PREPARE FOR ANGER, LOOK FOR LOVE: A READY RECKONER FOR CRISIS SCENARIO PLANNERS LYNETTE M. MCDONALD, UNIVERSITY OF QUEENSLAND JOHN COKLEY ...

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Prepare for anger, look for love:
                      A ready reckoner for crisis scenario planners

                    Lynette M. McDonald, University of Queensland
                  John Cokley, Swinburne University of Technology

                   Abstract
                                                            literature on multi-criteria decision analysis
A range of organisational crises are explored               (Wenstøp, 2005), emotional intelligence
to discover how people react during a crisis                (Callahan, 2008), and visionary management
and why, with a view to planning strategic                  (Malaska & Holtius, 1999: 357).
actions based on those reactions. We                            Planners have not yet fully investigated the
conclude that people react, not just according              variety, strength or impact of consumer
to how they feel but also, less obviously, that             feelings, thoughts, and behaviours that
their behaviour can be predicted using a                    company crises generate. Yet understanding
clear understanding of those feelings. This                 both consumers’ psychological and behavioural
article narrows the field of feelings, or                   crisis reactions is important to shape realistic
emotions, to six categories and provides a                  crisis preparation, and for response success. In
reliable spectrum along which these emotions                the area of strategic development of crisis
operate. Using this spectrum we propose a                   management scenarios, there is an abundance
taxonomy or ‘ready reckoner’ of actions                     of general treatments of emotions. However,
which individuals and organisations can take                researchers have only started to empirically
in response to these emotional reactions.i                  examine consumer crisis emotion responses in
                                                            the past five years (Kim & Cameron, 2011).
                 Introduction                               Consequently, little attention has been paid to
                                                            determining the reactions of consumers in real
The nature of organisational crises, coupled                crisis situations. Instead, crisis studies
with the seriousness of their impact and the                predominantly use case study examinations or
likelihood that they will receive high levels of            experiments. Insight into consumers’ crisis
media attention, suggests the need for crisis               reaction processes is of interest to scenario
scenario planners to reliably predict how                   planners, crisis researchers, and public relations
consumers will respond to companies in                      practitioners, in particular those combating
crisis. Crises trigger emotions in impacted                 damage to corporate reputation, as well as
consumers which facilitate or hinder the                    marketing managers dealing with plummeting
effectiveness of crisis response strategies                 sales.
(Coombs & Holladay, 2005) and determine                         Mindful of that research gap, this article
crisis behaviour, such as negative purchase                 presents a conceptual framework based on a
and investment intent (Jorgensen, 1996) and                 review of the literature and the results of an
negative       word-of-mouth         behaviour              exploratory qualitative study. First, we set out
(McDonald, Sparks, & Glendon, 2010). In                     the context from scenario and crisis
scenario planning, emotions and behaviours                  management literature, then present a
are normally considered as input variables,                 theoretical framework using Weiner’s (1986,
used as ingredients added into this plan                    1995) Attribution Theory (WAT) and
design (Van Notten, Rotmans, Van Asselt, &                  Situational Crisis Communication Theory
Rothman, 2003). However, justification for                  (Coombs, 2007; Coombs & Holladay, 2002)
examining expected emotional outputs in                     which both successfully explain crisis
scenario planning is generally available in                 reactions.

