Schroder ISF Global Gold - Schroders Investment Conference

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Schroder ISF Global Gold - Schroders Investment Conference
Schroder ISF Global Gold¹
Schroders Investment Conference

19–23 October                                Mark Lacey | James Luke

Marketing material for professional         Portfolio Managers
investors or advisers only.
Data as at end September 2020 unless otherwise stated.
¹Schroder International Selection Fund Global Gold is referred to as
Schroder ISF Global Gold throughout this presentation.
Schroder ISF Global Gold - Schroders Investment Conference
Gold
The way to think about the gold outlook

The commodity case – ok                                                 The monetary case – very good
– Supply is highly price in-elastic. If prices rise, mine supply will   The ‘monetary’ case for gold allocations is very strong from
  grow slowly. If prices fall or even stay around current levels,       two key angles:
  we expect supply to fall in the mid-term                              – Firstly, the global economy is stuck in a severe debt trap which
                                                                          has been worsened by COVID. Extrication from this trap will test
– On the commodity demand side, the case is arguably slightly
                                                                          Central Bank credibility to the limit. A new paradigm of
  weaker; a repeat of the EM jewellery demand boom between
                                                                          co-ordinated monetary and fiscal policy will drive real interest
  the late 1990s and 2005/2006 is unlikely. Industrial demand
                                                                          rates deeply negative as inflation returns. We see gold as the
  growth is also limited
                                                                          ultimate hedge against both Central Bank credibility and
                                                                          inflation (which will drive deeply negative real rates)
                                                                        – Secondly, the case for the U.S. dollar is structurally quite weak
                                                                          because the likelihood of much larger US deficits, and a
                                                                          questioning of dollar reserve status, is quite high. Dollar/gold
                                                                          inverse correlations are high historically

Source: Schroders.

2
Gold – what drives the gold price? Monetary demand.
What drives monetary demand? In the current era we believe real interest rates are the
dominant driver of monetary demand

 2,500
               Gold price base case                                                     ‘The end of normalisation’? Late 2018 onwards.
               target range as we                                                       Real rate relationship strong, but prices at higher
               move into 2021…                                                          levels as macro policy uncertainty extreme.
 2,000                                                                                                                                  2000–2008 Global boom: EM,
                                                                                                                                        commodities, ‘risk-on’. Real rate
                                                                                                                                        relationship all over the place.

 1,500

                                                                                                     R² = 0.9435
 1,000                     From 2008 through to
                           2013 taper tantrum and
                           Fed ‘normalisation’ period.
                                                                                                        R² = 0.7983
    500

                                                                                                                                                                            R² = 0.1596

      0
          -3                     -2                      -1                 0                  1                      2                       3                      4                      5

               2000-2008              2008-2018          September 2018 -       20-Sep-20          Linear (2000-2008)             Linear (2008-2018)            Linear (September 2018 -)

Source: Macquarie, Schroders – September 2020.

3
Gold – can real rates go lower? Yes!
Covid crisis is accelerating a structural macro paradigm shift (which was likely anyway)
Zero interest rates + higher inflation =                                                             Gold prices plotted against real interest rates
more deeply negative real rates
With monetary policy exhausted and record global debt, we are likely                                 2,600                                                                                        -4
entering an era of co-ordinated monetary and fiscal policy. In essence
Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) in all but name.                                                                                                                                                     -3
                                                                                                     2,100
Interest rates will stay ultra low:                                                                                                                                                               -2
–   Federal Reserve has promised 'unlimited' treasury bond purchases
                                                                                                                                                                                                  -1
–   Very high global debt (leverage) means higher nominal rates are                                  1,600
    problematic
                                                                                                                                                                                                  0

Inflation is likely to return:                                                                       1,100
                                                                                                                                                                                                  1
–   Multi trillion dollar fiscal expansion including direct helicopter money
    to households and firms                                                                                                                                                                       2
                                                                                                       600
–   CB tolerance of higher inflation, de-globalisation, huge growth in
    money supply                                                                                                                                                                                  3

                                                                                                       100                                                                                         4
This is now the defining question for investors: Will Central Banks and
                                                                                                          2005     2007     2009    2011     2013    2015     2017    2019    2021     2023    2025
governments be able to generate inflation in the next few years. Aided by
‘de-globalisation’, we think the answer is yes.                                                                                  XAU Currency                   US 5 Year TIPS (rhs)

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – 25 September 2020.

4
Gold – entering an inflationary era
40 years of disinflation now over?
Us excess liquidity (M1-IP) vs. US CPI (yoy)                                                         What will define the coming inflationary era?
12                                                                                             60

10                                                                                             50

    8                                                                                          40

    6                                                                                          30

    4                                                                                          20

    2                                                                                          10

    0                                                                                          0

-2                                                                                             -10

-4                                                                                             -20
  1982    1986     1990    1994    1998    2002     2006    2010    2014     2018       2022

                 US CPI YOY LHS              US Excess Liquidity (Advanced 18 months)

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – 31 August 2020.

