The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...

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The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...
The Critical Importance of
Science and the Rule of Law
In Protecting the Integrity of
Lake Hövsgöl National Park

12th International Mongolian Studies Conference , Washington, D.C. February 9 - 10, 2018
The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...
This Presentation Was Presented at The 12th
        Annual International Mongolian Studies
                     Conference By
     Clyde Goulden PhD.        Robert McIntosh
        Curator Emeritus                        Mongol Ecology Center
       Academy of Natural                           Board Member
        Sciences of Drexel                     U.S. National Park Service
            University                                  (Retired)

        ceg64@drexel.edu                          rwm@mongolec.org
12th International Mongolian Studies Conference, Washington, D.C. February 9 - 10, 2018
        Sponsored by the Embassy of Mongolia and the Mongolian Cultural Center
The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...
LHNP

Lake Hövsgöl National Park (LHNP) is in the headwaters of the Yenisei River
The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...
LHNP

LHNP is at the southern end of the continuous Permafrost
The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...
LHNP is in the transition zone between the Boreal Forest (Siberian taiga)
to the North and the Temperate Grasslands (Eastern Asian Steppe) to the South
The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...
The Mother Sea and Father Mountain

    Lake Hövsgöl                               Munkh Saridag

Local cultural tradition holds that Lake Hövsgöl, the mother sea, and Munkh
       Saridag, the father mountain, together are the source of all life
The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...
Rangers from the Protected Areas in Hövsgöl Aimag
The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...
The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...
Lake Hövsgöl National Park
The Critical Importance of Science and the Rule of Law In Protecting the Integrity of Lake Hövsgöl National Park - 12th International Mongolian ...
Lake Hövsgöl National Park
             •   1.2M ha (2.9M ac)
             •   Alpine Zones
             •   Larch Forests
             •   Mountain Steppe
             •   70% of MN Fresh H2O
             •   Lake Depth 267 meters
                 – (876 feet)
             • Species:
                 – 68 Mammals * 10 Fish
             • Local Families
             • Visitors: 94,000 in 2017
Vision Statement
  The pristine, diverse natural, historical, cultural,
  and scenic resources that embody the spiritual
  values of the “Mother Sea” and the “Father”
  Munkh-Saridag Mountains, and nomadic
  traditions and folklore they support, are
  conserved      forever     through       long-term
  preservation fully integrated with sustainable
  economic development.

    Source: 2013 General Management Plan – Foundation Document,
a joint effort by the LHNP Administration and the Mongol Ecology Center
2014 Roads Paved Between Ulaanbaatar and LHNP
        “If You Build It – They Will Come”
LHNP Visitation (2004-2017)
 90000

 80000

 70000

 60000            ROAD IMPROVEMENTS
 50000

 40000

 30000

 20000

 10000

      0
           2004    2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010    2011    2012    2013    2014    2015    2016    2017
Domestic   4164    4349   5110   8300   7282   9321   14590   20036   44668   29761   42097   57824   33590   78150
Foreign    3552    2837   4611   4654   4704   4021   4620    4818    4500    3690    3346    4994    5790    15956
Park Management Issues
Protected Area Law
• 1992 Lake Hövsgöl National Park Established
• 1994 Law On Protected Areas Enacted
  – Established Zoning Standards for NP
     • Special Zone
        – Limited and Controlled Access
     • Travel and Tourism Zone
        – Travel Restricted and Temporary Use
     • Limited Use Zone
        – Travel, Permanent Tourism Facilities, Local Families
Park Zoning
  (2014)

  Special-Pink
 Tourism-Blue
Limited-Yellow
Park Zoning

Limited Use Zone
provides no specific
protection for:

-Fish Spawning
-Small Natural Areas
-Prime Grasslands
- 574 Local Families
and 118,726 Animals
International Long-Term Ecological
           Research Site
 Established by Mongolian Parliament - 1996

                                 International –
                                 Mongolian
                                 Research Projects
                                 1996 - 2013
Long Term Ecological Research Site
       Rezoned and Compromised
• Anjigas Valley
   – Spring 2013: Unlawful
     Construction of Tourist
     Facility
• January 2014
   – Limited Use Zone Extended
     South 36Km
• December 2014                                              Anjigas
   – Construction Permit
     Approved December 2014                                  Dalbay
• No Law – No Standards
Influential People Control Decisions - Disregard Laws, Standards and Science
Mongolian National Standards
MNS 6424-2013 Eco-Tourism in Protected Areas

