Shareholding and Financial Advisory Division (SFAD) - Fact Book: April 2021

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Shareholding and Financial Advisory Division (SFAD) - Fact Book: April 2021
Shareholding and Financial
Advisory Division (SFAD)
Fact Book: April 2021
Shareholding and Financial Advisory Division (SFAD) - Fact Book: April 2021
Section 1:   Introduction
Section 2:   State Bank Investments
Section 3:   NAMA / HBFI
Section 4:   Credit Unions
Section 5:   IBRC
Section 6:   Financial Advisory
Shareholding and Financial Advisory Division (SFAD) - Fact Book: April 2021
Introduction
  State Bank Investments
        NAMA / HBFI
                           Shareholding and Financial Advisory Division
       Credit Unions
            IBRC
     Financial Advisory

SFAD Roles & Responsibilities
     The Shareholding and Financial Advisory Division (SFAD) consists of a team of c. 20 professionals with a mix of capital markets, accounting,
      corporate finance, legal and investment backgrounds. This team has a blend of both private sector expertise and experienced civil servants and has
      a number of roles and responsibilities:

                                               Developing and recommending to the Minister strategies for returning the banks to private ownership
                                               Realising value for the taxpayer by executing share disposals
                  1. Oversight of State        Monitoring bank performance and stock market trends through regular interaction with management,
                  ownership in Irish banks      investors and market participants
                                               Protecting and exercising the Minister’s rights while respecting bank Relationship Framework
                                                Agreements

                                                Utilisation of expertise within the Division to provide financial advisory services and input to policy
                  2. Advisory and policy         options across the Department of Finance
                  development                   Manage and co‐ordinate the Blockchain & Virtual Currencies Working Group
                                                Provide insight and objective analysis on emerging areas of financial services and technology
        SFAD

                  3. Oversight of NAMA and     Responsible for the management of the Minister’s shareholding in the National Asset Management
                  HBFI                          Agency (NAMA) and Home Building Finance Ireland (HBFI)

                  4. Oversight of Credit       Policy oversight for the Credit Union sector
                  Union Sector                 Provide advice to the Minister on developments in the sector

                     Body Level One  Daily two‐way interaction with analysts, investors, investor relation teams and investment banks
                     Body Level Two
                  5. Market Interaction

                             Body Level Three
                                             Responsible for representing the Minister’s interests in relation to the liquidation of IBRC
                  6. Liquidation of IBRC
                                 Body Level Four
                                      Body Level Five

3 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Shareholding and Financial Advisory Division (SFAD) - Fact Book: April 2021
A Track Record of Delivery
         Introduction
   State Bank Investments
         NAMA / HBFI
        Credit Unions
             IBRC
      Financial Advisory

 A number of significant milestones have been achieved:
                       •    Recapitalisation, restructuring and deleveraging was undertaken across the sector
                       •    Elimination of promissory notes programme, ELA and liquidation of IBRC
                       •    Sale of Bank of Ireland CoCos (€1bn) and Preference Shares (€2bn)
      2010             •    State disposal of Irish Life for €1.3bn
       to              •    Establishment of NAMA
      2014             •    Troika programme commitments met and programme exited
                       • PTSB raised €525m of capital to address stress test shortfall, while the State retained a 75% stake
                       • AIB capital reorganisation returned €1.6bn to the State
      2015
                       • AIB CoCo redemption of €1.6bn
                       • IBRC paid first interim dividend of 25% to all admitted creditors
      2016
                       •    AIB resumed dividend repayment: €250m and Initial Public Offering (IPO) raised €3.4bn for the State (the second largest IPO globally in 2017)
                       •    Completion of ReBo activity: 82 mergers concluded, involving 156 individual credit unions with total assets in excess of €6.7bn
                       •    NAMA repaid 100% of its senior debt
      2017             •    IBRC paid second interim dividend of 25% to all admitted unsecured creditors

                       •    BOI announced the re‐commencement of dividends
                       •    Eligible Liability Guarantee (ELG) eliminated
                       •    PTSB completed the sale of Project Glas and Project Glenbeigh. This saw its NPL ratio reduce to 10%, from 26% at the start of the year
                       •    Launched an intra‐Departmental working group on virtual currencies & blockchain technology
      2018
                       •    IBRC paid final dividend of 50% to all admitted creditors
       018             •    Anglo Irish Bank assessor appointed pursuant to the Anglo Irish Bank Corporation Act 2009

                     Body
                     • HomeLevel        One Ireland (HBFI) officially launched in January 2019 to finance housing construction
                              Building Finance
                     • Hosted the first Government services blockchain hackathon in the Trinity Innovation Centre in January 2019
      2019           Body    Level
                     • Permanent   TSBTwo
                                        exited its restructuring plan

                           Body
                     • Ongoing        Level
                                efforts          Three
                                        to address   the numerous challenges posed by Covid‐19 to the Irish banking sector and the wider economy
                     • NAMA redeemed final debt and equity obligations and commenced return of surplus to the State ‐ first €2bn returned to Exchequer in
      2020
                       June 2020Body Level Four
                     • Final report of the Anglo Irish Bank Assessor published in April 2020
                                    Body Level
                     • Finance(Miscellaneous              Five
                                                Provisions) Act 2020 and Credit Union Restructuring Board (Dissolution) Act 2020 completed December 2020
                       • Bureau membership of OECD Committee on Financial Markets

4 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Shareholding and Financial Advisory Division (SFAD) - Fact Book: April 2021
Section 1:   Introduction
Section 2:   State Bank Investments
Section 3:   NAMA / HBFI
Section 4:   Credit Unions
Section 5:   IBRC
Section 6:   Financial Advisory
Introduction
     State Bank Investments
           NAMA / HBFI
                              State Bank Investments:
          Credit Unions
               IBRC
                              Core objective is to return banks to private ownership
        Financial Advisory

How we look at the State’s bank investments:
• Irish State still “owns”: c. 42% of the combined assets of AIB/BOI/PTSB (translates to 36% of assets of five retail banks)
• c. 50% of the combined market value of AIB/BOI/PTSB
 1                                                 2                                              3
         Value For Taxpayers                            Monetise through sales &                       Rational Investor
                                                        income
   Government policy is not to hold these          Disposals since Summer 2017 hampered by       State priority is to engage with the market
      investments long term and, subject to            numerous factors including poor markets.       in a sensible, orderly and professional
      market conditions, is willing to exit in a       In times of depressed valuations, income       manner
      manner that generates value for the              return in dividends and return of any
      taxpayer                                         excess capital becomes very important.

  Multiple considerations to take into account:

       Government authorisation
                                                                                     State Exit
       Investor appetite and market conditions

                  Body Level One
       Valuation
                  Body Level Two
       Irish economy  Body Level Three
       Global economy
                         Body Level Four
                           Body Level Five
       Financial performance

6 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Introduction
      State Bank Investments        State Bank Investments
            NAMA / HBFI
           Credit Unions
                IBRC
                                    Overview – strong financial performance in recent years
         Financial Advisory
                                    pre-Covid-19
    Commentary                      The State holds investments in three Irish banks:
                                                        2013                                                                         March 2021
 The state has reduced its
  ownership in all three banks                                  85%                                                    29%               86%                 25%
                                         99.9%                                        99.9%
  since 2013
                                                                                                                                                             75%
                                                                                                                       71%
 In the years leading up to the
  Covid19 pandemic we saw
  strong capital generation to                                   15%                                                                     14%
  support growth and payouts
  while helping to withstand
                                                                                              % State    % Privately
  regulatory headwinds                                                                        Owned       Owned

