SUSTAINING THE MOMENTUM - NATIONAL BUDGET BULLETIN 2019/20 JUNE 2019 - PWC TANZANIA

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SUSTAINING THE MOMENTUM - NATIONAL BUDGET BULLETIN 2019/20 JUNE 2019 - PWC TANZANIA
Sustaining the
Momentum
National Budget Bulletin
2019/20
June 2019
SUSTAINING THE MOMENTUM - NATIONAL BUDGET BULLETIN 2019/20 JUNE 2019 - PWC TANZANIA
In this bulletin…
1.          Commentary                                         03
2.          Direct Taxes                                       05
3           Other Administrative Matters                       06
4.          Indirect Taxes                                     07
5.          The Economy                                        10
6.          Financial Services Sector                          17
7.          Consumer Industrial Products and Services Sector   21
8.          Government and Public Sector                       25
9.          Mining Sector                                      28
10.         Appendices                                         32

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                    June 2019
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SUSTAINING THE MOMENTUM - NATIONAL BUDGET BULLETIN 2019/20 JUNE 2019 - PWC TANZANIA
Commentary

In his speech on the Economy, the Minister                                                        Looking forward, the Minister’s macro-
for Finance and Planning Hon Dr Philip                                                            economic objectives for 2019/20 include
Mpango cited robust macro-economic                                                                continued strong growth (7.1% for 2019
statistics including robust GDP growth (7.0%)                                                     compared to 7% in 2018) and revenue
and single digit inflation. Against the                                                           collection (Tax to GDP ratio of 13.1%,
background of national development priorities                                                     compared to a projected 12.1% for 2018/19).
as set out in the National Five Year                                                              There is also an aim of controlling inflation to
Development Plan 2016/17-2020/21, he                                                              between 3.0% and 4.5%. To achieve this he
emphasised the importance of the                                                                  emphasised the Government’s intention to
implementation of ongoing infrastructure                                                          improve the business environment in a bid to
development projects so as to set the                                                             attract foreign direct investment in priority
platform to nurture industrialisation.                                                            areas (including agriculture, construction,
                                                                                                  manufacturing, mining, oil and gas,
Economic activities with the highest               For the nine months to March 2019
                                                                                                  telecommunications, tourism).
contribution to GDP including agriculture          Government Revenue was only 3.9% up on
(28.2%) and construction (13.0%), both of          prior year (based on Bank of Tanzania          Apart from continued infrastructure
which had robust growth. Agriculture’s growth      monthly economic reviews). If looking at tax   investment there was recognition of the need
of 5.3% reflected favourable weather               revenue in isolation (namely, excluding non-   to rationalise and harmonise laws,
conditions that enabled a bumper harvest.          tax revenue and Local Government Authority     regulations and policies governing
Construction’s growth of 12.9% was a               direct revenues both of which grew strongly    investment; and to encourage investment in
consequence of the infrastructure                  during the year), then the growth was just     public private partnerships. The focus on
investments, in particular in roads, railway       1.4%. The Budget speech mentioned              improvement of the business environment is
and airports - and this was also reflected in      underperformance of tax revenue collections    well placed. The country’s ranking in various
the balance of payments which saw an               which for the ten months to April 2019 were    survey continue to indicate a challenge on
increase in the value of imported goods and        equivalent to 87.4% of the target.             this front - for example, ranking of 144th out
in particular construction materials.                                                             of 190 countries in the 2019 World Bank

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                           June 2019
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SUSTAINING THE MOMENTUM - NATIONAL BUDGET BULLETIN 2019/20 JUNE 2019 - PWC TANZANIA
Commentary

Ease of Doing Business Ranking, or World           implementation of the Blueprint for regulatory    that with effect from next financial year, the
Economic Forum (WEF) Global                        streamlining. It also noted the need to           Government will implement the Blueprint
Competitiveness Ranking (116th out of 140          address deficiencies in infrastructure services   Action Plan exhaustively to improve business
countries in 2018).                                and skills.                                       environment, so that the business
                                                                                                     environment becomes more friendly, cost
In its January 2019 Tanzania Economic              The Budget speech included reference to
                                                                                                     effective and efficient”.
Update, the World Bank highlighted that “in        steps taken to verify and pay arrears to
2017, FDI declined to 2.3 percent of GDP,          suppliers, contractors and public servants,       The TZS 23,045 billion domestic revenue
down from 3.9 percent in 2016” noting that         and there was a commitment given to               budget for 2019/20 comprised tax revenue of
“the decline in FDI inflows bodes poorly for       “continue to set aside funds for payment of       TZS 19,101 billion and non tax revenue of
future growth”. The report emphasised the          verified arrears and [to] take various            TZS 3,944 billion. This tax revenue budget
importance for the Government “to urgently         measures to reduce accumulation of                represents an increase of 18% on the
implement measures to foster greater private       arrears”. However there was no explicit           2018/19 projected outturn of TZS 16,220
sector participation in the economy”. For the      comment on steps to deal with pending VAT         billion (a projected outturn which represents
short term it highlighted the need to improve      refunds. The speech did include that TRA          90% of the 2018/19 budget of TZS 18,000
liquidity in the economy including (i)             should not close businesses so as to enforce      billion, and a 7% increase on the 2017/18
prioritisation of the payment of verified          payment of tax and tax arrears without a          actual outturn of TZS 15,191 billion). A
domestic arrears to private sector contractors     written permission of the Commissioner            significant focus in order to achieve the
and suppliers, (ii) speeding up the release of     General of the TRA.                               revenue targets are various tax
VAT refunds to improve liquidity in the                                                              administration strategies highlighted in the
                                                   Reference was made to the meeting held on
economy, and (iii) ensuring tax collection                                                           speech.
                                                   7 June 2019 between the President and the
efforts do not unfairly burden
                                                   business community, and as an immediate
businesses. For the medium term the World
                                                   step the Budget speech included a number of
Bank emphasised the need to continue
                                                   initial measures to rationalise regulatory fees
reforms to address structural constraints on
                                                   and levies. The Minister gave the following
private investment, and to reduce the high
                                                   assurance “I wish to assure the business
cost of regulatory compliance through full
                                                   community, investors and citizens at large
Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                            June 2019
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Direct taxes

Income tax – Companies                               Income tax – individuals
                                                                                                     Income tax – Exemptions
Reduced Corporate Income Tax                         TZS 100m minimum annual                         Exemption of withholding tax on
(“CIT”) rate for new investors in                    turnover for filing financial                   fees related to loans financing
production of sanitary pads                          statements with the TRA                         Government projects
Reduction of CIT rate to 25% (from 30%) for          The turnover threshold for a taxpayer to be
                                                     required to file audited financial statements   Exemption of withholding tax on all fees
the two years from 2019/20 to 2020/21 to                                                             (such as commitment fees) on loans secured
encourage new investors to manufacture               with the TRA is increased to TZS 100m (from
                                                     TZS 20m).                                       by the Government from non-resident banks
sanitary pads, increase Government revenue,                                                          and financial institutions.
reduce foreign exchange used on importation          The objective of the measure is to reduce
of the sanitary pads and create local                compliance costs but also with the              The intention is to enable the Government to
employment opportunities.                            expectation that it will result in voluntary    secure loans at lower cost and in a timely
In practice, the benefit of this relief is unclear   compliance and widen the tax base.              manner which will facilitate the
as the expectation is that in the initial years                                                      implementation of Government projects.
                                                     Application of presumptive tax
there would be a tax loss due to recovery of
the investment costs by way of tax                   regime for taxpayers with annual                A similar exemption was introduced last year
depreciation. Ideally, the reduced rate should       turnover up to TZS 100m                         for interest costs incurred by the Government
apply from the time that an investor starts                                                          to be exempted from the 10% withholding tax
                                                     Presumptive tax rates will now apply to
making taxable profit.                                                                               which applies on payment of interest.
                                                     individuals with annual turnover up to TZS
                                                     100m (previously presumptive tax only
                                                     applied to individuals with annual turnover
                                                     between TZS 4m to TZS 20m).
                                                     In addition, the presumptive tax rates have
                                                     been reduced – see Appendix 1.