Facilities Must Be
   – 200 m From Water
   – 1 Km Between Facilities

No Open Toilets

Livestock and Tourism Facilities Must Be Separated
   – 500 m
Standards and Waste Management
  Livestock - Human-Waste - Tourist Facility

 Livestock Pen     Open Toilet        Tourists
2014

2014 - Inventory of Tourist Facilities on Jankhai Road
2014 and 2016

2014 Inventory Plus New 2015 and 2016 Additions
Development Density

              Average Separation
                   0.27 Km
                   Standard
                     1 Km
Visitor Experience
         Posted on the Hatgal FB Page –
         Unofficial Translation

          “… during Naadam, road along Lake
         Hovsgol from Jankhai Pass to Toilogt
         of 10kms looks like this. …
         It’s covered by complete dust and
         more than 10,000 people and half of
         them are drunk. …
          You can vacation but you can limit
         your alcohol consumption, drive
         slower, take your trash with you and
         stop driving on the grass. …
         The lake shore is covered with tents.
         No one seem to care where
         everyone urinates or throws their
         trash. …
Waste Management

Collected Litter   Wild Camping – No Toilets
Waste Management
Wild Camping - Wild Trash – No Toilets
Waste Management
                                      Plastics

                 Litter

                                                 Micro-Plastics
                                                 in Water

Micro Plastics Found in Water
of LHNP – Same Concentrations
As Some of the Laurentian Great Lakes

Free et al. 2014 Marine Pollution Bulletin
Water Quality
   Hatgal-Hankh & Tourists Use H2O From Lake

Mongol Ecology Center Junior Rangers – Future Rangers and Scientists
            H2O Quality Tests Positive for Fecal Coliform
Watercraft
Oil and Gas Pollution and Public Safety Requirements

        Estimated 70 Private Boat Tour Operators in LHNP
       Scarce Enforcement of Pollution or Safety Standards
Park Roads
Design Consequences

Road Improvement Projects Brings High Speed, Noise and Dust
         Road Separates Lake from Tourist Facilities
New Roads
                  Murun to Darkhad Valley – to Hankh

          Jigleg Pass - Disrupts 173 Local
          Families, Impacts Wetlands, Fish
          Habitat And All Commercial Traffic
          Will Go Through LHNP                                        180 Km

                              X

No Impact on
Protected Areas

                                               All Road Improvements Require
         Y                                     Inter-disciplinary Design with
                                               Park Management, Landscape
                                               Architects and Engineers
Unintended Consequences
State Highways Do Not Belong In National Parks
Managing New Uses
The Way Forward
                Recommended Actions
• Independent Transparent Administrative Review
  of Tourist Facility Permits
  – Certify Proper Permits
  – Check Compliance with Laws and Standards
  – Recommend Necessary Actions
• Comprehensive Transparent Management Plan –
  Bring LHNP Into Compliance with Standards and
  IUCN Protected Area Guidelines
  – Interdisciplinary, Science Based Decision Making,
    Community and Stakeholder Involvement
Summary of Critical Science

   Photo by Jon Gelhaus
Hövsgöl Global Environment Facility/World
                   Bank
Training Program (English, Biodiversity and
                 Ecology)
                2002-2006
Lake Hövsgöl formed in a tectonic basin of
  northern Mongolia, a part of the Baikal Rift
System, is similar in surface area to Lake Erie in
             the U.S. but its depth is
       262 m, the16th largest world lake
The watershed has
  been a summer
 home of nomadic
     herders for
     centuries; a
     dependable
  source of water
  and pasture for
    their animals
 during periods of
   drought in this
semi-arid climate.
     In autumn,
   herders move
  their animals to
mountain tops and
slopes, away from
  the cold winter
       valleys.
                     Spring return of animals to valleys
Summer grazing
on south-facing slopes
    by sheep and
 cashmere goats on
  upper slopes, and
 yaks and horses on
     lower slopes
 (Dalbay Valley, Lake
 Hövsgöl, Mongolia)
Unregulated Tourism Development and
       Climate Change Impacts
 Talking points
 I.    Developments in the watershed are
       increasing nutrient loading to the lake and
       increase algal blooms in the lake
 II. Rapid warming due to climate change
       (2.14oC) will increase growth of nuisance
       blue greens
 III. Increased trash from human development
       will increase formation of microplastic
       particles
“The Blue Pearl of Mongolia”