5
Gold – far from overbought on a relative basis
Gold holdings as a share of global financial assets could increase materially
Above ground gold stocks as a share of total financial assets                                                     Gold ETFs as a % of all ETF assets
12%                                                                                                               12%

10%                                                                                                               10%

    8%                                                                                                             8%

    6%                                                                                                             6%

    4%                                                                                                             4%

    2%                                                                                                             2%

    0%                                                                                                             0%

                                                                                                                        2006

                                                                                                                               2008

                                                                                                                                      2010

                                                                                                                                             2012

                                                                                                                                                       2014

                                                                                                                                                              2016

                                                                                                                                                                     2018

                                                                                                                                                                            2020
         1960

                1965

                       1970

                              1975

                                     1980

                                            1985

                                                   1990

                                                          1995

                                                                 2000

                                                                        2005

                                                                               2010

                                                                                      2015

                                                                                             2020

                                                                                                    2025

                                                                                                           2030

Source: World Gold Council, Schroders – September 2020.

6
Gold equities – significant margin expansion
Strong monetary demand is driving gold prices well above product costs
Current spot prices vs. 90th percentile C1 global industry cash costs
140%

120%

100%

    80%

    60%

    40%

    20%

    0%

-20%
                    Aluminium                         Nickel   Zinc     Copper   Gold

Source: Wood MacKenzie; Schroders – September 2020.

7
Gold equities
Record ‘all in cost’ (AIC) margins and therefore record free cash flow
North American producer AIC margins                                                                                                      Cumulative producer free cash flow by period
US$/Oz                                                                                                                                   US$bn Gold Bugs Index
400                                                                                                                                      50

350                                                                                                                                      40

300                                                                                                                                      30

                                                                                                                                         20
250
                                                                                                                                         10
200
                                                                                                                                           0
150
                                                                                                                                         -10
100
                                                                                                                                         -20
    50
                                                                                                                                         -30
    0                                                                                                                                    -40
 -50                                                                                                                                     -50

-100                                                                                                                                     -60
         2005A

                 2006A

                         2007A

                                 2008A

                                         2009A

                                                 2010A

                                                         2011A

                                                                 2012A

                                                                         2013A

                                                                                 2014A

                                                                                         2015A

                                                                                                 2016A

                                                                                                         2017A

                                                                                                                 2018A

                                                                                                                         2019A

                                                                                                                                 2020E
                                                                                                                                                   2002-2005     2005-2015   2015-2018   2018-2021e

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – August 2020.

8
Gold Equities
Very rapid aggregate balance sheet deleveraging
Total net debt for the NYSE ARCA Gold Bugs Index                                                                                                              Net debt/trailing 12m EBITDA (x) for the NYSE ARCA
US$bn                                                                                                                                                         Gold Bugs Index
70                                                                                                                                                            14

60
                                                                                                                                                              12
50
                                                                                                                                                              10
40
                                                                                                                                                               8
30

20                                                                                                                                                             6

10
                                                                                                                                                               4
    0
                                                                                                                                                               2
-10
                                                                                                                                                               0
-20

-30                                                                                                                                                           -2
                                                                                                                                      2020e
                                                                                                                                              2021e
                                                                                                                                                      2022e
        2002
               2003
                      2004
                             2005
                                    2006
                                           2007
                                                  2008
                                                         2009
                                                                2010
                                                                       2011
                                                                              2012
                                                                                     2013
                                                                                            2014
                                                                                                   2015
                                                                                                          2016
                                                                                                                 2017
                                                                                                                        2018
                                                                                                                               2019

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2020e
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2021e
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2022e
                                                                                                                                                                   2002
                                                                                                                                                                          2003
                                                                                                                                                                                 2004
                                                                                                                                                                                        2005
                                                                                                                                                                                               2006
                                                                                                                                                                                                      2007
                                                                                                                                                                                                             2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2014
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2015
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2019
Source: Bloomberg – September 2020.

9
Gold equities
Valuations and underlying returns have significantly improved
Gold bugs index FCF yields plotted against price/book                                               Gold bugs index return on equity plotted against
valuation (historic and forecast)                                                                   EV/EBITDA valuation (historic and forecast)
Free cash yield                                                                                     Return on equity
 8%                                                                                                  20%

                                      2020 and 2021 current
 6%                                                                                                  15%
                                                                                                                      2020 and 2021 current    2006