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SUSTAINING THE MOMENTUM - NATIONAL BUDGET BULLETIN 2019/20 JUNE 2019 - PWC TANZANIA
Other administrative matters
Tax Amnesty – deadline                             Transfer pricing – Building                        Other proposed measures to
extended to December 2019                          capacity                                           improve collection of
The Minister announced an extension of six         One of the administrative strategies to be         Government revenue
months to 31 December 2019 to comply with          implemented to increase domestic revenue is        • Integration of domestic revenue collection
existing amnesty applications.                     to strengthen capacity for monitoring and              systems through Electronic Fiscal Device
                                                   controlling transfer pricing by international          Management System to curb issuance of
In our view, this is due to the fact that a
                                                   companies.                                             fake receipts, revenue leakages in
number of taxpayers are still waiting to hear
from the TRA on their amnesty application          This is the first time that transfer pricing is        processing of tax refunds.
and therefore the extension of the amnesty         explicitly mentioned in a budget speech and        •   Introduction of a system to regulate
window will enable the process for these           shows the level of importance placed by the            gaming activities.
taxpayers to continue.                             Government on this issue. This measure is
                                                   likely to result in increased transfer pricing     •   Enhance utilisation of electronic system in
Proposal to establish an                           audits by the TRA in the future.                       collection of tax and non-tax revenues.
‘Office of Tax Ombudsman’                                                                             •   Establishment of a dedicated desk by the
                                                   Amendment to The Road
coordinated under the                                                                                     TRA to receive complaints and disputes
                                                   Traffic Act, CAP 168                                   by taxpayers that will be dealt with in
Ministry of Finance and                                                                                   twenty four hours. This includes
                                                   Increase in validity period for a driver license
Planning                                           to five years (from three years).                      complaints against tax assessments and
                                                                                                          unrealistic valuation on imported goods.
There is a proposal to establish an                Increase in driver license fees to TZS 70,000
independent office that will deal with             (from TZS 40,000).                                 •   A relief period of six months from the date
complaints against TRA officials regarding                                                                of receipt of a Taxpayer Identification
tax administration including corruption,           Increase in registration fees (currently TZS           Number (TIN) to pay the relevant taxes.
arbitrary assessments and unlawful closure         10,000) to:
of businesses.                                     • Motor vehicle – TZS 50,000
                                                   • Motorcycle – TZS 30,000
This measure is expected to enhance tax            • Tricycle – TZS 20,000
administration and result in a friendly
business environment for the taxpayers.
Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                                 June 2019
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SUSTAINING THE MOMENTUM - NATIONAL BUDGET BULLETIN 2019/20 JUNE 2019 - PWC TANZANIA
Indirect taxes

Petroleum Taxes – no change                          A new exemption is introduced for aircraft          •   Grain Drying Equipment of HS Code
                                                     lubricants imported by a domestic airline               8419.31.00. This exemption is expected to
Excise duty, fuel levy, road toll and petroleum      operator, the National Air Force or airline
levy remain unchanged.                                                                                       reduce costs incurred in grain drying for
                                                     companies recognised in Bilateral Air
                                                     services Agreement.                                     storage purpose. In addition this measure
Excise Duty                                                                                                  will stimulate production of grain crops.

There are no adjustments for inflation on non-       Value Added Tax (VAT)
petroleum excisable products including                                                                   Exemptions – Airline Sector
alcohol, soft drinks and tobacco (whether            Input VAT – agricultural exports
                                                                                                         In addition to the existing exemptions on
imported or locally produced). The reason            In order to facilitate export of agricultural and   importation of aircraft, aircraft engine or parts,
given for no adjustment is the low inflation         horticultural produce and enhance the               new exemptions are proposed for:
rate (3.5%).                                         competitiveness of these raw products in the
                                                     international markets, the VAT Act has been         •   Aircraft lubricants imported by domestic
To promote local manufacturing, the following        amended to remove the restriction on                    operators of air transportation; and
minor changes are proposed:                          claiming of input VAT on export of raw
                                                     agricultural products. This restriction was         •   Imported airline tickets, flyers, calendars,
•   Reduction in excise duty on wine                 introduced in 2017 and was to become                    diaries, labels and employees uniforms
    produced using domestic fruits (such as          operational from July 2019. The reversal has            with the names of the Airline operator.
    banana, cashew, rozera, tomatoes, etc.)          therefore occurred before it became                     These items will be exempted if they are
    to TZS 61/litre (from the current TZS            operational.                                            imported by airlines recognized under
    200/litre).                                                                                              Bilateral Air Service Agreements.
                                                     Exemptions - agriculture
•   Introduction of excise duty on artificial hair
                                                     VAT exemption as follows:
    (10% if made locally; 25% if imported).
                                                     Imported refrigeration boxes of HS Code
•   New 10% excise duty on imported pipes            8418.69.90. The measure is intended to
    and plastic materials (such as tubes, pipes      reduce production costs and promote modern
    and hoses and fittings).                         horticultural farming in the country; and

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Indirect taxes

Apart from other benefits, Tanzania will now       Our observation                                    the suppliers could not claim input tax
be able to sign Bilateral Air Service                                                                 incurred on locally manufactured
Agreements which could not be signed in the        Although exempting the airline sector products     sanitary pads, and this cost was
absence of such exemptions.                        will result in cost saving for the air transport   subsequently passed to final
                                                   sector, it will make local suppliers of the same   consumers by embedding the same in
Removal of exemption on sanitary                   products less competitive.                         the price of the sanitary pads. It
pads                                                                                                  therefore also affected the competitive
                                                   As regards sanitary pads the intention of the      of local manufacturers when
The previous budget introduced a VAT               previous budget was probably not met because       competing with imports (with no
exemption on supply of Sanitary Pads under                                                            embedded VAT cost).
HS Code 9619.00.00. The aim was to ensure
that this product is available and affordable to
women and girls, particularly school girls and
those in the village. However, this year the
proposal is to abolish this exemption because
the measure could not facilitate availability of
this essential product to the intended
beneficiaries at reasonable price but instead
the benefits have gone to the traders.

Zero rating: electricity supplies to
Zanzibar
The supply of electricity to Zanzibar is to be
zero rated.