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 McDonald, L. M. & Cokley, J. (2013). Prepare for anger, look for love: A ready reckoner for crisis scenario
                   planners. PRism 10(1): http://www.prismjournal.org/homepage.html
Next, we investigate consumers’ emotional                   situations. The role of emotions in managers’
and behavioural responses to crises using                   intuitive decision process during crisis
eight focus groups whose participants had                   situations was underscored in Sayegh, Anthony,
experienced organisational crises. Systematic               and Perrewe’s (2004) conceptual model of
coding via content analysis identified the                  managerial crisis decision-making. Yet much of
prevalence of emotions and behaviours and                   the research has focused on managerial
patterns of subsequent emotion-linked                       monitoring of personal emotions, rather than on
behaviour. We suggest that a consumer-                      response to others’ emotions, both of which
centric approach to crisis reactions is likely to           form the cornerstones of emotional intelligence
offer valuable new advice for use during                    (EI). Salovey and Mayer’s (1990, p. 189)
preparation for scenario planners, and for                  widely-accepted definition of EI highlights this
crisis managers. Finally, we present a                      need for emotion responsiveness as being, “The
speculative taxonomy of behaviours and                      ability to monitor one’s own and others’
remedial actions in a ‘ready reckoner’, shown               emotions, to discriminate among them, and to
in Table 1, below.                                          use the information to guide one’s thinking and
                                                            actions”. Therefore, in a crisis situation, crisis
              Literature review                             managers need to not only monitor their own
Scenario planning                                           emotions, but also incorporate an awareness of
The unpredictable nature of organisational                  the emotions elicited in those impacted by the
crises – caused more by corporate                           crisis, and in formulating responses, effectively
mismanagement and white collar crime as by                  deal with the emotions generated.
accidents or consumer activism (Annual ICM                      Emotions and behaviours are normally
Crisis Report, 2010) – coupled with the                     considered as input variables, rather than
seriousness of their impact on consumers and                outputs, in scenario planning (Van Notten et al.,
the likelihood that they will receive high                  2003). An input variable is an ingredient used
levels of media attention, suggests the need                to plan a scenario and how it plays out, and an
for scenario planners to reliably predict how               output is what is expected to take place as a
consumers will respond emotionally and                      result. Their incorporation is sometimes studied
behaviourally to companies in crisis.                       as a characteristic of the level of integration of
   Scenario planning workshops are a                        the scenario, that is, the extent to which
strategic decision-making tool used to help a               components relevant to the study subject are
senior management team explore multiple                     incorporated and brought together to form a
plausible futures for the organisation and                  whole (Van Notten et al., 2003).
identify and select feasible and robust                         Yet an examination of real-life crises, such
strategies to deal with those futures (Franco,              as the present study undertakes, demonstrates
Meadows, & Armstrong, 2012). Scenario                       that events and developments are seldom
planning “can be used to improve                            integrated, and are often more described as
performance across a range of industries                    “disruptive” (Van Notten et al., 2003, p. 432).
facing changing, uncertain futures”, and is                 Failure to predict and then incorporate
especially useful in crisis management, for                 emotional outcomes into strategic planning can
public policy makers, and as a long-range                   result in the kind of “overconfidence and tunnel
business planning tool (Bradfield, Wright,                  vision” Schoemaker (1995, p. 25) warns against
Burt, Cairns, & Van Der Heijden, 2005, pp.                  even though that author did not include
796-797). Scenario planning has enjoyed a                   emotions in that 1995 study. Justification for
wide acceptance among practitioners and                     examining expected emotional outputs in
academics to support decisions when                         scenario planning is generally available in
formulating strategies (Franco et al., 2012).               literature on multi-criteria decision analysis
   Faced with the unpredictable nature of the               (Wenstop, 2005), emotional intelligence
current business environment, managers                      (Callahan, 2008), and visionary management
routinely cope with decision-making in crisis               (Malaska & Holstius, 1999).

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 McDonald, L. M. & Cokley, J. (2013). Prepare for anger, look for love: A ready reckoner for crisis scenario
                   planners. PRism 10(1): http://www.prismjournal.org/homepage.html
In sum, the psychological aspects of crisis                 The predominant models used to investigate
reactions have not been factored into crisis                reactions to company crises are Weiner’s
management planning (Wester, 2011), or into                 (1986, 1995) attribution theory (WAT) and
crisis scenario planning. Instead, crisis                   Coombs and Holladay’s (2002) Situational
managers rely on stereotypical assumptions                  Crisis Communication Theory (SCCT), based
on how the public will react, paying little                 on WAT and revised by Coombs (2007).