                            2016                                                                     10%                                       2010
 4%
                               2020 and 2021 (January)                                                                      2011
                    2015                                                                              5%                       2012
 2%                                          2011                                           2002                2020 and                                          2003 2004
                              2019                                                                                         2017                            2008
                                                    2010                                                           2021
                                                                                                      0%                  2016                                     2007
                              2018                                       2003                                   (January)                        2009
 0%                                                                                                                             2019                              2005
                       2014                                                                                                                   2002
                                                                                                      -5%
                              2017                         2004                                                                                       2018
-2%                                   2012                        2005
                                                       2006                                                                                                                     2014
                                       2009 2007                                                    -10%
-4%
                                                                                                    -15%
                        2013                                                                                                                                                              2015
-6%                                                                                                                                                                                       2013
                                 2008                                                               -20%

-8%                                                                                                 -25%
      0.0    0.5      1.0       1.5       2.0       2.5    3.0     3.5          4.0   4.5   5.0             5                      10                 15                 20                 25
                                                                                       Price/book                                                                             EV/EBITDA multiple

Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – August 2020.

10
Gold equities
Despite the positives, gold equities have barely begun to outperform gold bullion
Gold spot prices plotted against the FTSE Gold miners index (shown as a ratio)
6                                                                                                                                                                                                  6
                    Early boom period                                                    Lost decade                                  Treading water                    Renaissance
                        2000–2005                                                         2005–2015                                     2015–2019                        2019–????
              Gold equity outperformance: +80%                                 Gold equity outperformance: -70%                           Gold equity           Gold equity outperformance: ??
5                  Absolute return: +250%                                            Absolute return: -75%                           outperformance: +38%             Absolute return: ??
                                                                                                                                                                                                   5

                                                                                                                                     Absolute return: +75%

4                                                                                                                                                                                                  4

                                                                                                                                                                                     ?
3                                                                                                                                                                                                  3

2                                                                                                                                                                                                  2

1                                                                                                                                                                                                  1

0                                                                                                                                                                                                  0
    2000   2001   2002    2003    2004     2005    2006    2007     2008    2009    2010     2011    2012    2013     2014    2015    2016     2017    2018    2019     2020    2021     2022   2023

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Bloomberg – September 2020. For illustrative purposes only and should not be viewed as a recommendation to buy or sell gold equities.

11
Commodities strategy update
Case study: Schroder ISF Global Gold
Net cumulative total returns in USD since inception                                                  Net relative performance and flows vs. ETFs
From inception 29 June 2016 to 30 September 2020                                                     Data as at 30 September 2020
60%
                                                                                                                                                     Fund net                             US$ 1 year
                                                                                                                                                                             US$
                                                                                                                                                      relative                           Cumulative
                                                                                                                                                                            AUM
                                                                                                                                                performance⁴                                 Flows⁵

                                                                                                       Schroder ISF Global Gold
55%                                                                                                    vs.                                            +7.30%              $528m               +$14m
                                                                                                       Benchmark = FTSE Gold Miners

                                                                                                       iShares Gold Producers ETF
50%                                                                                                    vs.
                                                                                                       Benchmark = S&P Gold Producers                  -3.78%           $2,838m             +$568m

                                                                                                       VanEck Gold Miners ETFs
                                                                                                       vs.                                             -1.53%          $17,627m            +$1,242m
45%                                                                                                    Benchmark = NYSE Arca Gold

                                                                                                       Blackrock World Gold
                                                                                                       vs.                                             -3.78%         $10,089mᶟ             +$815m
                                                                                                       Benchmark = FTSE Gold Miners
40%
         SISF Global Gold¹     iShares Gold Miners    VanEck Gold Miners   Blackrock World Gold³

                                     Fund/ETF¹       Benchmark²

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Schroders. Bloomberg – 30 September 2020. ¹Based on Schroder ISF Global Gold C NAV Net. YTD net flows to end July. ²Benchmark = FTSE World Gold Mines TR Index. ³Combined AUM of Blackrock
World Gold + Gold & General funds. ⁴From inception 29 June 2016. ⁵31 August 2020.

12
Gold equities
Elevated margins and clean balance sheets will allow increases in distributions
Excess Cash accumulation at North American Gold Producers                        Implied North American sector average 2021 dividend yields
under various gold price assumptions                                             (%) under different gold price assumptions and under varying
(US$bn)                                                                          pay-out ratios

40                                                                               7%

35                                                                               6%

30
                                                                                 5%
25
                                                                                 4%
20
                                                                                 3%
15
                                                                                 2%
10

 5                                                                               1%

 0                                                                               0%
                 2020                            2021                     2022              50%                    75%                      100%

                         US$1,500/Oz          US$1,750/Oz   US$2,000/Oz                           US$1,500/Oz   US$1,750/Oz   US$2,000/Oz

Source: Scotia, Schroders – September 2020.