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                         June 2019
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SUSTAINING THE MOMENTUM - NATIONAL BUDGET BULLETIN 2019/20 JUNE 2019 - PWC TANZANIA
Indirect taxes

Customs Duty                                       Other taxes and levies
The pre-Budget Consultation of the Ministers       Removal of various fees and levies             •   Reducing and/or abolishing various fees
of Finance from the EAC Partner States that        - Implementation of the Blueprint                  and levies; and,
was held on 3rd May, 2019 proposed to effect       for Regulatory Reform
changes in the common External Tariffs                                                            •   Eliminate the existing duplication of roles
                                                   As a move to start and continue with the           among the Government regulatory
(CET) rates and the East African Community         implementation of the Blueprint for                authorities. Example food and cosmetics
Customs Management Act (EAC-CMA), 2004             Regulatory Reforms 2017 “the Blueprint”, the       will be managed by TBS (previously under
for year 2019/20. The proposed changes are         Government is proposing amendments to              TFDA)
aimed at “Transforming Lives through               various fees and levies in order to improve
industrialization and Job Creation for shared      the business ​and investment ​environment​     See details in Appendix 3.
                                                   and encourage compliance​. This includes:
Property among the people of the East
African Community.”.
The Ministers have proposed to effect new
changes in the Common External Tariff
(CET) for year 2019/20 and also agreed to
continue with implementation of some
measures that were effected during the
financial year 2018/19.
The changes, together with the number of
changes specific to Tanzania are
summarised in Appendix 2.

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The Economy

Real GDP - Tanzania                                Inflation – Tanzania                            Interest Rates – Tanzania
                                                   In 2018, the rate of inflation continued to     During 2018, overnight interbank cash rate
The National Bureau of Statistics (“NBS”)
                                                   remain at a single digit level averaging 3.5%   declined to an average of 3.18% compared
rebased the GDP statistics by changing
                                                   compared to 5.3% in 2017. The decrease is       to 3.67% in 2017. The overall Treasury bills
the base year from 2007 to 2015. This
                                                   largely attributed to improved food supply,     rate increased to an average of 8.07% in
revision resulted in changes to the size of
                                                   increased food production to 15.9 million       2018 from 7.75% in 2017. In addition,
GDP, GDP overall growth levels, sectoral
                                                   tons (compared to domestic demand of 13.3       interest rates charged on loans by
growth and the contribution of various
                                                   million tons) and implementation of prudent     commercial banks decreased to an average
sectors to GDP as well as various
                                                   monetary and fiscal policies.                   of 17.15% from 17.93% in 2017. This trend
indicators of GDP.
                                                                                                   of average lending rate declining was driven
According to the NBS, the economy of               The inflation rate in April 2019 was recorded   by banks to assist borrowers who had failed
Tanzania has continued to register high            at 3.2% compared to 3.8% recorded during        to repay loans on time. The Central Bank
growth levels with real GDP growth rate in         the same period last year.                      also took various measures to ensure that
2018 of 7.0% compared to 6.8% in 2017                                                              lending rates are kept low and consistent
(rebased from 7.1%). The growth was                                                                with the prevailing economic situation.
driven by increased investment especially
                                                                                                   In order to reduce non-performing loans, the
in infrastructure, a stable supply of
                                                                                                   Central Bank ensured that banks and
electricity, improvement in transport
                                                                                                   financial institutions get accurate information
services and favourable weather
                                                                                                   of the loan applicants by enforcing
conditions that resulted in an increased
                                                                                                   requirements to use the credit reference
harvest of food and other crops.
                                                                                                   system during the loan approval processes.
Economic activities with the highest
contribution to GDP including agriculture                                                          During 2018, the Government took various
(28.2%) and construction (13.0%), both of                                                          measure aiming at increasing the level of
which had robust growth with agriculture                                                           liquidity in the economy in order to enable
growing 5.3% and construction 12.9%.                                                               banks and financial institutions to stimulate
                                                                                                   growth of economic activities. These
                                                                                                   measures include:

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The Economy

•   Provision of short-term loans to banks;        Regional Economic                                External Trade
•   Purchase of foreign currency from              Performance                                      During the period ended April 2019, the
    commercial banks and government                                                                 balance of payments recorded a deficit of
    institutions;                                  Real GDP – EAC                                   USD 1,089.2 million compared to a surplus
•   Reducing the bank discount rate from           Nations within the East African Community        of USD 299.2 million during the same period
    9.0% to 7.0% in August 2018; and               (EAC) recorded an increase in economic           in 2018.
                                                   growth with Rwanda recording the highest
•   Payment of arrears to contractors,
                                                   growth of 8.6%, followed by Tanzania, which
                                                                                                    Export
    service providers and civil servants by
                                                   recorded growth of 7.0%. Kenya recorded          The value of goods and services exported
    making payments of TZS 598.4 billion
                                                   economic growth of 6.3% and Uganda               between July 2018 and April 2019 reached
    of verified arrears between July 2018
                                                   6.1%.                                            USD 7,210.6 million down from USD 7,291.9
    and May 2019.
                                                                                                    million recorded during the same period in
Due to these measures, banks and                   Inflation – EAC                                  2017/18.
financial institutions liquidity improved and      Inflation rates in EAC member countries
money market interest rates decreased.             have generally remained at single digit levels
                                                                                                    Import
                                                   during 2018 to 2.9% from 7.9% in 2017. The       The value of goods and services imported
                                                   average inflation rate for Uganda was 2.6%,      between July 2018 and April 2019 reached
                                                   Burundi was 2.3%, Tanzania was 3.5%,             USD 9,024.9 million compared to USD
                                                   Rwanda was 1.4%, and Kenya was 4.6%.             8,464.6 million recorded during the same
                                                   This outcome was attributed to strong food       period in 2017/18 equivalent to an increase
                                                   supply within the EAC.                           of 6.6%. This was mainly due to an increase
                                                                                                    in the importation of construction materials
                                                                                                    for railway, airports, ports and roads projects
                                                                                                    undertaken by the government.

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The Economy
Trend of Imports by Major Categories (in Millions of USD)   Service Receipts
                                                                                      Year ending April
.                                                                                      2017     2018      2019

                                                                             2526.9
                                                            2098.2 2231.5

                                                                                        1105.4 1190.5 1225.6

                                                                                                                 434.5 401.6 332.8

                                                            Travel (Tourism)                Transport            Other Services

                                                            Service Payments
Trend of Imports by Major Categories (in Millions of USD)
                                                                                      Year ending April
                                                                                        2017     2018     2019

                                                             891.4                                     903.7
                                                                     839.2               852.2 822.1