 Impact of Covid‐19 saw a
  huge swing from profits in        2020 FY Highlights
  2019 to significant losses in              AIB recorded an underlying loss of                                                                  BOI announced an underlying
                                                                                              PTSB recorded an underlying loss of
  2020. However, the strong                   €716m for FY 2020, with a return to                                                                  loss of €374m for 2020 versus a
                                                                                               €103m for 2020 versus a profit of
  capital and liquidity positions             a profit of €93m in H2. The FY result                                                                profit of €758m in 2019.
                                                                                               €74m in 2019. As with the other
  going into the crisis positions             was largely a result of the Covid19                                                                  Encouragingly, however, the
                                                                                               banks, this outturn was dominated
  them to deal with the                       ECL charge of €1.46bn.
                                                                                               by the impact of Covid‐19 with PTSB                 bank returned to an underlying
  challenges arising and to                  The bank successfully issued €625m                                                                   profit in H2. The 2020 financial
                                                                                               booking an impairment charge of
  support a recovering                        of AT1 in June 2020, highlighting                                                                    performance was dominated by
  economy.                                                                                     €155m.
                                              the strong support that AIB has                                                                      the impact of Covid‐19 which was
                                              within credit markets with a nine               Notwithstanding this, capital and                   reflected, in particular, in the
 The impairment charge                                                                        liquidity positions remained strong
  booked by the Irish banks                   times oversubscribed order book.                                                                     impairment charge of €1.1bn.
                                                                                               leaving the bank well positioned to
  was significantly ahead of                 For FY 2020, the banks capital                                                                      Notwithstanding this, capital and
                                                                                               support the recovering economy.
  international peers reflecting              position remained robust with a                                                                      liquidity positions remained
  the requirement to use                      reported fully loaded CET1 ratio at             Although new lending was down                       strong with market confidence
                      Body Level One
  historical data in the                      15.6%, well in excess of minimum                 15% y‐o‐y, H2 saw a strong recovery                 being demonstrated with the
  impairment models and                       requirements.                                    with mortgage drawdowns up 40%                      successful execution of an AT1
                      Body Level Two
  Ireland’s more severe
  experience during the last          New lending of €9.2bn was down                          on the first half of the year.                      issuance of €675m in H1.
                                       25% y‐o‐y. H2 recovered somewhat                        Management also commented on
  crisis.                                                                                                                                      
                              Body Level   Three
                                       and was  9% ahead of H1 (€4.4bn).                       the continued momentum into the                     In addition, H2 saw a significant
                                                                                                                                                   increase in new lending which
                                                                                               first two months of 2021.
 Department as shareholder           66k (€4bn) of retail payment breaks
  keen to see any surplus       Body Level      Fourgranted, 88% of
                                       were originally                                        Payment break experience has
                                                                                                                                                   was up c. 30% on the first half of
                                                                                                                                                   the year.
  capital returned as soon as
  possible.                       Bodywhich
                                         Level
                                       Covid
                                              have returned to full pre
                                             terms. Five
                                                                                               proven to be more favourable than
                                                                                               originally thought with 90% of                     Payment break experience has
                                                                                               customers not expected to require                   been positive with 97% of
                                                                                               further forbearance measures.                       expired breaks returning to pre‐
                                                                                                                                                   Covid terms.
  7 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Introduction
   State Bank Investments
         NAMA / HBFI
                                State Bank Investments
        Credit Unions
             IBRC
                                Transformational change in underlying financial metrics of State
                                bank investments between 2010 and 2020 even with Covid-19
      Financial Advisory

  Commentary                     State bank investments: change in selected metrics (2010 to 2020)
  Transformational
   change across all
   three State bank                                                 AIB                                 BOI                                                     PTSB
   investments
   between 2010 and
   2020                         Metric                  €bn/%       Year     2020      €bn/%           Year             2020                €bn/%               Year             2020

                                Underlying
  Although the three           profit/(loss) before    (€10.4bn)    2010   (€0.7bn)   (€3.5bn)         2010          (€0.4bn)                (€1bn)             2012          (€103m)
   banks recorded               tax
   losses for FY2020
   due to Covid19, in
   the years preceding          NIM                      1.03%       2011    1.94%      1.25%           2012            2.00%                 0.72%              2013            1.73%
   the pandemic all
   reported a strong
   recovery in all              New lending1              €7bn       2013   €9.2bn     €6.6bn           2013          €13.3bn                €0.1bn              2012           €1.4bn
   covered metrics
   including:
   profitability, capital,      NPL /                    €29bn/             €4.3bn/    €18bn/           2013           €4.5bn/               €8.6bn/                            €1.1bn/
                                                                     2013                                                                                        2013
   new lending                  NPL Ratio2                35%                7.3%       18%            (June)           5.7%                  28%                                7.6%
   volumes, Loan to
   Deposit Ratios, and          Loan to deposit ratio    165%        2010    69%        175%            2010             86%                  227%               2011             79%
   non‐performing
   loans
                                Monetary authority
                                                         €31bn       2011     Nil      €33bn            2010           €1.9bn                €19.5bn             2011              Nil
                      Body Level One
                                funding

                      Body Level     Two
                             Fully loaded CET1   3
                                                 4.0%                2010    15.6%      6.3%            2013            13.4%                 11.3%              2013            15.1%

                          Body      Level Three
                             EU Restructuring
                                                Entered              2011    Exited    Entered          2010            Exited               Entered             2015            Exited
                             Body
                             Plan
                                        Level Four
                                  Body Level Five
                                                                                                  1.New lending ‐ BOI & AIB did not disclose pre‐2013. BOI H1 2020 includes €1.3bn of RCF
                                                                                                  drawdown by Corporate customers.
                                                                                                  2. 2018 values reflect the Non‐Performing Exposure (NPE) balance for AIB and BOI, and the
                                                                                                  NPL Balance for PTSB
8 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                     3. .BOI 2013 excludes the preference shares.
State bank investments: improved risk profile
             Introduction
       State Bank Investments
             NAMA / HBFI
            Credit Unions
                 IBRC
          Financial Advisory

      Commentary                  AIB Non-Performing Exposures (NPEs)                                             Bank of Ireland Non-Performing Exposures (NPEs)                                        Drivers
                                  (€bn)                                                                           (€bn)                                                                                 of Falling
                                           37%                                                              40%
      Significant reduction       €35.0
                                                   35%                                                                                                                                                    NPEs
       in Non‐Performing          €30.0                                                                     35%               11%
       Exposures across all                                                                                       €10.0                                                                   12%
                                           €30.7
       three State Bank                                    26%                                              30%
                                  €25.0                                                                                       €9.4                                                        10%
                                                   €26.2                                                           €8.0                     8%
       Investments. c.86%                                          22%                                      25%
       reduction in AIB and c.    €20.0                                                                                                                                                   8%
                                                                                                            20%                                          6%                                                  Loan
                                                                            16%                                    €6.0                                                     5.7%
       87% for PTSB               €15.0                    €18.0                                                                            €6.5                                                          Treatment
                                                                                                                                                                                          6%
       between 2013 and                                                                                     15%                                                 4.3%
                                                                   €14.1            10%                            €4.0                                  €5.0
       2020. Bank of Ireland      €10.0                                                              7.3%   10%
                                                                                                                                                                            €4.5          4%
                                                                            €10.2          5.3%
       meanwhile reduced                                                                                           €2.0
                                                                                                                                                                €3.5
                                   €5.0                                                                     5%                                                                            2%
       NPEs by c. 52%                                                               €6.1             €4.3
                                                                                           €3.3
       between 2016 and            €0.0                              -86%                                   0%     €0.0                                  -52%
                                                                                                                                                                                          0%
       2020.                               2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020                                            2016         2017         2018    2019        2020                              Portfolio
      A combination of                                                                                                                 BOI (NPEs)                NPE Ratio %                                  Sales
                                                      AIB (NPEs)                       NPE Ratio %
       rising property prices,
       a growing economy,         Permanent TSB - Non-Performing Loans (NPLs)                                     Combined 3 Banks Non-Performing Exposures
       and measures taken                                                                                         (€bn)
                                  (€bn)
       by Irish banks to                                                                                          €35.0                                                                    20%
       address non‐                €10.0                           27%                                      30%
                                                   26%                                                                            17%
                                           26%             26%              26%                                           €29.3                                                            18%            Improved
       performing loans have        €9.0                                                                          €30.0                                                                                   borrower
       all contributed to the       €8.0
                                                                                                            25%                                                                            16%           repayment
                                           €8.6                                                                              €5.8           14%
       decline in balances.                        €8.3
                                                                                                                  €25.0                                                                                  capabilities
                                    €7.0                                                                                                                                                   14%
                                                                                                                                        €22.0
      Due to the impact of                                                                                 20%
                            €6.0                           €6.6                                                                                                                            12%
       the Covid19 pandemic                                                                                       €20.0
                                                                                                                             €9.4          €5.3
       there was someBody Level
       increase in NPEs
                            €5.0                  One            €5.8
                                                                      €5.3
                                                                                                            15%
                                                                                                                  €15.0
                                                                                                                                                         8%                                10%

