NSW SUMMER DROWNING REPORT - 2017/18 AN INVESTIGATION INTO DROWNING IN NSW - Water Safety NSW

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NSW SUMMER DROWNING REPORT - 2017/18 AN INVESTIGATION INTO DROWNING IN NSW - Water Safety NSW
NSW
SUMMER
DROWNING
REPORT
2017/18
AN INVESTIGATION INTO
DROWNING IN NSW

                        SUPPORTED BY
ABOUT ROYAL LIFE SAVING

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The drowning prevention research of the Royal Life Saving Society –
Australia is proudly supported by the Australian Government.

Suggested Citation:
Mahony, A, Peden, AE (2018) NSW summer drowning
report 2017/18: An investigation into drowning in NSW
between 1 December 2017 and 28 February 2018,
                                                                        This report was commissioned
Royal Life Saving Society – Australia. Sydney.
                                                                        and funded by the NSW
                                                                        Government in response to
                                                                        the drowning deaths in NSW
royallifesaving.com.au                                                  during summer 2017/18.
INTRODUCTION                                        METHODS AND DEFINITIONS

    Summer 2016/17 in NSW saw an increase               Summer 2017/18
    in fatal drowning, particularly between             For this investigation, reports of all drowning and water-
                                                        related cases between 1 December 2017 and 28 February
    Christmas and New Year, resulting in                2018 were collated and assessed for relevance. Cases
    extensive media coverage. In response               were sourced from several methods including media
                                                        monitoring, the National Coronial Information System
    to the increase in drowning deaths, the             (NCIS) and de-identified police reports obtained from
    NSW Government commissioned a report                NSW Police in conjunction with the Coroner’s Court of
                                                        NSW. This report contains information known as of 19
    investigating drowning deaths over the              April 2018. At the time of completing this report, 88.9%
    summer period. The key findings of the ‘NSW         of cases remain under coronial investigation and as
                                                        such, the information presented in this report is subject
    Summer Drowning Report 2016/17’ were                to change. NSW population data was sourced from the
    presented at the inaugural NSW Water Safety         Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
    Forum, with stakeholders invited to discuss
                                                        Historical Drowning Data
    the findings and strategies for reducing the        Historical drowning data were sourced from the Royal
    summer drowning toll in future years.               Life Saving National Fatal Drowning Database. Royal Life
                                                        Saving excludes drowning deaths known to be intentional
                                                        (e.g. suicide, homicide), or due to natural causes.
    Following the 2017/18 summer season, the
    NSW Government again commissioned an                Visitor Status
    investigation into drowning over summer             The distance between the incident and residential
                                                        postcode was determined using Google Maps. A distance
    (1 December 2017 to 28 February 2018). By           of less than 100km was considered ‘not a visitor’, more
    analysing these events, the investigation           than 100km but within the same state was ‘visitor -
    sought to bring clarification and insight to the    intrastate’, a different state was ‘visitor - interstate’ and
                                                        an overseas residential postcode as ‘visitor – overseas’.
    period, and inform prevention efforts. Key          In cases where the incident or resident postcode was
    trends relating to sex, age, ethnicity, location,   unknown, this was entered as ‘unknown’.

    activity and risk factors are identified, as        Remoteness Classification
    well emerging issues related to high-risk           There are five remoteness classifications used to
    populations, locations and activities.              categorise the location of a drowning incident. These
                                                        are major cities, inner regional, outer regional, remote
                                                        and very remote. Remoteness classification was defined
                                                        by cross referencing the postcode of a drowning
                                                        incident with the Australian Standard Geographical
                                                        Classification – Remoteness Area (ASGC-RA) system.

                                                        Time of Drowning Incident
                                                        The time of day of the drowning incident was coded
                                                        into four bands: early morning (12:01am to 6am),
                                                        morning (6:01am to 12pm), afternoon (12:01pm to
                                                        6pm) and evening (6:01pm to 12am).

                                                        Non-Fatal Drowning
                                                        Non-fatal drowning cases were sourced from
                                                        ambulance records and hospitalisation data. As current
                                                        hospitalisation figures are not yet available, a NSW-
                                                        specific historical ratio of 1 fatal drowning to 2.6 non-
                                                        fatal drowning incidents (hospitalisations) was used to
                                                        estimate the relevant figure.

                                                        Disclaimer
                                                        Please note the fatal drowning statistics presented in
                                                        this report are interim and subject to change pending
                                                        the outcome of ongoing coronial investigations.

3
NEW SOUTH WALES SUMMER DROWNING REPORT:
    AN INVESTIGATION INTO DROWNING DEATHS

    OVERALL

       36               PEOPLE DROWNED IN NSW BETWEEN
                        1 DECEMBER 2017 & 28 FEBRUARY 2018

    TRENDS OVER TIME
                         1 December –     25 December –          3 January –          1 February –   Total (1 December
    Financial year       24 December        2 January            31 January           28 February     to 28 February)
                                                     Number of deaths
                                                Historical drowning deaths
    2007/08                   9                  4                      13                 9                35
    2008/09                   5                  4                      21                15                45
    2009/10                   6                  5                      16                 11               38
    2010/11                   7                  3                      12                12                34
    2011/12                   7                  3                      8                  7                25
    2012/13                   7                  5                      8                 13                33
    2013/14                   9                  3                      6                 14                32
    2014/15                   10                 6                      9                  8                33
    2015/16                   6                  2                      16                10                34
    2016/17                   11                16                      8                  4                39
                                        Drowning deaths (known as at 24 April 2017)
    2017/18                   8                 7                       11                10                36
                                                     Ten year average
    (2007/08- 016/17)         8                 5                       12                10                35

    Selection of news headlines about NSW summer drowning incidents.