attention to the reactions of the public in a               Investigations using WAT or SCCT have
real crisis situation (Wester, 2011).                       predominantly used experimental research to
Understanding both the organisation’s                       investigate consumer crisis response. Both
assumptions and how its stakeholders might                  WAT and SCCT state that, following a
behave in a crisis helps shape its crisis                   negative event, stakeholders make attributions
preparation or response success (Pearson &                  about the event cause which determines the
Clair, 1998, cited in Alpasan, Green, &                     level of responsibility, eliciting emotions
Mitroff, 2009). However, anticipating and                   which, in turn, generate behaviours.
planning for these reactions must be firmly                     Although emotions facilitate or impede the
grounded in actual situations (Wester, 2011).               effectiveness of crisis response strategies
In order to do so, it is necessary to investigate           (Coombs & Holladay, 2005), emotion is a new
actual consumer crisis responses.                           crisis research frontier (Jin & Pang, 2010), with
                                                            investigations predominantly examining anger
       Explaining consumer reactions                        and sympathy. Exceptions include the
Crises typically involve and affect multiple                examination of schadenfreude (Coombs &
stakeholders. The primary stakeholders in a                 Holladay, 2005), sadness (Jin, 2009), fear (Jin,
crisis are those most directly involved                     2009; McDonald, et al., 2010; Wester, 2011),
(Benoit, 2004). Using a stakeholder approach                surprise (McDonald, et al., 2010; Wester,
to crisis management, Alpasan et al. (2009)                 2011), and grief (Wester, 2011). As researchers
suggested that managers’ attention to                       assume that positive emotions are unlikely to
stakeholders should be dependent upon the                   occur (Wester, 2011), research on positive
actual or potential risk or harm or injury                  crisis emotions in a crisis is predominantly
caused by organisational decisions and                      limited to sympathy (e.g., Coombs & Holladay,
actions. A group frequently negatively                      2005; Jorgensen, 1996), although McDonald et
affected by crises is consumers.                            al. (2010) investigated joy. Although
   Researchers have not taken a consumer-                   Frederickson, Tugade, Waugh, and Larkin
centric approach to determining the factors                 (2003) identified multiple emotional reactions
that are important in predicting consumers’                 to the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on
reactions to crises. This creates a theoretical             New York, no identified study has questioned
problem for scenario planners, and a practical              consumers about the array of emotions that
problem for downstream managers seeking to                  organisational crises elicit. There remains a
develop appropriate crisis management                       strong need to explore the full variety of
strategies. It suggests a need to shift the                 emotions felt by crisis-impacted consumers.
research focus to a consumer-centric                        This leads to the first research question:
approach in order to understand the thoughts,                  RQ 1: What emotions do various crises
feelings, and behaviours evoked as consumer                 evoke in consumers?
responses to crises. Insight into consumers’                   Congruent with WAT and SCCT,
crisis reaction processes is of interest to                 experiments have established that different
scenario planners, crisis researchers, and                  crisis emotions elicit different behavioural
public relations practitioners, in particular               responses. For example, anger predicts negative
those combating damage to corporate                         purchase intentions (e.g., Coombs & Holladay,
reputation, as well as marketing managers                   2007; Jorgensen, 1996), negative word-of-
dealing with plummeting sales.                              mouth behaviour (Coombs & Holladay, 2007;
                                                            McDonald et al., 2010), and complaining

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 McDonald, L. M. & Cokley, J. (2013). Prepare for anger, look for love: A ready reckoner for crisis scenario
                   planners. PRism 10(1): http://www.prismjournal.org/homepage.html
(Jorgensen, 1996; McDonald et al., 2010).                     RQ 3: Is involvement implicated                  in
Sadness creates a preference for emotional                  consumers’ emotion response to crises?
support, while fear leads to venting intentions
or avoidance (Jin, 2009), complaining and                                         Method
negative        word-of-mouth          behaviour            Rather than wait opportunistically for a crisis to
(McDonald et al., 2010). Joy predicts loyalty               occur, recalled crises were investigated using
and negatively predicts negative word-of-                   eight focus groups to investigate consumers’
mouth behaviour (McDonald et al., 2010).                    emotional and behavioural range of responses.