                            €4.0                                                    10%                                                              €12.8                   6.5%          8%
                                                                                                                                           €6.5
       across all the banks
                            Body Level      €3.0
                                                  Two                                      6.7%
                                                                                                  7.6%      10%
                                                                                                                  €10.0
                                                                                                                                                         €1.7
                                                                                                                                                                5.0%
                                                                                                                                                                €7.9
                                                                                                                                                                                €9.9
                                                                                                                                                                                           6%
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Improved
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Collateral
                                                                                                                                                         €5.0                €1.1
                                                                                                                                                                €1.1
                                         Body
                                            €2.0 Level Three
                                                                                                            5%     €5.0
                                                                                                                             €14.1
                                                                                                                                           €10.2                €3.5
                                                                                                                                                                              €4.5         4%
                                            €1.0                                    €1.7                                                                 €6.1                              2%
                                            Body
                                            €0.0
                                                     Level Four-87%                        €1.1   €1.1
                                                                                                            0%     €0.0                                 -66%
                                                                                                                                                                €3.3          €4.3
                                                                                                                                                                                           0%
                                                  2013 2014 2015 2016 2017          2018   2019   2020                       2016          2017         2018    2019         2020
NPE = NPL + eligible forborne loans + other
exposures
                                                 Body Level Five
NPL = Impaired + debtors deemed                                                                                                   AIB (NPEs)                      BOI (NPEs)
unlikely to pay                                       PTSB (NPL)                       NPE Ratio %
                                                                                                                                  PTSB (NPL)                      NPE Ratio % (Implied)
  9 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                                                                                        1. Company Accounts / Central Bank
                                                                                                                                                                                 of Ireland / DoF Analysis.
State Bank Investments: capital, liquidity & funding (1/2)
         Introduction
   State Bank Investments
         NAMA / HBFI
        Credit Unions
             IBRC
      Financial Advisory
                                 From too little funding to too much
  Commentary                     Falling Loan to Deposit Ratios % (2012 – 2020)1                                                Household deleveraging (€bn)2
                                 200%
                                                                                                                              €250                                                                                                         250%
 Reduced loan to

                                            191%
  deposit ratios (LTDs)
                                                                                                                              €200                                                                                                         200%
  across all three State         150%
  bank investments as

                                                                    151%
                                                                                                                              €150                                                                                                         150%

                                                                  138%
  households and

                                                                125%
                                         123%
  businesses deleverage.         100%

                                        115%

                                                     114%
                                                                                                                              €100                                                                                                         100%

                                                              111%
                                                              110%

                                                              108%
                                                             106%

                                                             104%
  Provides capacity for

                                                   100%

                                                            100%

                                                            100%
                                                             99%

                                                             97%
                                                            95%

                                                            95%
                                                            93%

                                                            93%

                                                           91%
                                                           90%
  additional lending

                                                          86%
                                                          85%
                                                                                                                                €50                                                                                                        50%

                                                         79%
                                                        69%
 A combination of                50%
  falling household                                                                                                               €0                                                                                                       0%

                                                                                                                                         2003 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2004 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2005 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2006 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2007 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2008 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2009 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2010 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2011 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2012 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2013 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2014 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2015 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2016 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2017 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2018 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2019 Q2
                                                                                                                                         2020 Q2
  liabilities and
  increasing asset values          0%
  has led to aggregate                  2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
                                              AIB         BOI         PTSB                                                                       Household Debt (€ billion)                           Debt to Disposable Income(%)
  nominal household net
  worth exceeding pre‐                                                                                                                                                                    Household Deposits
  crisis levels                  Net Stable Funding Ratio % (2015 – 2020)1,3                                                    Liquidity Coverage Ratio % (2015 – 2020)1,4
 Quality of funding            180%
  remains high,                                                                                                                  300%
  significantly exceeding       160%

                                                                                                              160%
  the Basel III net stable      140%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         276%
                                                                                                                                 250%

                                                                                                            148%
  funding ratio minimum

                                                                                           138%

                                                                                                          138%
                                120%

                                                                                         131%
                                                                               130%

  requirements (100%)
                                                                                         129%
                                                                      127%

                                                                              125%
                                                                     123%
                                                            122%

                                                                                                                                 200%
                                            120%

                                                                             120%
                                                           119%

                                                                   114%

                            Min. 100%
                                          111%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  193%
                                                        105%

                                                                                                                                 150%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               170%
                            80%
                                        92%

                      Body Level One

                                                                                                                                                                         166%

                                                                                                                                                                                         165%

                                                                                                                                                                                                            160%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              157%
                                                                                                                                                      153%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              153%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            138%
                                                                                                                                                                                      136%

                                                                                                                                                                                                          136%
                            60%

                                                                                                                                                                                      132%
                                                                                                                                                                     128%

                                                                                                                                                                                                         128%
                                                                                                                         Min. 100%
                      Body Level
                            40% Two

                                                                                                                                                  116%

                                                                                                                                                                   113%
                                                                                                                                                 108%
                                                                                                                                   50%
                          Body
                            20% Level Three
                             0%
                             Body2015
                                  Level2016
                                          Four2017                            2018          2019             2020
                                                                                                                                     0%
                                                                                                                                                   2015               2016               2017              2018               2019                2020
                                Body Level
                                      AIB   Five BOI                                       PTSB                                                                        AIB                          BOI                          PTSB
                                                                                                                                                                                       1. Published financial accounts & Pillar III disclosures
                                                                                                                                                                                    2. Central Bank of Ireland: Quarterly Financial Accounts
                                                                                3. Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) seeks to calculate the proportion of long‐term assets which are funded by long‐term, stable funding. The NSFR limits
                                                                                                                                           overreliance on short‐term wholesale funding. Soruce: Annual accounts & Pillar 3 Disclosures
10 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                   4. The LCR is calculated by dividing a bank's stock of high‐quality liquid assets by its total net cash outflows over a 30‐day stress period
State Bank Investments: capital, liquidity & funding (2/2)
        Introduction
  State Bank Investments
        NAMA / HBFI
       Credit Unions
            IBRC             Crisis impacted RWAs mean leverage ratios show true capitalisation
     Financial Advisory

  Commentary                 Core Equity Tier 1 Capital ratios % (2020)1,2                                                                         Total Regulatory Capital ratios % (2020)1,2
 State bank                 20.0%                                                                                                                 30.0%
  investments now well

                                                 18.9%
                                                                                                                                                   25.0%

                                                                            18.1%
  capitalised relative to
                             15.0%

                                                                                                                                                                               23.9%
  EU peers on a fully

                                                                                                        15.6%
                                                                                                                                                   20.0%

                                                                                                                                15.1%
                                                               14.9%
  loaded basis

                                                                                                                                                                                                    21.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     20.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                          19.2%
                                                                                                                      13.4%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             18.2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 18.0%
 RWAs partly                10.0%
                                                                                                                                                   15.0%
  responsible for the
  relatively high levels                                                                                                                           10.0%
  of capitalisation at        5.0%
  Irish banks                                                                                                                                        5.0%

 Recent research has                                                                                                                                0.0%
  shown that that risk        0.0%                                                                                                                                   Total capital % (Transitional)                       Total capital % (Fully loaded)
  weighted assets for                            CET1 (Transitional)                                   CET1 (Fully loaded)
  Irish residential                                AIB                                BoI                     PTSB                                                                       AIB                       BoI                       PTSB
  mortgages are c. 3x of
  the European median
  and amongst the
                             Core Equity Tier 1 Capital Ratios by Country                                                                         Leverage Ratios by Country
  highest in Europe.4        (Fully Loaded: Q3 2020)2,3                                                                                           (Fully Loaded: Q3 2020)2,3
                             25%                                                                                                                  10.00%                                                         Basel III Leverage Ratio Rule:
 Leverage ratios offer
  the best look through                                                                                                                                                                                          Tier 1 Capital
                                                                                                                                                    9.00%                                                                                    ≥       3%
  view on Irish capital      20%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Total Exposure
  levels                                                                                                                                            8.00%
                                     21%

                                                                                                                                                    7.00%
                                           18%
                                                  18%
                                                         17%
                                                                   17%

                             15%                                                                                                                    6.00%
                     Body Level One
                                                                          16%
                                                                                    15%
                                                                                          15%
                                                                                                15%
                                                                                                        14%
                                                                                                                14%
                                                                                                                        14%
                                                                                                                                                    5.00%
                                                                                                                              12%
                     Body Level
                           10%   Two                                                                                                    12%
                                                                                                                                                    4.00%
                                                                                                                                                    3.00%
                         Body
                            5%
                               Level Three
                                                                                                                                                    2.00%
                            Body Level Four                                                                                                         1.00%
                            0%                                                                                                                      0.00%
                               Body   Level Five
                                LU DK IE NL BE GB DE                                      FR EU AT IT                   PT GR ES                                   IE GR PT AT BE LU                            IT EU ES FR GB DE NL DK
                                                                       1. Published annual reports
                                                                       2. “Transitional” refers to the transitional Basel III required for CET1 ratios which came into effect Jan‐14. “Fully loaded” refers to the actual Basel III basis for CET1 ratios.
11 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                         3. EBA Dashboard (Includes 3 domestic Irish banks plus Ulster Bank, DEPFA & Citibank)
                                                                       4. “Risk Weighted Assets in Ireland” Department of Finance: https://assets.gov.ie/6836/664f5174ebd34f7e938aea654bed6757.pdf
                                                                       BFFI: https://bpfi.ie/wp‐content/uploads/2021/02/Final‐BPFI‐RWA‐Report.pdf
Introduction
  State Bank Investments     State Bank Investments:
        NAMA / HBFI
       Credit Unions
            IBRC
                             Expected value attributable to taxpayers
     Financial Advisory

