Thailand 's Planning for the next Census in 2020 (Draft ) - Thailand's Team National Statistical Office ,Thailand

 
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Thailand 's Planning for the next Census in 2020 (Draft ) - Thailand's Team National Statistical Office ,Thailand
Thailand ‘s Planning for the next
       Census in 2020 (Draft )

            Thailand’s Team
  National Statistical Office ,Thailand
       24 Jan. 2018 ; Bangkok             1
Thailand 's Planning for the next Census in 2020 (Draft ) - Thailand's Team National Statistical Office ,Thailand
Census Objective

To collect basic information on population and living
   quarters

To provide data for small administrative units

To measure changes of population and living quarters
   over 10 years

                                                  2
Thailand 's Planning for the next Census in 2020 (Draft ) - Thailand's Team National Statistical Office ,Thailand
Population Coverage

                      3
Thailand 's Planning for the next Census in 2020 (Draft ) - Thailand's Team National Statistical Office ,Thailand
Project Schedule

2017-2019 - Planing & Preparing
           (budget, legislation, cabinet, committee, network,
            advertising, questionnaire, mapping and EA listing,
            data collection, processing & dissemination technique,…)
              - Pilot survey
2020         - Field operation
             (Recruit & training field staff, data collection)
             - Data processing
             - Post enumeration survey (PES.)
2021         - Preliminary report (Listing form)
            - Advanced report (Enumeration form 1%)
            - Final report (Enumeration form 100%)
                                                                 4
             (76 provinces , 4 regions , whole kingdom)
Thailand 's Planning for the next Census in 2020 (Draft ) - Thailand's Team National Statistical Office ,Thailand
Population by census year

                    Population    Annual growth rate
  Year                                 (percent)
                      (Million)

  1960                 26.3              3.15
  1970                  34.4             2.70
  1980                  44.8             2.65
  1990                  54.5             1.96
  2000                  60.9             1.10
  2010                  65.9             0.80
Projection-2020         68.1                           5
Thailand 's Planning for the next Census in 2020 (Draft ) - Thailand's Team National Statistical Office ,Thailand
“Everyone is counted in the
              Census is a big challenge” !
                             Why?
I. Uncooperative from some particular groups
                of respondents
 Various kind of living residence/ People need more
privacy/ Urban people work in day time/ People feel
less safe in life and asset(fear of thieves and robbers)/
People feel less trust in their security.

  Significant under-counted number of population
     and increase of non response rate.
  High turn over rate of enumerators and field staff.   6
Thailand 's Planning for the next Census in 2020 (Draft ) - Thailand's Team National Statistical Office ,Thailand
“Everyone is counted in the
            Census is a big challenge” !
II. Limitation of budget for census taking
Budget for the whole project 976.1 Mil Baht
  2008         0.5 (mil $)
  2009         1.0
  2010        30.0   Questionnaire/Manual   4.3
                     Training                6.2
  2011         1.5
                      Field operation       12.2

                      Wages                 2.3
                      ICR Device            1.3
                      Promotion             2.1
                      Other                 1.6
                                                   7
Thailand 's Planning for the next Census in 2020 (Draft ) - Thailand's Team National Statistical Office ,Thailand
“Everyone is counted in the
           Census is a big challenge” !
III. Obtaining Administrative Data
     for Register-based Census
 Since 2013 start to study how to make benefit from
          administrative data for census
     via consultative meetings and workshops
Main Objective
* make use of administrative data
* reduce time
* reduce cost
* reduce response burden                        8

* more efficiency
“Recommendations”

➢ Make long term strategic plan

➢ Prepare for ‘a law’

➢ Create ‘the unique ID’ for People

➢ Build up ‘Data Storage and Processing System’

                                            9
“Everyone is counted in the
           Census is a big challenge” !
IV. An innovation of data collection

  “Lesson Learned of using tablets for data
  collection from MICS and the Agricultural
  Census”

                                              10
Innovation

    Paper            MICS      Agricultural Census
Questionnaires     (in 2012)        (in 2013)

                                                     11
Benefit (Using tablet )
1) Be able to immediately check for data
   consistency and completeness
2) Reduce time for data processing; be able to
   present the result in timely manner
3) Be able to identify the location for the field
   operation by of each enumerator’s work by
   using GPS (Fieldwork Quality Control)
4) Be able to constantly upload data to the
   sever in the cloud computing

                                                    13
Benefit (Using tablet )

5) By using Web Application for monitoring
progress in the field operation (real time)
   5.1 Be able to track the field work of each
enumerator linked to the maps on the tablet
   5.2 Be able to monitor progress work in
 the field operation at all levels, in order to
 immediately solving the problem in case of
 delay field work or unmet deadline.