                                                                              673.4

                                                                                                                         485.4 505.4

                                                                                                                 336.3

                                                             Travel (Tourism)                 Transport          Other Services

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Past performance 2018/2019

Revenue/Collections                                •   Loans from domestic sources, including       from Development Partners which were
                                                       rollover of matured Treasury bills and       directly disbursed to projects.
Total resources mobilised during the ten               bonds, amounted to TZS 3.3 trillion,
month period from July 2018 to April 2019                                                           Some of the strategic areas accorded priority
                                                       equivalent to 57.4 percent of the target;
amounted to TZS 21.16 trillion equivalent                                                           in the release of development funds during
                                                       and
to 65% of the annual target of 32.48                                                                the period under review include:
trillion. These were mobilised from the            •   External non-concessional loans
                                                                                                    Area              Strategic Areas         TZS
following sources:                                     amounted to TZS 692.3 billion.
                                                                                                                                              ' bn
•   Tax Revenue amounted to TZS 12.9               Expenditure                                      Energy            Construction of
                                                                                                                      Hydroelectric Power
                                                                                                                                               723
    trillion, which is equivalent to 87.4                                                                             Project at Rufiji
    percent of the target;                         Development Expenditure
                                                                                                                      River
•   Non-tax revenue amounted to TZS                During the period ended April 2019, the          Education         Fee free basic
                                                                                                                      education and
                                                                                                                                               616
    2.04 trillion, which is equivalent to 122      Government had released TZS 22.19 trillion
                                                   to Ministries, Departments, Regional                               higher education
    percent of the target. Non-tax revenue                                                                            students’ loans
    surpassed the target due to                    Secretariats and Local Government
                                                                                                    Energy            Rural electrification    269
    improvement in the use of technology           Authorities equivalent to 68.32% of the
                                                                                                                      project-phase III
    in collection of the non-tax revenue in        annual target of TZS 32.48 trillion. Out of                        under the Rural
    the Government Agencies through                this, TZS 16.75 trillion was for recurrent                         Electrification
    Government Electronic Payment                  expenditure (equivalent to 81.83% of the                           Agency (REA)
    Gateway (GePG);                                annual target of TZS 20.47 trillion) while TZS   Transportation    Procurement and          238
                                                   5.44 trillion was for development expenditure                      operation of new
•   LGAs own source amounted to TZS                (equivalent to 45.3% of the annual target of                       aircrafts
    529.25 billion, equivalent to 72 percent       TZS 12.01 trillion). The amount released for
    of the target;                                                                                  Transportation    Ongoing                   27
                                                   development projects includes TZS 4.89
                                                                                                                      manufacturing of
•   Grants and concessional loans from             trillion local funds and TZS 547.38 billion
                                                                                                                      new ships for the
    Development Partners amounted to               foreign funds. However, the amount of                              great lakes regions
    TZS 1.70 trillion, equivalent to 86            foreign funds do not include some funds
    percent of the target;

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                         June 2019
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The 2019/2020 Budget Objectives and Targets

Macroeconomic policy                               •   Agriculture: implementation of                 •   Improvement of enabling business
                                                       Agricultural Sector Development                    environment and investment climate:
Based on macroeconomic objectives and                  Programme II; strengthening agricultural           construction and rehabilitation of various
targets, the priority for 2019/20 will be: (i)         crop boards; enabling availability of              infrastructures for improving business
industries to foster economic growth and               agricultural inputs, extension services,           environment and attracting private sector
industrialisation with emphasis on                     storage facilities and markets for strategic       investment
establishment of industries that will utilise          crops; construction and rehabilitation of
local raw materials; (ii) economic growth              irrigation schemes; and strengthening
                                                                                                      •   Monitoring and Evaluation: strengthen
                                                                                                          monitoring and evaluation of the
and human development; (iii)                           research on quality sees and crops’
                                                                                                          implementation of development projects
improvement of an enabling environment                 diseases
                                                                                                          at all levels; strengthen administration of
for business and investment; (iv)
strengthening implementation
                                                   •   Livestock and fisheries: strengthening             tax and non-tax revenue
                                                       farms for producing quality heifers and
effectiveness of the National Five Year
                                                       centres for animal breeding; revamping
Development Plan 2016/17 – 2020/21.
                                                       Tanzania Fisheries Cooperation;
To achieve the objectives, the following               construction of a fishing port;
projects will be implemented:                          procurement of large fishing vessel
•   Industries: developing industrial parks        •   Economic growth and human
    including TAMCO in Kibaha; Leather                 development: fee-free basic education;
    Industrial Park in Dodoma; Special                 improved education infrastructure;
    Economic Zone in Bunda and                         improved health facilities and supplies;
    Dodoma; strengthening the research                 improved availability of water in rural and
    centres of CAMARTEC, TIRDO,                        urban areas
    TEMDO and SIDO

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The 2019/2020 Budget Objectives and Targets

                                                   •   Enhance administration of tax exemptions
Revenue policies for                                   by ensuring that they are directed to the   Expenditure policies for
2019/20                                                intended projects;                          2019/20
The Government is committed to                     •   Ensure that non-tax revenues are            In 2019/20, the Government will continue to
increasing and strengthening domestic                  collected through Government Electronic     allocate funds in priority areas to ensure
revenue collections by pursuing the                    Payment Gateway System (GePG) in            effective implementation of the 2019/2020
following policies:                                    order to improve efficiency in domestic     Annual Development Plan. The Government
                                                       revenue collection; and                     will sustain financial discipline in order to
•   Increase efficiency in administration
    and collection of domestic revenue             •   Strengthen monitoring systems in the        realise the value for money. In implementing
                                                       Government institutions in order to         this initiative, the Government will carry out
    through implementation of Integrated
                                                       ensure that contributions from public       the following:
    Domestic Revenue Administrative
    System (IDRAS);                                    institutions are timely remitted to the     Ensure that the budget deficit does not
                                                       Government Coffers.                         exceed 2.3% of GDP;
•   Widen the tax base through
    identification and registration of new         Strengthen Cooperation with                     Allocated funds to priority areas and
    tax payers as well as continue with the        Development Partners                            productivity in order to stimulate economic
    exercise of informal sector                                                                    growth in industries and agriculture,
    formalisation;                                 Grants and concessional loans have              economic growth and human development,
                                                   declined from an average of 26.3% in            improvement of enabling business
•   Invest in areas that have potential of
                                                   2010/11to 8.3% in 2017/2018.                    environment and investment climate, and
    generating more revenues particularly
                                                                                                   monitoring and evaluation;
    in deep sea fishing through                    The Government will continue to engage
    construction of fishing port and               Development Partners through various            Ensured discipline in the use of public funds
    procurement of fishing ships;                  dialogues to ensure that the principles as      and continue to reduce unnecessary
                                                   outlined in the Framework for Development       expenditure; and
•   Strengthen capacity for monitoring and
                                                   Cooperation endorsed by the government in
    controlling of transfer pricing;                                                               Verify, clear and control further accumulation
                                                   2017 are complied with by all parties to
                                                                                                   of arrears.
                                                   improve sustainable development and
                                                   disbursements of loans and grants.
Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                          June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                              15
Summary of Targeted Revenue Collection for 2018/2019 and 2019/2020
                                                       2019/2020 2018/2019              2019/20
                                                        12 month 12 month                  v
                                                         Budget   Budget                2018/19
                                                         TZS' bn  TZS' bn               Increase
 Domestic Revenue:
          Tax Revenue - TRA                                  19,101       18,000           6.1%
          Non Tax Revenue                                     3,179        2,158          47.3%
                                                           22,280        20,158           10.5%
 Local Government Authorities (LGA) own source                  765           736          3.9%
 Domestic Revenue + LGA                                    23,045        20,894           10.3%
 Program loans and grants                                       273           546        -50.0%
 Project loans and grants                                     2,311        2,005          15.3%
 Basket support loans                                            35            34          2.9%
 Basket support grants                                          165            92         79.3%
 Non Bank borrowing /roll over                                3,460        4,600         -24.8%
 Bank borrowing ( Financing)                                  1,500         1,194         25.6%
 Non-concessional borrowings                                  2,316         3,111        -25.6%
 Total revenue                                              33,105       32,476           1.9%

 Expenditure
          Recurrent                                          20,857        20,469         1.9%
          Development                                        12,249        12,007         2.0%
          Total                                             33,106        32,476          1.9%