  Reduction in bank valuations has impacted on €29.4bn investment (€bn)1,2,3,4:                                                              Value of State’s Shareholding (Mar 2021)
 (€bn)                                                                                                                                                                                      €3.7bn

                                                                                                                                                                                            €0.6bn

                                                                                                                                                                                            €0.4bn
  €35.0
                                                                        €31.1                                                                                                Total          €4.7bn
                                                        €29.9
  €30.0 €29.4bn State Investment                                €28.8
                                                                                     €27.2              €26.3
                                             €25.5
  €25.0                              €23.1                                                                                                      €23.8
                                                                                                                            €23.2
        €23.8bn market value of                                         €10.6         €7.1                                                                          Market value of State
                                                                                                          €6.0
        State investments +                                     €11.6                                                                            €3.7                     holdings
                                                                                                                             €3.2
  €20.0 realised cash      €17.7                        €13.9
                                                                                                                                                                    (€4.7bn Un‐realised)
        (as at Mar‐21)
                                             €13.3
               €14.3                 €11.6
  €15.0

                                                                        €12.6        €12.6               €12.6              €12.6               €12.6

  €10.0                                                         €9.2                                                                                                    Cash Realised
                                                        €7.4                                                                                                              (€19.2bn)
                             €8.0
                                     €5.0    €5.0
                €7.7
   €5.0                      €0.5
                €0.5                         €5.4       €5.7    €6.0    €6.0          €6.3                €6.6               €6.6                €6.6
                             €4.2    €5.0
                €2.8
   €0.0       Body Level One
                 2009‐2011

                              2012

                                      2013

                                                 2014

                                                         2015

                                                                 2016

                                                                         2017

                                                                                        2018

                                                                                                            2019

                                                                                                                               2020

                                                                                                                                                   Mar‐21
              Body Level Two
                    Body Level Three
                        Body Level Four
      Fees and Income (accumulated) Disposals
                           Body Level   Five (accumulated)              AIB Valuation                   BOI Valuation                      PTSB Valuation

                                                                                1. Disposals comprise sale/redemption of debt instruments, AIB and PTSB IPOs, and the sale of Irish Life.
                                                                                                           2. Fees and income comprise interest coupons, recap fees, and CIFS/ELG fees.
12 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                                                   3. Bank valuations based on ISE closing prices, May‐20.
                                                                                        4. The result of AIB IPO reflected above does not include value of Government owned warrants.
State Bank Investments
        Introduction
  State Bank Investments
        NAMA / HBFI
       Credit Unions
            IBRC                    €3.4bn1 IPO of AIB
     Financial Advisory

 Key Offering Statistics                                                                           Transaction Highlights
                                                                                                    •      Largest listing in EMEA and second largest worldwide in 2017. Largest IPO in the UK
  Pricing Date                 22‐Jun‐17                                                                   since Glencore in 20112
                               Official List of the Irish Stock Exchange (Primary                   •      Second largest European Bank IPO since 20072
  Listing                      Listing) and London Stock Exchange Main Market                       •      More than 250 investors in the allocated order book
                               (Premium Listing)                                                    •      Top 50 allocations accounted for c.75% of the order book
                                                                                                    •      Quality of allocation: more than 30% of the order book received zero allocation
  Offer Price                  €4.40

  Offer Size                   €3,433.7m (incl. greenshoe)                                                                                     Allocation                                          Sovereign
                                                                                                    Allocation                                                             Hedge                    Wealth
                                                                                                                                               by fund type:
                                                                                                    by geography:                                                          Funds
  Residual Shareholding c.71.25%                                                                                       RoW                                                                           Funds
                                                                                                                       31%                UK                                23%                       12%
  Retail Offer                 10% of base offering                                                                                      35%                           Long
                                                                                                        Ireland                                                        Only
  Implied Market Cap           €11,943m
                                                                                                          2%                        US                                Funds
  Lock‐Up                      180 days for Minister and AIB                                                France                 25%                                 66%
                                                                                                              8%

 AIB Valuation & Redemption (€bn)3                                                                 AIB State Aid Repayments (€bn)
 (€bn)                                     €20.75bn         €20.7                                  (€bn)

 €20.0                                                                                             €12.0
                                            €16.8
                                                    €17.7           €17.4                                                                                              €10.1 €10.3 €10.6 €10.6
                                                                            €16.6
                                                                                                   €10.0
 €15.0                             €13.9                    €10.1                   €13.8 €14.3
                                            €4.6    €6.4                                            €8.0
                           €12.1                                                                                                                               €6.4
                     Body€2.0
                              Level One
                                   €2.3
                                                            €10.6
                                                                    €10.3
                                                                                                    €6.0
 €10.0                                                                                                                                                 €4.6
            €7.3     Body Level Two
                    €8.1
                                                                                    €10.6 €10.6
                                                                                                    €4.0
            €1.2    €1.7                                                                                                                      €2.3
                              Body     Level
                               €11.7 €12.3 €11.3 Three
                                                 €10.6                                                                              €1.7 €2.0
  €5.0                    €10                                                                       €2.0                    €1.2
                                                                                                                     €0.6
            €6.1    €6.4
                                 Body Level Four       €7.1 €6.0
                                                                                    €3.2   €3.7     €0.0
                                                                                                              €0.2

  €0.0
            2011
                                     Body Level Five
                    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019                         2020 Mar '21
                                                                                                              2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
                                                                                                                     ELG Fees                                         Interest Payments
                   Valuation           Cumulative Repayments                  State Aid Injected                     Capital Redemptions                              Dividends
                                                                                                                                                                      1. No valuation ascribed to state warrants
13 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                                                                                                                     2. Bloomberg
                                                                                                                                                                                 3. Valuation as of March 2021
Introduction
   State Bank Investments
         NAMA / HBFI
                                 State Bank Investments:
        Credit Unions
             IBRC
                                 Banks trading at a large discount to book value
      Financial Advisory

 Commentary                      % Change in Listed Share Prices (Jan 2018 – Mar 2021)1
                                 120%
  European bank shares
   have been under               100%
   pressure for quite a
   while. However, they           80%
   have rebounded strongly
   since the lows of last year    60%
   including those in             40%
   Ireland.
  The EuroStoxx Bank             20%
   Index is trading at 0.7x        0%
   book value (from a low of
                                         02-Jan-18
                                         02-Feb-18
                                         02-Mar-18
                                          02-Apr-18
                                         02-May-18
                                         02-Jun-18

                                         02-Aug-19
                                         02-Sep-19
                                          02-Oct-19
                                           02-Jul-18
                                         02-Aug-18
                                         02-Sep-18
                                          02-Oct-18
                                         02-Nov-18
                                         02-Dec-18
                                         02-Jan-19
                                         02-Feb-19
                                         02-Mar-19
                                          02-Apr-19
                                         02-May-19
                                          02-Jun-19
                                           02-Jul-19

                                         02-Nov-19
                                         02-Dec-19
                                          02-Jan-20
                                         02-Feb-20
                                         02-Mar-20
                                          02-Apr-20
                                         02-May-20
                                          02-Jun-20
                                           02-Jul-20
                                         02-Aug-20
                                         02-Sep-20
                                          02-Oct-20
                                         02-Nov-20
                                         02-Dec-20
                                          02-Jan-21
                                         02-Feb-21
                                         02-Mar-21
   0.4x in 2020) with the
   Irish banks at 0.4x – 0.6x
   (low of 0.2x in 2020).
  The relative performance
   of the Irish banks is due                                 AIB        BOI                   PTSB                     EuroStoxx Banks
   to a variety of factors
   including tough               Price to Book Ratios (Jan 2018 – Mar 2021)2
   regulatory capital              (x)
   requirements and an
                                 1.20
   inquiry relating to tracker
   mortgages that resulted       1.00                                                                                                                                                     P/B = 1.0x
   in the banks incurring
   related costs.                0.80

                      Body Level
                              0.60 One
                              0.40
                      Body Level   Two
                              0.20
                          Body0.00Level Three
                                         02-Jan-18
                                         02-Feb-18
                                         02-Mar-18
                                          02-Apr-18
                                         02-May-18
                                         02-Jun-18