 Its clear water, 1%
      of sunlight
  penetrates to 46
meters, allows blue
light to reach great
 depths, and when
  reflected back to
  the surface gives
   blue cast to the
         lake.
Lake Eutrophication and
 Unregulated Tourism Development

• Erosion of soils and fertilizers from watershed
  development and community-based sewage systems
  can cause serious pollution in lakes:
   – stimulate heavy growths of nuisance algae
   – increase the amount of decomposing dead plant
     material that will decrease oxygen levels in the
     bottom water of a lake during summer
   – produce an oxygen-free zone that allows recycling
     of nutrient phosphorus from the lake sediments
1999-2000 Lake Hövsgöl Water Quality Study
    Tributary Streams and Bays Results:

• Water quality study of tributary streams and inlet bays to
  the lake found that livestock grazing is:
   – fertilizing algae and plant growth
   – impacting bays of the lake lowering oxygen levels in deep water
     of bays.
• Increased photosynthesis can increase water pH (=9.8 in
  one bay with a fish kill) due to heavy grazing by livestock
• Almost one-half of the geology of the watershed consists of
  dolomite, rich in phosphorus.
• Phosphorus (P) is the major limiting nutrient for lake algae:
• High concentrations of P in the watershed geology of the
  lake’s basin fertilizes the growth of algae making the lake
  sensitive to unregulated shoreline development
Lake Baikal, Russia is more developed than
                  Hövsgöl
Baikal has been harmed by plant growth
Perceptions
 of climatic
  change

  Herder
interviews:
Questions and Responses: Herders’ perceptions
              (% of total responses, n = 98)

 • What is the biggest environmental impact on
   your life?
      • Changing weather—85%
      • Overgrazing—15 %
 • Are the Seasons changing?
      • Timing of the seasons has changed—95%
      • Winters are milder—54%
      • Summers are cooler but mixed with very warm days (= heat
        waves that “burns the grasses”—61%)
      • Rains have changed—86%
         – Aadar rains have become more frequent
Climate Change in Northern Mongolia:
Herders say aadar rains have increased as the climate changes

     Intense, patchy Aadar rain in Hentii Aimag (July 13,
                           2012)
Mongolian
        Rains
• Shivree—warm rains with
  small droplets lasting for 3-
  4 hours
• Zuser—low to medium
  intensity rains with small
  droplets lasting 2-3 days
• Aadar—high intensity
  short rains with large
  drops that start and stop
  abruptly, most are
  associated with thunder
  and lightening (>7.6
  mm/hour =
  thunderstorms]
Herder Descriptions of Aadar Rains
• Herders claimed aadar rains were very damaging to their pastures,
    animals and to their families while watching the herds (2009-2010)
• Quotes
     “…rain eroded the road, very intense, dangerous. Ger was
flooded, mattresses were floating. Pasture covered with running
water.”
     “In previous year [2011] had extremely intense hard rain, killed
many animals.”
     “We had extremely hard windy rain that knocked down many
trees, our fodder was blown up into the air, we lost half of the fodder.
Our ger was damaged and knocked down in 2010.””
    “Last year at the end of July, I experienced aadar boroo. It was
dangerously intense.”
Aadar Rains cause more flooding of
tributary streams and erode silts and
clays into the lake, reducing water
clarity

[61mm rainfall July 7-8, 2006, Dalbay Valley,
Lake Hövsgöl,
Conclusions: Lake Hövsgöl
• Research on Lake Hövsgöl suggests that strict
  protection guidelines need to be followed as the
  bay and shoreline areas of the lake’s watershed
  are developed for tourism and as the climate
  continues to change.
• This is critical in order to avoid serious problems
  in the future that would very likely include
  blooms of nuisance aquatic plant growths and
  fish kills that would quickly discourage tourists
  from visiting the park.
Rutgers University program conducted surveys for
 pelagic and shoreline micro and macro plastics

                           Microplastic transects (n=9)
                           Macroplastic transects (n=18)
                            Free et al. 2014 Marine Pollution Bulletin

              Climate change Pollution OverfishingDevelopment Conclusio
    Lake Hovsgol
A New Commitment Is Needed
The Mongol Ecology Center Junior Rangers
Made Us Promise - “Keep The Park Pristine”
Bayarlalaa
The Academy of Sciences      The Mongol Ecology
  at Drexel University            Center

  – With Principal Funding   – With Principal Funding
    from the National          from the Trust for
    Science Foundation         Mutual Understanding
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