 Recurrent expenditure
         National Debt Service*                               9,721        10,005         -2.8%
         Wages and Salaries                                   7,559         7,410          2.0%
         Other Charges                                        3,577         3,054         17.1%
                                                            20,857        20,469          1.9%

 Development expenditure
         Domestic Financing                                   9,738         9,876         -1.4%
         Foreign Financing                                    2,511         2,131         17.8%
                                                            12,249        12,007          2.0%

 *National Debt Service includes: domestic interest TZS 1,439 bn, domestic amortisation
 (rollover) TZS 3,460 bn, external interest and amortisation TZS 2,963 bn, Government contribution
 to pension funds TZS 1,256 bn, other expenditure under CFS TZS 603 bn

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                     June 2019
PwC                                                                                                        16
Financial Services Sector

The financial sector in Tanzania has seen          In August 2018, the central bank took over         Non-performing loans
some turbulence over the past few months           the administration of Bank M Tanzania due to
with the Bank of Tanzania (BoT) revoking the       liquidity issues. In the early half of 2019, the   The Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) of most
licenses of some banks during the first half of    BoT authorised the merger between Azania           banks in the country have been cited as
2018 due to inadequate capital requirements        Bank and Bank M.                                   among the major reasons that contribute to
and taking control of some banks due to                                                               declining profit margin. The rise in NPL ratios
                                                   In March 2019, Exim Bank Tanzania                  is driven by a combination of economic
liquidity and under capitalization. The BoT
                                                   announced that it was planning to acquire          developments and poor credit risk
revoked the licences of Covenant Bank,
                                                   UBL Bank through a joint statement issued by       management.
Efatha Bank, Njombe, Community Bank,
                                                   the two banks. One month later, Equity Group
Kagera Farmers’ Cooperative Bank, Mbinga
                                                   announced that it has entered into an              Early in 2018, the BoT took measures to
Community, Bank and Meru Community
                                                   agreement with Atlas Mara, a pan Africa            reduce the burden of unpaid loans. BoT
Bank.
                                                   focus banking group to acquire banking             issued a circular entitled Measures to
Mergers and acquisition                            operations in four African countries including     Increase Credit to the Private Sector and
                                                   Tanzania. Atlas Mara is the majority               Contain Non-Performing Loans, in which,
The banking sector in Tanzania has also            shareholder of BancABC Tanzania.                   among other things, it waved some
witnessed a number of mergers and                                                                     provisions of Banking and Financial
acquisitions over the recent months involving      CBA and NIC Bank Tanzania are also                 Institutions Regulations 2014 for two years up
both local and foreign banks. In August, the       expected to undergo consolidation following        to December 2020 to enable banks to collect
central bank ordered three state-owned             the banks’ groups in Kenya approved the            unpaid loans. Some of the other measures
banks namely TPB Bank, Twiga Bancorp and           merger deal in their respective annual             instituted by the BoT include directing banks
TWB Bank to merge. The BoT also issued             general meetings in April 2019. During the         to improve loan granting process, requiring
banking license to China Dasheng Bank in           same month, Hakika Microfinance Bank               banks with high non-performing loans to
November 2018, which was previously issued         announced the intent to acquire Mwanga             submit strategies to contain non-performing
with provisional license in November 2017.         Community Bank based in Kilimanjaro region.        loans as well as enforcing the requirement to

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                             June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                                17
Financial Services Sector

use credit reference system by submitting          total assets reaching TZS 30,215.9 billion at    In terms of growth rates, credit to agriculture,
credit information to the system and using         the end of December 2018, from TZS               mining and quarrying, manufacturing and
that information to scrutinize credit              29,804.9 billion recorded at the end of          personal activities grew faster as in February
applicants.                                        December 2017.                                   2019. Noteworthy, credit extended by banks
                                                                                                    to transport and communication activities
Interest rates cut                                 As per the BoT monthly
                                                                                                    recorded positive growth in March 2019 after
                                                   economic review for April 2019,
                                                                                                    a sustained contraction since October 2018.
BoT also took other measures to boost              sectoral composition of stock of
liquidity by cutting the discount rate three       credit extended by banks to the
times in 18 months, from 16 per cent to 12         private sector remained almost
per cent in March 2017 and again to 9 per          the same as in the previous
cent in August 2017 and further to 7 per cent      month and corresponding
in August 2018.                                    month of 2018. Personal loans,
                                                   often used to finance small and
Industry performance                               medium-size businesses, and
The Tanzania banking sector remains highly         credit to trade activities
concentrated with two former state banks           accounted for the largest share
CRDB and NMB, holding around 35% of total          of the outstanding credit,
banking assets and a combined 40% of the           holding 28.6 percent and 18.2
deposits. The top 5 largest banks have over        percent in March 2019,
50% of the total banking assets. According to      respectively.
the BoT mid-year review – 2018/2019, the
banking sector remains sound, stable and
profitable; with levels of capital and liquidity
above regulatory requirements. The sector                                             Composition of Banks’ Outstanding Credit by Major
continued to maintain steady growth, with                                             Economic Activities

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                             June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                                18
Financial Services Sector

                                                   The BoT monthly economic review for April
                                                   2019 mentioned that the level of credit
                                                   extended by banks to the private sector grew
                                                   significantly by 9.6 percent in the year ending
                                                   March 2019 compared with 1.2 percent in the
                                                   corresponding period of 2018. The outturn
                                                   was because of sustained accommodative
                                                   monetary policy stance and measures taken
                                                   by banks to reduce the amount of non-
                                                   performing loans, including mandatory use of
                                                   credit reference system before loan approval.

Credit to the Private Sector by Banks

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                     June 2019
PwC                                                                                                        19
Financial Services Sector

Foreign exchange bureaux
reforms
Early this year, the BoT initiated the process
to revoke licenses of bureau de change in
Dar es Salaam which were understood to be
operating without observing laws, regulations
and procedures guiding foreign exchange
businesses. As a result of this operation,
banks and financial institutions have been
urged to continue playing an active role in
providing foreign exchange services to the
public. Following this operation, the BoT
revised the rules for operating retail foreign
exchange bureaux in the country.
Insurance sector
In an effort to increase coverage and
stimulate growth in the Insurance sector, the
Tanzania National Insurance Regulatory
Authority (TIRA) announced early this year
that the sector is expected to undergo some
major reforms in 2019. This is being planned       banks to provide insurance services. Currently banks act merely as insurance agents. In
when the sector experienced a 7.7% growth          addition measures are expected to be taken to establish an appropriate legal and regulatory
during the first nine months of 2018. Such         framework for Islamic insurance practices as demand for Islamic insurance products is
reforms will include policy reforms to allow       considerably high.