                                          02-Apr-20
                                           02-Jul-18
                                         02-Aug-18
                                         02-Sep-18
                                          02-Oct-18
                                         02-Nov-18
                                         02-Dec-18
                                         02-Jan-19
                                         02-Feb-19
                                         02-Mar-19
                                          02-Apr-19
                                         02-May-19
                                         02-Jun-19
                                           02-Jul-19
                                         02-Aug-19
                                         02-Sep-19
                                          02-Oct-19
                                         02-Nov-19
                                         02-Dec-19
                                         02-Jan-20
                                         02-Feb-20
                                         02-Mar-20

                                         02-May-20
                                          02-Jun-20
                                           02-Jul-20
                                         02-Aug-20
                                         02-Sep-20
                                          02-Oct-20
                                         02-Nov-20
                                         02-Dec-20
                                          02-Jan-21
                                         02-Feb-21
                                         02-Mar-21
                             Body Level Four
                                Body Level Five
                                                             AIB        BOI                   PTSB                     EuroStoxx Banks
14 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                                       1. Source: Based to 100 as of January 2018. Bloomberg Mar‐2021
                                                                      2. Bloomberg Mar 2021. The EuroStoxx Bank Index tracks the share price performance of the European banking sector
Irish Banking Sector Overview (1/2):
         Introduction
   State Bank Investments
         NAMA / HBFI
        Credit Unions
             IBRC               Ireland compares favourably against European peers…
      Financial Advisory

 Commentary                   % Reduction in NPE ratio: Q1 2016 – Q3 20201                                                                                Cost/income ratios Q3 2020 (%)1
                               IE                                                                                                     73%                  90%
 According to the EBA,
  Irish banks reduced         PT                                                                                                     72%
                                                                                                                                                           80%
  their combined Non‐         AT                                                                                                  69%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          78%
                               IT                                                                                                68%                       70%
  Performing Exposure

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   73%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             70%
                              DE

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      68%
  ratio more than any                                                                          57%                                                         60%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               66%
                                                                                                                                                                                                             65%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   65%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         65%
                                                                                                                                                                                                       63%
                                                                                                                                                                                                 61%
  comparable country          ES                                                            52%

                                                                                                                                                                                    59%
                                                                                                                                                                                           59%
                              EU                                                                                                                           50%
  between March 2016                                                                      51%

                                                                                                                                                                             52%
  and September 2020          BE                                                         48%                                                               40%

                                                                                                                                                                  41%
  (‐73%).                     DK                                                        47%                                                                30%
                              GB                                                     43%
 Ongoing cost                FR                                                    42%                                                                    20%
  management, and             GR                                                 38%                                                                       10%
  strong net interest         NL                                 28%
  margins, helped Irish                                                                                                                                    0%
  banks reduce cost to              0%                              25%                                   50%                                     75%             GR ES NL PT GB AT EU BE IE LU DK IT FR DE
  income ratios to the
  European average.
                              Net interest margins Q3 2020 (%)1                                                                                           CET1 fully loaded Q3 2020 (%)1
 Irish banking sector        3.00%                                                                                                                       25%
  well capitalised relative
  to European peers.
                              2.50%
                                         2.62%

                                                                                                                                                          20%

                                                                                                                                                                 21%
                                                                                                                                                                            18%
                              2.00%

                                                                                                                                                                                   18%
                                                 2.12%

                                                                                                                                                                                          17%
                                                                                                                                                                                                 17%
                      Body Level One                                                                                                                      15%

                                                                                                                                                                                                       16%
                                                                                                                                                                                                             15%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   15%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         15%
                                                         1.77%
                                                                 1.76%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                14%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       14%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             14%
                            1.50%
                      Body Level Two
                                                                         1.56%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    12%
                                                                                 1.46%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           12%
                                                                                                                                                          10%
                                                                                         1.33%
                                                                                                 1.31%
                                                                                                         1.27%

                          Body
                            1.00% Level Three
                                                                                                                 1.13%
                                                                                                                         1.08%
                                                                                                                                  0.99%
                                                                                                                                          0.94%

                              Body Level Four
                                                                                                                                                  0.82%

                                                                                                                                                          5%
                            0.50%
                                  Body Level Five
                              0.00%                                                                                                                       0%
                                         GR ES           IE AT PT NL EU BE                               IT GB FR DE LU DK                                       LU DK IE NL BE GB DE FR EU AT IT                                            PT GR ES
15 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                                                                                                                                                                         Sources:
                                                                                                                                                                       1.     EBA Dashboard (Includes 3 domestic Irish banks plus Ulster Bank, DEPFA & Citibank)
Introduction
  State Bank Investments     Irish Banking Sector Overview (2/2):
                             … returns on assets affected by early recognition of
        NAMA / HBFI
       Credit Unions
            IBRC
     Financial Advisory
                             Covid19 related impacts1
 Commentary                  Return on Equity Q3 2020 (%)
                              8.00%
  Early recognition of
   Covid19 related losses              5.80%
   resulting in higher ECL    6.00%
                                               4.40%   4.30%
   charge in 2020 for the                                      3.80%   3.60%   3.48%
   Irish banks vs the         4.00%                                                    3.10%   2.80%   2.50%
   sector more generally
                              2.00%                                                                            1.44%
   was a driver of lower                                                                                               1.00%
   ROEs.
                              0.00%
  Higher net interest
                                         LU      AT      FR      IT      BE     DK       NL     GB      EU      DE       PT      GR          ES             IE
   margins need to be
   seen in the context of    (2.00%)
   the highest equity
   requirements in           (4.00%)                                                                                           (3.10%) (3.40%)
   Western Europe                                                                                                                                      (4.50%)
                             (6.00%)
  RWAs at Irish banks
   very high relative to
   European averages.        Return on Assets Q3 2020 (%)
   As such, leverage is a     0.6%
   useful barometer of
   the true capital                    0.39%
   strength of the banks.     0.4%             0.37%
                                                       0.29%   0.27%   0.26%
                                                                               0.18%   0.18%   0.17%   0.16%
                              0.2%
                     Body Level One                                                                            0.09%   0.08%

                     Body Level
                             0.0%
                                  Two
                                    LU   AT  IT                 FR      BE      DK      NL      GB      EU      PT      DE       ES        GR             IE
                         Body
                           (0.2%)Level Three
                                                                                                                               (0.20%)
                            Body Level Four
                           (0.4%)                                                                                                        (0.32%)
                                Body Level Five
                             (0.6%)                                                                                                                   (0.54%)

16 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                                                                             Sources:
                                                                                                                                      1. EBA Interactive Dashboard
Introduction
   State Bank Investments        Irish Banking Sector 2021 Outlook:
                                 … Banks are well positioned to support the recovery
         NAMA / HBFI
        Credit Unions
             IBRC
      Financial Advisory

                                 The membership of the Banking & Payments Federation Ireland (BPFI) have delivered a range of
                                 measures and supports in response to Covid -19.
Focus is on delivering fair,
practical and sustainable                      Customers                                            Employees                                      Communities
solutions for Mortgages, SME
and Personal loans…                 C22k payment breaks approved for
                                                                                        Over 7,000 of c. 9,500 staff are working        99% of branch network kept open all through
                                     mortgage customers, equating to c. €3bn,
                                                                                         remotely using remote, secure controlled         the pandemic to serve the community
                                     89% now returned to regular repayments.
                                                                                         services. This has been achieved with
                                                                                                                                         Partnered with Trinity College Dublin by
                                    66k payment breaks granted in Retail                minimal operational disruption.
                                                                                                                                          pledging €2.4 million to the dedicated AIB
                                     Banking– for both mortgage and SME
                                                                                        Implemented multiple‐location Treasury           COVID‐19 Research Laboratories Hub at the
                                     customers totalling €4.3bn. As of end FY
                                                                                         teams as a contingency to ensure the             University to accelerate the college's
                                     2020 88% had rolled off returning to capital
                                                                                         smooth operation of payments and money           immunology project to tackle Covid19
                                     and interest repayments
                                                                                         transmission systems
                                                                                                                                         Making up to €2 million available to
                                    To protect customer credit profile, as agreed
                                                                                                                                          community investment partners Food‐Cloud
                                     with the Central Bank of Ireland, payment
                                                                                                                                          and Soar, as well as a number of local
                                     breaks are not adversely reported on Central
                                                                                                                                          charities that provide critical services
                                     Credit Register
                                    Of the c. 100k payment breaks originally           70% staff working from home; prior rollout      Temporarily closed smaller branches
                                     granted across the bank’s Irish and UK              of Agile working supported increased             reflecting reduced footfall; enabling staff to
                                     businesses, 94% have now rolled off.                capacity and ways of working                     be reallocated to services most in demand,
                                                                                                                                          and to support social distancing
                                    In terms of value, Irish payment breaks had        Staff supports include mental and physical
                                     reduced from 18% to 5% with the UK                  wellbeing app, 24/7 health support line,        Donated €1 million in emergency funding for
                                     reducing from 15% to 3%.                            and COVID‐19 communications hub                  communities with urgent needs, with 13
                                                                                                                                          projects fast‐tracked
                                    The bank highlighted that the significant          Supports in place for staff required to
                      Body Level   One
                              majority  who had come off payment                         provide childcare or family support             ‘Cocooning’ support for older customers and
                              breaks had resumed paying principal and                                                                     those in vulnerable situations – to access
                      Body Level   Two
                              interest.                                                                                                   cash