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WHO DROWNS?

      SUMMER 2017/18                          SUMMER 2016/17
      (1 December 2017 to 28 February 2018)   (1 December 2016 to 28 February 2017)

      SEX                                     SEX

             81%                                    77%

            19%                                     23%

      KEY LIFE STAGES                         KEY LIFE STAGES

        22%          18-24 YEARS                21%          25-34 YEARS

        19%          45-54 YEARS                15%          0-4 YEARS

                     25-34 YEARS
        14%          35-44 YEARS                15%          55-64 YEARS

      VISITOR STATUS                          VISITOR STATUS

       58%   NOT A VISITOR                     77%   NOT A VISITOR

       17%   VISITOR (INTERSTATE)              13%   VISITOR (INTERSTATE)

       14%   VISITOR (INTRASTATE)              8%    VISITOR (INTRASTATE)

       11%   VISITOR (OVERSEAS)                3%    VISITOR (OVERSEAS)

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WHERE, WHEN AND HOW DO THESE DROWNING DEATHS OCCUR?

     SUMMER 2017/18                                SUMMER 2016/17
     (1 December 2017 to 28 February 2018)         (1 December 2016 to 28 February 2017)

     LOCATION OF DROWNING INCIDENT                 LOCATION OF DROWNING INCIDENT

                                                                              SWIMMING
                    36%         BEACH                             26%         POOL

                                RIVER/CREEK/                                  RIVER/CREEK/
                    25%         STREAM                            23%         STREAM

                                                                              BEACH
                     11%        ROCKS                             18%         ROCKS

      REMOTENESS CLASSIFICATION OF DROWNING        REMOTENESS CLASSIFICATION OF DROWNING

       44%   INNER REGIONAL                         54%   MAJOR CITIES

       36%   MAJOR CITIES                           33%   INNER REGIONAL

       19%   OUTER REGIONAL                         13%   OUTER REGIONAL

     ACTIVITY PRIOR TO DROWNING                   ACTIVITY PRIOR TO DROWNING

                                SWIMMING &                                   SWIMMING &
                    44%         RECREATING                       33%         RECREATING

                     11%        BOATING                          26%         FALL

                                FALL
                     8%         NON-AQUATIC
                                TRANSPORT                        13%         JUMPED IN
                                UNKNOWN

6
WHERE, WHEN AND HOW DO THESE DROWNING DEATHS OCCUR?

     SUMMER 2017/18                                SUMMER 2016/17
     (1 December 2017 to 28 February 2018)         (1 December 2016 to 28 February 2017)

      DAY OF WEEK OF DROWNING INCIDENT             DAY OF WEEK OF DROWNING INCIDENT

        42%         SUNDAY                           28%          MONDAY

        17%         SATURDAY                         21%          SUNDAY

        14%         FRIDAY                           15%          TUESDAY

      TIME OF DAY OF DROWNING INCIDENT             TIME OF DAY OF DROWNING INCIDENT

                    AFTERNOON                                     AFTERNOON
        67%         (12:01PM TO 6PM)                 56%          (12:01PM TO 6PM)

                    EVENING                                       EVENING
        17%         (6:01PM TO 12AM)                 26%          (6:01PM TO 12AM)

                    MORNING                                       MORNING
         11%        (6:01AM TO 12PM)                 10%          (6:01AM TO 12PM)

7
WHY DO THESE DROWNING DEATHS OCCUR?

      MEDICAL CONDITIONS, ALCOHOL AND DRUGS            HIGH RISK POPULATIONS

      PRE-EXISTING MEDICAL CONDITIONS                  CULTURALLY AND LINGUISTICALLY DIVERSE

                    WERE KNOWN TO                                    OF PEOPLE WHO
        28%         INVOLVE A PRE-EXISTING
                    MEDICAL CONDITION
                                                         14%         DROWNED WERE BORN
                                                                     OUTSIDE OF AUSTRALIA

      Common medical conditions:                       Countries of birth included China, India,
                                                       Nepal & Vietnam
      • Cardiac conditions
        (e.g. ischaemic heart disease)
      • Respiratory conditions (e.g. asthma)
      • Epilepsy                                       LIFEJACKET WEAR

                                                                     OF PEOPLE BOATING &
                                                                     ROCK FISHING WERE NOT
      ALCOHOL AND DRUGS                                  33%         WEARING A LIFEJACKET
                                                                     (UNKNOWN IN A FURTHER
                                                                     50% OF CASES)

                      8%         ALCOHOL

                                 ILLICIT
                      3%         DRUGS

      *These figures are likely to underestimate the
      prevalence of alcohol and drug consumption as
      coronial investigations are ongoing