Sympathy may engender stronger supportive                   Focus groups provide rich, detailed information
behaviour from stakeholders (Coombs &                       (Morgan, 1998) and are an excellent method to
Holladay, 2005). In taking an experimental                  gain insight into a particular subject matter,
approach, these studies do not capture the                  especially concerns that are important to a
potential spectrum of behavioural reactions                 particular audience (Lawrence & Berger, 1999).
that crises elicit from consumers. Therefore,                   Participants (n = 54) were enlisted from an
our second research question is:                            east coast capital city in Australia using
    RQ 2: What behaviours do various crises                 purposive sampling as they were required to
evoke in consumers?                                         have experienced the effects of organisational
    Congruent with most appraisal theories,                 crises. Recruitment techniques included media
Weiner (1986) suggests that events elicit                   releases submitted to metropolitan media
emotions through a two-part appraisal                       outlets requesting participants affected by
process, with primary appraisal of the                      company crises. During the focus groups, in
personal relevance of the event determining                 line with Zikmund’s (1997) recommendations,
emotional intensity, and secondary appraisal                a professional moderator established rapport
of the negative event cause determining the                 and effectively channelled conversation to the
experience of discrete emotions of anger and                areas of concern using a funnelling technique.
sympathy. Folkes, Koletsky, and Graham’s                    Participants were asked to recall their emotions,
(1987) work on product failure (missed flight)              who or what they were directed at, and their
using WAT suggests that consumer anger                      duration, crisis causes, and responsibility. Data
increased with the primary appraisal of the                 was videotaped and transcribed. The analysis
importance of the failure. Choi and Lin’s                   method selected was a quantitative approach
(2009) analysis of one product crisis found                 using systematic coding via an iterative content
that highly-involved consumers were angry                   analysis. We used an inductive method to allow
and attributed blame to a company.                          patterns and themes to emerge, and established
McDonald et al. (2010) found that                           an audit trail in data collection and analysis to
involvement impacted five emotions: anger,                  enhance reliability (see Miles & Huberman,
fear, joy, surprise and sympathy. Yet,                      1994).
although Weiner (1986, 1995) cited the                          A number of taxonomies of basic emotions
importance of personal relevance of an event                exist. Weiss and Cropanzano’s (1996) appraisal
in the attribution process, he does not include             theory, Affective Events Theory, noted Shaver,
it in his model, nor is it included in the SCCT             Schwartz, Kirson and O’Connor’s (1987)
model. McDonald and Härtel (2000)                           semantic classification, which clustered 213
suggested that involvement determines crisis                emotion words into six primary families of
outcomes, not just for those personally                     anger, fear, joy, love, sadness, and surprise.
impacted, but if a crisis impinges on an                    Emotions were categorised using the Shaver et
individual’s values, concerns, needs, interests,            al. (1987) classification. Behaviour coding was
goals or beliefs. Although involvement                      based on categories of problem-focused and
determines emotion intensity, the role of                   emotion-focused coping behaviour described
involvement in response to a crisis is                      by Folkman and Lazarus (1988). Problem-
neglected. From this arises the third research              focused coping aims to alter the distress-
question:                                                   causing situation and includes rational problem-
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 McDonald, L. M. & Cokley, J. (2013). Prepare for anger, look for love: A ready reckoner for crisis scenario
                   planners. PRism 10(1): http://www.prismjournal.org/homepage.html
solving techniques (e.g., creating an action                because … I was in the vicinity … and I’m
plan) and confrontive strategies (Folkman &                 going, “shit”…’. Participants used sadness
Lazarus, 1988). Emotion-focused coping                      category words such as sympathy, disappointed,
behaviour is aimed at regulating distress and               sorry, and unhappy when speaking of the
involves such strategies as seeking social                  company, or those affected by the crisis. For
support, distancing, avoidance, positive                    example, a comment expressed in regards to the
reappraisal, and escape-avoidance (Folkman                  extortion crisis was: ‘I felt sorry for the
& Lazarus, 1988). Involvement was                           company and I thought, I hope they catch the
determined via reports of a crisis personally               bastard that done it.’ In response to an airline
impacting participants, via use of emphatic                 safety crisis where the airline was seen as
statements, profanities, or by identifying                  responsible, some positive emotions were
strong emotions (e.g., hate versus dislike).                related to schadenfreude: ‘seeing their name go
                                                            through the mud,’ or else relief as: ‘I’m glad
                    Results                                 it’s happened. They are grounded and we’ll be
Respondents recalled 12 crises, including                   safe.’ Participants used surprise category words
legionella outbreaks, an airline safety crisis,             such as surprise, shock, amazement, or
and product recalls following contamination,                unsurprised. For one gas plant crisis which left
or after tampering and extortion. All                       the city without natural gas for cooking and
participants had been impacted by a crisis,                 heating, surprise was related to the unexpected
with most affected by several crises,                       explosion of the gas plant and loss of an
including one who was involved in a class                   essential product. As one said: ‘I was taken by
action suit after being hospitalised.                       surprise ... you don’t expect to wake up in the
   Research question 1 investigated the                     morning and go, “something’s blown up”.’