                          Body
                             TheLevel        Three
                                  bank originally granted 10.7k payment
                              breaks for mortgage customers, 90% of which
                                                                                        Operationally resilient with over 1,200         All 76 branches remain open to meet
                                                                                         colleagues working remotely.                     customer needs
                             Body      Level
                              had rolled off by FY.Four
                                                   In value terms, mortgage
                              payment breaks had reduced from 10% of the                                                                 Priority banking in branch and over the
                              portfolio to 1%.                                                                                            phone for our elderly and vulnerable
                                Body Level Five                                                                                           customers
                                 
                              The bank commented that the majority of
                              customers coming off payment breaks had
                              resumed principal and interest payment.
17 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Section 1:   Introduction
Section 2:   State Bank Investments
Section 3:   NAMA / HBFI
Section 4:   Credit Unions
Section 5:   IBRC
Section 6:   Financial Advisory
Introduction
      State Bank Investments
            NAMA / HBFI
                               NAMA Objectives & Residential Delivery
           Credit Unions
                IBRC
         Financial Advisory

                                Objective                                          Achievements to date
1
               Repay 100% senior debt by year end 2017                 Senior and subordinated debt fully repaid
                and all sub‐debt by March 2020                           and first €2bn of surplus returned in June                             NAMA seeks to
                                                                         2020                                                                   make a positive
                                                                                                                                             social and economic
               Facilitate delivery of key Grade A office               All of the sites NAMA originally had an
2                                                                                                                                             contribution across
                space in the Dublin Docklands Strategic                  interest in are either completed, under                              the broad range of
                Development Zones (SDZ)                                  construction, received planning, or have been                       its activities, subject
                                                                         sold with planning permission                                       to the primacy of its
                                                                                                                                                  commercial
               Facilitate delivery of up to 20,000 residential         From 2014 to end 2020, NAMA has directly
3                                                                                                                                             mandate and often
                units by end 2020                                        funded or facilitated the construction of
                                                                                                                                              complementing it.
                                                                         12,450 new residential units in Ireland. In
                                                                         excess of 2,500 homes have been delivered
                                                                         for social housing use by NAMA

NAMA – Residential Delivery
 The number of housing units delivered directly by NAMA’s residential delivery programme since 2014 totalled 12,450 by end 2020. A
  further 6,550 units have been delivered on former NAMA‐secured sites which benefitted from NAMA asset management and/or
  funding.
 Therefore, a total of 19,000 homes have been delivered or facilitated nationwide through NAMA funding.
 NAMA’s currentBody    Level
                 residential      One
                             pipeline is in excess of 20,000 additional units comprising:
                   Body Levelunits
          6,400 construction‐ready Two
                                      (under construction or with planning permission)
          7,800 units currently
                           Body       Level
                                 in the planningThree
                                                 system (applications lodged or being prepared)
          8,400 units in the pre‐planning and feasibility stage, or with long term potential.
                                 Body Level Four
 NAMA has delivered 2,614 residential units from its secured portfolio to local authorities or approved housing bodies for social
                               Body Level Five
  housing purposes across Ireland.

    19 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                1. https://www.gov.ie/en/publication/41970e-nama-section-227-review-2014-2018/
Introduction
   State Bank Investments
         NAMA / HBFI
                            NAMA’s Phased Disposal Strategies
        Credit Unions
             IBRC
      Financial Advisory

  NAMA: Timeline of Events

                2010 ‐ 2013                      2014             2015/2016                  2017/2018                 2019/2020

• Strategic focus on UK • Improving market              • In 2015, two‐thirds of   • Few large portfolio     • Publication of Section
  disposals during 2010     conditions, increased         disposals were in          sales remain in           227 Review in 2019
  – 2013. UK market had     institutional investor        Ireland ‐ strong           pipeline                  outlining NAMA’s
  remained                  appetite ‐ NAMA took          domestic and          • End‐2017 carrying            wind‐down strategy
  comparatively buoyant     strategic decision to         international investor
                                                                                  value of NAMA’s loan   • Redemption of €1.1bn
                            steadily increase the         appetite
• 73% UK sales: London                                                            portfolio was €3.7bn –   remaining sub‐debt in
                            volume of available
  assets accounted for                                  • Total NAMA sales        down to €2.4bn by end    March 2020
                            supply from 2013
  60% of total NAMA                                       proceeds: €8.5bn in     of September 2018
                            onwards                                                                      • Repayment of private
  sales proceeds, rest of                                 2015 ‐ increase of
                                                                                • Majority of portfolio    investors and delivery
  Britain ‐ 13%           • Step change seen in           €0.7bn on 2014
                                                                                  relates to residential   of €4bn surplus
• Irish assets, by          total NAMA sales            • 2016 total NAMA sales   delivery and Dublin
                            proceeds: €7.8bn in                                                          • The first €2bn of
  contrast, accounted for                                 proceeds of €5.1bn ‐    Docklands SDZ
                            2014 ‐ increase of                                                             expected €4bn surplus
  just 16% of total sales                                 64% or €3.3bn           programmes –
                            €4.1bn on 2013                                                                 transferred to the
  proceeds in the same                                    generated from the      increased focus from     Exchequer in June
    period               • Of the €7.8bn, 44% or          sale of Irish assets    2017 onwards             2020.
                            €3.7bn generated from
• By end‐2012 Body
                NAMALevel One
                            the sale of Irish
                                                  • Cumulative Irish sales         • Increased its projected • Further €1bn to
  had sold less than                                at €14.4bn at YE 2016            lifetime surplus to       transfer in 2021
              Body          properties
  €1bn in Ireland – a Level Two                                                      €3.5bn
  deliberate action
                            Body Level Three
                              Body Level Four
                                Body Level Five

20 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Introduction
        State Bank Investments
              NAMA / HBFI
                                        NAMA:
             Credit Unions
                  IBRC                  Surplus Generation
           Financial Advisory

        NAMA Funding Structure 2015 – September 2020 (€bn)1:                                               Commentary

        (€bn)                                                                                               NAMA held just over €2.4bn of retained
                                                                                                             earnings attributable to shareholders at end of
             €11.6
                                                                                                             Sept 2020.
€12.0        €0.1
                                                                                                            This follows the transfer of the first €2bn of
              €1.6
                                                                                                             surplus to the Exchequer in June.
€10.0
              €1.6                                                                                          Final debt redeemed (€1.1bn) in March 2020
 €8.0         €0.3                                                                                           and private investors repaid in June 2020.
                                 €8.1
                                                                                                            It is currently estimated that the residual cash
 €6.0                                                                                                        surplus of €1.7bn (excluding NARPS) will be
                                                                          c.€2.4bn (as at end‐
                                                                        Sept 2020) of retained
                                                                                                             paid to the Exchequer during 2021 and 2022
                                                                         earnings attributable               with €1 billion to be returned this year.
 €4.0         €8.1                        €0.2
                                                                             to shareholder

                                                                                                            It is likely that COVID‐19 will have some impact
                                                    €1.6                                                     on the timing and amount of forecasted
 €2.0                                                            €0.8
                                                                                                             payments beyond 2020 however NAMA
                                                                                            €2.4             forecasts that it will deliver a total surplus of €4
                                                                             €2.00

 €0.0                 Body Level                 One                                                         billion to the Exchequer subject to market
                2015               Decrease in Suboardinated Increase in Surplus Repaid
                          Senior Bond                                                       Jun-20           conditions.
                      Body Level
                          Redemption
                                                 Two
                                  other liabilities    Debt
                                                    Redemption
                                                                  Retained
                                                                  Earnings

                                Body Level Three
           Government Guaranteed Senior Bonds                 Other Liabilities                  €2 billion of surplus
           Subordinated Bonds                                 Retained Earnings                  funds repaid in June
           Non-Controlling Interests Body Level Four                                                      2020

                                            Body Level Five
                                                                                                                                                                 Source:
                                                                                                                                                  1. NAMA Q2 Report 2020

   21 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Introduction
  State Bank Investments
        NAMA / HBFI
                           Home Building Finance Ireland (‘HBFI’)
       Credit Unions
            IBRC
     Financial Advisory

  Overview
   Home Building Finance Ireland (“HBFI”) was announced as part of Budget 2018 to increase the availability of debt funding to commercially viable
    residential development projects in the State.
   HBFI has been established to provide senior debt funding on a commercial basis to small and medium size residential development projects (circa
    €2m to €35m) throughout the Irish State.
   The Home Building Finance Ireland Act was commenced on 5 December 2018 and HBFI was formally launched in January 2019. HBFI has an
    independent board and is wholly owned by the Minister for Finance.
   In May 2020, in response to COVID‐19, HBFI launched a series of new measures to extend its presence throughout the housebuilding finance
    market to support the resumption of construction activity.
   Further information in relation to HBFI and its application process can be found at https://www.hbfi.ie.