13
Appendix
James Luke
                                   Fund Manager, Precious Metals
                                   and Commodities
                                   –   Co-fund manager of Schroder ISF Global Gold
                                   –   Senior fund manager of Schroders Commodities Strategy
                                   –   Formerly Co-Head of Metals Research at JP Morgan
                Schroder ISF       –
                                   –
                                       Investment career commenced in 2005 at Williams De Broe
                                       Previously Metals Research Analyst at UBS (London), Sanford C
                 Global Gold       –
                                       Bernstein (London) and China International Corporation (Beijing)
                                       Joined Schroders in August 2014

                 Investment Team   Mark Lacey
                                   Fund Manager,
                                   Head of Resource Equities
                                   –   Head of Schroders Resource Equities
                                   –   Co-fund manager of Schroder ISF Global Gold
                                   –   Fund manager of Schroder ISF Global Energy Transition
                                   –   Fund manager of Schroder ISF Global Energy
                                   –   Formerly portfolio manager of Investec Global Energy funds
                                   –   Formerly Head of Global Energy at Goldman Sachs
                                   –   Was previously ranked as no. 1 energy investment specialist in
                                       Thompson Extel survey
                                   –   Career commenced in 1996 at Credit Suisse Asset Management,
                                       managing gold and resources funds
Source: Schroders.

15
Schroder ISF Global Gold
Investment process and portfolio construction

               Global Gold                                                          Schroder ISF
                                                Focus list
                universe                                                            Global Gold
                                                ~90 stocks
               ~140 stocks                                                          30–40 stocks

– Minimum of 20% of daily           – Detailed financial models           –   High conviction portfolio
  volumes over five days to fill    – Live valuations for focus list      –   Global reach
                                    – Fair value upside ranked            –   Unconstrained approach
                                                                          –   No shorting or leverage
                                                                          –   Maximum cash 40%

 Best investment ideas are identified by adopting a long-term perspective, and by using proprietary
               fundamental research to identify the intrinsic value of each company
Source: Schroders.

16
Schroder ISF Global Gold
Equity selection: focus on core overweights, augmented with overlays
                                                                 Core overweights
  Free Cash Flow (FCF) inflections                               ‒ Quality disciplined management                           M&A beneficiaries
  ‒ Typically companies who have come through                    ‒ Conservative balance sheets                              ‒ Current major gold sector thematic
    significant capital investment programmes                    ‒ Strong cash generation                                   ‒ Favour companies with distressed
  ‒ Impending transition to FCF generation to                    ‒ Clear NPV upside                                           valuations but quality underlying assets
    drive returns, balance sheet inflection and                                                                               which fit better in larger portfolio
                                                                 ‒ Trading at low end of historical valuation range
    equity re-rating                                                                                                        ‒ Companies in regions where consolidation
                                                                 ‒ Strong ESG footprint
  ‒ Strong technical and project de-risking                                                                                   could introduce economies of scale and
    capabilities                                                 ‒ Examples: Oceana Gold (previous), Pan American             G&A reductions
                                                                   Silver (current)
  ‒ Examples: Alacer (current overweight) and                                                                               ‒ Examples: Beadell (previous overweight)
    Saracen (previous overweight)                                                                                             and TMAC (current overweight)
  ‒ Note: appropriate sizing a necessity given
    execution risk                                                                    Macro overlay

                                         On occasion, in consultation with our EMD colleagues, or our underlying commodity view,
                                                                 the fund has and may in the future utilise:

                                                                            ‒   Physical precious metal holdings
                                                                            ‒   EM currency hedges
                                                                            ‒   Broad equity market puts
                                                                            ‒   Use of cash to increase portfolio defensiveness

The securities mentioned are for illustrative purposes only and not a recommendation to buy/sell.
Source: Schroders.

17
Schroder ISF Global Gold
Performance since inception¹ to 30 September 2020
Cumulative total return²
110

 90
 70

 50
 30

 10
-10

-30
-50
 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019 Sep 2019 Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Jun 2020 Sep 2020 Dec 2020
                                                                 Schroder ISF Global Gold                                       FTSE Gold

                                                  YTD                                                            Since     Annualised        Excess    Excess                                  Treynor
                                Sep 2020                      2019         2018         2017       20161                                                              Beta            TE
                                                 2020                                                       inception1            vol.      Sharpe    Sortino                                     ratio

Schroder ISF Global Gold            -6.66        36.80        51.09       -13.90        11.28      -17.21         12.32          32.90         0.07       0.14         0.96        10.56         11.44

FTSE Gold Mines TR                  -6.72        37.87        42.68       -10.04        10.23      -23.13          9.98           32.53

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – 30 September 2020. ¹Since inception 29 June 2016. ²USD I Shares Gross of fees.

18
Schroder ISF Global Gold
Performance since inception
Schroder ISF Global Gold performance
Performance relative to FTSE Gold Mines TR USD benchmark and other gold funds
 80
 70
 60
 50
 40
 30
 20
 10
     0
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 Dec 2017 Mar 2018 Jun 2018 Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019 Sep 2019 Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Jun 2020 Sep 2020

                 Schroder ISF Global Gold             Blackrock            Investec Global Strategy             Franklin Gold and Precious             GDX US Equity             FTSE Gold Index

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Schroders; Bloomberg – 30 September 2020. USD C shares net.