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                           June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                              20
Consumer Industrial Products and Services Sector
Telecommunication

Growth in information and communication            Voice Telecom Subscription                                  The mobile sector remains concerned with
remained buoyant at 9.1% in 2018.                                                                              the high level of taxation on the sector as
                                                   Operator                     2017          2018 % change
Technological disruption (by way of third-                                                                     illustrated in the summary schedule below :
                                                   Airtel               10,855,955      10,954,621       1%
party instant call services or over-the-top        Smart                  131,501         132,292        1%
(OTT) platforms such as WhatsApp, Skype,                                                                                                   2017/18 to date
                                                   Halotel               3,799,691       3,941,237       4%
Viber and Facebook Messenger) have                 Tigo                 11,062,852      12,583,640      14%
                                                                                                                                                   TZS    TZS
continued to cause a drastic decline in voice      TTCL                   429,735         711,411       66%    Gross charge before tax            100.0
revenue but this has been countered by             Vodacom              12,866,059      14,143,657      10%                               17.0%    17.0   17.0
                                                                                                               Excise Duty
strong growth in mobile money and data             Zantel                 935,161        1,153,641      23%
revenue. As an example, the preliminary                                                                                                           117.0
                                                   Total                40,080,954      43,620,499       9%
results publicly issued by Vodacom PLC for                                                                     VAT                        18.0%    21.1   21.1
the year ended 31 March 2019 show a                Mobile money subscriptions                                                                     138.1   38.1
decrease in mobile voice revenue by 1.1%                                         2017         2018 % change    Local tax - service levy   0.3%             0.3
year on year but growth in M-Pesa and data         Airtel Money          5,875,149       4,848,545      -17%
                                                                                                               TCRA;UCAF
revenue by 14.5% and 17.9%.                        Tigo Pesa             6,863,349       7,586,240      11%
                                                                                                               (0.8%;0.3% up to June
                                                   M-Pesa                8,085,684       9,014,088      11%
                                                                                                               2017 and 1.1%;0.9%
Statistics from the Telecommunications             Ezy Pesa                280,825        546,353       95%                               2.0%             2.0
                                                                                                               afterwards)
Regulatory Authority (“TCRA”) show the             Halotel Money           781,476       1,342,206      72%
following share of voice subscriptions and         TTCL                         3,135       30,394     870%    Total tax and levies
                                                                                                                                                          40.4
mobile money subscriptions as at December          Total                21,889,618      23,367,826       7%    on gross income
2017 and December 2018:

                                                                                                               This budget saw no change to these rates.

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                                      June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                                          21
Consumer Industrial Products and Services Sector
Manufacturing

During 2018/19, the Government continued           Effective 1 June, the Government has               materials and other factor inputs needed for
with implementation of the industrialisation       banned the use of plastic bags in the country      the bags.
agenda whereby, 3,530 new industries have          in order to preserve the environment. The
                                                                                                      Manufacturing features strongly under the list
been established in various regions. The           time lapse between the announcement of the
                                                                                                      of priority projects and activities of r2019/20
established industries include manufacturing       ban and the effective date was only 2
                                                                                                      to be implemented as a continuation of the
industries for construction (cement, tiles, and    months. This is a short period of time to
                                                                                                      National Five Year Development Plan
steel bars) and agriculture, in particular,        ensure that the demands of the country in
                                                                                                      2016/17 - 2020/21. Specific projects to foster
processing fruits, oil and skin.                   replacing plastic bags has been met without
                                                                                                      industrialisation include the development of
                                                   disruption in the supply of the bags. On the
A number of manufacturers have been                                                                   industrial parksm and the encouragement of
                                                   positive side this will create opportunities for
affected by the roll out of the new electronic                                                        value addition in crop production and agro-
                                                   companies manufacturing specific bags that
tax stamp (ETS) system to replace the                                                                 processing.
                                                   are not plastic and those who will supply
previous paper tax stamp process. While the
objective is a good one, namely to help
create transparency in assessing taxes on
these businesses, a number of manufacturers
are unhappy that the additional cost of the
system is borne by the taxpayer rather than
only the Government. Another concern for
the manufacturing sector remains the delays
in payment of VAT (for exporters) and excise
duty refunds.

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                             June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                                  22
Consumer Industrial Products and Services Sector
Tourism

Tanzania is targeting India and China to           Tanzania has not been a major player in           to attract conferences and business
bolster tourism and drive growth in guest          MICE (meetings, incentives, conventions and       meetings.
nights. The country is stepping up its             exhibitions) tourism but is looking to improve    According to a forthcoming PwC Hotels
marketing and promotional activities in India      its offerings. The Ministry of Tourism is         Outlook: 2019 to 2023 report, 2018 saw a
and China to attract more tourists from those      establishing a national convention bureau         rebound in guest nights which returned to
countries.                                         that will supervise the expansion of facilities   their 2015-16 level. (Guest nights had
                                                                                                     declined in 2017, with demand adversely
                                                                                                     impacted by the introduction of the 18% VAT
                                                                                                     on tourism services introduced in 2016 and
                                                                                                     the fixed rate concession fee introduced in
                                                                                                     2017.). There was also a benefit from an
                                                                                                     increase in available rooms with the opening
                                                                                                     of new hotels (for example, City Lodge and
                                                                                                     Zuri Zanzibar and the full-year impact of a
                                                                                                     new Melia hotel that opened in late 2017).
                                                                                                     Looking forward a number of planned
                                                                                                     openings in the coming years, are expected
                                                                                                     to add around a 1,000 rooms cumulatively
                                                                                                     over the next 5 years. We expect the tourist
                                                                                                     initiatives and an emerging MICE market,
                                                                                                     along with a strong global economy, to lead
                                                                                                     to further growth in guest nights, which we
                                                                                                     project will rise at a 3.5% compound annual
                                                                                                     rate.

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                           June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                              23
Consumer Industrial Products and Services Sector
Agriculture

                                                   The agriculture sector grew by 5.3%
                                                   in 2018 compared to 4.8% in 2016.
                                                   This growth has contributed to
                                                   increased food security, decline in
                                                   food inflation to 2.7 percent in April
                                                   2019 compared to 7.3 percent in April
                                                   2016 and an increase in receipts from
                                                   export of traditional goods from USD
                                                   793.4 million in 2015 to USD 1,020.7
                                                   million in 2017, equivalent to an
                                                   increase of 28.6 percent.
                                                   For exporters of agricultural products
                                                   a continuing concern is the delay in
                                                   processing of VAT refunds - in
                                                   particular, for some companies VAT
                                                   refunds have not been processed for
                                                   over 3 years. Falling world commodity
                                                   prices for certain items (e.g. cloves
                                                   and coffee) also cause concern.

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                   June 2019
PwC                                                                                      24
Government and Public Sector - Infrastructure