 HBFI Funding                                                                                     Latest Update
                                                                                                   To end 2020, HBFI has approved lending facilities worth
                                                                                                    €395 million which can facilitate the construction of over
                                                                                                    1,800 new homes across 17 counties.

                                                                                                   The average facility size to date is €12m

                                                                                                   During 2020 HBFI announced the following new
                                                                                                    products;

  HBFI Indicative Lending Criteria                                                                 Provide new “step‐in” funding for house builders where
                                                                                                    funding from banks may not be available to enable them to
                     Body Level One                                                                 commence new housing developments

                     Body Level Two                                                                Allow a bigger range of housebuilders (both large and small)
                                                                                                    to access HBFI’s €750m funding
                         Body Level Three                                                          Fund major apartment developments for the first time
                            Body Level Four                                                        EIF supported small development product with 50% guarantee
                                                                                                    broadening the scope and availability of this product
                              Body Level Five
                                                                                                   Social Housing Product with reduced fees specifically for
                                                                                                    housing developments being delivered to AHBs and Local
                                                                                                    Authorities
22 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Section 1:   Introduction
Section 2:   State Bank Investments
Section 3:   NAMA / HBFI
Section 4:   Credit Unions
Section 5:   IBRC
Section 6:   Financial Advisory
Introduction
  State Bank Investments
        NAMA / HBFI
                            Credit Union stakeholders
       Credit Unions
            IBRC
     Financial Advisory

 Key Stakeholders                                 Sector Overview1
      Members                  Credit Unions           228 registered credit unions in the Republic of Ireland serve the needs of 3.4
                                                        million members 1
                                                       The role of Minister for Finance is to ensure that the legal framework for credit
                                                        unions is appropriate.
                                                       The Registrar of Credit Unions at the Central Bank of Ireland is the independent
    Minister For                                        regulator for credit unions in Ireland.
                                Registrar of           The main representative bodies are:
     Finance                   Credit Unions                    ILCU (creditunion.ie) ‐ > 300 credit union's affiliated to League in the
                                                                 Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland.
                                                                CUDA (cuda.ie) – represents 16 credit unions and also provides affinity
                                                                 membership for 29 additional credit unions.
   Irish League of
        ILCU
    Credit Unions                                           
                                                 Average Savings
                                                                 CUMA (cuma.ie) – represents credit union managers in Ireland.
               Average New Loan
                                                                NSF (nsf.ie) ‐ supports board oversight committees in the Republic of
                           €3,400                  
                                                                 Ireland and supervisory committees in Northern Ireland.
                                                        CUAC is a statutory body providing advice to the Minister for Finance on credit
                                                        union matters.

                                                   Recent Actions
                                                       CUAC published a report in February 2020 which examined the role of the
             Body Level One                             Director and set out a number of recommendations for consideration. It also
                                                        issued a Review of the Credit Union Sector to the Minister in 2020.
         CUACBody Level Two                            The Central Bank published revised lending regulations applicable from 1 January
   CREDIT UNION ADVISORY                                2020 and technical changes to investment regulations applicable from 1 January
        COMMITTEEBody Level Three                       2021.
                    Body Level Four                    Credit unions were designated as an ‘essential service’ under the Government
                                                        issued public health guidelines in response to COVID‐19. Legislation was enacted
                      Body Level Five                   to allow credit unions to convene virtual AGMs.
                                                       Work has commenced on a review of the policy framework for credit unions, a
                                                        Programme for Government commitment.
                                                                                                                                                              Source:
24 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                    1. As of September 2020 (Central Bank – Financial Conditions Report)
Introduction
   State Bank Investments
         NAMA / HBFI
                             Credit Unions: background
        Credit Unions
             IBRC
      Financial Advisory

  The Sector in Numbers

  Total assets have grown from €14bn in 2011 to €19.4bn as at 2020. 62 credit unions with over €100 million in assets control 64% of sector assets (having risen
    from 41% of sector assets in 2015).
  Despite the pandemic, loan balances were effectively flat, from €5.11bn in 2019 to €5.09bn in 2020. Loan To Asset (LTA) ratio fell from 28% to 26%, primarily as a
    result of continuing growth in member savings, exacerbated by the pandemic
  Reserves averaged 15.9% in 2020, falling from 16.5% in September 2019
  The average sector return on assets has fallen from 1.4% in 2015 to 0.4% in 2020 primarily due to falling investment yields and rising overheads
                                                                                                                                                                          %

       €18                                                                                                                                                              0.6
                                                                                                                                                               €16
       €16                                                                                                                                            €15
                                                                                                                                             €15
                                                                                                                                    €14                                 0.5
       €14                                                                                                                 €13
                 €13        €13        €12        €13        €12                                                  €13
                                                                        €12        €12        €12        €12
       €12                                                                                                                                                              0.4

       €10
                                                                                                                                                                        0.3
        €8                        €7         €7
                       €7                               €7
                                                                   €6
                                                                              €6                                                                        €5.1     €5.1
        €6                                                                               €5                                                    €4.8                     0.2
                                                                                                    €4                       €4.1     €4.5
                                                                                                           €4.0     €3.9
        €4
                 Body Level One                                                                                                                0.1
        €2
                 Body Level Two
        €0                                                                                                                                     0
               2006       Body2008
                        2007       Level2009
                                          Three2010     2011   2012     2013      2014    2015      2016    2017     2018     2019      2020

                              Body LevelLoans
                   Savings (€bn)             Four(€bn)            Reg Cap (%)              Arrears (%)              Loans to Total Assets (%)

                                  Bodyof Level
       These figures include the impact  COVID‐19Five
                                                  up to September 2020 only. It impacted the majority of credit unions through increased arrears,
                reduced/flat lending, rising savings and increased overheads and will continue to impact through the the year to September 2021.

25 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Section 1:   Introduction
Section 2:   State Bank Investments
Section 3:   NAMA / HBFI
Section 4:   Credit Unions
Section 5:   IBRC
Section 6:   Financial Advisory
Introduction
  State Bank Investments
        NAMA / HBFI        IBRC: Overview
       Credit Unions
            IBRC
     Financial Advisory

 Overview
  Established:              •   July 2011 following the merger of Anglo Irish Bank and Irish Nationwide Building Society
  Purpose:                  •   To manage the orderly wind down of the merged entity
  Government Support:       •   Total invested in IBRC (Dec‐2010): €34.7bn
  Progress to date:         •   IBRC was placed in special liquidation in February 2013
                            •   Loans with a par value of €21.7bn have been prepared, brought to the market and sold
                            •   Liquidation generated €17.1bn of cash inflows to date
                            •   All admitted unsecured creditors have been paid 100% of the principal that was owed to them at the date of liquidation.