19
Schroder ISF Global Gold
Performance in US$ – MIFID II disclaimer
 US$ %                            2015          20161            2017           2018            2019

 Fund2                                -              -           10.2           -14.8            49.6

 FTSE Gold Mines TR                   -              -           10.2           -10.0            42.7

Risk considerations

Liquidity risk: in difficult market conditions, the fund may not be able to sell a security for full value or at all. This could affect performance and could cause the fund to defer or suspend
redemptions of its shares.
Operational risk: operational processes, including those related to the safekeeping of assets, may fail. This may result in losses to the fund.
Currency risk: the fund may lose value as a result of movements in foreign exchange rates.
Derivatives risk – efficient portfolio management: derivatives may be used to manage the portfolio efficiently. A derivative may not perform as expected, may create losses greater than
the cost of the derivative and may result in losses to the fund.
Emerging Markets & Frontier risk: emerging markets, and especially frontier markets, generally carry greater political, legal, counterparty, operational and liquidity risk than
developed markets.
Counterparty risk: the fund may have contractual agreements with counterparties. If a counterparty is unable to fulfil their obligations, the sum that they owe to the fund may be lost in
part or in whole.
Higher volatility risk: the price of this fund may be volatile as it may take higher risks in search of higher rewards.
Performance risk: investment objectives express an intended result but there is no guarantee that such a result will be achieved. Depending on market conditions and the macro economic
environment, investment objectives may become more difficult to achieve.
IBOR: the transition of the financial markets away from the use of interbank offered rates (IBORs) to alternative reference rates may impact the valuation of certain holdings and disrupt
liquidity in certain instruments. This may impact the investment performance of the fund.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – 31 December 2019. 1Inception 29 June 2016. 2Schroder ISF Global Gold US$ C shares net NAV to NAV.

20
Gold – paradigm shifts can trigger huge gold price moves
Comparing recent bull markets
Spot gold, index = 100
300

250

200

150

100

 50
      0         100          200          300         400          500          600         700          800          900        1,000        1,100        1,200       1,300        1,400      1,500

                                                                      2004–2008                   2008–2012                   2018–

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – 16 September 2020.

21
Gold – what drives the gold price?
Recent evidence is clear: monetary demand drives the gold price
Bear market – 2011–2015                                            Early stage bull market – 2016–2019                                 Covid acceleration – Q1 2020–
Change in demand (Koz)                                             Change in demand (Koz)                                              Change in demand (Koz)
400                                                                 500                                                                 400

300                                                                 400
                                                                                                                                        300

200                                                                 300
                                                                                                                                        200
100                                                                 200

     0                                                              100                                                                 100

-100                                                                   0                                                                  0

-200                                                                -100
                                                                                                                                        -100
-300                                                                -200

                                                                                                                                        -200
-400                                                                -300

-500                                                                -400                                                                -300
         Monetary     Commodity     Total gold    Change in                 Monetary     Commodity      Total gold    Change in                 Monetary     Commodity      Total gold    Change in
         demand        demand        demand      average gold               demand        demand         demand      average gold               demand        demand         demand      average gold
                                                     price                                                               price                                                               price

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – June 2020.

22
Gold – what drives monetary demand? Primarily real rates
5-year real yield vs. gold investment demand
2,000                                                                                                                                                                                          -1.0

1,800
                                                                                                                                                                                               -0.5

1,600
                                                                                                                                                                                               0.0

1,400

                                                                                                                                                                                               0.5
1,200

                                                                                                                                                                                               1.0
1,000

  800                                                                                                                                                                                          1.5
        2013                   2014                    2015                     2016                     2017                    2018                     2019                    2020

                                      North American Gold ETF Holdings (Metric Tonnes, LHS)                                US 10 Year Real Yield - (%, inverted, RHS)

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – July 2020.

23
Gold – the monetary case
Gold: core beneficiary of weaker US growth and a weaker US$
US economy accumulating imbalances – trade weighted US dollar vs. US twin deficit
140                                                                                                                                                                      0
                                                                                                                                            Sharp deterioration to
130                                                                                                                                           -7.5% well before          -2
                                                                                                                                                  COVID-19
120                                                                                                                                                                      -4
110
                                                                                                                                                                         -6
100
                                                                                                                                                                         -8
 90
                                                                                                                                                                         -10
 80                                                                                                                                                                  ?
                                                                                                                                                                         -12
 70
                                                                                                                                                                         -14
 60

 50                                                                                                                                                                      -16

 40                                                                                                                                                                      -18

 30                                                                                                                                                                      -20
      1995       1997          1999          2001   2003       2005         2007        2009          2011          2013           2015   2017       2019        2021

                                                       US trade weighted dollar (LHS)          Twin deficit (fiscal + c/a % GDP)

Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – 31 August 2020.