                                                   Rufiji Hydroelectric Project                       Tanga port in Tanzania. With an estimated
                                                                                                      cost of USD 3.5bn, the EACOP will be the
                                                   In December 2018, Tanzania signed the              longest electrically-heated pipeline in the
                                                   agreement to build the Stiegler’s Gorge            Continent. It is expected that residents from
                                                   Hydroelectric Power Station, on the Rufiji         226 villages in Tanzania are set to benefit
                                                   River. The project is estimated to cost $2.9bn     from the EACOP project. The start of the
                                                   and will be entirely financed by the               construction of the pipeline awaits finalisation
                                                   Government of Tanzania. The hydropower             of prolonged negotiations including in relation
                                                   plant is expected to be finalized in 42 months     to provisions of the host government
                                                   and should have the capacity to produce            agreement, shareholder agreements and
Since coming into office in 2015, the fifth-       2,115 MW by 2022, dramatically increasing          transportation tariffs.
phase Government has prioritised initiatives       the country’s current power production
to clampdown on corruption, improve public         capacity of 1,560 MW. It will also include a       Standard Gauge Railway
administration and manage public resources         400 KV substation and a transmission line          (SGR)
for improved social outcomes. In seeking to        integrated into the national electricity grid.
drive Tanzania towards a modern economy,                                                              SGR is the new railway project that will
in line with Tanzania’s Vision 2025 (of being a    The East Africa Crude Oil                          eventually connect Dar es Salaam to Kigali
semi-industrialized middle-income country by       Pipeline                                           along 1,090 miles of track. The Government
2025), a key focus has been to focus on                                                               expects the first phase, costing USD 1.9bn
implementation of various infrastructure           The Governments of the Republic of Uganda          and covering 186 miles between Dar es
projects at an accelerated pace so as to           and the United Republic of Tanzania signed         Salaam and Morogoro, to be completed by
support the growth that this Vision                the Inter-Governmental Agreement for the           December 2019. In his budget presentation
contemplates.                                      East Africa Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP)             for FY2019/2020, the Minister for Works,
                                                   Project in May 2017. The EACOP is a 1,445          Transport and Communication, requested for
 Notable infrastructure projects that the          km crude oil export pipeline that will transport   TZS 2.5 trillion out of the total development
Government of Tanzania is implementing             Uganda’s crude oil from Kabaale – Hoima in         budget of TZS 4.8 trillion (52%) to be set
include the following:                             Uganda to the Chongoleani peninsula near           aside for the construction of the SGR.
Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                              June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                                 25
Government and Public Sector - Infrastructure

                                                   New Airports and Revival of                        new planes including a Boeing 787
                                                                                                      Dreamliner. Long haul international flights
                                                   Air Tanzania                                       were planned to commence from earlier this
                                                   The Government has continued with the              year, but the expectation now is that these
                                                   construction and rehabilitation of several         will first start from July this year.
                                                   airports in the country including the following:
                                                                                                      New Selander Bridge in Dar
                                                     •     Dar es Salaam: Construction of the
                                                                                                      es Salaam
                                                           new Terminal III at Julius Nyerere
                                                           International Airport, now 90%             When completed, the New Selander Bridge
                                                           complete;                                  will be 6.2 kilometres long and 20.5 m wide
                                                                                                      and will have four ways for cars and two
                                                     •     Mwanza: Completion of the 500
                                                                                                      pedestrian routes. The bridge is estimated to
                                                           meters extension of the runway and
                                                                                                      cost TZS 256 billion and to be built in about
The actualisation of this project will make                expansion of the apron at Mwanza
                                                                                                      30 months. The funding is provided by a
Tanzania the third country in the region (after            airport; and
                                                                                                      concessionary loan from the Republic of
Ethiopia and Kenya) to have rolled out a             •     Dodoma: Design of the Msalato              Korea through its Economic Development
modern standard gauge network, The trains                  International Airport in Dodoma is at      Cooperation Fund (EDCF). The bridge will
to be used will be electric trains, and so the             an advanced stage, and once                link the areas surrounding Aga Khan Hospital
availability of reliable power supply will be              constructed it will be the fifth           and Coco Beach in Masaki and aims to
key. If all goes according to the plan, the                international airport in the country.      reduce traffic congestion.
entire project is expected to be completed in              The financing (USD 200 million) is
five years’ time i.e. by 2023.                             from the African Development Bank.
                                                   The Government has also revived the state-
                                                   owned Air Tanzania Company Limited
                                                   (ATCL) with the purchase of half a dozen

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                            June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                                 26
Government and Public Sector - Infrastructure

Bus Rapid Transit (BRT)                            (total length of 20.3 km) which is expected to   completion of: Dodoma – Babati (251.4 km);
                                                   commence in July this year and be                Sumbawanga - Kanazi (75.0 km), Kanazi -
system of Dar Es Salaam                            completed in 36 months at an estimated of        Kizi - Kibaoni (76.6 km); Sitalike – Mpanda
(DART)                                             cost $160m (to be financed by AfDB and           (36.9 km); Kyaka - Bugene (59.1 km); and
                                                   GoT), will include two flyovers of 24m width     Uyovu - Bwanga (45 km). There is also
The Dar es Salaam BRT is planned as an             and 150m length each, 29 bus terminals, a        significant progress on the following road
extensive system of 137 km of corridors to be      control centre and a garage.                     construction: Kidahwe - Kasulu - Kibondo –
built in six sequential phases.                                                                     Nyakanazi road (310 km); Tabora – Ipole –
                                                   Dodoma – The Capital City                        koga – Mpanda road (373 km). In addition,
                                                   In its quest to restore Dodoma as Tanzania’s     Kilombero and Kavuu bridges as well as the
                                                   Capital City, the Government is overhauling      TAZARA flyover have been completed. The
                                                   Dodoma’s entire infrastructure. Except for the   construction of the 266 meter Ubungo
                                                   President’s office, all other Government         interchange, which was launched in March
                                                   Ministries, Departments and Agencies have        2017 is 25% complete. It is expected to be
                                                   shifted to Dodoma. The expectation is for        fully completed by December 2020 with a
                                                   International Development Agencies and           total cost of TZS 200.73 billion.
                                                   Embassies to shift headquarters to Dodoma        Infrastructure-driven development will
                                                   in the due course of time once the supporting    certainly foster economic growth,
                                                   infrastructure is complete.                      however to achieve sustainable results,
                                                                                                    they need to be well-planned, carefully
Construction of the first phase (total length of   Roads and Bridges                                implemented and make financial sense. In
21 km) was completed in December 2015 at
a total cost of EUR134m, funded by the
                                                   Infrastructure                                   tandem with this, and because most of
                                                                                                    these mega projects are financed by the
African Development Bank (AfDB), the World         Significant investment continues in the          Government, there is a need to constantly
Bank and the Government of Tanzania                construction of roads that connect regional      monitor benchmarks related to the level of
(GoT). Construction of the second phase            headquarters and those that link Tanzania        the resultant debt.
                                                   and neighbouring countries. These include
Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                         June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                            27
Mining Sector

Contribution to exports                            Production updates (based on                     16.6% of AAL’s global 2018
Tanzania’s mining industry continues to be a       publicly issued financial                        production). Acacia’s production was
                                                                                                    significantly down on 2017 and 2016 (when
significant contributor to export earnings with    accounts)                                        production was 767,883 oz and 829,705 oz
estimated mineral exports in 2018 of USD
1,549 million representing 40% of the USD          The sector is dominated by the gold mining       respectively), with the majority of production
3,893 million total goods exports.                 sector, and in particular subsidiaries of        now coming from the North Mara mine
                                                   AnglogoldAshanti Limited (“AAL”) and Acacia      (336,055 oz). Although the Bulyanhulu mine
                                                   Mining Plc (“Acacia”) whose 2018 production      is currently on reduced operations, with only
                                                   was 564,000 oz and 521,980 oz                    40,485 oz produced in 2018, the provisional
                                                   respectively. A smaller contributor to the mix   outcome of an optimisation study of the mine
                                                   was Shanta Gold’s New Luika Mine (81,872         indicates an estimated 18 year mine life with
                                                   oz). Production from AAL’s flagship Geita        annual production of between 300,000 oz to
                                                   mine was 5% up on 2017 (and represents           350,000 oz.