8
NON-FATAL DROWNING

      AMBULANCE RECORDS                               HOSPITALISATIONS

        143      PATIENTS TREATED                                     HOSPITALISATIONS
                                                          93          ESTIMATED
       60%       MALE
                                                      *Based on NSW-specific historical ratio of
                                                      1 fatal drowning to 2.6 non-fatal drowning
       40%       FEMALE                               incidents (hospitalisations)

    SUMMER CAUSAL FACTORS

      INCREASED POPULATION AND DENSITY                EXPOSURE

                                                               18% INCREASE
                                                               IN VISITATION AT SURF LIFE SAVING
                    POPULATION
        1.6%        GROWTH IN NSW
                                                               NSW PATROLLED BEACHES OVER
                                                               DECEMBER 2017 AND JANUARY 2018
                                                               42% DECREASE
      In the year to September 2017, NSW                       IN VISITATION BETWEEN CHRISTMAS
                                                               AND NEW YEAR AT SURF LIFE
      experienced its fastest population growth in             SAVING NSW PATROLLED BEACHES
      8 years
      Significant increase in density, particularly            7% INCREASE
                                                               IN PERSONS RESCUED
      in Sydney, with plans for 2.4 million                    WHILE BOATING
      additional residents over the next 30 years
                                                               3% DECREASE
                                                               IN VESSEL LOGONS
      MEDIA COVERAGE
                                                      Changes in visitation were recorded at a
                    MEDIA REPORTS ON                  sample of NSW public pools
                    SUMMER DROWNING
       1,367        INCIDENTS NATIONALLY,
                    INC. 1,001 (73%) IN NSW
                                                      WEATHER & THE CONCEPT
                                                      OF SWIMMABLE DAYS

                    MILLION CUMULATIVE
         90         AUDIENCE
                                                                      Swimmable days were
                                                                      defined as days where the
                                                       27°C           temperature was over 27°C
                                                                      without any rainfall
                                                      Between Christmas and New Year (25 December 2017
                    MILLION VALUE
        $9.7        (ADVERTISING SPACE RATE)
                                                      to 2 January 2018), 2 of the 9 days were swimmable
                                                      days – consistent with the ten year average of 2

9
SUMMER CAUSAL FACTORS

                                                        News websites referenced
        PROMOTION OF SECRET SWIMMING SPOTS              http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-29/one-dead-after-
                                                        boat-capsize-at-kurnell/9292192
                INCREASED PROMOTION OF                  https://www.portnews.com.au/story/5125952/tragedy-at-
                “SECRET” “HIDDEN” NATURAL               flynns-beach-friends-remember-a-sporty-mate/
                SWIMMING LOCATIONS
                                                        https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/new-
                                                        confronting-ads-to-be-rolled-out-across-nsw-in-a-bid-to-
                                                        end-last-summers-drowning-toll/news-story/51731e5261a
                                                        a65290c80a019de963ca0
                                                        https://www.sbs.com.au/news/toddler-drowns-in-
                                                        portable-pool-in-sydney-on-christmas-ev

     Headlines promoting the “secret”, “hidden” and     http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-07/nsw-police-have-
                                                        grave-concerns-for-11yo-swept-out-to-sea/9237322
     “best” swimming locations in the lead up to, and
     during summer                                      http://www.news.com.au/national/nsw-act/
                                                        nsw-ambulance-warns-of-summer-dangers-
                                                        particularly-around-water/news-story/
                                                        ee897d837a18deee7670221bf194552a
                                                        https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/man-drowns-on-
                                                        nsw-far-north-coast-on-christmas-day-20171226-h0a1t3.
                                                        html
                                                        https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/
                                                        murrumbidgee-river-deadly-wagga-waterway-claims-
                                                        another-life-after-28yearold-vanishes/news-story/45f679c
                                                        c73f96a215761ab5bd253e5b3
                                                        http://www.afr.com/real-estate/population-grows-at-
                                                        fastest-rate-in-3-years-as-nsw-qld-pick-up-20180322-
                                                        h0xtrk
                                                        https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/three-visions-for-
                                                        sydney-s-density-as-2-4-million-more-people-call-it-home-
                                                        20180222-p4z1c5.html
                                                        https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/newslocal/
                                                        best-swimming-spots-in-nsw/news-story/
                                                        b64f12e0147bf893a0089b1fbff3ce5e
                                                        http://www.canberratimes.com.au/act-news/canberra-
                                                        life/seven-secret-swimming-spots-on-the-south-coast-
                                                        20171207-h00oig.html
                                                        https://www.theurbanlist.com/sydney/a-list/best-
                                                        swimming-spots-nsws-south-coast
                                                        https://awol.junkee.com/nsw-australia-best-hidden-
                                                        beaches/51450
                                                        https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/western-
                                                        sydney-locals-cool-off-in-their-own-backyard/news-story/
                                                        2406b494e89f4de2903d930fa7df0f82?login=1
                                                        https://www.theurbanlist.com/sydney/a-list/best-natural-
                                                        swimming-spots-sydney

10
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