24
Gold – what drives monetary demand?
Central Bank gold purchases are more driven by currency concerns
Central Bank gold purchases (metric tonnes)
                                                                            Justifications given by Central Banks for recent increased
 800
                                                                            gold purchases:
 600
                                                                              De-dollarisation (Turkey)
 400                                                                          FX diversification (India)
 200                                                                          ‘An asset that is nobody else's liability’ (Hungary)

     0
                                                                            “Gold is the perfect piggy bank – it’s the anchor
-200
                                                                            of trust for the financial system. If the system
-400
                                                                            collapses, the gold stock can serve as a basis
                                                                            to build it up again”
-600
                                                                                                       Dutch Central Bank, May 2019
-800
         1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015 2019

Source: World Gold Council, Schroders – December 2019.

25
Silver – lots of room to play catch up
Silver has hugely underperformed
Spot precious metals prices
2,500                                                                                                                                                                                             55

                                                                                                                                                                                                  50

2,000                                                                                                                                                                                             45
                                                                Hunt brothers’ squeeze
                                                                                                                                                                                                  40

                                                                                                                                                                                                  35
1,500
                                                                                                                                                                                                  30

                                                                                                                                                                                                  25
1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                  20

                                                                                                                                                                                                  15
 500                                                                                                                                                                                              10

                                                                                                                                                                                                  5

     0                                                                                                                                                                                            0
      1970             1975              1980               1985              1990              1995              2000              2005               2010              2015              2020
                                                                                       Gold (lhs)              Silver

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Macquarie, Bloomberg, Schroders – October 2020.

26
What gold equities need to do to continue to outperform gold
Deliver – capture margin to generate positive returns on capital
Factors in management control:
   Financial discipline and returns focus
      Maximise existing assets via brownfield reserve growth (exploration success)
      Avoid value destructive M&A
      Embrace ESG
      Avoid egregious non-aligned management compensation
      Accurately and fully report costs to avoid un-realistic stakeholder cash flow expectations
Factors (broadly) outside management control:
   Positive gold price environment
      Limited commodity input inflation (energy and consumables)
      Limited Producer FX
      Jurisdictional risks
      Geology (grade, depth)

Source: Schroders. The opinions stated in this presentation are those of the Schroder investment team and are subject to change.

27
Gold equities
Equity valuations and underlying returns have significantly improved
Gold bugs index FCF yields plotted against price/book                                         Gold bugs index return on equity plotted against
valuation (historic and forecast)                                                             EV/EBITDA valuation (historic and forecast)
Free cash yield                                                                               Return on equity
 8%                                                                                           20%
                                      2020 and 2021 current
 6%                                                                                           15%    2020 and 2021 current
                                                                                                                              2006

                           2016                                                               10%                             2010
 4%
                                2020 and 2021 (January)                                                          2011
                    2015                                                                        5%                 2012
 2%                                      2011                                          2002        2020 and
                              2019                                                                            2017                        2008   2003 2004
                                                2010                                            0%
                                                                                                      2021   2016
                              2018                                   2003                          (January)                                      2007
 0%                                                                                                                             2009             2005
                       2014                                                                                          2019
                                                                                               -5%                           2002
                              2017                     2004                                                                          2018
-2%                                   2012                    2005
                                                   2006                                                                                                           2014
                                       2009 2007                                              -10%

-4%
                                                                                              -15%
                        2013                                                                                                                                                2015
-6%                                                                                                                                                                         2013
                                  2008                                                        -20%

-8%                                                                                           -25%
      0      0.5       1        1.5      2      2.5     3      3.5          4    4.5     5           5                  10           15                  20                   25

                                                                                Price/book                                                                    EV/EBITDA multiple

Source: Bloomberg; Schroders – August 2020.

28
Gold equities
On average producers are discounting gold prices well below spot
Gold equity NAV upside under different                                  South African gold equity index (Jgold)                                Australian gold equity index (ASX Gold)
long-term gold price scenarios¹                                         vs. ZAR gold price                                                     vs. AUD gold price
200%                                                                    35,000                                                                 10,000                                                             2,800

                                                                                                                                       4,800
175%                                                                                                                                            9,000                                                             2,600
                                                                        30,000
                                                                                                                                       4,200
150%                                                                                                                                            8,000                                                             2,400
                                                                        25,000
                                                                                                                                       3,600
125%                                                                                                                                            7,000                                                             2,200

                                                                        20,000                                                         3,000
100%                                                                                                                                            6,000                                                             2,000

                                                                                                                                       2,400
75%                                                                     15,000                                                                  5,000                                                             1,800