  IBRC: Timeline of Events
                  2009                  2010                    2011                     2013                 2014/2015               2016‐2020
   •Following             •€30.6bn additional •Majority of           •Following           •Liquidation        •All admitted
    consultation with      capital injections in deposits held in     discussions          generated €16.5bn unsecured
    Central Bank and       the form of           Anglo Irish Bank     between Irish        of cash inflows to  creditors and
    Department of          promissory notes      and INBS are         Authorities and the date                 subordinated
    Finance, the ‘Anglo •Brings total            merged to form       ECB, the IBRC       •Allows for payment creditors have
    Irish Bank             invested to           Irish Bank           promissory notes     of €14.7bn to       been paid 100% of
    Corporation Act        €34.7bn across        Resolution           are exchanged  for   IBRC’s creditors,   what they were
    2009’ was passed       Anglo and INBS        Corporation  (IBRC)  long‐term            including full      owed at the date of
    to take Anglo Irish                                               government bond      repayment of        the liquidation.
    Bank into public                                                 •Improves Ireland’s €12.9bn of debt      •The State has
    ownership Body Level One                                          debt profile and     owed to NAMA        received the full
   •€4bn in ordinary                                                  decreases near                           amount owed as
                Body
    shares invested  in Level Two                                     team borrowing                           the owner of the
    Anglo Irish Bank Body Level Three                                 requirements                             Preference Shares.
    and €100m in Irish                                               •IBRC placed into                        •Assessor appointed
    Nationwide (INBS)       Body Level Four                           liquidation                              pursuant to the
                                                                                                               Anglo Irish Bank
                                Body Level Five                                                                Corporation Act
                                                                                                               2009 with his final
                                                                                                               report published in
27 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                                 April 2020.
Introduction
  State Bank Investments            IBRC Progress Update Report
        NAMA / HBFI
       Credit Unions
            IBRC
     Financial Advisory

                                                                                                                                 Sales Processes
                                                                                           • The IBRC loan portfolio was supported by collateral based in 22 different
                         Sales process by numbers                                            jurisdictions worldwide

            €21,700,000,000
                                                                                           • Strong interest from a variety of financial and strategic buyers and funders,
                                                                                             with US private equity houses and hedge funds being key participants across
                                                                                             each of the portfolios.
                   OF LOANS PREPARED AND BROUGHT TO MARKET
                                                                                                                                                                       Project Evergreen
                                                           LOANS CONSISTED OF OVER
                                                                                                   Project Pebble                 Project Sand/Pearl                   Irish originated Corporate

                                    64
                                                                                                 US CRE, UK hotels and UK         Irish originated Residential                   Loans

                                                            15,900
                                                                                               & Ireland Shopping Centres                Mortgages                         ■ Ireland (93%)
                                                                                                   ■ Ireland/UK (84%)                 ■ Ireland (100%)                        ■ UK (7%)
                                                                                                       ■ US (15%)
        LOAN SALES PROCESSES CONDUCTED                   DIFFERENT BORROWER GROUPS                ■ World: other (1%)                                                            Project Salt
                                                                                                                                                                               UK originated CRE Loans
                                                                                                                                                                                ■ Germany (60%)
                                                                                                                                                                                  ■ UK (30%)

             22                                >130,000                  355                                                                                                     ■ Poland (7%)
                                                                                                                                                                              ■ Europe: other (3%)

       Collateral was based          LETTERS ISSUED TO BORROWERS      INTERESTED PARTIES                                    Project Amber /
    in 22 different jurisdictions          AND GUARANTORS                 ACROSS 13
                                                                          COUNTRIES                                           Amethyst                                            Project Stone
                                                                                                                         Corporate and CRE loans                               Irish originated CRE Loans

                   174                                           755,000                                                     ■ UK (78%)                                            ■ Ireland (46%)
                                                                                                                           ■ Ireland (22%)                                    ■ United Kingdom (33%)
                                                                                                                                                                             ■ Continental Europe (18%)
                                                                                                                                                   Project Quartz
                                                                                                 Project Rock                                                                       ■ Other (3%)
                                                        DOCUMENTS WERE REVIEWED AND                                                             Irish originated CRE loans
      NON DISCLOSURE AGREEMENTS (“NDAS”)
                                                       UPLOADED TO VIRTUAL DATA ROOMS         UK originated Commercial                              ■ Ireland (97%)
        SIGNED WITH INTERESTED PARTIES
                                                                  (“VDRS”)                   Real Estate (“CRE”) Loans
                                                                                                                                                       ■ UK (1%)
                       Body Level One                                                               ■ UK (89%)
                                                                                                                                                     ■ Other (2%)

    3,500
                                                                                                    ■ US (7%)

                       Body Level Two            241
                                               100%
                                                                       OF THE LOAN BOOK
                                                                                                 ■ Germany (3%)
                                                                                              ■ Europe: Other (1%)

     PROPERTY VALUATIONS             INDIVIDUAL BIDS WERE RECEIVED
        WERE OBTAINED      Body Level Three
                                          ACROSS 6 PORTFOLIOS            TRANSACTED

                              Body Level Four
                                Body Level Five

                                                                                                                                                                                         Source:
28 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance                                                                                                                    1. IBRC Progress Update Report
Introduction
  State Bank Investments
        NAMA / HBFI
                           IBRC Liquidation Update
       Credit Unions
            IBRC
     Financial Advisory

 Liquidation update
                            The most recent special liquidation progress update report was published in June 2020 giving a
 Recent
 Developments
                             comprehensive overview of the work completed to date. It is available on the Department of Finance
                             website www.finance.gov.ie.
                            Asset realization workstream largely complete. At this stage, loans with a par value of €21.7bn have
                             been prepared, brought to the market and sold
                            All admitted unsecured creditors and subordinated creditors have been paid 100% of what they were
                             owed at the date of the liquidation. This has involved the review and adjudication of more than 3,000
                             individual creditor claims.
                            The State has received the full amount owed as unsecured creditor and owner of the Preference Shares
                             along with associated interest payments (total of €1.6 billion to date). Further funds are due to return
                             to the Exchequer as remaining assets are sold .
                            In 2018, an assessor was appointed pursuant to the Anglo Irish Bank Corporation Act 2009 to determine
                             the fair and reasonable aggregate value of the transferred shares and extinguished rights and the
                             consequent amount of compensation (if any) that may be payable to the previous shareholders. The
                             final report of the assessor was published on the Department of Finance website in April 2020 which
                             concludes that no compensation is payable to former shareholders of any class or to former rights
                             holders.
                            As a result of Covid‐19, the expected timeline for completion of the liquidation has been extended to
                             end‐2022 (from end‐2021) which allows for delays in court proceedings and asses realization strategies.

 Ongoing
                     Body
                         Level    One
                           Continued management and resolution of c. 40 legal cases
 Tasks               Body
                         Level    Two
                           Completion of the creditor adjudication process
                         Body
                           Management
                                 LevelofThree
                                            the remaining loan book of c. €3.4bn
                         Realisation of all remaining assets
                             Body Level Four
                                 Body Level Five

29 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Section 1:   Introduction
Section 2:   State Bank Investments
Section 3:   NAMA / HBFI
Section 4:   Credit Unions
Section 5:   IBRC
Section 6:   Financial Advisory
Introduction
   State Bank Investments
         NAMA / HBFI
                            Financial Advisory
        Credit Unions
             IBRC
                            Analysis, insight and building connections
      Financial Advisory

                                                     Financial Advisory

   Key objectives

                                        Objective                          Insight                            Building
                                        Analysis                                                            Connections
     About                    The Financial Advisory team provides insight and analysis into emerging technologies and financial
                               services, while helping to build connections between academia, public bodies, and private institutions

     Blockchain &             Coordinate and manage the technical expertise re Blockchain and Crypto‐Assets by
     Crypto‐Assets             leading on briefings and providing technical support to other divisions.
                              Ireland: Regular engagement with ecosystem via the ‘Blockchain Ireland’ initiative
                              EU: Leading the EU Commission Market in Crypto Assets Regulation proposal
                               negotiations
                              GLOBAL:
              Body          Level ‐OneOECD: member of the Committee for Financial Markets; member of the Ad
                                      Hoc Experts Group on Digital Finance
              Body          Level Two
                                    ‐ WEF: member of the Digital Currency Governance Consortium
                              Ongoing engagement via participation in webinars, roundtables and conferences
                  Body Level Three
     Analysis &     Body    Level
                      Continuous       Four
                                  research  into developments in the financial services sector and nascent technologies.
     Insight         Examples: Decentralised   Finance; Crypto assets travel rule vis a vis tax requirements; application of
                        Body     Level     Five
                      stablecoins to cross border cash disbursements

31 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
Contacts

       Head of Shareholding and Financial Advisory Division
       Des Carville
       Email: des.carville@finance.gov.ie
       Phone: +353 1 604 5326

       Shareholding and Financial Advisory Division Contacts

       AIB, BOI & PTSB                           Credit Unions
       Scott Rankin (Deputy Head)                Brian Corr
       Email: scott.rankin@finance.gov.ie        Email: brian.corr@finance.gov.ie
       Phone: +353 1 604 5469                    Phone: +353 1 604 5064

       Financial Advisory                        NAMA, IBRC & HBFI
       Mai Santamaria                            Gary Hynds
       Email: mai.santamaria@finance.gov.ie      Email: gary.hynds@finance.gov.ie
       Phone: +353 761007728                     Phone: +35316045308

       Department of Finance Press Office

       Aidan Murphy
       Email: pressoffice@finance.gov.ie
       Phone: +353 1 604 5531

32 An Roinn Airgeadais | Department of Finance
www.gov.ie
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