                                                  14
Fieldwork monitoring

  Using Web Application for monitoring and
 tracking the progress of fieldwork operation

Consists of
   - Monitoring at Headquarter base
   - Monitoring at Local office base

 By setting the target of tracking the progress
                  as Real Time

                                                  15
Fieldwork monitoring
                                  Headquarter

                           Sending out      The department         Assign Master
                          Mobile team      inspectors visited       trainers at
     Setting war room                                               Headquarters
                         throughout the   on-site for fieldwork
                                                                   responsible for
                             country           monitoring           each province

 High-executives and related
                                                              Monitoring the progress of
  managers of both agencies
                                                              their assignments by each
monitored the progress through
                                                            districts/EA through Web app.
       Web application

                                                             Coordinate, give suggestion
                                                              and supporting (each region
                                                            reported the progress to the high-
                                                              executives from time to time)
                                                                                                 16
Tracking system in field operation

                                     17
Tracking system in field operation

                                     18
Tracking system through Web Application
           as Real time basis

                                          19
Tracking the progress
(the whole kingdom)

                        20
Tracking the progress (each province)

                                        21
Percentage of total households
 and total agricultural holders
       (as of May 2013)

                                  22
Limitations

 Some main issues arising from using technology skills

1. Internet Network
     - some area don’t have Internet
     - some area have low signal of Internet
Solutions
 1) Interview on offline mode
    (send the data later when the Internet is accessible)
 2) Send out the provincial officers to copy the data, and send the
     data at provincial office
 3) Ask the supervisors/enumerators to come to some particular
     places which equipped with Internet access (for example, the
     district agricultural office, the ICT community learning center,
     etc.)
 4) Install the Router at the community center for the Internet
     accessible
                                                                        23
Some main issues arising
                from using technology skills
2. Synchronizing the data to the Server

    - especially during the first synchronization which took long time /

could not send the data

Solutions
 1) Schedule the synchronization period of each region at different time
 2) Recommend to frequently synchronize the data but not with a big
    size of data
 3) Increase ‘Time out’ (for which the supervisors can check the data
    at all time)
 4) Reschedule the monitoring period to be during 9.00 p.m. – 7.00 a.m.
 5) Separate the Server for the monitoring system and the data storing
    (data sync. from Tablet) system
 6) Request the server agency to adjust the CPU of the Cloud Server as
    from 8 16  32 Core
                                                                           24
Some main issues arising
            from using technology skills

3. Geographical and Climate Conditions
   - Mountain area
   - Islands
   - Rainy area (mostly at the southern region)
Solutions
 1) Allow enumerators to stay overnight in some
    particular area
 2) Hire the boat to the particular islands
 3) Wait for the rain to stop and spread out the
    enumerators at one time
                                                   25
The lessons learnt for further improvement

  Budget
  Field work operators
        - Skill for using technology
  Server
        - Insufficient performance of server
  Tablet
        - Insufficient Memory
  Application for data entry
  Internet network
  Database management                         26
Solutions

More intensive increase establishing network among
alliance agencies, community, high-rise building
association
More activities on Public relation and media campaigns
Multi-modal collection methods
1. Face –to-face interview using PAPI(Paper and pencil
    Interviewing) and CAPI(Computer-assisted personal
    Interviewing)
2. Self-enumeration using PASI(Paper questionnaire
    with self-enumeration) and CASI(Computer-assisted
    self-interviewing)
3. Phone interview using CATI(Computer-assisted 27
    telephone Interviewing)
Census Committee

 NSO Director General                 Census Administration Committee

Census Sub-committee
                                        Consultancy Committee

                        Mapping And    Public Relation     Data Processing
Questionnaire      Enumeration area
    and                listing
 Instruction

                                                                        28
“Everyone is counted in the
         Census is a big challenge” !

   V. Timeliness of Results

 2020
Census

                    Increasing time,
              decreasing user’s satisfaction

                                               29
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