emotions that various crises evoke in                       Participants used love category words such as
consumers. Most participants recalled                       liking, compassion, fond, and love. For the
multiple emotions in response to the recalled               airline safety crisis, where the crisis was seen as
crises. More than 80 emotion words were                     a ‘beat-up’ by a government agency and the
articulated. Two coders independently sorted                media, participants used a high number of love
the remaining 30% of emotion content in                     words, with a general fondness directed at the
which emotion states were described,                        company because, ‘airlines in Australia are as
exhibiting 86% reliability when coding                      good as it gets’.
emotion passages into the different emotion                     Participants frequently recalled several
categories. The strongest and most prevalent                emotions for each crisis. Participants estimated
consumer emotion was anger, followed in                     that their emotions ranged in duration from
decreasing prevalence by fear, sadness, joy,                transient states to a permanent, enduring
surprise, and love.                                         condition. As one male participant said: ‘I’ll
   Participants used such anger category                    always feel that way.’
words as angry, hate, disgusted, frustrated,                    Participants directed emotion at two distinct
outraged, and cynical. For example, in a                    groups: those considered responsible for the
company extortion crisis, anger was directed                crisis or its effects, and those impacted by the
at the extortionist who, according to an older              crisis. Those held responsible for the crises, and
male participant, was a: ‘nasty creature who                targets of negatively-valenced emotions, were
should be hung, drawn and quartered’.                       predominantly companies and their managers.
Participants used fear category words such as               Those also considered responsible, but external
afraid, scared, worried, distressed, and                    to the organisation, were state and federal
horrified in relation to themselves and those               governments and their agents, the media, and
close to them. For example, in regards to a                 extortionists. Those impacted by crises and the
Legionella outbreak at a tourist attraction, a              targets of positively valenced emotions
male participant said: ‘with regards to                     included the company and its employees as
Legionella, this is something that worries me               victims, one’s social group, the general public

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 McDonald, L. M. & Cokley, J. (2013). Prepare for anger, look for love: A ready reckoner for crisis scenario
                   planners. PRism 10(1): http://www.prismjournal.org/homepage.html
(e.g., the elderly and sick), unions, and                   in some, but not all, cases. Several participants
employees used as scapegoats.                               indicated that they considered a negative event
   Research question 2 considered the                       to be a crisis when it personally affected either
behaviours that crises evoked with behaviour                themselves or their family, particularly their
coded as problem-focused or emotion-                        health and wellbeing. For example, in referring
focused coping behaviour. A total of 13                     to the product tampering, one male participant:
behaviours were identified, both problem-                   ‘when things can impact your children you just
focused      and    emotion-focused      coping             get a lot more angry about it, and a lot more
behaviour, but predominantly emotion-                       potentially upset.’ However, some participants
focused, with boycott and avoidance being                   were outraged by crises that had not personally
common responses.                                           impacted them, but instead impacted their
   Crisis-specific behaviours (e.g., returning              values, an innate sense of “what’s right”. For
products, using alternate facilities in the gas             example, in one crisis, substantial anger was
crisis) were coded as problem-focused as                    directed at the company for scapegoating
these behaviours involve rational problem-                  employees. As one female explained: ‘There’s
solving techniques. Behaviours coded as both                degrees of severity and degrees of impact on
emotion-       and    problem-focused      were             you personally or your conscience. Or you may
information searches using the Internet,                    not be impacted personally and still your
newspapers, government departments, the                     intention to purchase or deal with the company
companies involved and store staff, which                   may be influenced by that or (by the)
included seeking advice on alternate products.              experiences of others.’