50%                                                                                                                                    1,800    4,000                                                             1,600
                                                                        10,000
25%                                                                                                                                    1,200    3,000                                                             1,400

                                                                         5,000
 0%                                                                                                                                    600      2,000                                                             1,200

-25%                                                                         0                                                         0        1,000                                                           1,000
       SA Gold Co's   AUS Gold   US Gold Co's   CAD Gold   Gold Price       Jan 2013     Jan 2015        Jan 2017    Jan 2019    Jan 2021          Jan 2013        Jan 2015      Jan 2017    Jan 2019     Jan 2021
                        Cos                       Co's
       NAV @ $1500/oz       NAV @ $1700/oz       NAV @ $1900/oz                   ZAR Gold Price (LHS)        SA Gold Company Index (RHS)                     Australian gold equity Index       AUD Gold Price

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally invested.
Source: Bloomberg/Schroders Estimates – June 2020. ¹Assumes full margin accretion.

29
Important information (1 of 2) – European audience
Schroder ISF

This presentation does not constitute an offer to anyone, or a solicitation by anyone, to subscribe for shares of Schroder International Selection Fund (the 'Company'). Nothing in this
presentation should be construed as advice and is therefore not a recommendation to buy or sell shares.

Subscriptions for shares of the Company can only be made on the basis of its latest Key Investor Information Document and prospectus, together with the latest audited annual report
(and subsequent unaudited semi-annual report, if published), copies of which can be obtained, free of charge, from Schroder Investment Management (Europe) S.A.

An investment in the Company entails risks, which are fully described in the prospectus.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally
invested.

The authors have expressed their own views and opinions in this presentation and these may change.

Schroders will be a data controller in respect of your personal data. For information on how Schroders might process your personal data, please view our Privacy Policy available
at www.schroders.com/en/privacy-policy or on request should you not have access to this webpage.

United Kingdom: Schroders will be a data controller in respect of your personal data. For information on how Schroders might process your personal data, please view our Privacy Policy
available at www.schroders.com/en/privacy-policy or on request should you not have access to this webpage. Issued by Schroder Investment Management Limited, 1 London Wall Place,
London EC2Y 5AU. Registered Number 1893220 England. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

European Union/European Economic Area: this presentation is issued by Schroder Investment Management (Europe) S.A., 5, rue Höhenhof, L-1736 Senningerberg, Luxembourg.
Registered No. B 37.799. For your security, communications may be taped or monitored.

France: the Company is created under Luxembourg law and is complying with the Directive 2009/65/CE (UCITS). The Company and some of its compartment have been authorised
for distribution in France by the AMF.

30
Important information (2 of 2) – European audience
Austria: Further fund-specific information can be obtained from the key investor information in the current version and the current Sales Prospectus, which are available free of charge in
paper form in German from the Austrian Paying Agent (Raiffeisen Bank International AG, Am Stadtpark 9, A-1030 Vienna, Austria) and in German from Schroder Investment Management
(Europe) S.A., German Branch, Taunustor 1, D-60310 Frankfurt am Main [information agent only]). In addition, a current version of the key investor information is available at
www.schroders.at. Investments in the Company are associated with risks that are described in more detail in the key investor information and the Sales Prospectus.

Germany: Further fund-specific information can be obtained from the key investor information in the current version and the current Sales Prospectus, which are available free of charge in
paper form in German from the Paying and Information Agents in Germany (UBS Deutschland AG, OpernTurm, Bockenheimer Landstraße 2–4, D-60306 Frankfurt am Main and Schroder
Investment Management (Europe) S.A., German Branch, Taunustor 1, D-60310 Frankfurt am Main [information agent only]). In addition, a current version of the key investor information is
available at www.schroders.de. Investments in the Company are associated with risks that are described in more detail in the key investor information and the Sales Prospectus.

Poland: Subscriptions for the Company's shares may be made only on the basis of the latest available prospectus and key investor information document (KIID) and the latest audited
annual report (and subsequent unaudited half-yearly report, if published), copies of which may be obtained free of charge from the law firm Wierzbowski Eversheds Sutherland Sp. k.,
Centrum Jasna, ul. Jasna 14/16a, 00–141 Warsaw, Poland and from Schroder Investment Management (Europe) S.A.

The Company is a Luxembourg registered undertaking for collective investment in transferable securities recognised in the United Kingdom and operates in Poland pursuant to the Act
of 27 May 2004 on Investment Funds and Alternative Investment Fund Management (Journal of Laws of 2004, No. 146, item 1546, as amended).

The investor may, depending on the applicable tax obligations, be required to pay tax directly charged on income resulting from investments in fund units. An investment in the Company
involves risks which are fully described in the prospectus.