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                           June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                              28
Mining Sector
                                                            NRGI study of average effective tax rate from a gold project with development
                                                            costs of USD 420 million, per unit operating costs of $600 per ounce and a gold
                                                            price of $1,300 per ounce [based on a 10 percent discount rate, assuming that the
                                                            government continues to treat gold doré as a “raw mineral” and therefore not
                                                            eligible for VAT] refunds:

Fiscal and regulatory                                     Table from Natural Resource Governance Institute (NRGI)
environment                                                              Average Effective Tax Rate
The delay and / or non-payment of VAT                       Tanzania 2017                                                                74%
refunds continues to pose significant
challenges for existing operators. The sector                       Guinea                                                       61%
has raised concerns as to the impact of
                                                               South Africa                                                    59%
recent regulatory and fiscal changes, most
notably changes made in 2017. In a January                          Ghana                                                      58%
2019 publication, the Natural Resources
Governance Institute issued a preliminary                Tanzania pre-2017                                               51%
analysis of the current fiscal regime for
Tanzania’s mining sector and concluded that:                          Chile                                         48%

•   The fiscal regime now places a                                    Peru                                         45%
    significantly larger tax burden on projects
                                                          Western Australia                                        45%
    than other comparator gold mining
    countries.                                                     Zambia                                        44%
•   The tax mix, with high royalties and limited           Kyrgyz Republic                                   39%
    value added tax refunds, mean that this
    difference is even greater for less                                       0%          20%             40%              60%            80%
    profitable mines.
The publication was issued shortly after a         review the 2017 fiscal regime if recent increased taxes could be seen to be hindering rather than
multi-stakeholder meeting between the              helping efforts to collect more revenue from the sector. While the immediate focus was on
President and the mining sector, where he          artisanal and small-scale mining and tax evasion, ultimately the same concerns can impact
had stated the government’s intention to           large-scale investment.

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                                June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                                   29
Mining Sector

Looking forward
Grounds for optimism for further growth in the
gold sector includes a 6 September 2018
announcement of a completion agreement
between the Orecorp Group and Acacia
which (subject to certain conditions) paves
the way for Orecorp to move to 100%
ownership of the Nyanzaga Gold Project with
a view to its subsequent development.
Aside from gold, and other existing minerals
in production (for example diamonds), there
are expectations that a number of projects for
other minerals (including graphite, niobium,
rare earths, helium) could move to
development.

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20   June 2019
PwC                                                      30
Contacts

David Tarimo                                       Rishit Shah            Joseph Lyimo           Mirumbe Mseti
Partner                                            Partner                Partner                Partner

+255 (0) 22 219 2600                               +255 (0) 22 219 2601   +255 (0) 22 219 2613   +255 (0) 22 219 2616
david.tarimo@pwc.com                               rishit.shah@pwc.com    joseph.lyimo@pwc.com   mirumbe.mseti@pwc.com

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                  June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                     31
Appendix 1
Presumptive income tax rates
                                      Current rates                                                  Proposed rates

                               Section 35 of the    Section 35 of the TAA                        Section 35 of the     Section 35 of the TAA
                           TAA 2015 is not complied 2015 is complied with                        TAA 2015 is not       2015 is complied with
                                     with            (Taxpayer maintains                           complied with             (Taxpayer
                                (Taxpayer does             records)                               (Taxpayer does        maintains records)
                             not maintain records)                                             not maintain records)

  Turnover (TZS)                 Tax liability (TZS)    Tax liability (TZS)   Turnover (TZS)     Tax liability (TZS)     Tax liability (TZS)

      < 4,000,000                         NIL                  NIL              < 4,000,000             NIL                     NIL
      4,000,000 –                                        3% of amount in       4,000,000 –                             3% of amount in excess
                                        150,000                                                       100,000
       7,500,000                                          excess of 4m          7,000,000                                      of 4m
                                                       135,000 plus 3.8% of
      7,500,000 –                                                              7,000,000 –                               90,000 plus 3% of
                                        318,000        amount in excess of                            250,000
      11,500,000                                                               11,000,000                              amount in excess of 7m
                                                              7.5m
                                                       285,000 plus 4.5% of
    11,500,000 –                                                               11,000,000 –                              230,000 plus 3% of
                                        546,000        amount in excess of                            450,000
     16,000,000                                                                 14,000,000                             amount in excess of 11m
                                                             11.5m
                                                       487,000 plus 5.3% of
    16,000,000 –                                                               14,000,000 –                             450,000 plus 3.5% of
                                        862,500        amount in excess of                              N/A
     20,000,000                                                                100,000,000                             amount in excess of 14m
                                                              16m

Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                        June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                            32
Appendix 2 - Customs Duty

  Increase of customs duty
  rates
  1. Stay of application of the EAC-CET rate of       The measure is intended to protect       6. Stay of application of EAC-CET rate of 25%
     25% and instead apply a duty rate of 35%         domestic industries and employment          or USD 200 per metric ton whichever is
     on roasted coffee for one year (HS Code          as well as addressing the challenges        higher on reinforcement bars and hollow
     09.01) to protect domestic industries and        of under-invoicing and under–               profiles and apply a duty rate of 25% or
     increase Government revenue.                     valuation.                                  USD 250 per metric ton whichever is higher
                                                                                                  for one year to protect local manufacturers of
  2. Imposing an import duty of 10% or USD         4. Imposing an import duty of 10% or
                                                                                                  reinforcement bars in the region and
     125 per metric ton on flat-rolled                USD 250 per metric ton on flat-rolled
                                                                                                  enhancing competitiveness of domestically
     products of iron or non-alloy steel and          products of iron or non-alloy steel,
                                                                                                  produced iron and steel products (HS codes
     flat-rolled products of other alloy steel        whichever is higher for one year (HS
                                                                                                  7213.10.00; 7213.20.00; 7213.99.00;
     of width of 600mm or more, whichever             Code 7212.60.00). The objective is to
                                                                                                  7214.10.00; 7214.20.00; 7214.30.00;
     is higher for one year. The referred             protect domestic industries and
                                                                                                  7214.90.00; 7214.99.00; 7215.10.00;
     products are those under HS Codes                employment and also addressing the
                                                                                                  7215.50.00; 7215.90.00; 7225.90.00;
     7209.16.00; 7209.17.00; 7209.18.00;              challenges of under-invoicing and
                                                                                                  7225.92.00; 7225.99.00; 7306.30.00;
     7209.26.00; 7209.27.00; 7209.28.00;              under-valuation.
                                                                                                  7306.50.00; 7306.61.00; 7306.69.00; and
     7209.90.00; 7211.23.00; 7211.90.00;           5. Imposing an import duty of 25% or           7306.90.00).
     7225.50.00 and 7226.92.00. This is to            USD 250 per metric ton on flat-rolled
     protect domestic industries and address          products whichever is higher for one
     the challenges of under-invoicing and            year (HS codes 7210.41.00;
     undervaluation.                                  7210.49.00; 7210.61.00; 7210.69.00;
  3. Imposing an import duty of 25% or USD            7210.70.00 and 7210.90.00) in order
     200 per metric ton on flat-rolled                to protect domestic producers of flat-
     products of iron or non-alloy steels             rolled products in the EAC region.
     whichever is higher for one year (HS
     Code 7212.30.00; 7212.40.00; and
     7212.50.00).
Sustaining the Momentum: National Budget 2019/20                                                                                        June 2019
PwC                                                                                                                                           33
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