Behaviours categorised as emotion-focused
aimed at regulating distress were word-of-                                       Discussion
mouth behaviour (e.g., discussions with                     This study identified a broader range of
family and friends), boycotts or encouraging                emotions and behaviours than had been
others to boycott the company, product                      previously identified using WAT or SCCT.
avoidance, buying alternate brands, reduced                    Crises evoked a full array of consumer
product usage, complaining to a government                  emotions, not just anger and sympathy as
department or authority, to the media, to the               posited by WAT. Many participants recalled a
company, taking legal action, and inaction                  variety of emotions felt towards the company
(e.g., continued product use). Boycott or                   and its product. Negative emotions were
avoidance actions were reported by 20 of the                directed at those considered responsible for the
54 participants, with some enduring boycotts                crisis, and positive emotions towards those
and avoidance actions reported. Boycotts                    impacted by the crisis. Congruent with Weiner
were associated with anger and targeted the                 (1995), emotions have been expanded from
company involved in a major food                            WAT’s anger and sympathy to include a variety
contamination and product recall, while                     of emotions: strongest and most prevalent is
avoidance action appeared to be fear-driven                 anger, followed in decreasing strength and
and concerned organisations affected by a                   prevalence by fear, sadness, joy, surprise, and
legionella outbreak.                                        love. Although emotions are generally
   Research question 3 considered whether                   considered to be a temporary affective state,
crisis involvement was implicated in                        several participants reported enduring post-
consumers’ emotion response. There was the                  crisis feelings.
expectation that, as involvement refers to how                  Participants recalled a wide variety of
personally relevant an event is to an                       behaviours, many of which had not been
individual      and    determines     emotional             previously examined in crisis literature. They
intensity, it could be detected via reports of a            were: (1) word-of-mouth behaviour (e.g.,
crisis personally affecting participants, via               discussions with family and friends;
emphatic statements or profanities, or by                   encouraging others to boycott the company),
identifying strong emotions. This was evident               (2) boycotts (stopped purchase, anger-based)
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 McDonald, L. M. & Cokley, J. (2013). Prepare for anger, look for love: A ready reckoner for crisis scenario
                   planners. PRism 10(1): http://www.prismjournal.org/homepage.html
(3) product avoidance (stopped purchase,                    This study applies attribution theory to
fear-based), (4) buying alternate brands, (5)               company crises in order to understand better
reduced product usage, (6) complaining to a                 how consumers react to company crises and
government department or authority, (7)                     what to do with that understanding. It presents a
complaining to the media, (8) complaining to                conceptual framework, supported by the results
the company, (9) taking legal action, (10)                  of eight focus groups, for further examination
inaction (continued product use), (11)                      of the consumer response process.
information searches [Internet, newspapers,                     Congruent with McDonald and Härtel’s
government departments, the companies                       (2000) suggestion, when consumers experience
involved and store staff, which included                    a crisis (including the re-experience which
seeking advice on alternate products] (12)                  follows crisis reminder cues) their involvement
returning products and (13) using alternate                 level can be activated, depending upon whether
facilities. These behaviours were categorised               the crisis has impacted on them or their family
as either emotion-focused or problem-focused                and friends personally, or else impacted on
(Folkman & Lazarus, 1988). Emotion-                         their beliefs and values. This involvement
focused behaviour, such as talking over the                 might be a more appropriate construct to apply
crisis with family members, reduces the stress              to company crises than personal importance or
involved in dealing with a crisis, while                    personal relevance because it taps into
problem-focused         behaviour        allows             consumers’ concerns, needs, values, interests,
participants to deal with crisis practicalities,            goals, and beliefs.