Greece: UCITS funds do not have a guaranteed performance and previous performance does not guarantee the future performance. OI OΣΕΚΑ ΔΕΝ ΕΧΟΥΝ ΕΓΓΥΗΜΕΝΗ ΑΠΟΔΟΣΗ ΚΑΙ ΟΙ
ΠΡΟΗΓΟΥΜΕΝΕΣ ΑΠΟΔΟΣΕΙΣ ΔΕΝ ΔΙΑΣΦΑΛΙΖΟΥΝ ΤΙΣ ΜΕΛΛΟΝΤΙΚΕΣ.

Switzerland: The Schroder International Selection Fund ('Company') is an open-ended investment company organised as a 'société anonyme' under the laws of the Grand Duchy of
Luxembourg and qualifies as a Société d’Investissement à Capital Variable ('SICAV'). The prospectus and the key investor information document(s) for Switzerland, the articles of association,
the annual and semi-annual reports can be obtained, free of charge, at the offices of the Swiss representative, Schroder Investment Management (Switzerland) AG, Central 2, CH-8001
Zurich and the Swiss paying agent, Schroder & Co. Bank AG, Central 2, CH-8001 Zurich, both authorised and regulated by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority FINMA.

Please note not all funds are registered in all jurisdictions
For Russian Qualified Investors only: None of the sub-funds mentioned in the conference agenda are registered in Russia

31
Important information (1 of 1) – Singapore audience
The information in this presentation (the ‘Presentation’) is only for institutional investors based in Singapore.

Potential investors should be aware that such investments involve market risk and should be regarded as long-term investments.

Derivatives carry a high degree of risk and should only be considered by sophisticated investors.

Investors may wish to seek advice from a financial adviser before purchasing units of any Fund. In the event that the investor chooses not to seek advice from a financial adviser, he should
consider whether the Fund in question is suitable for him. Investors should read the prospectus, available from Schroder Investment Management (Singapore) Ltd or its distributors, before
deciding to subscribe for or purchase units in any Fund. Funds may carry a sales charge of up to 5%.

This Presentation has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

Schroder Investment Management (Singapore) Ltd
138 Market Street #23–01 CapitaGreen Singapore 048946
Telephone: +65 6534 4288 Fax: +65 6536 6626
Registration No.: 199201080H

32
Important information (1 of 1) – US Offshore and Bermuda
Schroders has expressed its own views and opinions in this presentation and these may change.

This presentation does not constitute an offer to anyone, or a solicitation by anyone, to subscribe for shares of Schroder International Selection Fund (the 'Company'). Nothing in this
presentation should be construed as advice and is therefore not a recommendation to buy or sell shares. Subscriptions for shares of the company can only be made on the basis of its latest
key investor information document and prospectus, together with the latest audited annual report (and subsequent unaudited semi-annual report, if published), copies of which can be
obtained, free of charge, from Schroder Investment Management (Europe) S.A.

An investment in the company entails risks, which are fully described in the prospectus.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results, prices of shares and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get the amount originally
invested.

Forecast warning

The forecasts included should not be relied upon, are not guaranteed and are provided only as at the date of issue. Our forecasts are based on our own assumptions which may change. We
accept no responsibility for any errors of fact or opinion and assume no obligation to provide you with any changes to our assumptions or forecasts. Forecasts and assumptions that may be
affected by external economic or other factors.

Sustainability accreditation

Our Schroders Sustainability Accreditation helps investors distinguish how ESG factors are considered across our products. The fund has been awarded an integrated accreditation. ESG
factors are embedded into the investment process and can be clearly evidenced. There is a strong commitment to stewardship and company engagement. For further information about
our Schroders Sustainability Accreditation please visit www.schroders.lu/sustainabilityaccreditation.

Schroders will be a data controller in respect of your personal data. For information on how Schroders might process your personal data, please view our privacy policy available
at www.schroders.com/en/privacy-policy or on request should you not have access to this webpage.

Issued by Schroder Investment Management Limited, 1 London Wall Place, EC2Y 5AU. Registration No 1893220 England. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.
For your security, communications may be taped or monitored.

33
Important information (1 of 1) – Israel audience
Note regarding the Marketing material for Qualified Clients or Sophisticated Investors only.

This communication has been prepared by certain personnel of Schroder Investment Management (Europe) S.A (Registered No. B 37.799) or its subsidiaries or affiliates (collectively, "SIM").
Such personnel are not licensed by the Israeli Securities Authority. Such personnel may provide investment marketing, to the extent permitted and in accordance with the Regulation of
Investment Advice, Investment Marketing and Investment Portfolio Management Law, 1995 (the "Investment Advice Law"). This communication is directed at persons (i) who are
Sophisticated Investors (ii) Qualified Clients ("Lakoach Kashir") as such term is defined in the Investment Advice Law; and (iii) other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be
communicated. No other person should act on the contents or access the products or transactions discussed in this communication. In particular, this communication is not intended for
retail clients and SIM will not make such products or transactions available to retail clients.

34
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