inflows. All existing contracts will be void          Zmartic Fonder, SEB Investment Management, NN                                pension veteran recently joined Arkwright.                   design, keeping the end-goal of secure pensions in
 and asset managers will have to re-apply to join the           Investment Partners, Norron, Pacific Fonder (2 funds)                                                                                     mind.

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