Project Specification: The impacts of climate change on population groups in Scotland
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Project Specification:
The impacts of climate change on
population groups in Scotland
*REVISED July 2021*
1. The need for this research
ClimateXChange wishes to commission research on whether and which groups in Scotland are
disproportionately impacted by climate change. The project will look at how these groups are
impacted now and the potential impacts in the future.
Climate justice and a commitment to a just transition approach are integral to the Scottish
Government’s response to climate change, and has been enshrined into the Climate Change Act
2019 1. At a global level, poor, vulnerable, and marginalised groups are disproportionately affected
by climate change. 2 However, there is little evidence and analysis of the relative impacts of climate
change on population groups in Scotland and the actions that can be taken to redress this climate
injustice.
Climate justice is embedded in the Scottish Government’s climate change adaptation policy. The
climate justice outcome of the Scottish Climate Change Adaptation Programme 2019-2024
(SCCAP2) 3 aims to ensure that the people in Scotland who are most vulnerable to climate change
are able to adapt.
An up-to-date and Scotland specific evidence base on various population groups’ vulnerability
to climate change is needed before effective engagement strategies and/or policy interventions
can be designed.
2. Project scope and aim
SCCAP2 takes a climate justice approach to climate change resilience, and dedicates one of its
seven high level outcomes to this theme [Outcome 2: The people in Scotland who are most
vulnerable to climate change are able to adapt and climate justice is embedded in climate
change adaptation policy]. This recognises that the negative impacts of climate change are
most likely to be felt by those who are already vulnerable to its effects, yet, in many cases, are
the least likely to have the resources required to successfully adapt.
The evidence base on these matters is strong at the global level, but weaker within Scotland
itself. This research would help improve understanding around who is most vulnerable to
climate change in Scotland and provide a baseline for more targeted approaches in improving
resilience to climate change.
Findings from this project will be relevant to public engagement on climate change issues, the
establishment of Climate Action Towns, implementing a just transition to net-zero, and linking to
‘Adaptation and Resilience’ as one of the four goals identified by the UK Government for
COP26, which will feature at the centre of the climate conference in November 2021 4.
1 https://www.gov.scot/policies/climate-change/
2 Report: Inequalities exacerbate climate impacts on poor – United Nations Sustainable Development
3 https://www.gov.scot/publications/climate-ready-scotland-second-scottish-climate-change-adaptation-programme-2019-2024/
4 https://ukcop26.org/cop26-goals/adaptation/Page |2
The project will explore the exposure and vulnerability of different population groups to
climate hazards now and in the future, and to determine which, if any, groups are
disproportionately affected and how they are affected. Note that ‘groups’ could include, for
example, protected characteristics, demographic, or geographical groups. This could also
include intersectional factors which may compound to make a person more or less
vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.
The project should consider, but not be limited to, the main risks identified for Scotland in
the 3rd UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (UKCCRA) evidence reports. 5
3. Audience
The work is commissioned on behalf of the Scottish Government, and of particular interest to
policy teams across climate change adaptation, just transition, community climate action, public
engagement, and COP26.
The results must be presented in a format and language that can be easily understood by
readers without an academic background. Written outputs must be well presented and written
in Plain English. We welcome innovative visual outputs to illustrate the research findings.
4. Methodology
Tenderers are invited to put forward proposals on how to best meet the research aims within
the budget available.
We expect the project to involve analysing priority risks for Scotland to explore whether there
are patterns of greater/lesser exposure and vulnerability. Risks will include, but not be limited
to flooding, poor air quality and associated health risks, and risks related to predicted warmer
temperatures i.e. heatwaves and overheating. Bidders are invited to propose how they would
prioritise the risks identified in the UKCCRA and any other risks identified.
The methodology should be designed to obtain rich data on to what extent intersectionality is a
factor.
A full explanation of your chosen approach, including any limitations, should be provided.
5. Outputs
We expect the research to be presented in a short report. The report must be written in plain
English, follow the CXC house style, and should comprise:
a) An executive summary of no more than two pages, detailing the key findings, the aim of the
project and the value to a policy audience; and
b) A full report of the project, of no more than 35 pages to include:
i. Key findings with visualisations
ii. Annexes detailing the methodologies used and underlying assumptions
iii. References
iv. A glossary if needed
5
https://www.theccc.org.uk/publication/independent-assessment-of-uk-climate-risk/
www.climatexchange.org.ukPage |3
c) A well-documented and accessible database
The ownership of the research material including the final report and any data produced as a
result of the research lies with ClimateXChange on behalf of Scottish Ministers. The research
may be published on the ClimateXChange website, the date and format of which will be
determined by the Scottish Government and ClimateXChange. One or more drafts are likely to
be required before a final version is agreed.