such as returning the product involved in a                     We find that crises elicit (a) a range of six
recall.                                                     emotions, (b) 13 separate behaviours and (c)
    Involvement, rather than merely the degree              that involvement may be implicated in emotion
of personal importance, is implicated in crisis             response.
response,     and     values    can    activate                 The strongest and most prevalent consumer
involvement, congruent with McDonald and                    emotion identified was (1) anger, followed in
Härtel’s (2000) contention that involvement is              decreasing strength and prevalence by (2) fear,
triggered, not just for those personally                    (3) sadness, (4) joy, (5) surprise and (6) love.
impacted, but when a crisis impinges on an                  This may be the first study that uncovered
individual’s values, concerns, needs, interests,            feelings categorised as love. Love is almost
goals or beliefs.                                           undetectable in many situations, but appears
                                                            linked to crises that are external to, and
                  Limitations                               uncontrollable by, the organisation. The
Despite producing rich data, focus groups                   intensity of language, intonation, and use of
have limitations. This study was exploratory                profanities indicated that participants did not
using a small sample, so that data were                     just recall emotions, but re-experienced them
context-bound. The general population                       when discussing crises. This is supported by the
sample self-selected mainly in response to                  James-Lange (1890, cited in Levine, Prohaska,
study publicity so there may have been                      Burgess, Rice, & Laulhere, 2001) theory of
demand characteristics: i.e. participants may               emotion which argues that emotion can be
have participated in the study because they                 triggered as easily by memory of an event as by
had experienced, and therefore reported,                    its direct perception. Although emotions are
strong reactions. There is also the issue of                widely viewed as temporary affective states
internal consistency, with some participants                (e.g., Weiss & Cropanzano, 1996), this “re-
adjusting their position after interacting with             experiencing effect” when recalling crises or
others, as seen in the case of the natural gas              when reminded of crises may go some way
crisis.                                                     towards explaining on-going boycott and
                                                            avoidance actions, continued years after the
       Conclusions and implications                         original crisis.

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 McDonald, L. M. & Cokley, J. (2013). Prepare for anger, look for love: A ready reckoner for crisis scenario
                   planners. PRism 10(1): http://www.prismjournal.org/homepage.html
Thirteen main resultant behaviours were                  of the repercussions of consumer emotions, and
identified and the strongest behaviour,                     thus enhance crisis management, especially in
boycott, was tied to the strongest emotion,                 developing crisis communications.
anger. Avoidant behaviours were tied to fear,                   Reminder cues might reignite the
and some of these behaviours were reported                  involvement process, resulting in a re-
as continuous, accentuated by fresh media                   experience of dominant crisis emotions. Since
reports acting as reminder cues, temporarily                emotion may be reconstructed in view of later
reactivating      the      attribution-emotion-             attributions (Levine et al., 2001) this might
behaviour process. The extent that this                     mean that later media reports, especially those
occurs, and whether this re-experience means                assigning blame to the company, might reignite
that emotions may be re-constructed on the                  the consumer reaction process, perhaps
spot (as some researchers suggest) is not                   resulting in the revision of attributions,
known.                                                      emotions, and behaviours. For managers, where
   In discussing the patterns of emotion-                   the original crisis elicited negative emotions,
linked behaviour, we argue that there is scope              there may be a future consumer backlash when
for categorisation of the identified behaviours             fresh reports appear later. The extent to which
according to their key driver: emotional or                 this occurs, and whether this re-experience
problem-solving.      We       tabulated    this            means that emotions are reconstructed on the
categorisation of behaviours to create a                    spot (as some researchers suggest), could be
speculative list of remedial actions that                   usefully researched. For scenario planners, this
organisations could apply.                                  may provide the opportunity to plan scenarios
   We speculate that such a categorisation                  incorporating these crisis emotions, or else
would result in a configuration such as shown               planning scenarios which may help to tap into
in Table 1 (the ready reckoner, below), which               dormant emotions.
