The politics of natural resources trade and industrial policy in Africa - BY FREDERICK PARRY ILO - ROAF DAR ES SALAAM, TANZANIA

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The politics of natural resources
trade and industrial policy in Africa.
         BY FREDERICK PARRY
               ILO – ROAF
       DAR ES SALAAM, TANZANIA

                                         1
• “The African continent shall never be
  developed by the generosity and goodwill of
  the developed powers. It can become
  developed only through a relentless struggle
  against the forces that have vested interest in
  keeping it underdeveloped”
               Kwame Nkrumah.

                                                2
• Africa’s political economy has a history of the
  exploitation and mis-management of its
  mineral and natural resources.
• More than 500 years after commercial
  exploitation of Africa’s natural resources
  began, Africa continues to host many of the
  large and unexploited deposits of minerals
  globally.

                                                3
• Africa has 12 percent of the world’s oil reserves, 40
  percent of its golf and 80 to 90 percent its chromium
  and platinum. Africa is also home to 60 percent of the
  world’s under utilized arable land and has vast timber
  resources.
• With minor exceptions, Africa does not consume or add
  value to its mineral products. Africa is a net exporter of
  raw materials that fuel prosperity and development in
  other regions of the world. Africa continues to struggle
  with limited economic transformation, low or no
  resource rents and scarce employment opportunities

                                                           4
• Commodity prices in the past 10 years, have
  been impressive, yet Africa’s share of the
  windfall earnings has been minimal compared
  with what the mining companies for example
  have realized.
• The profits for the top 40 mining companies in
  Africa was $110 billion in 2010, which was
  equivalent to the merchandise exports of all
  African LDCs in the same year.

                                               5
• It is fair to say that the resources for
  development model that puts raw materials
  suppliers at a significant disadvantage is not
  working to bring about equity or bring
  development to Africa.
• The African mining vision (AMV), jointly
  developed by AU, ECA, ADB and UN
  agencies was adopted by the African Union
  Heads of State in 2009

                                               6
• The vision advocates for “transparent, equitable
  and optimal exploitation of mineral resources to
  underpin broad-based sustainable growth and
  socio-economic development.
• In this regard, Africa governments needs to get
  the best deals for their countries during contract
  negotiations with the Trans National Corporations
  (TNCs). For example in the DRC, a government
  committee reviewed 61 mining deals over a
  decade up to 2006, and found none acceptable. It
  recommended renegotiating 39 and cancelling 22.

                                                   7
• Another area of critical concern is that African
  government do not have the capacity to take
  stock of their minerals resources, relying on
  transnational     corporations      to    assess
  commercial capacities of newly found
  discoveries especially oil and gas.
  This lack of capacity to verify data severely
  compromises negotiation capacity and the
  continent’s bargaining power.

                                                 8
• An important structural measure is a better
  integration of Africa’s development policies.
  Africa needs to have long term development
  objectives in the processes for extracting natural
  resources.
• For mining , for example to benefit Africa’s
  people, strong backward and forward linkages in
  the local economy should allow local
  entrepreneurs to take advantage of service
  provision and technology transfer opportunities as
  a result of proximity to the mining industry.

                                                   9
• This should be done through investment in
  infrastructure, research and human capital
  development through conditionality for local
  content.
• The potential of small scale mining should be
  harnessed and improved to better rural
  livelihoods and further integration into the
  rural and national economies.

                                              10
• Other factors, such as the building of human
  and institutional capacities towards a
  knowledge economy that support innovation,
  research and development and the promotion
  of good governance of the mineral sector, in
  which communities and citizens participate in
  the decision-making process in which there is
  equity in the distribution of benefits are also
  necessary prerequisites.
                                                11
• Africa’s natural resources should be a blessing
  and not a curse, that is if they are managed
  well to provide solutions to the continent’s
  socio-economic problems.
  To make this possible, frameworks such as the
  Africa Mining Vision (AMV) must be
  implemented and used as a template at country
  and regional levels.

                                                12
Industrialization – Africa’s hope for
       economic development
• Six years after the global financial crisis of
  2008 the economic performance of African
  countries have been remarkable with an
  average growth rate of over five percent per
  annum. It is the world’s appetite for Africa’s
  rich natural resources which has been the
  driver of this economic growth.

                                               13
• The idea that the abundant natural resources
  can be the driver for an industrial revolution
  across the continent is growing. The Economic
  Report on Africa (ERA-2013) sets out how the
  continent's future will be determined by how
  policies     that   prom     commodity-based
  industrialization     are     designed    and
  implemented.

                                               14
• A structural transformation from agriculture to
  an industrialized Africa is possible, but it will
  require courage, vision and a new mindset
  from the continent’s business and political
  leaders to overcome the challenges which
  continue to hold back the building of a
  successful and dynamic industrial base in
  Africa.

                                                  15
• The Economic Report on Africa (2013) published
  by the ECA and African Union Commission
  (AUC) states that “up to 90% of income from
  coffee goes to rich consuming countries”
  The story is similar with other primary products
  such as cocoa, groundnuts, cotton, crude oil etc.
• Given this situation, value addition to the primary
  commodities in Africa is the surest way for the
  continent to realize its fair share of income from
  international trade.
                                                   16
• Advocates of commodity – driven industrialization, are
  of the view that it will boost local manufacturing and
  create millions of jobs in Africa. More jobs will reduce
  poverty and expand the middle class, which will in turn
  demand more goods and services.
• There is no one-size-fits-all solution to accelerating
  resource-based industrialization, but important lessons
  can be learnt from the success of countries such as
  Malaysia, Chile, Indonesia and Thailand in promoting
  value-addition, new services and technological
  capabilities

                                                        17
• Malaysia, in particular is a perfect example of
  how a commodity based economy was
  transformed,     through       focused     state
  interventions and allocation of resources
  towards the industrial sector to a high income
  and diverse manufacturer in only a few
  decades.

                                                 18
• It is clear that for Africa to shape its own
  economic future through commodity-based
  industrialization, African governments must
  collaborate effectively with Africa’s private
  sector to address barriers to Africa’s
  industrialization such as the lack of technical
  capacity of the workforce, poor and obsolete
  infrastructure and lack of reliable energy to
  boost local manufacturing capacity.
                                                19
• The current over reliance on commodities by
  African countries is not sustainable because
  commodities are exhaustible, and Africa has
  little control over disruptions in world demand
  and prices.

                                                20
AFRICA’S ROLE IN INTERNATIONAL
              TRADE
• African countries are yet to realize the full
  potential of trade as a pillar of development
  due to their export composition. Most of their
  traded goods are in the lower end of the value
  chain and they are exported as raw materials or
  with very limited value-addition whilst
  consumer goods are imported on a large scale.

                                                21
• Africa is largely seen as a price-taker rather
  than price-maker, with a marginal role in
  international trade.
  Africa countries also suffer from unfair trade
  treaties and rules set out by international
  bodies that penalize Africa’s value addition to
  its primary commodities.

                                                22
• The way forward is for Africa to act as one in the
  area of international trade especially in
  negotiations at the World Trade Organization
  (WTO) and the           Economic      Partnership
  Agreements (EPAs) with European Union. The
  objective in both negotiations should be to seek
  development outcomes that favour Africa. In this
  regard African countries must put great effort in
  regional integration processes and address
  problem areas such as weak political commitment
  and lack of policy harmonization.

                                                  23
• Adding value to natural resources could boost
  intra – African trade as well. Intra – Africa
  trade is currently low at 12 percent. Africa
  with a growing population must create a
  market for consumption of value added
  natural resources within the continent.

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