6. Project governance
A steering group will be established to support delivery of the project. The steering group’s role
is to give feedback on approach and report drafts as the project progresses. It will include
representatives from the relevant teams in the Scottish Government and ClimateXChange.
External members will be considered depending on the methodology/approach.
The lead contact for ClimateXChange will be Anne Marte Bergseng, CXC Knowledge
Exchange Manager, who will liaise with the contractor. Regular update calls will be scheduled
fortnightly between the principal investigator and the CXC Knowledge Exchange Manager to
discuss progress and address any issues, escalating to steering group for consideration where
necessary.
7. Project timetable
Milestone Completed by
Project kick-off meeting, to agree 25 August
• Detailed methodology
• Scope and boundaries further to this specification
• Detailed project plan
Report on progress (Principal investigator and CXC Project TBC, usually
Manager) fortnightly
Presentation of findings to steering group 20 October
Submission of draft report 10 November
Steering group meeting to discuss comments on draft 19 November
Submission of final report 26 November
Presentation of findings and recommendations to wider 15 December
stakeholder group
8. Award criteria
Price 20%
Quality 80%
Quality Criteria Descriptor Weight
Understanding The proposal should include an introduction which demonstrates a clear 20%
the research understanding of the research requirements. This should include an
www.climatexchange.org.ukPage |4
Quality Criteria Descriptor Weight
specification understanding of the policy environment and the supporting role of
and the policy research; the cross-sectoral nature of the project; the need for this
environment research; the research aim; and how the proposal will address this
need.
Research The proposal should demonstrate a high quality and workable research 25%
methodology methodology (including how the evidence will be identified, reviewed
and assessed) which will address the research objectives and produce
the outputs in the timescales required.
It should explain the suitability, robustness and limitations of the
proposed methodology.
The proposal should:
Project 10%
management • Include a clear project plan, that captures:
and staff - the key steps required to deliver the desired output within
resource scope and to time;
- reference – where relevant – to mechanisms for
compliance with regulations (e.g. GDPR)
• provide details of individual staff members who will work on this
project and demonstrate how they will meet the project
requirements, specifically:
- general research experience and expertise;
- relevant experience & expertise specific to the research
tasks;
- experience and expertise in inter-disciplinary team-working
• provide a commitment that named staff members will be available
to work on the contract if the bid is successful.
• set out the management arrangements for the project.
• Include a timetable for delivery of tasks and project milestones
covering the duration of the contract
• Clearly show allocation of staff and staff time against each task.
Communication The proposal should describe the approach to writing the report, which 15%
and report will be published on the ClimateXChange website. This should include
writing data-visualisations.
It should detail who will take lead responsibility for report-writing and
overall report quality. It should provide examples of previously published
literature or evidence reviews in which they have been involved.
The proposal should set out how to ensure GIS map layers, underlying
data and visualisations are compatible with Scottish Government and
wider public sector IT systems. This should include details of how you
would resolve any issues that arise on potential data transfers.
Quality The proposal should provide details of quality assurance procedures to 10%
assurance and demonstrate how the contract will be continuously delivered to a high
risk mitigation standard. It should specifically address issues of quality control at
different stages of the project, including evidence gathering, analysis
and report writing.
The proposal should provide a risk assessment matrix detailing any
risks identified in relation to the delivery of this contract, and proposed
mitigation measures to minimise their probability and impact.
The risk assessment should include risk arising from Covid19 pandemic
restrictions.
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9. Submitting a proposal
Please submit a brief work plan (no more than six pages excluding CVs) ensuring that each
award criteria detailed above is clearly responded to.
Please also submit CVs for the proposed delivery team detailing the individuals’ relevant
research experience and examples of previous work successfully completed, applicable day
rates, and the number of person days’ work proposed.
We welcome consortium bids, but would require to contract with one legal entity using
subcontractors. Please explain how the consultants arrange matters if bidding in this way –
maximum 1 additional page.
You should highlight any potential conflicts of interest in your proposal.
Proposals need to be submitted to lee.callaghan@ed.ac.uk and cc’d to
annemarte.bergseng@ed.ac.uk for evaluation by noon on Friday 13 August. We expect to
contact the successful bidder by 18 August.
The costs of proposals for this project are expected to be £40,000 - £45,000 (including VAT).
However, ClimateXChange would welcome proposals for less than this amount.
Depending on the quality of proposals received, CXC may chose not to appoint any contractor.
CXC Secretariat
July 2021
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