suggests possible managerial response during                    Further experimental design could test the
crises.                                                     main constructs identified using a large general
                                                            population sample to increase generalisability
  Recommendations for further research                      and validity. Future investigation and
Taking this consumer-centric approach to                    confirmation of the ready reckoner is likely to
crisis reactions is likely to offer valuable new            provide further understanding of the
advice for use during preparation for scenario              repercussions of consumer emotions in business
planners. Its application in crisis scenario                planning,     and    thus     enhanced     crisis
planning may provide further understanding                  management, especially communications.

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 McDonald, L. M. & Cokley, J. (2013). Prepare for anger, look for love: A ready reckoner for crisis scenario
                   planners. PRism 10(1): http://www.prismjournal.org/homepage.html
Table 1: Speculative categorisation of behaviours and possible remedial actions - The ready
reckoner
Scale of          Emotion-based    Possible          Aim of            Problem-         Possible             Emotional aim
involvement of    behaviour        management        response          focused          management           of response
participant       linked to        response                            behaviour        response
                  responsibility                                       linked to
                                                                       accountability
Operator          Word-of-         Company           Reduce ‘fear’     Boycotts         Pre-emptive          Promote ‘joy’
inserts figure    mouth            outreach to       and ‘sadness’                      product recall +     (= relief)
from 1-10 (1 is   behaviour        community                                            stakeholder
min, 10 is max)                    groups                                               engagement
to determine                       (stakeholder
the strength of                    engagement)
response
needed
                  Reduced          Brand             Promote           Returning        Provide and          Promote
                  product          extension         ‘surprise’        products         promote a third-     ‘surprise’ and
                  usage            (advertising                                         party store-front    ‘joy’, distance
                                   different uses                                       to facilitate this   brand from
                                   for the product                                      for consumers        ‘fear’ and
                                   likely to                                                                 ‘anger’
                                   mitigate this
                                   feature)
                  Complaining      Proactive         Distance brand    Product          Post-recall ‘new     Promote
                  to a             communication     from ‘fear’ and   avoidance        product launch’      ‘surprise’
                  government       with              ‘anger’                            [e.g. in the case
                  department or    department or                                        of paracetamol
                  authority        authority to                                         poisoning,
                                   pre-empt and                                         release of new
                                   mitigate                                             range with
                                   complaints                                           tamper-evident
                                                                                        packaging]
                  Complaining      Proactive         Promote ‘joy’     Buying           Emphasis on          Promote ‘love’
                  to the media     communication     (= relief)        alternate        previous brand
                                   with media to                       brands           loyalty
                                   pre-empt and
                                   mitigate
                                   complaints,
                                   emphasising
                                   actions in
                                   Column 4
                  Inaction                                             Taking legal     Establish a          Distance brand
                                                                       action           department           from ‘fear’ and
                                                                                        which can deal       ‘anger’
                                                                                        at arm’s length
                                                                                        with litigants

                                                                       Complaining      Provide and          Promote
                                                                       to the           promote a third-     ‘surprise’ and
                                                                       company          party store-front    ‘joy’
                                                                                        to facilitate this
                                                                                        for consumers
                                                                       Information                           Distance brand
                                                                       searches                              from ‘fear’ and
                                                                                                             ‘anger’

                                                                       Using            Variation on         Promote
                                                                       alternate        brand extension      ‘surprise’ and
                                                                       facilities       (advertising         ‘joy’
                                                                                        different ways
                                                                                        consumers can
                                                                                        meet their
                                                                                        service needs)

                                                                                                                               9
 McDonald, L. M. & Cokley, J. (2013). Prepare for anger, look for love: A ready reckoner for crisis scenario
                   planners. PRism 10(1): http://www.prismjournal.org/homepage.html
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